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Flash Flood Watch


FLOOD WATCH...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
349 PM MDT WED JUL 29 2015

CORRECTED PRODUCT EXPIRATION TIME

NMZ501-503-504-506-507-510>519-521>523-527>537-300600-
/O.CON.KABQ.FF.A.0011.000000T0000Z-150730T0900Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
NORTHWEST PLATEAU-FAR NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-
WEST CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-WEST CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS-
JEMEZ MOUNTAINS-WEST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTOS ABOVE 9500 FEET/RED RIVER-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTOS ABOVE 9500 FEET-
EAST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-
LOWER CHAMA RIVER VALLEY-SANTA FE METRO AREA-
MIDDLE RIO GRANDE VALLEY/ALBUQUERQUE METRO AREA-
SANDIA/MANZANO MOUNTAINS-ESTANCIA VALLEY-CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-
RATON RIDGE/JOHNSON MESA-FAR NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-
UNION COUNTY-HARDING COUNTY-EASTERN SAN MIGUEL COUNTY-
GUADALUPE COUNTY-QUAY COUNTY-CURRY COUNTY-ROOSEVELT COUNTY-
DE BACA COUNTY-
349 PM MDT WED JUL 29 2015

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM MDT THURSDAY...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* A PORTION OF NORTH AND CENTRAL NM...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING
  AREAS...CENTRAL HIGHLANDS...CURRY COUNTY...DE BACA COUNTY...EAST
  SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS...EASTERN SAN MIGUEL COUNTY...
  ESTANCIA VALLEY...FAR NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS...FAR NORTHWEST
  HIGHLANDS...GUADALUPE COUNTY...HARDING COUNTY...JEMEZ MOUNTAINS...
  LOWER CHAMA RIVER VALLEY...MIDDLE RIO GRANDE VALLEY/ALBUQUERQUE
  METRO AREA...NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS...NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTOS
  ABOVE 9500 FEET/RED RIVER...NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS...NORTHWEST
  PLATEAU...QUAY COUNTY...RATON RIDGE/JOHNSON MESA...ROOSEVELT
  COUNTY...SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS... SANDIA/MANZANO MOUNTAINS...SANTA
  FE METRO AREA...SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTOS ABOVE 9500 FEET...
  UNION COUNTY...UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY...WEST CENTRAL HIGHLANDS...
  WEST CENTRAL MOUNTAINS AND WEST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO
  MOUNTAINS.

* UNTIL 3 AM MDT THURSDAY

* VERY MOIST EAST AND SOUTHEAST LOW LEVEL FLOW BEHIND A BACKDOOR
  FRONT WILL INTERACT WITH A RICH STREAM OF MONSOON MOISTURE ALOFT
  AND A WEAK UPPER LEVEL WAVE TO PRODUCE HEAVY RAINFALL WHICH
  COULD LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO
FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.
MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH
FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$

44


Hazardous Weather Outlook


HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
351 PM CDT WED JUL 29 2015

OKZ001>003-TXZ001>020-300900-
CIMARRON-TEXAS-BEAVER-DALLAM-SHERMAN-HANSFORD-OCHILTREE-LIPSCOMB-
HARTLEY-MOORE-HUTCHINSON-ROBERTS-HEMPHILL-OLDHAM-POTTER-CARSON-
GRAY-WHEELER-DEAF SMITH-RANDALL-ARMSTRONG-DONLEY-COLLINGSWORTH-
351 PM CDT WED JUL 29 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA
PANHANDLES.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE OKLAHOMA AND TEXAS PANHANDLES.
SOME STORMS MAY BECOME STRONG...WITH GUSTY WINDS TO AROUND 50 MPH THE
PRIMARY HAZARD. IN ADDITION...THE STRONGEST STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF
PRODUCING HEAVY RAINFALL...WHICH MAY RESULT IN FLOODING OR FLASH
FLOODING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS MOST OF THE OKLAHOMA AND TEXAS PANHANDLES
THROUGH TUESDAY. A FEW STORMS THAT DEVELOP MAY BECOME STRONG...WITH GUSTY
WINDS TO AROUND 50 MPH THE PRIMARY HAZARD. IN ADDITION...THE STRONGEST
STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING HEAVY RAINFALL...WHICH MAY LEAD TO
FLOODING OR FLASH FLOODING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.

