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Hazardous Weather Outlook


Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
1156 AM CDT Tue Sep 19 2017

ARZ050-051-059>061-070>073-LAZ001>006-010>014-017>022-OKZ077-
TXZ096-097-108>112-124>126-136>138-149>153-165>167-201700-
Sevier-Howard-Little River-Hempstead-Nevada-Miller-Lafayette-
Columbia-Union-Caddo-Bossier-Webster-Claiborne-Lincoln-De Soto-
Red River-Bienville-Jackson-Ouachita-Sabine-Natchitoches-Winn-
Grant-Caldwell-La Salle-McCurtain-Bowie-Franklin-Titus-Camp-
Morris-Cass-Wood-Upshur-Marion-Smith-Gregg-Harrison-Cherokee-Rusk-
Panola-Nacogdoches-Shelby-Angelina-San Augustine-
1156 AM CDT Tue Sep 19 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of south central
Arkansas, southwest Arkansas, north central Louisiana, northwest
Louisiana, southeast Oklahoma, east Texas and northeast Texas.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight...

Isolated to widely scattered showers and thunderstorms will be
possible today into early this evening, mainly south of interstate
30. However, no organized hazardous weather is expected at this
time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday...

Isolated to widely scattered thunderstorms will continue across
the area throughout the week and into this weekend, due to a
combination of daytime instability and increasing moisture from
the Gulf of Mexico advancing the sea breeze. However, no organized
hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Activation of emergency management personnel...amateur radio
operators...and storm spotters will not be needed through
tonight.

$$

07

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Norman OK
1146 AM CDT Tue Sep 19 2017

OKZ004>048-050>052-TXZ083>090-201700-
Harper-Woods-Alfalfa-Grant-Kay-Ellis-Woodward-Major-Garfield-
Noble-Roger Mills-Dewey-Custer-Blaine-Kingfisher-Logan-Payne-
Beckham-Washita-Caddo-Canadian-Oklahoma-Lincoln-Grady-McClain-
Cleveland-Pottawatomie-Seminole-Hughes-Harmon-Greer-Kiowa-Jackson-
Tillman-Comanche-Stephens-Garvin-Murray-Pontotoc-Coal-Cotton-
Jefferson-Carter-Johnston-Atoka-Love-Marshall-Bryan-Hardeman-
Foard-Wilbarger-Wichita-Knox-Baylor-Archer-Clay-
1146 AM CDT Tue Sep 19 2017

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of northern...
western...central...and southern Oklahoma...and western north
Texas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight...

.Thunderstorms...
Scattered thunderstorms will be possible late this afternoon and
evening across western north texas and southwest Oklahoma. A few
strong to severe storms will be possible with hail up to the size
of half dollars and 60 to 70 mph wind gusts. Brief heavy rainfall
and frequent cloud to ground lightning will also accompany any of
the storms.

.Fire Weather...
Near critical fire weather conditions will be possible across
portions of western and northwestern Oklahoma this afternoon due
to hot temperatures, strong, gusty south winds, and low relative
humidity.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday...

.Thunderstorms...
An approaching storm system will bring increasing chances of
thunderstorms Sunday and Monday.

.Fire Weather...
Elevated fire weather conditions will remain possible across
portions of Oklahoma and north Texas Wednesday through Friday.

Get graphics and more details at weather.gov/norman...and follow
our weather forecast office on Twitter and Facebook.

$$

30

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
555 AM CDT Tue Sep 19 2017

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-201100-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
555 AM CDT Tue Sep 19 2017

This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.
TORNADO.
RISK...Nil.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...Very limited.
AREA...Roughly along the highway 412 corridor west of Tulsa.
ONSET...Around 530 AM.

DANGEROUS HEAT.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Much of eastern Oklahoma.
ONSET...This Afternoon.

SIGNIFICANT WINDS.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Northeast Oklahoma.
ONSET...Around midday.

DISCUSSION...

A cluster of elevated thunderstorms across north central Oklahoma
will move into northeast Oklahoma early this morning. An isolated
severe hail storm is possible, mainly to the west of Tulsa along
the highway 412 corridor. Hail to the size of half dollars could
accompany a severe storm if it develops. Storms should begin to
weaken as they move east, and completely dissipate by midday.

