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Flood Warning


FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
936 PM CDT MON MAY 20 2013

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN
ARKANSAS...LOUISIANA...MISSISSIPPI..

  MISSISSIPPI RIVER NEAR GREENVILLE AFFECTING CHICOT...EAST
  CARROLL...ISSAQUENA AND WASHINGTON COUNTIES

  MISSISSIPPI RIVER AT VICKSBURG AFFECTING MADISON...TENSAS...
  CLAIBORNE...JEFFERSON AND WARREN COUNTIES/PARISHES

  MISSISSIPPI RIVER AT NATCHEZ AFFECTING CONCORDIA...ADAMS AND
  WILKINSON COUNTIES/PARISHES

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE OR WALK THROUGH AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS ROADWAYS! THE
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS. PLEASE USE EXTREME CAUTION IF
VENTURING NEAR RIVERBANKS. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY SHOULD
RISING WATER THREATEN YOUR SAFETY. REMEMBER...TURN AROUND, DON`T
DROWN!

THE FORECASTS ARE BASED ON RAINFALL THAT HAS OCCURRED AND THAT WHICH
IS FORECAST TO OCCUR OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS FOR ALL SITES BUT TIBBEE
CREEK...LUXAPALLILA CREEK...NOXUBEE RIVER...AND THE TOMBIGEE RIVER
WHERE 48 HOURS OF FORECAST RAINFALL ARE ROUTINELY USED.

THE NEXT REGULARLY SCHEDULED UPDATE IS EXPECTED BETWEEN 8 AND 10 AM.

&&

LAC029-MSC001-157-220836-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0089.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/NTZM6.1.ER.130506T1830Z.130521T0100Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
936 PM CDT MON MAY 20 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER AT NATCHEZ
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 8:00 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 50.4 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 48.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL REMAIN STEADY OVER THE NEXT COUPLE DAYS
  THEN SLOWLY FALL OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.
* IMPACT...AT 48.0 FEET...CARTHAGE POINT ROAD BECOMES IMPASSABLE.

&&

              FLOOD    OBSERVED        FORECAST 6AM       CREST
LOCATION      STG   STG DAY  TIME   TUE   WED   THU CREST TIME  DATE

LOWER MISSISSIPPI RIVER
NATCHEZ        48  50.4 MON 08 PM  50.4  50.4  50.3    NEAR CREST

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS BATON ROUGE LA
835 PM CDT MON MAY 20 2013

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN
LOUISIANA...

  MISSISSIPPI RIVER AT RED RIVER LANDING AFFECTING EAST BATON
  ROUGE...POINTE COUPEE AND WEST FELICIANA PARISHES

  MISSISSIPPI RIVER AT BATON ROUGE AFFECTING EAST BATON ROUGE AND
  WEST BATON ROUGE PARISHES

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FORECAST CRESTS ARE BASED UPON RAINFALL THAT HAS OCCURRED ALONG WITH
ANTICIPATED RAIN FOR THE NEXT 12 HOURS. ADJUSTMENTS TO THE FORECASTS
WILL BE MADE IF ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL OCCURS.

DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  REMEMBER...TWO FEET OF
RUSHING WATER CAN CARRY AWAY MOST VEHICLES INCLUDING PICKUPS.  TURN
AROUND AND DON`T DROWN.

A FOLLOWUP PRODUCT WILL BE ISSUED LATER. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER
RADIO...LOCAL TV AND RADIO STATIONS...OR YOUR CABLE PROVIDER...FOR
THE LATEST INFORMATION.  THE LATEST GRAPHICAL HYDROLOGIC INFORMATION
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WEATHER.GOV.

