Red Flag Warning
URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
1035 PM MDT WED JUN 19 2013
...RED FLAG WARNING FOR THE NORTHERN GILA REGION AND EAST SLOPES
OF THE BLACK RANGE FROM NOON TO 9 PM THURSDAY...
.A DEEP UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE WEST COAST WILL BRING STRONG
SOUTHWEST WINDS ALOFT ACROSS THE REGION. WITH DEEP MIXING GUSTY
SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL BE BROUGHT TO THE SURFACE. 20-FOOT WINDS
WILL RANGE FROM 20 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH MAINLY OVER
CATRON COUNTY BUT ALSO EXTENDING ALONG THE EAST SLOPES OF THE
BLACK RANGE DUE TO DOWNSLOPE ENHANCEMENT. A FEW ISOLATED GUSTS UP
TO 40 MPH ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. THIS WILL RESULT IN CRITICAL FIRE
WEATHER CONDITIONS FOR SEVERAL HOURS THURSDAY AFTERNOON. WINDS
WILL BE JUST SHY OF CRITERIA OVER GRANT COUNTY WEST OF THE BLACK
RANGE CREST.
NMZ110-201400-
/O.NEW.KEPZ.FW.W.0025.130620T1800Z-130621T0300Z/
SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS-
1035 PM MDT WED JUN 19 2013
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 9 PM MDT THURSDAY DUE
TO STRONG WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY...
* AREA AFFECTED: NORTHERN GILA REGION AND EAST SLOPES OF THE BLACK
RANGE INCLUDING NORTHERN AND EASTERN PORTIONS OF FIRE WEATHER
ZONE 110.
* TIMING: THURSDAY FROM NOON TO 9 PM MDT.
* WIND: 20-FOOT WINDS 20 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS 35 TO 40 MPH.
* HUMIDITY: MINIMUM RH 7 TO 12 PERCENT.
* HAINES INDEX: 6 (HIGH).
* IMPACTS...ANY FIRES THAT DEVELOP WILL LIKELY SPREAD RAPIDLY.
OUTDOOR BURNING IS NOT RECOMMENDED. VERY ACTIVE TO EXTREME FIRE
ACTIVITY LIKELY ON EXISTING WILDLAND FIRES.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXTREME FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.
&&
$$
HARDIMAN
URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
832 PM MDT WED JUN 19 2013
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 8 PM MDT THURSDAY FOR
MOST OF NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEW MEXICO EXCLUDING THE NORTHEAST
AND EAST CENTRAL PLAINS DUE TO STRONG WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FOR FRIDAY ACROSS THE NORTHWEST
AND NORTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS AS WELL AS NORTHWEST PLATEAU DUE TO
STRONG WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY...
.A SEMI PERSISTENT BREEZY TO LOCALLY WINDY PATTERN WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH THE NEXT FEW DAYS. TURBULENT MIXING COMBINED WITH ABOVE
NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND LOW TO VERY LOW HUMIDITY WILL PERSIST AS
WELL. WINDS WILL ABATE SOME DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS BUT
REINVIGORATE DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS.
NMZ103-106-107-109-201400-
/O.EXP.KABQ.FW.W.0032.000000T0000Z-130620T0200Z/
/O.CON.KABQ.FW.W.0033.130620T1800Z-130621T0200Z/
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 103
NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS/EASTERN CARSON AND SANTA FE NF/SNZ-TAZ-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 106
MIDDLE RIO GRANDE VALLEY/ALBUQUERQUE-SOCORRO BLM/ABZ-GLZ-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 107
SANDIA-MANZANO AND GALLINAS MOUNTAINS/EASTERN CIBOLA NF/ABZ-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 109
WEST CENTRAL HIGHLANDS/SOUTHWEST CIBOLA NF AND SOCORRO BLM/ABQ-
GLZ-
832 PM MDT WED JUN 19 2013
...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 8 PM MDT
THURSDAY...
A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 8 PM MDT
THURSDAY.
* AREA AND TIMING...THIS INCLUDES THE WEST CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST
HIGHLANDS...THE MIDDLE RIO GRANDE VALLEY AND THE SANDIA AND
MANZANO MOUNTAINS AND ADJACENT HIGH PLAINS THURSDAY AFTERNOON
AND EARLY EVENING.
* 20 FOOT WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS BETWEEN 35
AND 45 MPH. STRONGEST SPEEDS WILL FAVOR THE HIGH COUNTRY WITH
LIGHTER FLOWS FOUND WITHIN THE RIO GRANDE VALLEY.
* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MINIMUM VALUES BETWEEN 4 TO 11 PCT.
* IMPACTS...ANY FIRES THAT DEVELOP WILL LIKELY SPREAD RAPIDLY.
OUTDOOR BURNING IS NOT RECOMMENDED.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING.
&&
$$
Hazardous Weather Outlook
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
315 PM MDT WED JUN 19 2013
NMZ401>417-TXZ418>424-201745-
UPPER GILA RIVER VALLEY-SOUTHERN GILA HIGHLANDS/BLACK RANGE-
SOUTHERN GILA FOOTHILLS/MIMBRES VALLEY-
SOUTHWEST DESERT/LOWER GILA RIVER VALLEY-LOWLANDS OF THE BOOTHEEL-
UPLANDS OF THE BOOTHEEL-SOUTHWEST DESERT/MIMBRES BASIN-
EASTERN BLACK RANGE FOOTHILLS-SIERRA COUNTY LAKES-
NORTHERN DONA ANA COUNTY-SOUTHERN DONA ANA COUNTY/MESILLA VALLEY-
CENTRAL TULAROSA BASIN-SOUTHERN TULAROSA BASIN-
WEST SLOPES SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS BELOW 7500 FEET-
SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 7500 FEET-
EAST SLOPES SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS BELOW 7500 FEET-OTERO MESA-
WESTERN EL PASO COUNTY-EASTERN/CENTRAL EL PASO COUNTY-
NORTHERN HUDSPETH HIGHLANDS/HUECO MOUNTAINS-SALT BASIN-
SOUTHERN HUDSPETH HIGHLANDS-
RIO GRANDE VALLEY OF EASTERN EL PASO/WESTERN HUDSPETH COUNTIES-
RIO GRANDE VALLEY OF EASTERN HUDSPETH COUNTY-
315 PM MDT WED JUN 19 2013
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NM AND TX.
