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Flash Flood Warning


FLASH FLOOD WARNING
AZC011-221300-
/O.NEW.KTWC.FF.W.0075.140922T1006Z-140922T1300Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
306 AM MST MON SEP 22 2014

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TUCSON HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
  CENTRAL GREENLEE COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST ARIZONA...

* UNTIL 600 AM MST

* AT 252 AM MST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR ESTIMATED
BETWEEN 1 AND 2 INCHES OF RAIN HAS FALLEN OVER THE PAST COUPLE OF
HOURS IN A WIDESPREAD AREA TO THE EAST OF CLIFTON. RAINFALL RUNOFF
WILL SIGNIFICANTLY IMPACT WARDS CANYON ROAD...AND THE WASH BETWEEN
HACKBERRY DRIVE AND VERDE LEE. FLASH FLOODING MAY ALSO IMPACT THE
HOUSING COMMUNITIES ALONG WARDS CANYON ROAD.

IN ADDITION TO THIS AREA...PORTIONS OF HIGHWAY 78 TO THE NORTH OF
THE JUNCTION WITH HIGHWAY 191 WILL ALSO BE IMPACTED WITH RUNNING
WATER IN ROADWAY DIPS AND OTHER LOW LYING AREAS.

STORMS ARE MOVING NORTHEAST AT 5 MPH.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE
DANGERS OF FLOODING. IF FLASH FLOODING IS OBSERVED ACT QUICKLY. MOVE
UP TO HIGHER GROUND TO ESCAPE FLOOD WATERS. DO NOT STAY IN AREAS
SUBJECT TO FLOODING WHEN WATER BEGINS RISING.

&&

LAT...LON 3327 10937 3314 10905 3290 10905 3290 10928

$$

FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NMC017-221245-
/O.NEW.KEPZ.FF.W.0065.140922T0938Z-140922T1245Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX
338 AM MDT MON SEP 22 2014

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN EL PASO HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
  NORTH CENTRAL GRANT COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL NEW MEXICO...

* UNTIL 645 AM MDT

* AT 338 AM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
  SLOW MOVING THUNDERSTORMS WITH VERY HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS THE
  WARNED AREA.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  RIVERSIDE...
  GILA...
  GILA RIPARIAN PRESERVE...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN HILLY TERRAIN THERE ARE HUNDREDS OF LOW WATER CROSSINGS WHICH ARE
POTENTIALLY DANGEROUS IN HEAVY RAIN. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO TRAVEL ACROSS
FLOODED ROADS. IT ONLY TAKES A FEW INCHES OF SWIFTLY FLOWING WATER TO
CARRY VEHICLES AWAY.

BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE
DANGERS OF FLOODING. IF FLASH FLOODING IS OBSERVED ACT QUICKLY. DO
NOT ENTER THE WATER. TURN AROUND AND MOVE UP TO HIGHER GROUND TO
ESCAPE FLOOD WATERS.

&&

LAT...LON 3299 10841 3289 10855 3294 10863 3307 10851

$$

PAZOS


Flood Warning


FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
334 AM CDT MON SEP 22 2014

NMC015-221430-
/O.NEW.KMAF.FA.W.0020.140922T0834Z-140922T1430Z/
/00000.0.MC.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
EDDY-
234 AM MDT MON SEP 22 2014

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIDLAND HAS ISSUED A

* FLOOD WARNING FOR URBAN AREAS...SMALL STREAMS...AND RIVERS IN...
  EDDY COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO...

* UNTIL 830 AM MDT/930 AM CDT/

* AT 226 AM MDT...FLOODING OF DARK CANYON AROUND CARLSBAD AND THE
  PECOS RIVER 2 MILES EAST OF CARLSBAD BELOW DARK CANYON IS REPORTED
  BY EDDY COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT AS FLOOD WAVES CONVERGE.
  FLOODING OF NUMEROUS STREETS...ROADS...AND POSSIBLY HOMES IS
  EXPECTED IN CARLSBAD.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS
SAFELY. TURN AROUND DONT DROWN.

&&

LAT...LON 3296 10484 3296 10381 3253 10381 3252 10372
      3200 10372 3200 10373 3200 10485

$$

FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
310 AM CDT MON SEP 22 2014

...Forecast flooding changed from Moderate to major/Record
severity for the following rivers in New Mexico...
  Pecos River below Carlsbad 2E, below Dark Canyon affecting Eddy
  County

.The combination of water from Rocky Arroyo and Avalon along the
flood wave from Dark Canyon has prompted the upgrade of the forecast
to major/record flood at Dark Canyon Draw at Dark Canyon Carlsbad.
Emergency management in Carlsbad indicates that water is only about
2 ft below the bridge at Canal St on Dark Canyon and it is likely to
become impassable. Other low water crossings in the area are flooded
and impassable. Flooding is likely to be more widespread than
previously thought. Voluntary evacuations are in place.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Motorists are urged to heed flood warnings, and exercise caution if
traveling through this area.  Vehicle-related fatalities are the
number one source of flood fatalities in New Mexico. If you encounter
a flooded stretch of roadway, do not attempt to cross it.  You and
your vehicle could be swept downstream in rushing floodwaters.  Turn
around, don`t drown!

Keep in mind that any additional rainfall across the area could
significantly change the present forecast stage.

Additional information is available at:  www.weather.gov/midland

The next statement will be issued later this morning.

&&

NMC015-230010-
/O.EXT.KMAF.FL.W.0023.140922T0808Z-140923T0355Z/
/CPDN5.3.ER.140922T0710Z.140922T0900Z.140922T1555Z.NR/
310 AM CDT MON SEP 22 2014

...Forecast flooding increased from moderate to major/record severity...
The Flood Warning continues for
 the Pecos River below Carlsbad 2E, below Dark Canyon.
* until this evening, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  2AM Monday the stage was 18.3 feet (5.6 meters).
* flooding is occurring and  flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 14.0 feet (4.3 meters).
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 22.2 feet (6.8
  meters) by early this morning.  The river will fall below flood
  stage late this morning.

This crest compares to a previous crest of 22.0 feet (6.7 meters) on
Aug 23 1966.

