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Flood Warning


FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
1029 AM CDT THU AUG 25 2016

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in
Louisiana...

  Calcasieu River Near Glenmora
  Calcasieu River At Old Town Bay
  Bayou Vermilion Near Carencro

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in
Louisiana..
  Calcasieu River Near Oberlin
  Mermentau River Near Mermentau
  Vermilion River At Lafayette, Surrey Street Gage

LAC055-097-099-260528-
/O.EXT.KLCH.FL.W.0113.000000T0000Z-160827T1200Z/
/BVCL1.3.ER.160813T0833Z.160814T0800Z.160827T0000Z.UU/
1029 AM CDT THU AUG 25 2016

...Flood Warning extended until Saturday morning...The Flood Warning
continues for
  The Bayou Vermilion Near Carencro.
* until Saturday morning...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  9:00 AM Thursday the stage was 17.4 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by
  tomorrow evening.

&&

LAT...LON 3026 9200 3028 9193 3031 9194 3032 9189
      3046 9198 3046 9201

$$

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
1029 AM CDT THU AUG 25 2016

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in
Louisiana...

  Calcasieu River Near Glenmora
  Calcasieu River At Old Town Bay
  Bayou Vermilion Near Carencro

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in
Louisiana..
  Calcasieu River Near Oberlin
  Mermentau River Near Mermentau
  Vermilion River At Lafayette, Surrey Street Gage

LAC055-113-260528-
/O.CON.KLCH.FL.W.0112.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/VLSL1.3.ER.160812T1144Z.160815T1945Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1029 AM CDT THU AUG 25 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Vermilion River At Lafayette, Surrey Street Gage.
* until further notice...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 10:15 AM Thursday the stage was 15.9 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to a stage of 15.6 feet
  by tomorrow morning.
* Impact...At stages near 16.0 feet...Widespread major flooding will
  occur with numerous homes and roads flooded throughout Lafayette
  down stream to Abbeville and Perry. Large areas of inundation as
  result of backwater flooding of the coulees that drain in the
  river.

&&

LAT...LON 3031 9204 3000 9227 2987 9219 2988 9206
      3022 9190 3031 9191

$$

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
1029 AM CDT THU AUG 25 2016

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in
Louisiana...

  Calcasieu River Near Glenmora
  Calcasieu River At Old Town Bay
  Bayou Vermilion Near Carencro

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in
Louisiana..
  Calcasieu River Near Oberlin
  Mermentau River Near Mermentau
  Vermilion River At Lafayette, Surrey Street Gage

LAC001-053-113-260529-
/O.CON.KLCH.FL.W.0117.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MRML1.3.ER.160813T1040Z.160818T1445Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1029 AM CDT THU AUG 25 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Mermentau River Near Mermentau.
* until further notice...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 10:15 AM Thursday the stage was 6.2 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 4.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to a stage of 5.7 feet
  by tomorrow morning.
* Impact...At stages near 6.2 feet...The water reaches the roadway
  of the 13th Street bridge in the southern portion of mermentau.

&&

LAT...LON 3025 9266 3004 9276 3004 9260 3019 9254 3024 9255

$$


Flood Advisory


FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
446 PM CDT THU AUG 25 2016

LAC009-039-079-252345-
/O.NEW.KLCH.FA.Y.0082.160825T2146Z-160825T2345Z/
/00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
RAPIDES LA-EVANGELINE LA-AVOYELLES LA-
446 PM CDT THU AUG 25 2016

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LAKE CHARLES HAS ISSUED A

* FLOOD ADVISORY FOR...
  RAPIDES PARISH IN CENTRAL LOUISIANA...
  NORTHERN EVANGELINE PARISH IN CENTRAL LOUISIANA...
  WESTERN AVOYELLES PARISH IN CENTRAL LOUISIANA...

* UNTIL 645 PM CDT

* AT 445 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED HEAVY RAIN DUE TO
  THUNDERSTORMS MOVING ACROSS PORTIONS OF AVOYELLES AND RAPIDES
  PARISHES. RADAR ESTIMATES THAT UP TO 2 INCHES OF RAIN HAVE FALLEN
  WITH THIS ACTIVITY...WITH AN ADDITIONAL 1 INCH POSSIBLE. THIS WILL
  CAUSE MINOR FLOODING IN THE ADVISORY AREA.

* SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE...
  ALEXANDRIA...PINEVILLE...MARKSVILLE...BUNKIE...GLENMORA...BOYCE...
  MOREAUVILLE...CHENEYVILLE...TURKEY CREEK...EFFIE...HINESTON...
  ALEXANDRIA INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT...COTTONPORT...MANSURA...
  LECOMPTE...HESSMER...EVERGREEN...PLAUCHEVILLE...KOLIN AND LIBUSE.

LAT...LON 3142 9269 3140 9269 3140 9267 3139 9266
      3141 9255 3135 9207 3133 9208 3134 9203
      3132 9200 3130 9200 3130 9201 3128 9202
      3127 9199 3124 9200 3122 9198 3085 9192
      3088 9260 3090 9262 3089 9282 3144 9282

$$

25

FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
305 PM CDT THU AUG 25 2016

LAC005-033-047-262000-
/O.NEW.KLIX.FA.Y.0068.160825T2005Z-160826T2000Z/
/00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
IBERVILLE LA-EAST BATON ROUGE LA-ASCENSION LA-
305 PM CDT THU AUG 25 2016

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NEW ORLEANS HAS ISSUED A

* FLOOD ADVISORY FOR...
  EAST CENTRAL IBERVILLE PARISH IN SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA...
  SOUTH CENTRAL EAST BATON ROUGE PARISH IN SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA...
  NORTHWESTERN ASCENSION PARISH IN SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA...

* UNTIL 300 PM CDT FRIDAY

* AT 303 PM CDT...BLUFF SWAMP NEAR KLEINPETER GAUGE REPORTED A STAGE
  OF 12.82 FEET AT 2 PM CDT. BACKWATER AND INLAND FLOODING CONTINUES
  TO BE ONGOING FROM THE HEAVY RAINS OF LAST WEEK. WATER LEVELS ARE
  BEGINNING TO DRAIN SLOWLY. SOME SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MAY
  DELAY THE DRAINAGE RATE EACH AFTERNOON.

* SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE...
  BATON ROUGE...GONZALES...OAK HILLS PLACE...ST. GABRIEL...
  SORRENTO...SHENANDOAH...INNISWOLD...GEISMER...OLD JEFFERSON...
  PRAIRIEVILLE...CARVILLE...GARDERE...
  WESTMINSTER AND VILLAGE ST. GEORGE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TURN AROUND...DON`T DROWN WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED ROADS. MOST FLOOD
DEATHS OCCUR IN VEHICLES.

A FLOOD ADVISORY MEANS RIVER OR STREAM FLOWS ARE ELEVATED...OR
PONDING OF WATER IN URBAN OR OTHER AREAS IS OCCURRING OR IS IMMINENT.

&&

LAT...LON 3041 9120 3045 9119 3046 9099 3039 9097
      3037 9093 3036 9093 3036 9090 3021 9083
      3016 9105 3018 9116 3025 9111 3030 9123
      3032 9114 3033 9114 3034 9117 3035 9124

$$


Special Weather Statement


SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
503 PM CDT THU AUG 25 2016

MSZ069>071-252245-
PIKE-WALTHALL-AMITE-
503 PM CDT THU AUG 25 2016

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT SOUTHWESTERN WALTHALL...
SOUTHEASTERN AMITE AND PIKE COUNTIES...

AT 503 PM CDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR TYLERTOWN...OR
15 MILES SOUTHWEST OF KOKOMO...MOVING WEST AT 25 MPH.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
MCCOMB...MAGNOLIA...TYLERTOWN AND MCCOMB AIRPORT.

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY CAUSE
LOCALIZED FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 10 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE
SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.

LAT...LON 3116 9013 3100 9018 3100 9025 3106 9069
      3132 9061
TIME...MOT...LOC 2203Z 105DEG 22KT 3110 9024

$$

24/RR

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
503 PM CDT THU AUG 25 2016

LAZ023-024-252230-
FRANKLIN LA-CATAHOULA LA-
503 PM CDT THU AUG 25 2016

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT NORTHERN CATAHOULA AND
SOUTHWESTERN FRANKLIN PARISHES UNTIL 530 PM CDT...

AT 503 PM CDT...METEOROLOGISTS WERE TRACKING STRONG THUNDERSTORMS
ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM NEAR WISNER TO NEAR WALLACE RIDGE.
MOVEMENT WAS WEST AT 15 MPH.

WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR...
  WALLACE RIDGE AROUND 510 PM CDT.
  MANIFEST AROUND 520 PM CDT.
  AIMWELL...ENTERPRISE AND JIGGER AROUND 530 PM CDT.

