Hazardous Weather Outlook
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
0505 AM CDT Fri Jul 18 2025
KSZ025-057-060-102>105-MOZ001>008-011>017-020>025-028>033-037>040-
043>046-053-054-191005-
Atchison KS-Miami-Linn KS-Doniphan-Leavenworth-Wyandotte-Johnson KS-
Atchison MO-Nodaway-Worth-Gentry-Harrison-Mercer-Putnam-Schuyler-
Holt-Andrew-De Kalb-Daviess-Grundy-Sullivan-Adair-Buchanan-Clinton-
Caldwell-Livingston-Linn MO-Macon-Platte-Clay-Ray-Carroll-Chariton-
Randolph-Jackson-Lafayette-Saline-Howard-Cass-Johnson MO-Pettis-
Cooper-Bates-Henry-
0505 AM CDT Fri Jul 18 2025
This hazardous weather outlook is for northwest...north central and
west central Missouri...as well as extreme eastern Kansas.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.
Please go to https://weather.gov/media/eax/DssPacket.pdf for more information on
potential weather hazards.
.KEY MESSAGES...
* Potential for isolated-scattered thunderstorms today as warm front
lifts north. A strong storm or two are possible, mainly across
northern Missouri.
* Hot and humid conditions begin tonight and continue well into
next week.
$$
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Wichita KS
339 PM CDT Fri Jul 18 2025
KSZ032-033-047>053-067>072-082-083-091>096-098>100-192045-
Russell-Lincoln-Barton-Ellsworth-Saline-Rice-McPherson-Marion-Chase-
Reno-Harvey-Butler-Greenwood-Woodson-Allen-Kingman-Sedgwick-Harper-
Sumner-Cowley-Elk-Wilson-Neosho-Chautauqua-Montgomery-Labette-
339 PM CDT Fri Jul 18 2025
This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of Central Kansas,
South Central Kansas and Southeast Kansas.
.DAY ONE...Tonight
A few additional storms are possible this afternoon, especially
across central and south central Kansas. The strongest storms may
produce wind gusts up to 60 mph and heavy rainfall.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday
Small storm chances, mainly at night, exist over the next week.
Widespread severe weather is not expected.
Heat indices will climb above 100 degrees Saturday through
Thursday across much of the area. An Extreme Heat Warning is in
effect from 2 PM Saturday until 7 PM Wednesday and may need to be
extended in future updates.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not anticipated tonight.
&&
For a graphical version of this information, see our webpage at:
https://www.weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=ict
$$
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Omaha/Valley NE
332 PM CDT Fri Jul 18 2025
IAZ043-055-056-069-079-080-090-091-NEZ011-012-015>018-030>034-
042>045-050>053-065>068-078-088>093-191045-
Monona-Harrison-Shelby-Pottawattamie-Mills-Montgomery-Fremont-
Page-Knox-Cedar-Thurston-Antelope-Pierce-Wayne-Boone-Madison-
Stanton-Cuming-Burt-Platte-Colfax-Dodge-Washington-Butler-
Saunders-Douglas-Sarpy-Seward-Lancaster-Cass-Otoe-Saline-
Jefferson-Gage-Johnson-Nemaha-Pawnee-Richardson-
332 PM CDT Fri Jul 18 2025
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of southwest
Iowa...west central Iowa...east central Nebraska...northeast
Nebraska and southeast Nebraska.
.DAY ONE...Tonight and Saturday
A 30 to 40% chance for showers and storms exists areawide tonight
into Saturday morning, with a 50 to 60% chance for showers and
storms for our far north and eastern areas. Some storms could be
strong to severe with damaging wind gusts, large hail, heavy rain,
and a small chance for a tornado. A Slight Risk of severe weather
exists for areas north of a line from Platte to Shelby counties.
A 20 to 30% chance of storms is again possible Saturday afternoon
and evening. Some of these storms could be strong to severe.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday night through Friday
A 30 to 50% chance of storms will continue late Saturday night
into early Sunday morning. Some of these storms could be strong to
severe.
Low end 15 to 30% chances for showers and storms exist for much of
next week. The flood threat will increase with each successive
round of storms.