&&

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts (feet):

                   Bf  Fld  Observed                  Forecast
Location          Stg  Stg  Stage   Day  Time   Mon   Mon   Mon   Tue
                                                7AM   1PM   7PM   1AM
  Carlsbad 2E, b 12.0 14.0   18.3   Mon  2 AM  21.6  10.0   6.3   6.5

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts (meters):

                   Bf  Fld  Observed                  Forecast
Location          Stg  Stg  Stage   Day  Time   Mon   Mon   Mon   Tue
                                                7AM   1PM   7PM   1AM
  Carlsbad 2E, b  3.7  4.3    5.6   Mon  2 AM   6.6   3.0   1.9   2.0

&&

LAT...LON 3243 10433 3252 10419 3236 10399 3225 10412 3236 10428


$$

FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
303 AM CDT MON SEP 22 2014

...Forecast flooding changed from Minor to Major/Record severity for the
following rivers in New Mexico...
  Dark Canyon Draw at Dark Canyon Carlsbad affecting Eddy County

.The combination of water from Rocky Arroyo and Avalon along the flood
wave from Dark Canyon has prompted the upgrade of the forecast to
major/record flood at Dark Canyon Draw at Dark Canyon Carlsbad.
Emergency management in Carlsbad indicates that water is only about
2 ft below the bridge at Canal St on Dark Canyon and it is likely to
become impassable. Other low water crossings in the area are flooded
and impassable. Voluntary evacuations are in place.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Motorists are urged to heed flood warnings, and exercise caution if
traveling through this area.  Vehicle-related fatalities are the
number one source of flood fatalities in New Mexico. If you encounter
a flooded stretch of roadway, do not attempt to cross it.  You and
your vehicle could be swept downstream in rushing floodwaters.  Turn
around, don`t drown!

Additional information is available at:  www.weather.gov/midland

The next statement will be issued Monday morning.

&&

NMC015-230003-
/O.EXT.KMAF.FL.W.0024.140922T0746Z-140923T0240Z/
/DACN5.3.ER.140922T0659Z.140922T0900Z.140922T1440Z.NR/
203 AM MDT MON SEP 22 2014

...Observed flooding increased from minor to moderate severity...
...Forecast flooding increased from  minor to major severity...
The Flood Warning continues for
 the Dark Canyon Draw at Dark Canyon Carlsbad.
* until this evening, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  1AM Monday the stage was 20.9 feet (6.4 meters).
* flooding is occurring and  flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet (4.6 meters).
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 22.6 feet (6.9
  meters) by early this morning.  The river will fall below flood
  stage this morning.
* Impact...At 22.0 feet (6.7 meters), the canyon reaches major flood
  stage, and begins flooding residences and businesses in the
  vicinity of Canal Street and Dark Canyon Draw in Carlsbad begins.
  U.S. Highway 285 (Canal Street) is likely to flood, and numerous
  other city streets will be inundated.

This crest compares to a previous crest of 22.0 feet (6.7 meters) on
Aug 23 1966.

&&

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts (feet):

                   Bf  Fld  Observed                  Forecast
Location          Stg  Stg  Stage   Day  Time   Mon   Mon   Mon   Tue
                                                7AM   1PM   7PM   1AM
  Dark Canyon Ca  9.0 15.0   20.9   Mon  1 AM  20.3   8.4   8.2   8.5

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts (meters):

                   Bf  Fld  Observed                  Forecast
Location          Stg  Stg  Stage   Day  Time   Mon   Mon   Mon   Tue
                                                7AM   1PM   7PM   1AM
  Dark Canyon Ca  2.7  4.6    6.4   Mon  1 AM   6.2   2.6   2.5   2.6

&&

LAT...LON 3200 10485 3227 10485 3243 10457 3249 10418 3237 10400


$$

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
1244 AM CDT MON SEP 22 2014

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in New
Mexico...Texas...

  Pecos River at Malaga 10S affecting Eddy...Loving/Reeves Counties

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in New
Mexico...

  Pecos River near Artesia 6E affecting Eddy County

.The Pecos river at Malaga has fallen below flood stage however
additional rain will renew flooding concerns there. Drainage into
the Pecos Rive near Artesia continues to keep the river in minor
flood there.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Motorists are urged to heed flood warnings, and exercise caution if
traveling through this area.  Vehicle-related fatalities are the
number one source of flood fatalities in West Texas and New Mexico.
If you encounter a flooded stretch of roadway, do not attempt to
cross it.  You and your vehicle could be swept downstream in rushing
floodwaters.  Turn around, don`t drown!

Keep in mind that any additional rainfall across the area could
significantly change the present forecast stage.

Additional information is available at:  www.weather.gov/midland

The next statement will be issued Monday morning.

&&

NMC015-222144-
/O.EXT.KMAF.FL.W.0022.140923T1115Z-140925T1115Z/
/ATSN5.1.ER.140923T1115Z.140924T0600Z.140924T2315Z.NO/
1144 PM MDT SUN SEP 21 2014

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Pecos River near Artesia 6E.
* from Tuesday morning to Thursday morning, or until the warning is
  cancelled.
* Flood stage is 12.5 feet (3.8 meters).
* Impact...At 13.5 feet (4.1 meters), the river reaches the floor of
  the instrument shelter.

This crest compares to a previous crest of 11.5 feet (3.5 meters) on
Jul 18 1991.

&&

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts (feet):

                   Bf  Fld  Observed                  Forecast
Location          Stg  Stg  Stage   Day  Time   Mon   Mon   Mon   Tue
                                                7AM   1PM   7PM   1AM
  Artesia 6E     12.0 12.5      M   M          12.7  11.7  11.1  11.8

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts (meters):

                   Bf  Fld  Observed                  Forecast
Location          Stg  Stg  Stage   Day  Time   Mon   Mon   Mon   Tue
                                                7AM   1PM   7PM   1AM
  Artesia 6E      3.7  3.8      M   M           3.9   3.6   3.4   3.6

&&

LAT...LON 3297 10443 3297 10423 3285 10425 3265 10423 3264 10443


$$

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
919 AM CDT SUN SEP 21 2014

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Texas...

