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HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
1136 AM CDT WED OCT 1 2014

KSZ032-033-047>053-067>072-082-083-091>096-098>100-021645-
RUSSELL-LINCOLN-BARTON-ELLSWORTH-SALINE-RICE-MCPHERSON-MARION-CHASE-
RENO-HARVEY-BUTLER-GREENWOOD-WOODSON-ALLEN-KINGMAN-SEDGWICK-HARPER-
SUMNER-COWLEY-ELK-WILSON-NEOSHO-CHAUTAUQUA-MONTGOMERY-LABETTE-
1136 AM CDT WED OCT 1 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL KANSAS...
SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS AND SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE BY LATE
AFTERNOON...MAINLY ALONG AND SOUTH OF A LINE EXTENDING FROM
HUTCHINSON TO HILLSBORO. WHILE ACTIVITY MAY BE FAIRLY ISOLATED AT
FIRST...ANY STORM THAT DEVELOPS WILL BE CAPABLE OF BASEBALL SIZE
HAIL...75 MPH WINDS AND ISOLATED TORNADOES. STORM COVERAGE IS
EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY INCREASE DURING THE EVENING HOURS...POSSIBLY
EXPANDING NORTH A BIT TO INCLUDE PORTIONS OF CENTRAL KANSAS. THE
OVERALL SEVERE THREAT SHOULD WANE BY MIDNIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

THUNDERSTORMS WILL LINGER INTO THURSDAY...MAINLY FOR LOCATIONS
ALONG AND EAST OF THE KANSAS TURNPIKE. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL
BE POSSIBLE ONCE AGAIN...WITH DAMAGING STRAIGHT LINE WINDS AND
LARGE HAIL AS THE MAIN THREATS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING...GENERALLY SOUTH OF A HUTCHINSON TO HILLSBORO LINE...AND
COULD BE REQUIRED AGAIN OVER SOUTHEAST KANSAS THURSDAY AFTERNOON.

&&

FOR A GRAPHICAL VERSION OF THIS INFORMATION...SEE OUR
WEBPAGE AT (LOWERCASE) HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/WICHITA/HWO/HWO.PHP

$$

CDJ/ADK

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
905 AM CDT WED OCT 01 2014

OKZ004>048-050>052-TXZ083>090-021000-
HARPER-WOODS-ALFALFA-GRANT-KAY-ELLIS-WOODWARD-MAJOR-GARFIELD-
NOBLE-ROGER MILLS-DEWEY-CUSTER-BLAINE-KINGFISHER-LOGAN-PAYNE-
BECKHAM-WASHITA-CADDO-CANADIAN-OKLAHOMA-LINCOLN-GRADY-MCCLAIN-
CLEVELAND-POTTAWATOMIE-SEMINOLE-HUGHES-HARMON-GREER-KIOWA-JACKSON-
TILLMAN-COMANCHE-STEPHENS-GARVIN-MURRAY-PONTOTOC-COAL-COTTON-
JEFFERSON-CARTER-JOHNSTON-ATOKA-LOVE-MARSHALL-BRYAN-HARDEMAN-
FOARD-WILBARGER-WICHITA-KNOX-BAYLOR-ARCHER-CLAY-
905 AM CDT WED OCT 01 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHERN...
WESTERN...CENTRAL...AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA...AND WESTERN NORTH
TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...

.THUNDERSTORMS...
A FEW ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS MORNING ACROSS
MAINLY NORTHERN OKLAHOMA. THIS ACTIVITY IS NOT EXPECTED TO BE SEVERE.

BY THIS AFTERNOON... AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE OUT OF THE
ROCKIES INTO THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN PLAINS. AS THIS OCCURS...
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP FROM EASTERN KANSAS
SOUTHWARD INTO OKLAHOMA. A FEW SEVERE STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE
ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL AND CENTRAL OKLAHOMA... WITH LARGE HAIL AND
LOCALIZED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS THE PRIMARY CONCERNS.

