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Hazardous Weather Outlook


Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Lubbock TX
1224 PM CDT Tue Sep 19 2017

TXZ021>044-201730-
Parmer-Castro-Swisher-Briscoe-Hall-Childress-Bailey-Lamb-Hale-
Floyd-Motley-Cottle-Cochran-Hockley-Lubbock-Crosby-Dickens-King-
Yoakum-Terry-Lynn-Garza-Kent-Stonewall-
1224 PM CDT Tue Sep 19 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the South Plains...Rolling
Plains and the far Southern Texas Panhandle.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight

Isolated thunderstorms are expected to develop this afternoon and
evening across the southern Rolling Plains. The strongest storms
will be capable of producing winds to 70 mph and hail to the size
of golf balls.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday

Increasing chances of widespread thunderstorms will return from
Friday through Monday. Heavy rainfall and flooding will be
possible, especially early next week. Severe thunderstorms will
also be possible.


.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation my be required later this afternoon into the
early evening.


$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
1109 AM MDT Tue Sep 19 2017

COZ058>089-093>099-201715-
Western Mosquito Range/East Lake County Above 11000 Ft-
Leadville Vicinity/Lake County Below 11000 Ft-
Eastern Sawatch Mountains above 11000 Ft-
Western Chaffee County Between 9000 and 11000 Ft-
Central Chaffee County Below 9000 Ft-
Western Mosquito Range/East Chaffee County above 9000Ft-
Saguache County West of Continental Divide Below 10000 Ft-
Saguache County East of Continental Divide below 10000 Ft-
La Garita Mountains Above 10000 Ft-
Upper Rio Grande Valley/Eastern San Juan Mountains Below 10000 Ft-
Eastern San Juan Mountains Above 10000 Ft-
Del Norte Vicinity/Northern San Luis Valley Below 8500 Ft-
Alamosa  Vicinity/Central San Luis Valley Below 8500 Ft-
Southern San Luis Valley-
Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Between 8500 And 11000 Ft-
Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains above 11000 Ft-
Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Between 7500 and 11000 Ft-
Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Above 11000 Ft-
Northwestern Fremont County  Above 8500Ft-
Western/Central Fremont County Below 8500 Ft-
Wet Mountain Valley Below 8500 Ft-
Wet Mountains between 6300 and 10000Ft-
Wet Mountains above 10000 Ft-
Teller County/Rampart Range above 7500fT/Pike`s Peak Between
7500 And 11000 Ft-Pikes Peak above 11000 Ft-
Canon City Vicinity/Eastern Fremont County-
Northern El Paso County/Monument Ridge/Rampart Range Below
7500 Ft-
Colorado Springs Vicinity/Southern El Paso County/Rampart Range
Below 7400 Ft-Pueblo Vicinity/Pueblo County Below 6300 Feet-
Walsenburg Vicinity/Upper Huerfano River Basin Below 7500 Ft-
Trinidad Vicinity/Western Las Animas County Below 7500 Ft-
Crowley County-La Junta Vicinity/Otero County-
Eastern Las Animas County-Western Kiowa County-
Eastern Kiowa County-Las Animas Vicinity/Bent County-
Lamar Vicinity/Prowers County-Springfield Vicinity/Baca County-
1109 AM MDT Tue Sep 19 2017

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central...east
central...south central and southeast Colorado.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight

Fire danger will be high today as a result of strong winds,
low humidities and dry fuels in Teller and Fremont counties, over
the I-25 corridor and the southeast plains.  Outdoor burning or any
other activity that could accidentally start a wildfire should be
avoided.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday

On Thursday, the fire danger will be elevated over the area as
breezy conditions, low humidities and dry grasses combine to produce
near critical fire weather conditions over parts of the plains.
Outdoor burning or any other activities that could accidentally
start a wildfire should be postponed.

An early, fall storm system is forecast to dig south into the Great
Basin on Friday and remain there through Monday.  It is currently
forecast to be in prime position to bring bouts of severe weather to
the plains each day Friday through Sunday. Then, on Monday, the
storm system would finally swing far enough east to allow a cold
front to drop south through the plains, ending the severe weather
threat.

While severe weather impacts the plains, snow showers will be
possible in the mountains through the period.  Friday through
Sunday, any snow showers will probably be pretty spotty and confined
mainly to elevations above 10,000 feet.  However, on Monday,
following the cold front, the snow showers may become more
widespread and fall down to about 8,000 feet, particularly over the
eastern mountains.

This system is still a few days away and the details of how it will
actually move through the area are yet to be resolved.  Please stay
tuned for the latest forecast updates throughout the week.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters will not be needed today or tonight.

$$

Hodanish

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Norman OK
1146 AM CDT Tue Sep 19 2017

OKZ004>048-050>052-TXZ083>090-201700-
Harper-Woods-Alfalfa-Grant-Kay-Ellis-Woodward-Major-Garfield-
Noble-Roger Mills-Dewey-Custer-Blaine-Kingfisher-Logan-Payne-
Beckham-Washita-Caddo-Canadian-Oklahoma-Lincoln-Grady-McClain-
Cleveland-Pottawatomie-Seminole-Hughes-Harmon-Greer-Kiowa-Jackson-
Tillman-Comanche-Stephens-Garvin-Murray-Pontotoc-Coal-Cotton-
Jefferson-Carter-Johnston-Atoka-Love-Marshall-Bryan-Hardeman-
Foard-Wilbarger-Wichita-Knox-Baylor-Archer-Clay-
1146 AM CDT Tue Sep 19 2017

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of northern...
western...central...and southern Oklahoma...and western north
Texas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight...

