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Gale Warning


OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
851 PM EST THU MAR 5 2015

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

GMZ017-061400-
W CENTRAL GULF FROM 22N TO 26N W OF 94W-
851 PM EST THU MAR 5 2015

...GALE WARNING...

.OVERNIGHT...N WINDS 30 TO 40 KT...BECOMING N TO NE 25 TO 30 KT E
OF 96W LATE. SEAS 12 TO 17 FT IN N SWELL.
.FRI...N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 9 TO 13 FT IN NE SWELL.
.FRI NIGHT...N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT...DIMINISHING TO 15 TO
20 KT LATE. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN NE SWELL.
.SAT...NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 6 TO 8 FT IN NE SWELL.
.SAT NIGHT...NE TO E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT...BECOMING E 5 TO 10 KT
LATE. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT.
.SUN...NE TO E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...E TO SE WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 3 TO 4 FT.
.MON...E WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 3 TO 4 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NE WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 5 TO 7 FT.
.TUE...NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT...BECOMING N TO NE 15 TO 20 KT
LATE. SEAS 5 TO 7 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT...DIMINISHING TO 15 TO 20 KT
LATE. SEAS 6 TO 8 FT.

$$


Freeze Warning


URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
855 PM CST THU MAR 5 2015

...FREEZING TEMPERATURES EARLY FRIDAY MORNING OVER THE NORTHERN
SECTIONS OF SOUTH TEXAS...

.THE COMBINATION OF AN ARCTIC AIRMASS AND RADIATIONAL COOLING WILL
RESULT IN FREEZING TEMPERATURES OVER THE NORTHERN PORTIONS OF
SOUTH TEXAS. ALTHOUGH PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES WILL LIMIT RADIATIONAL
COOLING...FREEZING TEMPERATURES...FOR GREATER THAN 2 HOURS...ARE
EXPECTED GENERALLY ALONG AND NORTH OF A DACOSTA...SKIDMORE...ARTESIA
WELLS LINE.

TXZ230>234-061100-
/O.CON.KCRP.FZ.W.0003.150306T0700Z-150306T1500Z/
MCMULLEN-LIVE OAK-BEE-GOLIAD-VICTORIA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CALLIHAM...CROSS...LOMA ALTA...TILDEN...
GEORGE WEST...THREE RIVERS...BEEVILLE...GOLIAD...VICTORIA
855 PM CST THU MAR 5 2015

...FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 9 AM CST
FRIDAY...

* TEMPERATURE...29 TO 32 DEGREES FOR 2 TO 7 HOURS.

* IMPACTS...RESIDENTS WITH TEMPERATURE SENSITIVE PLANTS AND
  ANIMALS SHOULD TAKE THE PROPER PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT THEM FROM
  THE FREEZING TEMPERATURES EXPECTED EARLY FRIDAY MORNING. ALSO...PROTECT
  ANY EXPOSED OUTDOOR PIPES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZE WARNING MEANS SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE IMMINENT OR
HIGHLY LIKELY FOR 2 HOURS OR MORE. THESE CONDITIONS COULD KILL
CROPS AND OTHER SENSITIVE VEGETATION.

&&

$$

87

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
855 PM CST THU MAR 5 2015

...FREEZING TEMPERATURES EARLY FRIDAY MORNING OVER THE NORTHERN
SECTIONS OF SOUTH TEXAS...

.THE COMBINATION OF AN ARCTIC AIRMASS AND RADIATIONAL COOLING WILL
RESULT IN FREEZING TEMPERATURES OVER THE NORTHERN PORTIONS OF
SOUTH TEXAS. ALTHOUGH PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES WILL LIMIT RADIATIONAL
COOLING...FREEZING TEMPERATURES...FOR GREATER THAN 2 HOURS...ARE
EXPECTED GENERALLY ALONG AND NORTH OF A DACOSTA...SKIDMORE...ARTESIA
WELLS LINE.

TXZ229-061100-
/O.EXA.KCRP.FZ.W.0003.150306T0700Z-150306T1500Z/
LA SALLE-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...COTULLA
855 PM CST THU MAR 5 2015

...FREEZE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 9 AM CST FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CORPUS CHRISTI HAS ISSUED A
FREEZE WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 9 AM CST FRIDAY.

* TEMPERATURE...29 TO 32 DEGREES FOR 2 TO 7 HOURS.

* IMPACTS...RESIDENTS WITH TEMPERATURE SENSITIVE PLANTS AND
  ANIMALS SHOULD TAKE THE PROPER PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT THEM
  FROM THE FREEZING TEMPERATURES EXPECTED EARLY FRIDAY MORNING.
  ALSO... PROTECT ANY EXPOSED OUTDOOR PIPES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZE WARNING MEANS SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE IMMINENT OR
HIGHLY LIKELY FOR 2 HOURS OR MORE. THESE CONDITIONS COULD KILL
CROPS AND OTHER SENSITIVE VEGETATION.

