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Flash Flood Watch


FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
417 AM EST MON DEC 22 2014

...A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING
THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING FOR ALL OF SOUTHEAST ALABAMA...SOUTHWEST
AND SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA...AND ALL OF THE FLORIDA BIG BEND AND
PANHANDLE...

.A DEVELOPING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OFF TO OUR WEST WILL CONTINUE TO
OPEN UP PLENTY OF MOISTURE IN THE GULF OF MEXICO THROUGH THE MIDDLE
OF THIS WEEK...WITH A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM EXPECTED TO
DEVELOP AND SWEEP A STRONG COLD FRONT THROUGH OUR REGION BY
WEDNESDAY EVENING. THIS SYSTEM...WITH ITS VAST ONSHORE FLOW...WILL
HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO BRING HEAVY RAIN TO MUCH OF OUR REGION ON
BOTH TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY. WITH EMBEDDED HEAVY THUNDERSTORMS...
SOME OF WHICH COULD BE SEVERE...THE POTENTIAL FOR WIDESPREAD
RAINFALL TOTALS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES (WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS)
COULD CAUSE FLASH FLOODING IN CERTAIN LOCATIONS. THE MOST LIKELY
AREAS FOR FLOODING WILL BE LOW LYING AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS...BUT
WIDESPREAD 4 TO 6 INCH AMOUNTS COULD CAUSE FLOODING ON SOME OF OF
OUR MORE VULNERABLE RIVERS AND STREAMS AS WELL.


ALZ065>069-FLZ007>019-026>029-034-108-112-114-115-118-127-128-134-
GAZ120>131-142>148-155>161-230000-
/O.NEW.KTAE.FF.A.0012.141223T1200Z-141225T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
COFFEE-DALE-HENRY-GENEVA-HOUSTON-INLAND WALTON-CENTRAL WALTON-
HOLMES-WASHINGTON-JACKSON-INLAND BAY-CALHOUN-INLAND GULF-
INLAND FRANKLIN-GADSDEN-LEON-INLAND JEFFERSON-MADISON-LIBERTY-
INLAND WAKULLA-INLAND TAYLOR-LAFAYETTE-INLAND DIXIE-SOUTH WALTON-
COASTAL BAY-COASTAL GULF-COASTAL FRANKLIN-COASTAL JEFFERSON-
COASTAL WAKULLA-COASTAL TAYLOR-COASTAL DIXIE-QUITMAN-CLAY-
RANDOLPH-TERRELL-DOUGHERTY-LEE-WORTH-TURNER-TIFT-BEN HILL-IRWIN-
EARLY-MILLER-BAKER-MITCHELL-COLQUITT-COOK-BERRIEN-SEMINOLE-
DECATUR-GRADY-THOMAS-BROOKS-LOWNDES-LANIER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ENTERPRISE...OZARK...FORT RUCKER...
DALEVILLE...HEADLAND...ABBEVILLE...GENEVA...HARTFORD...SAMSON...
SLOCOMB...MALVERN...TAYLOR...ASHFORD...DOTHAN...KINSEY...
COWARTS...WEBB...COTTONWOOD...REHOBETH...DE FUNIAK SPRINGS...
HUDSON...BONIFAY...CRYSTAL LAKE...CHIPLEY...FIVE POINTS...
MARIANNA...GRACEVILLE...MALONE...SNEADS...YOUNGSTOWN...
BLOUNTSTOWN...WHITE CITY...WEWAHITCHKA...QUINCY...CHATTAHOOCHEE...
TALLAHASSEE...SPRING HILL...MONTICELLO...MADISON...GREENVILLE...
SWEETWATER...CRAWFORDVILLE...PERRY...MIDWAY...MAYO...CROSS CITY...
FREEPORT...SANTA ROSA BEACH...PANAMA CITY...PARKER...
PORT SAINT JOE...APALACHICOLA...CARRABELLE...SOPCHOPPY...
SAINT MARKS...KEATON BEACH...STEINHATCHEE...SUWANNEE...
GEORGETOWN...FORT GAINES...CUTHBERT...SHELLMAN...ARLINGTON...
MORGAN...EDISON...LEARY...DAWSON...ALBANY...LEESBURG...
SMITHVILLE...SYLVESTER...ASHBURN...TIFTON...FITZGERALD...OCILLA...
DOUGLASVILLE...BLAKELY...COLQUITT...NEWTON...CAMILLA...PELHAM...
MOULTRIE...ADEL...SPARKS...NASHVILLE...DONALSONVILLE...
BAINBRIDGE...CAIRO...THOMASVILLE...QUITMAN...VALDOSTA...LAKELAND
417 AM EST MON DEC 22 2014 /317 AM CST MON DEC 22 2014/

