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HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
1203 PM MDT SAT SEP 20 2014

NMZ401>417-TXZ418>424-211815-
UPPER GILA RIVER VALLEY-SOUTHERN GILA HIGHLANDS/BLACK RANGE-
SOUTHERN GILA FOOTHILLS/MIMBRES VALLEY-
SOUTHWEST DESERT/LOWER GILA RIVER VALLEY-LOWLANDS OF THE BOOTHEEL-
UPLANDS OF THE BOOTHEEL-SOUTHWEST DESERT/MIMBRES BASIN-
EASTERN BLACK RANGE FOOTHILLS-SIERRA COUNTY LAKES-
NORTHERN DONA ANA COUNTY-SOUTHERN DONA ANA COUNTY/MESILLA VALLEY-
CENTRAL TULAROSA BASIN-SOUTHERN TULAROSA BASIN-
WEST SLOPES SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS BELOW 7500 FEET-
SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 7500 FEET-
EAST SLOPES SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS BELOW 7500 FEET-OTERO MESA-
WESTERN EL PASO COUNTY-EASTERN/CENTRAL EL PASO COUNTY-
NORTHERN HUDSPETH HIGHLANDS/HUECO MOUNTAINS-SALT BASIN-
SOUTHERN HUDSPETH HIGHLANDS-
RIO GRANDE VALLEY OF EASTERN EL PASO/WESTERN HUDSPETH COUNTIES-
RIO GRANDE VALLEY OF EASTERN HUDSPETH COUNTY-
1203 PM MDT SAT SEP 20 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NM AND TX.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

REMNANT MOISTURE REMAINS OVER SOUTHERN NEW MEXICO AND FAR WEST
TEXAS TODAY. DAYTIME HEATING WILL HELP TO SPARK SCATTERED MOUNTAIN
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. THERE WILL ALSO BE SOME ISOLATED STORMS
OVER THE LOWLANDS. MOST STORMS SHOULD DISSIPATE IN THE EVENING
HOURS. SOME STORMS MAY PRODUCE ISOLATED HEAVY RAIN AND FLASH
FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER LOCAL SPOTS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

A BIT OF A MOISTURE SURGE EXPECTED LATE SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY ON
DEEPER SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS. A PAIR OF FEATURES WILL MOVE ACROSS
THE AREA TO HELP CREATE INSTABILITY AND LIFT TO GENERATE MORE
RAIN SHOWERS AND STORMS. A COLD FRONT FROM THE EAST WILL PUSH IN
SUNDAY AND AN UPPER TROUGH FROM THE WEST WILL TRACK ACROSS MON-
TUE. WE EXPECT SCATTERED TO POSSIBLY NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH TUESDAY. THREATS WILL PRIMARILY BE HEAVY
RAIN AND POTENTIAL FOR FLASH FLOODING. AVAILABLE MOISTURE WILL
BECOME MORE LIMITED WEDNESDAY ONWARD TO REDUCE STORM COVERAGE BUT
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE EACH AFTERNOON AND
EVENING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS SHOULD REPORT ANY OBSERVED HAZARDOUS WEATHER OR FLOODING
TO THIS OFFICE AND LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT.

$$

BIRD

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
243 PM CDT SAT SEP 20 2014

NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-057>063-067>070-074-075-
079>082-258-211945-
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF EDDY COUNTY-EDDY COUNTY PLAINS-
NORTHERN LEA COUNTY-CENTRAL LEA COUNTY-SOUTHERN LEA COUNTY-GAINES-
DAWSON-BORDEN-SCURRY-ANDREWS-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL-
VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS-
LOVING-WINKLER-ECTOR-MIDLAND-GLASSCOCK-WARD-CRANE-UPTON-REAGAN-
DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA-PECOS-PRESIDIO VALLEY-MARFA PLATEAU-
BIG BEND AREA-TERRELL-GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-
243 PM CDT SAT SEP 20 2014 /143 PM MDT SAT SEP 20 2014/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST NEW
MEXICO...SOUTHWEST TEXAS AND WEST TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAINFALL ARE
ANTICIPATED AGAIN THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT ACROSS SOUTHEAST NEW
MEXICO AND MUCH OF WEST TEXAS...RESULTING IN FLASH FLOODING IN MANY
AREAS.  A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE GUADALUPE...
DAVIS...AND APACHE MOUNTAINS...SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO PLAINS AND
WESTERN LOW ROLLING PLAINS...VAN HORN AND THE HIGHWAY 54
CORRIDOR...REEVES COUNTY AND THE UPPER TRANS PECOS...AND PERMIAN
BASIN.  ABUNDANT RAINFALL HAS ALREADY FALLEN IN THESE AREAS OVER THE
PAST FEW DAYS...SO IT WILL NOT TAKE MUCH ADDITIONAL RAINFALL TO
RAISE CONCERNS FOR MORE FLASH FLOODING.

IN ADDITION TO HEAVY RAINFALL...SOME OF THE STRONGER STORMS MAY BE
ACCOMPANIED BY GUSTY WINDS UP 50 MPH AND SMALL HAIL..ESPECIALLY OVER
SOUTHWEST TEXAS.

ELEVATED FLOWS WILL CONTINUE ALONG THE RIO GRANDE TODAY AND TONIGHT
DUE TO RELEASES FROM RESERVOIRS IN MEXICO AND HEAVY RAINFALL ON BOTH
SIDES OF THE RIVER.  TRIBUTARIES AND ARROYOS TO THE PECOS
RIVER...SUCH AS THE RIO PENASCO...FOUR MILE DRAW...SOUTH SEVEN
RIVERS...ROCKY ARROYO...DARK CANYON...BLACK RIVER...DELAWARE
RIVER...AND WALNUT CANYON HAVE RECEDED A LITTLE BIT TODAY BUT ANY
ADDITIONAL RAIN THAT FALLS OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO IN THOSE AREAS
WILL QUICKLY CAUSE ADDITIONAL RISES...IF NOT FLOODING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING HEAVY RAINFALL ARE EXPECTED
THROUGH THE WEEKEND.  AS A RESULT..THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH HAS BEEN
EXTENDED UNTIL 7 PM SUNDAY.

