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HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
1127 AM MDT THU AUG 21 2014

NMZ401>417-TXZ418>424-221730-
UPPER GILA RIVER VALLEY-SOUTHERN GILA HIGHLANDS/BLACK RANGE-
SOUTHERN GILA FOOTHILLS/MIMBRES VALLEY-
SOUTHWEST DESERT/LOWER GILA RIVER VALLEY-LOWLANDS OF THE BOOTHEEL-
UPLANDS OF THE BOOTHEEL-SOUTHWEST DESERT/MIMBRES BASIN-
EASTERN BLACK RANGE FOOTHILLS-SIERRA COUNTY LAKES-
NORTHERN DONA ANA COUNTY-SOUTHERN DONA ANA COUNTY/MESILLA VALLEY-
CENTRAL TULAROSA BASIN-SOUTHERN TULAROSA BASIN-
WEST SLOPES SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS BELOW 7500 FEET-
SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 7500 FEET-
EAST SLOPES SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS BELOW 7500 FEET-OTERO MESA-
WESTERN EL PASO COUNTY-EASTERN/CENTRAL EL PASO COUNTY-
NORTHERN HUDSPETH HIGHLANDS/HUECO MOUNTAINS-SALT BASIN-
SOUTHERN HUDSPETH HIGHLANDS-
RIO GRANDE VALLEY OF EASTERN EL PASO/WESTERN HUDSPETH COUNTIES-
RIO GRANDE VALLEY OF EASTERN HUDSPETH COUNTY-
1127 AM MDT THU AUG 21 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NM AND TX.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

THIS AFTERNOON LOOKS QUIET WITH GENERALLY DRY CONDITIONS ACROSS
THE REGION. THERE ARE LIKELY TO BE A FEW STORMS OVER THE MOUNTAINS
AND EVEN A COUPLE OF STORMS MAY FORM NEAR THE INTERNATIONAL BORDER
AREAS...ESPECIALLY THE BOOTHEEL OF NEW MEXICO AND SOUTHERN
HUDSPETH COUNTY IN FAR WEST TEXAS. TONIGHT A SHARP INCREASE IN
MOISTURE IS EXPECTED TO ARRIVE FROM THE SOUTH. ALONG WITH IT
SHOULD BE AN INCREASE IN SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT
GENERALLY OVER SOUTHERN AND WESTERN ZONES. SEVERE WEATHER THREAT
IS MINIMAL WITH THE PRIMARY THREAT BEING ISOLATED AREAS OF HEAVY
RAIN. HOWEVER MOST OF THE RAIN TONIGHT WILL BE ONLY MODERATE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

FRIDAY THE THICK SLUG OF MOISTURE WILL WORK FURTHER INTO THE AREA
ADDING INCREASED SHOWER AND STORM CHANCES TO THE RIO GRANDE
VALLEY...THE SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS AND THE REST OF SOUTH CENTRAL
NEW MEXICO AND FAR WEST TEXAS. RAIN AMOUNTS ARE PROJECTED TO BE IN
THE .50" TO 1.10" RANGE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PLENTY OF CLOUDS
AND MUCH COOLER TEMPERATURES WILL KEEP THE POTENTIAL FOR
WIDESPREAD THUNDERSTORMS AND INTENSE RAIN MINIMIZED. DRYING WORKS
IN...ESPECIALLY WEST SATURDAY AND REMAINS SUNDAY. THE REST OF THE
WEEK WE WILL HAVE ADEQUATE MOISTURE FOR DAYTIME AND EVENING
ISOLATED STORMS...BUT THREATS OF SIGNIFICANT IMPACT WEATHER LOOK
MINIMAL.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER INFORMATION IS VITAL TO OUR WARMING OPPERATIONS. SPOTTERS
ARE URGED TO REPORT ANY SIGNIFICANT WEATHER...REAL TIME...TO THE
WEATHER OFFICE VIA OUR 800 NUMBER OR VIA TWITTER @NWSELPASO

