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HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
250 PM CST THU MAR 5 2015

KSZ030-031-043>046-061>066-074>081-084>090-061000-
TREGO-ELLIS-SCOTT-LANE-NESS-RUSH-HAMILTON-KEARNY-FINNEY-HODGEMAN-
PAWNEE-STAFFORD-STANTON-GRANT-HASKELL-GRAY-FORD-EDWARDS-KIOWA-
PRATT-MORTON-STEVENS-SEWARD-MEADE-CLARK-COMANCHE-BARBER-
250 PM CST THU MAR 5 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL...SOUTH
CENTRAL...SOUTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

WEATHER HAZARDS EXPECTED...

  LIMITED EXCESSIVE COLD RISK.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

  HAZARDS WEATHER RISK...

  FRIDAY...
  NO HAZARDS.

  SATURDAY...
  NO HAZARDS.

  SUNDAY...
  NO HAZARDS.

  MONDAY...
  NO HAZARDS.

  TUESDAY...
  NO HAZARDS.

  WEDNESDAY...
  NO HAZARDS.

  NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED THROUGH TONIGHT.

&&

FOR MORE DETAILS VISIT OUR WEBPAGE HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/DDC/?N=HWO

$$

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
506 AM CST THU MAR 5 2015

KSZ032-033-047>053-067>072-082-083-091>096-098>100-061115-
RUSSELL-LINCOLN-BARTON-ELLSWORTH-SALINE-RICE-MCPHERSON-MARION-CHASE-
RENO-HARVEY-BUTLER-GREENWOOD-WOODSON-ALLEN-KINGMAN-SEDGWICK-HARPER-
SUMNER-COWLEY-ELK-WILSON-NEOSHO-CHAUTAUQUA-MONTGOMERY-LABETTE-
506 AM CST THU MAR 5 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL KANSAS...
SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS AND SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

WIND CHILLS WILL BE AROUND ZERO EARLY THIS MORNING OVER PORTIONS
OF CENTRAL KANSAS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED TODAY OR TONIGHT.

&&

FOR A GRAPHICAL VERSION OF THIS INFORMATION...SEE OUR
WEBPAGE AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/WICHITA/HWO/HWO.PHP

$$

CJ


Hydrologic Outlook


HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK
OKC003-005-009-011-013-015-017-019-027-029-031-033-039-043-045-047-
049-051-053-055-057-059-063-065-067-069-071-073-075-081-083-085-087-
093-095-099-103-109-119-123-125-129-133-137-141-149-151-153-TXC009-
023-077-155-197-275-485-487-061200-

HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
430 PM CST THU MAR 05 2015

...SPRING FLOOD OUTLOOK...

THE POTENTIAL FOR FLOOD CONDITIONS WILL BE BELOW NORMAL IN
WESTERN/CENTRAL OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS THIS SPRING.
FLOODING IN THIS OKLAHOMA AND NORTH TEXAS USUALLY OCCURS IN RESPONSE
TO SPECIFIC PRECIPITATION EVENTS. HOWEVER, THE RED RIVER AND OTHER
LARGER RIVERS MAY FLOOD IN RESPONSE TO MORE WIDESPREAD UPSTREAM
CONDITIONS. MANY CURRENT HYDROLOGIC INDICATORS REFLECT AN ONGOING
DROUGHT THAT HAS GRIPPED THE SOUTHERN PLAINS FOR SEVERAL YEARS. THE
WESTERN HALF OF OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS HAVE BEEN TRENDING
DRIER FOR THE LAST YEAR AND DROUGHT CONDITIONS HAVE WORSENED IN
THESE AREAS.

PRECIPITATION TOTALS FOR THE LAST 90 DAYS ARE BELOW AVERAGE TO WELL-
BELOW AVERAGE ACROSS MOST OF OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS. THERE
ARE WIDESPREAD AREAS THAT HAVE RECEIVED LESS THAN 75 PERCENT-OF-
AVERAGE PRECIPITATION. LARGE, SCATTERED AREAS THROUGHOUT OKLAHOMA
AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS HAVE RECEIVED LESS THAN 50 PERCENT-OF-
AVERAGE RAINFALL IN THE LAST 90 DAYS.

STREAM AND RIVER DISCHARGES AT MOST LOCATIONS IN THE WESTERN HALF OF
OKLAHOMA ARE BELOW NORMAL TO WELL-BELOW NORMAL. WIDESPREAD AREAS OF
WESTERN OKLAHOMA ARE EXPERIENCING STREAMFLOWS BELOW THE 10TH
PERCENTILE.  STREAMFLOWS IN THE RED RIVER VALLEY ABOVE LAKE TEXOMA
IN SOUTHWESTERN OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS ARE SHOWING THE
EFFECTS OF THE LONG-TERM DROUGHT.  DISCHARGES IN THIS AREA ARE
GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 PERCENT-OF-AVERAGE FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR.

