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Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Jackson MS
320 PM CDT Sun Jul 23 2017

LAZ007>009-015-016-023>026-MSZ040>066-072>074-242030-
Morehouse-West Carroll-East Carroll-Richland-Madison LA-
Franklin LA-Catahoula-Tensas-Concordia-Issaquena-Sharkey-Yazoo-
Madison MS-Leake-Neshoba-Kemper-Warren-Hinds-Rankin-Scott-Newton-
Lauderdale-Claiborne-Copiah-Simpson-Smith-Jasper-Clarke-Jefferson-
Adams-Franklin MS-Lincoln-Lawrence-Jefferson Davis-Covington-
Jones-Marion-Lamar-Forrest-
320 PM CDT Sun Jul 23 2017

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of northeast
Louisiana, central Mississippi, and south central Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Monday

FLOODING
THREAT...Limited
TIMING...Monday

Slow moving thunderstorms with torrential rainfall will lead to
locally higher amounts of rainfall. Flash flooding is possible,
especially in areas that have seen heavy rain the last few days
and where storms train over the same location.

(www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image3.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday night through Saturday

Heat stress concerns will increase again by Wednesday and
continuing through Friday across portions of the area. Right now,
it appears the greatest potential for dangerous heat will exist
generally north of a line from Natchez to Jackson to De Kalb.

(www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image2.png)

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations is not expected through next Saturday.

$$

1

&&

...HAZARD LEGEND...

*FLOODING*
Extreme...Confident in significant flooding.
Significant...Significant flooding possible.
Elevated...Confident in flooding.
Limited...Flooding possible.


...USEFUL WEATHER WEB PAGES (URLS)...

NWS JAN Home page...
   www.weather.gov/jan
Stay Aware, Stay Safe NWS JAN Briefing Page...
   www.weather.gov/jan/safe
Latest Weather Briefing...
   www.weather.gov/jan/weather_briefing

Tropical page...
   www.weather.gov/jan/tropical
National Hurricane Center Home Page...
   www.nhc.noaa.gov/
Find NWS JAN on Facebook...
   www.facebook.com/NWSJacksonMS
Follow NWS JAN on Twitter...
   @NWSJacksonMS
Follow NWS JAN on Youtube...
   www.youtube.com/user/NWSJacksonMiss

...ADDITIONAL URLS FOR FLOODING ISSUES...

Current Watches and Warnings...
   www.weather.gov/jan/safe_HeavyRain

Observed Precipitation Images...
   www.weather.gov/jan/precipmaps

River Forecast Center...
   www.weather.gov/lmrfc/
Significant River Flood Outlook...
   www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/nationalfloodoutlook/index.html
Day 1 through 3 Excessive Rainfall...
   www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/excess_rain.shtml
Excessive Rainfall Discussion...
   www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/qpferd.html
Day 1 through 7 QPF...
   www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/qpf2.shtml
QPF Discussion...
   www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/qpfpfd.html

Hazardous Weather Outlook...UPDATED
National Weather Service Mobile AL
956 PM CDT Sun Jul 23 2017

GMZ630>635-650-655-670-675-250300-
Northern Mobile Bay-Southern Mobile Bay-Mississippi Sound-
Perdido Bay-Pensacola Bay System-Choctawhatchee Bay-
Coastal waters from Pensacola FL to Pascagoula MS out 20 NM-
Coastal waters from Destin to Pensacola FL out 20 NM-
Waters from Pensacola FL to Pascagoula MS from 20 to 60 NM-
Waters from Destin to Pensacola FL from 20 to 60 NM-
956 PM CDT Sun Jul 23 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of the coastal
waters of Alabama and northwest Florida.

