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Small Craft Advisory


URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
335 AM EST SUN DEC 21 2014

AMZ374-211645-
/O.CON.KCHS.SC.Y.0074.000000T0000Z-141221T2100Z/
WATERS FROM SAVANNAH GA TO ALTAMAHA SOUND GA EXTENDING FROM 20 TO
60 NM-
335 AM EST SUN DEC 21 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

* IMPACTS...WIND AND OR WAVE CONDITIONS WILL BE HAZARDOUS TO
  SMALL CRAFT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DURING A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...
ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID
NAVIGATING IN HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS.

&&

$$


Hazardous Weather Outlook


HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
502 AM EST SUN DEC 21 2014

FLZ043-050-052-056-057-061-139-142-148-149-151-155-160-162-165-
239-242-248-249-251-255-260-262-265-GMZ830-836-850-853-856-870-
873-876-221015-
SUMTER-PINELLAS-POLK-HARDEE-HIGHLANDS-DESOTO-COASTAL LEVY-
COASTAL CITRUS-COASTAL HERNANDO-COASTAL PASCO-
COASTAL HILLSBOROUGH-COASTAL MANATEE-COASTAL SARASOTA-
COASTAL CHARLOTTE-COASTAL LEE-INLAND LEVY-INLAND CITRUS-
INLAND HERNANDO-INLAND PASCO-INLAND HILLSBOROUGH-INLAND MANATEE-
INLAND SARASOTA-INLAND CHARLOTTE-INLAND LEE-TAMPA BAY WATERS-
CHARLOTTE HARBOR AND PINE ISLAND SOUND-
TARPON SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER OUT 20 NM-
ENGLEWOOD TO TARPON SPRINGS OUT 20 NM-
BONITA BEACH TO ENGLEWOOD OUT 20 NM-
TARPON SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER OUT 20 TO 60 NM-
ENGLEWOOD TO TARPON SPRINGS OUT 20 TO 60 NM-
BONITA BEACH TO ENGLEWOOD OUT 20 TO 60 NM-
502 AM EST SUN DEC 21 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST
FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

...THUNDERSTORM IMPACT...
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT...NORTH OF THE I-4
CORRIDOR. THE MAIN THREAT WILL LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS...ALTHOUGH
STRONG GUSTY WINDS AND DEADLY LIGHTNING STRIKES WILL BE POSSIBLE.

...FOG IMPACT...
PATCHY FOG WILL BEGIN TO FORM ON COASTAL WATERS NORTH OF TARPON
SPRINGS LATER TONIGHT. THIS MAY BECOME LOCALLY DENSE TOWARD
SUNRISE WITH VISIBILITIES PERHAPS DOWN TO ONE MILE OR LESS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

...THUNDERSTORM IMPACT...
A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH THEN PASS THROUGH THE AREA
TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
AHEAD OF AND ALONG THE FRONT. SOME OF THE STORMS COULD BECOME
STRONG TO SEVERE. CONDITIONS WILL BE MONITORED OVER THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS TO DETERMINE TO WHAT EXTANT A SEVERE WEATHER
THREAT WILL EXIST.

...DENSE SEA FOG IMPACT...
SEA FOG OFF THE NATURE COAST MONDAY MORNING IS EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE AND SPREAD SOUTHWARD OVER THE COASTAL WATERS...REACHING
AS FAR SOUTH AS BONITA BEACH. THIS FOG MAY BECOME DENSE AT TIMES
WITH VISIBILITIES PERHAPS DOWN TO ONE MILE OR LESS.

...RIP CURRENT IMPACT...
STRONG ONSHORE WINDS BEGIN LATE TUESDAY NIGHT AND CONTINUE THROUGH
WEDNESDAY NIGHT WITH BUILDING SURF AND AN ELEVATED RISK OF STRONG
RIP CURRENTS ALONG AREA BEACHES. THE SURF AND RIP CURRENT THREAT
SHOULD SLOWLY SUBSIDE THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND THURSDAY NIGHT.

...MARINE IMPACTS...
ELEVATED WINDS AND SEAS BEGIN TUESDAY AHEAD OF A STRONG COLD
FRONT AND ARE FORECAST TO REACH EXERCISE CAUTION TO ADVISORY
LEVELS LATE TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY. WINDS AND SEAS WILL
SLOWLY SUBSIDE THURSDAY .

