Hazardous Weather Outlook
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1038 AM CDT TUE MAY 21 2013
LAZ009-015-016-023>026-MSZ026>033-035>038-040>044-047>049-053-059-
060-221545-
EAST CARROLL-RICHLAND-MADISON LA-FRANKLIN LA-CATAHOULA-TENSAS-
CONCORDIA-GRENADA-CARROLL-MONTGOMERY-WEBSTER-CLAY-LOWNDES-CHOCTAW-
OKTIBBEHA-HUMPHREYS-HOLMES-ATTALA-WINSTON-ISSAQUENA-SHARKEY-YAZOO-
MADISON MS-LEAKE-WARREN-HINDS-RANKIN-CLAIBORNE-JEFFERSON-ADAMS-
1038 AM CDT TUE MAY 21 2013
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST
LOUISIANA AND CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI.
.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT
SCATTERED SEVERE STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS EVENING THROUGH
WEDNESDAY MORNING AS A DISTURBANCE MOVES ACROSS THE REGION. THE
PRIMARY SEVERE WEATHER RISK WITH THESE STORMS WILL BE DAMAGING
WIND GUSTS AROUND 60 MPH AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL. A FEW TORNADOES
WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE...MAINLY IN THE DELTA REGION TONIGHT
THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY.
IN ADDITION...PERIODS OF HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE.
RAINFALL IN STRONGER STORMS MAY PRODUCE PONDING WATER ON ROADWAYS
AND IN LOW LYING AREAS AND LOCAL FLOODING PROBLEMS IN AREAS WHERE
DRAINAGE IS POOR.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY
THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.
.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT... THE ACTIVATION OF STORM
SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT
PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER OPERATIONS...MAY BE
NECESSARY TONIGHT.
$$
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
1018 AM CDT TUE MAY 21 2013
ALZ001>010-016-TNZ076-096-097-212100-
LAUDERDALE-COLBERT-FRANKLIN AL-LAWRENCE-LIMESTONE-MADISON-MORGAN-
MARSHALL-JACKSON-DEKALB-CULLMAN-MOORE-LINCOLN-FRANKLIN TN-
1018 AM CDT TUE MAY 21 2013
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH ALABAMA AND PORTIONS
OF SOUTHERN MIDDLE TENNESSEE.
.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS NORTHWEST ALABAMA THROUGH
MIDDAY TODAY...WITH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE ACROSS ALL OF
NORTHERN ALABAMA AND SOUTHERN MIDDLE TENNESSEE THIS AFTERNOON. GUSTY
WINDS AND HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE THE PRIMARY THREATS.
MORE ORGANIZED STORMS ARE POSSIBLE LATE TONIGHT...MAINLY ACROSS
SOUTHERN MIDDLE TENNESSEE AND PARTS OF NORTHWEST AND NORTH CENTRAL
ALABAMA...AS ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT
NEARS. WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH...SMALL HAIL...AND HEAVY RAINFALL IS
POSSIBLE IN THE STRONGER STORMS.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY...
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL OVERSPREAD THE REGION EARLY WEDNESDAY
MORNING...CONTINUING INTO THE EVENING. SOME OF THESE STORMS COULD
BECOME STRONG...PRODUCING GUSTY WINDS...SMALL HAIL AND HEAVY
RAINFALL.
ANOTHER ROUND OF THUNDERSTORMS IS THEN POSSIBLE THURSDAY AS A
SECONDARY PIECE OF UPPER LEVEL ENERGY AND ACCOMPANYING COLD FRONT
MOVE SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE REGION.
.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL
IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.
