Hazardous Weather Outlook
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
715 PM CDT THU MAY 23 2013
OKZ001>003-TXZ001>020-241300-
CIMARRON-TEXAS-BEAVER-DALLAM-SHERMAN-HANSFORD-OCHILTREE-LIPSCOMB-
HARTLEY-MOORE-HUTCHINSON-ROBERTS-HEMPHILL-OLDHAM-POTTER-CARSON-
GRAY-WHEELER-DEAF SMITH-RANDALL-ARMSTRONG-DONLEY-COLLINGSWORTH-
715 PM CDT THU MAY 23 2013
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA
PANHANDLES.
.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT TONIGHT. SEVERE WEATHER
IS NOT EXPECTED...THOUGH ISOLATED SMALL HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES REMAIN IN THE FORECAST FOR MUCH OF THE TEXAS AND
OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...PRIMARILY DURING THE
AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS. POTENTIAL WILL EXIST FOR A FEW STRONG TO
SEVERE STORMS EACH AFTERNOON AND EVENING...WITH LARGE
HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN BEING THE PRIMARY
HAZARDS.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BECOME NECESSARY IN THE AFTERNOON HOURS FRIDAY
THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
$$
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
733 PM CDT THU MAY 23 2013
OKZ004>048-050>052-TXZ083>090-241200-
HARPER-WOODS-ALFALFA-GRANT-KAY-ELLIS-WOODWARD-MAJOR-GARFIELD-NOBLE-
ROGER MILLS-DEWEY-CUSTER-BLAINE-KINGFISHER-LOGAN-PAYNE-BECKHAM-
WASHITA-CADDO-CANADIAN-OKLAHOMA-LINCOLN-GRADY-MCCLAIN-CLEVELAND-
POTTAWATOMIE-SEMINOLE-HUGHES-HARMON-GREER-KIOWA-JACKSON-TILLMAN-
COMANCHE-STEPHENS-GARVIN-MURRAY-PONTOTOC-COAL-COTTON-JEFFERSON-
CARTER-JOHNSTON-ATOKA-LOVE-MARSHALL-BRYAN-HARDEMAN-FOARD-WILBARGER-
WICHITA-KNOX-BAYLOR-ARCHER-CLAY-
733 PM CDT THU MAY 23 2013
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK COVERS NORTHERN...WESTERN...
CENTRAL...AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA...AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS.
.DAY ONE...THROUGH TONIGHT...
THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK...
THUNDERSTORMS WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY ACROSS PORTIONS OF
CENTRAL AND WESTERN OKLAHOMA... AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS. A FEW OF THESE
STORMS COULD BECOME STRONG TO SEVERE.
DISCUSSION...
A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT PARTS OF WESTERN NORTH TEXAS
THIS EVENING BEFORE MOVING SOUTH INTO WEST TEXAS.
WITH VARIOUS BOUNDARIES EXPECTED OVER THE AREA... ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORMS
COULD DEVELOP LATER TONIGHT INTO EARLY FRIDAY MORNING AS THE LOW LEVEL JET
STRENGTHENS. SOME OF THESE STORMS COULD BECOME STRONG TO POSSIBLY SEVERE
WITH HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF QUARTERS AND WIND GUSTS TO 60 MPH.
PROBABILITY TABLE...
VALID THROUGH 700 AM CDT FRIDAY MAY 24.
PROBABILITY OF THUNDERSTORMS OCCURRING IN THE
NWS NORMAN COUNTY WARNING AREA...100 PERCENT.
PROBABILITY OF SEVERE STORMS IF STORMS OCCUR...20 PERCENT.
OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER...
DUE TO ALREADY SATURATED GROUNDS FROM THE HEAVY RAINFALL THURSDAY IN CENTRAL
OKLAHOMA... ANY ADDITIONAL RAINFALL OVER THESE AREAS LATE TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY
MORNING MAY RESULT IN FLOODING ONCE AGAIN.
