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Hazardous Weather Outlook


Hazardous Weather Outlook...UPDATED
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
1136 AM CDT Mon May 22 2017

TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-231200-
Montague-Cooke-Grayson-Fannin-Lamar-Young-Jack-Wise-Denton-Collin-
Hunt-Delta-Hopkins-Stephens-Palo Pinto-Parker-Tarrant-Dallas-
Rockwall-Kaufman-Van Zandt-Rains-Eastland-Erath-Hood-Somervell-
Johnson-Ellis-Henderson-Comanche-Mills-Hamilton-Bosque-Hill-Navarro-
Freestone-Anderson-Lampasas-Coryell-Bell-McLennan-Falls-Limestone-
Leon-Milam-Robertson-
1136 AM CDT Mon May 22 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for North and Central Texas.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.
The potential for strong to severe thunderstorms will increase late
this afternoon and into the overnight when storms move southeast
from the Texas Panhandle. The main hazards are expected to be large
hail, strong winds, frequent lightning, and brief bouts of heavy
rainfall, especially west of the I-35 corridor.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.
Thunderstorm chances will linger on Tuesday, but will end from
northwest to southeast through the day with the passage of a cold
front. A few strong to marginally severe storms will be possible,
mainly south of I-20 Tuesday morning. The main hazards will continue
to be hail, strong winds, frequent lightning, and bouts of heavier
rainfall.

Thunderstorm chances will return to North and Central Texas Memorial
Day Weekend.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Limited spotter activation may be requested later this evening and
overnight, especially along and west of I-35.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service San Angelo TX
230 PM CDT Mon May 22 2017

TXZ049-054-064>066-071>073-076>078-098-099-113-114-127-128-139-
140-154-155-168>170-231930-
Fisher-Nolan-Sterling-Coke-Runnels-Irion-Tom Green-Concho-
Crockett-Schleicher-Sutton-Haskell-Throckmorton-Jones-Shackelford-
Taylor-Callahan-Coleman-Brown-McCulloch-San Saba-Menard-Kimble-
Mason-
230 PM CDT Mon May 22 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of west central
Texas.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight

Thunderstorms are likely this evening and tonight across much of
west central Texas. A few strong to severe storms will be
possible. The main hazards will be damaging winds, large hail and
deadly lightning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low. A few
thunderstorms will be possible on Tuesday. The main hazard will be
dangerous lightning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Limited spotter activation may be needed this evening and early
tonight.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
109 PM CDT Mon May 22 2017

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-231030-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
109 PM CDT Mon May 22 2017


This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and Tonight.

THUNDERSTORMS WITH DANGEROUS LIGHTNING.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Eastern Oklahoma and Northwest Arkansas.
    ONSET...After 3 PM for Eastern Oklahoma and After 6 PM for
Northwest Arkansas.

DISCUSSION...
Scattered rain showers along with potential isolated thunderstorms
are expected to develop and move into Eastern Oklahoma this
afternoon and Northwest Arkansas this evening in response to a
mid level low pressure system and cold front moving into the
region. Instability remains marginal which should limit any severe
potentials across the region.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Spotter Activation Not Expected.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.
TUESDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.
WEDNESDAY and THURSDAY...No Hazards.
FRIDAY through SUNDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
Shower and isolated thunderstorm chances will remain possible into
Tuesday before the upper level trough axis moves through the
Plains. Another storm system is forecast to move into Eastern
Oklahoma and Northwest Arkansas late this week into the Holiday
weekend...with thunderstorm chances increasing by late Friday.
Severe storms will be possible through the weekend along with
locally heavy rainfall...which may lead to flooding issues due to
the already saturated soils.

weather.gov/tulsa Contains additional information.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Norman OK
1151 AM CDT Mon May 22 2017

OKZ004>048-050>052-TXZ083>090-231700-
Harper-Woods-Alfalfa-Grant-Kay-Ellis-Woodward-Major-Garfield-
Noble-Roger Mills-Dewey-Custer-Blaine-Kingfisher-Logan-Payne-
Beckham-Washita-Caddo-Canadian-Oklahoma-Lincoln-Grady-McClain-
Cleveland-Pottawatomie-Seminole-Hughes-Harmon-Greer-Kiowa-Jackson-
Tillman-Comanche-Stephens-Garvin-Murray-Pontotoc-Coal-Cotton-
Jefferson-Carter-Johnston-Atoka-Love-Marshall-Bryan-Hardeman-
Foard-Wilbarger-Wichita-Knox-Baylor-Archer-Clay-
1151 AM CDT Mon May 22 2017

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of northern...
western...central...and southern Oklahoma...and western north
Texas.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight...

.THUNDERSTORMS...
There is a slight risk of severe thunderstorms across portions of
western north Texas. There is a marginal risk of severe storms
over a broader area of western and southern Oklahoma and north
Texas.

