Hazardous Weather Outlook
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
602 PM CDT TUE MAY 21 2013
GMZ530-532-534-536-538-550-552-555-557-570-572-575-577-LAZ034>037-
039-040-046>050-056>072-MSZ068>071-077-080>082-221115-
LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN AND LAKE MAUREPAS-MISSISSIPPI SOUND-
LAKE BORGNE-CHANDELEUR SOUND-BRETON SOUND-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT FOURCHON TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
TO PORT FOURCHON OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM BOOTHVILLE LA TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO STAKE ISLAND LA OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT FOURCHON TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER FROM
20 TO 60 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
TO PORT FOURCHON FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM STAKE ISLAND LA TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO STAKE ISLAND LA FROM 20 TO
60 NM-POINTE COUPEE-WEST FELICIANA-EAST FELICIANA-ST. HELENA-
WASHINGTON-ST. TAMMANY-IBERVILLE-WEST BATON ROUGE-
EAST BATON ROUGE-ASCENSION-LIVINGSTON-ASSUMPTION-ST. JAMES-
ST. JOHN THE BAPTIST-UPPER LAFOURCHE-ST. CHARLES-UPPER JEFFERSON-
ORLEANS-UPPER PLAQUEMINES-UPPER ST. BERNARD-UPPER TERREBONNE-
LOWER TERREBONNE-LOWER LAFOURCHE-LOWER JEFFERSON-
LOWER PLAQUEMINES-LOWER ST. BERNARD-NORTHERN TANGIPAHOA-
SOUTHERN TANGIPAHOA-WILKINSON-AMITE-PIKE-WALTHALL-PEARL RIVER-
HANCOCK-HARRISON-JACKSON-
602 PM CDT TUE MAY 21 2013
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST
LOUISIANA...SOUTH MISSISSIPPI AND THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS.
.DAY ONE...TONIGHT
NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY.
WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED. HOWEVER...A FEW STRONG
TO SEVERE STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE. THE MAIN THREATS WILL BE
FREQUENT LIGHTNING...GUSTY WINDS...AND HAIL. ISOLATED AFTERNOON
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE FRIDAY.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.
$$
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1112 PM CDT TUE MAY 21 2013
ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-015-016-023>026-MSZ018-019-025-034-035-040-
041-230415-
ASHLEY-CHICOT-MOREHOUSE-WEST CARROLL-EAST CARROLL-RICHLAND-
MADISON LA-FRANKLIN LA-CATAHOULA-TENSAS-CONCORDIA-BOLIVAR-
SUNFLOWER-LEFLORE-WASHINGTON-HUMPHREYS-ISSAQUENA-SHARKEY-
1112 PM CDT TUE MAY 21 2013
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EXTREME SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS...
PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST LOUISIANA AND WEST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI.
.DAY ONE...TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY
STRONG STORMS ARE POSSIBLE TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING AS A
DISTURBANCE SWINGS ACROSS THE REGION. THE MOST INTENSE STORMS ARE
EXPECTED TO BE CAPABLE OF WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH AS WELL AS SOME SMALL
HAIL. OCCASIONAL CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING STRIKES IS ALSO POSSIBLE.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY
THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.
.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS...IS NO LONGER NEEDED TONIGHT.
$$
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1112 PM CDT TUE MAY 21 2013
MSZ026>033-036>039-042>045-047>050-053>055-059>063-230415-
GRENADA-CARROLL-MONTGOMERY-WEBSTER-CLAY-LOWNDES-CHOCTAW-OKTIBBEHA-
HOLMES-ATTALA-WINSTON-NOXUBEE-YAZOO-MADISON MS-LEAKE-NESHOBA-
WARREN-HINDS-RANKIN-SCOTT-CLAIBORNE-COPIAH-SIMPSON-JEFFERSON-
ADAMS-FRANKLIN MS-LINCOLN-LAWRENCE-
1112 PM CDT TUE MAY 21 2013
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR MUCH OF CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI.
.DAY ONE...TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY
A LINE OF STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE ACROSS THE
CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI TONIGHT. DAMAGING WIND GUSTS OF 60 MPH AND NICKEL
SIZED HAIL ARE POSSIBLE WITH THE MOST INTENSE STORMS. A BRIEF TORNADO
CANNOT BE RULED OUT. IN ADDITION...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL MAY CAUSE
PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS AND IN POOR DRAINAGE AREAS.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY
THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.
