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Flood Warning


FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KENTUCKY
808 PM CDT TUE MAR 31 2015

...The flood warning continues for the Little Wabash River affecting
   areas in southeast Illinois...

   At Carmi affecting Gallatin...Wayne and White Counties

.Water levels continue to slowly recede along portions of the
Little Wabash River with minor flood conditions forecast to end
early Thursday at Carmi.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...

Never drive cars...trucks or sport utility vehicles through flooded
areas. The water may be too deep to allow safe passage. Never allow
children to play in or near flood waters. Stay tuned to NOAA Weather
Radio or your local media for further statements and possible updated
forecasts.

Additional information is available at
http://www.crh.noaa.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=pah /lower case/

&&

ILC059-191-193-020508-
/O.EXT.KPAH.FL.W.0017.000000T0000Z-150402T1200Z/
/CARI2.2.ER.150314T0007Z.150319T2330Z.150402T0600Z.NO/
808 PM CDT TUE MAR 31 2015

The Flood Warning continues for the Little Wabash River at Carmi.
* until Thursday morning.
* At 8 PM Tuesday the stage was 27.9 feet.
* Flood Stage is 27.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will fall below flood stage
  Thursday morning.
* Impact...At 27.0 Feet...The inundation of county roads begins.

&&

LAT...LON 3826 8816 3801 8828 3791 8812 3793 8808
      3804 8813 3825 8802

$$


Special Weather Statement


SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL
425 AM CDT WED APR 1 2015

KSZ025-057-060-102>105-MOZ001>008-011>017-020>025-028>033-037>040-
043>046-053-054-020000-
ATCHISON KS-MIAMI-LINN KS-DONIPHAN-LEAVENWORTH-WYANDOTTE-
JOHNSON KS-ATCHISON MO-NODAWAY-WORTH-GENTRY-HARRISON-MERCER-
PUTNAM-SCHUYLER-HOLT-ANDREW-DE KALB-DAVIESS-GRUNDY-SULLIVAN-ADAIR-
BUCHANAN-CLINTON-CALDWELL-LIVINGSTON-LINN MO-MACON-PLATTE-CLAY-
RAY-CARROLL-CHARITON-RANDOLPH-JACKSON-LAFAYETTE-SALINE-HOWARD-
CASS-JOHNSON MO-PETTIS-COOPER-BATES-HENRY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ATCHISON...PAOLA...MOUND CITY...TROY...
LEAVENWORTH...KANSAS CITY KS...OVERLAND PARK...OLATHE...TARKIO...
ROCKPORT...MARYVILLE...GRANT CITY...ALBANY...STANBERRY...
BETHANY...PRINCETON...UNIONVILLE...LANCASTER...DOWNING...OREGON...
SAVANNAH...CAMERON...GALLATIN...JAMESPORT...TRENTON...MILAN...
GREEN CITY...KIRKSVILLE...ST. JOSEPH...PLATTSBURG...KINGSTON...
HAMILTON...POLO...CHILLICOTHE...BROOKFIELD...MACON...LA PLATA...
PARKVILLE...PLATTE CITY...WESTON...LIBERTY...EXCELSIOR SPRINGS...
RICHMOND...CARROLLTON...SALISBURY...KEYTESVILLE...MOBERLY...
KANSAS CITY...INDEPENDENCE...LEXINGTON...CONCORDIA...MARSHALL...
FAYETTE...NEW FRANKLIN...RAYMORE...HARRISONVILLE...
PLEASANT HILL...WARRENSBURG...SEDALIA...BOONVILLE...BUTLER...
RICH HILL...CLINTON
425 AM CDT WED APR 1 2015

...ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS TODAY...

GUSTY SOUTH WINDS OF UP TO 35 MPH AND VERY DRY SURFACE FUELS WILL
LEAD TO ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS THIS AFTERNOON. ANY
UNATTENDED FIRES MAY QUICKLY GET OUT OF CONTROL. AVOID OUTSIDE
BURNING IF POSSIBLE.

$$


Hazardous Weather Outlook


HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
502 AM CDT WED APR 1 2015

KSZ025-057-060-102>105-MOZ001>008-011>017-020>025-028>033-037>040-
043>046-053-054-021015-
ATCHISON KS-MIAMI-LINN KS-DONIPHAN-LEAVENWORTH-WYANDOTTE-JOHNSON KS-
ATCHISON MO-NODAWAY-WORTH-GENTRY-HARRISON-MERCER-PUTNAM-SCHUYLER-
HOLT-ANDREW-DE KALB-DAVIESS-GRUNDY-SULLIVAN-ADAIR-BUCHANAN-CLINTON-
CALDWELL-LIVINGSTON-LINN MO-MACON-PLATTE-CLAY-RAY-CARROLL-CHARITON-
RANDOLPH-JACKSON-LAFAYETTE-SALINE-HOWARD-CASS-JOHNSON MO-PETTIS-
COOPER-BATES-HENRY-
502 AM CDT WED APR 1 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST...NORTH CENTRAL AND
WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI...AS WELL AS EXTREME EASTERN KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

 VERY HIGH FIRE DANGER IS EXPECTED TODAY DUE TO STRONG SOUTHERLY
 WINDS AND HUMIDITY VALUES IN THE 30 TO 40 PERCENT RANGE.

 THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY LATE THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT. LARGE HAIL
 AND GUST WINDS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS FAR NORTHWESTERN MISSOURI.
 ADDITIONALLY... LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN AND MINOR FLOODING IS POSSIBLE.

 MORE DETAILED INFORMATION CAN BE ACCESSED AT...
 HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MEDIA/EAX/EMBRIEFING1/EMBRIEFING1.PDF

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

 THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE THURSDAY. THE BEST CHANCES FOR SEVERE
 STORMS WILL BE ACROSS SOUTHERN AND SOUTHEASTERN MISSOURI BUT A FEW
 STRONG STORMS ARE POSSIBLE SOUTH SOUTH AND EAST OF LINE FROM
 PLEASANTON... KS TO SEDALIA... MO.

 MORE DETAILED INFORMATION CAN BE ACCESSED AT...
 HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MEDIA/EAX/EMBRIEFING1/EMBRIEFING1.PDF

$$

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
453 AM CDT WED APR 1 2015

IAZ040>042-051>054-063>068-076>078-087>089-098-099-ILZ001-002-007-
009-015>018-024>026-034-035-MOZ009-010-021100-
BUCHANAN-DELAWARE-DUBUQUE-BENTON-LINN-JONES-JACKSON-IOWA-JOHNSON-
CEDAR-CLINTON-MUSCATINE-SCOTT-KEOKUK-WASHINGTON-LOUISA-JEFFERSON-
HENRY IA-DES MOINES-VAN BUREN-LEE-JO DAVIESS-STEPHENSON-CARROLL-
WHITESIDE-ROCK ISLAND-HENRY IL-BUREAU-PUTNAM-MERCER-HENDERSON-
WARREN-HANCOCK-MCDONOUGH-SCOTLAND-CLARK-
453 AM CDT WED APR 1 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL
ILLINOIS...NORTHWEST ILLINOIS...WEST CENTRAL ILLINOIS...EAST
CENTRAL IOWA...NORTHEAST IOWA...SOUTHEAST IOWA AND NORTHEAST
MISSOURI.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 PM
CDT THIS EVENING...

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TO 7 PM CDT TODAY...ROUGHLY
ALONG AND WEST OF A LINE FROM MANCHESTER TO MOUNT PLEASANT. THE GRASSLAND
FIRE DANGER INDEX WILL BE IN THE EXTREME CATEGORY OVER MOST OF THE RED
FLAG WARNING AREA. EXPECT HIGHS OF 75 TO 80 IN THESE AREAS... WITH SUSTAINED
SOUTH WINDS AROUND 25 MPH AND GUSTS AROUND 40 PM. AFTERNOON RELATIVE
HUMIDITY WILL DROP NEAR 25 PERCENT.

TO THE EAST OF THE RED FLAG WARNING...THE FIRE DANGER INDEX WILL BE IN
THE VERY HIGH CATEGORY OVER MOST AREAS THIS AFTERNOON...WHERE WINDS
WON`T BE QUITE AS STRONG AND TEMPERATURES WILL BE SLIGHTLY COOLER.

LATER TONIGHT...A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE REGION ACCOMPANIED BY SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. A FEW STRONG STORMS ARE POSSIBLE BY LATE EVENING
AND INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS...BUT THE THREAT FOR SEVERE WEATHER IS
LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE THURSDAY MORNING BEFORE TAPERING
OFF DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS. NO SEVERE WEATHER IS EXPECTED.
TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS FROM WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY OF 0.50
TO 0.75 INCHES WILL BE COMMON...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS IN
AREAS AFFECTED BY STRONGER STORMS.

THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE AGAIN MONDAY AND TUESDAY...WITH A LOW
THREAT OF SEVERE WEATHER.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY OR TONIGHT.

$$

RP KINNEY

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
438 AM CDT WED APR 1 2015

ILZ075>078-080>094-INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ001>022-MOZ076-086-087-
100-107>112-114-020945-
JEFFERSON-WAYNE IL-EDWARDS-WABASH-PERRY IL-FRANKLIN-HAMILTON-
WHITE-JACKSON-WILLIAMSON-SALINE-GALLATIN-UNION IL-JOHNSON-POPE-
HARDIN-ALEXANDER-PULASKI-MASSAC-GIBSON-PIKE-POSEY-VANDERBURGH-
WARRICK-SPENCER-FULTON-HICKMAN-CARLISLE-BALLARD-MCCRACKEN-GRAVES-
LIVINGSTON-MARSHALL-CALLOWAY-CRITTENDEN-LYON-TRIGG-CALDWELL-
UNION KY-WEBSTER-HOPKINS-CHRISTIAN-HENDERSON-DAVIESS-MCLEAN-
MUHLENBERG-TODD-PERRY MO-BOLLINGER-CAPE GIRARDEAU-WAYNE MO-CARTER-
RIPLEY-BUTLER-STODDARD-SCOTT-MISSISSIPPI-NEW MADRID-
438 AM CDT WED APR 1 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN
ILLINOIS...SOUTHWEST INDIANA...WESTERN KENTUCKY AND SOUTHEAST
MISSOURI.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THERE IS A SMALL CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS...MAINLY TONIGHT. THE
PRIMARY HAZARDS WILL BE DANGEROUS LIGHTNING AND POSSIBLY SOME
SMALL HAIL.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THURSDAY AND
THURSDAY NIGHT. THE MAIN TIME FRAME FOR SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL
APPEARS TO BE FROM LATE AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING HOURS. THE
PRIMARY HAZARD WILL BE ISOLATED DAMAGING WINDS...BUT LARGE HAIL IS
ALSO POSSIBLE.

HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BECOME THE PRIMARY CONCERN LATER THURSDAY
NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY. STORM TOTAL RAINFALL IS FORECAST TO AVERAGE
FROM 1 TO 3 INCHES. SEE THE FLOOD POTENTIAL OUTLOOK FOR DETAILS.

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ON FRIDAY ALONG AND
SOUTHEAST OF THE OHIO RIVER. ISOLATED DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE
HAIL WILL BE THE MAIN HAZARDS...PRIMARILY DURING THE AFTERNOON. A
COLD FRONT WILL EXIT OUR REGION LATE IN THE AFTERNOON...BRINGING
AN END TO THE THUNDERSTORMS AND HEAVY RAIN.

THUNDERSTORMS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH
TUESDAY WITH THE BEST CHANCES BEING ON TUESDAY. WIDESPREAD SEVERE
WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUESTED THURSDAY...THURSDAY
NIGHT...AND FRIDAY.

$$

MY/JAP

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
419 AM CDT WED APR 1 2015

ILZ058>060-064-065-069-070-074-079-095>102-MOZ018-019-026-027-
034>036-041-042-047>052-059>065-072>075-084-085-099-020000-
GREENE IL-MACOUPIN IL-MONTGOMERY IL-BOND IL-FAYETTE IL-CLINTON IL-
MARION IL-WASHINGTON IL-RANDOLPH IL-ADAMS IL-BROWN IL-PIKE IL-
CALHOUN IL-JERSEY IL-MADISON IL-ST. CLAIR IL-MONROE IL-KNOX MO-
LEWIS MO-SHELBY MO-MARION MO-MONROE MO-RALLS MO-PIKE MO-BOONE MO-
AUDRAIN MO-MONITEAU MO-COLE MO-OSAGE MO-CALLAWAY MO-MONTGOMERY MO-
LINCOLN MO-GASCONADE MO-WARREN MO-ST. CHARLES MO-FRANKLIN MO-
ST. LOUIS MO-ST. LOUIS CITY MO-JEFFERSON MO-CRAWFORD MO-
WASHINGTON MO-ST. FRANCOIS MO-STE. GENEVIEVE MO-IRON MO-
MADISON MO-REYNOLDS MO-
419 AM CDT WED APR 1 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN AND
CENTRAL MISSOURI AS WELL AS WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ILLINOIS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THERE IS A HEIGHTENED FIRE DANGER TODAY ACROSS PARTS OF MISSOURI
AND ILLINOIS.

THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY THIS EVENING
ACROSS THE EASTERN OZARKS. THERE IS ALSO A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
FROM LATE TONIGHT INTO THURSDAY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED ON THURSDAY. SOME OF THE STRONGER
STORMS COULD PRODUCE SEVERE WEATHER...ESPECIALLY ALONG AND SOUTH
OF INTERSTATE 70 ON THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THUNDERSTORMS
WILL TAPER OFF ON FRIDAY.