LOCATION...
The slight risk area is along and southwest of a line from Crowell
to Archer City Texas. The marginal risk of severe storms is west
of a line from Cherokee to Weatherford, and southwest of a line
from Weatherford to Ardmore.

TIMING...
4 PM to 9 PM

IMPACTS...
Winds to 70 mph and hail to the size of half dollars.

DISCUSSION...
Showers and thunderstorms will continue to develop and move east
into and across the area. In general, instability will be low and
the severe weather risk is low. However, there is a small chance
that instability could increase enough in western sections of
north Texas that isolated severe storms may occur.

.SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT STATEMENT...
Storm spotter groups and emergency management personnel across
western north Texas should monitor the forecasts and prepare for
the possibility of severe weather operations late this afternoon
or this evening.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday...

.THUNDERSTORMS...
Scattered thunderstorms will persist through the day Tuesday
before ending across the area. No severe storms are expected.

There is a chance of storms again Friday night through Sunday. If
storms do occur during this timeframe, severe weather and heavy
rainfall are possible.

Get graphics and more details at weather.gov/norman...and follow
our weather forecast office on Twitter and Facebook.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
1144 AM CDT Mon May 22 2017

ARZ050-051-059>061-OKZ077-TXZ096-097-108-109-111-231645-
Sevier-Howard-Little River-Hempstead-Nevada-McCurtain-Red River-
Bowie-Franklin-Titus-Morris-
1144 AM CDT Mon May 22 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of southwest
Arkansas, southeast Oklahoma and northeast Texas.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight...

A lingering shower may near portions of northeast Texas and
southwest Arkansas this afternoon, however confidence of this
occurrence is low. Otherwise, there may be a brief period for the
development of patchy fog late tonight or early Tuesday morning,
with visibilities being capable of dropping to below six miles.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday...

Showers and thunderstorms will become likely once again late
tonight or Tuesday morning along and ahead of a strong cold
front. A deep trough of low pressure across the Central and
Southern Plains will provide the lift necessary for the
thunderstorm activity on Tuesday but the rain should quickly come
to an end Tuesday Night from west to east across the Four State
Region. Much cooler air will filter into the region for Wednesday
into Thursday with lows in the 40s possible across some areas
Wednesday Night. Temperatures will rebound for the end of the work
week into the upcoming weekend with rain chances back in the
forecast by late weekend.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Activation of emergency management personnel...amateur radio
operators...and storm spotters should not not be needed through
tonight.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
1144 AM CDT Mon May 22 2017

ARZ070>073-LAZ001>006-010>014-017>022-TXZ110-112-124>126-136>138-
149>153-165>167-231645-
Miller-Lafayette-Columbia-Union-Caddo-Bossier-Webster-Claiborne-
Lincoln-De Soto-Red River-Bienville-Jackson-Ouachita-Sabine-
Natchitoches-Winn-Grant-Caldwell-La Salle-Camp-Cass-Wood-Upshur-
Marion-Smith-Gregg-Harrison-Cherokee-Rusk-Panola-Nacogdoches-
Shelby-Angelina-San Augustine-
1144 AM CDT Mon May 22 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of south central
Arkansas, southwest Arkansas, north central Louisiana, northwest
Louisiana, east Texas and northeast Texas.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight...

Scattered to numerous showers and a few thunderstorms persisted
across portions of east Texas, deep east, southwest Arkansas and
northern and central Louisiana. No strong to severe thunderstorms
are expected today but some of these storms could produce locally
heavy rainfall, especially across the Lower Toledo Bend and Sam
Rayburn Country of Deep East Texas into portions of West Central
and East Central Louisiana. The precipitation activity will shift
east of the region this evening, and the moist low level
conditions could result in a brief period for the development of
patchy fog late tonight or early Tuesday morning, with
visibilities being capable of dropping to below six miles.


.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday...

Showers and thunderstorms will become likely once again late
tonight or Tuesday morning along and ahead of a strong cold
front. A deep trough of low pressure across the Central and
Southern Plains will provide the lift necessary for the
thunderstorm activity on Tuesday but the rain should quickly come
to an end Tuesday Night from west to east across the Four State
Region. Much cooler air will filter into the region for Wednesday
into Thursday with lows in the 40s possible across some areas
Wednesday Night. Temperatures will rebound for the end of the work
week into the upcoming weekend with rain chances back in the
forecast by late weekend.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Activation of emergency management personnel...amateur radio
operators...and storm spotters should not be needed through
tonight.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook...UPDATED
National Weather Service Lubbock TX
1100 AM CDT Mon May 22 2017

TXZ021>044-231600-
Parmer-Castro-Swisher-Briscoe-Hall-Childress-Bailey-Lamb-Hale-
Floyd-Motley-Cottle-Cochran-Hockley-Lubbock-Crosby-Dickens-King-
Yoakum-Terry-Lynn-Garza-Kent-Stonewall-
1100 AM CDT Mon May 22 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the South Plains...Rolling
Plains and the far Southern Texas Panhandle.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Severe thunderstorms are still expected to develop across eastern
New Mexico and move southeast across much of the South Plains and
Rolling Plains later this afternoon and evening. Large hail to golf
ball size, damaging downbursts and torrential downpours with minor
flooding can be expected with the strongest of these storms.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday

Hazardous weather is unlikely at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be requested for later this afternoon and
evening.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
643 AM CDT Mon May 22 2017

TXZ163-164-176>179-195>199-210>212-231145-
Austin-Brazos-Burleson-Colorado-Grimes-Houston-Madison-Montgomery-
Polk-San Jacinto-Trinity-Walker-Waller-Washington-
643 AM CDT Mon May 22 2017

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of Southeast Texas..

