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Flash Flood Watch


Flood Watch
National Weather Service Tucson AZ
1043 AM MST Sun Jul 23 2017

AZZ502>515-240700-
/O.NEW.KTWC.FF.A.0004.170723T1900Z-170724T0700Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Tohono O`Odham Nation-Upper Santa Cruz River Valley/Altar Valley-
Tucson Metro Area-South Central Pinal County-
Southeast Pinal County-Upper San Pedro River Valley-
Eastern Cochise County below 5000 feet-Upper Gila River Valley-
White Mountains of Graham and Greenlee Counties-
Galiuro and Pinaleno Mountains-Chiricahua Mountains-
Dragoon and Mule and Huachuca and Santa Rita Mountains-
Catalina and Rincon Mountains-Baboquivari Mountains-
Including the cities of Nogales, Tucson, Green Valley, Marana,
Vail, Picacho Peak State Park, Mammoth, Oracle, Sierra Vista,
Benson, Willcox, Douglas, Clifton, Safford, Hannagan Meadow,
Mount Graham, Chiricahua NM, Bisbee, Canelo Hills, Madera Canyon,
Mount Lemmon, and Summerhaven
1043 AM MST Sun Jul 23 2017

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING...

The National Weather Service in Tucson has issued a

* Flash Flood Watch for a portion of Southeast Arizona,
  including the following areas, Baboquivari Mountains, Catalina
  and Rincon Mountains, Chiricahua Mountains, Dragoon and Mule
  and Huachuca and Santa Rita Mountains, Eastern Cochise County
  below 5000 feet, Galiuro and Pinaleno Mountains, South Central
  Pinal County, Southeast Pinal County, Tohono O`Odham Nation,
  Tucson Metro Area, Upper Gila River Valley, Upper San Pedro
  River Valley, Upper Santa Cruz River Valley/Altar Valley, and
  White Mountains of Graham and Greenlee Counties.

* Through this evening

* Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms will be
  developing in a very moist and unstable atmosphere this
  afternoon and evening. The strongest storms will be capable of
  producing between one and two inches of rain in less than one
  hour which could lead to flash flooding.

* Areas along washes, small streams and drainages plus wildfire
  burn scar areas will be susceptible to flooding. Low water
  crossings and poorly drained roads may become impassable. Rural
  and dirt roads will likely become washed out at times.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flash Flood Watch means that conditions are becoming favorable
for flash flooding to develop. Monitor forecasts closely and be
ready to take quick action if Flash Flood Warnings are issued.
If Flash Flooding is observed...act quickly. Turn around and take
another route.

Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio...commercial radio or television
stations...or your cable television provider for updates on this
flash flood threat.

&&

$$

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
902 AM MST Sun Jul 23 2017


AZZ004>018-037>040-240015-
/O.NEW.KFGZ.FF.A.0004.170723T1900Z-170724T0700Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Kaibab Plateau-Marble and Glen Canyons-Grand Canyon Country-
Coconino Plateau-Yavapai County Mountains-
Northeast Plateaus and Mesas Hwy 264 Northward-Chinle Valley-
Chuska Mountains and Defiance Plateau-
Little Colorado River Valley in Coconino County-
Little Colorado River Valley in Navajo County-
Little Colorado River Valley in Apache County-
Western Mogollon Rim-Eastern Mogollon Rim-White Mountains-
Northern Gila County-Yavapai County Valleys and Basins-
Oak Creek and Sycamore Canyons-Black Mesa Area-
Northeast Plateaus and Mesas South of Hwy 264-
Including the cities of Jacob Lake, Fredonia, Page, Lees Ferry,
Grand Canyon Village, Supai, North Rim, Valle, Prescott,
Seligman, Ash Fork, Keams Canyon, Kaibito, Canyon De Chelly,
Chinle, Kayenta, Window Rock, Ganado, Wupatki N.M, .Tuba City,
Winslow, Holbrook, Snowflake, St. Johns, Springerville,
Flagstaff, Williams, Munds Park, Heber, Happy Jack, Forest Lakes,
Show Low, Greer, Pinetop, Payson, Strawberry, Young, Cottonwood,
Camp Verde, Cordes Junction, Bagdad, Sedona, Navajo N.M., Dilkon,
and Kykotsmovi
902 AM MST Sun Jul 23 2017

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM NOON MST TODAY THROUGH THIS
EVENING...

The National Weather Service in Flagstaff has issued a

* Flash Flood Watch for all of Apache, Coconino, Navajo, Yavapai,
  and northern Gila Counties.

* From noon MST today through midnight tonight.

* Monsoon moisture levels and instability will be at high levels
  through this evening. Slow moving storms may produce 1 to 2
  inches of rainfall. An upper level disturbance may move into
  northern Arizona late in the day, which would enhance
  precipitation coverage. Storm motion should be from the east-
  southeast to north.

