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Hazardous Weather Outlook


Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
355 AM MDT Tue Jul 25 2017

NMZ501>540-261000-
Northwest Plateau-Chuska Mountains-Far Northwest Highlands-
Northwest Highlands-West Central Plateau-West Central Mountains-
West Central Highlands-Southwest Mountains-
San Francisco River Valley-San Juan Mountains-Jemez Mountains-
West Slopes Sangre de Cristo Mountains-
Northern Sangre de Cristos above 9500 feet/Red River-
Southern Sangre de Cristos above 9500 feet-
East Slopes Sangre de Cristo Mountains-Upper Rio Grande Valley-
Lower Chama River Valley-Santa Fe Metro Area-
Middle Rio Grande Valley/Albuquerque Metro Area-
Lower Rio Grande Valley-Sandia/Manzano Mountains-Estancia Valley-
Central Highlands-South Central Highlands-Upper Tularosa Valley-
South Central Mountains-Raton Ridge/Johnson Mesa-
Far Northeast Highlands-Northeast Highlands-Union County-
Harding County-Eastern San Miguel County-Guadalupe County-
Quay County-Curry County-Roosevelt County-De Baca County-
Chaves County Plains-Eastern Lincoln County-Southwest Chaves County-
355 AM MDT Tue Jul 25 2017

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of north and central
New Mexico.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

No hazardous weather is expected.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday

Heavy rainfall will favor eastern and central areas Wednesday night
through Friday. Localized flash flooding may occur during this
period.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated.

$$

50

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
338 PM CDT Tue Jul 25 2017

OKZ001>003-TXZ001>020-260845-
Cimarron-Texas-Beaver-Dallam-Sherman-Hansford-Ochiltree-Lipscomb-
Hartley-Moore-Hutchinson-Roberts-Hemphill-Oldham-Potter-Carson-
Gray-Wheeler-Deaf Smith-Randall-Armstrong-Donley-Collingsworth-
338 PM CDT Tue Jul 25 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Texas and Oklahoma
Panhandles.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.

Isolated small chances for thunderstorms are possible late this
afternoon into early evening, mainly across western and
northwestern parts of the Panhandles. Storms are not expected to
be severe.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Thunderstorms will be possible across the Oklahoma and Texas
Panhandles Wednesday through Monday. A few storms that develop
will have the potential to become strong, with gusty winds and
small hail the primary hazards.

For the Wednesday late afternoon through Thursday timeframe, there
is the potential for storms to produce localized moderate to heavy
rainfall across western and central parts of the Oklahoma
Panhandle, as well as northern and northwestern parts of the Texas
Panhandle. Or in other words, showers and thunderstorms that
develop across northwestern parts of the forecast area have the
potential to produce localized flooding Wednesday night into
Thursday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated at this time.

$$

Guerrero

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
145 PM CDT Tue Jul 25 2017

NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-057>063-067>070-074-075-
079>082-258-261845-
Guadalupe Mountains of Eddy County-Eddy County Plains-
Northern Lea County-Central Lea County-Southern Lea County-Gaines-
Dawson-Borden-Scurry-Andrews-Martin-Howard-Mitchell-
Van Horn and Highway 54 Corridor-Reeves County and Upper Trans Pecos-
Loving-Winkler-Ector-Midland-Glasscock-Ward-Crane-Upton-Reagan-
Davis/Apache Mountains Area-Pecos-Presidio Valley-Marfa Plateau-
Big Bend Area-Terrell-Guadalupe Mountains-
145 PM CDT Tue Jul 25 2017 /1245 PM MDT Tue Jul 25 2017/

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of southeast New
Mexico, southwest Texas and western Texas.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

Scattered thunderstorms this afternoon and evening, mainly over the
higher terrain of the Guadalupe and Davis Mountains, could produce
locally heavy rainfall and gusty winds. Storms will be more isolated
across the plains of southeast New Mexico and the northern Permian
Basin.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated.

$$

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories,
and statements issued by the National Weather Service Office in
Midland, can be found on the internet at...
http://weather.gov/midland

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service El Paso Tx/Santa Teresa NM
1126 AM MDT Tue Jul 25 2017