...A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING
THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST ALABAMA...FLORIDA
  AND GEORGIA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN SOUTHEAST
  ALABAMA...COFFEE...DALE...GENEVA...HENRY AND HOUSTON. IN
  FLORIDA...CALHOUN...CENTRAL WALTON...COASTAL BAY...COASTAL
  DIXIE...COASTAL FRANKLIN...COASTAL GULF...COASTAL JEFFERSON...
  COASTAL TAYLOR...COASTAL WAKULLA...GADSDEN...HOLMES...INLAND
  BAY...INLAND DIXIE...INLAND FRANKLIN...INLAND GULF...INLAND
  JEFFERSON...INLAND TAYLOR...INLAND WAKULLA...INLAND WALTON...
  JACKSON...LAFAYETTE...LEON...LIBERTY...MADISON...SOUTH WALTON
  AND WASHINGTON. IN GEORGIA...BAKER...BEN HILL...BERRIEN...
  BROOKS...CALHOUN...CLAY...COLQUITT...COOK...DECATUR...
  DOUGHERTY...EARLY...GRADY...IRWIN...LANIER...LEE...LOWNDES...
  MILLER...MITCHELL...QUITMAN...RANDOLPH...SEMINOLE...TERRELL...
  THOMAS...TIFT...TURNER AND WORTH.

* FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING

* WIDESPREAD RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES EXPECTED WITH
  LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS.

* FLOODING OF LOW LYING AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS LIKELY...WITH
  POTENTIAL FLOODING OF SOME RIVERS AND STREAMS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$

17-GOULD


Special Weather Statement


SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
147 PM CST MON DEC 22 2014

ALZ042-044-222030-
LOWNDES AL-MONTGOMERY AL-
147 PM CST MON DEC 22 2014

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHERN MONTGOMERY AND EASTERN
LOWNDES COUNTIES UNTIL 230 PM CST...

AT 143 PM CST...THE PUBLIC REPORTED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR
HAYNEVILLE...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 50 MPH.

HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF NICKELS IS EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM...ALONG
WITH HEAVY RAIN.

LOCATIONS IN OR NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE...
  MONTGOMERY...
  DANNELLY FIELD...
  HYUNDAI MOTORS OF ALABAMA...

IF THREATENING WEATHER APPROACHES YOUR AREA...TAKE SHELTER IN A
STURDY BUILDING.

&&

LAT...LON 3220 8659 3245 8620 3245 8619 3243 8619
      3244 8618 3242 8615 3244 8613 3242 8613
      3241 8607 3242 8603 3241 8601 3238 8602
      3234 8599 3213 8654
TIME...MOT...LOC 1946Z 239DEG 42KT 3219 8651

$$


Hazardous Weather Outlook


HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
251 PM EST MON DEC 22 2014

GAZ001>009-011>016-019>025-027-030>039-041>062-066>076-078>086-
089>098-102>113-231100-
BALDWIN-BANKS-BARROW-BARTOW-BIBB-BLECKLEY-BUTTS-CARROLL-CATOOSA-
CHATTAHOOCHEE-CHATTOOGA-CHEROKEE-CLARKE-CLAYTON-COBB-COWETA-
CRAWFORD-CRISP-DADE-DAWSON-DE KALB-DODGE-DOOLY-DOUGLAS-EMANUEL-
FANNIN-FAYETTE-FLOYD-FORSYTH-GILMER-GLASCOCK-GORDON-GREENE-
GWINNETT-HALL-HANCOCK-HARALSON-HARRIS-HEARD-HENRY-HOUSTON-JACKSON-
JASPER-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-JONES-LAMAR-LAURENS-LUMPKIN-MACON-
MADISON-MARION-MERIWETHER-MONROE-MONTGOMERY-MORGAN-MURRAY-
MUSCOGEE-NEWTON-NORTH FULTON-OCONEE-OGLETHORPE-PAULDING-PEACH-
PICKENS-PIKE-POLK-PULASKI-PUTNAM-ROCKDALE-SCHLEY-SOUTH FULTON-
SPALDING-STEWART-SUMTER-TALBOT-TALIAFERRO-TAYLOR-TELFAIR-TOOMBS-
TOWNS-TREUTLEN-TROUP-TWIGGS-UNION-UPSON-WALKER-WALTON-WARREN-
WASHINGTON-WEBSTER-WHEELER-WHITE-WHITFIELD-WILCOX-WILKES-
WILKINSON-
251 PM EST MON DEC 22 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT...