  Rio Grande below Presidio 5SE affecting Presidio County
  Rio Grande At Lajitas 1WNW affecting Brewster and Presidio Counties
  Rio Grande at Johnson Ranch affecting Brewster County
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Texas..
  Rio Grande at Presidio International Bridge affecting Presidio
  County

.Runoff from local heavy rainfall has resulted in crests along the
Rio Grande near Presidio, with river levels forecast to remain steady
slightly above flood stage as routed flow from Luis Leon Reservoir
continues. Further downstream, these local crests are forecast to
occurover the next day with flow leveling off slightly above flood
stage, except at Lajitas, which is forecast to drop below flood stage
Tuesday.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Motorists are urged to heed flood warnings, and exercise caution if
traveling through this area.  Vehicle-related fatalities are the
number one source of flood fatalities in West Texas and New Mexico.
If you encounter a flooded stretch of roadway, do not attempt to
cross it.  You and your vehicle could be swept downstream in rushing
floodwaters.  Turn around, don`t drown!

River levels are high.  Ranchers and farmers should move livestock
and machinery out of flood-prone areas if time permits.

Keep in mind that any additional rainfall across the area could
significantly change the present forecast stage.

Additional information is available at:  www.weather.gov/midland

The next statement will be issued

&&

TXC043-377-220619-
/O.EXT.KMAF.FL.W.0019.140921T2315Z-140924T1500Z/
/TGAT2.1.ER.140921T2315Z.140922T0600Z.140923T0300Z.UU/
919 AM CDT SUN SEP 21 2014

...Flood Warning extended until Wednesday morning...The Flood Warning
continues for
  the Rio Grande At Lajitas 1WNW.
* from this evening to Wednesday morning, or until the warning is
  cancelled.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet (4.0 meters).
* Impact...At 11.5 feet (3.5 meters), water approaches the fenced-in
  park area.

This crest compares to a previous crest of 18.0 feet (5.5 meters) on
Jul 29 2013.

&&

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts (feet):

                   Bf  Fld  Observed                  Forecast
Location          Stg  Stg  Stage   Day  Time   Sun   Sun   Mon   Mon
                                                1PM   7PM   1AM   7AM
  Lajitas 1WNW    7.0 13.0      M   M          12.3  13.1  13.4  13.0

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts (meters):

                   Bf  Fld  Observed                  Forecast
Location          Stg  Stg  Stage   Day  Time   Sun   Sun   Mon   Mon
                                                1PM   7PM   1AM   7AM
  Lajitas 1WNW    2.1  4.0      M   M           3.7   4.0   4.1   4.0

&&

LAT...LON 2923 10401 2937 10394 2923 10358 2909 10366 2917 10383


$$


Flash Flood Watch


FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
439 AM MDT MON SEP 22 2014

NMZ508-509-520-523>526-533>540-222200-
/O.CON.KABQ.FF.A.0016.000000T0000Z-140923T0400Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS-SAN FRANCISCO RIVER VALLEY-
LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-SOUTH CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-
UPPER TULAROSA VALLEY-SOUTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-GUADALUPE COUNTY-
QUAY COUNTY-CURRY COUNTY-ROOSEVELT COUNTY-DE BACA COUNTY-
CHAVES COUNTY PLAINS-EASTERN LINCOLN COUNTY-SOUTHWEST CHAVES COUNTY-
439 AM MDT MON SEP 22 2014

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* A PORTION OF NORTH AND CENTRAL NEW MEXICO...INCLUDING THE
  FOLLOWING AREAS...CENTRAL HIGHLANDS...CHAVES COUNTY PLAINS...
  CURRY COUNTY...DE BACA COUNTY...EASTERN LINCOLN COUNTY...
  GUADALUPE COUNTY...LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY...QUAY COUNTY...
  ROOSEVELT COUNTY...SAN FRANCISCO RIVER VALLEY...SOUTH CENTRAL
  HIGHLANDS...SOUTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS...SOUTHWEST CHAVES COUNTY...
  SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS AND UPPER TULAROSA VALLEY.

* THROUGH THIS EVENING

* AN UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE TROUGH OVER THE EASTERN GREAT BASIN
  EARLY THIS MORNING WILL TRACK THROUGH THE CENTRAL ROCKIES LATER
  TODAY. AS IT ADVANCES EASTWARD...MOIST LOW LEVEL SOUTHEAST
  THROUGH SOUTH WINDS AND A CONTINUED TAP OF LATE SEASON MONSOON
  MOISTURE WILL PERSIST. THE COMBINATION OF THESE FEATURES WILL
  KEEP SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACTIVE THROUGH THIS EVENING...
  AND THEREFORE THE POTENTIAL OF HEAVY RAINFALL OVER THE WATCH
  AREA.

* LOCATIONS WHICH HAVE RECEIVED HEAVY RAINFALL RECENTLY WILL BE
  MOST AT RISK OF FLASH FLOODING. OTHER VULNERABLE LOCATIONS
  INCLUDE POOR DRAINAGE AREAS...STEEP TERRAIN AND BURN SCARS SUCH
  AS THE LITTLE BEAR AND WHITEWATER BALDY. KEEP A WATCHFUL EYE ON
  SMALL STREAMS AND ARROYOS...AND AVOID FLOODED LOW WATER
  CROSSINGS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO
FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.
MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH
FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$

43

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
424 AM MDT MON SEP 22 2014

...MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINFALL POSSIBLE OVER SOUTHERN NEW MEXICO
AND FAR WEST TEXAS THROUGH MIDNIGHT...

.MOISTURE IS ON THE INCREASE ACROSS FAR WEST TEXAS AND SOUTHERN
NEW MEXICO. ABUNDANT MOISTURE WILL PERSIST OVER THE AREA THROUGH
MIDNIGHT INCREASING CHANCES OF WIDESPREAD MODERATE TO HEAVY
RAINFALL. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL
DEVELOP WITH THE AID OF A FRONTAL BOUNDARY AND A PASSING UPPER
LEVEL TROUGH. THE GROUND REMAINS MOIST FROM PREVIOUS HEAVY RAINS
OF A FEW DAYS AGO...SO RUNOFF WILL BE RAPID AND ABOVE NORMAL.
FLOODING ALONG DRAINAGES... ARROYOS...SMALL STREAMS AND LOW WATER
CROSSINGS IN POSSIBLE THROUGH MONDAY. URBAN AREAS MAY SEE STREET
FLOODING AND PONDING OF WATER IN POORLY DRAINED LOW LYING AREAS.
THE HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL WILL DIMINISH AFTER MIDNIGHT.