THERE IS ANOTHER CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS FROM SUNDAY NIGHT
THROUGH TUESDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED THROUGH TONIGHT.

$$

KANOFSKY

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
416 AM CDT WED APR 1 2015

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-020930-
BOURBON-CRAWFORD-CHEROKEE-BENTON-MORGAN-MILLER-MARIES-VERNON-
ST. CLAIR-HICKORY-CAMDEN-PULASKI-PHELPS-BARTON-CEDAR-POLK-DALLAS-
LACLEDE-TEXAS-DENT-JASPER-DADE-GREENE-WEBSTER-WRIGHT-NEWTON-
LAWRENCE-CHRISTIAN-DOUGLAS-HOWELL-SHANNON-MCDONALD-BARRY-STONE-
TANEY-OZARK-OREGON-
416 AM CDT WED APR 1 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE MISSOURI
OZARKS AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

WEATHER HAZARDS EXPECTED...

  LIMITED HAIL RISK.
  LIMITED THUNDERSTORM WIND DAMAGE RISK.
  LIMITED LIGHTNING RISK.
  LIMITED NON THUNDERSTORM WIND RISK.

DISCUSSION...

  ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP TODAY AS AN
  UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE AND WARM FRONT MOVE ACROSS THE AREA. A
  FEW STRONG TO POTENTIALLY SEVERE STORMS MAY DEVELOP WITH HAIL TO
  THE SIZE OF QUARTERS AND LOCALIZED WIND GUSTS TO AROUND 50 MPH.
  THE GREATEST COVERAGE OF STORMS WILL BE ACROSS FAR SOUTHERN
  MISSOURI THIS AFTERNOON.

  SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL GUST TO AROUND 30 MPH ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN
  KANSAS INTO SOUTHWESTERN MISSOURI.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

  PERIODS OF THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH
  EARLY FRIDAY WITH THE APPROACH AND PASSAGE OF A COLD FRONT.
  STRONG TO POTENTIALLY SEVERE STORMS MAY DEVELOP THURSDAY INTO
  THURSDAY EVENING WITH DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL THE PRIMARY
  HAZARDS.

  IN ADDITION...HEAVY RAINFALL AND THE POTENTIAL FOR LOCALIZED
  FLOODING MAY DEVELOP LATER THURSDAY.

  NORTHWESTERLY WINDS MAY GUST UP TO 30 MPH ON FRIDAY BEHIND THE
  COLD FRONT.

  SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL RETURN ON SUNDAY WITH SOME GUSTS TO NEAR 30
  MPH DURING THE AFTERNOON.

  THERE WILL BE PERIODIC THUNDERSTORM CHANCES FROM SUNDAY NIGHT INTO
  NEXT TUESDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

  SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED THROUGH TONIGHT.

&&

THIS PRODUCT IS NOW AVAILABLE IN GRAPHICAL FORMAT...ALONG WITH
OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE INFORMATION...AT
HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/SGF(ALL LOWERCASE)

$$

FOSTER


Hydrologic Outlook


HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK
ILC003-047-055-059-065-069-077-081-087-127-145-151-153-165-181-
185-191-193-199-INC051-125-129-147-163-173-KYC007-033-035-039-047-
055-059-075-083-101-105-107-139-143-145-149-157-177-219-221-225-
233-MOC017-023-031-035-133-143-157-181-201-207-223-012215-

HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
502 AM CDT WED APR 1 2015

...HEAVY RAINFALL LIKELY THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY...

A WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAINFALL EVENT IS FORECAST TO OCCUR...MOSTLY ON
THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY. RAINFALL AMOUNTS BY FRIDAY EVENING ARE
CURRENTLY PREDICTED TO AVERAGE BETWEEN 1 AND 3 INCHES. THE
AXIS OF HEAVIEST RAINFALL MAY BE ALONG THE LOWER OHIO
VALLEY...FROM SOUTHWEST INDIANA INTO EXTREME SOUTHERN ILLINOIS AND
EXTREME WESTERN KENTUCKY. THE EXACT LOCATION OF THE HEAVIEST RAIN
WILL DEPEND ON THE MOVEMENT OF A COLD FRONT THAT WILL BECOME
NEARLY STATIONARY IN THE VICINITY OF THE LOWER OHIO VALLEY.

THE LARGER RIVERS ACROSS OUR REGION HAVE JUST FALLEN BELOW FLOOD
STAGE IN THE PAST COUPLE OF DAYS. THESE RIVERS ARE STILL
HIGH...SO THE UPCOMING HEAVY RAINFALL EVENT COULD HAVE SOME
IMPACT. IN ADDITION...THE SUBSOIL IS STILL VERY MOIST...WHICH MAY
CAUSE RAPID RUNOFF INTO THE SMALLER RIVERS AND STREAMS. FLOODING
OF LOW LYING AND FLOOD PRONE AREAS IS POSSIBLE.

PERSONS IN AND NEAR FLOOD PRONE AREAS SHOULD PAY ATTENTION TO
LATER FORECASTS AND OUTLOOKS.

$$

YORK

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NOAA National Weather Service
1325 East West Highway
Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: June 2, 2009
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