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Hazardous Weather Outlook


HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL
926 AM EDT SAT AUG 27 2016

UPDATED TO INCLUDE MODERATE RISK FOR WATERSPOUTS TODAY

FLZ076>078-GMZ031>035-042>044-052>055-072>075-281100-
MONROE UPPER KEYS-MONROE MIDDLE KEYS-MONROE LOWER KEYS-
FLORIDA BAY INCLUDING BARNES SOUND, BLACKWATER SOUND, AND
BUTTONWOOD SOUND-
BAYSIDE AND GULF SIDE FROM CRAIG KEY TO WEST END OF SEVEN MILE
BRIDGE-
GULF WATERS FROM EAST CAPE SABLE TO CHOKOLOSKEE 20 TO 60 NM OUT
AND BEYOND 5 FATHOMS-
GULF OF MEXICO INCLUDING DRY TORTUGAS AND REBECCA SHOAL CHANNEL-
GULF OF MEXICO FROM WEST END OF SEVEN MILE BRIDGE TO HALFMOON
SHOAL OUT TO 5 FATHOMS-
HAWK CHANNEL FROM OCEAN REEF TO CRAIG KEY OUT TO THE REEF-
HAWK CHANNEL FROM CRAIG KEY TO WEST END OF SEVEN MILE BRIDGE OUT
TO THE REEF-
HAWK CHANNEL FROM WEST END OF SEVEN MILE BRIDGE TO HALFMOON SHOAL
OUT TO THE REEF-
STRAITS OF FLORIDA FROM OCEAN REEF TO CRAIG KEY OUT 20 NM-
STRAITS OF FLORIDA FROM CRAIG KEY TO WEST END OF SEVEN MILE
BRIDGE OUT 20 NM-
STRAITS OF FLORIDA FROM WEST END OF SEVEN MILE BRIDGE TO SOUTH OF
HALFMOON SHOAL OUT 20 NM-
STRAITS OF FLORIDA FROM HALFMOON SHOAL TO 20 NM WEST OF DRY
TORTUGAS OUT 20 NM-
STRAITS OF FLORIDA FROM OCEAN REEF TO CRAIG KEY 20 TO 60 NM OUT-
STRAITS OF FLORIDA FROM CRAIG KEY TO WEST END OF SEVEN MILE
BRIDGE 20 TO 60 NM OUT-
STRAITS OF FLORIDA FROM WEST END OF SEVEN MILE BRIDGE TO SOUTH OF
HALFMOON SHOAL 20 TO 60 NM OUT-
STRAITS OF FLORIDA FROM HALFMOON SHOAL TO 20 NM WEST OF DRY
TORTUGAS 20 TO 60 NM OUT-
926 AM EDT SAT AUG 27 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS AND
ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THERE IS A MODERATE RISK FOR WATERSPOUTS TODAY FOR THE COASTAL WATERS
ADJACENT TO THE ISLAND CHAIN. WATERSPOUTS HAVE ALREADY BEEN
REPORTED...AND CONDITIONS REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR ADDITIONAL WATERSPOUTS
THROUGHOUT THE DAY. WATERSPOUTS TEND TO FORM BENEATH DARK FLAT BASES
WITHIN LINES OF BUILDING CUMULUS CLOUDS. WATERSPOUTS CAN EASILY FLIP
SMALL CRAFT AND SHOULD BE AVOIDED AT ALL TIMES.

ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT THE FLORIDA KEYS AND SURROUNDING
COASTAL WATERS TODAY AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. THE PRIMARY THUNDERSTORM
HAZARD WILL BE LIGHTNING STRIKES.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT THE FLORIDA KEYS AND SURROUNDING
COASTAL WATERS SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH
THURSDAY. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED SUNDAY NIGHT AND
MONDAY. THE PRIMARY THUNDERSTORM HAZARD WILL BE CLOUD TO SURFACE
LIGHTNING STRIKES.

LOW PRESSURE NEAR THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS IS EXPECTED TO MOVE WESTWARD
THROUGH THE WEEKEND. CONDITIONS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BE CONDUCIVE FOR
DEVELOPMENT BEFORE IT REACHES THE FLORIDA KEYS BETWEEN SUNDAY AND
MONDAY. RESIDENTS AND VISITORS SHOULD CONTINUE TO CLOSELY MONITOR THE
FORECAST. REGARDLESS OF DEVELOPMENT...HEAVY RAINS AND GUSTY WINDS
ARE POSSIBLE AT TIMES FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