NMZ401>417-TXZ418>424-230600-
/O.EXT.KEPZ.FF.A.0011.000000T0000Z-140923T0600Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
UPPER GILA RIVER VALLEY-SOUTHERN GILA HIGHLANDS/BLACK RANGE-
SOUTHERN GILA FOOTHILLS/MIMBRES VALLEY-
SOUTHWEST DESERT/LOWER GILA RIVER VALLEY-LOWLANDS OF THE BOOTHEEL-
UPLANDS OF THE BOOTHEEL-SOUTHWEST DESERT/MIMBRES BASIN-
EASTERN BLACK RANGE FOOTHILLS-SIERRA COUNTY LAKES-
NORTHERN DONA ANA COUNTY-SOUTHERN DONA ANA COUNTY/MESILLA VALLEY-
CENTRAL TULAROSA BASIN-SOUTHERN TULAROSA BASIN-
WEST SLOPES SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS BELOW 7500 FEET-
SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 7500 FEET-
EAST SLOPES SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS BELOW 7500 FEET-OTERO MESA-
WESTERN EL PASO COUNTY-EASTERN/CENTRAL EL PASO COUNTY-
NORTHERN HUDSPETH HIGHLANDS/HUECO MOUNTAINS-SALT BASIN-
SOUTHERN HUDSPETH HIGHLANDS-
RIO GRANDE VALLEY OF EASTERN EL PASO/WESTERN HUDSPETH COUNTIES-
RIO GRANDE VALLEY OF EASTERN HUDSPETH COUNTY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GILA HOT SPRINGS...BUCKHORN...
MULE CREEK...CLIFF...SILVER CITY...LAKE ROBERTS...KINGSTON...
FORT BAYARD...MIMBRES...FAYWOOD...HURLEY...GRANT COUNTY AIRPORT...
LORDSBURG...REDROCK...VIRDEN...ANIMAS...HACHITA...
ANTELOPE WELLS...CLOVERDALE...DEMING...COLUMBUS...HILLSBORO...
WINSTON...TRUTH OR CONSEQUENCES...DERRY...SPACEPORT...GARFIELD...
HATCH...RADIUM SPRINGS...LAS CRUCES...VADO...SUNLAND PARK...
ALAMOGORDO...TULAROSA...WHITE SANDS MONUMENT...OROGRANDE...
WHITE SANDS RANGE HEADQUARTERS...CHAPARRAL...MESCALERO...
MOUNTAIN PARK...TIMBERON...CLOUDCROFT...SUNSPOT...APACHE SUMMIT...
MAYHILL...SACRAMENTO...PINON...CROW FLATS...DOWNTOWN...
WEST EL PASO...UPPER VALLEY...FORT BLISS...SOCORRO...
EAST AND NORTHEAST EL PASO...HUECO TANKS...LOMA LINDA...
DELL CITY...CORNUDAS...SALT FLAT...SIERRA BLANCA...FABENS...
TORNILLO...FORT HANCOCK
424 AM MDT MON SEP 22 2014

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH NOW IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR

* PORTIONS OF NM AND TX...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN
  NM...CENTRAL TULAROSA BASIN...EAST SLOPES SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS
  BELOW 7500 FEET...EASTERN BLACK RANGE FOOTHILLS...LOWLANDS OF
  THE BOOTHEEL...NORTHERN DONA ANA COUNTY...OTERO MESA...
  SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 7500 FEET...SIERRA COUNTY LAKES...
  SOUTHERN DONA ANA COUNTY/MESILLA VALLEY...SOUTHERN GILA
  FOOTHILLS/MIMBRES VALLEY...SOUTHERN GILA HIGHLANDS/BLACK
  RANGE...SOUTHERN TULAROSA BASIN...SOUTHWEST DESERT/LOWER GILA
  RIVER VALLEY...SOUTHWEST DESERT/MIMBRES BASIN...UPLANDS OF THE
  BOOTHEEL...UPPER GILA RIVER VALLEY AND WEST SLOPES SACRAMENTO
  MOUNTAINS BELOW 7500 FEET. IN TX...EASTERN/CENTRAL EL PASO
  COUNTY...NORTHERN HUDSPETH HIGHLANDS/HUECO MOUNTAINS...RIO
  GRANDE VALLEY OF EASTERN EL PASO/WESTERN HUDSPETH COUNTIES...
  RIO GRANDE VALLEY OF EASTERN HUDSPETH COUNTY...SALT BASIN...
  SOUTHERN HUDSPETH HIGHLANDS AND WESTERN EL PASO COUNTY.

* THROUGH THIS EVENING

* SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF
  PRODUCING WIDESPREAD MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINFALL WILL OCCUR OVER
  THE AFFECTED AREA THROUGH MIDNIGHT. WIDESPREAD RAIN AMOUNTS OF
  1 TO 3 INCHES WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS WILL FALL ON ALREADY
  SATURATED SOIL...RESULTING IN CONSIDERABLE RUNOFF.

* NORMALLY DRY ARROYOS...STREAMS...AND RIVER COULD BE QUICKLY
  FILLED WITH FAST MOVING WATER...MUD AND DEBRIS. LOW WATER
  CROSSINGS WILL LIKELY BECOME IMPASSABLE. FLOODING OF STREETS...
  HOMES AND BUSINESSES IN LOW LYING AND FLOOD PRONE AREAS WILL BE
  POSSIBLE. SOME FLOODING COULD BECOME LIFE THREATENING. PEOPLE
  LIVING IN FLOOD PRONE AREAS SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION IF
  RISING WATER IS SEEN.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$

LUNDEEN

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
414 AM CDT MON SEP 22 2014

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON FOR
SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO...THE GUADALUPE AND DAVIS MOUNTAINS...VAN
HORN REGION...AND TRANS PECOS REGION...