THE RIO GRANDE...PECOS RIVER...AND ASSOCIATED TRIBUTARIES AND
ARROYOS WILL REMAIN ELEVATED DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS DUE TO
ADDITIONAL RAINFALL.



.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

$$

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
MIDLAND CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT /LOWER CASE/
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MIDLAND

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
547 AM MDT SAT SEP 20 2014

NMZ501>540-211200-
NORTHWEST PLATEAU-CHUSKA MOUNTAINS-FAR NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-
NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-WEST CENTRAL PLATEAU-WEST CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-
WEST CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS-
SAN FRANCISCO RIVER VALLEY-SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS-JEMEZ MOUNTAINS-
WEST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 9500 FEET/RED RIVER-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 9500 FEET-
EAST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-
LOWER CHAMA RIVER VALLEY-SANTA FE METRO AREA-ALBUQUERQUE METRO AREA-
LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-SANDIA/MANZANO MOUNTAINS-ESTANCIA VALLEY-
CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-SOUTH CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-UPPER TULAROSA VALLEY-
SOUTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-RATON RIDGE/JOHNSON MESA-
FAR NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-UNION COUNTY-
HARDING COUNTY-EASTERN SAN MIGUEL COUNTY-GUADALUPE COUNTY-
QUAY COUNTY-CURRY COUNTY-ROOSEVELT COUNTY-DE BACA COUNTY-
CHAVES COUNTY PLAINS-EASTERN LINCOLN COUNTY-SOUTHWEST CHAVES COUNTY-
547 AM MDT SAT SEP 20 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH AND CENTRAL
NEW MEXICO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT
PATCHY DENSE FOG WILL BE ENCOUNTERED NEAR AND EAST OF THE CENTRAL
MOUNTAIN CHAIN EARLY THIS MORNING. VISIBILITIES LESS THAN 1/2 MILE
WILL IMPACT AREAS NEAR LAS VEGAS...CLINES CORNERS AND BETWEEN
RUIDOSO AND ROSWELL. AS THE DAY PROGRESSES...RESIDUAL MOISTURE
WILL FUEL ISOLATED SLOW-MOVING THUNDERSTORMS DURING THE AFTERNOON
AND EVENING FAVORING THE SOUTHEAST QUARTER AND UPPER GILA REGION.
LOCALIZED FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

SUNDAY AND SUNDAY EVENING...A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM PASSING NORTH
OF NEW MEXICO WILL DRAW MOISTURE NORTHWARD AND WESTWARD LEADING TO
AN OVERALL UPTICK IN SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE. STORM
MOTIONS WILL GENERALLY BE TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST...BUT SLOW
ENOUGH TO RESULT IN A LOCALIZED FLOOD THREAT WITH THE POTENTIAL
FOR FLASH FLOODING BELOW BURN SCARS. THE FAVORED AREA FOR LOCALLY
HEAVY RAIN AND MINOR FLOODING WILL SHIFT EASTWARD MONDAY...ALIGNING
FROM SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST ACROSS THE AREA. LOW GRADE MONSOON
FORECAST WILL THEN DOMINATE MID TO LATE WEEK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT RAINFALL AMOUNTS AND ANY FLOODING
THROUGH THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE WEB SITE AT
WEATHER.GOV/ABQ OR BY CALLING 1.888.386.7637.

$$

41

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
318 AM MST SAT SEP 20 2014

AZZ004>018-037>040-210715-
KAIBAB PLATEAU-MARBLE AND GLEN CANYONS-GRAND CANYON COUNTRY-
COCONINO PLATEAU-YAVAPAI COUNTY MOUNTAINS-
NORTHEAST PLATEAUS AND MESAS HWY 264 NORTHWARD-CHINLE VALLEY-
CHUSKA MOUNTAINS AND DEFIANCE PLATEAU-
LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN COCONINO COUNTY-
LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN NAVAJO COUNTY-
LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN APACHE COUNTY-
WESTERN MOGOLLON RIM-EASTERN MOGOLLON RIM-WHITE MOUNTAINS-
NORTHERN GILA COUNTY-YAVAPAI COUNTY VALLEYS AND BASINS-
OAK CREEK AND SYCAMORE CANYONS-BLACK MESA AREA-
NORTHEAST PLATEAUS AND MESAS SOUTH OF HWY 264-
318 AM MST SAT SEP 20 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR APACHE...COCONINO...
NORTHERN GILA...NAVAJO...AND YAVAPAI COUNTIES IN NORTHERN
ARIZONA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

EXPECT AN INCREASING CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AS A
CLOSED LOW AFFECTS THE REGION. STORMS TODAY AND TONIGHT WILL
CONTAIN HEAVY RAIN...WITH ISOLATED STORMS PRODUCING HAIL FROM DIME
TO QUARTER SIZE. IN ADDITION...INCREASED SHEAR MAY LEAD TO A FEW
ROTATING STORMS WITH STRONG WIND GUSTS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

ON SUNDAY...THE BEST CHANCE FOR LARGE HAIL AND ORGANIZED STORMS
WILL BE ALONG THE ARIZONA/UTAH BORDER AND IN THE FOUR CORNERS
REGION.

MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...THE CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
WILL BE ON THE DECREASE AS DRY AIR MOVES INTO NORTHERN ARIZONA.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

$$

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NOAA National Weather Service
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Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: June 2, 2009
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