THERE WILL ALSO BE A CHANCE TO SEE STORMS DEVELOP LATE THIS AFTERNOON
AND THIS EVENING FARTHER SOUTH ACROSS PORTIONS OF WESTERN OKLAHOMA
SOUTH INTO WESTERN NORTH TEXAS... NEAR A RETREATING DRYLINE. IF
STORMS DO OCCUR... INSTABILITY WILL BE SUFFICIENT FOR ISOLATED SEVERE
STORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND GUSTS DURING
THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS. STORMS CHANCES WILL INCREASE
OVERNIGHT... ESPECIALLY ACROSS CENTRAL SECTIONS OF OKLAHOMA... HOWEVER
THE CHANCE OF SEVERE WEATHER OVERNIGHT WILL BE RATHER LOW.


.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.THUNDERSTORMS...
STORMS WILL BE ONGOING THURSDAY MORNING ACROSS PARTS OF CENTRAL
AND EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND PORTIONS OF WESTERN NORTH TEXAS. A FEW
STRONG STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THURSDAY MORNING.

THERE IS A RISK OF SEVERE STORMS THURSDAY AFTERNOON... ALONG AND
EAST OF A COLD FRONT... WHICH IS EXPECTED TO BE NEAR THE I-35 CORRIDOR
BY EARLY AFTERNOON. LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND GUSTS WILL BE THE MAIN
CONCERNS. THE STORMS WILL MOVE QUICKLY EAST OF THE AREA THURSDAY EVENING.


GET GRAPHICS AND MORE DETAILS AT WEATHER.GOV/NORMAN...AND FOLLOW
OUR WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE ON TWITTER AND FACEBOOK.

$$

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
507 AM CDT WED OCT 1 2014

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-021000-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
507 AM CDT WED OCT 1 2014

...SEVERE STORM POTENTIAL INCREASES THROUGH THURSDAY...

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

TORNADO.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...NEAR THE KANSAS BORDER IN FAR NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA.
ONSET...THIS AFTERNOON.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...ELEVATED.
AREA...NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA.
ONSET...THIS AFTERNOON.

HEAVY RAIN.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA.
ONSET...AFTER MIDNIGHT.

DISCUSSION...

SCATTERED ELEVATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE ACROSS NORTHEAST
OKLAHOMA THIS MORNING AND INTO THE MIDDAY HOURS. THIS ACTIVITY
WILL POSE VERY LITTLE SEVERE RISK.

THERE IS A SMALL CHANCE OF SURFACE BASED STORM DEVELOPMENT THIS
AFTERNOON NEAR THE KANSAS BORDER. IF A STORM DOES FORM...VERY
LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS AND PERHAPS AN ISOLATED TORNADO WOULD
BE POSSIBLE GIVEN FAVORABLE INSTABILITY AND SHEAR. HOWEVER...THE
MORE LIKELY SCENARIO IS THAT SURFACE BASED STORMS WILL DEVELOP
FARTHER NORTH INTO KANSAS CLOSER TO A DEVELOPING WARM FRONT.

ELEVATED STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO FORM LATE TONIGHT ACROSS EASTERN
OKLAHOMA...AND WILL POSE A LIMITED RISK OF SEVERE HAIL AND WIND.
RAINFALL AMOUNTS UP TO A HALF INCH ARE POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY OVER
NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
LOCAL SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.
THURSDAY...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL.
FRIDAY THRU TUESDAY...NO HAZARDS.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...

THERE IS AN ELEVATED RISK OF SEVERE STORMS ON THURSDAY ACROSS MUCH
OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NEIGHBORING AREAS OF NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
THE EXACT EVOLUTION OF THE THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS STILL
UNCERTAIN TO SOME DEGREE. HOWEVER...IT DOES APPEAR PROBABLE THAT A
LINE OF STORMS WILL ORGANIZE EITHER ALONG OR AHEAD OF AN
APPROACHING COLD FRONT AND SWEEP ACROSS NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA INTO
NORTHWEST ARKANSAS DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING HOURS.
DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE THE PRIMARY HAZARD...WITH LARGE HAIL
POSSIBLE ESPECIALLY EARLY ON IN THE EVENT BEFORE CELLS BEGIN TO
MERGE.