.TROPICAL MOISTURE WILL REMAIN ACROSS SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO AND
SOUTHWEST TEXAS TODAY CONTINUING TO BRING THE POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY
RAIN THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON. RAINFALL RATES EXCEEDING 1 INCH PER
HOUR ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...AND COMBINED WITH
SATURATED SOILS WILL LIKELY PRODUCE QUICK RUNOFF RESULTING IN
FLASH FLOODING...ESPECIALLY AT LOW WATER CROSSINGS AND AREAS WITH
POOR DRAINAGE.

NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ057>060-067-068-074-075-258-222100-
/O.EXT.KMAF.FF.A.0006.000000T0000Z-140923T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF EDDY COUNTY-EDDY COUNTY PLAINS-
NORTHERN LEA COUNTY-CENTRAL LEA COUNTY-SOUTHERN LEA COUNTY-
VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-
REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS-LOVING-WINKLER-WARD-CRANE-
DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA-PECOS-GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...QUEEN...ARTESIA...CARLSBAD...TATUM...
HOBBS...LOVINGTON...EUNICE...JAL...VAN HORN...PECOS...MENTONE...
RED BLUFF LAKE...KERMIT...MONAHANS...CRANE...ALPINE...
FORT STOCKTON...PINE SPRINGS
414 AM CDT MON SEP 22 2014 /314 AM MDT MON SEP 22 2014/

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH NOW IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR

* PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO AND TEXAS...INCLUDING THE
  FOLLOWING AREAS...IN SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO...CENTRAL LEA
  COUNTY...EDDY COUNTY PLAINS...GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF EDDY
  COUNTY...NORTHERN LEA COUNTY AND SOUTHERN LEA COUNTY. IN
  TEXAS...CRANE...DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA...GUADALUPE
  MOUNTAINS...LOVING...PECOS...REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS
  PECOS...VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR...WARD AND WINKLER.

* THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON

* AN ADDITIONAL 1 TO 2 INCHES OF RAIN IS POSSIBLE IN THE WATCH
  AREA TODAY...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF UP TO 4 INCHES POSSIBLE.

* FLOODING OF RIVERS...CREEKS...ARROYOS...LOW WATER CROSSINGS
  AND CITY STREETS WILL BE POSSIBLE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.
WITH SATURATED SOILS...RUNOFF CAN CAUSE FLASH FLOODING QUICKLY.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$


Flood Advisory


FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX
429 AM MDT MON SEP 22 2014

NMC017-221330-
/O.NEW.KEPZ.FA.Y.0210.140922T1029Z-140922T1330Z/
/00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
GRANT NM-
429 AM MDT MON SEP 22 2014

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN EL PASO HAS ISSUED AN

* ARROYO AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY FOR...
  NORTHWESTERN GRANT COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL NEW MEXICO...

* UNTIL 730 AM MDT

* AT 428 AM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED AN
  AREA OF HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS THE ADVISORY AREA. DOPPLER RADAR
  ESTIMATED THAT AN INCH AND HALF TO TWO AND HALF INCHES HAD FALLEN
  IN THE PAST COUPLE OF HOURS.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  BUCKHORN...
  MULE CREEK...
  ALDO LEOPOLD VISTA...

RUNOFF FROM THIS RAINFALL WILL CAUSE MINOR FLOODING TO OCCUR...
ESPECIALLY ALONG SMALL STREAMS AND NEAR LOW WATER CROSSINGS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN HILLY TERRAIN THERE ARE HUNDREDS OF LOW WATER CROSSINGS WHICH ARE
POTENTIALLY DANGEROUS IN HEAVY RAIN. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO TRAVEL ACROSS
FLOODED ROADS. IT ONLY TAKES A FEW INCHES OF SWIFTLY FLOWING WATER TO
CARRY VEHICLES AWAY.

&&

LAT...LON 3309 10905 3320 10905 3321 10904 3321 10867
      3282 10870 3283 10905 3285 10906 3286 10905
      3309 10906

$$

GNL

FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX
248 AM MDT MON SEP 22 2014

NMC017-221045-
/O.NEW.KEPZ.FA.Y.0209.140922T0848Z-140922T1045Z/
/00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
GRANT NM-
248 AM MDT MON SEP 22 2014

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN EL PASO HAS ISSUED AN

* ARROYO AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY FOR...
  NORTH CENTRAL GRANT COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL NEW MEXICO...

* UNTIL 445 AM MDT

* AT 248 AM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
  THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS THE ADVISORY AREA. DOPPLER
  RADAR ESTIMATED HALF AN INCH TO AN INCH OF RAIN HAS FALLEN IN THE
  LAST HOUR.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  RIVERSIDE...
  GILA...
  CLIFF...
  GILA RIPARIAN PRESERVE...

RUNOFF FROM THIS EXCESSIVE RAINFALL WILL CAUSE MINOR FLOODING TO
OCCUR...ESPECIALLY ALONG SMALL STREAMS AND NEAR LOW WATER CROSSINGS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE
DANGERS OF FLOODING. IF FLOODING IS OBSERVED ACT QUICKLY. DO NOT
ENTER THE WATER. TURN AROUND AND MOVE UP TO HIGHER GROUND TO ESCAPE
FLOOD WATERS.

&&

LAT...LON 3313 10823 3286 10824 3286 10870 3313 10868

$$

PAZOS


Hazardous Weather Outlook


HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
320 AM MST MON SEP 22 2014

AZZ004>018-037>040-230700-
KAIBAB PLATEAU-MARBLE AND GLEN CANYONS-GRAND CANYON COUNTRY-
COCONINO PLATEAU-YAVAPAI COUNTY MOUNTAINS-
NORTHEAST PLATEAUS AND MESAS HWY 264 NORTHWARD-CHINLE VALLEY-
CHUSKA MOUNTAINS AND DEFIANCE PLATEAU-
LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN COCONINO COUNTY-
LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN NAVAJO COUNTY-
LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN APACHE COUNTY-
WESTERN MOGOLLON RIM-EASTERN MOGOLLON RIM-WHITE MOUNTAINS-
NORTHERN GILA COUNTY-YAVAPAI COUNTY VALLEYS AND BASINS-
OAK CREEK AND SYCAMORE CANYONS-BLACK MESA AREA-
NORTHEAST PLATEAUS AND MESAS SOUTH OF HWY 264-
320 AM MST MON SEP 22 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR APACHE...COCONINO...
NORTHERN GILA...NAVAJO...AND YAVAPAI COUNTIES IN NORTHERN
ARIZONA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED ALONG THE ARIZONA/NEW MEXICO
BORDER.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