The combination of above average temps and high humidity will
yield afternoon heat indices in the upper 90s to near 100 degrees
across much of eastern Oklahoma. Conditions will improve as sunset
approaches this evening.

South winds will gust in the 25 to 35 mph range across northeast
Oklahoma by midday, continuing into the afternoon hours before
subsiding this evening.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Spotter Activation Not Expected.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.
WEDNESDAY and THURSDAY...Dangerous Heat Potential.
FRIDAY and SATURDAY...No Hazards.
SUNDAY and MONDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...

Above average temps and high humidity is expected to stick around
thru the upcoming week. Afternoon heat indices in the upper 90s to
around 100 degrees are expected across eastern Oklahoma and west
central Arkansas thru Thursday.

A cold front is expected to bring the potential for thunderstorms
late Sunday night and especially on Monday, beginning in the
northwest and gradually shifting southeast with time.

weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information.

$$

Lacy

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service San Angelo TX
517 AM CDT Tue Sep 19 2017

TXZ049-054-064>066-071>073-076>078-098-099-113-114-127-128-139-
140-154-155-168>170-201015-
Fisher-Nolan-Sterling-Coke-Runnels-Irion-Tom Green-Concho-
Crockett-Schleicher-Sutton-Haskell-Throckmorton-Jones-Shackelford-
Taylor-Callahan-Coleman-Brown-McCulloch-San Saba-Menard-Kimble-
Mason-
517 AM CDT Tue Sep 19 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of west central
Texas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

A few strong to severe thunderstorms will be possible
this afternoon and evening across the area northwest of a
Sonora to Coleman to Cross Cut line. This encompasses
approximately the northwestern half of west central Texas,
and includes the cities of Abilene, Sweetwater and San Angelo.
The main hazards include dangerous lightning, damaging winds
and large hail.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday

A few thunderstorms will be possible across parts of west central
Texas Wednesday through Thursday, with increased chances possible
late Sunday through Monday. The probability for widespread
hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Limited spotter activation may be needed late this afternoon and
evening.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Lake Charles LA
445 AM CDT Tue Sep 19 2017

LAZ027>033-041>045-052>055-073-074-TXZ180-201-215-216-259>262-
200945-
Vernon-Rapides-Avoyelles-Beauregard-Allen-Evangeline-St. Landry-
Calcasieu-Jefferson Davis-Acadia-Lafayette-Upper St. Martin-
Vermilion-Iberia-St. Mary-Lower St. Martin-West Cameron-
East Cameron-Tyler-Hardin-Jefferson-Orange-Northern Jasper-
Northern Newton-Southern Jasper-Southern Newton-
445 AM CDT Tue Sep 19 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central
Louisiana, south central Louisiana, southwest Louisiana, west
central Louisiana, and southeast Texas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Patchy fog will be common across the forecast area this early
morning with another round expected to form Wednesday morning.
Otherwise, a few showers and thunderstorms will be possible
primarily during the afternoon as the seabreeze becomes active.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday

Patchy late night and early morning fog will remain possible.
A daily chance for mainly afternoon showers and thunderstorms
will continue.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be required.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
352 AM CDT Tue Sep 19 2017

TXZ163-164-176>179-195>200-210>214-226-227-235>238-201300-
Austin-Brazoria-Brazos-Burleson-Chambers-Colorado-Fort Bend-
Galveston-Grimes-Harris-Houston-Jackson-Liberty-Madison-Matagorda-
Montgomery-Polk-San Jacinto-Trinity-Walker-Waller-Washington-
Wharton-
352 AM CDT Tue Sep 19 2017

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of Southeast Texas..