WITH A MORNING ROUND OF STORMS COMBINED WITH THE STORMS ALONG THE
FRONT IN THE AFTERNOON...THERE WILL BE HEAVY RAINFALL
POTENTIAL...ON THE ORDER OF AN INCH TO 2 INCHES ACROSS PORTIONS OF
NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA INTO NORTHWEST ARKANSAS ON THURSDAY.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.
$$

LACY

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
450 AM CDT WED OCT 1 2014

KSZ008>012-020>024-026-034>040-054>056-058-059-021000-
REPUBLIC-WASHINGTON-MARSHALL-NEMAHA-BROWN-CLOUD-CLAY-RILEY-
POTTAWATOMIE-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-OTTAWA-DICKINSON-GEARY-MORRIS-
WABAUNSEE-SHAWNEE-DOUGLAS-LYON-OSAGE-FRANKLIN-COFFEY-ANDERSON-
450 AM CDT WED OCT 1 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL...NORTH
CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD END IN FAR EASTERN KANSAS THIS MORNING...THEN
SPOTTY...ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE AREA INTO
THE AFTERNOON.  HOWEVER...MORE ORGANIZED STRONG TO SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVER EAST CENTRAL KANSAS LATE
THIS AFTERNOON OR EARLY THIS EVENING.  LARGE HAIL AND STRONG WINDS
ARE EXPECTED WITH SOME OF THESE THUNDERSTORMS.  EVEN A TORNADO IS
POSSIBLE.

LATER TONIGHT...WIDESPREAD THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO REDEVELOP
ACROSS MUCH OF NORTH CENTRAL...NORTHEAST AND EAST CENTRAL KANSAS
WITH SOME AREAS GETTING HEAVY RAIN.  THE MAIN SEVERE WEATHER THREAT
AFTER MIDNIGHT WOULD BE HAIL.


.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE STORMS DURING THE AFTERNOON
HOURS THURSDAY FOR AREAS EAST OF THE KANSAS TURNPIKE. THE MAIN
THREAT WILL BE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS MAY BE NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING AFTER 3 PM.

$$

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
445 AM CDT WED OCT 1 2014

KSZ025-057-060-102>105-MOZ001>008-011>017-020>025-028>033-037>040-
043>046-053-054-020945-
ATCHISON KS-MIAMI-LINN KS-DONIPHAN-LEAVENWORTH-WYANDOTTE-JOHNSON KS-
ATCHISON MO-NODAWAY-WORTH-GENTRY-HARRISON-MERCER-PUTNAM-SCHUYLER-
HOLT-ANDREW-DE KALB-DAVIESS-GRUNDY-SULLIVAN-ADAIR-BUCHANAN-CLINTON-
CALDWELL-LIVINGSTON-LINN MO-MACON-PLATTE-CLAY-RAY-CARROLL-CHARITON-
RANDOLPH-JACKSON-LAFAYETTE-SALINE-HOWARD-CASS-JOHNSON MO-PETTIS-
COOPER-BATES-HENRY-
445 AM CDT WED OCT 1 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST...NORTH CENTRAL AND
WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI...AS WELL AS EXTREME EASTERN KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

 THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS NORTHWESTERN MISSOURI AND EASTERN KANSAS THIS
 MORNING WILL CONTINUE TO OVERSPREAD THE AREA HOWEVER SEVERE WEATHER
 IS NOT EXPECTED FROM THIS ROUND OF STORMS. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS
 WILL AGAIN BE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON BUT AGAIN STORMS ARE NOT
 EXPECTED TO BE SEVERE. THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ACROSS
 EASTERN KANSAS THIS EVENING. THESE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO
 DEVELOP AS SUPERCELLS WITH LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...AND PERHAPS
 A TORNADO OR TWO. AS THESE THUNDERSTORMS MOVE EASTWARD INTO WESTERN
 MISSOURI THEY ARE EXPECTED TO FORM A LINE WITH DAMAGING WINDS BEING
 THE MAIN THREAT.