&&

$$


Wind Chill Advisory


URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
1009 PM CST THU MAR 5 2015

...LOW WIND CHILL VALUES EXPECTED OVERNIGHT OVER THE COASTAL BEND
AND VICTORIA CROSSROADS...

.OVERNIGHT TEMPERATURES FROM THE UPPER 20S TO THE MID 30S WILL
COMBINE WITH NORTH WINDS OF 10 TO 20 MPH TO PRODUCE WIND CHILLS
BETWEEN 20 AND 25 DEGREES. DAYTIME HEATING WILL RESULT IN A
SIGNIFICANT INCREASE IN TEMPERATURE AND WIND CHILL VALUES BY MID
MORNING FRIDAY.

TXZ231>234-241>247-061215-
/O.CON.KCRP.WC.Y.0004.150306T0600Z-150306T1500Z/
LIVE OAK-BEE-GOLIAD-VICTORIA-JIM WELLS-KLEBERG-NUECES-
SAN PATRICIO-ARANSAS-REFUGIO-CALHOUN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GEORGE WEST...THREE RIVERS...BEEVILLE...
GOLIAD...VICTORIA...ALICE...ORANGE GROVE...KINGSVILLE...
CORPUS CHRISTI...PORTLAND...INGLESIDE...ARANSAS PASS...SINTON...
MATHIS...ROCKPORT...REFUGIO...WOODSBORO...PORT LAVACA
1009 PM CST THU MAR 5 2015

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM CST FRIDAY...

* WIND CHILL VALUES...20 TO 25 DEGREES FROM AROUND MIDNIGHT
  THROUGH 900 AM CST.

* OTHER IMPACTS...BEING OUTSIDE WITH EXPOSED SKIN OR CLOTHING
  INSUFFICIENT TO PROTECT SOMEONE FROM THESE COLD WIND CHILLS
  COULD RESULT IN HEALTH PROBLEMS. CHILDREN AND ADULTS STANDING
  OUTSIDE FOR LONG DURATION...SUCH AS AT BUS STOPS SHOULD TAKE
  EXTRA PRECAUTIONS TO STAY WARM. PETS AND LIVESTOCK MAY BECOME
  STRESSED DUE TO THE COLD TEMPERATURES. MAKE SURE ADEQUATE
  SHELTER IS AVAILABLE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND CHILL ADVISORY MEANS THAT VERY COLD AIR AND STRONG WINDS
WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE LOW WIND CHILLS. THIS COULD RESULT IN
HEALTH PROBLEMS OR STRESS. ALSO...PROLONGED EXPOSURE COULD LEAD
TO FROST BITE AND EVEN HYPOTHERMIA. IF YOU MUST VENTURE
OUTDOORS...MAKE SURE YOU WEAR A HAT AND GLOVES.

&&

$$

87


Small Craft Advisory For Winds


URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
957 PM CST THU MAR 5 2015

...STRONG WINDS ACROSS THE LOWER TEXAS COASTAL WATERS WILL SLOWLY
DECREASE THROUGH FRIDAY...

.STRONG NORTHERLY WINDS WILL CONTINUE AND WILL SLOWLY DECREASE
THROUGH FRIDAY. COUPLED WITH HIGH SEAS OFFSHORE...SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORIES ARE IN EFFECT FOR THE LAGUNA THROUGH 3 AM AND FOR THE
GULF WATERS THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON.

GMZ130-132-135-060900-
/O.CON.KBRO.SI.Y.0012.000000T0000Z-150306T0900Z/
LAGUNA MADRE FROM THE PORT OF BROWNSVILLE TO THE ARROYO COLORADO-
LAGUNA MADRE FROM THE ARROYO COLORADO TO 5 NM NORTH OF PORT
MANSFIELD TX-
LAGUNA MADRE FROM 5 NM NORTH OF PORT MANSFIELD TO BAFFIN BAY TX-
957 PM CST THU MAR 5 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WINDS REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM
CST FRIDAY...

* WINDS...NORTH 20 TO 25 KNOTS.

* SEAS...BAY WATERS ROUGH.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WIND MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO
33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE
OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$


Small Craft Advisory


URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
1004 PM CST THU MAR 5 2015

...STRONG OFFSHORE FLOW WILL CONTINUE TONIGHT...

.STRONG WIND AND HIGH SEAS WILL PERSIST OVER THE COASTAL WATERS
TONIGHT. CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE FROM WEST TO EAST FRIDAY AS THE
MEAN SEA LEVEL SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT RELAXES.

GMZ270-275-061215-
/O.CAN.KCRP.SC.Y.0018.000000T0000Z-150306T2300Z/
/O.NEW.KCRP.SC.Y.0019.150306T0500Z-150306T2300Z/
WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT ARANSAS FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM PORT ARANSAS TO MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL FROM 20 TO
60 NM-
1004 PM CST THU MAR 5 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM CST FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CORPUS CHRISTI HAS ISSUED A SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM CST FRIDAY.