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY.

$$

RUDE

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
500 AM EST SUN DEC 21 2014

AMZ550-552-555-570-572-575-FLZ041-044>047-053-054-058-059-064-141-
144-147-212200-
COASTAL WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE
OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN
INLET OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE 20 TO
60 NM OFFSHORE-
WATERS FROM VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET 20 TO
60 NM OFFSHORE-
WATERS FROM SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET 20 TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
INLAND VOLUSIA-NORTHERN LAKE-ORANGE-SEMINOLE-SOUTHERN BREVARD-
OSCEOLA-INDIAN RIVER-OKEECHOBEE-ST. LUCIE-MARTIN-COASTAL VOLUSIA-
SOUTHERN LAKE-NORTHERN BREVARD-
500 AM EST SUN DEC 21 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

.THUNDERSTORM IMPACT...
A WEAK STATIONARY FRONT OVER NORTH FLORIDA WILL ALLOW SCATTERED
SHOWERS TO DEVELOP ACROSS EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA TODAY. THESE
SHOWERS WILL BECOME NUMEROUS TO WIDESPREAD AFTER SUNSET FROM CAPE
CANAVERAL AND LAKE KISSIMMEE NORTHWARD...WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH DAYBREAK. THE PRIMARY THREAT FROM THESE
STORMS WILL BE DEADLY CLOUD-TO-GROUND LIGHTNING. REMEMBER...
LIGHTNING MAKES EVERY THUNDERSTORM A POTENTIAL KILLER. WHEN
THUNDER ROARS...GO INDOORS.

.RIP CURRENT IMPACT...
A SMALL BUT LONG PERIOD SWELL WILL IMPACT THE EAST FLORIDA COAST
TODAY AND GENERATE A MODERATE RIP CURRENT THREAT ALONG AREA
BEACHES. THE THREAT WILL BE HIGHEST BETWEEN 10:00 AM AND 4:30 PM
DUE TO TIDAL EFFECTS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.
THERE WILL BE A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR LIGHTNING STORMS THROUGH MIDWEEK
AS A STATIONARY FRONT MEANDERS ACROSS THE STATE BEFORE A STRONGER
COLD FRONT SWEEPS THROUGH THE STATE BY DAYBREAK THURSDAY. AHEAD
OF THE FRONT...WINDS AND SEAS ARE FORECAST TO FRESHEN OUT OF THE
SOUTH TUESDAY NIGHT BEFORE VEERING TO THE SOUTHWEST ON
WEDNESDAY...THEN TO THE NORTHWEST ON THURSDAY. THESE OFFSHORE
WINDS WILL GENERATE HAZARDOUS...SHORT PERIOD SEAS BETWEEN 3 AND 4
FEET NEARSHORE AND UP TO 7 FEET OFFSHORE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY.

$$

BRAGAW

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
435 AM EST SUN DEC 21 2014

AMZ450-452-454-470-472-474-FLZ020>025-030>033-035>038-040-GAZ132>136-
149>154-162>166-220945-
ALTAMAHA SOUND GA TO FERNANDINA BEACH FL OUT 20 NM-
FERNANDINA BEACH TO ST AUGUSTINE FL OUT 20 NM-
ST AUGUSTINE TO FLAGLER BEACH FL OUT 20 NM-
ALTAMAHA SOUND GA TO FERNANDINA BEACH FL 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
FERNANDINA BEACH TO ST AUGUSTINE FL 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
ST AUGUSTINE TO FLAGLER BEACH FL 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-HAMILTON-
SUWANNEE-COLUMBIA-BAKER-NASSAU-DUVAL-UNION-BRADFORD-CLAY-ST JOHNS-
GILCHRIST-ALACHUA-PUTNAM-FLAGLER-MARION-COFFEE-JEFF DAVIS-BACON-
APPLING-WAYNE-ATKINSON-WARE-PIERCE-BRANTLEY-INLAND GLYNN-
COASTAL GLYNN-ECHOLS-CLINCH-CHARLTON-INLAND CAMDEN-COASTAL CAMDEN-
435 AM EST SUN DEC 21 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE COASTAL WATERS...NORTHEAST
FLORIDA AND
SOUTHEAST GEORGIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

A MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS IS EXPECTED WITH ELEVATED NE FLOW.

SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION TODAY FOR THE NEAR AND OFFSHORE
COASTAL ZONES NORTH OF ST. AUGUSTINE.

MODERATE TO LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE TONIGHT ALONG
WITH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS AS FRONTAL BOUNDARY BECOMES STATIONARY OVER THE
AREA THROUGH MID WEEK.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY
WITH ISOLATED STRONG STORMS POSSIBLE.

SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE BEGINNING MID
WEEK AS COLD FRONT APPROACHES AND PASSES THROUGH THE AREA.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
JACKSONVILLE WEBSITE ON THE INTERNET AT WEATHER.GOV/JAX.

$$


Hydrologic Outlook


HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK
ALZ065>069-FLZ007>019-026>029-034-108-112-114-115-118-127-128-134-
GAZ120>131-142>148-155>161-212130-

HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
430 AM EST SUN DEC 21 2014 /330 AM CST SUN DEC 21 2014/

...HEAVY RAINFALL EXPECTED TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY WITH AN
INCREASING POTENTIAL FOR AREAL AND RIVER FLOODING...

THE COMBINATION OF A VERY MOIST AIRMASS LIFTING NORTHWARD ACROSS
THE REGION INTERACTING WITH A STRONG WINTER TIME STORM MOVING INTO
THE MID SOUTH WILL CREATE WIDESPREAD MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINFALL
ACROSS THE TRI-STATE AREA ON TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY.

WHILE THERE IS STILL SOME UNCERTAINTY WITH RESPECT TO THE EXACT
PLACEMENT OF HEAVIEST RAINFALL WITH THE STORM SYSTEM ON TUESDAY AND
WEDNESDAY...CONFIDENCE IS INCREASING IN A PERIOD OF SIGNIFICANT
RAINFALL OCCURRING ACROSS THE REGION DURING THIS TIME FRAME. STORM
TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES WITH ISOLATED HEAVIER
AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS SYSTEM.

RAINFALL TOTALS OF THIS MAGNITUDE WILL INCREASE THE POTENTIAL FOR
LOCALIZED FLOODING ACROSS THE REGION...PARTICULARLY DURING THE
TIME OF HEAVIEST RAINFALL ON TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY
MORNING.

WITH AREA RIVERS AND ASSOCIATED TRIBUTARIES AT OR BELOW NORMAL FLOWS
FOR DECEMBER...THE CURRENTLY PREDICTED RAINFALL AMOUNTS ARE
GENERALLY EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ONLY RISES TO ACTION STAGE AT MOST
OF THE RIVER FORECAST POINTS. THE NOTABLE EXCEPTIONS TO THIS WILL
BE WITHIN THE OCHLOCKONEE AND WITHLACOOCHEE RIVER BASINS WHERE
THERE IS AN INCREASED POTENTIAL TO REACH MINOR FLOOD STAGE LATER
THIS WEEK. SHOULD MORE RAIN OCCUR THAN CURRENTLY FORECAST...THE
CORRESPONDING RIVER FLOOD RISK WOULD INCREASE AND INCLUDE
ADDITIONAL RIVER BASINS REACHING AT LEAST MINOR FLOOD STAGE.

FOR THE LATEST RIVER STAGE INFORMATION...VISIT OUR AHPS PAGE AT
THE FOLLOWING LINK (ALL LOWERCASE):

HTTP://WATER.WEATHER.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=TAE

$$

GODSEY


Short Term Forecast


SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
616 AM EST SUN DEC 21 2014

AMZ550-552-555-570-572-575-FLZ041-044>047-053-054-058-059-064-141-
144-147-211500-
COASTAL VOLUSIA-FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA-
BREVARD COUNTY LINE 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA-
BREVARD COUNTY LINE OUT TO 20 NM-INDIAN RIVER-INLAND VOLUSIA-MARTIN-
NORTHERN BREVARD-NORTHERN LAKE-OKEECHOBEE-ORANGE-OSCEOLA-
SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET OUT TO 20 NM-SEMINOLE-
SOUTHERN BREVARD-SOUTHERN LAKE-ST. LUCIE-VOLUSIA-
BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
VOLUSIA-BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET OUT TO 20 NM-
616 AM EST SUN DEC 21 2014

.NOW...
A FEW PATCHES OF GROUND FOG IN THE PRE-DAWN HOURS WILL DISSIPATE
SHORTLY AFTER SUNRISE.

THE DRY AIR MASS THAT WAS BEEN OVER THE AREA IN RECENT DAYS CONTINUES
TO MOISTEN THIS MORNING.  THIS IS BECOMING MORE EVIDENT AS
CONSIDERABLE CLOUDINESS WAS OVERSPREADING THE AREA. THERE WERE STILL
SOME DRY LAYERS ALOFT...SO ANY RAINFALL THAT FALLS OUT OF THE CLOUDS
THROUGH MIDDAY WILL BE LIGHT AND NEAR A WEAK...STATIONARY FRONTAL
BOUNDARY SITUATED WEST TO EAST ACROSS THE PENINSULA NEAR THE OCALA
NATIONAL FOREST.

&&

ADDITIONAL DETAILS...INCLUDING GRAPHICS ARE AVAILABLE ONLINE AT:
HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/MLB/BLOG.PHP

$$
RL

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E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: June 2, 2009
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