 MORE DETAILED INFORMATION CAN BE ACCESSED AT...
 HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/IMAGES/FXC/EAX/EM1/EAX-EMBRIEFING1.PDF

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

 THERE IS ALSO A THREAT OF SEVERE WEATHER THURSDAY OVER MOST OF THE
 AREA AS A STRONG COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE AREA. STORMS ALONG THE
 COLD FRONT ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP INTO A LINE OF STORMS CAPABLE OF
 PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS. IN ADDITION... PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN ARE
 ALSO POSSIBLE WHICH MAY LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING AND RIVER FLOODING.

 MORE DETAILED INFORMATION CAN BE ACCESSED AT...
 HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/IMAGES/FXC/EAX/EM1/EAX-EMBRIEFING1.PDF

$$

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
428 AM CDT WED OCT 1 2014

KSZ030-031-043>046-061>066-074>081-084>090-021000-
TREGO-ELLIS-SCOTT-LANE-NESS-RUSH-HAMILTON-KEARNY-FINNEY-HODGEMAN-
PAWNEE-STAFFORD-STANTON-GRANT-HASKELL-GRAY-FORD-EDWARDS-KIOWA-
PRATT-MORTON-STEVENS-SEWARD-MEADE-CLARK-COMANCHE-BARBER-
428 AM CDT WED OCT 1 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL...SOUTH
CENTRAL...SOUTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A DENSE FOG ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL
KANSAS UNTIL 10 AM. PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST WEATHER MESSAGE FOR
SPECIFIC DETAILS.

ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE LATE
THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY THIS EVENING ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL AND
PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS. IF THUNDERSTORMS DO DEVELOP, A
FEW OF THE STRONGER THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING UP
TO HALF DOLLAR SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 60 MPH.

ANOTHER CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE DURING THE
OVERNIGHT HOURS ACROSS ALL OF WESTERN KANSAS AS AN UPPER LEVEL
TROUGH CROSSES THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS. PERIODS OF HEAVY RAINFALL
AND GUSTY WINDS CURRENTLY APPEAR TO BE THE MAIN HAZARD FROM THESE
THUNDERSTORMS OVERNIGHT.


.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE
POSSIBLE ON THURSDAY, MAINLY EARLY IN THE DAY. CLOUD TO GROUND
LIGHTNING WILL BE THE MAIN HAZARD.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

THERE WILL BE A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR SPOTTER ACTIVATION AFTER 5 PM
ALONG AND EAST OF A HAYS TO KINSLEY TO MEDICINE LODGE LINE.

&&

FOR MORE INFORMATION VISIT OUR WEBPAGE AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/DDC

$$
BURGERT

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
419 AM CDT WED OCT 1 2014

KSZ005>007-017>019-NEZ039>041-046>049-060>064-072>077-082>087-
021200-
PHILLIPS-SMITH-JEWELL-ROOKS-OSBORNE-MITCHELL-VALLEY-GREELEY-NANCE-
SHERMAN-HOWARD-MERRICK-POLK-DAWSON-BUFFALO-HALL-HAMILTON-YORK-
GOSPER-PHELPS-KEARNEY-ADAMS-CLAY-FILLMORE-FURNAS-HARLAN-FRANKLIN-
WEBSTER-NUCKOLLS-THAYER-
419 AM CDT WED OCT 1 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA AND
PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THERE WILL BE PATCHES OF FOG THAT COULD LOCALLY REDUCE THE
VISIBILITY TO NEAR ONE QUARTER MILE AT TIMES THROUGH 9 AM.

THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM OR TWO
BETWEEN 4 PM AND 9 PM. DESPITE THE LOW PROBABILITY OF
OCCURRENCE...IF ANY STORMS DEVELOP...THEY COULD BE CAPABLE OF
PRODUCING HAIL TO ONE INCH IN DIAMETER...AND POSSIBLY A WIND GUST
NEAR 60 MPH.