* WINDS: NORTH 20 TO 25 KNOTS.

* SEAS: 9 TO 11 FEET WITH OCCASIONAL HIGHER SEAS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR SEAS OF 7 FEET OR GREATER ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS
CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY
THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS. MARINERS SHOULD PAY CLOSE ATTENTION TO THE MARINE
FORECAST...AND CONSIDER WIND AND SEA CONDITIONS IN PLANNING.

&&

$$

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
1004 PM CST THU MAR 5 2015

...STRONG OFFSHORE FLOW WILL CONTINUE TONIGHT...

.STRONG WIND AND HIGH SEAS WILL PERSIST OVER THE COASTAL WATERS
TONIGHT. CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE FROM WEST TO EAST FRIDAY AS THE
MEAN SEA LEVEL SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT RELAXES.

GMZ250-255-061215-
/O.CAN.KCRP.SC.Y.0018.000000T0000Z-150306T1700Z/
/O.NEW.KCRP.SC.Y.0019.150306T0500Z-150306T1700Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT ARANSAS OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT ARANSAS TO MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL OUT
20 NM-
1004 PM CST THU MAR 5 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM CST FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CORPUS CHRISTI HAS ISSUED A SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM CST FRIDAY.

* WINDS: NORTH 20 TO 25 KNOTS.

* SEAS: 6 TO 8 FEET WITH OCCASIONAL HIGHER SEAS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR SEAS OF 7 FEET OR GREATER ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...
ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID
NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. MARINERS SHOULD PAY CLOSE
ATTENTION TO THE MARINE FORECAST...AND CONSIDER WIND AND SEA
CONDITIONS IN PLANNING.

&&

$$

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
957 PM CST THU MAR 5 2015

...STRONG WINDS ACROSS THE LOWER TEXAS COASTAL WATERS WILL SLOWLY
DECREASE THROUGH FRIDAY...

.STRONG NORTHERLY WINDS WILL CONTINUE AND WILL SLOWLY DECREASE
THROUGH FRIDAY. COUPLED WITH HIGH SEAS OFFSHORE...SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORIES ARE IN EFFECT FOR THE LAGUNA THROUGH 3 AM AND FOR THE
GULF WATERS THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON.

GMZ150-155-170-175-061200-
/O.CON.KBRO.SC.Y.0016.000000T0000Z-150307T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT MANSFIELD TO THE RIO GRANDE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT MANSFIELD OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PORT MANSFIELD TO THE RIO GRANDE EXTENDING FROM 20 TO
60 NM-
WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT MANSFIELD EXTENDING FROM 20 TO
60 NM-
957 PM CST THU MAR 5 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST FRIDAY...

* WINDS...NORTH WINDS 25 TO 30 KNOTS.

* SEAS...8 TO 11 FEET WITH OCCASIONAL SEAS UP TO 14 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS FOR SMALL
CRAFT...GENERALLY WITH COMBINED SEAS OF 7 FEET OR MORE.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
938 PM CST THU MAR 5 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FOR GULF WATER...

.STRONG WINDS AND HIGH SEAS WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH LATER TONIGHT
AND FRIDAY. WITH NORTHEASTERLY WINDS DEVELOPING...THE WATER
LEVELS IN THE BAYS WILL SLOWLY RECOVER OVERNIGHT TONIGHT AND
FRIDAY MORNING.

GMZ350-355-061145-
/O.CON.KHGX.SC.Y.0020.000000T0000Z-150306T1500Z/
WATERS FROM FREEPORT TO THE MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM HIGH ISLAND TO FREEPORT OUT 20 NM-
938 PM CST THU MAR 5 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM CST FRIDAY...

* WINDS...NORTHEAST WINDS 20 TO 25 KNOTS...WITH GUSTS TO GALE
  THROUGH MIDNIGHT.

* SEAS...5 TO 7 FEET SUBSIDING TO 4 TO 6 FEET FRIDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO 33 KNOTS...
AND/OR SEAS 7 FEET OR HIGHER...ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS
CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED BOATERS...ESPECIALLY
THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$


Hazardous Weather Outlook


HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
940 PM CST THU MAR 5 2015

GMZ130-132-135-150-155-170-175-070345-
LAGUNA MADRE FROM THE PORT OF BROWNSVILLE TO THE ARROYO COLORADO-
LAGUNA MADRE FROM THE ARROYO COLORADO TO 5 NM NORTH OF PORT
MANSFIELD TX-
LAGUNA MADRE FROM 5 NM NORTH OF PORT MANSFIELD TO BAFFIN BAY TX-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT MANSFIELD TO THE RIO GRANDE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT MANSFIELD OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PORT MANSFIELD TO THE RIO GRANDE EXTENDING FROM 20 TO
60 NM-
WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT MANSFIELD EXTENDING FROM 20 TO
60 NM-
940 PM CST THU MAR 5 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE GULF OF
MEXICO AND THE LAGUNA MADRE.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES ARE IN EFFECT FOR THE LAGUNA MADRE THROUGH
3 AM AND FOR THE GULF WATERS THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON.

DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES ARE IN EFFECT FOR THE GULF WATERS THROUGH 6
PM FRIDAY.

SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES MAY BE NECESSARY MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

$$

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
940 PM CST THU MAR 5 2015

TXZ248>257-070345-
ZAPATA-JIM HOGG-BROOKS-KENEDY-STARR-HIDALGO-INLAND WILLACY-
INLAND CAMERON-COASTAL WILLACY-COASTAL CAMERON-
940 PM CST THU MAR 5 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF DEEP SOUTH
TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

THERE IS HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS ALONG AREA BEACHES TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

AN ELEVATED RISK OF RIP CURRENTS IS LIKELY THROUGH THE WEEKEND AND
EARLY NEXT WEEK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

$$

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
446 PM CST THU MAR 5 2015

GMZ230-235-250-255-270-275-062300-
BAYS AND WATERWAYS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT ARANSAS-
BAYS AND WATERWAYS FROM PORT ARANSAS TO PORT O`CONNOR-
COASTAL WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT ARANSAS OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT ARANSAS TO MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL OUT
20 NM-WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT ARANSAS FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM PORT ARANSAS TO MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL FROM 20 TO
60 NM-
446 PM CST THU MAR 5 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH TEXAS AND THE MIDDLE
TEXAS COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE OFFSHORE COASTAL WATERS
UNTIL 600 PM CST THIS EVENING. AFTERWARD...A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
WILL REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR THE COASTAL WATERS OVERNIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST OVER THE OFFSHORE
COASTAL WATERS THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
CONDITIONS OVER THE NEARSHORE WATERS WILL BE CONFINED TO THE
MORNING HOURS FRIDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

$$

87

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
446 PM CST THU MAR 5 2015

TXZ229>234-239>247-062300-
LA SALLE-MCMULLEN-LIVE OAK-BEE-GOLIAD-VICTORIA-WEBB-DUVAL-
JIM WELLS-KLEBERG-NUECES-SAN PATRICIO-ARANSAS-REFUGIO-CALHOUN-
446 PM CST THU MAR 5 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH TEXAS AND THE MIDDLE
TEXAS COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

A FREEZE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM 100 AM TO 900 AM CST FRIDAY FOR
THE COUNTIES OF MCMULLEN...LIVE OAK...BEE...GOLIAD...AND VICTORIA.

THE COMBINATION OF WIND AND COLD TEMPERATURES WILL RESULT IN WIND
CHILL VALUES FROM 20 TO 25 DEGREES OVER THE COASTAL BEND AND
VICTORIA CROSSROADS EARLY FRIDAY. A WIND CHILL ADVISORY IS IN
EFFECT FOR THE COASTAL BEND AND VICTORIA CROSSROADS FROM MIDNIGHT
THROUGH 900 AM CST FRIDAY MORNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

A FREEZE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM 100 AM TO 900 AM CST FRIDAY FOR
THE COUNTIES OF MCMULLEN...LIVE OAK...BEE...GOLIAD...AND VICTORIA.

THE COMBINATION OF WIND AND COLD TEMPERATURES WILL RESULT IN WIND
CHILL VALUES FROM 20 TO 25 DEGREES OVER THE COASTAL BEND AND
VICTORIA CROSSROADS EARLY FRIDAY. A WIND CHILL ADVISORY IS IN
EFFECT FOR THE COASTAL BEND AND VICTORIA CROSSROADS FROM MIDNIGHT
THROUGH 900 AM CST FRIDAY MORNING.

THE RIP CURRENT RISK WILL LIKELY BECOME MODERATE THIS WEEKEND DUE TO
SUSTAINED NORTHEAST FLOW AND PERSISTENT HIGH SWELL HEIGHTS AND
PERIODS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

$$

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
615 AM CST THU MAR 5 2015

GMZ330-335-350-355-370-375-TXZ214-235>238-061215-
BRAZORIA-CHAMBERS-GALVESTON-GALVESTON BAY-JACKSON-MATAGORDA-
MATAGORDA BAY-
WATERS FROM FREEPORT TO THE MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL 20 NM TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM FREEPORT TO THE MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM HIGH ISLAND TO FREEPORT 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM HIGH ISLAND TO FREEPORT OUT 20 NM-
615 AM CST THU MAR 5 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

...INLAND WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH NOON CST...

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH 3 PM CST...

...LOW WATER ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH 6 PM CST...

