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HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
602 AM MDT FRI AUG 1 2014

NMZ501>540-021200-
NORTHWEST PLATEAU-CHUSKA MOUNTAINS-FAR NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-
NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-WEST CENTRAL PLATEAU-WEST CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-
WEST CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS-
SAN FRANCISCO RIVER VALLEY-SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS-JEMEZ MOUNTAINS-
WEST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 9500 FEET/RED RIVER-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 9500 FEET-
EAST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-
LOWER CHAMA RIVER VALLEY-SANTA FE METRO AREA-ALBUQUERQUE METRO AREA-
LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-SANDIA/MANZANO MOUNTAINS-ESTANCIA VALLEY-
CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-SOUTH CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-UPPER TULAROSA VALLEY-
SOUTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-RATON RIDGE/JOHNSON MESA-
FAR NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-UNION COUNTY-
HARDING COUNTY-EASTERN SAN MIGUEL COUNTY-GUADALUPE COUNTY-
QUAY COUNTY-CURRY COUNTY-ROOSEVELT COUNTY-DE BACA COUNTY-
CHAVES COUNTY PLAINS-EASTERN LINCOLN COUNTY-SOUTHWEST CHAVES COUNTY-
602 AM MDT FRI AUG 1 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH AND CENTRAL
NEW MEXICO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A SLOW MOVING UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL INTERACT WITH ABUNDANT
MOISTURE TO PRODUCE A BETTER RISK OF FLASH FLOODING THIS AFTERNOON
AND TONIGHT THAN NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEW MEXICO HAS SEEN IN THE
PAST FEW DAYS. THE GREATEST RISK WILL BE ALONG THE CONTINENTAL
DIVIDE AND EASTWARD TO THE WESTERN HIGH PLAINS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

A VERY MOIST ATMOSPHERE WILL REMAIN IN PLACE THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
MUCH OF THE ENERGY FROM THE UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE THAT PASSES
SOUTH AND SOUTHEASTWARD INTO NEW MEXICO TODAY AND TONIGHT SHOULD
SHIFT WESTWARD OVER SOUTHERN PARTS OF THE FORECAST AREA SATURDAY
BRINGING THE BEST CHANCE OF HEAVY RAIN AND FLASH FLOODING TO THE
SOUTHERN TIER OF MOUNTAINS AND LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY. THE BEST
POTENTIAL FOR FLASH FLOODING SHOULD THEN FAVOR THE CONTINENTAL
DIVIDE REGION TO THE ARIZONA BORDER SUNDAY AND MONDAY AS A SLOW
MOVING SUBTROPICAL WAVE MIGRATES NORTHWARD WEST OF NEW
MEXICO...THEN EASTWARD NORTH OF NEW MEXICO...STEERING A ROBUST
MONSOON MOISTURE PLUME OVERHEAD.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT RAINFALL AMOUNTS AND ANY FLOODING
THROUGH THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE WEB SITE AT
WEATHER.GOV/ABQ OR BY CALLING 1.888.386.7637.

$$

44

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
925 PM CDT FRI AUG 1 2014

NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-057>063-067>070-074-075-
079>082-258-030230-
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF EDDY COUNTY-EDDY COUNTY PLAINS-
NORTHERN LEA COUNTY-CENTRAL LEA COUNTY-SOUTHERN LEA COUNTY-GAINES-
DAWSON-BORDEN-SCURRY-ANDREWS-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL-
VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS-
LOVING-WINKLER-ECTOR-MIDLAND-GLASSCOCK-WARD-CRANE-UPTON-REAGAN-
DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA-PECOS-PRESIDIO VALLEY-MARFA PLATEAU-
BIG BEND AREA-TERRELL-GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-
925 PM CDT FRI AUG 1 2014 /825 PM MDT FRI AUG 1 2014/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST NEW
MEXICO...SOUTHWEST TEXAS AND WEST TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...SOME WITH HEAVY RAIN...WILL BE MORE
LIKELY AFTER MIDNIGHT FROM THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS THROUGH THE
DAVIS MOUNTAINS TO THE PRESIDIO VALLEY AND A FLASH FLOOD WATCH
IS IN EFFECT THERE. ADDITIONAL RISES IN THE RIO GRANDE ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE DUE TO THE HEAVY RAIN. ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE ACROSS THE PLAINS OF SOUTHEAST NEW
MEXICO AND MAINLY WEST OF THE PECOS RIVER IN SOUTHWEST TEXAS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE INTO THE DAY SATURDAY
FROM THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS...ACROSS THE DAVIS MOUNTAINS AND
SOUTH TO THE PRESIDIO VALLEY. WITH THE THREAT FOR HEAVY RAIN
CONTINUING...A FLASH FLOOD WATCH WILL CONTINUE THROUGH SATURDAY
AFTERNOON FOR THESE AREAS. RISES IN THE RIO GRANDE ARE POSSIBLE
DUE TO THE HEAVY RAIN. ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WILL AGAIN BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE PLAINS OF
SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO AND MAINLY WEST OF THE PECOS RIVER IN
SOUTHWEST TEXAS SATURDAY.