$$

GOEHRING

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
1101 AM MDT WED JUL 29 2015

COZ058>089-093>099-301715-
WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST LAKE COUNTY ABOVE 11000 FT-
LEADVILLE VICINITY/LAKE COUNTY BELOW 11000 FT-
EASTERN SAWATCH MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
WESTERN CHAFFEE COUNTY BETWEEN 9000 AND 11000 FT-
CENTRAL CHAFFEE COUNTY BELOW 9000 FT-
WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST CHAFFEE COUNTY ABOVE 9000 FT-
SAGUACHE COUNTY WEST OF CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BELOW 10000 FT-
SAGUACHE COUNTY EAST OF CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BELOW 10000 FT-
LA GARITA MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY/EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS BELOW 10000 FT-
EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
DEL NORTE VICINITY/NORTHERN SAN LUIS VALLEY BELOW 8500 FT-
ALAMOSA VICINITY/CENTRAL SAN LUIS VALLEY BELOW 8500 FT-
SOUTHERN SAN LUIS VALLEY-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 8500 AND 11000 FT-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FEET-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 7500 AND 11000 FT-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
NORTHWESTERN FREMONT COUNTY ABOVE 8500 FT-
WESTERN/CENTRAL FREMONT COUNTY BELOW 8500 FT-
WET MOUNTAIN VALLEY BELOW 8500 FEET-
WET MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 6300 AND 10000 FT-
WET MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
TELLER COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE ABOVE 7500 FT/PIKES PEAK BETWEEN
7500 AND 11000 FT-PIKES PEAK ABOVE 11000 FT-
CANON CITY VICINITY/EASTERN FREMONT COUNTY-
NORTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/MONUMENT RIDGE/RAMPART RANGE BELOW
7500 FT-
COLORADO SPRINGS VICINITY/SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE
BELOW 7400 FT-PUEBLO AND VICINITY/PUEBLO COUNTY BELOW 6300 FT-
WALSENBURG VICINITY/UPPER HUERFANO RIVER BASIN BELOW 7500 FT-
TRINIDAD VICINITY/WESTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY BELOW 7500 FT-
CROWLEY COUNTY-LA JUNTA VICINITY/OTERO COUNTY-
EASTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY-WESTERN KIOWA COUNTY-
EASTERN KIOWA COUNTY-LAS ANIMAS VICINITY/BENT COUNTY-
LAMAR VICINITY/PROWERS COUNTY-SPRINGFIELD VICINITY/BACA COUNTY-
1101 AM MDT WED JUL 29 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL...EAST
CENTRAL...SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST COLORADO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP ACROSS
THE MOUNTAINS AND SOUTHERN COLORADO BORDER REGION LATE THIS
AFTERNOON THROUGH THIS EVENING. THE MAIN THREAT WITH
THUNDERSTORMS TODAY WILL BE LIGHTNING AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL.
THIS THREAT WILL BE GREATEST TO THE SOUTH OF HIGHWAY 50...WITH THE
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS AND SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE
EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS EXPECTED TO SEE THE GREATEST
THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE. ALTHOUGH HEAVY RAINFALL IS EXPECTED TO BE
SPOTTY IN NATURE TODAY...IF IT SHOULD IMPACT BURN SCAR
AREAS THEN LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE. EAST
PEAK...AND WEST FORK BURN SCARS APPEAR TO HAVE THE GREATER THREAT
TODAY.

ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS MAY MOVE OUT ONTO THE ADJACENT I-25
CORRIDOR LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...BUT SHOULD WEAKEN AND
DISSIPATE AS THEY MOVE INTO THE LOWER ELEVATIONS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

AFTERNOON AND EVENING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORECAST OVER
THE MOUNTAINS EACH DAY FROM THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY. WEAK
STEERING FLOWS WILL HELP KEEP STORMS OVER AND NEAR THE HIGHER
TERRAIN WITH THE EXCEPTION OF SATURDAY AND TUESDAY...WHERE
THUNDERSTORMS WILL LIKELY MOVE EAST ACROSS THE PLAINS DURING THE
OVERNIGHT HOURS. THE PRIMARY THREATS FROM THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL...LIGHTNING AND GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER CONDITIONS THAT MEET REPORTING CRITERIA FOR SPOTTERS WILL
BE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS SOUTH
OF HIGHWAY 50.