$$

CLR

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
408 AM EDT SAT AUG 27 2016

FLZ043-050-052-056-057-061-139-142-148-149-151-155-160-162-165-
239-242-248-249-251-255-260-262-265-GMZ830-836-850-853-856-870-
873-876-271515-
SUMTER-PINELLAS-POLK-HARDEE-HIGHLANDS-DESOTO-COASTAL LEVY-
COASTAL CITRUS-COASTAL HERNANDO-COASTAL PASCO-
COASTAL HILLSBOROUGH-COASTAL MANATEE-COASTAL SARASOTA-
COASTAL CHARLOTTE-COASTAL LEE-INLAND LEVY-INLAND CITRUS-
INLAND HERNANDO-INLAND PASCO-INLAND HILLSBOROUGH-INLAND MANATEE-
INLAND SARASOTA-INLAND CHARLOTTE-INLAND LEE-TAMPA BAY WATERS-
CHARLOTTE HARBOR AND PINE ISLAND SOUND-
COASTAL WATERS FROM TARPON SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER FL OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM ENGLEWOOD TO TARPON SPRINGS FL OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM BONITA BEACH TO ENGLEWOOD FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM TARPON SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER FL OUT 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM ENGLEWOOD TO TARPON SPRINGS FL OUT 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM BONITA BEACH TO ENGLEWOOD FL OUT 20 TO 60 NM-
408 AM EDT SAT AUG 27 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST
FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

...THUNDERSTORM IMPACT...
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL FORM LATER THIS MORNING ACROSS INLAND
AREAS AND MOVE WESTWARD DURING THE AFTERNOON...INCREASING TO
NUMEROUS COVERAGE NEAR THE COAST. THESE SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL
WIND DOWN AS THEY SLIDE OFFSHORE IN THE EVENING. HEAVY RAIN...
GUSTY WINDS...AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING WILL ACCOMPANY ANY STRONGER
STORMS THAT OCCUR.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

...TROPICAL IMPACT...
A AREA OF LOW PRESSURE NEAR THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS THIS MORNING WILL
MOVE THROUGH THE FLORIDA STRAITS DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS
THEN INTO THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO EARLY NEXT WEEK. THE MODELS
HAVE A LARGE SPREAD IN THE TRACK AND STRENGTH OF THIS LOW BUT THE
GENERAL TREND IS FOR DEEP TROPICAL MOISTURE TO SPREAD ACROSS THE
AREA AND CONTINUE FOR MUCH OF THE WEEK. THIS WILL PRODUCE SCATTERED
TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WITH
THE GREATEST THREAT HEAVY RAINFALL AND LOCALIZED FLOODING. AS THE
LOW MOVES ACROSS THE GULF WINDS MAY INCREASE TO 20 KNOTS WITH SEAS
UP TO 5 FEET...BUT WITH LOCALLY HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS NEAR
THUNDERSTORMS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY.

$$

RUDE

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR SOUTH FLORIDA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
359 AM EDT SAT AUG 27 2016

AMZ610-630-650-651-670-671-FLZ063-066>075-168-172>174-GMZ656-657-676-
280000-
LAKE OKEECHOBEE-BISCAYNE BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM JUPITER INLET TO DEERFIELD BEACH FL OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM DEERFIELD BEACH TO OCEAN REEF FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM JUPITER INLET TO DEERFIELD BEACH FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM DEERFIELD BEACH TO OCEAN REEF FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM
EXCLUDING THE TERRITORIAL WATERS OF BAHAMAS-GLADES-HENDRY-
INLAND PALM BEACH-METRO PALM BEACH-COASTAL COLLIER-INLAND COLLIER-
INLAND BROWARD-METRO BROWARD-INLAND MIAMI-DADE-METRO MIAMI-DADE-
MAINLAND MONROE-COASTAL PALM BEACH-COASTAL BROWARD-COASTAL MIAMI-
DADE-FAR SOUTH MIAMI-DADE-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CHOKOLOSKEE TO BONITA BEACH FL OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM EAST CAPE SABLE TO CHOKOLOSKEE FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM CHOKOLOSKEE TO BONITA BEACH FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
359 AM EDT SAT AUG 27 2016

...MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS EAST COAST BEACHES...
...SCATTERED STORMS POSSIBLE TODAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

RIP CURRENTS: THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS FOR THE
EAST COAST BEACHES OF SOUTH FLORIDA TODAY.

THUNDERSTORMS: THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE TODAY, ESPECIALLY OVER
THE INTERIOR AND GULF COAST. THE PRIMARY HAZARDS ARE LIGHTING AND
URBAN STREET FLOODING.

FLOODING: URBAN AND SECONDARY STREET FLOODING IS POSSIBLE TODAY,
MAINLY IN THE GULF COAST METRO AREAS, ALTHOUGH THE EAST COAST
METRO AREAS OF SOUTH FLORIDA MAY HAVE SOME LOCALIZED STREET
FLOODING AS WELL.

TEMPERATURES: THE HEAT INDEX WILL GET UP INTO THE 100 TO 105
DEGREES RANGE ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA TODAY.


