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Hazardous Weather Outlook


Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Lubbock TX
359 AM CDT Wed Aug 16 2017

TXZ021>044-170900-
Parmer-Castro-Swisher-Briscoe-Hall-Childress-Bailey-Lamb-Hale-
Floyd-Motley-Cottle-Cochran-Hockley-Lubbock-Crosby-Dickens-King-
Yoakum-Terry-Lynn-Garza-Kent-Stonewall-
359 AM CDT Wed Aug 16 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the South Plains...Rolling
Plains and the far Southern Texas Panhandle.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Isolated to widely scattered thunderstorms will be possible today
over the Rolling Plains which may bring heavy rain and localized
flooding.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
107 PM CDT Wed Aug 16 2017

NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-057>063-067>070-074-075-
079>082-258-171815-
Guadalupe Mountains of Eddy County-Eddy County Plains-
Northern Lea County-Central Lea County-Southern Lea County-Gaines-
Dawson-Borden-Scurry-Andrews-Martin-Howard-Mitchell-
Van Horn and Highway 54 Corridor-Reeves County and Upper Trans Pecos-
Loving-Winkler-Ector-Midland-Glasscock-Ward-Crane-Upton-Reagan-
Davis/Apache Mountains Area-Pecos-Presidio Valley-Marfa Plateau-
Big Bend Area-Terrell-Guadalupe Mountains-
107 PM CDT Wed Aug 16 2017 /1207 PM MDT Wed Aug 16 2017/

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of southeast New
Mexico, southwest Texas and western Texas.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

Isolated to scattered thunderstorms are expected to develop late
this afternoon, continuing into the evening, from the eastern
Permian Basin to the Presidio Valley eastward. Strong storms
with locally heavy rain, hail and gusty winds will be possible
mostly over the eastern Permian Basin. The main threat will
the potential for damaging winds and areas of dense blowing dust
near thunderstorms in this area.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated.

$$

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories,
and statements issued by the National Weather Service Office in
Midland, can be found on the internet at...
http://weather.gov/midland

05

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
1142 AM MDT Wed Aug 16 2017

COZ058>089-093>099-171745-
Western Mosquito Range/East Lake County Above 11000 Ft-
Leadville Vicinity/Lake County Below 11000 Ft-
Eastern Sawatch Mountains above 11000 Ft-
Western Chaffee County Between 9000 and 11000 Ft-
Central Chaffee County Below 9000 Ft-
Western Mosquito Range/East Chaffee County above 9000Ft-
Saguache County West of Continental Divide Below 10000 Ft-
Saguache County East of Continental Divide below 10000 Ft-
La Garita Mountains Above 10000 Ft-
Upper Rio Grande Valley/Eastern San Juan Mountains Below 10000 Ft-
Eastern San Juan Mountains Above 10000 Ft-
Del Norte Vicinity/Northern San Luis Valley Below 8500 Ft-
Alamosa  Vicinity/Central San Luis Valley Below 8500 Ft-
Southern San Luis Valley-
Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Between 8500 And 11000 Ft-
Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains above 11000 Ft-
Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Between 7500 and 11000 Ft-
Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Above 11000 Ft-
Northwestern Fremont County  Above 8500Ft-
Western/Central Fremont County Below 8500 Ft-
Wet Mountain Valley Below 8500 Ft-
Wet Mountains between 6300 and 10000Ft-
Wet Mountains above 10000 Ft-
Teller County/Rampart Range above 7500fT/Pike`s Peak Between
7500 And 11000 Ft-Pikes Peak above 11000 Ft-
Canon City Vicinity/Eastern Fremont County-
Northern El Paso County/Monument Ridge/Rampart Range Below
7500 Ft-
Colorado Springs Vicinity/Southern El Paso County/Rampart Range
Below 7400 Ft-Pueblo Vicinity/Pueblo County Below 6300 Feet-
Walsenburg Vicinity/Upper Huerfano River Basin Below 7500 Ft-
Trinidad Vicinity/Western Las Animas County Below 7500 Ft-
Crowley County-La Junta Vicinity/Otero County-
Eastern Las Animas County-Western Kiowa County-
Eastern Kiowa County-Las Animas Vicinity/Bent County-
Lamar Vicinity/Prowers County-Springfield Vicinity/Baca County-
1142 AM MDT Wed Aug 16 2017

