Flash Flood Warning
Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Binghamton NY
649 PM EDT Sun Jul 13 2025
NYC007-015-107-109-140130-
/O.CON.KBGM.FF.W.0050.000000T0000Z-250714T0130Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Broome NY-Chemung NY-Tioga NY-Tompkins NY-
649 PM EDT Sun Jul 13 2025
...FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 930 PM EDT THIS
EVENING FOR NORTHWESTERN BROOME, NORTHEASTERN CHEMUNG, TIOGA AND
SOUTHEASTERN TOMPKINS COUNTIES...
At 649 PM EDT, Local law enforcement reported on going flash
flooding due thunderstorms producing heavy rain across the warned
area. Between 2 and 3.5 inches of rain have fallen. The expected
rainfall rate is 1 to 2 inches in 1 hour. Additional rainfall
amounts of 1 to 3 inches are possible in the warned area. Flash
flooding is ongoing or expected to begin shortly.
HAZARD...Life threatening flash flooding. Thunderstorms producing
flash flooding.
SOURCE...Law enforcement reported.
IMPACT...Life threatening flash flooding of creeks and streams,
urban areas, highways, streets and underpasses.
Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
Greater Binghamton Airport, Danby, Caroline, Erin, Nanticoke,
Berkshire, Richford, Newark Valley, Whitney Point, Candor, Spencer,
Van Etten, Lisle, Willseyville, Slaterville Springs, South Danby,
Brooktondale, Union Center, Maine and Jenksville.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Turn around, don`t drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.
Be aware of your surroundings and do not drive on flooded roads.
In hilly terrain there are hundreds of low water crossings which are
potentially dangerous in heavy rain. Do not attempt to cross flooded
roads. Find an alternate route.
&&
LAT...LON 4241 7629 4241 7587 4236 7586 4225 7591
4216 7601 4213 7619 4212 7651 4215 7655
4215 7665 4219 7670 4224 7666 4223 7664
4225 7662 4228 7662 4237 7651
FLASH FLOOD...OBSERVED
FLASH FLOOD DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE
EXPECTED RAINFALL RATE...1-2 INCHES IN 1 HOUR
$$
MJM
Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Binghamton NY
606 PM EDT Sun Jul 13 2025
NYC065-132330-
/O.CON.KBGM.FF.W.0049.000000T0000Z-250713T2330Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Oneida NY-
606 PM EDT Sun Jul 13 2025
...FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 730 PM EDT THIS
EVENING FOR NORTHERN ONEIDA COUNTY...
At 606 PM EDT, Doppler radar indicated thunderstorms producing heavy
rain across the warned area. Between 2 and 3.5 inches of rain have
fallen. The expected rainfall rate is 0.75 to 1.5 inches in 1 hour.
Additional rainfall amounts of 0.5 to 1.5 inches are possible in the
warned area. Flash flooding is ongoing or expected to begin shortly.
HAZARD...Flash flooding caused by thunderstorms.
SOURCE...Radar.
IMPACT...Flash flooding of small creeks and streams, urban areas,
highways, streets and underpasses as well as other poor
drainage and low-lying areas.
Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
Rome, Lee, Taberg, Blossvale, Alder Creek, Ava, Stokes Corner, Point
Rock, Westernville, North Western, Frenchville, Pixley Falls State
Park and Glenmore.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Turn around, don`t drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.
Be aware of your surroundings and do not drive on flooded roads.
Flooding is occurring or is imminent. It is important to know where
you are relative to streams, rivers, or creeks which can become
killers in heavy rains. Campers and hikers should avoid streams or
creeks.
&&
LAT...LON 4330 7541 4329 7547 4326 7553 4325 7557
4322 7562 4330 7575 4343 7557 4343 7556
4342 7555 4342 7553 4344 7549 4347 7543
4346 7527 4342 7519 4334 7522 4332 7530
4331 7539
FLASH FLOOD...RADAR INDICATED
EXPECTED RAINFALL RATE...0.75-1.5 INCHES IN 1 HOUR
$$
MJM
Flood Watch
Flood Watch
National Weather Service Albany NY
622 PM EDT Sun Jul 13 2025
NYZ038-140900-
/O.CON.KALY.FA.A.0006.000000T0000Z-250714T0900Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Southern Herkimer-
Including the cities of Dolgeville, Mohawk, Ilion, Little Falls,
Frankfort, and Herkimer
622 PM EDT Sun Jul 13 2025
...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EDT MONDAY...
* WHAT...Flash flooding caused by excessive rainfall continues to be
possible.
* WHERE...Southern Herkimer County in New York
* WHEN...Until 5 AM EDT Monday.
* IMPACTS...Excessive runoff may result in flooding of rivers,
creeks, streams, and other low-lying and flood-prone locations.
