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Hazardous Weather Outlook


Hazardous Weather Outlook...UPDATED
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
1159 AM CST Sun Feb 19 2017

OKZ001>003-TXZ001>020-192200-
Cimarron-Texas-Beaver-Dallam-Sherman-Hansford-Ochiltree-Lipscomb-
Hartley-Moore-Hutchinson-Roberts-Hemphill-Oldham-Potter-Carson-
Gray-Wheeler-Deaf Smith-Randall-Armstrong-Donley-Collingsworth-
1159 AM CST Sun Feb 19 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Texas and Oklahoma
Panhandles.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.

Thunderstorms will be possible across mainly eastern sections of
the Oklahoma and Texas Panhandles this afternoon and evening. Any
storms that develop are expected to remain below severe levels at
this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Elevated fire weather conditions are likely to develop on Monday
across mainly the northwestern half of the Oklahoma and Texas
Panhandles.

Dry and windy conditions are expected on Thursday, particularly
across the western two thirds of the Panhandles. Elevated to
critical fire weather conditions are likely to occur during this
time frame. Elevated fire weather conditions may continue into
Friday in the wake of a cold front.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated at this time.

Area fire managers and emergency officials in the Oklahoma and
Texas Panhandles should be alert for elevated or critical fire
weather conditions on Thursday, as well as elevated fire weather
conditions Monday and Friday.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook...UPDATED
National Weather Service Norman OK
1226 PM CST Sun Feb 19 2017

OKZ004>048-050>052-TXZ083>090-201245-
Harper-Woods-Alfalfa-Grant-Kay-Ellis-Woodward-Major-Garfield-
Noble-Roger Mills-Dewey-Custer-Blaine-Kingfisher-Logan-Payne-
Beckham-Washita-Caddo-Canadian-Oklahoma-Lincoln-Grady-McClain-
Cleveland-Pottawatomie-Seminole-Hughes-Harmon-Greer-Kiowa-Jackson-
Tillman-Comanche-Stephens-Garvin-Murray-Pontotoc-Coal-Cotton-
Jefferson-Carter-Johnston-Atoka-Love-Marshall-Bryan-Hardeman-
Foard-Wilbarger-Wichita-Knox-Baylor-Archer-Clay-
1226 PM CST Sun Feb 19 2017

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of northern...
western...central...and southern Oklahoma...and western north
Texas.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight...

.Thunderstorms...
There is a risk of severe storms across portions of central and
southern Oklahoma, and all of western north Texas this afternoon.

Location...
A Slight Risk of storms exists along and south of a line extending
from near Seymour, Texas to Hollister, Oklahoma to Lawton and
Marlow to Velma and Burneyville. A Marginal Risk surrounds the
Slight Risk, extending east and south of a line from near
Goodlett, Texas to near Burns Flat, Oklahoma to Okeene to Perkins
and Cushing.

Timing...
3 PM to 2 AM.

Impacts...
Hail to the size of half dollars and wind gusts to 60 mph will be
the main concerns. Locally heavy rainfall may lead to flash
flooding as well. There is a low risk of tornadoes in the late
afternoon and evening.

Discussion...
Showers and thunderstorms are expected to develop across portions
of western north Texas around mid afternoon, and move into
southwestern Oklahoma late this afternoon. The storms are then
expected to spread north and eastward into central and
southeastern Oklahoma this evening, and then into eastern and
southeastern OK through early Monday morning. Sufficient
instability and winds will be enough to support strong to severe
thunderstorms this afternoon and tonight. Initial thunderstorms
will be more isolated to scattered, developing into a line of
thunderstorms this evening and overnight as they move eastward.
The potential for severe storms will start to decrease beyond
midnight.

.SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT STATEMENT...
Storm spotter groups and emergency management personnel across
the risk area should prepare for severe weather operations late
this afternoon and tonight.

.Flash Flooding...
As storms increase in coverage late this evening and overnight,
there will be a risk of flash flooding from north Texas into
southern and central Oklahoma due to heavy rainfall rates.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday...