$$
12
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
1110 AM EDT TUE MAY 21 2013
GAZ001>009-011>016-019>025-027-030>039-041>062-066>076-078>086-
089>098-102>113-221000-
BALDWIN-BANKS-BARROW-BARTOW-BIBB-BLECKLEY-BUTTS-CARROLL-CATOOSA-
CHATTAHOOCHEE-CHATTOOGA-CHEROKEE-CLARKE-CLAYTON-COBB-COWETA-
CRAWFORD-CRISP-DADE-DAWSON-DEKALB-DODGE-DOOLY-DOUGLAS-EMANUEL-
FANNIN-FAYETTE-FLOYD-FORSYTH-GILMER-GLASCOCK-GORDON-GREENE-
GWINNETT-HALL-HANCOCK-HARALSON-HARRIS-HEARD-HENRY-HOUSTON-JACKSON-
JASPER-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-JONES-LAMAR-LAURENS-LUMPKIN-MACON-
MADISON-MARION-MERIWETHER-MONROE-MONTGOMERY-MORGAN-MURRAY-
MUSCOGEE-NEWTON-NORTH FULTON-OCONEE-OGLETHORPE-PAULDING-PEACH-
PICKENS-PIKE-POLK-PULASKI-PUTNAM-ROCKDALE-SCHLEY-SOUTH FULTON-
SPALDING-STEWART-SUMTER-TALBOT-TALIAFERRO-TAYLOR-TELFAIR-TOOMBS-
TOWNS-TREUTLEN-TROUP-TWIGGS-UNION-UPSON-WALKER-WALTON-WARREN-
WASHINGTON-WEBSTER-WHEELER-WHITE-WHITFIELD-WILCOX-WILKES-
WILKINSON-
1110 AM EDT TUE MAY 21 2013
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH AND CENTRAL
GEORGIA.
.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...
ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE OVER EXTREME NORTH
AND THE EASTERN HALF OF GEORGIA THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING AS
DAYTIME HEATING DESTABILIZES THE ATMOSPHERE. AS WITH ANY
THUNDERSTORMS...FREQUENT LIGHTNING...BRIEF HEAVY RAIN AND GUSTY
WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY...
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY WITH THE
APPROACH OF A WEAK COLD FRONT AND UPPER LEVEL TROUGH. MAINLY ON
WEDNESDAY...SOME STORMS WILL BE STRONG PRODUCING GUSTY WINDS...
HAIL...FREQUENT LIGHTING AND HEAVY RAIN. NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS
EXPECTED FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY...AT THIS TIME.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED THROUGH TONIGHT.
$$
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
920 AM CDT TUE MAY 21 2013
ALZ051>064-FLZ001>006-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-221200-
CHOCTAW-WASHINGTON-CLARKE-WILCOX-MONROE-CONECUH-BUTLER-CRENSHAW-
ESCAMBIA-COVINGTON-UPPER MOBILE-UPPER BALDWIN-LOWER MOBILE-
LOWER BALDWIN-INLAND ESCAMBIA-COASTAL ESCAMBIA-INLAND SANTA ROSA-
COASTAL SANTA ROSA-INLAND OKALOOSA-COASTAL OKALOOSA-WAYNE-PERRY-
GREENE-STONE-GEORGE-
920 AM CDT TUE MAY 21 2013
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
ALABAMA...SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...NORTHWEST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST
MISSISSIPPI.
.DAY ONE...REST OF TODAY AND TONIGHT
NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS SOME POSSIBLY STRONG OR SEVERE CAN BE
EXPECTED OVER WESTERN AND INLAND AREAS OF THE FORECAST AREA
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND WEDNESDAY EVENING,,,GENERALLY WEST OF THE
I-65 CORRIDOR. GUSTY STRAIGHT LINE WINDS...FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND
LIGHTNING AND SMALL TO MEDIUM SIZE HAIL WILL BE THE MAIN THREAT WITH
THE STRONGER THUNDERSTORMS ON WEDNESDAY. A FEW ISOLATED TORNADOES
WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE.
A FEW STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE ON THURSDAY
AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT APPROACHING FROM THE NORTH.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
ACTIVATION OF SKYWARN SEVERE STORM SPOTTER NETWORKS IS NOT
EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY.
$$
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
750 AM CDT TUE MAY 21 2013
TNZ005>011-022>034-056>066-075-077>080-093>095-221300-
STEWART-MONTGOMERY-ROBERTSON-SUMNER-MACON-CLAY-PICKETT-BENTON-
HOUSTON-HUMPHREYS-DICKSON-CHEATHAM-DAVIDSON-WILSON-TROUSDALE-
SMITH-JACKSON-PUTNAM-OVERTON-FENTRESS-PERRY-HICKMAN-LEWIS-
WILLIAMSON-MAURY-MARSHALL-RUTHERFORD-CANNON-DE KALB-WHITE-
CUMBERLAND-BEDFORD-COFFEE-WARREN-GRUNDY-VAN BUREN-WAYNE-LAWRENCE-
GILES-
750 AM CDT TUE MAY 21 2013
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR MIDDLE TENNESSEE.