FOR FRIDAY AND THE WEEKEND...A STORM SYSTEM FROM THE WEST WILL
INTERACT WITH LINGERING MOISTURE OVER ARIZONA FOR A CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

$$

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
439 AM CDT MON SEP 22 2014

NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-057>063-067>070-074-075-
079>082-258-230945-
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF EDDY COUNTY-EDDY COUNTY PLAINS-
NORTHERN LEA COUNTY-CENTRAL LEA COUNTY-SOUTHERN LEA COUNTY-GAINES-
DAWSON-BORDEN-SCURRY-ANDREWS-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL-
VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS-
LOVING-WINKLER-ECTOR-MIDLAND-GLASSCOCK-WARD-CRANE-UPTON-REAGAN-
DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA-PECOS-PRESIDIO VALLEY-MARFA PLATEAU-
BIG BEND AREA-TERRELL-GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-
439 AM CDT MON SEP 22 2014 /339 AM MDT MON SEP 22 2014/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST NEW
MEXICO...SOUTHWEST TEXAS AND WEST TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAINFALL ARE LIKELY AGAIN
TODAY ACROSS SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO AND MUCH OF THE TRANS PECOS...
INCREASING THE POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING AND FLASH FLOODING. A FLASH
FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE GUADALUPE... DAVIS...AND APACHE
MOUNTAINS...SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO PLAINS...WESTERN PERMIAN BASIN...
VAN HORN AND THE HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR...REEVES COUNTY AND THE
UPPER TRANS PECOS. ABUNDANT RAINFALL HAS ALREADY FALLEN IN THESE
AREAS OVER THE PAST SEVERAL DAYS...SO IT WILL NOT TAKE MUCH
ADDITIONAL RAINFALL TO RAISE CONCERNS FOR MORE FLOODING AND FLASH
FLOODING.

IN ADDITION TO HEAVY RAINFALL...SOME OF THE STRONGER STORMS MAY BE
ACCOMPANIED BY GUSTY WINDS UP 50 MPH AND SMALL HAIL..ESPECIALLY OVER
THE TRANS PECOS.

ELEVATED FLOWS WILL CONTINUE ALONG THE RIO GRANDE TODAY AND TONIGHT
DUE TO RELEASES FROM RESERVOIRS IN MEXICO AND HEAVY RAINFALL ON BOTH
SIDES OF THE RIVER. TRIBUTARIES AND ARROYOS TO THE PECOS RIVER...SUCH
AS THE RIO PENASCO...FOUR MILE DRAW...SOUTH SEVEN RIVERS...ROCKY
ARROYO...DARK CANYON...BLACK RIVER...DELAWARE RIVER...AND WALNUT
CANYON HAVE BEEN FLUCTUATING AS FLOOD WAVES MOVE DOWN CANYONS.
FLOODING IS EXPECTED IN CARLSBAD AND IS ASSOCIATED WITH FLOOD WAVES
MOVING DOWN CANYONS AND THE PECOS RIVER. ANY ADDITIONAL RAIN THAT
FALLS IN THOSE AREAS WILL CAUSE ADDITIONAL RISES...IF NOT FLOODING.
ALSO LINGERING FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS IN BORDEN AND SCURRY
COUNTIES IS STILL A CONCERN. FINALLY FLOODING ALONG THE PECOS RIVER
FROM RED BLUFF TO PECOS/BARSTOW IS STILL ONGOING AS IS MINOR
FLOODING ON THE COLORADO RIVER AT COLORADO CITY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS REMAINS IN THE
FORECAST TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY.

THE RIO GRANDE...PECOS RIVER...AND ASSOCIATED TRIBUTARIES AND
ARROYOS WILL REMAIN ELEVATED DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS DUE TO
ADDITIONAL RAINFALL. THE PECOS RIVER FROM RED BLUFF TO PECOS IS
NOT EXPECTED TO CREST UNTIL TUESDAY AFTERNOON.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

ALTHOUGH SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED...LOCAL EMERGENCY
MANAGEMENT SHOULD STAY UP TO DATE ON THE LATEST DEVELOPMENTS IN
FLASH FLOODING OR RIVER FLOODING OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.

$$
THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
MIDLAND CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT /LOWER CASE/
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MIDLAND

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
1100 AM MDT SUN SEP 21 2014

NMZ401>417-TXZ418>424-221700-
UPPER GILA RIVER VALLEY-SOUTHERN GILA HIGHLANDS/BLACK RANGE-
SOUTHERN GILA FOOTHILLS/MIMBRES VALLEY-
SOUTHWEST DESERT/LOWER GILA RIVER VALLEY-LOWLANDS OF THE BOOTHEEL-
UPLANDS OF THE BOOTHEEL-SOUTHWEST DESERT/MIMBRES BASIN-
EASTERN BLACK RANGE FOOTHILLS-SIERRA COUNTY LAKES-
NORTHERN DONA ANA COUNTY-SOUTHERN DONA ANA COUNTY/MESILLA VALLEY-
CENTRAL TULAROSA BASIN-SOUTHERN TULAROSA BASIN-
WEST SLOPES SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS BELOW 7500 FEET-
SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 7500 FEET-
EAST SLOPES SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS BELOW 7500 FEET-OTERO MESA-
WESTERN EL PASO COUNTY-EASTERN/CENTRAL EL PASO COUNTY-
NORTHERN HUDSPETH HIGHLANDS/HUECO MOUNTAINS-SALT BASIN-
SOUTHERN HUDSPETH HIGHLANDS-
RIO GRANDE VALLEY OF EASTERN EL PASO/WESTERN HUDSPETH COUNTIES-
RIO GRANDE VALLEY OF EASTERN HUDSPETH COUNTY-
1100 AM MDT SUN SEP 21 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NM AND TX.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