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central...east
central...south central and southeast Colorado.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight

An upper level disturbance will act to trigger a few thunderstorms
over the region today.  The most likely area for storms will be over
the Pikes Peak Region including both Teller and El Paso Counties. As
the afternoon progresses, some of this activity could work south
and eastward across Fremont, Custer, Pueblo, Crowley and Otero
Counties. Elsewhere, isolated storms will be possible today but
the overall coverage of storms will be rather limited. Primary
storm threats today will include locally heavy rain, wind gusts to
around 50 mph, pea size hail and lightning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday

Expect isolated to scattered thunderstorms each day. Storm
activity is expected to become more tied to the higher terrain
starting Saturday, and more sparse across the eastern plains. The
main threats from the storms will be small hail, gusty winds and
lightning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather conditions that meet reporting criteria for spotters will be
possible this afternoon and evening, primarily around the Pikes Peak
Region.

$$

31/31

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Wichita KS
1235 PM CDT Wed Aug 16 2017

KSZ032-033-047>053-067>072-082-083-091>096-098>100-170945-
Russell-Lincoln-Barton-Ellsworth-Saline-Rice-McPherson-Marion-Chase-
Reno-Harvey-Butler-Greenwood-Woodson-Allen-Kingman-Sedgwick-Harper-
Sumner-Cowley-Elk-Wilson-Neosho-Chautauqua-Montgomery-Labette-
1235 PM CDT Wed Aug 16 2017

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of Central Kansas,
South Central Kansas and Southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and Tonight

Severe storms with golf ball sized hail and damaging winds of 60 mph
may develop along a slow moving cold front this afternoon and
evening. The best chance for severe storms will be along and east of
the Kansas Turnpike where heavy rain may also result in localized
flooding. See latest flood watch for additional details.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday

Another cold front will move across the area late in the week,
bringing a chance for strong or severe thunderstorms Thursday night
through Friday.

Periodic chances for storms may return by early next week.
The threat for organized severe weather appears low through the
period.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed along and east of the Kansas
Turnpike this evening.

&&

For a graphical version of this information, see our webpage at:
http://weather.gov/wichita/hwo/

$$

Lawson

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Norman OK
1145 AM CDT Wed Aug 16 2017

OKZ004>048-050>052-TXZ083>090-171645-
Harper-Woods-Alfalfa-Grant-Kay-Ellis-Woodward-Major-Garfield-
Noble-Roger Mills-Dewey-Custer-Blaine-Kingfisher-Logan-Payne-
Beckham-Washita-Caddo-Canadian-Oklahoma-Lincoln-Grady-McClain-
Cleveland-Pottawatomie-Seminole-Hughes-Harmon-Greer-Kiowa-Jackson-
Tillman-Comanche-Stephens-Garvin-Murray-Pontotoc-Coal-Cotton-
Jefferson-Carter-Johnston-Atoka-Love-Marshall-Bryan-Hardeman-
Foard-Wilbarger-Wichita-Knox-Baylor-Archer-Clay-
1145 AM CDT Wed Aug 16 2017

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of northern...
western...central...and southern Oklahoma...and western north
Texas.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight...

.Thunderstorms...
There is Slight Risk of severe thunderstorms across portions of
northern and central Oklahoma and a Marginal Risk for much of the
rest of the area.

Location...
The Slight Risk area is northeast of a line from near Alva to
Hobart to Lawton to Seminole. A Marginal Risk surrounds the Slight
Risk and encompasses all but far northwest Oklahoma.

Timing...
The most likely time for severe weather will be from 3 PM to 10 PM.

Impacts...
Damaging winds up to 70 mph. Mainly quarter to half dollar size
hail but possibly as large as golf balls. Very heavy rain.

Discussion...
Thunderstorms will increase by mid afternoon across portions of
south-central and southeast Oklahoma. A few of these storms could
become severe with damaging wind gusts the primary threat.

A more substantial severe weather threat could develop later this
afternoon along a cold front moving through the area.
Thunderstorms with large hail and damaging winds could impact
north central Oklahoma first and then develop southwestward into
southwest Oklahoma. By evening, a line of thunderstorms could
form and move across much of central Oklahoma.