NMZ401>417-TXZ418>424-261730-
Upper Gila River Valley-Southern Gila Highlands/Black Range-
Southern Gila Foothills/Mimbres Valley-
Southwest Desert/Lower Gila River Valley-Lowlands of the Bootheel-
Uplands of the Bootheel-Southwest Desert/Mimbres Basin-
Eastern Black Range Foothills-Sierra County Lakes-
Northern Dona Ana County-Southern Dona Ana County/Mesilla Valley-
Central Tularosa Basin-Southern Tularosa Basin-
West Slopes Sacramento Mountains Below 7500 Feet-
Sacramento Mountains Above 7500 Feet-
East Slopes Sacramento Mountains Below 7500 Feet-Otero Mesa-
Western El Paso County-Eastern/Central El Paso County-
Northern Hudspeth Highlands/Hueco Mountains-Salt Basin-
Southern Hudspeth Highlands-
Rio Grande Valley of Eastern El Paso/Western Hudspeth Counties-
Rio Grande Valley of Eastern Hudspeth County-
1126 AM MDT Tue Jul 25 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of south central
New Mexico, southwest New Mexico, and southwest Texas.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight
We will continue to see a chance for afternoon and evening
thunderstorms today. A few storms may produce rainfall rates of 1
to 3 inches of rain an hour, which could lead to some isolated
flash

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday
We will continue to see a chance for afternoon and evening
thunderstorms through the first part of next week. We could see
some lower rain chances for locations east of the Rio Grande by
the end of the weekend into the first part of next week. But the
threat for isolated flash flooding will continue west of the Rio
Grande.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotters can report significant weather via our spotter 800 number
or via Twitter using our office username @NWSElPaso.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
1116 AM MDT Tue Jul 25 2017

COZ058>089-093>099-261730-
Western Mosquito Range/East Lake County Above 11000 Ft-
Leadville Vicinity/Lake County Below 11000 Ft-
Eastern Sawatch Mountains above 11000 Ft-
Western Chaffee County Between 9000 and 11000 Ft-
Central Chaffee County Below 9000 Ft-
Western Mosquito Range/East Chaffee County above 9000Ft-
Saguache County West of Continental Divide Below 10000 Ft-
Saguache County East of Continental Divide below 10000 Ft-
La Garita Mountains Above 10000 Ft-
Upper Rio Grande Valley/Eastern San Juan Mountains Below 10000 Ft-
Eastern San Juan Mountains Above 10000 Ft-
Del Norte Vicinity/Northern San Luis Valley Below 8500 Ft-
Alamosa  Vicinity/Central San Luis Valley Below 8500 Ft-
Southern San Luis Valley-
Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Between 8500 And 11000 Ft-
Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains above 11000 Ft-
Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Between 7500 and 11000 Ft-
Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Above 11000 Ft-
Northwestern Fremont County  Above 8500Ft-
Western/Central Fremont County Below 8500 Ft-
Wet Mountain Valley Below 8500 Ft-
Wet Mountains between 6300 and 10000Ft-
Wet Mountains above 10000 Ft-
Teller County/Rampart Range above 7500fT/Pike`s Peak Between
7500 And 11000 Ft-Pikes Peak above 11000 Ft-
Canon City Vicinity/Eastern Fremont County-
Northern El Paso County/Monument Ridge/Rampart Range Below
7500 Ft-
Colorado Springs Vicinity/Southern El Paso County/Rampart Range
Below 7400 Ft-Pueblo Vicinity/Pueblo County Below 6300 Feet-
Walsenburg Vicinity/Upper Huerfano River Basin Below 7500 Ft-
Trinidad Vicinity/Western Las Animas County Below 7500 Ft-
Crowley County-La Junta Vicinity/Otero County-
Eastern Las Animas County-Western Kiowa County-
Eastern Kiowa County-Las Animas Vicinity/Bent County-
Lamar Vicinity/Prowers County-Springfield Vicinity/Baca County-
1116 AM MDT Tue Jul 25 2017

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central...east
central...south central and southeast Colorado.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Scattered afternoon and evening thunderstorms are expected across
the mountains today, with isolated to scattered thunderstorms
across the plains. The main threat with thunderstorms today will
be locally heavy rainfall, wind gusts up to 50 mph and lightning.
Some brief small hail up to the size of dimes will also be
possible with some of the stronger storms. Localized flash
flooding will be a risk on area burn scars should they be
impacted by a stronger storm.