.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.
A FEW THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE EASTERN HUDSPETH AND OTERO COUNTIES
THIS EVENING. THE STORMS COULD PRODUCE GUSTY WINDS OF 35 TO 45 MPH
ALONG WITH PEA SIZE HAIL.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS EACH DAY...WITH THE BEST CHANCE REMAINING
MOSTLY EAST OF EL PASO. THIS AREA ALSO WOULD HAVE THE BEST CHANCE OF
SEEING A STRONG TO SEVERE STORM...WITH WIND GUSTS OF 60 MPH POSSIBLE.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT REQUIRED.
$$
HEFNER
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
303 PM CDT WED JUN 19 2013
NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-057>063-067>070-074-075-
079>082-258-202015-
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF EDDY COUNTY-EDDY COUNTY PLAINS-
NORTHERN LEA COUNTY-CENTRAL LEA COUNTY-SOUTHERN LEA COUNTY-GAINES-
DAWSON-BORDEN-SCURRY-ANDREWS-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL-
VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS-
LOVING-WINKLER-ECTOR-MIDLAND-GLASSCOCK-WARD-CRANE-UPTON-REAGAN-
DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA-PECOS-PRESIDIO VALLEY-MARFA PLATEAU-
BIG BEND AREA-TERRELL-GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-
303 PM CDT WED JUN 19 2013 /203 PM MDT WED JUN 19 2013/
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST NEW
MEXICO...SOUTHWEST TEXAS AND WEST TEXAS.
.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT
THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON
AND EVENING...GENERALLY ALONG AND WEST OF A LAMESA...TO WINK...TO
FORT STOCKTON...TO TERLINGUA LINE. ANY THUNDERSTORMS THAT DO
DEVELOP MAY BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...FREQUENT
LIGHTNING AND HEAVY RAINFALL.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY
THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUESTED THIS AFTERNOON.
$$
THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
MIDLAND CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT /LOWER CASE/
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MIDLAND
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
539 AM MDT WED JUN 19 2013
NMZ501>540-201200-
NORTHWEST PLATEAU-CHUSKA MOUNTAINS-FAR NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-
NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-WEST CENTRAL PLATEAU-WEST CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-
WEST CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS-
SAN FRANCISCO RIVER VALLEY-SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS-JEMEZ MOUNTAINS-
WEST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 9500 FEET/RED RIVER-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 9500 FEET-
EAST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-
LOWER CHAMA RIVER VALLEY-SANTA FE METRO AREA-ALBUQUERQUE METRO AREA-
LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-SANDIA/MANZANO MOUNTAINS-ESTANCIA VALLEY-
CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-SOUTH CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-UPPER TULAROSA VALLEY-
SOUTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-RATON RIDGE/JOHNSON MESA-
FAR NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-UNION COUNTY-
HARDING COUNTY-EASTERN SAN MIGUEL COUNTY-GUADALUPE COUNTY-
QUAY COUNTY-CURRY COUNTY-ROOSEVELT COUNTY-DE BACA COUNTY-
CHAVES COUNTY PLAINS-EASTERN LINCOLN COUNTY-SOUTHWEST CHAVES COUNTY-
539 AM MDT WED JUN 19 2013
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH AND CENTRAL
NEW MEXICO.
.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT
THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING ACROSS THE EASTERN PLAINS CLOSE TO TEXAS BORDER. LARGE
HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE THE PRIMARY THREATS.
A RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 8 PM MDT FOR MUCH OF
NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEW MEXICO DUE TO VERY LOW HUMIDITIES AND
BREEZY TO WINDY CONDITIONS.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY
A FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS IN EFFECT THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EARLY
EVENING FOR CENTRAL AND WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE AREA.
WEATHER CAN CHANGE VERY RAPIDLY. ALWAYS USE THE LATEST FORECASTS...
WATCHES AND WARNINGS FOR PLANNING PURPOSES.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED FOR POINTS IN THE EASTERN
PLAINS NEAR THE TEXAS BORDER THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING DUE TO THE
THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS.
$$
11
Short Term Forecast
SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
1105 PM MDT WED JUN 19 2013
NMZ538>540-200700-
CHAVES COUNTY PLAINS-EASTERN LINCOLN COUNTY-SOUTHWEST CHAVES COUNTY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ELK...PICACHO...ROSWELL
1105 PM MDT WED JUN 19 2013
.NOW...
ISOLATED SHOWERS AND A THUNDERSTORM OR TWO WILL MOVE EAST ACROSS
SOUTHERN CHAVES COUNTY THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING HOURS. LOCATIONS
IMPACTED THROUGH 1 AM INCLUDE DUNKEN...ROSWELL...MIDWAY...DEXTER...
HAGERMAN AND LAKE ARTHUR. BRIEF HEAVY RAIN...PEA SIZE HAIL AND WIND
GUSTS TO 45 MPH MAY ACCOMPANY THE STRONGEST STORMS.
$$
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