THE POTENTIAL FOR THUNDERSTORMS WILL INCREASE TONIGHT...AFTER 9
PM...FOR AREAS SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 80. NO SEVERE STORMS ARE
EXPECTED...BUT THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE A STORM OR TWO COULD BE
STRONG ENOUGH TO PRODUCE HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF DIMES UNTIL 3 AM.
THEREAFTER...NO STRONG STORMS ARE EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

ISOLATED NON SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE THURSDAY MORNING
SOUTHEAST OF A LINE FROM YORK NEBRASKA TO BELOIT KANSAS.

NORTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE THURSDAY NIGHT AND REMAIN STRONG ON
FRIDAY BEHIND A STRONG COLD FRONT. WINDS SPEEDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH
WITH HIGHER GUSTS ARE POSSIBLE.

WIND SPEEDS DIMINISH FRIDAY NIGHT AND IN THE COLD AIRMASS...
TEMPERATURES ARE FORECAST TO DROP TO THE LOW AND MIDDLE 30S FOR
LOWS. STAY UP TO DATE ON THE LATEST FORECASTS AS THE FIRST FREEZE
OF THE SEASON OR FROST DEVELOPMENT MAY OCCUR.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS POSSIBLE BETWEEN 4 AND 9 PM.

&&

MORE INFORMATION MAY BE OBTAINED AT THE FOLLOWING WEB PAGE:
   HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/HASTINGS  (ALL LOWERCASE)

$$

HALBLAUB/FAY

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
401 AM CDT WED OCT 1 2014

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-020915-
BOURBON-CRAWFORD-CHEROKEE-BENTON-MORGAN-MILLER-MARIES-VERNON-
ST. CLAIR-HICKORY-CAMDEN-PULASKI-PHELPS-BARTON-CEDAR-POLK-DALLAS-
LACLEDE-TEXAS-DENT-JASPER-DADE-GREENE-WEBSTER-WRIGHT-NEWTON-
LAWRENCE-CHRISTIAN-DOUGLAS-HOWELL-SHANNON-MCDONALD-BARRY-STONE-
TANEY-OZARK-OREGON-
401 AM CDT WED OCT 1 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE MISSOURI
OZARKS AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

WEATHER HAZARDS EXPECTED...

  LIMITED TORNADO RISK.
  ELEVATED HAIL RISK.
  ELEVATED THUNDERSTORM WIND DAMAGE RISK.
  ELEVATED LIGHTNING RISK.

DISCUSSION...

  SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WITH A FEW SUPERCELLS POSSIBLE WILL
  DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING HOURS OVER PORTIONS OF
  SOUTHEAST KANSAS INTO SOUTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI. THE
  MAIN THREAT WILL BE LARGE HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF GOLF BALLS AND
  DAMAGING WIND GUSTS UP TO 60 MPH. THERE WILL BE A LIMITED THREAT
  FOR AN ISOLATED TORNADO OR TWO FROM SOUTHEAST KANSAS INTO WEST
  CENTRAL MISSOURI LATE AFTERNOON INTO EARLY EVENING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

  A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION LATE THURSDAY
  AFTERNOON AND EVENING. AN EPISODE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE
  EXPECTED THURSDAY AFTERNOON INTO THURSDAY EVENING. LARGE
  HAIL...DAMAGING WIND GUSTS...AND ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE
  WITH THE MORE INTENSE STORMS.

  WITH MULTIPLE ROUNDS OF STORMS POSSIBLE TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY
  NIGHT...THERE IS A LIMITED RISK FOR FLOODING.

  A MUCH COLDER AIRMASS WILL MOVE INTO THE MISSOURI OZARKS FRIDAY
  NIGHT WITH TEMPERATURES POSSIBLY DOWN INTO THE MIDDLE AND UPPER
  30S. THERE WILL BE A THREAT FOR PATCHY FROST LATE FRIDAY NIGHT
  INTO EARLY SATURDAY MORNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

  SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT FOR
  AREAS NORTH AND WEST OF I-44.

&&

THIS PRODUCT IS NOW AVAILABLE IN GRAPHICAL FORMAT...ALONG WITH
OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE INFORMATION...AT
HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/SGF(ALL LOWERCASE)

$$

GRIFFIN

U.S. Dept. of Commerce
NOAA National Weather Service
1325 East West Highway
Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: June 2, 2009
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