A FEW THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE TONIGHT OVER PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
GEORGIA...MAINLY AFTER MIDNIGHT.

A WARM FRONT ACROSS FLORIDA WILL DRIFT NORTH TO NEAR A COLUMBUS TO
MACON LINE LATE TONIGHT. INCREASING MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY BEHIND
THE WARM FRONT WILL SUPPORT THE DEVELOPMENT OF A FEW THUNDERSTORMS.


.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...

A STRONG STORM SYSTEM WILL BRING WIDESPREAD RAIN AND SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS TO NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA BEGINNING TUESDAY AND
CONTINUING INTO WEDNESDAY. SOME OF THESE STORMS COULD BE SEVERE WITH
DAMAGING WINDS...ISOLATED TORNADOES...AND HEAVY RAIN. THE BEST RISK
FOR SEVERE STORMS TUESDAY AFTERNOON WILL BE ACROSS CENTRAL
GEORGIA...SOUTH OF THE WARM FRONT. ON WEDNESDAY...THE RISK WILL BE
ALONG AND AHEAD OF A STRONG COLD FRONT THAT WILL MOVE INTO WESTERN
GEORGIA WEDNESDAY MORNING...AND INTO EASTERN GEORGIA BY WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TONIGHT.



$$

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
1212 PM CST MON DEC 22 2014

ALZ001>010-016-TNZ076-096-097-231100-
LAUDERDALE-COLBERT-FRANKLIN AL-LAWRENCE-LIMESTONE-MADISON-MORGAN-
MARSHALL-JACKSON-DEKALB-CULLMAN-MOORE-LINCOLN-FRANKLIN TN-
1212 PM CST MON DEC 22 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH ALABAMA AND PORTIONS
OF SOUTHERN MIDDLE TENNESSEE.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT...

A FEW THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE TONIGHT...MAINLY ALONG AND WEST OF
A LINE FROM ALBERTVILLE TO LYNCHBURG. SMALL HAIL AND BRIEF HEAVY
RAINFALL WILL OCCUR WITH THE STRONGEST THUNDERSTORMS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...

THE COVERAGE OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL INCREASE ON TUESDAY AND TUESDAY
NIGHT AS AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE TRACKS NORTHEASTWARD WHICH WILL
SWING A COLD FRONT THROUGH THE AREA WEDNESDAY MORNING. SMALL HAIL
AND GUSTY WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THE STRONGEST STORMS DURING
THIS PERIOD. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL ALSO LEAD TO SIGNIFICANT
PONDING OF WATER AND WITHIN BANK STREAM RISES. THE THREAT FOR STORMS
WILL END FROM WEST TO EAST WEDNESDAY MORNING AS THE FRONT PUSHES
EASTWARD. GUSTY WEST WINDS WILL DEVELOP IN THE WAKE OF THE
FRONT...WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH POSSIBLE.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...

FORMAL ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT
PERSONNEL IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME. HOWEVER...TIMELY REPORTS
OF SMALL HAIL...GUSTY WINDS...AND HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE GREATLY
APPRECIATED.

$$

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
1153 AM CST MON DEC 22 2014

ALZ051>064-FLZ001>006-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-231200-
CHOCTAW-WASHINGTON-CLARKE-WILCOX-MONROE-CONECUH-BUTLER-CRENSHAW-
ESCAMBIA-COVINGTON-UPPER MOBILE-UPPER BALDWIN-LOWER MOBILE-
LOWER BALDWIN-INLAND ESCAMBIA-COASTAL ESCAMBIA-INLAND SANTA ROSA-
COASTAL SANTA ROSA-INLAND OKALOOSA-COASTAL OKALOOSA-WAYNE-PERRY-
GREENE-STONE-GEORGE-
1153 AM CST MON DEC 22 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
ALABAMA...SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...NORTHWEST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST
MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS
THE AREA THROUGH TONIGHT. CURRENTLY...THE THREAT OF SEVERE WEATHER
IS LOW...BUT A FEW STRONG STORMS ARE POSSIBLE.

