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HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
908 PM CST SAT NOV 22 2014

LAZ007>009-015-016-023>026-MSZ028>030-032-033-035>038-040>044-047-
048-053-240315-
MOREHOUSE-WEST CARROLL-EAST CARROLL-RICHLAND-MADISON LA-
FRANKLIN LA-CATAHOULA-TENSAS-CONCORDIA-MONTGOMERY-WEBSTER-CLAY-
CHOCTAW-OKTIBBEHA-HUMPHREYS-HOLMES-ATTALA-WINSTON-ISSAQUENA-
SHARKEY-YAZOO-MADISON MS-LEAKE-WARREN-HINDS-CLAIBORNE-
908 PM CST SAT NOV 22 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST
LOUISIANA...CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...NORTH CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...
NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...AND SOUTHWEST MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...THE REST OF TONIGHT AND SUNDAY

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...LIMITED
TIMING...SUNDAY MORNING

NON THUNDERSTORM WINDS
THREAT...LIMITED
TIMING...SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING

A LIMITED THREAT OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS EXISTS FROM AROUND DAYBREAK
SUNDAY THROUGH LATE SUNDAY MORNING. THE MAIN RISK WILL BE DAMAGING
WINDS TO 60 MPH.

IN ADDITION...WINDY CONDITIONS WILL DEVELOP OVER THE OUTLOOK AREA BY
SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING. LOOK FOR
SUSTAINED WINDS AROUND 20 MPH WITH GUSTS POSSIBLY AS HIGH AS 40 MPH.
A WIND ADVISORY MAY BE NEEDED FOR PARTS OF THE AREA SUNDAY AFTERNOON.

(WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=1)
(WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=2)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS MAY BE NEEDED FOR PORTIONS OF THE REGION SUNDAY
MORNING.

$$

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
908 PM CST SAT NOV 22 2014

ARZ074-075-MSZ018-019-025>027-034-240315-
ASHLEY-CHICOT-BOLIVAR-SUNFLOWER-LEFLORE-GRENADA-CARROLL-
WASHINGTON-
908 PM CST SAT NOV 22 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST
ARKANSAS...NORTH CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...AND NORTHWEST MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...THE REST OF TONIGHT AND SUNDAY

NON THUNDERSTORM WINDS
THREAT...LIMITED
TIMING...SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING

WINDY CONDITIONS WILL DEVELOP OVER THE OUTLOOK AREA BY SUNDAY
AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING. LOOK FOR SUSTAINED
WINDS AROUND 20 MPH WITH GUSTS POSSIBLY AS HIGH AS 40 MPH. A WIND
ADVISORY MAY BE NEEDED FOR PARTS OF THE AREA SUNDAY AFTERNOON.

(WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=2)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH NEXT FRIDAY.

$$

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
908 PM CST SAT NOV 22 2014

MSZ031-039-045-046-049>051-054-059-240315-
LOWNDES-NOXUBEE-NESHOBA-KEMPER-RANKIN-SCOTT-NEWTON-COPIAH-
JEFFERSON-
908 PM CST SAT NOV 22 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
MISSISSIPPI...EAST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...
AND SOUTHWEST MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...THE REST OF TONIGHT AND SUNDAY

TORNADOES
THREAT...LIMITED
TIMING...SUNDAY MORNING

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...LIMITED
TIMING...SUNDAY MORNING

NON THUNDERSTORM WINDS
THREAT...LIMITED
TIMING...SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING

A LIMITED THREAT OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS EXISTS FROM AROUND DAYBREAK
SUNDAY THROUGH LATE SUNDAY MORNING. THE MAIN RISK WILL BE DAMAGING
WINDS TO 60 MPH. IN ADDITION...THE POSSIBILITY OF A TORNADO OR TWO
CANNOT BE RULED OUT.

WINDY CONDITIONS WILL ALSO DEVELOP OVER THE OUTLOOK AREA BY SUNDAY
AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING. LOOK FOR SUSTAINED
WINDS AROUND 20 MPH WITH GUSTS POSSIBLY AS HIGH AS 40 MPH. A WIND
ADVISORY MAY BE NEEDED FOR PARTS OF THE AREA SUNDAY AFTERNOON.

(WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=1)
(WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=2)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS MAY BE NEEDED FOR PORTIONS OF THE REGION SUNDAY
MORNING.

$$

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
908 PM CST SAT NOV 22 2014

MSZ052-055>058-060>066-072>074-240315-
LAUDERDALE-SIMPSON-SMITH-JASPER-CLARKE-ADAMS-FRANKLIN MS-LINCOLN-
LAWRENCE-JEFFERSON DAVIS-COVINGTON-JONES-MARION-LAMAR-FORREST-
908 PM CST SAT NOV 22 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
MISSISSIPPI...EAST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...AND SOUTH CENTRAL
MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...THE REST OF TONIGHT AND SUNDAY

TORNADOES
THREAT...LIMITED
TIMING...SUNDAY MORNING

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...ELEVATED
TIMING...SUNDAY MORNING

NON THUNDERSTORM WINDS
THREAT...LIMITED
TIMING...SUNDAY AFTERNOON

AN ELEVATED THREAT OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS EXISTS FOR THESE AREAS FROM
AROUND DAYBREAK SUNDAY THROUGH LATE SUNDAY MORNING. THE MAIN RISK
WILL BE DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH ALTHOUGH THE POSSIBILITY
OF A TORNADO OR TWO CANNOT BE RULED OUT.

WINDY CONDITIONS WILL ALSO DEVELOP OVER THE OUTLOOK AREA BY SUNDAY
AFTERNOON. LOOK FOR SUSTAINED WINDS AROUND 20 MPH WITH GUSTS
POSSIBLY AS HIGH AS 40 MPH. A WIND ADVISORY MAY BE NEEDED FOR PARTS
OF THE AREA SUNDAY AFTERNOON.

(WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=1)
(WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=2)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS MAY BE NEEDED FOR PORTIONS OF THE REGION SUNDAY
MORNING.

$$

50

&&

...HAZARD LEGEND...

*NON-THUNDERSTORM WINDS*
EXTREME...SUSTAINED WINDS 50 MPH OR GREATER OR WIND GUSTS 65 MPH
 OR GREATER.
HIGH...SUSTAINED WINDS 40-49 MPH OR WIND GUSTS 58-64 MPH.
ELEVATED...SUSTAINED WINDS 30-39 MPH OR WIND GUSTS 45-57 MPH.
LIMITED...SUSTAINED WINDS 20-29 MPH OR WIND GUSTS 30 TO 44 MPH.

*SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS*
EXTREME...CONFIDENT IN SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH WIND GUSTS OF
 75 MPH OR GREATER AND/OR 2 INCH DIAMETER OR LARGER HAIL.
HIGH...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE WITH WIND GUSTS OF 75 MPH
 OR GREATER AND/OR 2 INCH DIAMETER OR LARGER HAIL.
ELEVATED...CONFIDENT IN SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH WINDS GUSTS OF
 60 MPH OR GREATER AND/OR 1 INCH DIAMETER OR LARGER HAIL.
LIMITED...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE WITH WIND GUSTS OF 60
 MPH OR GREATER AND/OR 1 INCH DIAMETER OR LARGER HAIL.

*TORNADOES*
EXTREME...CONFIDENT IN STRONG TORNADOES WITH RATINGS EF2 OR
 GREATER.
HIGH...STRONG TORNADOES POSSIBLE WITH RATINGS EF2 OR GREATER.
ELEVATED...CONFIDENT IN TORNADOES.
LIMITED...TORNADOES POSSIBLE.


...USEFUL WEATHER WEB PAGES (URLS)...

NWS JAN HOME PAGE...
   WWW.WEATHER.GOV/JAN
STAY AWARE, STAY SAFE NWS JAN BRIEFING PAGE...
   WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/JAN/?N=SAFE
NWS JAN TROPICAL PAGE...
   WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/JAN/?N=TROPICAL
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER HOME PAGE...
   WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/
FIND NWS JAN ON FACEBOOK...
   WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSJACKSONMS
FOLLOW NWS JAN ON TWITTER...
   @NWSJACKSONMS

...ADDITIONAL URLS FOR SEVERE WEATHER ISSUES...