Flooding may occur in poor drainage and urban areas.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- Scattered showers and thunderstorms with heavy downpours will
lead to an increased risk for flash flooding in the western
Mohawk Valley through tonight. Urban, low lying and poor
drainage areas will be most susceptible to flooding.
- http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.
&&
$$
Frugis
Flood Watch
National Weather Service Binghamton NY
617 PM EDT Sun Jul 13 2025
NYZ009-015>018-022>025-036-037-044>046-055>057-062-PAZ038>040-140900-
/O.CON.KBGM.FA.A.0008.000000T0000Z-250714T0900Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Northern Oneida-Yates-Seneca-Southern Cayuga-Onondaga-Steuben-
Schuyler-Chemung-Tompkins-Madison-Southern Oneida-Cortland-
Chenango-Otsego-Tioga-Broome-Delaware-Sullivan-Bradford-
Susquehanna-Northern Wayne-
Including the cities of Auburn, Monticello, Owego, Equinunk,
Sayre, Penn Yan, Delhi, Towanda, Corning, Hamilton, Utica,
Montrose, Norwich, Oneonta, Waverly, Oneida, Syracuse, Hallstead,
Ithaca, Walton, Watkins Glen, Binghamton, Boonville, Rome,
Hornell, Seneca Falls, Cortland, Damascus, and Elmira
617 PM EDT Sun Jul 13 2025
...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EDT MONDAY...
* WHAT...Flash flooding caused by excessive rainfall continues to be
possible.
* WHERE...Portions of central New York, including the following
areas, Broome, Chemung, Chenango, Cortland, Delaware, Madison,
Northern Oneida, Onondaga, Otsego, Schuyler, Seneca, Southern
Cayuga, Southern Oneida, Steuben, Sullivan, Tioga, Tompkins and
Yates and northeast Pennsylvania, including the following areas,
Bradford, Northern Wayne and Susquehanna.
* WHEN...Until 5 AM EDT Monday.
* IMPACTS...Excessive runoff may result in flooding of rivers,
creeks, streams, and other low-lying and flood-prone locations.
Flooding may occur in poor drainage and urban areas.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- https://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.
&&
$$
Kistner
Flood Watch
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
428 PM EDT Sun Jul 13 2025
NYZ003>006-008-013-014-021-140430-
/O.CON.KBUF.FA.A.0008.000000T0000Z-250714T0900Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Monroe-Wayne-Northern Cayuga-Oswego-Lewis-Livingston-Ontario-
Allegany-
Including the cities of Rochester, Newark, Fair Haven, Oswego,
Lowville, Geneseo, Canandaigua, and Wellsville
428 PM EDT Sun Jul 13 2025
...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...
* WHAT...Flash flooding caused by excessive rainfall is possible.
* WHERE...Portions of central and western New York, including the
following counties, in central New York, Lewis, Northern Cayuga
and Oswego. In western New York, Allegany, Livingston, Monroe,
Ontario and Wayne.
* WHEN...Through late tonight.
* IMPACTS...Excessive runoff may result in flooding of rivers,
creeks, streams, and other low-lying and flood-prone locations.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- A slow moving cold front will cross western and north central
New York tonight. Associated showers and thunderstorms will
produce locally heavy rainfall with rainfall rates near, or
exceeding 2" per hour at times. Repeated storms over any
given location will have the potential to lead to poor
drainage flooding and flash flooding.
- http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
You should monitor later forecasts and be alert for possible Flood
Warnings. Those living in areas prone to flooding should be prepared
to take action should flooding develop.
&&
$$
TMA
Flood Watch
National Weather Service State College PA
1032 AM EDT Sun Jul 13 2025
PAZ006-011-012-017>019-024>028-033>037-041-042-045-046-049>053-
056>059-063>066-140245-
/O.NEW.KCTP.FA.A.0020.250713T1700Z-250714T0500Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Potter-Cameron-Northern Clinton-Clearfield-Northern Centre-
Southern Centre-Cambria-Blair-Huntingdon-Mifflin-Juniata-Somerset-
Bedford-Fulton-Franklin-Tioga-Northern Lycoming-Sullivan-Southern
Clinton-Southern Lycoming-Union-Snyder-Montour-Northumberland-
Columbia-Perry-Dauphin-Schuylkill-Lebanon-Cumberland-Adams-York-
Lancaster-
Including the cities of Mansfield, Altoona, Danville,
McConnellsburg, Philipsburg, Bedford, Lancaster, Lewisburg,
Williamsport, DuBois, Hershey, Johnstown, Mifflintown, Lebanon,
Gettysburg, Wellsboro, Berwick, Clearfield, Selinsgrove, Lock
Haven, Lewistown, Huntingdon, Shamokin, Trout Run, Pottsville,
Emporium, Newport, State College, York, Carlisle, Mount Union,
Sunbury, Bloomsburg, Harrisburg, Coudersport, Chambersburg,
Laporte, Renovo, and Somerset
1032 AM EDT Sun Jul 13 2025
...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...