The potential for severe storms is expected to diminish late this
evening and overnight but thunderstorms will remain possible
across portions of the area through early Thursday. Heavy rain and
cloud to ground lightning would be the main impacts with these
storms.

.Heavy Rainfall/Flooding...
A very moist environment will support locally heavy rainfall
amounts and the potential for flooding or flash flooding. Portions
of the area have experienced heavy rainfall amounts already
causing the ground to be saturated. Additional heavy rainfall on
these saturated grounds could lead to flooding.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday...

.Thunderstorms...
Thunderstorms will be possible each day through Tuesday. Strong
to severe storms will be possible across western Oklahoma and
portions of western north Texas Thursday evening. Large hail and
damaging wind gusts will be the main concerns along with
torrential rainfall.

Get graphics and more details at weather.gov/norman...and follow
our weather forecast office on Twitter and Facebook.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
539 AM CDT Wed Aug 16 2017

KSZ030-031-043>046-061>066-074>081-084>090-171045-
Trego-Ellis-Scott-Lane-Ness-Rush-Hamilton-Kearny-Finney-Hodgeman-
Pawnee-Stafford-Stanton-Grant-Haskell-Gray-Ford-Edwards-Kiowa-
Pratt-Morton-Stevens-Seward-Meade-Clark-Comanche-Barber-
539 AM CDT Wed Aug 16 2017 /439 AM MDT Wed Aug 16 2017/

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central...south
central...southwest and west central Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Day 1 Discussion
----------------

There will be a chance for showers and thunderstorms today across
western and north central Kansas. These storms today will not be
severe.

Day 1 Hazards
-------------
* Lightning: Limited risk

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

Days 2-7 Discussion
-------------------

The chance for thunderstorms will be possible almost each day
from Thursday through early next week. Some of these stronger
storms late this week and over the weekend may be capable of
producing hail, strong winds, and heavy rainfall. At this exactly
where and when the opportunity of these stronger storms will occur
remains uncertain.

Days 2-7 Hazards
----------------
* Thursday
  - Flooding: Limited risk
  - Lightning: Elevated risk
  - Severe thunderstorm: Limited risk

* Friday
  - Flooding: Limited risk
  - Lightning: Limited risk

* Saturday
  - Lightning: Limited risk

* Sunday
  - Lightning: Limited risk
  - Excessive heat: Limited risk

* Monday
  - Lightning: Limited risk
  - Excessive heat: Limited risk

* Tuesday
  - Lightning: Limited risk
  - Excessive heat: Limited risk

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight.

&&

For more details visit our webpage http://weather.gov/ddc/ehwo

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
413 AM MDT Wed Aug 16 2017

NMZ501>540-171100-
Northwest Plateau-Chuska Mountains-Far Northwest Highlands-
Northwest Highlands-West Central Plateau-West Central Mountains-
West Central Highlands-Southwest Mountains-
San Francisco River Valley-San Juan Mountains-Jemez Mountains-
West Slopes Sangre de Cristo Mountains-
Northern Sangre de Cristos above 9500 feet/Red River-
Southern Sangre de Cristos above 9500 feet-
East Slopes Sangre de Cristo Mountains-Upper Rio Grande Valley-
Lower Chama River Valley-Santa Fe Metro Area-
Middle Rio Grande Valley/Albuquerque Metro Area-
Lower Rio Grande Valley-Sandia/Manzano Mountains-Estancia Valley-
Central Highlands-South Central Highlands-Upper Tularosa Valley-
South Central Mountains-Raton Ridge/Johnson Mesa-
Far Northeast Highlands-Northeast Highlands-Union County-
Harding County-Eastern San Miguel County-Guadalupe County-
Quay County-Curry County-Roosevelt County-De Baca County-
Chaves County Plains-Eastern Lincoln County-Southwest Chaves County-
413 AM MDT Wed Aug 16 2017

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of north and central
New Mexico.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

No hazardous weather is expected.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday

A few strong to severe storms are possible Thursday afternoon and
evening across the East Central and Northeast Plains. Large hail and
damaging winds are the primary threats.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated, but may be required across the
East Central and Northeast Plains on Thursday.