AREAS OF FOG POSSIBLY DENSE AT TIMES WILL BE POSSIBLE TONIGHT AND
EARLY TUESDAY MORNING.

A MODERATE RISK FOR DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS WILL CONTINUE ALONG AREA
BEACHES THROUGH TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS
SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA
PANHANDLE AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT TUESDAY AND TUESDAY
NIGHT. A FEW STORMS COULD BECOME SEVERE...PARTICULARLY TUESDAY
AFTERNOON AND TUESDAY EVENING. DAMAGING WINDS AND ISOLATED TORNADOES
WILL BE THE PRIMARY SEVERE WEATHER HAZARDS.

A MODERATE RISK FOR DANGEROUS RIP CURRENT WILL BE LIKELY TUESDAY
THROUGH WEDNESDAY. THESE CONDITIONS MAY BE ELEVATED TO A HIGH RISK BY
TUESDAY MORNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

ACTIVATION OF SKYWARN SEVERE STORM SPOTTER NETWORKS MAY BE NECESSARY
TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT.

$$

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
933 AM CST MON DEC 22 2014

ALZ011>015-017>050-231545-
MARION-LAMAR-FAYETTE-WINSTON-WALKER-BLOUNT-ETOWAH-CALHOUN-CHEROKEE-
CLEBURNE-PICKENS-TUSCALOOSA-JEFFERSON-SHELBY-ST. CLAIR-TALLADEGA-
CLAY-RANDOLPH-SUMTER-GREENE-HALE-PERRY-BIBB-CHILTON-COOSA-TALLAPOOSA-
CHAMBERS-MARENGO-DALLAS-AUTAUGA-LOWNDES-ELMORE-MONTGOMERY-MACON-
BULLOCK-LEE-RUSSELL-PIKE-BARBOUR-
933 AM CST MON DEC 22 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE COUNTIES SERVED BY THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BIRMINGHAM.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

THERE IS A LOW-CONFIDENCE AND LOW-END THREAT FOR SEVERE STORMS
WITH ISOLATED DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL FROM 1 PM TO 6 PM
TUESDAY...ALONG AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM TUSCALOOSA TO ANNISTON.

A SEPARATE LOW-END THREAT FOR SEVERE STORMS WITH ISOLATED DAMAGING
WINDS AND A BRIEF TORNADO OR TWO...IS POSSIBLE FROM 6 PM TUESDAY
THROUGH 3 AM WEDNESDAY...ALONG AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM MONTGOMERY
TO AUBURN. HEAVY RAINFALL OF 2-4 INCHES IN THIS AREA MAY ALSO
PRESENT A RISK FOR LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT MAY BE
NEEDED TUESDAY THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING.

$$

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
711 AM CST MON DEC 22 2014

ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-015-016-023>026-MSZ018-019-025>053-059-060-
231315-
ASHLEY-CHICOT-MOREHOUSE-WEST CARROLL-EAST CARROLL-RICHLAND-
MADISON LA-FRANKLIN LA-CATAHOULA-TENSAS-CONCORDIA-BOLIVAR-
SUNFLOWER-LEFLORE-GRENADA-CARROLL-MONTGOMERY-WEBSTER-CLAY-LOWNDES-
CHOCTAW-OKTIBBEHA-WASHINGTON-HUMPHREYS-HOLMES-ATTALA-WINSTON-
NOXUBEE-ISSAQUENA-SHARKEY-YAZOO-MADISON MS-LEAKE-NESHOBA-KEMPER-
WARREN-HINDS-RANKIN-SCOTT-NEWTON-LAUDERDALE-CLAIBORNE-JEFFERSON-
ADAMS-
711 AM CST MON DEC 22 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST
ARKANSAS...NORTHEAST LOUISIANA...CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...NORTH
CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...AND SOUTHWEST MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...LIMITED
TIMING...TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT

THERE IS A LIMITED RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND
TONIGHT. LARGE HAIL IS THE MAIN RISK ALTHOUGH DAMAGING WINDS CANNOT
BE RULED OUT.

(WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=1)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING 60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND LARGE
HAIL ARE POSSIBLE WITH FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...PORTIONS
OF CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...EAST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...AND ALL OF SOUTH
CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI ON TUESDAY.