* WHAT...Flash flooding caused by excessive rainfall is possible.
* WHERE...A portion of central Pennsylvania, including the following
areas, Adams, Bedford, Blair, Cambria, Cameron, Clearfield,
Columbia, Cumberland, Dauphin, Franklin, Fulton, Huntingdon,
Juniata, Lancaster, Lebanon, Mifflin, Montour, Northern Centre,
Northern Clinton, Northern Lycoming, Northumberland, Perry,
Potter, Schuylkill, Snyder, Somerset, Southern Centre, Southern
Clinton, Southern Lycoming, Sullivan, Tioga, Union and York.
* WHEN...Through late tonight.
* IMPACTS...Creeks and streams may rise out of their banks. Flooding
may occur in poor drainage and urban areas.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- Very heavy rainfall is expected today from numerous, slow-
moving thunderstorms. The rain and already wet ground in many
locations will cause smaller creeks and streams to flood
quickly.
- http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.
&&
$$
Dangelo
Special Weather Statement
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Burlington VT
620 PM EDT Sun Jul 13 2025
NYZ028-031-034-035-VTZ001-002-005-017-132315-
Eastern Clinton NY-Western Essex NY-Western Clinton NY-
Eastern Essex NY-Western Franklin VT-Grand Isle VT-
Eastern Chittenden VT-Western Chittenden VT-
620 PM EDT Sun Jul 13 2025
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT SOUTHEASTERN CLINTON...
NORTHEASTERN ESSEX...SOUTHWESTERN GRAND ISLE...NORTHWESTERN
CHITTENDEN AND SOUTHWESTERN FRANKLIN COUNTIES THROUGH 715 PM EDT...
At 620 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Peru, moving east at 25 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects.
Locations impacted include...
Essex Junction, South Burlington, Burlington International Airport,
Burlington, Keeseville, Plattsburgh International Airport, AuSable,
Winooski, Colchester, Essex Junction Village, Williston, South Hero,
Peru, Chesterfield, Essex, Milton, Schuyler Falls, Westford,
Richmond, and Shelburne.
This includes the following highways...
Interstate 87 between mile markers 135 and 149.
Interstate 89 between mile markers 79 and 102.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.
If on or near Lake Champlain, get out of the water and move indoors
or inside a vehicle. Remember, lightning can strike out to 10 miles
from the parent thunderstorm. If you can hear thunder, you are close
enough to be struck by lightning. Move to safe shelter now! Do not
be caught on the water in a thunderstorm.
&&
LAT...LON 4445 7365 4465 7362 4465 7302 4441 7302
TIME...MOT...LOC 2220Z 259DEG 20KT 4455 7353
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH
$$
Clay
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Binghamton NY
552 PM EDT Sun Jul 13 2025
NYZ009-015>018-022>025-036-037-044-045-055-056-PAZ038-140100-
Northern Oneida-Yates-Seneca-Southern Cayuga-Onondaga-Steuben-
Schuyler-Chemung-Tompkins-Madison-Southern Oneida-Cortland-
Chenango-Tioga-Broome-Bradford-
552 PM EDT Sun Jul 13 2025
...SCATTERED STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH VERY HEAVY
RAINFALL WILL IMPACT THE AREA THIS EVENING...
Thunderstorms continue to develop across the area and will continue
to move slowly north and eastward into the evening hours. Some
storms will produce torrential downpours, strong gusty winds and
frequent cloud to ground lightning. Isolated to scattered instances
of flash flooding could occur where storms stall, back build or
train over the same locations.
Remain weather aware and have a plan on what to do if strong
thunderstorms or flash flooding strikes. Stay tuned to our
website, weather.gov/bgm, our weather radio or other trusted media
outlets for the latest watch and warning information.
$$
MJM
Hazardous Weather Outlook
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Gray ME
332 PM EDT Sun Jul 13 2025
MEZ012-018>020-033-NHZ003>013-015-141945-
Southern Oxford-Interior York-Central Interior Cumberland-
Androscoggin-Interior Cumberland Highlands-Northern Grafton-
Northern Carroll-Southern Grafton-Southern Carroll-Sullivan-
Merrimack-Belknap-Strafford-Cheshire-Eastern Hillsborough-
Interior Rockingham-Western And Central Hillsborough-
332 PM EDT Sun Jul 13 2025
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Maine, southwest Maine,
western Maine, New Hampshire, central New Hampshire, northern New
Hampshire and southern New Hampshire.
.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.
Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.
