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Hazardous Weather Outlook


Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service El Paso Tx/Santa Teresa NM
617 AM MDT Thu Oct 19 2017

NMZ401>417-TXZ418>424-201230-
Upper Gila River Valley-Southern Gila Highlands/Black Range-
Southern Gila Foothills/Mimbres Valley-
Southwest Desert/Lower Gila River Valley-Lowlands of the Bootheel-
Uplands of the Bootheel-Southwest Desert/Mimbres Basin-
Eastern Black Range Foothills-Sierra County Lakes-
Northern Dona Ana County-Southern Dona Ana County/Mesilla Valley-
Central Tularosa Basin-Southern Tularosa Basin-
West Slopes Sacramento Mountains Below 7500 Feet-
Sacramento Mountains Above 7500 Feet-
East Slopes Sacramento Mountains Below 7500 Feet-Otero Mesa-
Western El Paso County-Eastern/Central El Paso County-
Northern Hudspeth Highlands/Hueco Mountains-Salt Basin-
Southern Hudspeth Highlands-
Rio Grande Valley of Eastern El Paso/Western Hudspeth Counties-
Rio Grande Valley of Eastern Hudspeth County-
617 AM MDT Thu Oct 19 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of south central
New Mexico, southwest New Mexico, and southwest Texas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Isolated showers and thunderstorms are expected today and
overnight. Instability and dynamics are improved today so some
storms will likely become strong to severe. Isolated storms may
produce moderate to large hail and strong damaging outflow winds.
Blowing dust may be lofted and dangerously reduce visibility over
dust-prone areas. Abundant moisture may also allow for some storms
to produce heavy rain and a slight risk of flash flooding.


.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday

Isolated to scattered shower and thunderstorm activity possible
through early Friday morning for eastern areas. Breezy to windy
afternoons Friday and Saturday may cause blowing dust and low
visibility concerns over the Southwest Deserts. Otherwise conditions
become benign for the rest of the period beginning mid-day Friday
as dry air moves in.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotters are encouraged to report any occurrence of significant
weather to the NWS or local law enforcement officials.

$$

Bird

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
524 AM MDT Thu Oct 19 2017

COZ058>089-093>099-201130-
Western Mosquito Range/East Lake County Above 11000 Ft-
Leadville Vicinity/Lake County Below 11000 Ft-
Eastern Sawatch Mountains above 11000 Ft-
Western Chaffee County Between 9000 and 11000 Ft-
Central Chaffee County Below 9000 Ft-
Western Mosquito Range/East Chaffee County above 9000Ft-
Saguache County West of Continental Divide Below 10000 Ft-
Saguache County East of Continental Divide below 10000 Ft-
La Garita Mountains Above 10000 Ft-
Upper Rio Grande Valley/Eastern San Juan Mountains Below 10000 Ft-
Eastern San Juan Mountains Above 10000 Ft-
Del Norte Vicinity/Northern San Luis Valley Below 8500 Ft-
Alamosa  Vicinity/Central San Luis Valley Below 8500 Ft-
Southern San Luis Valley-
Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Between 8500 And 11000 Ft-
Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains above 11000 Ft-
Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Between 7500 and 11000 Ft-
Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Above 11000 Ft-
Northwestern Fremont County  Above 8500Ft-
Western/Central Fremont County Below 8500 Ft-
Wet Mountain Valley Below 8500 Ft-
Wet Mountains between 6300 and 10000Ft-
Wet Mountains above 10000 Ft-
Teller County/Rampart Range above 7500fT/Pike`s Peak Between
7500 And 11000 Ft-Pikes Peak above 11000 Ft-
Canon City Vicinity/Eastern Fremont County-
Northern El Paso County/Monument Ridge/Rampart Range Below
7500 Ft-
Colorado Springs Vicinity/Southern El Paso County/Rampart Range
Below 7400 Ft-Pueblo Vicinity/Pueblo County Below 6300 Feet-
Walsenburg Vicinity/Upper Huerfano River Basin Below 7500 Ft-
Trinidad Vicinity/Western Las Animas County Below 7500 Ft-
Crowley County-La Junta Vicinity/Otero County-
Eastern Las Animas County-Western Kiowa County-
Eastern Kiowa County-Las Animas Vicinity/Bent County-
Lamar Vicinity/Prowers County-Springfield Vicinity/Baca County-
524 AM MDT Thu Oct 19 2017

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central...east
central...south central and southeast Colorado.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Isolated thunderstorms will be possible across the higher terrain
this afternoon and early evening. Cloud to ground lightning will be
the primary threat.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday

Isolated thundershowers may occur in the mountains Friday and
Saturday afternoon. The only threat will be cloud to ground
lightning.