MINOR RIVER FLOODING CONTINUES ALONG THE CLEAR BOGGY CREEK NEAR CANEY
IN ATOKA COUNTY.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...
THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK...
LINGERING THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE EARLY FRIDAY MORNING. SOME OF
THESE MAY BE STRONG...BUT THE OVERALL SEVERE THREAT IS LIMITED.
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL CONTINUE ACROSS PARTS OF THE AREA THROUGH
THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. A FEW STRONG TO PERHAPS SEVERE STORMS WILL
BE POSSIBLE DURING THIS TIME FRAME...ESPECIALLY TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY.
OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER...
NONE.
THE NEXT SCHEDULED HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK WILL BE ISSUED AROUND
5 AM FRIDAY...WITH UPDATES AS NEEDED.
$$
KURTZ
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
405 PM CDT THU MAY 23 2013
KSZ030-031-043>046-061>066-074>081-084>090-242115-
TREGO-ELLIS-SCOTT-LANE-NESS-RUSH-HAMILTON-KEARNY-FINNEY-HODGEMAN-
PAWNEE-STAFFORD-STANTON-GRANT-HASKELL-GRAY-FORD-EDWARDS-KIOWA-
PRATT-MORTON-STEVENS-SEWARD-MEADE-CLARK-COMANCHE-BARBER-
405 PM CDT THU MAY 23 2013 /305 PM MDT THU MAY 23 2013/
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL...SOUTH
CENTRAL...SOUTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL KANSAS.
.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT
THERE IS A SMALL CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS THIS EVENING AND THROUGH
TONIGHT. THESE STORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BE SEVERE.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY
THERE WILL BE CHANCES FOR THUNDERSTORMS JUST ABOUT EVERY AFTERNOON
AND EVENING THROUGH THIS PERIOD. THERE IS POTENTIAL FOR THE STORMS
TO BE SEVERE ON ANY OF THESE DAYS. HOT, DRY AND WINDY CONDITIONS
WILL POSSIBLY DEVELOP OVER FAR WESTERN KANSAS ON SUNDAY AND MONDAY.
THESE CONDITIONS WILL CAUSE A HEIGHTENED THREAT FOR WILDFIRES.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.
&&
FOR MORE INFORMATION VISIT OUR WEBPAGE AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/DDC
$$
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
231 PM MDT THU MAY 23 2013
COZ058>089-093>099-242045-
WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST LAKE COUNTY ABOVE 11000 FT-
LEADVILLE VICINITY/LAKE COUNTY BELOW 11000 FT-
EASTERN SAWATCH MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
WESTERN CHAFFEE COUNTY BETWEEN 9000 AND 11000 FT-
CENTRAL CHAFFEE COUNTY BELOW 9000 FT-
WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST CHAFFEE COUNTY ABOVE 9000 FT-
SAGUACHE COUNTY WEST OF CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BELOW 10000 FT-
SAGUACHE COUNTY EAST OF CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BELOW 10000 FT-
LA GARITA MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY/EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS BELOW 10000 FT-
EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
DEL NORTE VICINITY/NORTHERN SAN LUIS VALLEY BELOW 8500 FT-
ALAMOSA VICINITY/CENTRAL SAN LUIS VALLEY BELOW 8500 FT-
SOUTHERN SAN LUIS VALLEY-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 8500 AND 11000 FT-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FEET-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 7500 AND 11000 FT-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
NORTHWESTERN FREMONT COUNTY ABOVE 8500 FT-
WESTERN/CENTRAL FREMONT COUNTY BELOW 8500 FT-
WET MOUNTAIN VALLEY BELOW 8500 FEET-
WET MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 6300 AND 10000 FT-
WET MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
TELLER COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE ABOVE 7500 FT/PIKES PEAK BETWEEN
7500 AND 11000 FT-PIKES PEAK ABOVE 11000 FT-
CANON CITY VICINITY/EASTERN FREMONT COUNTY-
NORTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/MONUMENT RIDGE/RAMPART RANGE BELOW
7500 FT-
COLORADO SPRINGS VICINITY/SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE
BELOW 7400 FT-PUEBLO AND VICINITY/PUEBLO COUNTY BELOW 6300 FT-
WALSENBURG VICINITY/UPPER HUERFANO RIVER BASIN BELOW 7500 FT-
TRINIDAD VICINITY/WESTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY BELOW 7500 FT-
CROWLEY COUNTY-LA JUNTA VICINITY/OTERO COUNTY-
EASTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY-WESTERN KIOWA COUNTY-
EASTERN KIOWA COUNTY-LAS ANIMAS VICINITY/BENT COUNTY-
LAMAR VICINITY/PROWERS COUNTY-SPRINGFIELD VICINITY/BACA COUNTY-
231 PM MDT THU MAY 23 2013
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL...EAST
CENTRAL...SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST COLORADO.