* Areas of particular concern are the Grand Canyon, Antelope
  Canyon, Havasu Canyon.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flash Flood Watch Means That developing conditions May Lead To
Flash Flooding Within The Watch area. People...especially those
located along area creeks...rivers or other flash flood prone
areas...should continue to monitor later forecasts and be prepared
to take immediate action should flash flood warnings be issued.

&&

$$


Hazardous Weather Outlook


Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
1257 PM CDT Sun Jul 23 2017

NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-057>063-067>070-074-075-
079>082-258-241800-
Guadalupe Mountains of Eddy County-Eddy County Plains-
Northern Lea County-Central Lea County-Southern Lea County-Gaines-
Dawson-Borden-Scurry-Andrews-Martin-Howard-Mitchell-
Van Horn and Highway 54 Corridor-Reeves County and Upper Trans Pecos-
Loving-Winkler-Ector-Midland-Glasscock-Ward-Crane-Upton-Reagan-
Davis/Apache Mountains Area-Pecos-Presidio Valley-Marfa Plateau-
Big Bend Area-Terrell-Guadalupe Mountains-
1257 PM CDT Sun Jul 23 2017 /1157 AM MDT Sun Jul 23 2017/

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of southeast New
Mexico, southwest Texas and western Texas.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

Thunderstorms are possible through tonight. These storms may be
accompanied by frequent lightning, locally heavy rainfall, gusty
winds, and small hail. Localized flash flooding will be the main
hazard with stronger storms.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

Storms will become more isolated by Monday, but locally heavy rain
remains a possibility.

Otherwise...the probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated.

$$
This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories,
and statements issued by the National Weather Service Office in
Midland, can be found on the internet at...
http://weather.gov/midland

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
950 AM MST Sun Jul 23 2017

AZZ004>018-037>040-240415-
Kaibab Plateau-Marble and Glen Canyons-Grand Canyon Country-
Coconino Plateau-Yavapai County Mountains-
Northeast Plateaus and Mesas Hwy 264 Northward-Chinle Valley-
Chuska Mountains and Defiance Plateau-
Little Colorado River Valley in Coconino County-
Little Colorado River Valley in Navajo County-
Little Colorado River Valley in Apache County-
Western Mogollon Rim-Eastern Mogollon Rim-White Mountains-
Northern Gila County-Yavapai County Valleys and Basins-
Oak Creek and Sycamore Canyons-Black Mesa Area-
Northeast Plateaus and Mesas South of Hwy 264-
950 AM MST Sun Jul 23 2017

This hazardous weather outlook is for Apache...Coconino...
Northern Gila...Navajo...and Yavapai Counties in Northern
Arizona.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Look for another round of scattered to numerous showers and
thunderstorms this afternoon and evening. The steering flow aloft
will be weak, pushing storms slowly toward the west-northwest. A
few storms today will be capable of dropping 1 to 3 inch downpours
which could result in flash flooding. A Flash Flood Watch has been
issued for all of northern and central Arizona.

Higher instability along and south of the Mogollon Rim could also
produce a few strong to severe thunderstorms, with hail up to one
inch in diameter and strong wind gusts.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday

Showers and thunderstorms are likely Monday, a few possibly
producing heavy rainfall and localized flash flooding. A decrease
in storm coverage is expected midweek before increasing again by
Thursday or Friday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service El Paso Tx/Santa Teresa NM
1010 AM MDT Sun Jul 23 2017

NMZ401>417-TXZ418>424-241800-
Upper Gila River Valley-Southern Gila
Highlands/Black Range-Southern Gila Foothills/Mimbres Valley-
Southwest Desert/Lower Gila River Valley-Lowlands of the Bootheel-
Uplands of the Bootheel-Southwest Desert/Mimbres Basin-Eastern Black
Range Foothills-Sierra County Lakes-Northern Dona Ana County-
Southern Dona Ana County/Mesilla Valley-Central Tularosa Basin-
Southern Tularosa Basin-West Slopes Sacramento Mountains Below 7500
Feet-Sacramento Mountains Above 7500 Feet-East Slopes Sacramento
Mountains Below 7500 Feet-Otero Mesa-Western El Paso County-
Eastern/Central El Paso County-Northern Hudspeth Highlands/Hueco
Mountains-Salt Basin-Southern Hudspeth Highlands-Rio Grande Valley
of Eastern El Paso/Western Hudspeth Counties-Rio Grande Valley of
Eastern Hudspeth County-
1010 AM MDT Sun Jul 23 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of south central
New Mexico, southwest New Mexico, and southwest Texas.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.

Scattered to numerous thunderstorms. Heavy rains are possible with
over 2 inches of rain falling over a few locations causing flash
flooding. Several storms may also produce hail up to an inch in
diameter and wind gusts 60 mph.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday

Scattered thunderstorms Monday with heavy rain and flash flooding
occurring over a few areas. Several storms may also produce hail up
to an inch in diameter and wind gusts to 60 mph.

Isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms Tuesday through
Saturday. Heavy rains with flash flooding possible over isolated
locations.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Flooding...hail and strong winds should be reported to the National
Weather Service via twitter of by phone.

$$

Rogash

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
359 AM MDT Sun Jul 23 2017

NMZ501>540-241130-
Northwest Plateau-Chuska Mountains-Far Northwest Highlands-
Northwest Highlands-West Central Plateau-West Central Mountains-
West Central Highlands-Southwest Mountains-
San Francisco River Valley-San Juan Mountains-Jemez Mountains-
West Slopes Sangre de Cristo Mountains-
Northern Sangre de Cristos above 9500 feet/Red River-
Southern Sangre de Cristos above 9500 feet-
East Slopes Sangre de Cristo Mountains-Upper Rio Grande Valley-
Lower Chama River Valley-Santa Fe Metro Area-
Middle Rio Grande Valley/Albuquerque Metro Area-
Lower Rio Grande Valley-Sandia/Manzano Mountains-Estancia Valley-
Central Highlands-South Central Highlands-Upper Tularosa Valley-
South Central Mountains-Raton Ridge/Johnson Mesa-
Far Northeast Highlands-Northeast Highlands-Union County-
Harding County-Eastern San Miguel County-Guadalupe County-
Quay County-Curry County-Roosevelt County-De Baca County-
Chaves County Plains-Eastern Lincoln County-Southwest Chaves County-
359 AM MDT Sun Jul 23 2017

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of north and central
New Mexico.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms will be rather slow
moving this afternoon and evening, resulting in locally heavy
rainfall. Small hail and wind gusts to near 50 mph are possible with
stronger thunderstorms.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday
An upper wave moving up from southeast Arizona will result in
widespread showers and thunderstorms across the northwest two-thirds
of the state Monday and Monday night. The threat of heavy rainfall
and flash flooding will be elevated as a result.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotters are encouraged to report rainfall amounts and any flooding
through the National Weather Service Albuquerque web site at
weather.gov/abq or by calling 1.888.386.7637.

$$

33


Short Term Forecast


Short Term Forecast
National Weather Service El Paso Tx/Santa Teresa NM
1229 PM MDT Sun Jul 23 2017

NMZ401>407-232030-
Upper Gila River Valley-Southern Gila Highlands/Black Range-
Southern Gila Foothills/Mimbres Valley-
Southwest Desert/Lower Gila River Valley-Lowlands of the Bootheel-
Uplands of the Bootheel-Southwest Desert/Mimbres Basin-
Including the cities of Cliff, Buckhorn, Gila Hot Springs,
Mule Creek, Silver City, Lake Roberts, Kingston, Fort Bayard,
Mimbres, Hurley, Faywood, Grant County Airport, Lordsburg,
Red Rock, Virden, Antelope Wells, Animas, Hachita, Cloverdale,
Deming, and Columbus
1229 PM MDT Sun Jul 23 2017

.NOW...

At 1225 PM MDT scattered showers and thunderstorms started to
develop in portions of Grant, Hidalgo and south of Luna county.
The storms in this area are slowly moving to the west and
northwest. This slow movement will lead to episodes of heavy rain
which could result in localized flash flooding of low lying areas
like small streams, creeks, arroyos and low water crossings.
These cells could also be accompanied with small hail and strong
gusty winds up to 40 mph. The strongest activity at the moment is
near Lake Roberts, Hachita, Alamo Hueco and Antelope Wells.

$$

Crespo

Short Term Forecast
National Weather Service El Paso Tx/Santa Teresa NM
1229 PM MDT Sun Jul 23 2017

NMZ412-414>416-232030-
Central Tularosa Basin-
West Slopes Sacramento Mountains Below 7500 Feet-
Sacramento Mountains Above 7500 Feet-
East Slopes Sacramento Mountains Below 7500 Feet-
Including the cities of Alamogordo, Tularosa,
White Sands Monument, Mescalero, Timberon, Mountain Park,
Cloudcroft, Sunspot, Apache Summit, Mayhill, Pinon,
and Sacramento
1229 PM MDT Sun Jul 23 2017

.NOW...

At 1225 PM MDT a line of scattered showers and thunderstorms
along the western slopes of the Sacramento Mountains developed in
the past hour. Radar indicates rainfall amounts below half an inch
of rain. The strongest cells in this area could have up to an
inch of rain. Currently the strongest storms are located near
Mescalero, Sunspot, Burro Flats, High Rolls and Alamogordo. The
almost stationary movement of these cells support periods of
heavy rain, which could result in localized flash flooding of low
lying areas. Be aware of small hail and strong gusty winds up to
45 mph with these storms.

$$

U.S. Dept. of Commerce
NOAA National Weather Service
1325 East West Highway
Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: June 2, 2009
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