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms are expected.
While most of this rain will be beneficial, there is a potential
for locally heavy downpours. Should this occur over locations that
have already seen high amounts the past couple days, flash
flooding will be a possibility.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday

Another chance of showers and thunderstorms is expected Tuesday
afternoon and evening ahead of a cold front. These should be
fairly quick moving, so widespread flood concern will be low.
Otherwise hazardous weather is not expected.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotters are encouraged to relay rainfall reports or any reports
of flooding.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
643 AM CDT Mon May 22 2017

TXZ200-213-214-226-227-235>238-231145-
Brazoria-Chambers-Fort Bend-Galveston-Harris-Jackson-Liberty-
Matagorda-Wharton-
643 AM CDT Mon May 22 2017

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of Southeast Texas..

...Flash Flood Watch is in effect...

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Showers and thunderstorms are expected across the area today. On
average 1 to 3 inch amounts are expected. While most of this rain
will be beneficial, a surface boundary meandering about the
region may focus some localized high rainfall
accumulations...perhaps up to or above 5 inches which would cause
flash flooding. There is considerable uncertainty as to where this
boundary will end up, but indications are that it may be closer
to the coast. Strong winds and small hail are possible in the
stronger storms. Isolated tornadoes cannot completely be ruled out
closer to the coast.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday

Another chance of showers and thunderstorms is expected Tuesday
afternoon and evening ahead of a cold front. These should be
fairly quick moving, so widespread flood concern will be low.
Otherwise hazardous weather is not expected.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotters are encouraged to relay rainfall reports or any reports
of severe weather or flooding.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Lake Charles LA
426 AM CDT Mon May 22 2017

LAZ027>033-041>045-052>055-073-074-TXZ180-201-215-216-259>262-
230930-
Vernon-Rapides-Avoyelles-Beauregard-Allen-Evangeline-St. Landry-
Calcasieu-Jefferson Davis-Acadia-Lafayette-Upper St. Martin-
Vermilion-Iberia-St. Mary-Lower St. Martin-West Cameron-
East Cameron-Tyler-Hardin-Jefferson-Orange-Northern Jasper-
Northern Newton-Southern Jasper-Southern Newton-
426 AM CDT Mon May 22 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central
Louisiana, south central Louisiana, southwest Louisiana, west
central Louisiana, and southeast Texas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight
Showers and thunderstorms to continue along and behind a stalled
frontal boundary draped along the upper Texas and southern
Louisiana coast. Heaviest rainfall are expected along the I-10
corridor today as the boundary drifts back to the north. One to
three inches will be possible with some locations over south
central Louisiana receiving upwards to four to six inches. The
threat for rains will continue into the evening hours but the
front will sag to the south and this should push most of the rains
back into the gulf during the overnight hours.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday
Showers and thunderstorms chances ending on Tuesday as a second
stronger front pushes the moisture off to the east allowing for
drier air to filter in behind the boundary.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
358 AM CDT Mon May 22 2017

TXZ171>173-183>194-202>209-217>225-228-231000-
Llano-Burnet-Williamson-Val Verde-Edwards-Real-Kerr-Bandera-
Gillespie-Kendall-Blanco-Hays-Travis-Bastrop-Lee-Kinney-Uvalde-
Medina-Bexar-Comal-Guadalupe-Caldwell-Fayette-Maverick-Zavala-
Frio-Atascosa-Wilson-Karnes-Gonzales-De Witt-Lavaca-Dimmit-
358 AM CDT Mon May 22 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for South-Central Texas..

.DAY ONE...Today And Tonight.

Showers and storms early this morning producing locally heavy
rainfall are expected across Karnes, DeWitt, and Lavaca Counties.

Isolated to scattered storms are expected late tonight across the
Hill Country and Central Texas. Some of these storms could produce
small hail and gusty winds.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

A final round of scattered showers and storms is expected Tuesday
afternoon across South Central Texas. A few of these storms could
become strong to severe, with large hail and damaging straight-
line winds the main threat.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotters are encouraged to relay severe weather and flooding
reports to the National Weather Service.

$$

U.S. Dept. of Commerce
NOAA National Weather Service
1325 East West Highway
Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: June 2, 2009
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