STORM PREDICTION CENTER (SPC)...
   WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/
SPC...MESO ANALYSIS...
   WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/EXPER/MESOANALYSIS/NEW/#
SPC...DAY 1 THROUGH 3 OUTLOOKS...
   WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/PRODUCTS/OUTLOOK/
SPC...STORM REPORTS...
   WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/CLIMO/
NWS JAN CURRENT SVR/TOR WATCHES...
   WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/RTIMAGES/JAN/WATCH/TOASVA.PNG

   PLEASE CONVERT ALL WEB ADDRESSES TO LOWER CASE BEFORE ENTERING!

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
232 AM CST SUN NOV 23 2014

GMZ530-532-534-536-538-550-552-555-557-570-572-575-577-LAZ034>037-
039-040-046>050-056>072-MSZ068>071-077-080>082-232045-
LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN AND LAKE MAUREPAS-MISSISSIPPI SOUND-
LAKE BORGNE-CHANDELEUR SOUND-BRETON SOUND-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT FOURCHON TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
TO PORT FOURCHON OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM BOOTHVILLE LA TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO STAKE ISLAND LA OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT FOURCHON TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER FROM
20 TO 60 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
TO PORT FOURCHON FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM STAKE ISLAND LA TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO STAKE ISLAND LA FROM 20 TO
60 NM-POINTE COUPEE-WEST FELICIANA-EAST FELICIANA-ST. HELENA-
WASHINGTON-ST. TAMMANY-IBERVILLE-WEST BATON ROUGE-
EAST BATON ROUGE-ASCENSION-LIVINGSTON-ASSUMPTION-ST. JAMES-
ST. JOHN THE BAPTIST-UPPER LAFOURCHE-ST. CHARLES-UPPER JEFFERSON-
ORLEANS-UPPER PLAQUEMINES-UPPER ST. BERNARD-UPPER TERREBONNE-
LOWER TERREBONNE-LOWER LAFOURCHE-LOWER JEFFERSON-
LOWER PLAQUEMINES-LOWER ST. BERNARD-NORTHERN TANGIPAHOA-
SOUTHERN TANGIPAHOA-WILKINSON-AMITE-PIKE-WALTHALL-PEARL RIVER-
HANCOCK-HARRISON-JACKSON-
232 AM CST SUN NOV 23 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST
LOUISIANA...SOUTH MISSISSIPPI AND THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

STRONG LATE FALL STORM SYSTEM CONTINUES TO PUSH INTO THE LOWER AND
MID MISSISSIPPI VALLEY. THERE ARE STILL MULTIPLE IMPACTS FROM THIS
SYSTEM WHICH INCLUDE STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS...HEAVY
RAIN...COASTAL FLOODING...AND MARINE HAZARDS.

THE MAIN CONCERN WITH THIS SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO BE THE THREAT
OF STRONG AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK FOR
SEVERE STORMS MAINLY ALONG AND EAST OF A LINE FROM NEAR HOUMA TO
BOGALUSA. THE MAIN TIME FRAME IS FROM 5 AM THROUGH 10 AM AND THE
GREATEST CONCERNS WILL BE STRONG...POSSIBLY DAMAGING THUNDERSTORM
WINDS AND A TORNADO OR TWO.

IN ADDITION TO THE SEVERE THREAT HEAVY RAINFALL REMAIN POSSIBLE
THROUGH THE MORNING. WIDESPREAD RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES
ARE ANTICIPATED WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. THE GREATEST
RAINFALL TOTALS WILL LIKELY BE ALONG AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM NEAR
THIBODAUX TO SAUCIER.