.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS...HAS BEEN REQUESTED TONIGHT.
$$
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1112 PM CDT TUE MAY 21 2013
MSZ046-051-052-056>058-064>066-072>074-230415-
KEMPER-NEWTON-LAUDERDALE-SMITH-JASPER-CLARKE-JEFFERSON DAVIS-
COVINGTON-JONES-MARION-LAMAR-FORREST-
1112 PM CDT TUE MAY 21 2013
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EASTERN AND SOUTH CENTRAL
MISSISSIPPI.
.DAY ONE...TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY
STRONG STORMS ARE POSSIBLE TONIGHT AS A LINE OF STORMS ALONG AND
AHEAD OF AN OUTFLOW BOUNDARY SAGS INTO THE AREA. THE MOST INTENSE STORMS
ARE EXPECTED TO BE CAPABLE OF WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH AS WELL AS SMALL
HAIL. FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING STRIKES AND LOCALLY HEAVY
DOWNPOURS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE.
ADDITIONAL STRONG STORMS CAPABLE OF WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH AND SMALL
HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY AS A DISTURBANCE MOVES ACROSS THE
AREA AND COMBINES WITH A WARM MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIRMASS.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY
THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.
.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS...IS NOT ANTICIPATED.
$$
FOR MORE INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT
WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/JAN.
22
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
607 PM CDT TUE MAY 21 2013
ALZ051>064-FLZ001>006-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-222315-
CHOCTAW-WASHINGTON-CLARKE-WILCOX-MONROE-CONECUH-BUTLER-CRENSHAW-
ESCAMBIA-COVINGTON-UPPER MOBILE-UPPER BALDWIN-LOWER MOBILE-
LOWER BALDWIN-INLAND ESCAMBIA-COASTAL ESCAMBIA-INLAND SANTA ROSA-
COASTAL SANTA ROSA-INLAND OKALOOSA-COASTAL OKALOOSA-WAYNE-PERRY-
GREENE-STONE-GEORGE-
607 PM CDT TUE MAY 21 2013
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
ALABAMA...SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...NORTHWEST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST
MISSISSIPPI.
.DAY ONE...TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY
PATCHY FOG IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT WHICH MAY
BECOME DENSE IN A FEW AREAS.
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS...SOME POSSIBLY STRONG OR SEVERE...CAN BE
EXPECTED MAINLY OVER SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI AND SOUTHWESTERN ALABAMA
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...GENERALLY WEST OF THE I-65 CORRIDOR. GUSTY
STRAIGHT LINE WINDS...FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING AND SMALL TO
MEDIUM SIZE HAIL WILL BE THE MAIN THREATS WITH THE STRONGER
THUNDERSTORMS.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY
A CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUES FOR MOST OF THE AREA MAINLY
DURING WEDNESDAY EVENING WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF A FEW STRONG TO
SEVERE STORMS. A FEW STRONG STORMS WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE ON THURSDAY
AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT MOVING SLOWLY THROUGH THE AREA. THE STRONGER
STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF GUSTY STRAIGHT LINE WINDS...FREQUENT CLOUD
TO GROUND LIGHTNING AND SMALL TO MEDIUM SIZE HAIL.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
ACTIVATION OF SKYWARN SEVERE STORM SPOTTER NETWORKS SHOULD NOT BE
NEEDED THROUGH MONDAY.
$$
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
330 PM CDT TUE MAY 21 2013
GMZ430-432-435-450-452-455-470-472-475-LAZ027>033-041>045-052>055-
073-074-TXZ180-201-215-216-259>262-221300-
SABINE LAKE-CALCASIEU LAKE-VERMILION BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON LA OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY
LA OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LA FROM
20 TO 60 NM-VERNON-RAPIDES-AVOYELLES-BEAUREGARD-ALLEN-EVANGELINE-
ST. LANDRY-CALCASIEU-JEFFERSON DAVIS-ACADIA-LAFAYETTE-
UPPER ST. MARTIN-VERMILION-IBERIA-ST. MARY-LOWER ST. MARTIN-
WEST CAMERON-EAST CAMERON-TYLER-HARDIN-JEFFERSON-ORANGE-
NORTHERN JASPER-NORTHERN NEWTON-SOUTHERN JASPER-SOUTHERN NEWTON-
330 PM CDT TUE MAY 21 2013
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE NORTHWEST
GULF OF MEXICO...CENTRAL LOUISIANA...SOUTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA...
SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA...WEST CENTRAL LOUISIANA AND SOUTHEAST TEXAS.
.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL INCREASE ACROSS THE EAST
TEXAS LAKES AREA AND WEST CENTRAL LOUISIANA LATE IN THE EVENING.
STORM CHANCES WILL INCREASE ACROSS THE REST OF THE AREA THROUGH
EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING.