THE CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DECREASE ON SUNDAY
WITH ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MAINLY WEST
OF THE PECOS RIVER.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

$$
THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
MIDLAND CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT /LOWER CASE/
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MIDLAND

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
552 PM MDT FRI AUG 1 2014

COZ058>089-093>099-030000-
WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST LAKE COUNTY ABOVE 11000 FT-
LEADVILLE VICINITY/LAKE COUNTY BELOW 11000 FT-
EASTERN SAWATCH MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
WESTERN CHAFFEE COUNTY BETWEEN 9000 AND 11000 FT-
CENTRAL CHAFFEE COUNTY BELOW 9000 FT-
WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST CHAFFEE COUNTY ABOVE 9000 FT-
SAGUACHE COUNTY WEST OF CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BELOW 10000 FT-
SAGUACHE COUNTY EAST OF CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BELOW 10000 FT-
LA GARITA MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY/EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS BELOW 10000 FT-
EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
DEL NORTE VICINITY/NORTHERN SAN LUIS VALLEY BELOW 8500 FT-
ALAMOSA VICINITY/CENTRAL SAN LUIS VALLEY BELOW 8500 FT-
SOUTHERN SAN LUIS VALLEY-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 8500 AND 11000 FT-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FEET-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 7500 AND 11000 FT-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
NORTHWESTERN FREMONT COUNTY ABOVE 8500 FT-
WESTERN/CENTRAL FREMONT COUNTY BELOW 8500 FT-
WET MOUNTAIN VALLEY BELOW 8500 FEET-
WET MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 6300 AND 10000 FT-
WET MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
TELLER COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE ABOVE 7500 FT/PIKES PEAK BETWEEN
7500 AND 11000 FT-PIKES PEAK ABOVE 11000 FT-
CANON CITY VICINITY/EASTERN FREMONT COUNTY-
NORTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/MONUMENT RIDGE/RAMPART RANGE BELOW
7500 FT-
COLORADO SPRINGS VICINITY/SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE
BELOW 7400 FT-PUEBLO AND VICINITY/PUEBLO COUNTY BELOW 6300 FT-
WALSENBURG VICINITY/UPPER HUERFANO RIVER BASIN BELOW 7500 FT-
TRINIDAD VICINITY/WESTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY BELOW 7500 FT-
CROWLEY COUNTY-LA JUNTA VICINITY/OTERO COUNTY-
EASTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY-WESTERN KIOWA COUNTY-
EASTERN KIOWA COUNTY-LAS ANIMAS VICINITY/BENT COUNTY-
LAMAR VICINITY/PROWERS COUNTY-SPRINGFIELD VICINITY/BACA COUNTY-
552 PM MDT FRI AUG 1 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL...EAST
CENTRAL...SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST COLORADO.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

A FEW STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH TONIGHT...MAINLY OVER
THE SOUTHERN MOUNTAINS AND CONTINENTAL DIVIDE. MAIN THREATS
WILL BE LIGHTNING AND BRIEF HEAVY RAINFALL.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED SATURDAY THROUGH
MONDAY OVER THE MOUNTAINS AND ADJACENT LOWER ELEVATIONS. TUESDAY
THROUGH THURSDAY...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED OVER THE
MOUNTAINS AND ADJACENT AREAS...WITH ISOLATED TO SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE SOUTHEAST PLAINS.