.Thunderstorms...
Scattered thunderstorms will be possible late this afternoon and
evening across western north texas and southwest Oklahoma. A few
strong to severe storms will be possible with hail up to the size
of half dollars and 60 to 70 mph wind gusts. Brief heavy rainfall
and frequent cloud to ground lightning will also accompany any of
the storms.

.Fire Weather...
Near critical fire weather conditions will be possible across
portions of western and northwestern Oklahoma this afternoon due
to hot temperatures, strong, gusty south winds, and low relative
humidity.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday...

.Thunderstorms...
An approaching storm system will bring increasing chances of
thunderstorms Sunday and Monday.

.Fire Weather...
Elevated fire weather conditions will remain possible across
portions of Oklahoma and north Texas Wednesday through Friday.

Get graphics and more details at weather.gov/norman...and follow
our weather forecast office on Twitter and Facebook.

$$

30

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
451 AM MDT Tue Sep 19 2017

NMZ501>540-201100-
Northwest Plateau-Chuska Mountains-Far Northwest Highlands-
Northwest Highlands-West Central Plateau-West Central Mountains-
West Central Highlands-Southwest Mountains-
San Francisco River Valley-San Juan Mountains-Jemez Mountains-
West Slopes Sangre de Cristo Mountains-
Northern Sangre de Cristos above 9500 feet/Red River-
Southern Sangre de Cristos above 9500 feet-
East Slopes Sangre de Cristo Mountains-Upper Rio Grande Valley-
Lower Chama River Valley-Santa Fe Metro Area-
Middle Rio Grande Valley/Albuquerque Metro Area-
Lower Rio Grande Valley-Sandia/Manzano Mountains-Estancia Valley-
Central Highlands-South Central Highlands-Upper Tularosa Valley-
South Central Mountains-Raton Ridge/Johnson Mesa-
Far Northeast Highlands-Northeast Highlands-Union County-
Harding County-Eastern San Miguel County-Guadalupe County-
Quay County-Curry County-Roosevelt County-De Baca County-
Chaves County Plains-Eastern Lincoln County-Southwest Chaves County-
451 AM MDT Tue Sep 19 2017

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of north and central
New Mexico.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Strong west and west southwest winds will develop from mid day until
sunset. Gusts will should peak near 50 mph in the southern San Juan
and Sangre de Cristo Mountains, and also across the east central
highlands and plains.

A Red Flag Warning is in effect this afternoon until sunset for
northwest and west central areas, where low humidities combined with
strong winds will create critical fire weather conditions.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday

An upper level trough is forecast to stall west of New Mexico this
weekend steering a steady stream of moisture for showers and
thunderstorms north and northeastward across the eastern plains.
Friday afternoon through Sunday evening, the potential exists for
some severe thunderstorms to develop east of the central mountain
chain where large hail, damaging winds and an isolated tornado will
be possible.


.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be required across portions of the eastern
plains Friday afternoon through Sunday evening.

$$

44

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
403 AM CDT Tue Sep 19 2017

KSZ030-031-043>046-061>066-074>081-084>090-201000-
Trego-Ellis-Scott-Lane-Ness-Rush-Hamilton-Kearny-Finney-Hodgeman-
Pawnee-Stafford-Stanton-Grant-Haskell-Gray-Ford-Edwards-Kiowa-
Pratt-Morton-Stevens-Seward-Meade-Clark-Comanche-Barber-
403 AM CDT Tue Sep 19 2017 /303 AM MDT Tue Sep 19 2017/

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central...south
central...southwest and west central Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Day 1 Discussion
----------------

Critical fire weather conditions will occur across western Kansas
this afternoon. See fire weather watch for details.

Day 1 Hazards
-------------
* Excessive heat: Limited risk
* Non-thunderstorm wind: Elevated risk
* Fire weather: Extreme risk

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Days 2-7 Discussion
-------------------

Elevated fire weather conditions are possible on Thursday.

Thunderstorms will be possible Friday through early next week. It
is too early to determine if storms will be severe.

Days 2-7 Hazards
----------------
* Wednesday
  - Fire weather: Limited risk

* Thursday
  - Excessive heat: Limited risk
  - Fire weather: Elevated risk

* Friday
  - Lightning: Limited risk
  - Fire weather: Limited risk

* Saturday
  - Lightning: Limited risk

* Sunday
  - Lightning: Elevated risk

* Monday
  - Lightning: Elevated risk

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight.

&&

For more details visit our webpage http://weather.gov/ddc/ehwo

$$

U.S. Dept. of Commerce
NOAA National Weather Service
1325 East West Highway
Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: June 2, 2009
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