.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT
ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON
AND EVENING OVER THE EASTERN MOUNTAINS AND ACROSS THE PLAINS. THE
MAIN THREATS FROM STORMS WILL BE LIGHTNING AND WIND GUSTS TO 45
MPH...ALTHOUGH ONE OR TWO STRONG STORMS OVER BACA AND LAS ANIMAS
COUNTIES MAY ALSO PRODUCE HAIL UP TO ONE INCH IN DIAMETER.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY
THE DRYLINE IS EXPECTED TO SHIFT WESTWARD OVER THE EASTERN COLORADO
PLAINS ON FRIDAY. THIS WILL LEAD TO A CHANCE OF SOME STRONG TO
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING LATE FRIDAY AFTERNOON. THE GREATEST
THREAT FOR SEVERE WEATHER...INCLUDING DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE
HAIL...IS EXPECTED TO BE OVER BACA...PROWERS...AND EASTERN KIOWA
COUNTIES IN THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING.
IN ADDITION TO THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT ACROSS THE FAR SOUTHEAST
PLAINS FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING...THERE WILL ALSO BE THE POTENTIAL
FOR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ACROSS THE EASTERN
MOUNTAINS...TELLER AND EL PASO COUNTIES. OUTDOOR BURNING OR ANY
OTHER ACTIVITIES THAT MIGHT ACCIDENTALLY START A FIRE SHOULD BE
SUSPENDED.
STORMS WILL BECOME MORE ISOLATED IN COVERAGE THROUGH THE HOLIDAY
WEEKEND...AND WILL MAINLY DEVELOP OVER THE MOUNTAINS IN THE LATE
AFTERNOON EACH DAY. GUSTY WINDS AND CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTING WILL
BE THE MAIN THREATS. INCREASED COVERAGE OF STORMS MAY OCCUR
LATER NEXT WEEK AS A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER THE PACIFIC
NORTHWEST BEGINS TO MOVE THROUGH THE ROCKIES.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
WEATHER CONDITIONS THE MEET REPORTING CRITERIA FOR SPOTTERS WILL BE
POSSIBLE OVER BACA AND LAS ANIMAS COUNTIES THROUGH THIS EVENING.
$$
50/50
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
1108 AM CDT THU MAY 23 2013
TXZ021>044-241615-
PARMER-CASTRO-SWISHER-BRISCOE-HALL-CHILDRESS-BAILEY-LAMB-HALE-
FLOYD-MOTLEY-COTTLE-COCHRAN-HOCKLEY-LUBBOCK-CROSBY-DICKENS-KING-
YOAKUM-TERRY-LYNN-GARZA-KENT-STONEWALL-
1108 AM CDT THU MAY 23 2013
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE EXTREME SOUTHERN TEXAS
PANHANDLE...SOUTH PLAINS AND ROLLING PLAINS.