STRONG NORTH WINDS BEHIND LAST NIGHTS COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE WILL
MAINTAIN A COASTAL COUNTY WIND ADVISORY AND LOCAL WATER GALE
WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING. IF TRAVELING ALONG EAST TO WEST
ORIENTATED ROADWAYS...CAUTION MAY BE REQUIRED IN HANDLING THE
WINDS BUFFERING EFFECTS TO YOUR VEHICLE. A LOW WATER ADVISORY IS
IN EFFECT TODAY AS NORTH WINDS PUSH WATER OUT OF MAINLY THE
NORTHERN EXPANSES OF THE LOCAL BAYS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

A SHORT DURATION FRIDAY MORNING FREEZE MAY OCCUR JUST INLAND OF
THE COAST. YOU MAY WANT TO TAKE THE NECESSARY ACTIONS NOW TO
PROTECT PEOPLE...PETS...AND PLANTS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS CURRENTLY NOT REQUIRED.

$$


Hydrologic Outlook


HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK
TXC047-061-215-247-261-427-489-505-062300-

HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
615 PM CST THU MAR 5 2015

...SPRING FLOOD OUTLOOK FOR DEEP SOUTH TEXAS...

...BELOW AVERAGE POTENTIAL FOR SPRING FLOODING FOR DEEP SOUTH TEXAS...

FOR THE SPRING OF 2015...THE WEST GULF RIVER FORECAST CENTER IS
FORECASTING A BELOW AVERAGE POTENTIAL FOR SPRING FLOODING OVER ALL
RIVERS AND CREEKS IN THE BROWNSVILLE HYDROLOGIC SERVICES
AREA (HSA). THIS INCLUDES THE FOLLOWING BASINS...LOS OLMOS CREEK AND
THE RIO GRANDE.

EXISTING CONDITIONS...

SOIL MOISTURE...
SOILS ARE CURRENTLY SLIGHTLY WET TO NEAR NORMAL ACROSS THE RIO
GRANDE BASIN. RAINFALL DURING THE PAST 90 DAYS HAS KEPT NEAR SURFACE
SOIL MOISTURE AT NEAR TO SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL VALUES. SOILS ACROSS
THE REGION WOULD BE ABLE TO HANDLE MOST RAINFALL EVENTS WITH LITTLE
OR NO SIGNIFICANT FLOODING. HOWEVER...EXCESSIVE RAINFALL EVENTS
WOULD PRODUCE ISOLATED SIGNIFICANT FLOODING.

STREAMFLOW...
ON THE RIO GRANDE...RIVER LEVELS ARE BELOW TO NEAR NORMAL. RIVERS
AND CREEKS AS WELL AS ARROYOS IN THE HYDROLOGIC SERVICE AREA CAN
HANDLE A HIGHER THAN NORMAL VOLUME OF WATER DUE TO THE BELOW NORMAL
RAINFALL THAT HAS FALLEN ACROSS DEEP SOUTH TEXAS DURING THE PAST 30
DAYS.

RESERVOIR CONDITIONS...
THE FALCON AND AMISTAD RESERVOIRS PROVIDE MUCH OF THE WATER FOR THE
RIO GRANDE VALLEY OF DEEP SOUTH TEXAS. AMISTAD IS CURRENTLY 62.5
PERCENT FULL OR 29.17 FEET BELOW THE CONSERVATION POOL. FALCON IS
CURRENTLY 34.6 PERCENT FULL OR 24.95 FEET BELOW THE CONSERVATION
POOL. COMBINED LAKE LEVELS AT BOTH FALCON AND AMISTAD IS AT 49.8
PERCENT OF NORMAL CONSERVATION LEVELS. LAST YEAR...THE COMBINED
LEVELS WERE AT 44.7 PERCENT OF NORMAL CONSERVATION LEVELS.

RAINFALL...
ACCORDING TO THE ADVANCED HYDROLOGIC PREDICTION SERVICE (AHPS) 90
DAY RAINFALL ANALYSIS...RAINFALL HAS BEEN NEAR TO SLIGHTLY ABOVE
NORMAL OVER THE COASTAL AREAS OF DEEP SOUTH TEXAS...BUT MAINLY BELOW
NORMAL OVER INLAND AREAS OF DEEP SOUTH TEXAS ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE
NORTHERN RANCH LANDS. OVER THE RIO GRANDE BASIN...MANY AREAS IN THE
UPPER PORTIONS OF THE BASIN HAVE RECEIVED NO MORE THAN 75 PERCENT OF
THEIR NORMAL RAINFALL IN THE PAST THREE MONTHS.

CLIMATE REGIME...
THE OVERALL RAINFALL TOTALS THROUGH MID MARCH ARE LIKELY TO BE LIGHT
ACROSS DEEP SOUTH TEXAS. CLIMATOLOGICALLY...FEBRUARY AND MARCH ARE
THE DRIEST MONTHS OF THE YEAR FOR THE AREA.

