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Hazardous Weather Outlook


HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
326 PM CDT WED SEP 17 2014

TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-181115-
MONTAGUE-COOKE-GRAYSON-FANNIN-LAMAR-YOUNG-JACK-WISE-DENTON-COLLIN-
HUNT-DELTA-HOPKINS-STEPHENS-PALO PINTO-PARKER-TARRANT-DALLAS-
ROCKWALL-KAUFMAN-VAN ZANDT-RAINS-EASTLAND-ERATH-HOOD-SOMERVELL-
JOHNSON-ELLIS-HENDERSON-COMANCHE-MILLS-HAMILTON-BOSQUE-HILL-NAVARRO-
FREESTONE-ANDERSON-LAMPASAS-CORYELL-BELL-MCLENNAN-FALLS-LIMESTONE-
LEON-MILAM-ROBERTSON-
326 PM CDT WED SEP 17 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...THROUGH TONIGHT.
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS ALL OF NORTH TEXAS
THROUGH TONIGHT. AFTER SUNSET...THE BEST STORM CHANCES WILL BE
GENERALLY SOUTH OF THE INTERSTATE 20 CORRIDOR. LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL AND CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING WILL BE THE PRIMARY
HAZARDS. BEFORE SUNSET...GUSTY WINDS MAY ACCOMPANY A FEW OF THE
STORMS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL REMAIN IN THE FORECAST THURSDAY
THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS MAY LINGER INTO
MONDAY SOUTH OF A LAMPASAS TO ATHENS LINE. SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT
EXPECTED.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

$$

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
422 PM CDT WED SEP 17 2014

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-181000-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
422 PM CDT WED SEP 17 2014

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...FAR EASTERN OKLAHOMA INTO NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...ONGOING.

FLASH FLOOD.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...FAR NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...ONGOING.

HEAVY RAIN.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...FAR NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA INTO NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
        ONSET...ONGOING.

DISCUSSION...
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE ONGOING ACROSS NORTHWEST ARKANSAS INTO
SOUTHWEST MISSOURI. THIS ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE
NEXT SEVERAL HOURS AS IT SPREADS TO THE SOUTH AND WEST. SOME OF
THE STORMS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME STRONG TO SEVERE
WITH LARGE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS TO AROUND 60 MPH THE CONCERN. LOCALLY
HEAVY RAIN WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE.

OVERNIGHT...ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE
ACROSS MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS WHILE AN
UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE MOVES THROUGH THE PLAINS. THE POTENTIAL
FOR SOME THUNDERSTORMS TO BECOME STRONG TO SEVERE WILL REMAIN
POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT WITH THE MAIN HAZARDS TURNING MORE TOWARD
POSSIBLE DAMAGING WINDS AND HEAVY RAINFALL.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
LOCAL SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.
THURSDAY...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
FRIDAY...NO HAZARDS.
SATURDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL.
SUNDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
MONDAY...NO HAZARDS.
TUESDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE THURSDAY BEFORE THE
UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE AND FRONTAL BOUNDARY EXIT THE REGION. SOME
OF THE THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY COULD AGAIN BE STRONG TO POTENTIALLY
SEVERE.

A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM AND ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT ARE FORECAST TO
PUSH INTO THE PLAINS AND ACROSS EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST
ARKANSAS DURING THE WEEKEND. THUNDERSTORM CHANCES INCREASE DURING
THE DAY SATURDAY AND CONTINUE INTO SUNDAY EVENING BEFORE THE COLD
FRONT EXITS THE REGION. TROPICAL MOISTURE FROM THE REMNANTS OF
HURRICANE ODILE IS EXPECTED TO LIFT INTO THE PLAINS AND MERGE WITH
THE APPROACHING COLD FRONT...CREATING THE POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY
RAINFALL OVER EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS SATURDAY
INTO SUNDAY.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.
$$

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
358 PM CDT WED SEP 17 2014

TXZ021>044-182100-
PARMER-CASTRO-SWISHER-BRISCOE-HALL-CHILDRESS-BAILEY-LAMB-HALE-
FLOYD-MOTLEY-COTTLE-COCHRAN-HOCKLEY-LUBBOCK-CROSBY-DICKENS-KING-
YOAKUM-TERRY-LYNN-GARZA-KENT-STONEWALL-
358 PM CDT WED SEP 17 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE EXTREME SOUTHERN TEXAS
PANHANDLE...SOUTH PLAINS AND ROLLING PLAINS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

THUNDERSTORMS WITH VERY HEAVY RAIN WILL CAUSE MINOR FLOODING
MAINLY ACROSS THE TEXAS SOUTH PLAINS TONIGHT AND THURSDAY. A FEW
STORMS MAY BE SEVERE EARLY THIS EVENING WITH LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING
WIND GUSTS TO 60 MPH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE
WEEK...PEAKING LATE WEEK OR EARLY THIS WEEKEND. LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THE MORE INTENSE ACTIVITY...WHICH
COULD PROMOTE LOCALIZED STREET FLOODING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

PLEASE RELAY SEVERE WEATHER AND FLOODING REPORTS TO THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.