Potentially dangerous heat will arrive next week with widespread
heat indices of 100 to 110.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation may be needed this evening, and again Saturday.
Any reports of severe weather are always appreciated.
$$
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service St Louis MO
307 PM CDT Fri Jul 18 2025
ILZ058>060-064-065-069-070-074-079-095>102-MOZ018-019-026-027-
034>036-041-042-047>052-059>065-072>075-084-085-099-192015-
Greene IL-Macoupin IL-Montgomery IL-Bond IL-Fayette IL-Clinton IL-
Marion IL-Washington IL-Randolph IL-Adams IL-Brown IL-Pike IL-
Calhoun IL-Jersey IL-Madison IL-Saint Clair IL-Monroe IL-Knox MO-
Lewis MO-Shelby MO-Marion MO-Monroe MO-Ralls MO-Pike MO-Boone MO-
Audrain MO-Moniteau MO-Cole MO-Osage MO-Callaway MO-Montgomery MO-
Lincoln MO-Gasconade MO-Warren MO-Saint Charles MO-Franklin MO-
Saint Louis MO-Saint Louis City MO-Jefferson MO-Crawford MO-
Washington MO-Saint Francois MO-Sainte Genevieve MO-Iron MO-
Madison MO-Reynolds MO-
307 PM CDT Fri Jul 18 2025
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of eastern and
central Missouri as well as west central and southwest Illinois.
.DAY ONE...Tonight.
There is a chance of thunderstorms tonight across portions of the
area.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.
There is a chance of thunderstorms Saturday through Tuesday. There is
a low threat of damaging winds and flash flooding across northeastern
Missouri and west-central Illinois Saturday morning.
A long-duration heat wave is expected to begin along and south of
Interstate 70 into southwestern Illinois on Saturday, expanding to
the rest of the area around Monday.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
$$
Pfahler
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Springfield MO
259 PM CDT Fri Jul 18 2025
KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-192000-
Bourbon-Crawford-Cherokee-Benton-Morgan-Miller-Maries-Vernon-
St. Clair-Hickory-Camden-Pulaski-Phelps-Barton-Cedar-Polk-Dallas-
Laclede-Texas-Dent-Jasper-Dade-Greene-Webster-Wright-Newton-
Lawrence-Christian-Douglas-Howell-Shannon-McDonald-Barry-Stone-
Taney-Ozark-Oregon-
259 PM CDT Fri Jul 18 2025
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of the Missouri
Ozarks and extreme southeast Kansas.
.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.
Weather hazards expected...
Marginal thunderstorm wind damage risk.
Elevated lightning risk.
Elevated excessive heat risk.
Limited excessive rainfall risk
DISCUSSION...
Scattered showers and thunderstorms with heavy rain are expected
today, mainly across the eastern Ozarks this afternoon and
tonight. The stronger storms will be capable of wind gusts up to
60 mph and intense rainfall rates. The heavy rain may lead to a
localized flooding risk.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.
Temperatures gradually increase into the low to mid 90s through
the weekend, with maximum heat index values up to 100 to 105
degrees. By the middle of next week, high temperatures in the mid
to upper 90s are possible, along with maximum heat index values up
to around 100-110 degrees. An Extreme Heat Warning is in effect
from 12 PM Saturday until 7 PM Wednesday.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight.
&&
More detailed information can be accessed at:
http://www.weather.gov/sgf/dsspacket
This product in graphical format...along with other weather...
hydrological and climate information...at
http://www.weather.gov/sgf
$$
Nelson
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Topeka KS
251 PM CDT Fri Jul 18 2025
KSZ008>012-020>024-026-034>040-054>056-058-059-192000-
Republic-Washington-Marshall-Nemaha-Brown-Cloud-Clay-Riley-
Pottawatomie-Jackson-Jefferson-Ottawa-Dickinson-Geary-Morris-
Wabaunsee-Shawnee-Douglas-Lyon-Osage-Franklin-Coffey-Anderson-
251 PM CDT Fri Jul 18 2025
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of east central,
north central, and northeast Kansas.