METEOROLOGICAL OUTLOOK...
THE LONG RANGE CLIMATE OUTLOOK FOR DEEP SOUTH TEXAS THROUGH MAY
2015...DERIVED FROM GUIDANCE FROM THE CLIMATE PREDICTION
CENTER...INDICATES A WEAK ENSO (EL NINO SOUTHERN OSCILLATION)
PATTERN HAS DEVELOPED OVER THE LAST FEW MONTHS AND IS EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE OVER THE NORTHERN HEMISPHERE THROUGH SPRING 2015. AS A
RESULT OF THIS...THE MARCH 2015 OUTLOOK CALLS FOR EQUAL CHANCES FOR
NEAR/ABOVE/BELOW NORMAL PRECIPITATION OVER DEEP SOUTH TEXAS.
HOWEVER...THE THREE MONTH PRECIPITATION OUTLOOK FOR THE PERIOD MARCH
THROUGH MAY 2015 SHOWS A GREATER PROBABILITY FOR ABOVE NORMAL
RAINFALL OVER DEEP SOUTH TEXAS. THE MONTHLY AND THREE MONTH
TEMPERATURE OUTLOOKS PREDICT THAT BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES ARE
LIKELY. FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE SPRING...THE CLIMATE PREDICTION
CENTER FORECASTS EQUAL CHANCES FOR ABOVE/BELOW/NEAR NORMAL RAINFALL
DURING THE APRIL THROUGH JUNE TIME FRAME.

SPRING FLOOD OUTLOOK...
EVEN WITH THE BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND ABOVE NORMAL
RAINFALL EXPECTED OVER DEEP SOUTH TEXAS THROUGH THE SPRING OF 2015...THE
FLOOD POTENTIAL OVER THE DEEP SOUTH TEXAS HYDROLOGIC AREA IS
CONSIDERED BELOW AVERAGE.

REFERENCES/LINKS:
(USE ALL LOWER CASE)

FOR DETAILED INFORMATION CONCERNING RIVER STAGES AND FORECASTS FOR
DEEP SOUTH TEXAS...GO TO (ALL LOWER CASE):

HTTP://WATER.WEATHER.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?BRO

FOR THE WEST GULF RIVER FORECAST CENTER...GO TO (LOWER CASE):
WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/WGRFC

PRECIPITATION ANALYSIS: WATER.WEATHER.GOV/PRECIP/

STREAMFLOW CONDITIONS: WATERWATCH.USGS.GOV/

RESERVOIR SUMMARIES: WATERFORTEXAS.ORG/RESERVOIRS/STATEWIDE

US DROUGHT MONITOR AND OUTLOOK: DROUGHTMONITOR.UNL.EDU
CPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/

TX DROUGHT INFORMATION: WATERDATAFORTEXAS.ORG/DROUGHT/
CLIMATEXAS.TAMU.EDU

CLIMATE GRAPHICS: CPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV
CPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/PRODUCTS/PREDICTIONS/

LOCAL WEATHER...RIVER...CLIMATE AND FORECAST INFORMATION FOR
DEEP SOUTH TEXAS: WWW.WEATHER.GOV/RGV

ENSO CONDITIONS AND FORECASTS...RAINFALL OUTLOOKS...AND SOIL
MOISTURE CONDITIONS CAN BE FOUND ON THE CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER
WEB PAGE: HTTP://WWW.CPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV

$$

CASTILLO

HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK
TXC007-025-057-131-175-249-273-283-297-311-355-391-409-469-479-
072030-

HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
228 PM CST THU MAR 5 2015

...SPRING FLOOD OUTLOOK FOR SOUTH TEXAS...

...THE SPRING FLOOD POTENTIAL FOR THE RIO GRANDE BASIN...NUECES
RIVER BASIN AND FRIO RIVER BASIN IS BELOW AVERAGE...

...THE SPRING FLOOD POTENTIAL FOR THE GUADALUPE RIVER
BASIN...SAN ANTONIO RIVER BASIN AND THE COASTAL CREEKS IS ABOUT
AVERAGE...

FOR THE SPRING OF 2015...THE WEST GULF RIVER FORECAST CENTER IS
FORECASTING A BELOW AVERAGE POTENTIAL FOR SPRING FLOODING RIVERS
AND CREEKS IN THE FOLLOWING BASINS...NUECES RIVER...FRIO RIVER AND
THE RIO GRANDE. HOWEVER...A NEAR AVERAGE SPRING FLOOD POTENTIAL IS
FORECAST FOR THE LOWER GUADALUPE RIVER BASIN...THE LOWER SAN
ANTONIO RIVER BASIN...AND COASTAL RIVERS AND CREEKS.