$$

BIRD

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
549 AM MDT THU AUG 21 2014

NMZ501>540-221200-
NORTHWEST PLATEAU-CHUSKA MOUNTAINS-FAR NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-
NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-WEST CENTRAL PLATEAU-WEST CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-
WEST CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS-
SAN FRANCISCO RIVER VALLEY-SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS-JEMEZ MOUNTAINS-
WEST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 9500 FEET/RED RIVER-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 9500 FEET-
EAST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-
LOWER CHAMA RIVER VALLEY-SANTA FE METRO AREA-ALBUQUERQUE METRO AREA-
LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-SANDIA/MANZANO MOUNTAINS-ESTANCIA VALLEY-
CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-SOUTH CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-UPPER TULAROSA VALLEY-
SOUTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-RATON RIDGE/JOHNSON MESA-
FAR NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-UNION COUNTY-
HARDING COUNTY-EASTERN SAN MIGUEL COUNTY-GUADALUPE COUNTY-
QUAY COUNTY-CURRY COUNTY-ROOSEVELT COUNTY-DE BACA COUNTY-
CHAVES COUNTY PLAINS-EASTERN LINCOLN COUNTY-SOUTHWEST CHAVES COUNTY-
549 AM MDT THU AUG 21 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH AND CENTRAL
NEW MEXICO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON WILL BE SCATTERED ON MOST MOUNTAIN
RANGES AND ONLY ISOLATED IN THE VALLEYS AND EASTERN PLAINS. ANY
THUNDERSTORM COULD PRODUCE HEAVY RAIN AND LOCALIZED FLASH
FLOODING. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL ACTUALLY INCREASE
TONIGHT AS A SURGE OF MONSOON MOISTURE MOVES NORTH OUT OF MEXICO
INTO WESTERN NEW MEXICO.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

HEAVY RAINFALL FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING IS POSSIBLE
ANYWHERE ACROSS NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEW MEXICO...WHERE LOCALIZED
AREAS OF FLASH FLOODING MAY OCCUR. RECENT BURN SCARS ARE ESPECIALLY
SUSCEPTIBLE TO FLASH FLOODING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT RAINFALL AMOUNTS AND ANY FLOODING
THROUGH THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE WEB SITE AT
WEATHER.GOV/ABQ OR BY CALLING 1.888.386.7637. SPOTTERS CAN ALSO
SUBMIT PHOTOS AND REPORTS TO OUR FACEBOOK PAGE OR VIA TWITTER
USING THE HASHTAG N M W X.

$$

40

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
353 AM MST THU AUG 21 2014

AZZ004>018-037>040-220500-
KAIBAB PLATEAU-MARBLE AND GLEN CANYONS-GRAND CANYON COUNTRY-
COCONINO PLATEAU-YAVAPAI COUNTY MOUNTAINS-
NORTHEAST PLATEAUS AND MESAS HWY 264 NORTHWARD-CHINLE VALLEY-
CHUSKA MOUNTAINS AND DEFIANCE PLATEAU-
LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN COCONINO COUNTY-
LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN NAVAJO COUNTY-
LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN APACHE COUNTY-
WESTERN MOGOLLON RIM-EASTERN MOGOLLON RIM-WHITE MOUNTAINS-
NORTHERN GILA COUNTY-YAVAPAI COUNTY VALLEYS AND BASINS-
OAK CREEK AND SYCAMORE CANYONS-BLACK MESA AREA-
NORTHEAST PLATEAUS AND MESAS SOUTH OF HWY 264-
353 AM MST THU AUG 21 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR APACHE...COCONINO...
NORTHERN GILA...NAVAJO...AND YAVAPAI COUNTIES IN NORTHERN
ARIZONA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE FROM SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA INTO
ARIZONA BY THIS EVENING. LIFT AHEAD OF THE LOW ALONG WITH A MODEST
MOISTURE INCREASE IS EXPECTED TO LEAD TO WIDESPREAD AREAS OF RAIN
AND THUNDERSTORMS TODAY AND TONIGHT...ESPECIALLY ACROSS YAVAPAI
AND COCONINO COUNTIES. SATURATED GROUND...ESPECIALLY IN YAVAPAI
COUNTY...COULD ENHANCE THE THREAT OF LOCALIZED FLOODING SHOULD ANY
AREAS OF MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN DEVELOP.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