One or two storms over the eastern plains north of a line from
Colorado Springs to La Junta to Lamar could briefly reach severe
limits late this afternoon through this evening producing hail up
to 1 inch in diameter and wind gusts up to 60 mph.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday

Increased thunderstorm activity and coverage remains on tap
for Wednesday through Friday. Thunderstorm chances are then
expected to slowly taper off and retreat to the higher terrain
once again through the weekend and into early next week. Any
storms that develop may produce gusty winds, heavy rainfall and
lightning.

There will also be an increased concern for the potential of
flash flooding in the Wedensday through Friday timeframe,
especially across burn scars, urban areas and other areas near
the higher terrain.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather conditions that meet reporting criteria for spotters will be
possible this afternoon and evening across most of southern
Colorado.

$$

31/31

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
407 AM MST Tue Jul 25 2017

AZZ004>018-037>040-260200-
Kaibab Plateau-Marble and Glen Canyons-Grand Canyon Country-
Coconino Plateau-Yavapai County Mountains-
Northeast Plateaus and Mesas Hwy 264 Northward-Chinle Valley-
Chuska Mountains and Defiance Plateau-
Little Colorado River Valley in Coconino County-
Little Colorado River Valley in Navajo County-
Little Colorado River Valley in Apache County-
Western Mogollon Rim-Eastern Mogollon Rim-White Mountains-
Northern Gila County-Yavapai County Valleys and Basins-
Oak Creek and Sycamore Canyons-Black Mesa Area-
Northeast Plateaus and Mesas South of Hwy 264-
407 AM MST Tue Jul 25 2017

This hazardous weather outlook is for Apache...Coconino...
Northern Gila...Navajo...and Yavapai Counties in Northern
Arizona.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Deep monsoon moisture will remain over northern Arizona today.
Expect another round of scattered showers and thunderstorms into
early evening, with the highest chances over Coconino and Yavapai
Counties. A few of the storms could produce heavy rainfall and
localized flooding.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday

A decrease in storm coverage is expected Wednesday and Thursday
before ramping back up by Friday and the Weekend.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service GRAND JUNCTION CO
350 AM MDT Tue Jul 25 2017

COZ001>014-017>023-UTZ022>025-027>029-261000-
Lower Yampa River Basin-Central Yampa River Basin-
Roan and Tavaputs Plateaus-Elkhead and Park Mountains-
Upper Yampa River Basin-Grand Valley-Debeque to Silt Corridor-
Central Colorado River Basin-Grand and Battlement Mesas-
Gore and Elk Mountains/Central Mountain Valleys-
Central Gunnison and Uncompahgre River Basin-
West Elk and Sawatch Mountains-Flat Tops-
Upper Gunnison River Valley-Uncompahgre Plateau and Dallas Divide-
Northwest San Juan Mountains-Southwest San Juan Mountains-
Paradox Valley/Lower Dolores River-
Four Corners/Upper Dolores River-Animas River Basin-
San Juan River Basin-Southeast Utah-Eastern Uinta Mountains-
Eastern Uinta Basin-Tavaputs Plateau-Arches/Grand Flat-
La Sal and Abajo Mountains-Canyonlands/Natural Bridges-
350 AM MDT Tue Jul 25 2017

This hazardous weather outlook is for eastern Utah and western
Colorado.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Thunderstorms will once again develop during the afternoon hours
today. Heavy rainfall will be the main threat with any
thunderstorm, along with a few wind gusts over 30 mph. Flash
flooding is possible with any slower moving thunderstorm,
especially near dry riverbeds or smaller streams.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday

Slightly drier air will work into the region by midweek,
however the threat for showers and thunderstorms in the high
country will continue.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected today or tonight, however
spotters are encouraged to relay rainfall amounts or any observed
flooding to the National Weather Service in Grand Junction.

$$

U.S. Dept. of Commerce
NOAA National Weather Service
1325 East West Highway
Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: June 2, 2009
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