Very heavy rainfall from showers and thunderstorms are expected
Monday. Some of the storms could produce torrential downpours, with
isolated to scattered instances of flash flooding possible due to
slow moving or training thunderstorms.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures.
$$
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
228 PM EDT Sun Jul 13 2025
NYZ003>006-008-013-014-021-141830-
Monroe-Wayne-Northern Cayuga-Oswego-Lewis-Livingston-Ontario-
Allegany-
228 PM EDT Sun Jul 13 2025
...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM EDT THIS MORNING THROUGH
LATE TONIGHT...
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western and north
central New York.
.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.
Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.
Flood Watch.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.
Heat indicies could reach into the mid 90s Wednesday.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf
$$
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
228 PM EDT Sun Jul 13 2025
NYZ001-002-007-010>012-019-020-085-141830-
Niagara-Orleans-Jefferson-Northern Erie-Genesee-Wyoming-Chautauqua-
Cattaraugus-Southern Erie-
228 PM EDT Sun Jul 13 2025
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western and north
central New York.
.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.
Slow moving thunderstorms are possible through tonight and may
produce heavy rainfall and localized flash flooding.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.
Heat indicies could reach into the mid 90s Wednesday, especially
along the lake plains and Genesee Valley.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf
$$
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service State College PA
1040 AM EDT Sun Jul 13 2025
PAZ006-011-012-037-041-042-045-046-141445-
Potter-Cameron-Northern Clinton-Tioga-Northern Lycoming-Sullivan-
Southern Clinton-Southern Lycoming-
1040 AM EDT Sun Jul 13 2025
...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Pennsylvania.
.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.
Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to
weather.gov/StateCollege on the internet for more
information about the following hazards.
Flood Watch.
Strong to severe thunderstorms with gusty winds are possible this
afternoon and early tonight.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.
Thunderstorms with very heavy rain are possible. The heavy rain may
lead to minor flooding Thursday and Friday.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
$$
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Binghamton NY
1030 AM EDT Sun Jul 13 2025
NYZ009-015>018-022-023-025-036-037-141430-
Northern Oneida-Yates-Seneca-Southern Cayuga-Onondaga-Steuben-
Schuyler-Tompkins-Madison-Southern Oneida-
1030 AM EDT Sun Jul 13 2025
...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central New York.
.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.
Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.
Flood Watch.
A few thunderstorms can produce gusty to damaging winds as well this
afternoon and evening.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.
Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures. Please relay
any information about severe weather to the NWS.
$$
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Binghamton NY
1030 AM EDT Sun Jul 13 2025
NYZ024-044>046-055>057-062-PAZ038>040-141430-
Chemung-Cortland-Chenango-Otsego-Tioga-Broome-Delaware-Sullivan-
Bradford-Susquehanna-Northern Wayne-
1030 AM EDT Sun Jul 13 2025
...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central New York and
northeast Pennsylvania.
.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.
Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.
Flood Watch.
Some thunderstorms could produce gusty to damaging winds later this
afternoon and tonight.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.
Additional scattered showers and storms Monday can again produce
heavy downpours and be slow-moving and could lead to isolated
instances of flash flooding, especially in low-lying and poor
drainage areas.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures. Please relay
any information about severe weather to the NWS.
$$
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Binghamton NY
1030 AM EDT Sun Jul 13 2025
PAZ043-044-047-048-072-141430-
Wyoming-Lackawanna-Luzerne-Pike-Southern Wayne-
1030 AM EDT Sun Jul 13 2025
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northeast Pennsylvania.
.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.
Scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected this afternoon and
evening. Some of the storms could produce gusty winds and torrential
downpours, with isolated instances of flash flooding possible due to
slow-moving or training thunderstorms.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.
Additional scattered showers and storms Monday can again produce
heavy downpours and be slow-moving and could lead to isolated
instances of flash flooding, especially in low-lying and poor
drainage areas.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures. Please relay
any information about severe weather to the NWS.
$$
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Burlington VT
158 AM EDT Sun Jul 13 2025
NYZ026>031-034-035-087-VTZ001>011-016>021-140600-
Northern St. Lawrence-Northern Franklin-Eastern Clinton-
Southeastern St. Lawrence-Southern Franklin-Western Clinton-
Western Essex-Eastern Essex-Southwestern St. Lawrence-Grand Isle-
Western Franklin-Orleans-Essex-Western Chittenden-Lamoille-Caledonia-
Washington-Western Addison-Orange-Western Rutland-Eastern Franklin-
Eastern Chittenden-Eastern Addison-Eastern Rutland-Western Windsor-
Eastern Windsor-
158 AM EDT Sun Jul 13 2025
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northern New York, central
Vermont, northeast Vermont, northwest Vermont and southern Vermont.
.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.
Scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected this afternoon and
evening, mainly in northern New York. Some storms could be strong,
capable of producing heavy rainfall and gusty winds.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.
Another round of showers and thunderstorms is expected Monday, along
with potentially heavy rain. Heat and humidity will persist through
much of the week, so please continue to follow heat safety
precautions.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
$$