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Chances for mainly daytime and early evening thunderstorms will
occur today. Isolated strong storms could produce strong gusty
winds and locally heavy rainfall.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday

Chances for mainly daytime and early evening thunderstorms will
continue through Wednesday and Thursday with isolated strong
storms producing strong gusty winds and locally heavy rainfall
possible. Thunderstorm chances are expected to diminish on Friday
and Saturday before returning Sunday and Monday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated at this time.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Lubbock TX
328 AM CDT Tue Sep 19 2017

TXZ021>044-200830-
Parmer-Castro-Swisher-Briscoe-Hall-Childress-Bailey-Lamb-Hale-
Floyd-Motley-Cottle-Cochran-Hockley-Lubbock-Crosby-Dickens-King-
Yoakum-Terry-Lynn-Garza-Kent-Stonewall-
328 AM CDT Tue Sep 19 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the South Plains...Rolling
Plains and the far Southern Texas Panhandle.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Isolated thunderstorms are expected to develop this afternoon and
evening across the Rolling Plains. The strongest storms will be
capable of producing winds to 70 mph and hail to the size of golf
balls.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday

Increasing chances of widespread thunderstorms will return from
Friday through Monday. Heavy rainfall and flooding will be
possible, especially early next week. Severe thunderstorms will
also be possible.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
317 AM CDT Tue Sep 19 2017

TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-201200-
Montague-Cooke-Grayson-Fannin-Lamar-Young-Jack-Wise-Denton-Collin-
Hunt-Delta-Hopkins-Stephens-Palo Pinto-Parker-Tarrant-Dallas-
Rockwall-Kaufman-Van Zandt-Rains-Eastland-Erath-Hood-Somervell-
Johnson-Ellis-Henderson-Comanche-Mills-Hamilton-Bosque-Hill-Navarro-
Freestone-Anderson-Lampasas-Coryell-Bell-McLennan-Falls-Limestone-
Leon-Milam-Robertson-
317 AM CDT Tue Sep 19 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for North and Central Texas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.
An isolated storm is possible this afternoon southeast of a Temple
to Athens line. Later this evening and tonight, a weakening cluster
of storms may affect areas along and west of Highway 281 as it moves
eastward. A strong storm or two is possible with this activity.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.
There will remain a slight chance of thunderstorms Wednesday
afternoon and evening along and south of a line from Cameron to
Palestine. Severe weather is not expected with this activity.

There is also a slight chance for thunderstorms Wednesday evening
along and west of a line from Bowie to Mineral Wells to Goldthwaite.
An isolated strong or severe storm is possible with a threat for
strong winds and hail.

A slight chance for thunderstorms returns southeast of a line from
Temple to Athens Thursday afternoon where the seabreeze may advance
inland.

Finally, there is a slight chance for thunderstorms along and
northwest of a line from Goldthwaite to Granbury to Sherman Monday
and Monday night as a front possibly approaches the region.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

$$

JLDunn


Short Term Forecast


Short Term Forecast
National Weather Service Lubbock TX
1158 AM CDT Tue Sep 19 2017

TXZ038-043-044-191800-
King-Kent-Stonewall-
Including the cities of Dumont, Finney, Grow, Guthrie, Jayton,
and Aspermont
1158 AM CDT Tue Sep 19 2017

.NOW...
Through 1 pm...Showers and thunderstorms continue moving
northeast at 25 MPH through the southeastern Rolling Plains. Brief
downpours, gusty winds up to 50 MPH, small hail and occasional
lightning can be expected with the strongest of this activity
currently in the vicinity of Guthrie, Jayton and areas west of
Lake Alan Henry.

$$

Short Term Forecast
National Weather Service Lubbock TX
1053 AM CDT Tue Sep 19 2017

TXZ032-037-038-043-044-191800-
Cottle-Dickens-King-Kent-Stonewall-
Including the cities of Paducah, Hackberry, Spur, Dickens,
Dumont, Finney, Grow, Guthrie, Jayton, and Aspermont
1053 AM CDT Tue Sep 19 2017

.NOW...
Through 12pm...Showers and thunderstorms continue moving northeast
at 25 MPH through the eastern Rolling Plains. Brief downpours,
gusty winds up to 50 MPH, small hail and occasional lightning can
be expected with the strongest of this activity currently moving
through Childress, Paducah, Guthrie and Lake Alan Henry.

$$

U.S. Dept. of Commerce
NOAA National Weather Service
1325 East West Highway
Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: June 2, 2009
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