TORNADOES ARE ALSO POSSIBLE FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST
MISSISSIPPI...PORTIONS OF CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...EAST CENTRAL
MISSISSIPPI...AND ALL OF SOUTH CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI ON TUESDAY.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS MAY BE NEEDED FOR PORTIONS OF THE REGION TODAY
THROUGH TUESDAY.

$$

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
711 AM CST MON DEC 22 2014

MSZ054>058-061-231315-
COPIAH-SIMPSON-SMITH-JASPER-CLARKE-FRANKLIN MS-
711 AM CST MON DEC 22 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
MISSISSIPPI...EAST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...AND SOUTHWEST
MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...LIMITED
TIMING...TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT

FOG
THREAT...LIMITED
TIMING...THIS MORNING

THERE IS A LIMITED RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND
TONIGHT. LARGE HAIL IS THE MAIN RISK ALTHOUGH DAMAGING WINDS CANNOT
BE RULED OUT.

IN ADDITION...PATCHY DENSE FOG CAPABLE OF REDUCING VISIBILITIES DOWN
TO A QUARTER MILE OR LESS ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE
MORNING.

(WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=1)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING 60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND LARGE
HAIL ARE POSSIBLE FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...PORTIONS OF
CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...EAST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...AND ALL OF SOUTH
CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI ON TUESDAY.

TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...PORTIONS
OF CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...EAST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...AND ALL OF SOUTH
CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI ON TUESDAY.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS MAY BE NEEDED FOR PORTIONS OF THE REGION TODAY
THROUGH TUESDAY.

$$

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
711 AM CST MON DEC 22 2014

MSZ062>066-072>074-231315-
LINCOLN-LAWRENCE-JEFFERSON DAVIS-COVINGTON-JONES-MARION-LAMAR-
FORREST-
711 AM CST MON DEC 22 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
MISSISSIPPI...AND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

TORNADOES
THREAT...LIMITED
TIMING...TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...LIMITED
TIMING...TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT

FOG
THREAT...LIMITED
TIMING...TODAY

THERE IS A LIMITED RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND
TONIGHT. LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS ARE THE MAIN RISK ALTHOUGH
TORNADOES CANNOT BE RULED OUT.

IN ADDITION...PATCHY DENSE FOG CAPABLE OF REDUCING VISIBILITIES DOWN
TO A QUARTER MILE OR LESS ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE
MORNING.

(WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=1)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING 60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND LARGE
HAIL ARE POSSIBLE FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...PORTIONS
OF CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...EAST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...AND ALL OF SOUTH
CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI ON TUESDAY.

TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...PORTIONS
OF CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...EAST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...AND ALL OF SOUTH
CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI ON TUESDAY.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS MAY BE NEEDED FOR PORTIONS OF THE REGION TODAY
THROUGH TUESDAY.

$$

50

&&

...HAZARD LEGEND...

*SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS*
EXTREME...CONFIDENT IN SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH WIND GUSTS OF
 75 MPH OR GREATER AND/OR 2 INCH DIAMETER OR LARGER HAIL.
HIGH...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE WITH WIND GUSTS OF 75 MPH
 OR GREATER AND/OR 2 INCH DIAMETER OR LARGER HAIL.
ELEVATED...CONFIDENT IN SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH WINDS GUSTS OF
 60 MPH OR GREATER AND/OR 1 INCH DIAMETER OR LARGER HAIL.
LIMITED...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE WITH WIND GUSTS OF 60
 MPH OR GREATER AND/OR 1 INCH DIAMETER OR LARGER HAIL.

*FOG*
EXTREME...WIDESPREAD FOG WITH VISIBILITIES NEAR ZERO.
HIGH...FOG WITH VISIBILITIES LESS THAN OR EQUAL TO 1/4 MILE
 LIKELY.
ELEVATED...FOG WITH VISIBILITIES LESS THAN OR EQUAL TO 1/4 MILE
 POSSIBLE.
LIMITED...PATCHY FOG WITH VISIBILITIES LESS THAN OR EQUAL TO 1/4
 MILE POSSIBLE.