.Thunderstorms...
Showers and thunderstorms will remain possible Monday with rain
chances ending from west to east through the day. No severe
weather is expected Monday.

.Fire Weather...
Elevated to Critical wildfire conditions will be possible across
portions of the area Tuesday through Friday. The Critical
conditions are expected Thursday afternoon across portions of
western Oklahoma and western north Texas due to warm temperatures,
low humidities, and gusty southwest winds.

Get graphics and more details at weather.gov/norman...and follow
our weather forecast office on Twitter and Facebook.

$$

Kurtz/Barnes

Hazardous Weather Outlook...UPDATED
National Weather Service Lubbock TX
1030 AM CST Sun Feb 19 2017

TXZ021>044-201630-
Parmer-Castro-Swisher-Briscoe-Hall-Childress-Bailey-Lamb-Hale-
Floyd-Motley-Cottle-Cochran-Hockley-Lubbock-Crosby-Dickens-King-
Yoakum-Terry-Lynn-Garza-Kent-Stonewall-
1030 AM CST Sun Feb 19 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the South Plains...Rolling
Plains and the far Southern Texas Panhandle.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Hazardous weather is unlikely.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday

Critical fire weather, strong winds and blowing dust are possible
Thursday.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
553 AM MST Sun Feb 19 2017

COZ058>089-093>099-201300-
Western Mosquito Range/East Lake County Above 11000 Ft-
Leadville Vicinity/Lake County Below 11000 Ft-
Eastern Sawatch Mountains above 11000 Ft-
Western Chaffee County Between 9000 and 11000 Ft-
Central Chaffee County Below 9000 Ft-
Western Mosquito Range/East Chaffee County above 9000Ft-
Saguache County West of Continental Divide Below 10000 Ft-
Saguache County East of Continental Divide below 10000 Ft-
La Garita Mountains Above 10000 Ft-
Upper Rio Grande Valley/Eastern San Juan Mountains Below 10000 Ft-
Eastern San Juan Mountains Above 10000 Ft-
Del Norte Vicinity/Northern San Luis Valley Below 8500 Ft-
Alamosa  Vicinity/Central San Luis Valley Below 8500 Ft-
Southern San Luis Valley-
Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Between 8500 And 11000 Ft-
Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains above 11000 Ft-
Southern Sangre De Cristo Mountains Between 7500 and 11000 Ft-
Southern Sangre De Cristo Mountains Above 11000 Ft-
Northwestern Fremont County  Above 8500Ft-
Western/Central Fremont County Below 8500 Ft-
Wet Mountain Valley Below 8500 Ft-
Wet Mountains between 6300 and 10000Ft-
Wet Mountains above 10000 Ft-
Teller County/Rampart Range above 7500fT/Pike`s Peak Between
7500 And 11000 Ft-Pikes Peak above 11000 Ft-
Canon City Vicinity/Eastern Fremont County-
Northern El Paso County/Monument Ridge/Rampart Range Below
7500 Ft-
Colorado Springs Vicinity/Southern El Paso County/Rampart Range
Below 7400 Ft-Pueblo Vicinity/Pueblo County Below 6300 Feet-
Walsenburg Vicinity/Upper Huerfano River Basin Below 7500 Ft-
Trinidad Vicinity/Western Las Animas County Below 7500 Ft-
Crowley County-La Junta Vicinity/Otero County-
Eastern Las Animas County-Western Kiowa County-
Eastern Kiowa County-Las Animas Vicinity/Bent County-
Lamar Vicinity/Prowers County-Springfield Vicinity/Baca County-
553 AM MST Sun Feb 19 2017

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central...east
central...south central and southeast Colorado.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Snow showers will increase this morning across the southwest
Colorado mountains, and will continue through the evening hours
before decreasing late tonight.  Snow will also spread into the
central mountains later today and will continue through tonight.
These areas, mainly above 10000 feet, will see several inches of
accumulation by late tonight. The eastern mountains will see a
couple inches of snow accumulation.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday

Scattered snow showers will be possible across the higher terrain
along the Continental Divide Tuesday night and Wednesday, with
only light accumulations expected. Another round of snow is
expected Thursday through early Friday morning, which could bring
a few inches of snow to all areas over and near the mountains.