.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT
CONVECTIVE
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING
ACROSS THE HAZARDOUS OUTLOOK AREA. THE MAIN AREA OF CONCERN WILL
BE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN TEXAS PANHANDLE...NORTH CENTRAL SOUTH
PLAIN...CENTRAL SOUTH PLAINS AND THE ROLLING PLAINS. THUNDERSTORMS
WILL HAVE THE CAPABILITY TO PRODUCE DAMAGING WIND GUSTS IN EXCESS
OF 60 MPH...AND HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF BASEBALLS. AN ISOLATED
THREAT FOR TORNADOES CAN NOT BE RULED OUT BEFORE 8 PM THIS
EVENING...PARTICULARLY FROM THE EXTREME SOUTHERN TEXAS PANHANDLE
ACROSS TO THE CENTRAL ROLLING PLAINS. THE SLOW STORM MOTION WILL
PROMOTE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL. LATER THIS EVENING THE PRIMARY
SEVERE THREAT WILL TRANSITION TO DAMAGING STRAIGHT LINE
WINDS...MAINLY ACROSS THE ROLLING PLAINS.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY
ADDITIONAL STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS ARE POSSIBLE FRIDAY INTO THE
HOLIDAY WEEKEND ACROSS HAZARDOUS OUTLOOK AREA.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS LIKELY THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
$$
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
543 AM MDT THU MAY 23 2013
NMZ501>540-241200-
NORTHWEST PLATEAU-CHUSKA MOUNTAINS-FAR NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-
NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-WEST CENTRAL PLATEAU-WEST CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-
WEST CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS-
SAN FRANCISCO RIVER VALLEY-SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS-JEMEZ MOUNTAINS-
WEST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 9500 FEET/RED RIVER-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 9500 FEET-
EAST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-
LOWER CHAMA RIVER VALLEY-SANTA FE METRO AREA-ALBUQUERQUE METRO AREA-
LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-SANDIA/MANZANO MOUNTAINS-ESTANCIA VALLEY-
CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-SOUTH CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-UPPER TULAROSA VALLEY-
SOUTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-RATON RIDGE/JOHNSON MESA-
FAR NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-UNION COUNTY-
HARDING COUNTY-EASTERN SAN MIGUEL COUNTY-GUADALUPE COUNTY-
QUAY COUNTY-CURRY COUNTY-ROOSEVELT COUNTY-DE BACA COUNTY-
CHAVES COUNTY PLAINS-EASTERN LINCOLN COUNTY-SOUTHWEST CHAVES COUNTY-
543 AM MDT THU MAY 23 2013
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH AND CENTRAL
NEW MEXICO.
.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT
A RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING FOR THE
NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS WHERE LOW HUMIDITIES COMBINED WITH STRONG WINDS WILL
CREATE CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS.
THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING OVER THE EASTERN PLAINS MAY BECOME STRONG
TO SEVERE THIS AFTERNOON...WITH LARGE HAIL AND STRONG WINDS
POSSIBLE IN THE STRONGEST STORMS CLOSEST TO THE TEXAS BORDER.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY
THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW. HOWEVER...
THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING OVER THE EASTERN PLAINS FRIDAY...SATURDAY...AND
SUNDAY MAY PRODUCE SMALL HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS...ESPECIALLY NEAR
THE TEXAS BORDER.
CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL REDEVELOP FRIDAY AND
SATURDAY OVER THE NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS AND WESTERN MOUNTAINS...FROM
THE ARIZONA LINE TO THE CONTINENTAL DIVIDE...AS LOW HUMIDITIES
COMBINED WITH STRONG WINDS WILL CREATE INCREASED FIRE WEATHER DANGER.
WEATHER CAN CHANGE VERY RAPIDLY. ALWAYS USE THE LATEST FORECASTS...
WATCHES AND WARNINGS FOR PLANNING PURPOSES.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED LATE THIS MORNING THROUGH THIS
EVENING FOR THE EASTERN AND NORTHEAST PLAINS DUE TO STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS.
$$
SHY