&&

LAC033-077-125-220735-
/O.CON.KLIX.FL.W.0094.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/RRLL1.1.ER.130502T0035Z.130521T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
835 PM CDT MON MAY 20 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER AT RED RIVER LANDING.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT  7:00 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 52.5 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 48.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS CRESTING NOW AND WILL BEGIN TO SLOWLY FALL ON
  FRIDAY.
* IMPACT...AT 51.0 FEET...ALL RIVER ISLANDS ALONG THE REACH FROM RED
  RIVER LANDING TO BATON ROUGE WILL BE INUNDATED. RECREATIONAL CAMPS
  AND RIVER BOTTOM FARM LAND WILL BE UNDER WATER.
* IMPACT...AT 48.0 FEET...ACCESS ROADS WILL BE INUNDATED AND
  EVACUATION OF ALL RIVER ISLANDS MUST BE COMPLETE. PROTECTION OF
  PEOPLE AND PROPERTY IN THE RIVER BOTTOM LAND ON THE RIVER SIDE OF
  THE LEVEES MUST BE COMPLETE
* IMPACT...AT 46.0 FEET...RIVER TRAFFIC WILL BECOME DANGEROUS. A LEVEE
  CREVASSE WOULD FLOOD ADJACENT FARM LAND. SIGNIFICANT FLOODING OF
  RACCOURCI ISLAND WILL CONTINUE AND EVACUATION OF THE ISLAND IS
  RECOMMENDED
* IMPACT...AT 45.0 FEET...BETWEEN THE 40 AND 45 FOOT STAGE FLOODING OF
  RACCOURCI ISLAND BECOMES SIGNIFICANT. AT THE 45 FOOT STAGE
  EVACUATION OF THE ISLAND IS RECOMMENDED

$$

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS BATON ROUGE LA
835 PM CDT MON MAY 20 2013

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN
LOUISIANA...

  MISSISSIPPI RIVER AT RED RIVER LANDING AFFECTING EAST BATON
  ROUGE...POINTE COUPEE AND WEST FELICIANA PARISHES

  MISSISSIPPI RIVER AT BATON ROUGE AFFECTING EAST BATON ROUGE AND
  WEST BATON ROUGE PARISHES

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FORECAST CRESTS ARE BASED UPON RAINFALL THAT HAS OCCURRED ALONG WITH
ANTICIPATED RAIN FOR THE NEXT 12 HOURS. ADJUSTMENTS TO THE FORECASTS
WILL BE MADE IF ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL OCCURS.

DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  REMEMBER...TWO FEET OF
RUSHING WATER CAN CARRY AWAY MOST VEHICLES INCLUDING PICKUPS.  TURN
AROUND AND DON`T DROWN.

A FOLLOWUP PRODUCT WILL BE ISSUED LATER. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER
RADIO...LOCAL TV AND RADIO STATIONS...OR YOUR CABLE PROVIDER...FOR
THE LATEST INFORMATION.  THE LATEST GRAPHICAL HYDROLOGIC INFORMATION
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WEATHER.GOV.

&&

LAC033-121-220735-
/O.CON.KLIX.FL.W.0104.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/BTRL1.1.ER.130515T1320Z.130522T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
835 PM CDT MON MAY 20 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER AT BATON ROUGE.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT  8:00 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 35.2 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 35.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 35.5 FEET BY
  TUESDAY EVENING AND THEN HOLD STEADY THROUGH FRIDAY BEFORE BEGINNING
  TO SLOWLY FALL.
* IMPACT...AT 35.0 FEET...RIVER ISLANDS FROM RED RIVER LANDING
  DOWNSTREAM TO BATON ROUGE WILL BE INUNDATED.

$$

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS BATON ROUGE LA
805 PM CDT MON MAY 20 2013

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN
LOUISIANA...MISSISSIPPI...

  PEARL RIVER NEAR PEARL RIVER AFFECTING ST. TAMMANY...HANCOCK AND
  PEARL RIVER COUNTIES/PARISHES

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN
LOUISIANA...MISSISSIPPI...

  PEARL RIVER NEAR BOGALUSA AFFECTING ST. TAMMANY...WASHINGTON...
  HANCOCK AND PEARL RIVER COUNTIES/PARISHES

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FORECAST CRESTS ARE BASED UPON RAINFALL THAT HAS OCCURRED ALONG WITH
ANTICIPATED RAIN FOR THE NEXT 12 HOURS. ADJUSTMENTS TO THE FORECASTS
WILL BE MADE IF ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL OCCURS.

DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  REMEMBER...TWO FEET OF
RUSHING WATER CAN CARRY AWAY MOST VEHICLES INCLUDING PICKUPS.  TURN
AROUND AND DON`T DROWN.

A FOLLOWUP PRODUCT WILL BE ISSUED LATER. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER
RADIO...LOCAL TV AND RADIO STATIONS...OR YOUR CABLE PROVIDER...FOR
THE LATEST INFORMATION.  THE LATEST GRAPHICAL HYDROLOGIC INFORMATION
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WEATHER.GOV.