LIGHTNING AND GUSTY WINDS WILL BE THE MAIN THUNDERSTORM THREATS.
HOWEVER...SOME OF THE STRONGER STORMS WILL ALSO BE CAPABLE OF
PRODUCING LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN AND SMALL HAIL. WITH INCREASED
MOISTURE AND UPSLOPE WINDS ON WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY... THE I-25
CORRIDOR AND SOUTHEAST PLAINS MAY SEE A BETTER CHANCE FOR HEAVY
RAIN.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS WILL NOT BE NEEDED TONIGHT.

$$

44/44

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
1157 AM MDT FRI AUG 1 2014

NMZ401>417-TXZ418>424-021800-
UPPER GILA RIVER VALLEY-SOUTHERN GILA HIGHLANDS/BLACK RANGE-
SOUTHERN GILA FOOTHILLS/MIMBRES VALLEY-
SOUTHWEST DESERT/LOWER GILA RIVER VALLEY-LOWLANDS OF THE BOOTHEEL-
UPLANDS OF THE BOOTHEEL-SOUTHWEST DESERT/MIMBRES BASIN-
EASTERN BLACK RANGE FOOTHILLS-SIERRA COUNTY LAKES-
NORTHERN DONA ANA COUNTY-SOUTHERN DONA ANA COUNTY/MESILLA VALLEY-
CENTRAL TULAROSA BASIN-SOUTHERN TULAROSA BASIN-
WEST SLOPES SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS BELOW 7500 FEET-
SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 7500 FEET-
EAST SLOPES SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS BELOW 7500 FEET-OTERO MESA-
WESTERN EL PASO COUNTY-EASTERN/CENTRAL EL PASO COUNTY-
NORTHERN HUDSPETH HIGHLANDS/HUECO MOUNTAINS-SALT BASIN-
SOUTHERN HUDSPETH HIGHLANDS-
RIO GRANDE VALLEY OF EASTERN EL PASO/WESTERN HUDSPETH COUNTIES-
RIO GRANDE VALLEY OF EASTERN HUDSPETH COUNTY-
1157 AM MDT FRI AUG 1 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NM AND TX.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL INCREASE IN COVERAGE THIS
AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. SOME OF THE STORMS WILL PRODUCE PERIODS OF
MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINFALL RESULTING IN EXCESSIVE RUNOFF AND FLASH FLOODING
ALONG DRAINAGES AND LOW WATER CROSSINGS. AREAS WHICH HAVE RECEIVED
2 OR MORE INCHES FROM RECENT HEAVY RAINS WILL BE ESPECIALLY PRONE
TO FLOODING. THE STORMS MAY ALSO PRODUCE SMALL HAIL AND WIND
GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY
NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING HEAVY
RAINFALL WILL OCCUR SATURDAY AND SUNDAY...SHIFTING TO THE WEST OF
THE RIO GRANDE MONDAY. WITH THE GROUND ALREADY SOAKED FROM PREVIOUS
RAINFALLS...THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR EXCESSIVE RAIN RUNOFF TO
CAUSE FLOODING ALONG DRAINAGES...SMALL STREAMS...ARROYOS AND AT
LOW WATER CROSSINGS. POORLY DRAINED LOW LYING AREAS AND ROADS WILL
HAVE INCREASED PONDING OF WATER. RAINS THROUGH SUNDAY ARE
PROJECTED TO BE BETWEEN AND INCH AND A HALF TO THREE INCHES.
DRIER AIR WILL MOVE INTO EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE AREA BY
MONDAY...WITH HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL LIMITED TO PORTIONS OF
SOUTHWEST NEW MEXICO THAT DAY. TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY THERE WILL
BE THUNDERSTORMS SCATTERED OVER THE MOUNTAINS AND ISOLATED IN THE
LOWLANDS...WHICH IS MORE TYPICAL DURING MONSOON SEASON.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS SHOULD REPORT ANY OBSERVED HAZARDOUS WEATHER OR FLOODING
TO THIS OFFICE AND LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT.