.DAY ONE...Tonight

Scattered thunderstorms are expected late tonight. A few storms
will be capable of producing frequent lightning, gusty winds,
locally higher seas, and perhaps an isolated waterspout.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday

Gusty winds, frequent lightning, and locally higher seas are
possible with the stronger storms that develop through the period.
Isolated waterspouts will also be possible mainly during the
morning hours.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Memphis TN
816 PM CDT Sun Jul 23 2017

ARZ008-009-017-018-026>028-035-036-048-049-058-MOZ113-115-
MSZ001>017-020>024-TNZ001>004-019>022-048>055-088>092-250330-
Alcorn-Benton MS-Benton TN-Calhoun-Carroll-Chester-Chickasaw-Clay-
Coahoma-Craighead-Crittenden-Crockett-Cross-DeSoto-Decatur-
Dunklin-Dyer-Fayette-Gibson-Greene-Hardeman-Hardin-Haywood-
Henderson-Henry-Itawamba-Lafayette-Lake-Lauderdale-Lawrence-
Lee AR-Lee MS-Madison-Marshall-McNairy-Mississippi-Monroe-Obion-
Panola-Pemiscot-Phillips-Poinsett-Pontotoc-Prentiss-Quitman-
Randolph-Shelby-St. Francis-Tallahatchie-Tate-Tippah-Tipton-
Tishomingo-Tunica-Union-Weakley-Yalobusha-
816 PM CDT Sun Jul 23 2017

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of East Arkansas...
the Missouri Bootheel...North Mississippi...and West Tennessee.

.DAY ONE...Tonight

There is a marginal risk for severe thunderstorms across much of
the Mid-South tonight. Damaging winds will be the primary severe
weather threat with a secondary threat for heavy rainfall.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday

There is a marginal risk for severe thunderstorms across much of the
Mid South on Monday. Damaging winds will be the primary severe
weather threat with a secondary threat for heavy rainfall. Heat
indices at or above 105 degrees again by midweek.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated at this time.

$$

ZDM

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Nashville TN
721 PM CDT Sun Jul 23 2017

TNZ005>011-023>034-056>066-075-077>080-093>095-250030-
Stewart-Montgomery-Robertson-Sumner-Macon-Clay-Pickett-Houston-
Humphreys-Dickson-Cheatham-Davidson-Wilson-Trousdale-Smith-
Jackson-Putnam-Overton-Fentress-Perry-Hickman-Lewis-Williamson-
Maury-Marshall-Rutherford-Cannon-De Kalb-White-Cumberland-Bedford-
Coffee-Warren-Grundy-Van Buren-Wayne-Lawrence-Giles-
721 PM CDT Sun Jul 23 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of Middle
Tennessee.

.DAY ONE...Tonight

Scattered thunderstorms will continue this evening and tonight,
especially in areas east of Interstate 65. A few of those storms
could become strong to severe, with damaging winds, hail, and
heavy downpours.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday

Scattered thunderstorms will continue on Monday, as a weak cold
front sags slowly into the Mid State. A few storms could become
strong to severe, with damaging winds, hail, and heavy downpours.


.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Huntsville AL
700 PM CDT Sun Jul 23 2017

ALZ001>010-016-TNZ076-096-097-241100-
Lauderdale-Colbert-Franklin AL-Lawrence-Limestone-Madison-Morgan-
Marshall-Jackson-De Kalb-Cullman-Moore-Lincoln-Franklin TN-
700 PM CDT Sun Jul 23 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for north Alabama and portions of
southern middle Tennessee.

.DAY ONE...Tonight...

Scattered thunderstorms remain possible through the evening and
overnight hours, as a weak cold front approaches the outlook area
from the northwest. Brief heavy downpours, gusty winds to 40 MPH and
occasional cloud to ground lightning will be possible with the
stronger storms.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday...

Scattered thunderstorms are again expected on Monday, with a few of
these storms becoming strong in nature. Heavy rainfall and localized
flooding will be the main impacts with this activity, in addition to
gusty winds up to 50 mph and frequent lightning.

Isolated to scattered thunderstorms are then possible through the
remainder of the work week, of which a few could be strong in nature.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...