.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT
THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR NORTHWEST
MIDDLE TENNESSEE TUESDAY INTO TUESDAY NIGHT...GENERALLY ALONG AND
WEST OF A LINE FROM WAYNESBORO TO SPRINGFIELD.
AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL SWING ACROSS THE
REGION TUESDAY NIGHT. AHEAD OF THIS TROUGH...SEVERAL ROUNDS OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE ACROSS THE MID STATE
TODAY...WITH ADDITIONAL SHOWERS AND STORMS SPREADING INTO THE AREA
OVERNIGHT AS THE TROUGH MOVES ACROSS. SOME STORMS MAY BE STRONG
TO SEVERE...WITH DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL THE MAIN THREATS.
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND LOCALIZED FLOODING WILL ALSO BE
POSSIBLE WITH THE HEAVIER SHOWERS AND STORMS...WITH THE BIGGEST
THREAT FOR HEAVY RAINFALL AND POSSIBLE FLOODING ACROSS NORTHWEST
MIDDLE TENNESSEE.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY...
NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
REPORTS FROM TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTERS MAY BE NEEDED TODAY INTO
TONIGHT.
$$
SPOTTER THUNDERSTORM REPORTING CRITERIA...
TORNADO
FUNNEL CLOUD
FLOODING
HAIL >= 1/2 INCH
WINDS > 50 MPH (MEASURED)
STRUCTURAL DAMAGE
TREES OR POWER LINES DOWN
55
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
722 AM CDT TUE MAY 21 2013
ARZ008-009-017-018-026>028-035-036-048-049-058-MOZ113-115-
MSZ001>017-020>024-TNZ001>004-019>021-048>055-088>092-221300-
ALCORN-BENTON MS-CALHOUN-CARROLL-CHESTER-CHICKASAW-CLAY-COAHOMA-
CRAIGHEAD-CRITTENDEN-CROCKETT-CROSS-DESOTO-DECATUR-DUNKLIN-DYER-
FAYETTE-GIBSON-GREENE-HARDEMAN-HARDIN-HAYWOOD-HENDERSON-HENRY-
ITAWAMBA-LAFAYETTE-LAKE-LAUDERDALE-LAWRENCE-LEE AR-LEE MS-MADISON-
MARSHALL-MCNAIRY-MISSISSIPPI-MONROE-OBION-PANOLA-PEMISCOT-
PHILLIPS-POINSETT-PONTOTOC-PRENTISS-QUITMAN-RANDOLPH-SHELBY-
ST. FRANCIS-TALLAHATCHIE-TATE-TIPPAH-TIPTON-TISHOMINGO-TUNICA-
UNION-WEAKLEY-YALOBUSHA-
722 AM CDT TUE MAY 21 2013
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EAST ARKANSAS...
THE MISSOURI BOOTHEEL...NORTH MISSISSIPPI...AND WEST TENNESSEE.
.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT
THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE ENTIRE
MID SOUTH TODAY AND TONIGHT. A FEW STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
ARE POSSIBLE THIS MORNING WITH HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS AS THE
PREDOMINANT SEVERE WEATHER THREATS. A GREATER THREAT FOR SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS IS EXPECTED LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT AS A
STRONG AREA OF LOW PRESSURE MOVES INTO THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY.
LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE THE PRIMARY SEVERE WEATHER
THREATS ALONG WITH A SECONDARY POTENTIAL FOR PERHAPS A TORNADO.
LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING FROM HEAVY RAINFALL WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY
THE PROBABILITY OF WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS AND EMERGENCY MANAGERS MAY BE NEEDED IN
SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER OPERATIONS TODAY AND TONIGHT.
$$
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
327 AM EDT TUE MAY 21 2013
ALZ065>069-FLZ007>019-026>029-034-108-112-114-115-118-127-128-134-
GAZ120>131-142>148-155>161-GMZ730-750-755-765-770-775-220730-
COFFEE-DALE-HENRY-GENEVA-HOUSTON-INLAND WALTON-CENTRAL WALTON-
HOLMES-WASHINGTON-JACKSON-INLAND BAY-CALHOUN-INLAND GULF-
INLAND FRANKLIN-GADSDEN-LEON-INLAND JEFFERSON-MADISON-LIBERTY-
INLAND WAKULLA-INLAND TAYLOR-LAFAYETTE-INLAND DIXIE-SOUTH WALTON-
COASTAL BAY-COASTAL GULF-COASTAL FRANKLIN-COASTAL JEFFERSON-
COASTAL WAKULLA-COASTAL TAYLOR-COASTAL DIXIE-QUITMAN-CLAY-
RANDOLPH-TERRELL-DOUGHERTY-LEE-WORTH-TURNER-TIFT-BEN HILL-IRWIN-
EARLY-MILLER-BAKER-MITCHELL-COLQUITT-COOK-BERRIEN-SEMINOLE-
DECATUR-GRADY-THOMAS-BROOKS-LOWNDES-LANIER-
APALACHEE BAY OR COASTAL WATERS FROM KEATON BEACH TO OCHLOCKONEE
RIVER FL OUT TO 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM OCHLOCKONEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL OUT TO
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SUWANNEE RIVER TO KEATON BEACH OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM SUWANNEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
327 AM EDT TUE MAY 21 2013 /227 AM CDT TUE MAY 21 2013/
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST ALABAMA...
SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA...AND THE FLORIDA BIG BEND
AND PANHANDLE...AND ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS.
.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...
THE BEST CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON WILL BE ALONG THE
FLORIDA BIG BEND AND SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA. WITHIN SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS...THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR SMALL HAIL AND GUSTY
WINDS.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY...
THE THREAT FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER REMAINS LOW. SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE EACH AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY.
ALTHOUGH THE THREAT FOR STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS SHOULD REMAIN
RATHER LOW.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
WEBSITE ON THE INTERNET AT WEATHER.GOV...THEN CLICK ON YOUR AREA
OF INTEREST ON THE NATIONAL MAP.
$$
HARRIGAN
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
327 AM EDT TUE MAY 21 2013
NCZ060-061-TNZ012>018-035>047-067>074-081>087-098>102-VAZ001-002-
005-006-008-220730-
CHEROKEE-CLAY-SCOTT TN-CAMPBELL-CLAIBORNE-HANCOCK-HAWKINS-
SULLIVAN-JOHNSON-MORGAN-ANDERSON-UNION-GRAINGER-HAMBLEN-
NORTHWEST COCKE-COCKE SMOKY MOUNTAINS-NORTHWEST GREENE-
SOUTHEAST GREENE-WASHINGTON TN-UNICOI-NORTHWEST CARTER-
SOUTHEAST CARTER-ROANE-LOUDON-KNOX-JEFFERSON-NW BLOUNT-
BLOUNT SMOKY MOUNTAINS-NORTH SEVIER-SEVIER SMOKY MOUNTAINS-
SEQUATCHIE-BLEDSOE-RHEA-MEIGS-MCMINN-NORTHWEST MONROE-
SOUTHEAST MONROE-MARION-HAMILTON-BRADLEY-WEST POLK-EAST POLK-LEE-
WISE-SCOTT-RUSSELL-WASHINGTON-
327 AM EDT TUE MAY 21 2013 /227 AM CDT TUE MAY 21 2013/
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST NORTH
CAROLINA...EAST TENNESSEE AND SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA.
.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON
WITH THE GREATEST COVERAGE ACROSS THE PLATEAU AND MOUNTAINS. SOME
OF THESE STORMS COULD BECOME SEVERE TODAY WITH THE MAIN CONCERN
BEING DAMAGING DOWNBURST WINDS UP TO 60 MPH AND LARGE HAIL.
ALSO...LOCALIZED HEAVY RAINS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY...
ISOLATED STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ON WEDNESDAY AND
THURSDAY...AS A SLOW MOVING COLD FRONT NEARS THE REGION.
NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS ANTICIPATED FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE
PERIOD.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...AND LATER
THIS WEEK ON WEDNESDAY OR THURSDAY.
$$
