Hazardous Weather Outlook
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
340 PM CDT WED MAY 22 2013
KSZ032-033-047>053-067>072-082-083-091>096-098>100-232045-
RUSSELL-LINCOLN-BARTON-ELLSWORTH-SALINE-RICE-MCPHERSON-MARION-CHASE-
RENO-HARVEY-BUTLER-GREENWOOD-WOODSON-ALLEN-KINGMAN-SEDGWICK-HARPER-
SUMNER-COWLEY-ELK-WILSON-NEOSHO-CHAUTAUQUA-MONTGOMERY-LABETTE-
340 PM CDT WED MAY 22 2013
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL KANSAS...
SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS AND SOUTHEAST KANSAS.
.DAY ONE...TONIGHT
A FEW THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE JUST BEFORE SUNRISE THURSDAY
MORNING...THESE EARLY STORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BE STRONG OR
SEVERE.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY
THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS EARLY THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY. A FEW
OF THESE STORMS COULD BE STRONG WITH HAIL TO NICKEL SIZE.
SLIGHT CHANCES FOR THUNDERSTORMS ARE IN THE FORECAST FROM SATURDAY
INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. STRONG STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SKYWARN SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED TONIGHT.
&&
FOR A GRAPHICAL VERSION OF THIS INFORMATION...SEE OUR
WEBPAGE AT (LOWERCASE) HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/WICHITA/HWO/HWO.PHP
$$
JMC/BILLINGS
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
420 PM CDT WED MAY 22 2013
OKZ004>048-050>052-TXZ083>090-231000-
HARPER-WOODS-ALFALFA-GRANT-KAY-ELLIS-WOODWARD-MAJOR-GARFIELD-NOBLE-
ROGER MILLS-DEWEY-CUSTER-BLAINE-KINGFISHER-LOGAN-PAYNE-BECKHAM-
WASHITA-CADDO-CANADIAN-OKLAHOMA-LINCOLN-GRADY-MCCLAIN-CLEVELAND-
POTTAWATOMIE-SEMINOLE-HUGHES-HARMON-GREER-KIOWA-JACKSON-TILLMAN-
COMANCHE-STEPHENS-GARVIN-MURRAY-PONTOTOC-COAL-COTTON-JEFFERSON-
CARTER-JOHNSTON-ATOKA-LOVE-MARSHALL-BRYAN-HARDEMAN-FOARD-WILBARGER-
WICHITA-KNOX-BAYLOR-ARCHER-CLAY-
420 PM CDT WED MAY 22 2013
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK COVERS NORTHERN...WESTERN...
CENTRAL...AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA...AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS.
.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...
THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK...
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS PARTS OF NORTHERN
AND CENTRAL OKLAHOMA OVERNIGHT.
DISCUSSION...
FAIRLY DRY...STABLE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO PREVENT
THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT ACROSS OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN NORTH
TEXAS THROUGH THIS EVENING.
LATE TONIGHT...ELEVATED THUNDERSTORMS MAY DEVELOP ACROSS THE AREA AS AN
INCREASING LOW LEVEL JET BRINGS DEEPER MOISTURE AND BETTER INSTABILITY
NORTHWARD. LOCATIONS NORTH AND EAST OF A LINE FROM ERICK...TO LAWTON...TO
SULPHUR WILL HAVE THE BEST CHANCE OF SEEING THUNDERSTORMS. THIS WILL
INCLUDE THE SOUTH OKLAHOMA CITY METRO IN AND AROUND NEWCASTLE AND MOORE.
ANY STORMS THAT DEVELOP OVERNIGHT MAY BECOME SEVERE...POSING A THREAT OF
LARGE HAIL TO THE SIZE OF GOLF BALLS...AND WIND GUSTS OF 50 TO 60 MPH.
FREQUENT LIGHTNING WILL ALSO OCCUR. STORMS SHOULD GRADUALLY MOVE
SOUTHEASTWARD THROUGH THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS...
DIMINISHING IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY BY EARLY AFTERNOON.
PROBABILITY TABLE...
VALID THROUGH 700 AM CDT THURSDAY MAY 23.