Breezy and warm conditions will lead to increased fire danger
across the southeast plains Monday and Tuesday, with possible
critical fire weather conditions on Wednesday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather conditions that meet reporting criteria for spotters will be
likely across the mountains along the Continental Divide today and
tonight, and will be possible over the eastern mountains.

$$

28/23

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
435 AM MST Sun Feb 19 2017

NMZ501>540-201200-
Northwest Plateau-Chuska Mountains-Far Northwest Highlands-
Northwest Highlands-West Central Plateau-West Central Mountains-
West Central Highlands-Southwest Mountains-
San Francisco River Valley-San Juan Mountains-Jemez Mountains-
West Slopes Sangre de Cristo Mountains-
Northern Sangre de Cristos above 9500 feet/Red River-
Southern Sangre de Cristos above 9500 feet-
East Slopes Sangre de Cristo Mountains-Upper Rio Grande Valley-
Lower Chama River Valley-Santa Fe Metro Area-
Middle Rio Grande Valley/Albuquerque Metro Area-
Lower Rio Grande Valley-Sandia/Manzano Mountains-Estancia Valley-
Central Highlands-South Central Highlands-Upper Tularosa Valley-
South Central Mountains-Raton Ridge/Johnson Mesa-
Far Northeast Highlands-Northeast Highlands-Union County-
Harding County-Eastern San Miguel County-Guadalupe County-
Quay County-Curry County-Roosevelt County-De Baca County-
Chaves County Plains-Eastern Lincoln County-Southwest Chaves County-
435 AM MST Sun Feb 19 2017

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of north and central
New Mexico.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Mountain snow today and tonight will result in moderate snow amounts
across portions of the western and northern high terrain. Snowfall
totals of 4 to 8 inches are expected, and locally around 10 inches.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday

Strong to potentially damaging winds are possible Thursday from the
east slopes of the central mountains to the Texas border.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated.

$$

40

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
325 AM CST Sun Feb 19 2017

KSZ030-031-043>046-061>066-074>081-084>090-201200-
Trego-Ellis-Scott-Lane-Ness-Rush-Hamilton-Kearny-Finney-Hodgeman-
Pawnee-Stafford-Stanton-Grant-Haskell-Gray-Ford-Edwards-Kiowa-
Pratt-Morton-Stevens-Seward-Meade-Clark-Comanche-Barber-
325 AM CST Sun Feb 19 2017 /225 AM MST Sun Feb 19 2017/

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central...south
central...southwest and west central Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Day 1 Discussion
----------------

Areas of fog with visibilities around one half mile will be possible
this morning. Locally patchy dense fog is possible as well in spots.
Allow extra space when driving.

Showers and isolated thunderstorms will be possible late this evening
mainly east of Garden City. Threats are lightning and outflow winds
of 30 to 40 mph.

Day 1 Hazards
-------------
* Lightning: Limited risk
* Fog: Significant risk
* Fire weather: Limited risk

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Days 2-7 Discussion
-------------------

There will be an elevated to limited fire weather risk through much
of the week. Outdoor burning is discouraged. A chance of snow is forecast
Thursday and Friday with a second weather system. Chance of significant
snow accumulation is low.

Days 2-7 Hazards
----------------
* Monday
  - Fire weather: Elevated risk

* Tuesday
  - Fire weather: Elevated risk

* Wednesday
  - Fire weather: Limited risk

* Thursday
  - Lightning: Limited risk
  - Ice accumulation: Limited risk
  - Fire weather: Elevated risk

* Friday
  - Ice accumulation: Limited risk
  - Fire weather: Limited risk

* Saturday
  - Fire weather: Limited risk

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight.

&&

For more details visit our webpage http://weather.gov/ddc/ehwo

$$

U.S. Dept. of Commerce
NOAA National Weather Service
1325 East West Highway
Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: June 2, 2009
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