EXISTING CONDITIONS...
SOIL MOISTURE...NEAR NORMAL SOIL MOISTURE CONDITIONS EXIST OVER
MOST OF SOUTH TEXAS...WITH SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL SOIL MOISTURE
OVER THE EXTREME NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE VICTORIA AREA...COASTAL
BEND...BRUSH COUNTRY AND RIO GRANDE PLAINS. BELOW NORMAL SOIL
MOISTURE CONDITIONS ALSO EXIST IN THE UPPER PORTIONS OF THE
FRIO...RIO GRANDE AND NUECES RIVER BASINS NORTH OF SOUTH TEXAS.
RAINFALL DURING THE PAST 90 DAYS HAS KEPT NEAR SURFACE SOIL
MOISTURE AT NEAR TO SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL VALUES. HOWEVER...DEEPER
SOIL MOISTURE REMAINS BELOW NORMAL...DUE TO THE PERSISTENT
DROUGHT CONDITIONS OVER THE PAST FEW YEARS.

STREAMFLOW...MOST SOUTH TEXAS RIVERS AND CREEKS HAVE HAD BELOW TO
WELL BELOW NORMAL FLOWS DURING THE PAST FEW MONTHS. IN FACT...NO
RIVER FLOODING HAS BEEN OBSERVED IN SOUTH TEXAS SINCE JUNE 2014.
ALTHOUGH NEAR TO ABOVE NORMAL RAINFALL HAS OCCURRED DURING FROM
TIME TO TIME SINCE THE FALL OF 2014...MOST OF THE RAIN HAS BEEN
STRATIFORM IN NATURE. AS A RESULT...EXCESSIVE RAINFALL RESULTING
IN SIGNIFICANT RISES IN RIVERS AND CREEKS HAS NOT OCCURRED. MOST
RIVERS AND CREEKS IN THE NUECES RIVER...GUADALUPE RIVER...FRIO
RIVER...AND MISSION RIVER BASINS ARE RUNNING BELOW TO WELL BELOW
NORMAL. OTHER RIVERS AND CREEKS IN SOUTH TEXAS ARE RUNNING NEAR
TO SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR.

CLIMATE REGIME...OVER THE PAST SEVERAL WEEKS...EQUATORIAL SEA
SURFACE TEMPERATURES (SSTS) HAVE BEEN ABOVE NORMAL OVER THE
WESTERN AND CENTRAL PACIFIC...BUT ARE NEAR TO SLIGHTLY BELOW
NORMAL OVER THE EASTERN PACIFIC. THIS HAS RESULTED IN NEAR EL-
NINO CONDITIONS OVER THE EQUATORIAL PACIFIC OVER THE PAST FEW
MONTHS. IN FACT...AN EL-NINO ADVISORY HAS JUST BEEN ISSUED. THE
CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER NOW FORECASTS A 50 TO 60 PERCENT CHANCE
FOR EL-NINO CONDITIONS TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE NORTHERN
HEMISPHERIC SUMMER OF 2015. EL-NINO CONDITIONS WOULD MORE LIKELY
PRODUCE AN ABOVE NORMAL RAINFALL AND A BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURE
WEATHER PATTERN TO SOUTH TEXAS AT LEAST THROUGH THE FIRST PART OF
SPRING.

RAINFALL...ACCORDING TO THE ADVANCED HYDROLOGIC PREDICTION
SERVICE (AHPS) 90 DAY RAINFALL ANALYSIS...RAINFALL HAS BEEN NEAR
TO SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL OVER THE COASTAL AREAS OF SOUTH
TEXAS...BUT MAINLY BELOW NORMAL OVER INLAND AREAS OF SOUTH TEXAS.
OVER THE RIO GRANDE...FRIO RIVER...AND NUECES RIVER BASINS...MANY
AREAS HAVE RECEIVED NO MORE THAN 75 PERCENT OF THEIR NORMAL
RAINFALL IN THE PAST THREE MONTHS. ALTHOUGH THE SAN ANTONIO AND
GUADALUPE RIVER BASINS HAVE FARED SLIGHTLY BETTER...MOST AREAS IN
THESE RIVER BASINS HAVE RECEIVED BETWEEN 75 AND 90 PERCENT OF
THEIR NORMAL RAINFALL IN THE PAST 90 DAYS.