$$

31/23

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1135 AM CDT WED JUL 29 2015

OKZ004>048-050>052-TXZ083>090-301645-
HARPER-WOODS-ALFALFA-GRANT-KAY-ELLIS-WOODWARD-MAJOR-GARFIELD-
NOBLE-ROGER MILLS-DEWEY-CUSTER-BLAINE-KINGFISHER-LOGAN-PAYNE-
BECKHAM-WASHITA-CADDO-CANADIAN-OKLAHOMA-LINCOLN-GRADY-MCCLAIN-
CLEVELAND-POTTAWATOMIE-SEMINOLE-HUGHES-HARMON-GREER-KIOWA-JACKSON-
TILLMAN-COMANCHE-STEPHENS-GARVIN-MURRAY-PONTOTOC-COAL-COTTON-
JEFFERSON-CARTER-JOHNSTON-ATOKA-LOVE-MARSHALL-BRYAN-HARDEMAN-
FOARD-WILBARGER-WICHITA-KNOX-BAYLOR-ARCHER-CLAY-
1135 AM CDT WED JUL 29 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHERN...
WESTERN...CENTRAL...AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA...AND WESTERN
NORTH TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...THROUGH TONIGHT...

.HEAT...
HOT AND HUMID CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST FOR ALL BUT NORTHERN
OKLAHOMA TODAY. A HEAT ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT THIS AFTERNOON
PRIMARILY FOR EAST-CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA WHERE HEAT
INDICES MAY EXCEED 105.

.THUNDERSTORMS...
ISOLATED STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER FAR NORTHWEST OKLAHOMA THIS
MORNING...WITH AN INCREASE IN COVERAGE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON
THROUGH TONIGHT. A WEAK AND SLOW MOVING COLD FRONT WILL BE THE
FOCUS FOR SHOWERS AND STORMS. ALTHOUGH NO ORGANIZED SEVERE STORMS
ARE EXPECTED... STRONG STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH GUSTY
WINDS...SMALL HAIL...AND TORRENTIAL RAINFALL.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.HEAT...
AFTERNOON TRIPLE DIGIT HEAT INDEX VALUES WILL CONTINUE ACROSS
SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS THROUGH FRIDAY. AFTER A
SLIGHT COOL DOWN FOR A FEW DAYS...TRIPLE DIGIT HEAT INDICES WILL
RETURN TO A LARGE PART OF THE REGION EARLY NEXT WEEK.

.THUNDERSTORMS...
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE
REGION THURSDAY THROUGH AT LEAST EARLY SATURDAY. THE HIGHEST
CHANCES FOR STORMS WILL BE OVER THE WESTERN HALF OF OKLAHOMA AND
WESTERN NORTH TEXAS...ESPECIALLY THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY
NIGHT. SOME STRONG STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH STRONG GUSTY
WINDS...SMALL HAIL...AND TORRENTIAL RAINFALL.

GET GRAPHICS AND MORE DETAILS AT WEATHER.GOV/NORMAN...AND FOLLOW
OUR WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE ON TWITTER AND FACEBOOK.

$$

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
1009 AM CDT WED JUL 29 2015

KSZ030-031-043>046-061>066-074>081-084>090-301515-
TREGO-ELLIS-SCOTT-LANE-NESS-RUSH-HAMILTON-KEARNY-FINNEY-HODGEMAN-
PAWNEE-STAFFORD-STANTON-GRANT-HASKELL-GRAY-FORD-EDWARDS-KIOWA-
PRATT-MORTON-STEVENS-SEWARD-MEADE-CLARK-COMANCHE-BARBER-
1009 AM CDT WED JUL 29 2015 /909 AM MDT WED JUL 29 2015/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL...SOUTH
CENTRAL...SOUTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

DISCUSSION...ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED
THROUGH MIDDAY MAINLY EAST OF DODGE CITY, WITH MORE REDEVELOP
DURING THE AFTERNOON INTO THE EARLY EVENING AS WELL FOR THE ENTIRE
AREA. THE RISK OF WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER IS LOW.

WEATHER HAZARDS EXPECTED...