OTHER LOCATIONS IMPACTED BY THESE STORMS INCLUDE SICILY ISLAND AND
HARRISONBURG.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

HIGH WINDS CAN BRING DOWN TREES AND LARGE LIMBS RESULTING IN SERIOUS
INJURY OR PROPERTY DAMAGE. EXERCISE EXTREME CAUTION WHEN OUTDOORS
DURING SUCH STRONG WINDS...AND BE ESPECIALLY AWARE OF OLDER TREES.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 10 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE
SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.

&&

LAT...LON 3193 9201 3193 9191 3197 9190 3197 9189
      3200 9190 3204 9190 3207 9193 3208 9193
      3208 9190 3209 9189 3196 9153 3182 9161
      3164 9179 3164 9201
TIME...MOT...LOC 2203Z 100DEG 13KT 3192 9167 3171 9188

$$

19

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
502 PM CDT THU AUG 25 2016

LAZ040-071-072-252245-
SOUTHERN TANGIPAHOA-NORTHERN TANGIPAHOA-ST. TAMMANY-
502 PM CDT THU AUG 25 2016

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT WEST CENTRAL ST. TAMMANY AND
CENTRAL TANGIPAHOA PARISHES...

AT 502 PM CDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR ROBERT...OR 9
MILES NORTHWEST OF COVINGTON...MOVING WEST AT 15 MPH.

WINDS IN EXCESS OF 30 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
HAMMOND...PONCHATOULA...INDEPENDENCE...FOLSOM...ROBERT...
NATALBANY AND TICKFAW.

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY CAUSE
LOCALIZED FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 10 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE
SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.

LAT...LON 3063 9015 3045 9017 3044 9055 3048 9055
      3048 9056 3049 9056 3049 9057 3071 9055
TIME...MOT...LOC 2202Z 094DEG 14KT 3055 9025

$$

24/RR

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
500 PM CDT THU AUG 25 2016

MSZ063-064-072-252230-
MARION MS-LAWRENCE MS-JEFFERSON DAVIS MS-
500 PM CDT THU AUG 25 2016

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT LAWRENCE...NORTHWESTERN MARION
AND JEFFERSON DAVIS COUNTIES UNTIL 530 PM CDT...

AT 500 PM CDT...METEOROLOGISTS WERE TRACKING STRONG THUNDERSTORMS
ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM NEAR CARSON TO NEAR OAK VALE TO HOLLY
SPRINGS. MOVEMENT WAS NORTHWEST AT 25 MPH.

WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR...
  OAK VALE AROUND 505 PM CDT.
  PRENTISS AND PROGRESS AROUND 510 PM CDT.
  ARM AND TILTON AROUND 515 PM CDT.
  MONTICELLO...TOPEKA...ROBINWOOD...WANILLA AND JAYESS AROUND 530 PM
  CDT.

OTHER LOCATIONS IMPACTED BY THESE STORMS INCLUDE SILVER CREEK AND NEW
HEBRON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

HIGH WINDS CAN BRING DOWN TREES AND LARGE LIMBS RESULTING IN SERIOUS
INJURY OR PROPERTY DAMAGE. EXERCISE EXTREME CAUTION WHEN OUTDOORS
DURING SUCH STRONG WINDS...AND BE ESPECIALLY AWARE OF OLDER TREES.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 10 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE
SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.

&&

LAT...LON 3130 9004 3134 9004 3133 9008 3135 9011
      3135 9021 3137 9025 3172 9024 3173 9020
      3176 9013 3177 8988 3165 8976 3161 8975
      3161 8974 3157 8967 3143 8986 3123 8987
TIME...MOT...LOC 2200Z 129DEG 23KT 3157 8980 3148 8992 3132 8997

$$

19


Hazardous Weather Outlook


HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
139 PM CDT THU AUG 25 2016