STRONG WINDS WILL CONTINUE AND RESULT IN HAZARDOUS WAVE
CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT OVER ALL OF THE COASTAL WATERS INCLUDING
THE TIDAL LAKES AND SOUNDS. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES REMAIN IN
EFFECT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

WINDS MAY TEMPORARILY SLACK OFF SUNDAY NIGHT BUT AS A COLD FRONT
MOVES THROUGH MONDAY AND WINDS VEER AROUND TO THE NORTHWEST THEY
WILL LIKELY PICK BACK UP TO AROUND 20 KNOTS WITH HIGHER GUSTS AND
ADDITIONAL SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES MAY BE NEEDED.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT
PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER OPERATIONS WILL LIKELY BE
NEEDED FOR PORTIONS OF THE REGION THIS MORNING.

$$

CAB

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
300 PM CST SAT NOV 22 2014

ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-231100-
ARKANSAS-BAXTER-BOONE-BRADLEY-CALHOUN-CLARK-CLEBURNE-CLEVELAND-
CONWAY-DALLAS-DESHA-DREW-FAULKNER-FULTON-GARLAND-GRANT-HOT SPRING-
INDEPENDENCE-IZARD-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-LINCOLN-LOGAN-LONOKE-
MARION-MONROE-MONTGOMERY-NEWTON-OUACHITA-PERRY-PIKE-POLK-POPE-
PRAIRIE-PULASKI-SALINE-SCOTT-SEARCY-SHARP-STONE-VAN BUREN-WHITE-
WOODRUFF-YELL-
300 PM CST SAT NOV 22 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR A LARGE PART OF ARKANSAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE INTO THIS EVENING
ACROSS PARTS OF NORTHERN AND WESTERN ARKANSAS. LATER TONIGHT...THE
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BECOME NUMEROUS ACROSS ALL PARTS OF
THE STATE. SOME OF THE RAIN WILL BE LOCALLY HEAVY. CHANCES FOR
SEVERE WEATHER ARE LOW...BUT IF THERE WERE TO BE ISOLATED SEVERE
STORMS...THEY WOULD BE IN SOUTHERN ARKANSAS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE ONGOING SUNDAY MORNING ACROSS MUCH
OF THE STATE...BUT ESPECIALLY THE EASTERN HALF OF ARKANSAS.
AGAIN...SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT LIKELY BUT AN ISOLATED STRONG TO
SEVERE STORM CANNOT BE RULED OUT...MAINLY IN EAST AND SOUTHEAST
ARKANSAS. RAIN WILL DIMINISH FROM WEST TO EAST DURING SUNDAY
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. WINDY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FROM SUNDAY
NIGHT INTO MONDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

&&

VISIT NWS LITTLE ROCK ON THE WEB. GO TO HTTP://WEATHER.GOV AND
CLICK ON CENTRAL ARKANSAS.

$$

28

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1143 AM CST SAT NOV 22 2014

ARZ050-051-059>061-070>073-LAZ001>006-010>014-017>022-OKZ077-
TXZ096-097-108>112-124>126-136>138-149>153-165>167-231745-
SEVIER-HOWARD-LITTLE RIVER-HEMPSTEAD-NEVADA-MILLER-LAFAYETTE-
COLUMBIA-UNION AR-CADDO-BOSSIER-WEBSTER-CLAIBORNE-LINCOLN-
UNION LA-DE SOTO-RED RIVER-BIENVILLE-JACKSON-OUACHITA-SABINE LA-
NATCHITOCHES-WINN-GRANT-CALDWELL-LA SALLE-MCCURTAIN-BOWIE-
FRANKLIN-TITUS-CAMP-MORRIS-CASS-WOOD-UPSHUR-MARION-SMITH-GREGG-
HARRISON-CHEROKEE-RUSK-PANOLA-NACOGDOCHES-SHELBY-ANGELINA-
SAN AUGUSTINE-SABINE TX-
1143 AM CST SAT NOV 22 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
ARKANSAS...SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS...NORTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA...
NORTHWEST LOUISIANA...SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA...EAST TEXAS AND
NORTHEAST TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE ACROSS THE REGION
LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...AS A STRONG UPPER LEVEL
DISTURBANCE APPROACHES. THUNDERSTORMS WILL BECOME WIDESPREAD BY
TONIGHT. WHILE ORGANIZED SEVERE STORMS APPEAR UNLIKELY...A FEW
ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS CANNOT BE RULED OUT...MAINLY SOUTH OF
INTERSTATE 20.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...

THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS OF
SUNDAY...BEFORE COMING TO AN END BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON. AGAIN...
WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED...BUT AN ISOLATED
SEVERE STORM OR TWO CANNOT BE RULED OUT...MAINLY SOUTH OF
INTERSTATE 20.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

ACTIVATION OF EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL...AMATEUR RADIO
OPERATORS...AND STORM SPOTTERS WILL NOT BE NEEDED THROUGH TONIGHT.

$$

VII

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
632 AM CST SAT NOV 22 2014

ALZ051>064-FLZ001>006-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-231300-
CHOCTAW-WASHINGTON-CLARKE-WILCOX-MONROE-CONECUH-BUTLER-CRENSHAW-
ESCAMBIA-COVINGTON-UPPER MOBILE-UPPER BALDWIN-LOWER MOBILE-
LOWER BALDWIN-INLAND ESCAMBIA-COASTAL ESCAMBIA-INLAND SANTA ROSA-
COASTAL SANTA ROSA-INLAND OKALOOSA-COASTAL OKALOOSA-WAYNE-PERRY-
GREENE-STONE-GEORGE-
632 AM CST SAT NOV 22 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
ALABAMA...SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...NORTHWEST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST
MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A STRONG AREA OF SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE EXTENDING FROM THE WESTERN
ATLANTIC...WESTWARD TO EAST OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY TODAY...RESULTS
IN A MODERATE TO STRONG EAST SOUTHEAST FLOW. THE HIGH MOVES EASTWARD
ON SUNDAY AS A STRENGTHENING AREA OF SURFACE LOW PRESSURE PIVOTS NORTHEAST
ACROSS THE MID SOUTH ON SUNDAY. AS THIS OCCURS...WINDS BECOME SOUTH
TO SOUTHWEST AND REMAIN STRONG OVER THE BEACHES. THE INCREASE IN WINDS
IN COMBINATION WITH SPRING TIDAL CYCLES AND AN INCREASE IN HIGHER
PERIOD SWELL RESULTS IN A HIGH RISK OF DANGEROUS TO POTENTIALLY
DEADLY RIP CURRENTS ALONG THE BEACHES.

AS A WARM FRONT ADVANCES ACROSS THE COASTAL WATERS LATE TONIGHT...APPROACHING
THE COAST BY DAYBREAK SUNDAY...CHANCES OF WET WEATHER TREND HIGHER.
SOME OF THE RAINS COULD BE LOCALLY HEAVY LATE. A FEW STRONG TO SEVERE
STORMS MAY IMPACT THE COASTAL COUNTIES BY DAYBREAK IN ASSOCIATION
WITH THE WARM FRONT. HOWEVER...DUE TO LIMITED INSTABILITY AND A
SLOWER ARRIVAL OF THE STRONGEST WINDS ALOFT...THE BETTER RISK OF
SEVERE WEATHER LOOKS TO HOLD OFF UNTIL SUNDAY. STAY TUNED FOR UPDATES
ON THIS DEVELOPING WEATHER SYSTEM.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

A HIGH RISK OF DANGEROUS TO POTENTIALLY DEADLY RIP CURRENTS ALONG THE
BEACHES CONTINUES ON SUNDAY.

THE WARM FRONT SURGES NORTHWARD SUNDAY MORNING WITH AN ORGANIZING
LINE OF STORMS TO ADVANCE EASTWARD ACROSS THE CENTRAL GULF COAST. THE
ATMOSPHERE LOOKS TO BECOME MORE UNSTABLE AND ALONG WITH A STRONG AND
CHANGING WIND PROFILE WITH HEIGHT...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE
POSSIBLE. RAPID STORM MOTIONS WILL LIKELY RESULT IN A QUICK ONSET OF
SEVERE WEATHER. THE ATMOSPHERE ALSO SUPPORTS THE POTENTIAL OF LONG
TRACK...ISOLATED TORNADOES. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS WILL ACCOMPANY THE
PASSAGE OF THE STRONGEST STORMS.

