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HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
551 AM MDT TUE SEP 16 2014

NMZ501>540-171200-
NORTHWEST PLATEAU-CHUSKA MOUNTAINS-FAR NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-
NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-WEST CENTRAL PLATEAU-WEST CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-
WEST CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS-
SAN FRANCISCO RIVER VALLEY-SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS-JEMEZ MOUNTAINS-
WEST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 9500 FEET/RED RIVER-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 9500 FEET-
EAST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-
LOWER CHAMA RIVER VALLEY-SANTA FE METRO AREA-ALBUQUERQUE METRO AREA-
LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-SANDIA/MANZANO MOUNTAINS-ESTANCIA VALLEY-
CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-SOUTH CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-UPPER TULAROSA VALLEY-
SOUTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-RATON RIDGE/JOHNSON MESA-
FAR NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-UNION COUNTY-
HARDING COUNTY-EASTERN SAN MIGUEL COUNTY-GUADALUPE COUNTY-
QUAY COUNTY-CURRY COUNTY-ROOSEVELT COUNTY-DE BACA COUNTY-
CHAVES COUNTY PLAINS-EASTERN LINCOLN COUNTY-SOUTHWEST CHAVES COUNTY-
551 AM MDT TUE SEP 16 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH AND CENTRAL
NEW MEXICO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TODAY THROUGH THE
OVERNIGHT SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 40 AND OVER THE NORTHERN MOUNTAINS.
ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FOR THE NORTHWEST AND NORTHEAST.
STORM MOTIONS WILL BE SLOW AND RAINFALL COULD BECOME HEAVY. THIS
MAY LEAD TO LOCALIZED AREAS OF FLASH FLOODING... ESPECIALLY OVER
THE WHITEWATER BALDY BURN SCAR COMPLEX AND THE LITTLE BEAR BURN
SCAR. ISOLATED LOCATIONS WILL RECEIVE 1 TO 2 INCHES OF RAINFALL.
A FEW STORMS MAY ALSO PRODUCE SMALL HAIL AND WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED WEDNESDAY THROUGH
FRIDAY ACROSS MOST OF NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEW MEXICO. RAINFALL
COULD BECOME HEAVY WITH THE REMNANTS OF ODILE IMPACTING THE STATE.
THIS MAY LEAD TO LOCALIZED AREAS OF FLASH FLOODING... ESPECIALLY
OVER AND NEAR RECENT AND OLDER BURN SCARS. ISOLATED LOCATIONS WILL
RECEIVE 2 TO 4 INCHES OF RAINFALL WITH UP TO 6 INCHES NOT OUT OF
THE QUESTION FROM WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. THE MOST LIKELY AREA
TO SEE THIS MUCH RAIN WILL BE OVER THE UPPER GILA REGION OF THE
SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS...INCLUDING THE WHITEWATER BALDY BURN SCAR
COMPLEX...FOLLOWED BY THE LITTLE BEAR BURN SCAR AREA. A FEW STORMS
MAY ALSO PRODUCE SMALL HAIL AND WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT RAINFALL AMOUNTS AND ANY FLOODING
THROUGH THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE WEB SITE AT
WEATHER.GOV/ABQ OR BY CALLING 1.888.386.7637.

$$

40

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
303 PM CDT TUE SEP 16 2014

TXZ021>044-172015-
PARMER-CASTRO-SWISHER-BRISCOE-HALL-CHILDRESS-BAILEY-LAMB-HALE-
FLOYD-MOTLEY-COTTLE-COCHRAN-HOCKLEY-LUBBOCK-CROSBY-DICKENS-KING-
YOAKUM-TERRY-LYNN-GARZA-KENT-STONEWALL-
303 PM CDT TUE SEP 16 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE EXTREME SOUTHERN TEXAS
PANHANDLE...SOUTH PLAINS AND ROLLING PLAINS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

SPOTTY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CONTINUE INTO THE EVENING ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN PART OF THE TEXAS SOUTH PLAINS AND SOUTHERN ROLLING
PLAINS. EXCESSIVE RUNOFF WILL RESULT IN MINOR STREET FLOODING IN A
FEW AREAS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE
WEEK...PEAKING LATE WEEK OR EARLY THIS WEEKEND. LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THE MORE INTENSE ACTIVITY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

$$

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
150 PM CDT TUE SEP 16 2014

NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-057>063-067>070-074-075-
079>082-258-171900-
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF EDDY COUNTY-EDDY COUNTY PLAINS-
NORTHERN LEA COUNTY-CENTRAL LEA COUNTY-SOUTHERN LEA COUNTY-GAINES-
DAWSON-BORDEN-SCURRY-ANDREWS-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL-
VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS-
LOVING-WINKLER-ECTOR-MIDLAND-GLASSCOCK-WARD-CRANE-UPTON-REAGAN-
DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA-PECOS-PRESIDIO VALLEY-MARFA PLATEAU-
BIG BEND AREA-TERRELL-GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-
150 PM CDT TUE SEP 16 2014 /1250 PM MDT TUE SEP 16 2014/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST NEW
MEXICO...SOUTHWEST TEXAS AND WEST TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

SHOWERS WITH MODERATE RAIN ARE POSSIBLE TONIGHT...ESPECIALLY ACROSS
SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO...THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS...AND THE NORTHERN
BASIN.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

THE POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAIN WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY INCREASES AS
THE MOISTURE FROM ODILE MOVE ACROSS THE AREA. MANY AREAS INCLUDING
THE GUADALUPE AND DAVIS MOUNTAINS...SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO...AND
PARTS OF THE NORTHWEST BASIN RECEIVED HEAVY RAIN LATE LAST WEEK
AND ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAIN WILL INCREASE THE POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING
AND FLASH FLOODING.