MOISTURE ON THE RISE AGAIN TODAY AS BOTH LOW LEVELS AND MID LEVELS
IMPORT ADDITIONAL MOISTURE INTO THE BORDERLAND. IN ADDITION...A
NUMBER OF FEATURES...DISTURBANCE...TROUGH...FRONT...WILL MOVE
INTO THE AREA TO HELP CREATE INSTABILITY AND LIFT. THE RESULTS
SHOULD BE A SHARP INCREASE IN SHOWER AND STORM ACTIVITY ACROSS ALL
OF SOUTHERN AND SOUTHWEST NEW MEXICO AND FAR WEST TEXAS. WITH DEEP
MOISTURE AND SLOW STORM MOTION...HEAVY RAIN IS EXPECTED. SATURATED
GROUND FROM RECENT EXCESSIVE RAINFALL MEANS QUICK RUNOFF OF
RAINFALL WITH INCREASED POTENTIAL FOR FLASH FLOODING. STREAMS...
CREEKS...WASHES...AND ARROYOS WILL BE QUICK TO RUN. LOW LYING
AND FLOOD PRONE AREAS WILL BE QUICK TO FILL. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH
IS AGAIN IN EFFECT FOR ALL BUT THE BOOTHEEL UNTIL 6AM MONDAY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

THE THREAT FOR FLASH FLOODING CONTINUES MONDAY AS THE FRONT STALLS
OVER THE REGION AND AN UPPER TROUGH PASSES TO OUR NORTH. DRYING
ALOFT BEHIND THE PASSING TROUGH ON TUESDAY AND A LACK OF FOCUS
FEATURES SHOULD MEAN A SHARP REDUCTION IN RAIN AND STORM CHANCES
AND COVERAGE TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. DURING THIS PERIOD WE SHOULD
SEE THE TYPICAL PATTERN OF ISOLATED TO SCATTERED MOUNTAIN STORMS
FOLLOWED LATER IN THE DAY BY ISOLATED LOWLAND STORMS. SATURDAY WE
WATCH ANOTHER PACIFIC TROUGH INBOUND FROM THE WEST THAT LOOKS TO
SPARK A PERIOD OF INCREASED STORMS SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
SUNDAY AS IT PASSES.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS SHOULD REPORT ANY OBSERVED HAZARDOUS WEATHER OR FLOODING
TO THIS OFFICE AND LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT.

$$

BIRD

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
559 AM MDT SUN SEP 21 2014

NMZ501>540-221200-
NORTHWEST PLATEAU-CHUSKA MOUNTAINS-FAR NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-
NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-WEST CENTRAL PLATEAU-WEST CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-
WEST CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS-
SAN FRANCISCO RIVER VALLEY-SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS-JEMEZ MOUNTAINS-
WEST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 9500 FEET/RED RIVER-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 9500 FEET-
EAST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-
LOWER CHAMA RIVER VALLEY-SANTA FE METRO AREA-ALBUQUERQUE METRO AREA-
LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-SANDIA/MANZANO MOUNTAINS-ESTANCIA VALLEY-
CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-SOUTH CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-UPPER TULAROSA VALLEY-
SOUTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-RATON RIDGE/JOHNSON MESA-
FAR NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-UNION COUNTY-
HARDING COUNTY-EASTERN SAN MIGUEL COUNTY-GUADALUPE COUNTY-
QUAY COUNTY-CURRY COUNTY-ROOSEVELT COUNTY-DE BACA COUNTY-
CHAVES COUNTY PLAINS-EASTERN LINCOLN COUNTY-SOUTHWEST CHAVES COUNTY-
559 AM MDT SUN SEP 21 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH AND CENTRAL
NEW MEXICO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT
PATCHY DENSE FOG WILL BE ENCOUNTERED NEAR AND EAST OF THE CENTRAL
MOUNTAIN CHAIN EARLY THIS MORNING. IMPACTED AREAS INCLUDE BUT ARE
NOT LIMITED TO LAS VEGAS...MORIARTY....EDGEWOOD...CLINES CORNERS...
TUCUMCARI...CLOVIS...ROSWELL AND RUIDOSO. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS
THUNDERSTORMS ARE ALSO EXPECTED TODAY THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT. STORM
MOTIONS WILL BE SLOW AND RAINFALL COULD BECOME HEAVY. THIS MAY
LEAD TO LOCALIZED AREAS OF FLASH FLOODING... ESPECIALLY FOR AREAS
THAT HAVE RECENTLY RECEIVED HEAVY RAIN AS WELL AS OVER AND NEAR
RECENT AND OLDER BURN SCARS. ISOLATED LOCATIONS MAY RECEIVE UP TO
2 INCHES OF RAINFALL. A FEW STORMS MAY ALSO PRODUCE SMALL HAIL AND
WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED MONDAY...FOCUSED
FROM SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST NEW MEXICO AS WELL AS AREAS EAST OF
THE CENTRAL MOUNTAIN CHAIN. RAINFALL COULD BECOME HEAVY AT TIMES
WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR AT LEAST LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING. A FEW STORMS
MAY ALSO PRODUCE SMALL HAIL AND WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH AREAWIDE.
FEWER STORMS AND A DRIER PATTERN WILL TAKE HOLD BY TUESDAY INTO
WEDNESDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT RAINFALL AMOUNTS...HAIL AND ANY
FLOODING THROUGH THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE WEB SITE
AT WEATHER.GOV/ABQ OR BY CALLING 1.888.386.7637.

$$

41


Short Term Forecast


SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
358 AM MDT MON SEP 22 2014

NMZ401>408-221200-
UPPER GILA RIVER VALLEY-SOUTHERN GILA HIGHLANDS/BLACK RANGE-
SOUTHERN GILA FOOTHILLS/MIMBRES VALLEY-
SOUTHWEST DESERT/LOWER GILA RIVER VALLEY-LOWLANDS OF THE BOOTHEEL-
UPLANDS OF THE BOOTHEEL-SOUTHWEST DESERT/MIMBRES BASIN-
EASTERN BLACK RANGE FOOTHILLS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GILA HOT SPRINGS...BUCKHORN...
MULE CREEK...CLIFF...SILVER CITY...LAKE ROBERTS...KINGSTON...
FORT BAYARD...MIMBRES...FAYWOOD...HURLEY...GRANT COUNTY AIRPORT...
LORDSBURG...REDROCK...VIRDEN...ANIMAS...HACHITA...
ANTELOPE WELLS...CLOVERDALE...DEMING...COLUMBUS...HILLSBORO...
WINSTON
358 AM MDT MON SEP 22 2014