THE CHANCE OF A SEVERE STORM IS LOW THROUGH TONIGHT, HOWEVER AN
ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM OR TWO CAN NOT BE RULED OUT. HAIL TO
AROUND ONE INCH IN DIAMETER AND GUSTY WINDS TO AROUND 60 MPH MAY
BE POSSIBLE WITH THE STRONGEST STORMS.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY
SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL BE ONGOING TO START
WEDNESDAY. A VERY LOW CHANCE OF SEVERE WEATHER EXISTS WEDNESDAY
WITH HAIL TO NEAR ONE INCH AND GUSTY WINDS POSSIBLE IN THE
STRONGEST STORMS.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
$$
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1245 PM CDT TUE MAY 21 2013
ARZ050-051-059>061-070>073-LAZ001>006-010>014-017>022-OKZ077-TXZ096-
097-108>112-124>126-136>138-149>153-165>167-221100-
ANGELINA-BIENVILLE-BOSSIER-BOWIE-CADDO-CALDWELL-CAMP-CASS-CHEROKEE-
CLAIBORNE-COLUMBIA-DE SOTO-FRANKLIN-GRANT-GREGG-HARRISON-HEMPSTEAD-
HOWARD-JACKSON-LA SALLE-LAFAYETTE-LINCOLN-LITTLE RIVER-MARION-
MCCURTAIN-MILLER-MORRIS-NACOGDOCHES-NATCHITOCHES-NEVADA-OUACHITA-
PANOLA-RED RIVER LA-RED RIVER TX-RUSK-SABINE LA-SABINE TX-
SAN AUGUSTINE-SEVIER-SHELBY-SMITH-TITUS-UNION AR-UNION LA-UPSHUR-
WEBSTER-WINN-WOOD-
1245 PM CDT TUE MAY 21 2013
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
AND SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS...NORTH CENTRAL AND NORTHWEST
LOUISIANA...SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA...AND EAST AND NORTHEAST TEXAS.
.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...
THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS TODAY ACROSS MUCH
OF EAST TEXAS...SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA...SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS...AND
NORTHWEST LOUISIANA AND PARTS OF NORTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA. AN UPPER
LEVEL TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL SHIFT EAST ACROSS THE SOUTHERN
PLAINS THIS AFTERNOON AND OVERNIGHT...AND INTERACT WITH STRONG
INSTABILITY...VARIOUS CONVECTIVE BOUNDARIES LEFT IN PLACE FROM
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLIER MONDAY NIGHT AND EARLY TUESDAY
MORNING...AND A MOIST ATMOSPHERE. ONGOING SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS OVER SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA INTO SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS
AND EXTREME NORTHEAST TEXAS WILL EXPAND AND DEVELOP OVER
REMAINING PARTS OF THE FOUR STATE REGION. WINDS FEEDING INTO THE
AREA WILL BE TURNING WITH HEIGHT PROVIDING WIND SHEAR WHICH WILL
HELP WITH UPDRAFT ROTATION...SUCH THAT SOME OF THESE STORMS WILL
BECOME SEVERE...CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS...LARGE HAIL...
AND ISOLATED TORNADOES. THESE STORMS WILL ALSO PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL AT TIMES...GIVEN THE AMOUNT OF MOISTURE PROVIDED BY
THE GULF OF MEXICO...THAT CAN PRODUCE FROM ONE TO THREE INCHES
OF RAIN ACROSS NORTHEAST TEXAS...SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA...
SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS AND NORTHWEST LOUISIANA. THESE STORMS SHOULD
CONSOLIDATE INTO A LARGE THUNDERSTORM COMPLEX TONIGHT AS IT
PROPAGATES EAST SOUTHEAST ACROSS SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS AND NORTH
LOUISIANA...WHERE STRONG DAMAGING STRAIGHT LINE WINDS WILL BE
POSSIBLE. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD WEAKEN LATE TONIGHT
AND EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING NORTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA AS
INSTABILITY GRADUALLY DIMINISHES.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY...
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD BE ONGOING WEDNESDAY MORNING
ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA AND PORTIONS OF DEEP EAST
TEXAS...BUT SHOULD DIMINISH FROM WEST TO EAST BY LATE MORNING
WITH THE DEPARTURE OF THE UPPER TROUGH. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS MAY REDEVELOP WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON MAINLY SOUTH OF
INTERSTATE 20 OVER EAST TEXAS AND NORTH LOUISIANA...WHERE A WEAK
SURFACE BOUNDARY BECOMES STATIONARY. THESE STORMS SHOULD
DIMINISH WEDNESDAY EVENING WITH THE LOSS OF HEATING.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
ACTIVATION OF EMERGENCY MANAGERS...SKYWARN NETWORKS...AND AMATEUR
RADIO PERSONNEL...WILL BE REQUIRED THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.
$$
06