Activation of storm spotters and emergency management personnel is
not anticipated at this time.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service New Orleans LA
621 PM CDT Sun Jul 23 2017

GMZ530-532-534-536-538-550-552-555-557-570-572-575-577-LAZ034>037-
039-040-046>050-056>072-MSZ068>071-077-080>082-241130-
Lake Pontchartrain and Lake Maurepas-Mississippi Sound-
Lake Borgne-Chandeleur Sound-Breton Sound-
Coastal Waters from Port Fourchon LA to Lower Atchafalaya River
LA out 20 nm-
Coastal waters from the Southwest Pass of the Mississippi River
to Port Fourchon Louisiana out 20 NM-
Coastal Waters from Boothville LA to Southwest Pass of the
Mississippi River out 20 nm-
Coastal waters from Pascagoula Mississippi to Stake Island out
20 NM-
Coastal waters from Port Fourchon Louisiana to Lower Atchafalaya
River LA from 20 to 60 NM-
Coastal waters from Southwest Pass of the Mississippi River to
Port Fourchon Louisiana from 20 to 60 NM-
Coastal Waters from Stake Island LA to Southwest Pass of the
Mississippi River from 20 to 60 nm-
Coastal waters from Pascagoula Mississippi to Stake Island
Louisiana out 20 to 60 NM-Pointe Coupee-West Feliciana-
East Feliciana-St. Helena-Washington-St. Tammany-Iberville-
West Baton Rouge-East Baton Rouge-Ascension-Livingston-Assumption-
St. James-St. John The Baptist-Upper Lafourche-St. Charles-
Upper Jefferson-Orleans-Upper Plaquemines-Upper St. Bernard-
Upper Terrebonne-Lower Terrebonne-Lower Lafourche-Lower Jefferson-
Lower Plaquemines-Lower St. Bernard-Northern Tangipahoa-
Southern Tangipahoa-Wilkinson-Amite-Pike-Walthall-Pearl River-
Hancock-Harrison-Jackson-
621 PM CDT Sun Jul 23 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of Southeast
Louisiana...South Mississippi and the adjacent coastal waters.

.DAY ONE...Tonight

No hazardous weather is expected through this evening, however
there is a chance of thunderstorms redeveloping after midnight.
The main hazards from any thunderstorms will be occasional cloud
to ground lightning and brief heavy rainfall.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday

Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms, some with
locally heavy rainfall, are expected on Monday. There is a
continued chance of thunderstorms each day Tuesday through
Saturday. A few storms each day could become strong and produce
frequent lightning, gusty winds and locally heavy rainfall.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated.

$$

TD

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
1126 AM CDT Sun Jul 23 2017

ARZ050-051-059>061-OKZ077-TXZ096-241630-
Sevier-Howard-Little River-Hempstead-Nevada-McCurtain-Red River-
1126 AM CDT Sun Jul 23 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of southwest
Arkansas, southeast Oklahoma and northeast Texas.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight...

A heat advisory will remain in effect until 6 PM CDT for areas
along and North of I-30. The combination of the hot temperatures
and relative humidity producing maximum heat indices of 105 to 108
degrees. Precautions should be taken to prevent heat related
injuries if out and about during the day. Widely scattered
showers and thunderstorms over the area will be capable of
producing gusty winds to 30 MPH, deadly lightning and brief heavy
rainfall. An isolated storm may produce damaging winds as storms
develop on outflow boundaries from previous storms.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday...

The pattern aloft that has brought this recent chance for
rainfall will linger to some extent into the work week as another
upper disturbance over Northern Mississippi drifts our way in the
Tropical Easterlies for early in the work week. Rain chances will
start to taper off as the upper ridge returns, suppressing the
chance for rain in the Four State Area mid to late week with
daytime highs climbing back into the middle to upper nineties.
This will likely mean more heat advisories for the late week.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Activation of emergency management personnel, amateur radio
operators and storm spotters should not be needed through
tonight.

$$

19

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
1126 AM CDT Sun Jul 23 2017

ARZ070>073-LAZ001>006-010>014-017>022-TXZ097-108>112-124>126-
136>138-149>153-165>167-241630-
Miller-Lafayette-Columbia-Union-Caddo-Bossier-Webster-Claiborne-
Lincoln-De Soto-Red River-Bienville-Jackson-Ouachita-Sabine-
Natchitoches-Winn-Grant-Caldwell-La Salle-Bowie-Franklin-Titus-
Camp-Morris-Cass-Wood-Upshur-Marion-Smith-Gregg-Harrison-Cherokee-
Rusk-Panola-Nacogdoches-Shelby-Angelina-San Augustine-
1126 AM CDT Sun Jul 23 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of south central
Arkansas, southwest Arkansas, north central Louisiana, northwest
Louisiana, east Texas and northeast Texas.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight...