$$

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
247 PM CDT WED SEP 17 2014

TXZ049-054-064>066-071>073-076>078-098-099-113-114-127-128-139-
140-154-155-168>170-182000-
FISHER-NOLAN-STERLING-COKE-RUNNELS-IRION-TOM GREEN-CONCHO-
CROCKETT-SCHLEICHER-SUTTON-HASKELL-THROCKMORTON-JONES-SHACKELFORD-
TAYLOR-CALLAHAN-COLEMAN-BROWN-MCCULLOCH-SAN SABA-MENARD-KIMBLE-
MASON-
247 PM CDT WED SEP 17 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WEST CENTRAL
TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON
INTO TONIGHT. THE MAIN HAZARDS WILL BE DANGEROUS CLOUD TO GROUND
LIGHTNING...AND MINOR FLOODING DUE TO LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS WEST
CENTRAL TEXAS WEDNESDAY THROUGH NEXT SUNDAY NIGHT. THE MAIN
HAZARDS WILL BE DANGEROUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...AND MINOR
FLOODING DUE TO LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.

$$

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1146 AM CDT WED SEP 17 2014

OKZ004>048-050>052-TXZ083>090-181000-
HARPER-WOODS-ALFALFA-GRANT-KAY-ELLIS-WOODWARD-MAJOR-GARFIELD-
NOBLE-ROGER MILLS-DEWEY-CUSTER-BLAINE-KINGFISHER-LOGAN-PAYNE-
BECKHAM-WASHITA-CADDO-CANADIAN-OKLAHOMA-LINCOLN-GRADY-MCCLAIN-
CLEVELAND-POTTAWATOMIE-SEMINOLE-HUGHES-HARMON-GREER-KIOWA-JACKSON-
TILLMAN-COMANCHE-STEPHENS-GARVIN-MURRAY-PONTOTOC-COAL-COTTON-
JEFFERSON-CARTER-JOHNSTON-ATOKA-LOVE-MARSHALL-BRYAN-HARDEMAN-
FOARD-WILBARGER-WICHITA-KNOX-BAYLOR-ARCHER-CLAY-
1146 AM CDT WED SEP 17 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHERN...
WESTERN...CENTRAL...AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA...AND WESTERN NORTH
TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...

.THUNDERSTORMS... ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING ACROSS PARTS OF SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN
NORTH TEXAS. IF STORMS DEVELOP...THEY WILL BE FEW AND FAR BETWEEN.
ADDITIONAL STORMS MAY FORM ACROSS EASTERN KANSAS AND NORTHEAST
OKLAHOMA. THESE STORMS COULD SPREAD INTO PORTIONS OF NORTH-CENTRAL
AND CENTRAL OKLAHOMA...MAINLY EAST OF INTERSTATE-35. ALONG WITH
CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...BRIEF HEAVY DOWNPOURS WILL BE THE
PRIMARY IMPACTS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.THUNDERSTORMS...
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THURSDAY
MORNING...MAINLY EAST OF INTERSTATE-35. ANY STORMS THAT OCCUR
SHOULD STAY BELOW SEVERE LEVELS.

THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL INCREASE SIGNIFICANTLY LATE FRIDAY
AND FRIDAY NIGHT ACROSS WESTERN PARTS OF OKLAHOMA AND NORTH TEXAS
AND THEN SLOWLY PROGRESS EAST AND SOUTH AS A SLOW MOVING COLD
FRONT AND REMNANTS FROM HURRICANE ODILE INTERACT. THE BEST
CHANCES FOR RAIN WILL BE OVER THE NORTHWEST HALF OF OKLAHOMA
LATE FRIDAY INTO THE FIRST HALF OF SATURDAY...THEN SPREAD SOUTH
AND EAST SATURDAY EVENING AND NIGHT OVER CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN
OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS. ORGANIZED SEVERE WEATHER IS
NOT EXPECTED BUT VERY HEAVY RAIN MAY RESULT IN HIGH RAIN TOTALS
WHICH WOULD LEAD TO FLOODING OF LOW-LYING AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS.

STORMS MAY LINGER ACROSS NORTHERN TEXAS AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA
ON SUNDAY. HEAVY RAIN WILL STILL BE A CONCERN.

GET GRAPHICS AND MORE DETAILS AT WEATHER.GOV/NORMAN...AND FOLLOW
OUR WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE ON TWITTER AND FACEBOOK.

$$

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
732 AM CDT WED SEP 17 2014

GMZ330-335-350-355-370-375-TXZ163-164-176>179-195>200-210>214-226-
227-235>238-181245-
AUSTIN-BRAZORIA-BRAZOS-BURLESON-CHAMBERS-COLORADO-FORT BEND-
GALVESTON-GALVESTON BAY-GRIMES-HARRIS-HOUSTON-JACKSON-LIBERTY-
MADISON-MATAGORDA-MATAGORDA BAY-MONTGOMERY-POLK-SAN JACINTO-
TRINITY-WALKER-WALLER-WASHINGTON-
WATERS FROM FREEPORT TO THE MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL 20 NM TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM FREEPORT TO THE MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM HIGH ISLAND TO FREEPORT 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM HIGH ISLAND TO FREEPORT OUT 20 NM-WHARTON-
732 AM CDT WED SEP 17 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP AND MOVE
INLAND TODAY AS DEEP MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAK TROPICAL WAVE
MOVES IN FROM THE GULF. STORM COVERAGE SHOULD INCREASE OVER
CENTRAL LOCATIONS THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS WITH
DAYTIME HEATING. RAINFALL TOTALS SHOULD AVERAGE FROM ONE HALF TO
ONE INCH WITH ISOLATED TOTALS FROM 3 TO 4 INCHES AREAS WHERE
STORMS TRAIN.