  LIMITED FLOODING RISK.
  ELEVATED LIGHTNING RISK.
  LIMITED EXCESSIVE HEAT RISK.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

HAZARDS WEATHER RISK...

  THURSDAY...
  LIMITED LIGHTNING RISK.

  FRIDAY...
  LIMITED LIGHTNING RISK.
  LIMITED EXCESSIVE HEAT RISK.

  SATURDAY...
  LIMITED LIGHTNING RISK.
  LIMITED EXCESSIVE HEAT RISK.

  SUNDAY...
  LIMITED LIGHTNING RISK.
  LIMITED EXCESSIVE HEAT RISK.

  MONDAY...
  LIMITED LIGHTNING RISK.
  LIMITED EXCESSIVE HEAT RISK.

  TUESDAY...
  LIMITED LIGHTNING RISK.
  LIMITED EXCESSIVE HEAT RISK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED THROUGH TONIGHT.

&&

FOR MORE INFORMATION VISIT OUR WEBPAGE AT
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/DDC/EHWO

$$

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
457 AM MDT WED JUL 29 2015

NMZ501>540-301130-
NORTHWEST PLATEAU-CHUSKA MOUNTAINS-FAR NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-
NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-WEST CENTRAL PLATEAU-WEST CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-
WEST CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS-
SAN FRANCISCO RIVER VALLEY-SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS-JEMEZ MOUNTAINS-
WEST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTOS ABOVE 9500 FEET/RED RIVER-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTOS ABOVE 9500 FEET-
EAST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-
LOWER CHAMA RIVER VALLEY-SANTA FE METRO AREA-
MIDDLE RIO GRANDE VALLEY/ALBUQUERQUE METRO AREA-
LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-SANDIA/MANZANO MOUNTAINS-ESTANCIA VALLEY-
CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-SOUTH CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-UPPER TULAROSA VALLEY-
SOUTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-RATON RIDGE/JOHNSON MESA-
FAR NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-UNION COUNTY-
HARDING COUNTY-EASTERN SAN MIGUEL COUNTY-GUADALUPE COUNTY-
QUAY COUNTY-CURRY COUNTY-ROOSEVELT COUNTY-DE BACA COUNTY-
CHAVES COUNTY PLAINS-EASTERN LINCOLN COUNTY-SOUTHWEST CHAVES COUNTY-
457 AM MDT WED JUL 29 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH AND CENTRAL
NEW MEXICO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A BACKDOOR FRONT WILL COMBINE WITH A VERY MOIST AIRMASS TO
PRODUCE NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TODAY AND TONIGHT.
THE STRONGER THUNDERSTORMS WILL PRODUCE HEAVY RAIN WHICH COULD
LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR MUCH
OF CENTRAL AND NORTHERN NEW MEXICO THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE
TONIGHT. FAVORED AREA FOR THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL AMOUNTS TODAY AND
TONIGHT IS EXPECTED FROM THE EAST SLOPES OF THE SOUTHERN SANGRE
DE CRISTOS SOUTH THE THE EAST SLOPES OF THE SANDIA AND MANZANO
MOUNTAINS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

PLENTIFUL LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL COMBINE WITH DAYTIME HEATING TO
PRODUCE DAILY ROUNDS OF AFTERNOON AND EVENING THUNDERSTORMS AND
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL THURSDAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND AND INTO EARLY
NEXT WEEK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

$$

33


Short Term Forecast


SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
856 PM CDT WED JUL 29 2015

TXZ021>026-300300-
PARMER-CASTRO-SWISHER-BRISCOE-HALL-CHILDRESS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FRIONA...BOVINA...FARWELL...DIMMITT...
HART...TULIA...SILVERTON...QUITAQUE...MEMPHIS...CHILDRESS
856 PM CDT WED JUL 29 2015

.NOW...
THROUGH 10 PM...VERY ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL
CONTINUE TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE EXTREME SOUTHERN TEXAS PANHANDLE.
BRIEF HEAVY DOWNPOURS AND OCCASIONAL CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING
WILL BE THE MAIN THREATS WITH THIS ACTIVITY AS IT SLOWLY DRIFTS
WEST.

$$

U.S. Dept. of Commerce
NOAA National Weather Service
1325 East West Highway
Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: June 2, 2009
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