.NOW...AT 3:50 THIS MORNING SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
CONTINUE ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA. CURRENTLY THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL
IS OVER CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN GRANT COUNTY. SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS ARE TAPERING OFF OVER THE BOOTHEEL REGION AND
STARTING TO DEVELOP IN CENTRAL LUNA COUNTY. THESE STORMS CONTINUE
TO MOVE SLOWLY AND DROP LARGE AMOUNTS OF RAIN. ONE AND A HALF TO
ONE INCH OF RAIN CAN BE EXPECTED WITH THESE STORMS. RAIN WILL
CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS.


$$

SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
358 AM MDT MON SEP 22 2014

TXZ418-419-221200-
WESTERN EL PASO COUNTY-EASTERN/CENTRAL EL PASO COUNTY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DOWNTOWN...WEST EL PASO...
UPPER VALLEY...FORT BLISS...SOCORRO...EAST AND NORTHEAST EL PASO
358 AM MDT MON SEP 22 2014

.NOW...
AT 3:50 THIS MORNING ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAVE BEGUN DEVELOPING
OVER NORTHEAST EL PASO COUNTY. THESE STORMS HAVE VERY LITTLE
MOVEMENT SO HEAVY RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE. UP TO HALF AN INCH OF RAIN
IS POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

$$

PAZOS

SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
342 AM MDT MON SEP 22 2014

NMZ533>538-221100-
CHAVES COUNTY PLAINS-CURRY COUNTY-DE BACA COUNTY-GUADALUPE COUNTY-
QUAY COUNTY-ROOSEVELT COUNTY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLOVIS...FORT SUMNER...PORTALES...
ROSWELL...SANTA ROSA...TUCUMCARI
342 AM MDT MON SEP 22 2014

.NOW...
SHOWERS...SOME WITH THUNDER...WILL CONTINUE OVERNIGHT. SHOWERS IN
WESTERN GUADALUPE COUNTY WILL MOVE ACROSS INTERSTATE 40 NEAR
MILAGRO...PINTADO...SAN IGNACIO...PASTURA...AND SANTA ROSA...AND ON
TOWARD ANTON CHICO AND DILIA. SHOWERS ACROSS EASTERN CHAVES COUNTY
WILL MOVE ALONG HIGHWAY 285 TOWARD MESA...RAMON...AND VAUGHN.
SHOWERS ACROSS SOUTHERN QUAY AND NORTHWEST CURRY COUNTIES WILL MOVE
ACROSS HOUSE...MCALISTER...AND RAGLAND. EXPECT SOME LIGHTNING AND
RAINFALL UP TO SEVERAL TENTHS OF AN INCH IN HEAVIER SHOWERS.
ELSEWHERE...EXPECT OCCASIONAL LIGHTNING AND RAINFALL OF LESS THAN A
TENTH OF AN INCH IN SCATTERED SHOWERS OVERNIGHT.

$$

SHY

SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
342 AM MDT MON SEP 22 2014

NMZ501>509-221100-
CHUSKA MOUNTAINS-FAR NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-
NORTHWEST PLATEAU-SAN FRANCISCO RIVER VALLEY-SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS-
WEST CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-WEST CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-WEST CENTRAL PLATEAU-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CUBA...DULCE...EL MORRO...FARMINGTON...
GALLUP...GLENWOOD...GRANTS...QUEMADO
342 AM MDT MON SEP 22 2014

.NOW...
SHOWERS...SOME WITH THUNDER...WILL CONTINUE OVERNIGHT. SHOWERS IN
CATRON COUNTY WILL MOVE ACROSS HIGHWAY 180 NEAR LUNA...MOGLLON...
GLENWOOD...RESERVE...APACHE CREEK...AND BEAVERHEAD. SHOWERS IN
WESTERN MCKINLEY COUNTY WILL MOVE ACROSS COYOTE CANYON...TOHATCHI...
STANDING ROCK...AND ACROSS ROAD 9. EXPECT SOME LIGHTNING AND RAINFALL
UP TO SEVERAL TENTHS OF AN INCH ALONG WITH LOCALLY POOR VISIBILITY IN
HEAVIER SHOWERS. ELSEWHERE...EXPECT OCCASIONAL LIGHTNING AND
RAINFALL UP TO A TENTH OF AN INCH OVERNIGHT.

$$

SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
342 AM MDT MON SEP 22 2014

NMZ520-523>526-539-540-221100-
CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-EASTERN LINCOLN COUNTY-LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-
SOUTH CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-SOUTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-
SOUTHWEST CHAVES COUNTY-UPPER TULAROSA VALLEY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CARRIZOZO...CLINES CORNERS...ELK...
GRAN QUIVIRA...PICACHO...RUIDOSO...SOCORRO
342 AM MDT MON SEP 22 2014

.NOW...
SHOWERS...SOME WITH THUNDER...WILL CONTINUE OVERNIGHT. SHOWERS IN
EASTERN SOCORRO COUNTY WILL MOVE TOWARD GRAN QUIVIRA...STATE ROAD
55...CLAUNCH...ABO...AND MOUNTAINAIR. SHOWERS IN EASTERN TORRANCE
COUNTY WILL MOVE ACROSS INTERSTATE 40 FROM CLINES CORNERS TO THE
GUADALUPE COUNTY LINE...OR FROM MILE MARKER 215 TO MILE MARKER 240.
EXPECT SOME LIGHTNING AND RAINFALL UP TO SEVERAL TENTHS OF AN INCH
ALONG WITH LOCALLY POOR VISIBILITY IN HEAVIER SHOWERS. ELSEWHERE...
EXPECT OCCASIONAL LIGHTNING AND RAINFALL UP TO A TENTH OF AN INCH
OVERNIGHT.

$$

U.S. Dept. of Commerce
NOAA National Weather Service
1325 East West Highway
Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: June 2, 2009
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE: for Safety, for Work, for Fun - FOR LIFE