&&

LAC103-117-MSC045-109-211630-
/O.CON.KLIX.FL.W.0096.000000T0000Z-130521T1630Z/
/BXAL1.1.ER.000000T0000Z.130517T1130Z.130521T1030Z.NO/
805 PM CDT MON MAY 20 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE PEARL RIVER NEAR BOGALUSA.
* UNTIL TUESDAY MORNING.
* AT  7:00 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.6 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE
  TUESDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 18.5 FEET...WOODLANDS AND CROP ACREAGE ALONG THE RIVER
  WILL BE FLOODED. THE BOGUE CHITTO WILDLIFE MANAGEMENT AREA WILL BE
  INUNDATED WITH WATER IN RECREATIONAL CAMPS AND OVER ACCESS ROADS
* IMPACT...AT 17.0 FEET...WOODLANDS AND CROP ACREAGE ALONG THE RIVER
  WILL BE FLOODED.
* IMPACT...AT 16.0 FEET...WOODLANDS ALONG THE RIVER AND WILDLIFE
  MANAGEMENT PROPERTY WILL BE FLOODED


$$

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS BATON ROUGE LA
805 PM CDT MON MAY 20 2013

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN
LOUISIANA...MISSISSIPPI...

  PEARL RIVER NEAR PEARL RIVER AFFECTING ST. TAMMANY...HANCOCK AND
  PEARL RIVER COUNTIES/PARISHES

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN
LOUISIANA...MISSISSIPPI...

  PEARL RIVER NEAR BOGALUSA AFFECTING ST. TAMMANY...WASHINGTON...
  HANCOCK AND PEARL RIVER COUNTIES/PARISHES

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FORECAST CRESTS ARE BASED UPON RAINFALL THAT HAS OCCURRED ALONG WITH
ANTICIPATED RAIN FOR THE NEXT 12 HOURS. ADJUSTMENTS TO THE FORECASTS
WILL BE MADE IF ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL OCCURS.

DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  REMEMBER...TWO FEET OF
RUSHING WATER CAN CARRY AWAY MOST VEHICLES INCLUDING PICKUPS.  TURN
AROUND AND DON`T DROWN.

A FOLLOWUP PRODUCT WILL BE ISSUED LATER. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER
RADIO...LOCAL TV AND RADIO STATIONS...OR YOUR CABLE PROVIDER...FOR
THE LATEST INFORMATION.  THE LATEST GRAPHICAL HYDROLOGIC INFORMATION
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WEATHER.GOV.

&&

LAC103-MSC045-109-220704-
/O.EXT.KLIX.FL.W.0097.000000T0000Z-130523T0430Z/
/PERL1.1.ER.000000T0000Z.130518T2230Z.130522T2230Z.NO/
805 PM CDT MON MAY 20 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE PEARL RIVER NEAR PEARL RIVER.
* UNTIL WEDNESDAY EVENING.
* AT  7:00 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 15.8 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 14.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY
  WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 15.5 FEET...SECONDARY ROADS TO THE RIVER AND THROUGHOUT
  HONEY ISLAND SWAMP ARE INUNDATED. PROPERTY IN THE VICINITY OF THE
  GAGE IS FLOODED THREATENING ABOUT 20 HOMES ALONG THE LEFT BANK.
  THE BOGUE CHITTO NATIONAL WILDLIFE REFUGE WILL BE CLOSED TO HUNTING
  AT THE 15.5 FOOT STAGE
* IMPACT...AT 14.0 FEET...SECONDARY ROADS TO THE RIVER AND THROUGHOUT
  HONEY ISLAND SWAMP ARE INUNDATED. PROPERTY IN THE VICINITY OF THE
  GAGE IS FLOODED THREATENING ABOUT 20 HOMES ALONG THE LEFT BANK
* IMPACT...AT 13.0 FEET...THE EAST AND WEST CHANNELS OF THE RIVER WILL
  BEGIN TO MERGE. HONEY ISLAND SWAMP TRAILS WILL BE UNDER WATER AS
  INUNDATION OF THE SWAMP BEGINS


$$

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS BATON ROUGE LA
732 PM CDT MON MAY 20 2013

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN
LOUISIANA...