A few inches of snow may occur across the central mountains,
mainly north of Cottonwood Pass, Friday night into early Saturday
morning. Snow showers with very light accumulations may occur
across the remainder of the highest terrain Friday night and
Saturday morning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters will not be needed today or tonight.

$$

23/Hodanish

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
429 AM MDT Thu Oct 19 2017

NMZ501>540-201100-
Northwest Plateau-Chuska Mountains-Far Northwest Highlands-
Northwest Highlands-West Central Plateau-West Central Mountains-
West Central Highlands-Southwest Mountains-
San Francisco River Valley-San Juan Mountains-Jemez Mountains-
West Slopes Sangre de Cristo Mountains-
Northern Sangre de Cristos above 9500 feet/Red River-
Southern Sangre de Cristos above 9500 feet-
East Slopes Sangre de Cristo Mountains-Upper Rio Grande Valley-
Lower Chama River Valley-Santa Fe Metro Area-
Middle Rio Grande Valley/Albuquerque Metro Area-
Lower Rio Grande Valley-Sandia/Manzano Mountains-Estancia Valley-
Central Highlands-South Central Highlands-Upper Tularosa Valley-
South Central Mountains-Raton Ridge/Johnson Mesa-
Far Northeast Highlands-Northeast Highlands-Union County-
Harding County-Eastern San Miguel County-Guadalupe County-
Quay County-Curry County-Roosevelt County-De Baca County-
Chaves County Plains-Eastern Lincoln County-Southwest Chaves County-
429 AM MDT Thu Oct 19 2017

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of northern and
central New Mexico.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms are expected to take
shape over central to south central New Mexico today and this
evening. A few of the stronger storms will be capable of producing
brief heavy downpours with small hail and gusty winds.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday

Colder temperatures are expected Saturday night into Sunday morning.
A few locations along the Rio Grande valley near Corrales,
Albuquerque, and Los Lunas could observe freezing temperatures for
the first time this season.

Weather can change very rapidly. Always use the latest forecasts,
watches and warning for planning purposes.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotters are encouraged to report any rainfall or hail through the
National Weather Service Albuquerque web site at weather.gov/abq or
by calling 1.888.386.7637. You can also submit storm reports and
photos on our Facebook page or via Twitter using the hashtag nmwx.

$$

52

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
517 AM CDT Thu Oct 19 2017

OKZ001>003-TXZ001>020-192230-
Cimarron-Texas-Beaver-Dallam-Sherman-Hansford-Ochiltree-Lipscomb-
Hartley-Moore-Hutchinson-Roberts-Hemphill-Oldham-Potter-Carson-
Gray-Wheeler-Deaf Smith-Randall-Armstrong-Donley-Collingsworth-
517 AM CDT Thu Oct 19 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Texas and Oklahoma
Panhandles.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

An isolated thunderstorm can`t be ruled out for the southwestern
Texas Panhandle this evening. Severe weather is not expected.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Isolated thunderstorms will be possible across sections of the
eastern Oklahoma and Texas Panhandles Friday through Saturday
evening. While widespread severe weather is not expected, an
isolated strong to severe storm can`t be ruled out.

Frost conditions are possible across portions of the western
Texas and Oklahoma Panhandle early Sunday morning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated at this time.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service San Angelo TX
508 AM CDT Thu Oct 19 2017

TXZ049-054-064>066-071>073-076>078-098-099-113-114-127-128-139-
140-154-155-168>170-201015-
Fisher-Nolan-Sterling-Coke-Runnels-Irion-Tom Green-Concho-
Crockett-Schleicher-Sutton-Haskell-Throckmorton-Jones-Shackelford-
Taylor-Callahan-Coleman-Brown-McCulloch-San Saba-Menard-Kimble-
Mason-
508 AM CDT Thu Oct 19 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of west central
Texas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