SOIL MOISTURE CONDITIONS ACROSS OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS
CURRENTLY REFLECT THE LONG-TERM DROUGHT CONDITIONS THAT HAVE
DOMINATED THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. WESTERN OKLAHOMA IS PLAGUED BY BELOW-
NORMAL SOIL MOISTURE WITH VALUES BETWEEN THE 20TH AND 30TH
PERCENTILES. SOIL MOISTURE IS GENERALLY NEAR NORMAL FOR WESTERN
NORTH TEXAS, WITH CONDITIONS BETWEEN THE 30TH AND 70TH PERCENTILES
OF HISTORICAL CONDITIONS.

RESERVOIR STORAGE IN OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS CURRENTLY
VARIES BETWEEN THE STRUCTURES IN THE ARKANSAS RIVER SYSTEM AND THOSE
IN THE RED RIVER SYSTEM.  U.S. ARMY CORPS OF ENGINEERS PROJECTS IN
WESTERN OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS, ESPECIALLY THOSE IN THE
RED RIVER SYSTEM ARE EXTREMELY DRY AND HAVE A GREAT DEAL OF FLOOD
CONTROL STORAGE AVAILABLE. IN THE AGGREGATE, THE RESERVOIRS IN
OKLAHOMA HAVE 110 PERCENT OF THEIR FLOOD CONTROL STORAGE AVAILABLE
AT THIS TIME.  AVAILABLE CAPACITY IN THE ARKANSAS SYSTEM IS
APPROXIMATELY 108 PERCENT OF DESIGNED FLOOD CONTROL STORAGE.
AVAILABLE CAPACITY IN THE RED RIVER SYSTEM IS APPROXIMATELY 114
PERCENT OF DESIGN FLOOD CONTROL STORAGE.

THE CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER`S (CPC) SEASONAL OUTLOOK (MAR-APR-MAY)
CALLS FOR INCREASED CHANCES (33%-40%) OF BELOW-NORMAL TEMPERATURES
ACROSS MOST OF OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS. THE OUTLOOK ALSO
CALL FOR EQUAL CHANCES OF ABOVE-NORMAL, BELOW-NORMAL, AND NEAR-
NORMAL PRECIPITATION ACROSS MOST OF OKLAHOMA. HOWEVER, THE OUTLOOK
CALLS FOR INCREASED CHANCES (33%-40%) OF ABOVE-NORMAL RAINFALL FOR
THE UPPER RED RIVER BASIN IN SOUTHWESTERN OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN NORTH
TEXAS.

THE U.S. DROUGHT MONITOR OF FEBRUARY 24, 2015 INDICATES THAT AREAS
IN OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS ARE EXPERIENCING ABNORMALLY DRY
(D0) TO EXCEPTIONAL DROUGHT (D4) CONDITIONS. ABNORMALLY DRY (D0) OR
MODERATE DROUGHT (D1) CONDITIONS DOMINATE NEAR THE CENTRAL AND SOUTH
CENTRAL PARTS OF OKLAHOMA. CONDITIONS CONTINUE TO WORSEN WESTWARD
ACROSS THE REGION AND REACH EXCEPTIONAL DROUGHT (D4) CONDITIONS IN
PARTS OF WESTERN OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS. THE CPC U.S.
SEASONAL DROUGHT OUTLOOK OF FEBRUARY 19, 2015 INDICATES DROUGHT
CONDITIONS ACROSS WESTERN OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS SHOULD
PERSIST OR INTENSIFY OVER THE NEXT THREE MONTHS.

THANKS TO THE U.S. GEOLOGICAL SURVEY, THE U.S. ARMY CORPS OF
ENGINEERS, OKLAHOMA WATER RESOURCES BOARD, AND OTHER FEDERAL, STATE
AND LOCAL GROUPS FOR STREAMFLOW AND RESERVOIR DATA, AND THE CLIMATE
PREDICTION CENTER FOR THE PRECIPITATION AND TEMPERATURE OUTLOOKS,
THE SOIL MOISTURE DEFICITS, AND THE DROUGHT OUTLOOK.

FOR THE LATEST RIVER STAGE INFORMATION, FORECAST, AND WARNINGS
PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT:

HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/NORMAN

RIVER STAGE AND FORECAST DATA CAN BE OBTAINED BY SELECTING THE
RIVERS/LAKES LINK UNDER THE CURRENT WEATHER SECTION.


$$

U.S. Dept. of Commerce
NOAA National Weather Service
1325 East West Highway
Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: June 2, 2009
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