  ATCHAFALAYA RIVER AT MORGAN CITY AFFECTING ST. MARY PARISH

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FORECAST CRESTS ARE BASED UPON RAINFALL THAT HAS OCCURRED ALONG WITH
ANTICIPATED RAIN FOR THE NEXT 12 HOURS. ADJUSTMENTS TO THE FORECASTS
WILL BE MADE IF ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL OCCURS.

DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  REMEMBER...TWO FEET OF
RUSHING WATER CAN CARRY AWAY MOST VEHICLES INCLUDING PICKUPS.  TURN
AROUND AND DON`T DROWN.

A FOLLOWUP PRODUCT WILL BE ISSUED LATER. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER
RADIO...LOCAL TV AND RADIO STATIONS...OR YOUR CABLE PROVIDER...FOR
THE LATEST INFORMATION.  THE LATEST GRAPHICAL HYDROLOGIC INFORMATION
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WEATHER.GOV.

&&

LAC101-220632-
/O.CON.KLIX.FL.W.0078.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MCGL1.1.ER.130414T1013Z.130520T2000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
732 PM CDT MON MAY 20 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ATCHAFALAYA RIVER AT MORGAN CITY.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT  7:00 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 5.7 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 4.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS NOW CRESTING AND WILL HOLD NEARLY STEADY
  THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING BEFORE BEGINNING A SLOW FALL.
  MIDNIGHT TOMORROW.  ADDITIONAL RISES MAY BE POSSIBLE THEREAFTER.
* IMPACT...AT 5.0 FEET...FLOODWALL GATES WILL BE CLOSED TO PROTECT
  AGAINST HIGHER STAGES. VESSEL TRAFFIC WILL BE AFFECTED BY STRONGER
  RIVER CURRENT AND VESSEL TRAFFIC SAFETY RULES WILL BE STRICTLY
  ENFORCED BY THE U. S. COAST GUARD.
* IMPACT...AT 4.0 FEET...WATER WILL MOVE UP THE BANK AND ACROSS ACCESS
  ROADS BELOW THE CITY DOCK. FLOODWALL GATES SHOULD BE CLOSED BY THE
  5 FOOT STAGE TO PROTECT AGAINST HIGHER STAGES. VESSEL TRAFFIC WILL
  BE AFFECTED BY STRONGER RIVER CURRENT AND VESSEL TRAFFIC SAFETY
  RULES WILL BE STRICTLY ENFORCED BY THE U. S. COAST GUARD.

$$


Hazardous Weather Outlook


HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
141 PM CDT MON MAY 20 2013

ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-015-016-023>026-MSZ018-019-025>038-040>044-
047>049-053-059-060-211845-
ASHLEY-CHICOT-MOREHOUSE-WEST CARROLL-EAST CARROLL-RICHLAND-
MADISON LA-FRANKLIN LA-CATAHOULA-TENSAS-CONCORDIA-BOLIVAR-
SUNFLOWER-LEFLORE-GRENADA-CARROLL-MONTGOMERY-WEBSTER-CLAY-LOWNDES-
CHOCTAW-OKTIBBEHA-WASHINGTON-HUMPHREYS-HOLMES-ATTALA-WINSTON-
ISSAQUENA-SHARKEY-YAZOO-MADISON MS-LEAKE-WARREN-HINDS-RANKIN-
CLAIBORNE-JEFFERSON-ADAMS-
141 PM CDT MON MAY 20 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS...NORTHEAST
LOUISIANA AND WEST AND NORTH MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT AND TUESDAY

ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS...NORTHEAST
LOUISIANA AND WESTERN SECTIONS OF MISSISSIPPI TUESDAY AFTERNOON AHEAD
OF A COLD FRONT THAT WILL BE APPROACHING THE ARKLATEX REGION. THE
PRIMARY HAZARD WITH THESE STORMS WILL BE DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AROUND
60 MPH AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY

SCATTERED SEVERE STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE TUESDAY EVENING THROUGH
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AS A COLD FRONT SLOWLY MOVES INTO THE AREA. THE
PRIMARY SEVERE WEATHER RISK WITH THESE STORMS WILL BE DAMAGING WIND
GUSTS AROUND 60 MPH AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL. A FEW TORNADOES WILL ALSO
BE POSSIBLE...MAINLY IN THE DELTA REGION TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH EARLY
WEDNESDAY.

