Hazardous Weather Outlook
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
328 AM EST SUN NOV 22 2009
ALZ065>069-FLZ007>019-026>029-034-GAZ120>131-142>148-155>161-
GMZ730-750-755-765-770-775-230830-
COFFEE-DALE-HENRY-GENEVA-HOUSTON-INLAND WALTON-COASTAL WALTON-
HOLMES-WASHINGTON-JACKSON-BAY-CALHOUN-GULF-FRANKLIN-GADSDEN-LEON-
JEFFERSON-MADISON-LIBERTY-WAKULLA-TAYLOR-LAFAYETTE-DIXIE-QUITMAN-
CLAY-RANDOLPH-TERRELL-DOUGHERTY-LEE-WORTH-TURNER-TIFT-BEN HILL-
IRWIN-EARLY-MILLER-BAKER-MITCHELL-COLQUITT-COOK-BERRIEN-SEMINOLE-
DECATUR-GRADY-THOMAS-BROOKS-LOWNDES-LANIER-
APALACHEE BAY OR COASTAL WATERS FROM KEATON BEACH TO OCHLOCKONEE
RIVER FL OUT TO 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM OCHLOCKONEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL OUT TO
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SUWANNEE RIVER TO KEATON BEACH OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM SUWANNEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
328 AM EST SUN NOV 22 2009 /228 AM CST SUN NOV 22 2009/
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST ALABAMA...
SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA...AND THE FLORIDA BIG BEND
AND PANHANDLE...AND ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS.
.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...
THERE IS A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS ALONG THE BEACHES OF THE
FLORIDA PANHANDLE. BOATERS SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION FOR ROUGH SEAS
AND GUSTY WINDS...ESPECIALLY NEAR ISOLATED STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS
THIS MORNING. ALTHOUGH THE BULK OF THE RAIN WILL END FROM
SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST THIS MORNING...ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. THERE IS
STILL A SMALL CHANCE...ABOUT 5 PERCENT OR LESS...THAT A STORM OR
TWO COULD PRODUCE DAMAGING WINDS OR A BRIEF TORNADO. IF THIS
HAPPENS...IT IS MORE LIKELY TO OCCUR ALONG THE FLORIDA BIG BEND
COAST THIS MORNING...AS AN ISOLATED SUPER CELL THUNDERSTORM HAS BEEN
OBSERVED OVER THE COASTAL WATERS DURING MUCH OF THE OVERNIGHT
HOURS.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...
THERE REMAINS CONSIDERABLE UNCERTAINTY IN THE FORECAST FOR THE
UPCOMING WORK WEEK DUE TO VARYING SOLUTIONS FROM THE COMPUTER
MODELS USED TO FORECAST THE WEATHER. ONE MODEL FORECASTS FAIR AND
MILD WEATHER WHILE THE OTHER FORECASTS A RAIN EVENT BY MID WEEK.
EVEN IF THE RAINY SOLUTION IS CORRECT...IT APPEARS UNLIKELY THAT A
SIGNIFICANT SEVERE WEATHER EVENT WILL OCCUR.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED...BUT SPOTTERS ARE STILL ASKED
TO MONITOR THE WEATHER TODAY IN CASE A WARNING IS ISSUED.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
WEBSITE ON THE INTERNET AT WEATHER.GOV...THEN CLICK ON YOUR AREA
OF INTEREST ON THE NATIONAL MAP.
$$
FOURNIER
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
930 PM CST SAT NOV 21 2009
ALZ051>064-FLZ001>006-GMZ630-650-655-670-675-MSZ067-075-076-078-
079-221200-
CHOCTAW-WASHINGTON-CLARKE-WILCOX-MONROE-CONECUH-BUTLER-CRENSHAW-
ESCAMBIA-COVINGTON-UPPER MOBILE-UPPER BALDWIN-LOWER MOBILE-
LOWER BALDWIN-INLAND ESCAMBIA-COASTAL ESCAMBIA-INLAND SANTA ROSA-
COASTAL SANTA ROSA-INLAND OKALOOSA-COASTAL OKALOOSA-MOBILE BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-WAYNE-PERRY-
GREENE-STONE-GEORGE-
930 PM CST SAT NOV 21 2009
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
ALABAMA...SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...THE COASTAL WATERS OF ALABAMA AND
NORTHWEST FLORIDA...NORTHWEST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI.
.DAY ONE...TONIGHT
A DEVELOPING LOW MOVING EAST OVER THE NORTHERN GULF WILL REMAIN
GENERALLY OFFSHORE PUSHING A WARM FRONT AHEAD OF IT TO THE FLORIDA
COAST NEAR OR EAST OF DESTIN. THE MAIN CONCERN OVER LAND WITH THIS
FEATURE IS HEAVY RAIN POSSIBLY LEADING TO SOME MINOR FLOODING OF
CREEKS AND STREAMS AND AREAS OF POOR DRAINAGE SOUTH OF THE I-IO
CORRIDOR. GUSTY EASTERLY WINDS WILL OCCUR GENERALLY NEAR THE COAST
BRINGING TIDES ABOUT A FOOT ABOVE NORMAL. THIS COULD CAUSE COASTAL
FLOODING IN ISOLATED LOCATIONS SUSCEPTIBLE THERETO...SUCH AS THE
WEST END OF DAUPHIN ISLAND.
OFFSHORE...A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT. THAT WARM FRONT WILL
MOVE NORTH AND STALL OVER THE MARINE AREA WITH THE LOW PRESSURE
MOVING EAST NEAR OR ALONG THE FRONT. NEAR AND SOUTH OF THE FRONT A
FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL BRING STRONG GUSTY WINDS...FREQUENT LIGHTNING
AND POSSIBLY LONG LIVED WATERSPOUTS. MARINERS SHOULD EXERCISE
CAUTION THROUGH TONIGHT.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MOSTLY OFFSHORE ALONG A WARM FRONT WILL
MOVE EAST OF THE REGION LATE SUNDAY MORNING. A MODERATE NORTH WIND
BEHIND THE LOW CONTINUE TO BRING HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL
CRAFT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT. AFTER A BRIEF REPRIEVE...AN EVEN
STRONGER COLD FRONT MOVING ACROSS THE REGION LATER THIS WEEK WILL
RETURN WINDS AND SEAS HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT LATE WEDNESDAY
THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
AT THIS TIME ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT
OFFICIALS IS NOT ANTICIPATED THROUGH TONIGHT.
$$