RESERVOIR CONSIDERATIONS...POOL LEVELS AT CHOKE CANYON DAM ARE
VERY LOW...WITH A POOL CAPACITY JUST ABOVE 24 PERCENT. LAKE
CORPUS CHRISTI IS NOT AS LOW...WITH ITS PERCENT CAPACITY NEAR 46
PERCENT. COLETO CREEK IS MORE THAN 4 FEET BELOW NORMAL POOL
LEVEL...WHILE LAKE TEXANA IS AROUND 84 PERCENT CAPACITY. FARTHER
NORTH...LAKE AMISTAD IS AROUND 52 PERCENT CAPACITY...WHILE CANYON
DAM IS 77 PERCENT OF NORMAL POOL ELEVATION. THUS...ALTHOUGH
WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAINFALL COULD POSE A CONCERN FOR FLOODING
UPSTREAM OF THESE RESERVOIRS...THERE IS PLENTY OF STORAGE
AVAILABLE DOWNSTREAM OF THESE DAMS...MAKING RIVER FLOODING LESS
LIKELY SOUTH AND EAST OF THE RESERVOIRS. FINALLY...BELOW NORMAL
RAINFALL OVER NEARLY ALL OF THE RIO GRANDE...FRIO AND NUECES RIVER
BASINS WILL MEAN THAT THERE WILL BE SOME CAPACITY FOR RAINFALL TO
PERCOLATE DEEPER IN THE SOIL UPSTREAM OF THE RESERVOIRS (SHOULD
HEAVY RAINFALL OCCUR). THIS WOULD DECREASE THE CHANCES FOR THE
RIVERS AND CREEKS IN THESE BASINS TO FLOOD.


METEOROLOGICAL OUTLOOK...
THE CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER (CPC) HAS THE FOLLOWING FORECASTS FOR
SOUTH TEXAS. THE MARCH 2015 RAINFALL OUTLOOK CALLS FOR EQUAL
CHANCES FOR NEAR/ABOVE/BELOW NORMAL PRECIPITATION OVER ALL OF
SOUTH TEXAS. HOWEVER...THE THREE MONTH PRECIPITATION OUTLOOK FOR
THE PERIOD MARCH THROUGH MAY 2015 SHOWS A GREATER PROBABILITY FOR
ABOVE NORMAL RAINFALL OVER ALL OF SOUTH TEXAS. BOTH THE
AFOREMENTIONED MONTHLY AND THREE MONTH TEMPERATURE OUTLOOKS
PREDICT THAT BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES ARE LIKELY. FOR THE
REMAINDER OF THE SPRING...CPC FORECASTS EQUAL CHANCES FOR
ABOVE/BELOW/NEAR NORMAL RAINFALL DURING THE APRIL THROUGH JUNE
TIME FRAME.


...SPRING FLOOD OUTLOOK...
SINCE RAINFALL HAS BEEN BELOW NORMAL OVER MUCH OF THE MID AND
UPPER PORTIONS OF THE NUECES...FRIO AND RIO GRANDE RIVER BASINS
DURING THE LAST SEVERAL MONTHS...THE SPRING FLOOD POTENTIAL FOR
THE RIO GRANDE BASIN...NUECES RIVER BASIN AND FRIO RIVER BASIN
IS BELOW AVERAGE.

ON THE OTHER HAND...SINCE RAINFALL HAS BEEN CLOSER TO (BUT STILL
BELOW) NORMAL OVER THE LOWER GUADALUPE AND LOWER SAN ANTONIO RIVER
BASINS...AS WELL AS THE COASTAL RIVER AND CREEK LOCATIONS...AND
SINCE ABOVE NORMAL RAINFALL IS MORE LIKELY OVER THE AREA FROM
MARCH THROUGH MAY...THE SPRING FLOOD POTENTIAL FOR THE LOWER
GUADALUPE RIVER BASIN...THE LOWER SAN ANTONIO RIVER BASIN...AND
THE COASTAL RIVERS AND CREEKS IS ABOUT AVERAGE.

&&

REFERENCES/LINKS:
(USE ALL LOWER CASE)

FOR DETAILED INFORMATION CONCERNING RIVER STAGES AND FORECASTS
FOR SOUTH TEXAS...GO TO (ALL LOWER CASE):

HTTP://WATER.WEATHER.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?CRP

FOR THE WEST GULF RIVER FORECAST CENTER...GO TO (LOWER CASE):
WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/WGRFC

PRECIPITATION ANALYSIS:
WATER.WEATHER.GOV/PRECIP/

STREAMFLOW CONDITIONS:
WATERWATCH.USGS.GOV/

RESERVOIR SUMMARIES:
WATERFORTEXAS.ORG/RESERVOIRS/STATEWIDE

US DROUGHT MONITOR AND OUTLOOK:
DROUGHTMONITOR.UNL.EDU
CPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/

TX DROUGHT INFORMATION:
WATERDATAFORTEXAS.ORG/DROUGHT/
CLIMATEXAS.TAMU.EDU

CLIMATE GRAPHICS:
CPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV
CPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/PRODUCTS/PREDICTIONS/

LOCAL WEATHER...RIVER...CLIMATE AND FORECAST INFORMATION FOR
SOUTH TEXAS:
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/CRP

ENSO CONDITIONS AND FORECASTS...RAINFALL OUTLOOKS...AND SOIL
MOISTURE CONDITIONS CAN BE FOUND ON THE CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER
WEB PAGE:
HTTP://WWW.CPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV

$$

GW

U.S. Dept. of Commerce
NOAA National Weather Service
1325 East West Highway
Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: June 2, 2009
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