THE RIO GRANDE MAY SEE ELEVATED FLOWS OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS DUE
A COMBINATION OF RELEASES FROM RESERVOIRS IN MEXICO AND HEAVY
RAIN.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

ALTHOUGH SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED DUE THE INCREASED
POTENTIAL FOR AT LEAST LOCAL FLOODING AND FLASH FLOODING THESE
NEXT FEW DAYS LOCAL OFFICIALS SHOULD KEEP UP THE LATEST FORECAST TRENDS.

$$
THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
MIDLAND CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT /LOWER CASE/
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MIDLAND

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
1109 AM MDT TUE SEP 16 2014

COZ058>089-093>099-171715-
WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST LAKE COUNTY ABOVE 11000 FT-
LEADVILLE VICINITY/LAKE COUNTY BELOW 11000 FT-
EASTERN SAWATCH MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
WESTERN CHAFFEE COUNTY BETWEEN 9000 AND 11000 FT-
CENTRAL CHAFFEE COUNTY BELOW 9000 FT-
WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST CHAFFEE COUNTY ABOVE 9000 FT-
SAGUACHE COUNTY WEST OF CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BELOW 10000 FT-
SAGUACHE COUNTY EAST OF CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BELOW 10000 FT-
LA GARITA MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY/EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS BELOW 10000 FT-
EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
DEL NORTE VICINITY/NORTHERN SAN LUIS VALLEY BELOW 8500 FT-
ALAMOSA VICINITY/CENTRAL SAN LUIS VALLEY BELOW 8500 FT-
SOUTHERN SAN LUIS VALLEY-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 8500 AND 11000 FT-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FEET-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 7500 AND 11000 FT-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
NORTHWESTERN FREMONT COUNTY ABOVE 8500 FT-
WESTERN/CENTRAL FREMONT COUNTY BELOW 8500 FT-
WET MOUNTAIN VALLEY BELOW 8500 FEET-
WET MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 6300 AND 10000 FT-
WET MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
TELLER COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE ABOVE 7500 FT/PIKES PEAK BETWEEN
7500 AND 11000 FT-PIKES PEAK ABOVE 11000 FT-
CANON CITY VICINITY/EASTERN FREMONT COUNTY-
NORTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/MONUMENT RIDGE/RAMPART RANGE BELOW
7500 FT-
COLORADO SPRINGS VICINITY/SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE
BELOW 7400 FT-PUEBLO AND VICINITY/PUEBLO COUNTY BELOW 6300 FT-
WALSENBURG VICINITY/UPPER HUERFANO RIVER BASIN BELOW 7500 FT-
TRINIDAD VICINITY/WESTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY BELOW 7500 FT-
CROWLEY COUNTY-LA JUNTA VICINITY/OTERO COUNTY-
EASTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY-WESTERN KIOWA COUNTY-
EASTERN KIOWA COUNTY-LAS ANIMAS VICINITY/BENT COUNTY-
LAMAR VICINITY/PROWERS COUNTY-SPRINGFIELD VICINITY/BACA COUNTY-
1109 AM MDT TUE SEP 16 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL...EAST
CENTRAL...SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST COLORADO.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORECAST OVER
THE MOUNTAINS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING WITH THE MAIN THREATS
BEING LOCAL OUTFLOW WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH ALONG WITH HAZARDOUS
LIGHTNING. IN ADDITION...ONE OR TWO OF THE STRONGER STORMS COULD
PRODUCE BRIEF PERIODS OF MODERATE RAINFALL.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER ALL THE MOUNTAINS ON
WEDNESDAY...AND ALONG THE CONTINENTAL DIVIDE ON THURSDAY. ON
FRIDAY...ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED...WITH
THE BEST CHANCES BEING OVER THE MOUNTAINS...AND SOUTHERN PORTIONS
OF THE SOUTHEAST PLAINS. SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY...ISOLATED TO
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE MAINLY EXPECTED IN LOCATIONS FROM ALONG
THE INTERSTATE 25 CORRIDOR AND WESTWARD. THE MAIN THUNDERSTORM
THREATS WILL BE LOCALLY GUSTY WINDS AROUND 40 MPH AND
LIGHTNING. HOWEVER...SOME OF THE STRONGER STORMS COULD PRODUCE
SMALL HAIL AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY OR TONIGHT.