IN ADDITION...GIVEN THE TROPICAL AIRMASS IN PLACE...WE COULD ALSO
SEE ATMOSPHERIC CONDITIONS THAT MAY BE FAVORABLE FOR FUNNEL
CLOUDS AND OR WATERSPOUTS. THESE TYPICALLY OCCUR DURING THE
MORNING THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS. THE FUNNELS RARELY EXTEND
ALL THE WAY TO THE SURFACE BUT CAN PRODUCE MINOR DAMAGE IF THEY
DO. MARINERS SHOULD REMAIN CLEAR OF WATERSPOUTS AS THEY CAN
PRODUCE WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 KNOTS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED FRIDAY THROUGH
THE WEEKEND. OTHERWISE NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS
TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY NOT BE NEEDED TODAY OR TONIGHT.

$$

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
505 AM CDT WED SEP 17 2014

GMZ430-432-435-450-452-455-470-472-475-LAZ027>033-041>045-052>055-
073-074-TXZ180-201-215-216-259>262-181015-
SABINE LAKE-CALCASIEU LAKE-VERMILION BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON LA OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY
LA OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM  INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LA FROM
20 TO 60 NM-VERNON-RAPIDES-AVOYELLES-BEAUREGARD-ALLEN-EVANGELINE-
ST. LANDRY-CALCASIEU-JEFFERSON DAVIS-ACADIA-LAFAYETTE-
UPPER ST. MARTIN-VERMILION-IBERIA-ST. MARY-LOWER ST. MARTIN-
WEST CAMERON-EAST CAMERON-TYLER-HARDIN-JEFFERSON-ORANGE-
NORTHERN JASPER-NORTHERN NEWTON-SOUTHERN JASPER-SOUTHERN NEWTON-
505 AM CDT WED SEP 17 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE NORTHWEST
GULF OF MEXICO...CENTRAL LOUISIANA...SOUTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA...
SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA...WEST CENTRAL LOUISIANA AND SOUTHEAST TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A DENSE FOG ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR ALONG AND NORTH OF THE
INTERSTATE 10 CORRIDOR UNTIL 9 AM. OTHERWISE...INCREASING CHANCES
FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CAN BE EXPECTED TODAY. ABUNDANT
MOISTURE AND SLOW MOVEMENT OF THE ACTIVITY WILL BRING THE
POTENTIAL FOR LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

SOME POTENTIAL FOR DENSE FOG CAN BE EXPECTED AGAIN THURSDAY
MORNING. OTHERWISE...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CAN BE
EXPECTED WITH A CONTINUED POSSIBILITY OF LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY NOT BE REQUIRED.

$$

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
434 AM CDT WED SEP 17 2014

TXZ171>173-183>194-202>209-217>225-228-180945-
LLANO-BURNET-WILLIAMSON-VAL VERDE-EDWARDS-REAL-KERR-BANDERA-
GILLESPIE-KENDALL-BLANCO-HAYS-TRAVIS-BASTROP-LEE-KINNEY-UVALDE-
MEDINA-BEXAR-COMAL-GUADALUPE-CALDWELL-FAYETTE-MAVERICK-ZAVALA-
FRIO-ATASCOSA-WILSON-KARNES-GONZALES-DE WITT-LAVACA-DIMMIT-
434 AM CDT WED SEP 17 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BECOME MORE NUMEROUS AS THE DAY
PROGRESSES INTO TONIGHT. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WITH HIGH RAIN
RATES ARE POSSIBLE. ISOLATED RAINFALL TOTALS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES
COULD LEAD TO URBAN FLOODING AND ISOLATED FLASH FLOODING ACROSS
PORTIONS OF THE AREA.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

THE MOIST TROPICAL AIR MASS WILL PERSIST ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL
TEXAS BRINGING GOOD CHANCES OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH
THE END OF THE WEEK. BECAUSE THE STORMS WILL BE SLOW MOVING...THE
THREAT FOR HEAVY RAINFALL AND ISOLATED FLASH FLOODING WILL PERSIST
UNTIL FRIDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME. HOWEVER
RAINFALL REPORTS WILL BE NEEDED THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK. WE
ENCOURAGE ALL COCORAHS AND SKYWARN SPOTTERS TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT
RAINFALL AMOUNTS.

$$

U.S. Dept. of Commerce
NOAA National Weather Service
1325 East West Highway
Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: June 2, 2009
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE: for Safety, for Work, for Fun - FOR LIFE