$$

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
357 AM CDT THU AUG 21 2014

NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-057>063-067>070-074-075-
079>082-258-220900-
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF EDDY COUNTY-EDDY COUNTY PLAINS-
NORTHERN LEA COUNTY-CENTRAL LEA COUNTY-SOUTHERN LEA COUNTY-GAINES-
DAWSON-BORDEN-SCURRY-ANDREWS-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL-
VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS-
LOVING-WINKLER-ECTOR-MIDLAND-GLASSCOCK-WARD-CRANE-UPTON-REAGAN-
DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA-PECOS-PRESIDIO VALLEY-MARFA PLATEAU-
BIG BEND AREA-TERRELL-GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-
357 AM CDT THU AUG 21 2014 /257 AM MDT THU AUG 21 2014/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST NEW
MEXICO...SOUTHWEST TEXAS AND WEST TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO AND
MOST OF WEST TEXAS TODAY AND TONIGHT...MAINLY FROM SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO
SOUTH TO THE DAVIS AND APACHE MOUNTAINS.  ANY STORMS THAT DO DEVELOP
WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY FREQUENT LIGHTNING.  STRONGER STORMS MAY RESULT
IN GUSTY WINDS TO 55 MPH AND HEAVY RAINFALL LEADING TO LOCALIZED
FLASH FLOODING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

$$
THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
MIDLAND CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT /LOWER CASE/
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MIDLAND


Short Term Forecast


SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
503 PM MDT THU AUG 21 2014

NMZ502-505>509-220030-
CHUSKA MOUNTAINS-SAN FRANCISCO RIVER VALLEY-SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS-
WEST CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-WEST CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-WEST CENTRAL PLATEAU-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...EL MORRO...GALLUP...GLENWOOD...GRANTS...
QUEMADO
503 PM MDT THU AUG 21 2014

.NOW...
THROUGH 630 PM MDT...ISOLATED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL
CONTINUE TO SLOWLY DEVELOP IN FAR WESTERN NEW MEXICO. THIS ACTIVITY
WILL MOVE NORTH NORTHEAST AT 15 TO 20 MPH...IMPACTING LOCALES ALONG
THE ARIZONA BORDER SUCH AS GLENWOOD...LUNA...QUEMADO LAKE...
QUEMADO...FENCE LAKE...AND ZUNI PUEBLO. INITIALLY RAINFALL AMOUNTS
WILL GENERALLY REMAIN LESS THAN FOUR TENTHS OF AN INCH...HOWEVER
MORE SUBSTANTIAL DOWNPOURS ARE EXPECTED LATER THIS EVENING AS STORMS
CONTINUE TO ORGANIZE. OCCASIONAL...BUT DEADLY CLOUD TO GROUND
LIGHTNING...ERRATIC WIND GUSTS TO 45 MPH...AND SMALL HAIL WILL
ACCOMPANY THE THUNDERSTORMS.

$$

SHOEMAKE

SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
424 PM MDT THU AUG 21 2014

TXZ418>424-220030-
WESTERN EL PASO COUNTY-EASTERN/CENTRAL EL PASO COUNTY-
NORTHERN HUDSPETH HIGHLANDS/HUECO MOUNTAINS-SALT BASIN-
SOUTHERN HUDSPETH HIGHLANDS-
RIO GRANDE VALLEY OF EASTERN EL PASO/WESTERN HUDSPETH COUNTIES-
RIO GRANDE VALLEY OF EASTERN HUDSPETH COUNTY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DOWNTOWN...WEST EL PASO...
UPPER VALLEY...FORT BLISS...SOCORRO...
EAST AND NORTHEAST EL PASO...HUECO TANKS...LOMA LINDA...
DELL CITY...CORNUDAS...SALT FLAT...SIERRA BLANCA...FABENS...
TORNILLO...FORT HANCOCK
424 PM MDT THU AUG 21 2014

.NOW...
AN EAST TO WEST LINE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ENTERING
SOUTHERN HUDSPETH COUNTY IS GRADUALLY MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AROUND
10 MPH AND WILL AFFECT HUDSPETH AND EL PASO COUNTIES OVER THE
NEXT TWO HOURS. EXPECT SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS INTO THE EVENING
WITH SOME LOCAL HEAVY DOWNPOURS POSSIBLE WITH LOW AREA FLOODING.
SMALL HAIL...WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH...AND CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING
IS ALSO LIKELY WITH THIS ACTIVITY. AT THIS TIME RADAR IS
ESTIMATING RAINFALL RATES AROUND .2 TO .4 INCHES PER HOUR WITH
ISOLATED AMOUNTS IN THE .6 TO .8 PER HOUR RANGE GENERALLY SOUTH OF
INTERSTATE 10.


$$

20

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Page last modified: June 2, 2009
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