.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight
Isolated showers and thunderstorms are possible through tonight.
Some may have strong gusty winds and heavy rain, but the overall
risk for severe weather is marginal.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday
A prolonged period of hot weather is forecast to begging Saturday
and last well into next week. Heat indices are expected to be
around 105 degrees with little chance for relief. An Extreme Heat
Warning for areas along and south of a line from Oskaloosa to Clay
Center will go into effect Saturday afternoon. An Extreme Heat
Watch is posted for the northern areas beginning Monday.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotters should not be needed this afternoon or tonight.
&&
More detailed information can be found at:
www.weather.gov/media/top/DssPacket.pdf
$$
Wolters
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Quad Cities IA IL
227 PM CDT Fri Jul 18 2025
IAZ040>042-051>054-063>068-076>078-087>089-098-099-ILZ001-002-007-
009-015>018-024>026-034-035-MOZ009-010-190930-
Buchanan-Delaware-Dubuque-Benton-Linn-Jones-Jackson-Iowa-Johnson-
Cedar-Clinton-Muscatine-Scott-Keokuk-Washington-Louisa-Jefferson-
Henry IA-Des Moines-Van Buren-Lee-Jo Daviess-Stephenson-Carroll-
Whiteside-Rock Island-Henry IL-Bureau-Putnam-Mercer-Henderson-Warren-
Hancock-McDonough-Scotland-Clark-
227 PM CDT Fri Jul 18 2025
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of north central
Illinois...northwest Illinois...west central Illinois...east central
Iowa...northeast Iowa...southeast Iowa and northeast Missouri.
.DAY ONE...LATE THIS AFTERNOON TONIGHT
Thunderstorms are likely across portions of the Outlook area late
tonight into Saturday morning. Severe wind gusts up to 60 mph are
possible along with heavy rain and possible flash flooding. Hail is
also possible with the strongest storm.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY
Thunderstorms are likely for parts of the area Saturday morning.
Severe wind gusts up to 60 mph are possible along with heavy rain
and possible flash flooding. Hail is also possible with the
strongest storm.
Additional rounds of thunderstorms are possible Saturday evening
through Tuesday. Severe storms are possible at times along with
torrential rain and a flash flood threat for areas that receive
repeated rounds of heavy rain. Urban areas and locations recently
impacted by flash flooding will be especially susceptible to flash
flooding. A flood watch for flash flooding is in effect from through
Sunday morning.
Dangerous heat and humidity is possible by the middle of next week.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not anticipated tonight or Saturday morning,
but may be needed late Saturday afternoon and Saturday evening.
$$
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Des Moines IA
416 AM CDT Fri Jul 18 2025
IAZ004>007-015>017-023>028-033>039-044>050-057>062-070>075-
081>086-092>097-190930-
Emmet-Kossuth-Winnebago-Worth-Palo Alto-Hancock-Cerro Gordo-
Pocahontas-Humboldt-Wright-Franklin-Butler-Bremer-Sac-Calhoun-
Webster-Hamilton-Hardin-Grundy-Black Hawk-Crawford-Carroll-Greene-
Boone-Story-Marshall-Tama-Audubon-Guthrie-Dallas-Polk-Jasper-
Poweshiek-Cass-Adair-Madison-Warren-Marion-Mahaska-Adams-Union-
Clarke-Lucas-Monroe-Wapello-Taylor-Ringgold-Decatur-Wayne-
Appanoose-Davis-
416 AM CDT Fri Jul 18 2025
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central Iowa.
.DAY ONE...Today and tonight
There is a Slight Risk (level 2 of 5) severe weather in the
northwest this afternoon and tonight, followed by a Marginal Risk
elsewhere. Damaging winds are the primary threat. Large hail as
well as a tornado or two will be possible as well. Locally heavy
rainfall possible overnight in the north.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday
There is a Slight Risk (level 2 of 5) for severe weather and
excessive rainfall on Saturday with damaging winds being the
primary severe threat. Chances for thunderstorms will persist
into early next week. The threat for severe weather will continue
to be evaluated. Heavy rain will continue to remain possible.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation may be needed today and tomorrow.
$$