THE SQUALL LINE MAKES STEADY EASTWARD PROGRESS TO EAST OF INTERSTATE
65 SUNDAY AFTERNOON. RAINS DECREASE IN COVERAGE AND SEVERE WEATHER
THREAT LOWERS FOLLOWING THE PASSAGE OF THE SQUALL LINE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

ACTIVATION OF SKYWARN SEVERE STORM SPOTTER NETWORKS MAY BE REQUESTED
ON SUNDAY.

$$

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
632 AM CST SAT NOV 22 2014

GMZ630>635-650-655-670-675-231300-
NORTHERN MOBILE BAY-SOUTHERN MOBILE BAY-MISSISSIPPI SOUND-
PERDIDO BAY-PENSACOLA BAY SYSTEM-CHOCTAWHATCHEE BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
632 AM CST SAT NOV 22 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE COASTAL
WATERS OF ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A STRONG AREA OF SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE EXTENDING FROM THE WESTERN
ATLANTIC...WESTWARD TO EAST OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY TODAY...RESULTS
IN A MODERATE TO STRONG EAST SOUTHEAST FLOW. WIND GUSTS COULD
APPROACH GALE FORCE LATE TONIGHT OVER THE OPEN ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST
FLORIDA COASTAL WATERS. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES ALSO REMAIN IN EFFECT.
SEAS TRENDING MUCH HIGHER.

A FEW STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER THE MARINE AREA
LATE TONIGHT AS A WARM FRONT ADVANCES NORTHWARD.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

HIGH PRESSURE MOVES EASTWARD ON SUNDAY AS A STRENGTHENING AREA OF
SURFACE LOW PRESSURE PIVOTS NORTHEAST ACROSS THE MID SOUTH ON SUNDAY.
AS THIS OCCURS...WINDS TURN MORE ONSHORE FROM THE SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST
AND REMAIN STRONG. AWAY FROM STORMS...SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS ON
SUNDAY MAY GUST TO NEAR GALE FORCE OVER THE OPEN ALABAMA AND
NORTHWEST FLORIDA COASTAL WATERS WITH HIGH SEAS CONTINUING. SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORIES REMAIN IN EFFECT ELSEWHERE.

THE PASSAGE OF A LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS ON SUNDAY MAY RESULT IN
SEVERE MARINE THUNDERSTORMS...PRODUCING WIND GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 50
KNOTS AT TIMES...VISIBILITY REDUCING HEAVY RAIN AND FREQUENT
LIGHTNING.

NO HAZARDOUS MARINE WEATHER FORECAST NEXT WEEK.

$$

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
414 AM CST SAT NOV 22 2014

LAZ027>033-041>045-052>055-073-074-TXZ180-201-215-216-259>262-
231200-
VERNON-RAPIDES-AVOYELLES-BEAUREGARD-ALLEN-EVANGELINE-ST. LANDRY-
CALCASIEU-JEFFERSON DAVIS-ACADIA-LAFAYETTE-UPPER ST. MARTIN-
VERMILION-IBERIA-ST. MARY-LOWER ST. MARTIN-WEST CAMERON-
EAST CAMERON-TYLER-HARDIN-JEFFERSON-ORANGE-NORTHERN JASPER-
NORTHERN NEWTON-SOUTHERN JASPER-SOUTHERN NEWTON-
414 AM CST SAT NOV 22 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
LOUISIANA...SOUTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA...SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA...WEST
CENTRAL LOUISIANA AND SOUTHEAST TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT
A VIGOROUS STORM SYSTEM ADVANCING EAST OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS
WILL BRING WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON
INTO EARLY SUNDAY. SOME OF THESE STORMS COULD BE SEVERE WITH
DAMAGING WINDS THE PRIMARY SEVERE WEATHER THREAT...BUT CANNOT RULE
OUT THE POSSIBILITY OF HAIL OR TORNADOES WITH THESE THUNDERSTORMS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY
THE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL END FROM WEST TO EAST EARLY
SUNDAY MORNING...WITH NO PRECIPITATION EXPECTED FOR THE REMAINDER
OF THANKSGIVING WEEK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED TONIGHT.

$$

U.S. Dept. of Commerce
NOAA National Weather Service
1325 East West Highway
Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: June 2, 2009
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE: for Safety, for Work, for Fun - FOR LIFE