IN ADDITION...PERIODS OF HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE. RAINFALL
IN STRONGER STORMS MAY PRODUCE PONDING WATER ON ROADWAYS AND IN LOW
LYING AREAS AND LOCAL FLOODING PROBLEMS IN AREAS WHERE DRAINAGE IS
POOR.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS...MAY BE NEEDED TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.


$$

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1200 PM CDT MON MAY 20 2013

ARZ072-073-LAZ001>006-010>014-017>022-TXZ126-136>138-149>153-165>167-
211100-
ANGELINA-BIENVILLE-BOSSIER-CADDO-CALDWELL-CHEROKEE-CLAIBORNE-
COLUMBIA-DE SOTO-GRANT-GREGG-HARRISON-JACKSON-LA SALLE-LINCOLN-
MARION-NACOGDOCHES-NATCHITOCHES-OUACHITA-PANOLA-RED RIVER LA-RUSK-
SABINE LA-SABINE TX-SAN AUGUSTINE-SHELBY-SMITH-UNION AR-UNION LA-
WEBSTER-WINN-
1200 PM CDT MON MAY 20 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
ARKANSAS...SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS...NORTH CENTRAL AND NORTHWEST
LOUISIANA...AND EAST AND NORTHEAST TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...

SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP TUESDAY ACROSS
PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST TEXAS AND SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS...ALONG
RESIDUAL BOUNDARIES FROM EARLIER THUNDERSTORMS. STRONG DAYTIME
HEATING WITHIN A VERY MOIST AIR MASS WILL RESULT IN STRONG
INSTABILITY TUESDAY AFTERNOON...AS LARGE SCALE FORCING INCREASES
WITH THE APPROACH OF AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE FROM
THE WEST. SOME THUNDERSTORMS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME
SEVERE TUESDAY AFTERNOON OVER NORTHEAST TEXAS AND SOUTHWEST
ARKANSAS...AND INTO NORTH LOUISIANA TUESDAY EVENING...AS THEY SPREAD
EAST SOUTHEAST. HIGH AND DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL WILL BE THE
PRIMARY SEVERE WEATHER THREATS...WITH DEADLY LIGHTNING AND A THREAT
FOR LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AS STORMS GROW INTO LARGE CLUSTERS. THESE
CLUSTERS WILL PROGRESS OVER THE AREA TUESDAY NIGHT. LOCALIZED FLASH
FLOODING AND PONDING OF WATER IN STREETS...LOW LYING...AND POOR
DRAINAGE AREAS WILL BE POSSIBLE TUESDAY NIGHT. THE SEVERE
WEATHER AND HEAVY RAINFALL THREAT WILL DIMINISH LATE TUESDAY NIGHT
AND EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING...WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
END FROM WEST TO EAST ON WEDNESDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

ACTIVATION OF EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL...AMATEUR RADIO
OPERATORS...AND STORM SPOTTERS WILL NOT BE NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON
OR TONIGHT.

$$

06

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
417 AM CDT MON MAY 20 2013

ALZ051>064-FLZ001>006-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-211100-
CHOCTAW-WASHINGTON-CLARKE-WILCOX-MONROE-CONECUH-BUTLER-CRENSHAW-
ESCAMBIA-COVINGTON-UPPER MOBILE-UPPER BALDWIN-LOWER MOBILE-
LOWER BALDWIN-INLAND ESCAMBIA-COASTAL ESCAMBIA-INLAND SANTA ROSA-
COASTAL SANTA ROSA-INLAND OKALOOSA-COASTAL OKALOOSA-WAYNE-PERRY-
GREENE-STONE-GEORGE-
417 AM CDT MON MAY 20 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
ALABAMA...SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...NORTHWEST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST
MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A MODERATE RISK FOR DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG
AREAS BEACHES THIS AFTERNOON INTO EARLY THIS EVENING.

THE FORMATION OF PATCHY FOG LATE TONIGHT COULD RESULT IN A LOWERING
OF VISIBILITY TO LESS THAN A MILE IN SOME AREAS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

ACTIVATION OF SKYWARN SEVERE STORM SPOTTER NETWORKS IS NOT
EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY.

$$

U.S. Dept. of Commerce
NOAA National Weather Service
1325 East West Highway
Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: June 2, 2009
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE: for Safety, for Work, for Fun - FOR LIFE