$$

88/88

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
731 AM MST TUE SEP 16 2014

AZZ004>018-037>040-171015-
KAIBAB PLATEAU-MARBLE AND GLEN CANYONS-GRAND CANYON COUNTRY-
COCONINO PLATEAU-YAVAPAI COUNTY MOUNTAINS-
NORTHEAST PLATEAUS AND MESAS HWY 264 NORTHWARD-CHINLE VALLEY-
CHUSKA MOUNTAINS AND DEFIANCE PLATEAU-
LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN COCONINO COUNTY-
LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN NAVAJO COUNTY-
LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN APACHE COUNTY-
WESTERN MOGOLLON RIM-EASTERN MOGOLLON RIM-WHITE MOUNTAINS-
NORTHERN GILA COUNTY-YAVAPAI COUNTY VALLEYS AND BASINS-
OAK CREEK AND SYCAMORE CANYONS-BLACK MESA AREA-
NORTHEAST PLATEAUS AND MESAS SOUTH OF HWY 264-
731 AM MST TUE SEP 16 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR APACHE...COCONINO...
NORTHERN GILA...NAVAJO...AND YAVAPAI COUNTIES IN NORTHERN
ARIZONA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT AND TONIGHT

INCREASING MOISTURE WILL BRING SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
TO THE AREA TODAY AND TONIGHT...ESPECIALLY ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE
I-40 CORRIDOR. STORM ACTIVITY NORTH OF I-40 WILL BE MORE ISOLATED
WITH THE LEAST AMOUNT OF COVERAGE NEAR THE UTAH BORDER.

TROPICAL MOISTURE OVER SOUTHERN ARIZONA WILL SLOWLY MOVE NORTHWARD
AND STORMS SOUTH OF MOGOLLON RIM TODAY WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
TORRENTIAL RAINFALL AND HAIL UP TO AN INCH IN DIAMETER. LOCALIZED
FLOODING IS POSSIBLE IN THE HEAVIER SHOWERS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

DEEP MOISTURE FROM TROPICAL STORM ODILE WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA
WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM
MST WEDNESDAY THROUGH 6 PM MST THURSDAY FOR AREAS ROUGHLY ALONG AND
SOUTH OF THE I-40 CORRIDOR. SEE TEXT PRODUCT PHXFFAFGZ FOR DETAILS.

THE EXACT PATH AND TIMING ARE NOT CLEAR. PLEASE MONITOR THE LATEST
FORECASTS AND FLASH FLOOD WATCHES FOR CHANGES IN TIMING AND OR AREAL
COVERAGE AS THIS EVENT UNFOLDS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

$$

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
531 AM MDT TUE SEP 16 2014

COZ001>014-017>023-UTZ022>025-027>029-171200-
LOWER YAMPA RIVER BASIN-CENTRAL YAMPA RIVER BASIN-
ROAN AND TAVAPUTS PLATEAUS-ELKHEAD AND PARK MOUNTAINS-
UPPER YAMPA RIVER BASIN-GRAND VALLEY-DEBEQUE TO SILT CORRIDOR-
CENTRAL COLORADO RIVER BASIN-GRAND AND BATTLEMENT MESAS-
GORE AND ELK MOUNTAINS/CENTRAL MOUNTAIN VALLEYS-
CENTRAL GUNNISON AND UNCOMPAHGRE RIVER BASIN-
WEST ELK AND SAWATCH MOUNTAINS-FLATTOPS-
UPPER GUNNISON RIVER VALLEY-UNCOMPAHGRE PLATEAU AND DALLAS DIVIDE-
NORTHWEST SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS-SOUTHWEST SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS-
PARADOX VALLEY/LOWER DOLORES RIVER-
FOUR CORNERS/UPPER DOLORES RIVER-ANIMAS RIVER BASIN-
SAN JUAN RIVER BASIN-SOUTHEAST UTAH-EASTERN UINTA MOUNTAINS-
EASTERN UINTA BASIN-TAVAPUTS PLATEAU-ARCHES/GRAND FLAT-
LA SAL AND ABAJO MOUNTAINS-CANYONLANDS/NATURAL BRIDGES-
531 AM MDT TUE SEP 16 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EASTERN UTAH AND WESTERN
COLORADO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A FEW SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP OVER THE MOUNTAINS
THIS AFTERNOON...ESPECIALLY SOUTH AND COME TO AN END SHORTLY AFTER
SUNSET THIS EVENING. GUSTY WINDS TO 40 MPH...SMALL HAIL AND BRIEF
HEAVY RAIN WILL ACCOMPANY THE STORMS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

A FEW MOUNTAIN THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. THE
CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE FROM THE
SOUTH THURSDAY AFTERNOON AS BETTER MOISTURE MOVES IN FROM THE SOUTH.
A PACIFIC STORM WILL MOVE INTO THE GREAT BASIN LATE THIS
WEEK...BRINGING A CHANCE OF MAINLY MOUNTAIN SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THIS WEEKEND.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

$$

U.S. Dept. of Commerce
NOAA National Weather Service
1325 East West Highway
Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: June 2, 2009
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE: for Safety, for Work, for Fun - FOR LIFE