GMZ530-532-534-536-538-550-552-555-557-570-572-575-577-LAZ034>037-
039-040-046>050-056>072-MSZ068>071-077-080>082-260645-
LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN AND LAKE MAUREPAS-MISSISSIPPI SOUND-
LAKE BORGNE-CHANDELEUR SOUND-BRETON SOUND-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT FOURCHON LA TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER
LA OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
TO PORT FOURCHON LOUISIANA OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM BOOTHVILLE LA TO SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MISSISSIPPI TO STAKE ISLAND OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT FOURCHON LOUISIANA TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA
RIVER LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO
PORT FOURCHON LOUISIANA FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM STAKE ISLAND LA TO SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MISSISSIPPI TO STAKE ISLAND
LOUISIANA OUT 20 TO 60 NM-POINTE COUPEE-WEST FELICIANA-
EAST FELICIANA-ST. HELENA-WASHINGTON-ST. TAMMANY-IBERVILLE-
WEST BATON ROUGE-EAST BATON ROUGE-ASCENSION-LIVINGSTON-ASSUMPTION-
ST. JAMES-ST. JOHN THE BAPTIST-UPPER LAFOURCHE-ST. CHARLES-
UPPER JEFFERSON-ORLEANS-UPPER PLAQUEMINES-UPPER ST. BERNARD-
UPPER TERREBONNE-LOWER TERREBONNE-LOWER LAFOURCHE-LOWER JEFFERSON-
LOWER PLAQUEMINES-LOWER ST. BERNARD-NORTHERN TANGIPAHOA-
SOUTHERN TANGIPAHOA-WILKINSON-AMITE-PIKE-WALTHALL-PEARL RIVER-
HANCOCK-HARRISON-JACKSON-
139 PM CDT THU AUG 25 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST
LOUISIANA...SOUTH MISSISSIPPI AND THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED
THIS AFTERNOON. SOME OF THESE STORMS COULD PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL... FREQUENT LIGHTNING STRIKES...AND GUSTY WINDS.

SOME TRIBUTARIES IN EAST BATON ROUGE...IBERVILLE AND ASCENSION
PARISHES ARE EXPERIENCING BACKWATER FLOODING. PLEASE REFER TO
FLOOD ADVISORIES AND STATEMENTS FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION.

THE AFTERNOON HEAT INDEX VALUES WILL BE IN THE 100 TO 105 DEGREE
RANGE IN LOCATIONS OUTSIDE OF RAIN AREAS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE
EACH DAY. A FEW STORMS COULD BE STRONG AND PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL...FREQUENT LIGHTNING STRIKES...AND GUSTY WINDS.

HEAT INDEX READINGS BETWEEN 100 AND 105 DEGREES ARE EXPECTED
DURING THE AFTERNOON EACH DAY. THIS MAY PRODUCE HEAT RELATED
IMPACTS ON PEOPLE OUTDOORS...ESPECIALLY IN FLOOD AFFECTED AREAS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

$$

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1156 AM CDT THU AUG 25 2016

ARZ050-051-059>061-070>073-LAZ001>006-010>014-017>022-OKZ077-
TXZ096-097-108>112-124>126-136>138-149>153-165>167-261100-
SEVIER-HOWARD-LITTLE RIVER-HEMPSTEAD-NEVADA-MILLER-LAFAYETTE-
COLUMBIA-UNION-CADDO-BOSSIER-WEBSTER-CLAIBORNE-LINCOLN-DE SOTO-
RED RIVER-BIENVILLE-JACKSON-OUACHITA-SABINE-NATCHITOCHES-WINN-
GRANT-CALDWELL-LA SALLE-MCCURTAIN-BOWIE-FRANKLIN-TITUS-CAMP-
MORRIS-CASS-WOOD-UPSHUR-MARION-SMITH-GREGG-HARRISON-CHEROKEE-RUSK-
PANOLA-NACOGDOCHES-SHELBY-ANGELINA-SAN AUGUSTINE-
1156 AM CDT THU AUG 25 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
ARKANSAS...SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS...NORTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA...
NORTHWEST LOUISIANA...SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA...EAST TEXAS AND
NORTHEAST TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE TODAY WITH ISOLATED
ACTIVITY TO CONTINUE OVERNIGHT. ANY MID TO LATE DAY STRONG STORMS
WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING GUSTY WINDS...HEAVY DOWNPOURS AND
CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING. HOWEVER...NO WIDESPREAD SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM THREAT IS EXPECTED. THE RECENT HEAVY RAINS AND
SATURATED SOILS COULD LEAD TO ISOLATED FLOODING IN LOW-LYING OR
POOR DRAINAGE AREA.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE AGAIN ON FRIDAY. AIR TEMPERATURES
WILL LINGER IN THE LOWER 90S...COMBINED WITH THE HIGH HUMIDITY...
AFTERNOON HEAT INDICES WILL BE NEAR 105 OVER THE WEEKEND AND
POSSIBLY ABOVE 105 DEGREES EARLY NEXT WEEK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

