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HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
1050 AM EDT FRI SEP 30 2016

AMZ550-552-555-570-572-575-FLZ041-044>047-053-054-058-059-064-141-
144-147-302300-
FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA-BREVARD COUNTY LINE 0-20 NM-VOLUSIA-
BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET 0-20 NM-
SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET 0-20 NM-FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA-
BREVARD COUNTY LINE 20-60 NM-VOLUSIA-
BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET 20-60 NM-
SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET 20-60 NM-INLAND VOLUSIA COUNTY-
NORTHERN LAKE COUNTY-ORANGE-SEMINOLE-SOUTHERN BREVARD COUNTY-
OSCEOLA-INDIAN RIVER-OKEECHOBEE-ST. LUCIE-MARTIN-
COASTAL VOLUSIA COUNTY-SOUTHERN LAKE COUNTY-
NORTHERN BREVARD COUNTY-
1050 AM EDT FRI SEP 30 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

.THUNDERSTORM IMPACT...
A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY IS FORECAST TO STALL ACROSS NORTH FLORIDA
TODAY. A MOIST SOUTHWEST FLOW AHEAD OF THIS FRONT WILL TRANSPORT
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS FROM THE INTERIOR, ACROSS THE EAST
COAST AND OFFSHORE INTO THE ATLANTIC. THE EAST COAST SEA BREEZE IS
EXPECTED TO DEVELOP EARLIER TODAY AND PUSH FARTHER INLAND,
PROVIDING A FOCUS AND A BOOST FOR STORMS. INSTABILITY ALOFT WILL
PRODUCE SOME STRONG STORMS ESPECIALLY AS A RESULT OF BOUNDARY
COLLISIONS. THE PRIMARY THREAT FROM STORMS WILL BE FREQUENT CLOUD TO
GROUND LIGHTNING. AN ISOLATED SEVERE STORM OR TWO PRODUCING DAMAGING
WINDS NEAR 60 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE. A BRIEF ISOLATED TORNADO CANNOT
BE RULED OUT LATE IN THE DAY NEAR THE EAST COAST FROM INSTABILITY
AND STRONG BOUNDARY INTERACTIONS.

.RIP CURRENT IMPACT...
A LINGERING EAST SWELL WILL CONTRIBUTE TO A MODERATE RISK OF RIP
CURRENTS AT EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA BEACHES TODAY. CHECK WITH
LIFEGUARDS ABOUT LOCAL CONDITIONS BEFORE ENTERING THE SURF AND
DO NOT SWIM ALONE.

.MARINE THUNDERSTORM GUST IMPACT...
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP AND MOVE EASTWARD, IN FROM THE
GULF COAST AND INTERIOR SECTIONS, CROSSING THE INTRACOASTAL WATERS
AND ONTO THE ATLANTIC LATER IN THE DAY. STORMS WILL HAVE THE
POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE WIND GUSTS OF 35 TO 45 KNOTS AND FREQUENT
LIGHTNING STRIKES.

.WATERSPOUT IMPACT...
MARINE INTERESTS SHOULD ALSO BE ALERT FOR THE POTENTIAL OF
WATERSPOUTS LATE TODAY AND EARLY THIS EVENING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.
SCATTERED AFTERNOON AND EVENING THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS
THE REGION THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. A FEW STRONGER STORMS WILL BE
POSSIBLE EACH DAY. AN EAST SWELL IS FORECAST INTO THE UPCOMING
WEEKEND WHICH WILL KEEP THE RIP CURRENT RISK MODERATE.

HURRICANE MATTHEW IS CURRENTLY LOCATED IN THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN
AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE GENERALLY WESTWARD THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING
THEN TURN NORTHWARD TOWARD EASTERN CUBA. MODEL GUIDANCE SUGGESTS THE
HURRICANE WILL LIFT NORTH ACROSS THE BAHAMAS SOMETIME NEXT WEEK. AT
A MINIMUM, THIS WOULD RESULT IN BREEZY CONDITIONS ESPECIALLY AT THE
COAST WITH BUILDING SEAS, SURF AND DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS AT THE
BEACHES. BEYOND THAT, IT IS TOO EARLY TO SPECULATE ON SPECIFIC
IMPACTS TO EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA OR THEIR TIMING. CLIMATOLOGICALLY,
WE REMAIN IN THE HEART OF THE ATLANTIC HURRICANE SEASON.

RESIDENTS AND VISITORS TO EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA ARE ENCOURAGED
TO MONITOR THE LATEST TRACK AND INTENSITY FORECASTS ON HURRICANE
MATTHEW FROM THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTERS ARE REQUESTED TO MONITOR THE WEATHER AND SELF ACTIVATE
IF NEEDED.

$$

KELLY

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
545 AM EDT FRI SEP 30 2016

FLZ043-050-052-056-057-061-139-142-148-149-151-155-160-162-165-
239-242-248-249-251-255-260-262-265-GMZ830-836-850-853-856-870-
873-876-010030-
SUMTER-PINELLAS-POLK-HARDEE-HIGHLANDS-DESOTO-COASTAL LEVY-
COASTAL CITRUS-COASTAL HERNANDO-COASTAL PASCO-
COASTAL HILLSBOROUGH-COASTAL MANATEE-COASTAL SARASOTA-
COASTAL CHARLOTTE-COASTAL LEE-INLAND LEVY-INLAND CITRUS-
INLAND HERNANDO-INLAND PASCO-INLAND HILLSBOROUGH-INLAND MANATEE-
INLAND SARASOTA-INLAND CHARLOTTE-INLAND LEE-TAMPA BAY WATERS-
CHARLOTTE HARBOR AND PINE ISLAND SOUND-
COASTAL WATERS FROM TARPON SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER FL OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM ENGLEWOOD TO TARPON SPRINGS FL OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM BONITA BEACH TO ENGLEWOOD FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM TARPON SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER FL OUT 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM ENGLEWOOD TO TARPON SPRINGS FL OUT 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM BONITA BEACH TO ENGLEWOOD FL OUT 20 TO 60 NM-
545 AM EDT FRI SEP 30 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST
FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

...THUNDERSTORM IMPACT...
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TODAY...BUT MAINLY FROM THE
TAMPA BAY AREA SOUTH AND EAST. ACROSS MUCH OF THE NATURE COAST
SOME DRIER AIR WILL BE MOVING IN FROM THE NORTHWEST DURING THE DAY
AND THIS WILL LIMIT THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE. STORMS THAT DO DEVELOP
WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING STRONG GUSTY WINDS...LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL...AND FREQUENT DEADLY LIGHTNING STRIKES.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

...THUNDERSTORM IMPACT...
SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED EACH AFTERNOON
AND EVENING OVER THE WEEKEND AND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. DURING THE
MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK SOME DRIER AIR COULD MOVE SOUTH INTO THE
REGION LOWERING RAIN CHANCES. THUNDERSTORMS THAT DO DEVELOP WILL
BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING STRONG GUSTY WINDS...LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINS...AND FREQUENT DEADLY LIGHTNING STRIKES.


.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY.

$$

PRC

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NOAA National Weather Service
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Silver Spring, MD 20910
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Page last modified: June 2, 2009
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