The upper low over the Gulf coast remains in play today with
another good sea breeze push inland. Scattered showers and
thunderstorms over much the area this afternoon will be capable
of producing gusty winds to 30 MPH, deadly lightning and brief
heavy rainfall. An isolated storm may produce damaging winds as
storms develop on outflow boundaries from previous storms.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday...

The pattern aloft that has brought this recent chance for
rainfall will linger to some extent into the work week as another
upper disturbance over Northern Mississippi drifts our way in the
Tropical Easterlies for early in the work week. Rain chances will
start to taper off as the upper ridge returns, suppressing the
chance for rain in the Four State Area mid to late week with
daytime highs climbing back into the middle to upper nineties.
This will likely mean more heat advisories for the late week.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Activation of emergency management personnel, amateur radio
operators and storm spotters will not be needed through tonight.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Lake Charles LA
448 AM CDT Sun Jul 23 2017

LAZ027>033-041>045-052>055-073-074-TXZ180-201-215-216-259>262-
241100-
Vernon-Rapides-Avoyelles-Beauregard-Allen-Evangeline-St. Landry-
Calcasieu-Jefferson Davis-Acadia-Lafayette-Upper St. Martin-
Vermilion-Iberia-St. Mary-Lower St. Martin-West Cameron-
East Cameron-Tyler-Hardin-Jefferson-Orange-Northern Jasper-
Northern Newton-Southern Jasper-Southern Newton-
448 AM CDT Sun Jul 23 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central
Louisiana, south central Louisiana, southwest Louisiana, west
central Louisiana, and southeast Texas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Scattered to numerous thunderstorms are expected today.
Torrential rainfall may accompany this storms which may produce
urban flooding. Gusty winds and frequent lightning may also occur.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday

Rain chances will decrease through early in the week, however
scattered to isolated storms will remain possible in the
afternoons.

With lower rain chances temperatures will increase. Apparent
temperatures will range in the 104 to 107 range during the
afternoons middle to late week.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

spotter activation is not anticipated.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
500 AM CDT Sun Jul 23 2017

ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-241000-
Boone-Marion-Baxter-Fulton-Sharp-Newton-Searcy-Stone-Izard-
Independence-Johnson-Pope-Van Buren-Cleburne-Jackson-Logan-Conway-
Faulkner-White-Woodruff-Scott-Yell-Perry-Polk-Montgomery-Garland-
Saline-Pulaski-Lonoke-Prairie-Monroe-Pike-Clark-Hot Spring-Grant-
Jefferson-Arkansas-Dallas-Cleveland-Lincoln-Desha-Ouachita-Calhoun-
Bradley-Drew-
500 AM CDT Sun Jul 23 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for a Large Part of Arkansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

A heat advisory continues for much of Arkansas through this evening
as the combination of high temperatures and humid conditions will
produce heat indices between 105 and 110 degrees. Please exercise
caution to minimize the affects of the heat and humidity and reduce
the possibility of heat related illness.

There is also a Marginal Risk of severe thunderstorms today and
tonight. Scattered thunderstorms will develop this afternoon and a
few of them could become severe with damaging winds and large hail
the main threats. The storms should be slow moving, so heavy
rainfall can be expected in a short period of time with some of
these storms.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday

After slightly cooler conditions on Monday courtesy of clouds and
precipitation chances, very warm and humid conditions will return to
the area. High temperatures are expected to climb well into the 90s
once again for Tuesday through Thursday with heat advisories
possible once again.

Rain chances do increase towards the end of the week with cooler
temperatures expected as a frontal system tries to move through the
area. While showers and thunderstorms will be possible, the overall
threat of hazardous weather is low.

.Spotter Information Statement...

Spotter activation is not anticipated at this time.

&&

Visit NWS Little Rock on the web. Go to http://weather.gov/lzk.
$$

51/56

U.S. Dept. of Commerce
NOAA National Weather Service
1325 East West Highway
Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: June 2, 2009
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