ACTIVATION OF EMERGENCY MANAGERS...SKYWARN NETWORKS AND AMATEUR
RADIO OPERATORS IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TONIGHT.

$$

09

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
452 AM CDT THU AUG 25 2016

ALZ051>060-261>266-FLZ201>206-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-261200-
CHOCTAW-WASHINGTON-CLARKE-WILCOX-MONROE-CONECUH-BUTLER-CRENSHAW-
ESCAMBIA-COVINGTON-MOBILE INLAND-BALDWIN INLAND-MOBILE CENTRAL-
BALDWIN CENTRAL-MOBILE COASTAL-BALDWIN COASTAL-ESCAMBIA INLAND-
ESCAMBIA COASTAL-SANTA ROSA INLAND-SANTA ROSA COASTAL-
OKALOOSA INLAND-OKALOOSA COASTAL-WAYNE-PERRY-GREENE-STONE-GEORGE-
452 AM CDT THU AUG 25 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
ALABAMA...SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...NORTHWEST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST
MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

FOR TODAY...GIVEN THE POSITION OF THE BETTER MOISTURE AND DAYTIME
INSTABILITY OVER THE WESTERN HALF OF THE LOCAL AREA...ISOLATED TO
SCATTERED STORMS ARE FORECAST BY MID MORNING INTO EARLY AFTERNOON
GENERALLY ALONG AND WEST OF A LINE FROM GROVE HILL ALABAMA TO
PENSACOLA FLORIDA. THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR A FEW STRONG STORMS
CAPABLE OF PRODUCING BRIEF STRONG WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH. FREQUENT
LIGHTNING AND TORRENTIAL DOWNPOURS ALSO POSSIBLE IN STRONGER STORMS.

AS A DRIER DEEP LAYER AIRMASS MOVES IN FROM THE EAST...CHANCES OF
SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL TREND TO MINIMAL PERCENTAGES LATE THIS
AFTERNOON AND INTO TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

THERE IS A HIGH CHANCE...80%...THAT A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE
APPROACHING THE BAHAMAS THIS WEEKEND WILL DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL
CYCLONE. DUE TO THE LARGE UNCERTAINTY THAT REMAINS REGARDING THE
FUTURE TRACK AND INTENSITY OF THIS DISTURBANCE BEYOND THE
WEEKEND...IT IS STILL TOO EARLY TO TALK ABOUT SPECIFICS ON IMPACTS
TO THE NORTH CENTRAL GULF COAST FOR NEXT WEEK. PLEASE CONTINUE TO
MONITOR THE FORECAST FOR UPDATES AS THIS SYSTEM DEVELOPS THROUGH THE
WEEK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

ACTIVATION OF SKYWARN SEVERE STORM SPOTTER NETWORKS IS NOT
EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

$$

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
450 AM CDT THU AUG 25 2016

LAZ027>033-041>045-052>055-073-074-TXZ180-201-215-216-259>262-
261100-
VERNON-RAPIDES-AVOYELLES-BEAUREGARD-ALLEN-EVANGELINE-ST. LANDRY-
CALCASIEU-JEFFERSON DAVIS-ACADIA-LAFAYETTE-UPPER ST. MARTIN-
VERMILION-IBERIA-ST. MARY-LOWER ST. MARTIN-WEST CAMERON-
EAST CAMERON-TYLER-HARDIN-JEFFERSON-ORANGE-NORTHERN JASPER-
NORTHERN NEWTON-SOUTHERN JASPER-SOUTHERN NEWTON-
450 AM CDT THU AUG 25 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
LOUISIANA...SOUTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA...SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA...WEST
CENTRAL LOUISIANA AND SOUTHEAST TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

AN EASTERLY WAVE/UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE INTO THE
FORECAST AREA TODAY...BRINGING AN ELEVATED CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. THE BEST CHANCE WILL BE DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS.
DUE TO THE HIGH MOISTURE CONTENT IN THE ATMOSPHERE...LOCALLY HEAVY
DOWNPOURS WILL BE POSSIBLE...BRINGING A QUICK ONE TO TWO INCHES OF
RAINFALL. ALSO...OCCASIONAL CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING CAN BE
EXPECTED WITH THE STORMS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

A SERIES OF UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION
INTO THE WEEKEND WITH A DECENT COVERAGE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. SOME OF THE STORMS COULD PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY
DOWNPOURS AND OCCASIONAL CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING.