$$

FAUSETT

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
1006 AM MST FRI AUG 1 2014

AZZ004>018-037>040-020645-
KAIBAB PLATEAU-MARBLE AND GLEN CANYONS-GRAND CANYON COUNTRY-
COCONINO PLATEAU-YAVAPAI COUNTY MOUNTAINS-
NORTHEAST PLATEAUS AND MESAS HWY 264 NORTHWARD-CHINLE VALLEY-
CHUSKA MOUNTAINS AND DEFIANCE PLATEAU-
LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN COCONINO COUNTY-
LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN NAVAJO COUNTY-
LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN APACHE COUNTY-
WESTERN MOGOLLON RIM-EASTERN MOGOLLON RIM-WHITE MOUNTAINS-
NORTHERN GILA COUNTY-YAVAPAI COUNTY VALLEYS AND BASINS-
OAK CREEK AND SYCAMORE CANYONS-BLACK MESA AREA-
NORTHEAST PLATEAUS AND MESAS SOUTH OF HWY 264-
1006 AM MST FRI AUG 1 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR APACHE...COCONINO...
NORTHERN GILA...NAVAJO...AND YAVAPAI COUNTIES IN NORTHERN
ARIZONA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A MOIST UNSTABLE AIRMASS WILL LEAD TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORM
DEVELOPMENT TODAY. STORMS WILL GENERALLY MOVE SLOWLY TO THE SOUTH
OR SOUTHWEST...WITH THE AREAS OF GREATEST IMPACT ALONG AND
SOUTHWEST OF THE MOGOLLON RIM (INCLUDING MUCH OF YAVAPAI COUNTY).
HEAVY RAIN AND LOCALIZED FLOODING ARE THE GREATEST THREATS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

DEEP MOISTURE FROM THE SOUTH WILL KEEP SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER NORTHERN ARIZONA THROUGH SUNDAY.
HEAVY RAIN WILL OCCUR WITH THE STRONGEST STORMS...WITH AREAS OF
LOCALIZED FLOODING THE GREATEST THREAT THIS WEEKEND. EXPECT A
DOWNWARD TREND IN THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY EARLY NEXT WEEK AS DRIER
AIR MOVES INTO THE AREA.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

$$

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
535 AM MDT FRI AUG 1 2014

COZ001>014-017>023-UTZ022>025-027>029-021200-
LOWER YAMPA RIVER BASIN-CENTRAL YAMPA RIVER BASIN-
ROAN AND TAVAPUTS PLATEAUS-ELKHEAD AND PARK MOUNTAINS-
UPPER YAMPA RIVER BASIN-GRAND VALLEY-DEBEQUE TO SILT CORRIDOR-
CENTRAL COLORADO RIVER BASIN-GRAND AND BATTLEMENT MESAS-
GORE AND ELK MOUNTAINS/CENTRAL MOUNTAIN VALLEYS-
CENTRAL GUNNISON AND UNCOMPAHGRE RIVER BASIN-
WEST ELK AND SAWATCH MOUNTAINS-FLATTOPS-
UPPER GUNNISON RIVER VALLEY-UNCOMPAHGRE PLATEAU AND DALLAS DIVIDE-
NORTHWEST SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS-SOUTHWEST SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS-
PARADOX VALLEY/LOWER DOLORES RIVER-
FOUR CORNERS/UPPER DOLORES RIVER-ANIMAS RIVER BASIN-
SAN JUAN RIVER BASIN-SOUTHEAST UTAH-EASTERN UINTA MOUNTAINS-
EASTERN UINTA BASIN-TAVAPUTS PLATEAU-ARCHES/GRAND FLAT-
LA SAL AND ABAJO MOUNTAINS-CANYONLANDS/NATURAL BRIDGES-
535 AM MDT FRI AUG 1 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EASTERN UTAH AND WESTERN
COLORADO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
TONIGHT..MOST NUMEROUS OVER THE SOUTHERN MOUNTAINS. GUSTY WINDS TO
45 MPH...SMALL HAIL AND HEAVY RAIN WILL ACCOMPANY THE STRONGEST
STORMS. COVERAGE OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL DIMINISH AFTER 9 PM MDT
THIS EVENING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE ON
SATURDAY. BY SUNDAY...ANOTHER SURGE OF DEEP MONSOONAL MOISTURE
WILL SPREAD OVER THE AREA...BRINGING ANOTHER ROUND OF HEAVY RAIN
PRODUCING THUNDERSTORMS TO MUCH OF EASTERN UTAH AND WESTERN
COLORADO LATE SUNDAY THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY. LOCALIZED FLASH
FLOODING ALONG WITH MUD AND ROCK SLIDES MAY RETURN TO THE REGION
AS THIS DEEPER MOISTURE MOVES IN.

MOISTURE WILL SLOWLY DISSIPATE WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY...WITH
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS BECOMING MORE ISOLATED IN NATURE AND
CONFINED TO THE HIGHER MOUNTAINS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

$$

U.S. Dept. of Commerce
NOAA National Weather Service
1325 East West Highway
Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: June 2, 2009
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE: for Safety, for Work, for Fun - FOR LIFE