There is a slight chance for thunderstorms tonight. The
main hazard will be dangerous lightning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday

Strong to severe thunderstorms will be possible Saturday evening
into Saturday night, mainly across the area east of a line from
Rotan to San Angelo to London. The primary hazards will be
damaging winds and dangerous lightning, but large hail will also
be possible.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Some spotter activation may be needed Saturday evening across
northern and eastern parts of west central Texas.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Norman OK
456 AM CDT Thu Oct 19 2017

OKZ004>048-050>052-TXZ083>090-201000-
Harper-Woods-Alfalfa-Grant-Kay-Ellis-Woodward-Major-Garfield-
Noble-Roger Mills-Dewey-Custer-Blaine-Kingfisher-Logan-Payne-
Beckham-Washita-Caddo-Canadian-Oklahoma-Lincoln-Grady-McClain-
Cleveland-Pottawatomie-Seminole-Hughes-Harmon-Greer-Kiowa-Jackson-
Tillman-Comanche-Stephens-Garvin-Murray-Pontotoc-Coal-Cotton-
Jefferson-Carter-Johnston-Atoka-Love-Marshall-Bryan-Hardeman-
Foard-Wilbarger-Wichita-Knox-Baylor-Archer-Clay-
456 AM CDT Thu Oct 19 2017

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of northern...
western...central...and southern Oklahoma...and western north
Texas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight...

.Thunderstorms...
There is a low chance of thunderstorms late tonight in western
sections of north Texas. No severe weather is expected.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday...

.Thunderstorms...
There is an enhanced risk of severe thunderstorms on Saturday
afternoon and evening east of a line from Ponca City to Watonga to
Hobart Oklahoma to Vernon and Archer City Texas. This enhanced
risk includes the Oklahoma City metropolitan area, Wichita Falls,
Lawton, Stillwater, Ardmore, Ada, and Durant. There is a marginal
or slight risk on Saturday afternoon and evening west of the
enhanced risk and east of a line from Alva to Cheyenne to Hollis
Oklahoma to Knox City Texas.

Thunderstorms may develop across the area as early as Friday, but
the severe weather risk is low with any thunderstorms Friday,
Friday night and Saturday morning.

Thunderstorms will become much more widespread on Saturday
afternoon in northern Oklahoma as a front moves into the area.
These storms will spread southeast along and ahead of this front
Saturday afternoon and evening and early Sunday morning. There
will be the risk of severe weather and locally heavy rainfall with
these storms Saturday afternoon and night. Wind gusts of 60 to
80 mph will be the main concern with these thunderstorms, although
hail up to the size of tennis balls will also be possible with
some of the stronger storms. These thunderstorms are expected to
move out of the area early Sunday morning.

Get graphics and more details at weather.gov/norman...and follow
our weather forecast office on Twitter and Facebook.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
236 AM CDT Thu Oct 19 2017

NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-057>063-067>070-074-075-
079>082-258-200745-
Guadalupe Mountains of Eddy County-Eddy County Plains-
Northern Lea County-Central Lea County-Southern Lea County-Gaines-
Dawson-Borden-Scurry-Andrews-Martin-Howard-Mitchell-
Van Horn and Highway 54 Corridor-Reeves County and Upper Trans Pecos-
Loving-Winkler-Ector-Midland-Glasscock-Ward-Crane-Upton-Reagan-
Davis/Apache Mountains Area-Pecos-Presidio Valley-Marfa Plateau-
Big Bend Area-Terrell-Guadalupe Mountains-
236 AM CDT Thu Oct 19 2017 /136 AM MDT Thu Oct 19 2017/

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of southeast New
Mexico, southwest Texas and western Texas.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

Thunderstorms will be possible today, and especially tonight, mainly
over the higher terrain of West Texas and Southeast New Mexico.  Any
storms that do develop will be accompanied by frequent lightning and
brief, heavy rainfall. A severe storm of two will be possible,
mainly in and around the Guadalupe Mountains, capable of producing
large hail and damaging winds.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated.

$$

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories,
and statements issued by the National Weather Service Office in
Midland, can be found on the internet at...
http://weather.gov/midland

44

U.S. Dept. of Commerce
NOAA National Weather Service
1325 East West Highway
Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: June 2, 2009
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