THERE IS STILL SOME UNCERTAINTY FOR THE FORECAST PERIOD NEXT
TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY AS A LOT WILL DEPEND ON THE EVENTUAL
STRENGTH AND POSITION OF THE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE KNOWN AS 99L. AS
IT STANDS AT THIS POINT...THERE WOULD BE NO DIRECT IMPACTS.
HOWEVER...DUE TO THE UNCERTAINTY...ALL INTERESTS SHOULD CONTINUE
TO MONITOR THIS SYSTEM.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

$$

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
450 AM CDT THU AUG 25 2016

GMZ430-432-435-450-452-455-470-472-475-261100-
SABINE LAKE-CALCASIEU LAKE-VERMILION BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON LA OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY
LA OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM  INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LA FROM
20 TO 60 NM-
450 AM CDT THU AUG 25 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF GULF OF MEXICO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

AN INCREASE IN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED. LOCALLY
HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS...ALONG WITH HEAVY RAINFALL REDUCING
VISIBILITY AND OCCASIONAL CLOUD TO WATER LIGHTNING CAN BE EXPECTED
WITH THE STORMS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

A DECENT CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE INTO
THE WEEKEND. LOCALLY HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS...HEAVY RAINFALL
REDUCING VISIBILITY AND OCCASIONAL CLOUD TO WATER LIGHTNING WILL
REMAIN THE MAIN HAZARDS.

THERE IS STILL SOME UNCERTAINTY FOR THE FORECAST PERIOD NEXT
TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY AS A LOT WILL DEPEND ON THE EVENTUAL
STRENGTH AND POSITION OF THE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE KNOWN AS 99L. AS
IT STANDS AT THIS POINT...THERE WOULD BE NO DIRECT IMPACTS.
HOWEVER...DUE TO THE UNCERTAINTY...ALL INTERESTS SHOULD CONTINUE
TO MONITOR THIS SYSTEM.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

$$

RUA


Short Term Forecast


SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
358 PM CDT THU AUG 25 2016

ARZ050-051-059>061-070>073-LAZ001>006-010>014-017>022-TXZ097-112-
126-138-151-153-167-252300-
SEVIER-HOWARD-LITTLE RIVER-HEMPSTEAD-NEVADA-MILLER-LAFAYETTE-
COLUMBIA-UNION-CADDO-BOSSIER-WEBSTER-CLAIBORNE-LINCOLN-DE SOTO-
RED RIVER-BIENVILLE-JACKSON-OUACHITA-SABINE-NATCHITOCHES-WINN-
GRANT-CALDWELL-LA SALLE-BOWIE-CASS-MARION-HARRISON-PANOLA-SHELBY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DE QUEEN...NASHVILLE...
MINERAL SPRINGS...DIERKS...ASHDOWN...HOPE...PRESCOTT...
TEXARKANA...STAMPS...LEWISVILLE...BRADLEY...MAGNOLIA...
EL DORADO...SHREVEPORT...BOSSIER CITY...MINDEN...SPRINGHILL...
HOMER...HAYNESVILLE...RUSTON...FARMERVILLE...BERNICE...
MANSFIELD...STONEWALL...LOGANSPORT...COUSHATTA...MARTIN...
ARCADIA...RINGGOLD...GIBSLAND...JONESBORO...MONROE...MANY...
ZWOLLE...PLEASANT HILL...NATCHITOCHES...WINNFIELD...COLFAX...
MONTGOMERY...DRY PRONG...CLARKS...GRAYSON...COLUMBIA...JENA...
MIDWAY...OLLA...ATLANTA...LINDEN...HUGHES SPRINGS...QUEEN CITY...
JEFFERSON...MARSHALL...CARTHAGE...CENTER...HEMPHILL...PINELAND
358 PM CDT THU AUG 25 2016

.NOW...

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR PART OF NEVADA AND
HEMPSTEAD COUNTIES IN SOUTHWESTERN ARKANSAS...

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS PARTS OF EAST
TEXAS...SOUTHERN ARKANSAS...AND NORTH AND CENTRAL LOUISIANA LATE
THIS AFTERNOON. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL...FREQUENT LIGHTNING...
GUSTY WINDS...AND VERY HEAVY DOWNPOURS CAN BE EXPECTED WITH SOME
STORMS. THE STORMS ARE SLOWLY MOVING TO THE NORTH.

$$

U.S. Dept. of Commerce
NOAA National Weather Service
1325 East West Highway
Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: June 2, 2009
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE: for Safety, for Work, for Fun - FOR LIFE