PROBABILITY OF THUNDERSTORMS OCCURRING IN THE
NWS NORMAN COUNTY WARNING AREA...100 PERCENT.
PROBABILITY OF SEVERE STORMS IF STORMS OCCUR...60 PERCENT.
OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER...
RIVER FLOODING CONTINUES ALONG THE CLEAR BOGGY CREEK NEAR CANEY
IN ATOKA COUNTY...AND ADDITIONAL RAINFALL TOMORROW MORNING MAY MAKE
CONDITIONS WORSE.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...
THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK...
THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND
NIGHT ACROSS FAR SOUTHWESTERN OKLAHOMA AND FAR WESTERN TEXAS WITH
DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL AS THE MAIN HAZARDS. WHILE NOT VERY
LIKELY...THERE IS A SLIM CHANCE THAT SOME OF THIS ACTIVITY MAY MOVE
INTO CENTRAL OKLAHOMA DURING THE EVENING HOURS.
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL CONTINUE ACROSS PARTS OF THE AREA THROUGH
MONDAY NIGHT. A FEW STRONG TO PERHAPS SEVERE STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE
EACH DAY DURING THIS TIME FRAME.
OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER...
NONE.
THE NEXT SCHEDULED HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK WILL BE ISSUED BY 5 AM
THURSDAY.
$$
MBS/MAXWELL/AUSTIN
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
329 PM CDT WED MAY 22 2013
KSZ030-031-043>046-061>066-074>081-084>090-231200-
TREGO-ELLIS-SCOTT-LANE-NESS-RUSH-HAMILTON-KEARNY-FINNEY-HODGEMAN-
PAWNEE-STAFFORD-STANTON-GRANT-HASKELL-GRAY-FORD-EDWARDS-KIOWA-
PRATT-MORTON-STEVENS-SEWARD-MEADE-CLARK-COMANCHE-BARBER-
329 PM CDT WED MAY 22 2013 /229 PM MDT WED MAY 22 2013/
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL...SOUTH
CENTRAL...SOUTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL KANSAS.
.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT
THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS TONIGHT ACROSS FAR
WESTERN KANSAS. THESE STORMS WILL NOT BE SEVERE, BUT OF COURSE
BY DEFINITION WOULD CONTAIN LIGHTNING.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY
THERE ARE SMALL CHANCES FOR THUNDERSTORMS LATE THURSDAY ACROSS
SOUTHERN AND SOUTHWEST KANSAS, AND ACROSS ALL OF CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST
KANSAS THURSDAY NIGHT. THESE STORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BE
SEVERE.
ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED EACH AFTERNOON
AND EVENING FROM FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY. A FEW OF THESE STORMS COULD BE
SEVERE WITH LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS.
THERE ARE SMALL CHANCES FOR THUNDERSTORMS FOR TUESDAY AND
WEDNESDAY. IT IS TOO EARLY TO TELL IF THESE STORMS WILL BE SEVERE.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY OR TONIGHT.
&&
FOR MORE INFORMATION VISIT OUR WEBPAGE AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/DDC
$$
FINCH
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
108 PM CDT WED MAY 22 2013
ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-231000-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
108 PM CDT WED MAY 22 2013
THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.
.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.
NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED THROUGH TONIGHT.
DISCUSSION...
DUE TO RECENT HEAVY RAINS...RIVER FLOODING CONTINUES AT POINTS ALONG THE
NEOSHO...ILLINOIS...POTEAU AND KIAMICHI RIVERS. AN AREAL FLOOD WARNING
ALSO CONTINUES FOR MUCH OF SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA THROUGH 6 PM TONIGHT.
SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION NOT EXPECTED.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.
THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
A FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL MOVE SOUTH INTO THE AREA THURSDAY AND
REMAIN IN THE VICINITY FOR A FEW DAYS BEFORE LIFTING NORTH AS A
WARM FRONT. WEAK UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES WILL ALSO MOVE ACROSS
THE AREA FROM TIME TO TIME. THE RESULT WILL BE A CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS EACH DAY FROM THURSDAY THROUGH NEXT TUESDAY.
WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.
$$