.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS MONITORING A TROPICAL WAVE NEAR
EASTERN CUBA THAT IS EXPECTED TO TRACK WEST OR WEST-NORTHWEST
THROUGH THE FLORIDA STRAITS THIS WEEKEND AND INTO THE SOUTHEASTERN
GULF OF MEXICO EARLY NEXT WEEK. THERE IS A LOW CHANCE OF THIS
SYSTEM HAVING TROPICAL DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
HOWEVER, RESIDENTS AND VISITORS SHOULD CONTINUE TO CLOSELY MONITOR
THE FORECAST OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. STAY INFORMED WITH THE LATEST
PRODUCTS FROM THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AND THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE IN MIAMI.

REGARDLESS OF THE POTENTIAL TROPICAL SYSTEM, THUNDERSTORMS ARE
LIKELY INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. THERE IS A THREAT OF HEAVY RAINFALL
CAUSING FLOODING, PARTICULARLY SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY. THE RISK
OF RIP CURRENTS IS FORECAST TO INCREASE TO HIGH SUNDAY THROUGH EARLY
NEXT WEEK.


.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

FOR MORE INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
MIAMI WEBSITE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MIAMI.

$$

BAXTER


Short Term Forecast


SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL
1003 AM EDT SAT AUG 27 2016

FLZ076>078-GMZ031>035-042>044-052>055-072>075-271515-
MONROE UPPER KEYS-MONROE MIDDLE KEYS-MONROE LOWER KEYS-
FLORIDA BAY INCLUDING BARNES SOUND, BLACKWATER SOUND, AND BUTTONWOOD
SOUND-
BAYSIDE AND GULF SIDE FROM CRAIG KEY TO WEST END OF SEVEN MILE
BRIDGE-
GULF WATERS FROM EAST CAPE SABLE TO CHOKOLOSKEE 20 TO 60 NM OUT AND
BEYOND 5 FATHOMS-
GULF OF MEXICO INCLUDING DRY TORTUGAS AND REBECCA SHOAL CHANNEL-
GULF OF MEXICO FROM WEST END OF SEVEN MILE BRIDGE TO HALFMOON SHOAL
OUT TO 5 FATHOMS-
HAWK CHANNEL FROM OCEAN REEF TO CRAIG KEY OUT TO THE REEF-
HAWK CHANNEL FROM CRAIG KEY TO WEST END OF SEVEN MILE BRIDGE OUT TO
THE REEF-
HAWK CHANNEL FROM WEST END OF SEVEN MILE BRIDGE TO HALFMOON SHOAL
OUT TO THE REEF-
STRAITS OF FLORIDA FROM OCEAN REEF TO CRAIG KEY OUT 20 NM-
STRAITS OF FLORIDA FROM CRAIG KEY TO WEST END OF SEVEN MILE BRIDGE
OUT 20 NM-
STRAITS OF FLORIDA FROM WEST END OF SEVEN MILE BRIDGE TO SOUTH OF
HALFMOON SHOAL OUT 20 NM-
STRAITS OF FLORIDA FROM HALFMOON SHOAL TO 20 NM WEST OF DRY TORTUGAS
OUT 20 NM-
STRAITS OF FLORIDA FROM OCEAN REEF TO CRAIG KEY 20 TO 60 NM OUT-
STRAITS OF FLORIDA FROM CRAIG KEY TO WEST END OF SEVEN MILE BRIDGE
20 TO 60 NM OUT-
STRAITS OF FLORIDA FROM WEST END OF SEVEN MILE BRIDGE TO SOUTH OF
HALFMOON SHOAL 20 TO 60 NM OUT-
STRAITS OF FLORIDA FROM HALFMOON SHOAL TO 20 NM WEST OF DRY TORTUGAS
20 TO 60 NM OUT-
INCLUDING THE COMMUNITIES OF...KEY LARGO...MARATHON...KEY WEST
1003 AM EDT SAT AUG 27 2016

.NOW...
THROUGH 1115 AM...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE
WEST SOUTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH ACROSS A GOOD PORTION OF THE ENTIRE KEYS
ISLAND CHAIN AS WELL AS THE ADJOINING SURROUNDING WATERS INCLUDING
FLORIDA BAY...HAWK CHANNEL...AND THE ATLANTIC WATERS OUT 50 NM FROM
THE FLORIDA REEF. MARINERS IN HAWK CHANNEL ADJOINING THE LOWER KEYS
SHOULD CONTINUE TO BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR WATERSPOUTS...WHICH TEND TO
DEVELOP ALONG THE EDGE OF LONG DARK FLAT CLOUD BASES. MARINERS AND
MOTORISTS IN THE PATH OF THE STRONGER SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL
ENCOUNTER BRIEF MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINFALL ACCOMPANIED BY VISIBILITY
BREIFLY BELOW 2 MILES...WIND GUSTS BETWEEN 25 AND 30 MPH...AND
OCCASIONAL LIGHTNING STRIKES.

$$

FUTTERMAN

U.S. Dept. of Commerce
NOAA National Weather Service
1325 East West Highway
Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: June 2, 2009
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE: for Safety, for Work, for Fun - FOR LIFE