*TORNADOES*
EXTREME...CONFIDENT IN STRONG TORNADOES WITH RATINGS EF2 OR
 GREATER.
HIGH...STRONG TORNADOES POSSIBLE WITH RATINGS EF2 OR GREATER.
ELEVATED...CONFIDENT IN TORNADOES.
LIMITED...TORNADOES POSSIBLE.


...USEFUL WEATHER WEB PAGES (URLS)...

NWS JAN HOME PAGE...
   WWW.WEATHER.GOV/JAN
STAY AWARE, STAY SAFE NWS JAN BRIEFING PAGE...
   WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/JAN/?N=SAFE
FIND NWS JAN ON FACEBOOK...
   WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSJACKSONMS
FOLLOW NWS JAN ON TWITTER...
   @NWSJACKSONMS

...ADDITIONAL URLS FOR SEVERE WEATHER ISSUES...

STORM PREDICTION CENTER (SPC)...
   WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/
SPC...MESO ANALYSIS...
   WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/EXPER/MESOANALYSIS/NEW/#
SPC...DAY 1 THROUGH 3 OUTLOOKS...
   WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/PRODUCTS/OUTLOOK/
SPC...STORM REPORTS...
   WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/CLIMO/
NWS JAN CURRENT SVR/TOR WATCHES...
   WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/RTIMAGES/JAN/WATCH/TOASVA.PNG

   PLEASE CONVERT ALL WEB ADDRESSES TO LOWER CASE BEFORE ENTERING!


Hydrologic Outlook


HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK
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GAZ120>131-142>148-155>161-222130-

HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
419 PM EST SUN DEC 21 2014 /319 PM CST SUN DEC 21 2014/

...HEAVY RAINFALL EXPECTED TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY WITH AN
INCREASING POTENTIAL FOR AREAL AND RIVER FLOODING...

THE COMBINATION OF A VERY MOIST AIR MASS LIFTING NORTHWARD ACROSS
THE REGION INTERACTING WITH A STRONG STORM SYSTEM MOVING INTO THE
MID SOUTH WILL CREATE WIDESPREAD MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINFALL
ACROSS THE TRI-STATE AREA FROM TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY.

WHILE THERE IS STILL SOME UNCERTAINTY WITH RESPECT TO THE EXACT
PLACEMENT OF HEAVIEST RAINFALL WITH THE STORM SYSTEM ON TUESDAY AND
WEDNESDAY...CONFIDENCE IS INCREASING THAT A PERIOD OF SIGNIFICANT
RAINFALL WILL OCCUR ACROSS THE REGION DURING THIS TIME FRAME.
STORM TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES WITH ISOLATED HEAVIER
AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE FLORIDA BIG BEND AND SOUTH CENTRAL
GEORGIA. FURTHER NORTHWEST...STORM TOTALS WILL GENERALLY BE IN THE
2 TO 4 INCH RANGE.

RAINFALL TOTALS OF THIS MAGNITUDE WILL INCREASE THE POTENTIAL FOR
LOCALIZED FLOODING ACROSS THE REGION...PARTICULARLY DURING THE
TIME OF HEAVIEST RAINFALL ON TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY
MORNING.

WITH AREA RIVERS AND ASSOCIATED TRIBUTARIES AT OR BELOW NORMAL
FLOWS FOR DECEMBER...THE CURRENTLY PREDICTED RAINFALL AMOUNTS
ARE GENERALLY EXPECTED TO ONLY PRODUCE RISES TO ACTION STAGE AT
MOST OF THE RIVER FORECAST POINTS. THE NOTABLE EXCEPTIONS TO THIS
WILL BE WITHIN THE OCHLOCKONEE AND WITHLACOOCHEE RIVER BASINS
WHERE THERE IS AN INCREASED POTENTIAL TO REACH MINOR FLOOD STAGE
LATER THIS WEEK. SHOULD MORE RAIN OCCUR THAN CURRENTLY
FORECAST...THE CORRESPONDING RIVER FLOOD RISK WOULD INCREASE AND
INCLUDE ADDITIONAL RIVER BASINS REACHING AT LEAST MINOR FLOOD
STAGE.

FOR THE LATEST RIVER STAGE INFORMATION...VISIT OUR AHPS PAGE AT
THE FOLLOWING LINK (USE ALL LOWERCASE):

HTTP://WATER.WEATHER.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=TAE

$$

GODSEY/WOOL

U.S. Dept. of Commerce
NOAA National Weather Service
1325 East West Highway
Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: June 2, 2009
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