$$

11

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
431 AM CDT Wed Aug 16 2017

TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-171115-
Montague-Cooke-Grayson-Fannin-Lamar-Young-Jack-Wise-Denton-Collin-
Hunt-Delta-Hopkins-Stephens-Palo Pinto-Parker-Tarrant-Dallas-
Rockwall-Kaufman-Van Zandt-Rains-Eastland-Erath-Hood-Somervell-
Johnson-Ellis-Henderson-Comanche-Mills-Hamilton-Bosque-Hill-Navarro-
Freestone-Anderson-Lampasas-Coryell-Bell-McLennan-Falls-Limestone-
Leon-Milam-Robertson-
431 AM CDT Wed Aug 16 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for North and Central Texas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.
Heat index readings will be 100 to 106 this afternoon. The highest
heat index readings are expected generally east of Interstate 35 and
south of Interstate 20.

There are low chances for thunderstorms today along and west of a
line from Killeen to Ennis to Sulphur Springs. Lightning and brief
heavy rain are the main hazards with any lightning activity.

Thunderstorm chances will increase, especially north of I-20 late
tonight, as a weakening storm complex moves into the area. Severe
weather isn`t expected, however, gusty winds, frequent lightning, and
brief downpours are possible.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.
There are low chances for isolated to scattered thunderstorms along
and north of a Lometa to Palestine line on Thursday. Severe weather
is not expected. Lightning strikes, brief heavy rain and gusty winds
will be the main hazards.

Low thunderstorm chances remain Thursday night and Friday morning along
and north of Interstate 20 where another complex of storms may graze
parts of North Texas. On Friday afternoon and night, a slight chance
for thunderstorms shifts to along and east of a line from Graham to
Cleburne to Fairfield. A slight chance for thunderstorms exists on
Saturday along and east of a Sherman to Corsicana to Centerville
line. Gusty winds, lightning, and brief downpours will be possible
with any thunderstorms Thursday night through Saturday.

Finally, a slight chance for thunderstorms exists on Tuesday along
and east of a Bonham to Hillsboro to Lampasas line.

Heat index values will climb to between 100 and 110 each afternoon.
The highest heat index readings are expected Saturday through
Tuesday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

$$

JLDunn

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service San Angelo TX
422 AM CDT Wed Aug 16 2017

TXZ049-054-064>066-071>073-076>078-098-099-113-114-127-128-139-
140-154-155-168>170-170930-
Fisher-Nolan-Sterling-Coke-Runnels-Irion-Tom Green-Concho-
Crockett-Schleicher-Sutton-Haskell-Throckmorton-Jones-Shackelford-
Taylor-Callahan-Coleman-Brown-McCulloch-San Saba-Menard-Kimble-
Mason-
422 AM CDT Wed Aug 16 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of west central
Texas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Isolated to scattered thunderstorms are possible this afternoon
and tonight, especially north of a Sterling City to Brownwood
line. The main hazards from these storms will be localized
flooding, gusty winds, and dangerous lightning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday

Isolated to scattered thunderstorms will be possible through
Friday afternoon, mainly for areas north of a Barnhart to San Saba
line. The main concerns will continue to be localized flooding,
strong, gusty winds, and dangerous lightning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated at this time.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
343 AM CDT Wed Aug 16 2017

OKZ001>003-TXZ001>020-162045-
Cimarron-Texas-Beaver-Dallam-Sherman-Hansford-Ochiltree-Lipscomb-
Hartley-Moore-Hutchinson-Roberts-Hemphill-Oldham-Potter-Carson-
Gray-Wheeler-Deaf Smith-Randall-Armstrong-Donley-Collingsworth-
343 AM CDT Wed Aug 16 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Texas and Oklahoma
Panhandles.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Morning thunderstorms will continue to move to the northeast as we
go through the early morning hours. An isolated thunderstorm may
be possible across the far southeastern Texas Panhandle this
evening. Should a storms form, it will have the possibility of
producing heavy rain which may cause flooding or flash flooding.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

Thunderstorms will be possible across portions of the Oklahoma
and Texas Panhandles Thursday night through Tuesday. A few storms
that develop during this time frame may become strong to
marginally severe, with strong wind gusts and hail the primary
hazards. In addition, heavy rainfall may accompany thunderstorms,
which could result in localized flooding or flash flooding.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated at this time.

$$

U.S. Dept. of Commerce
NOAA National Weather Service
1325 East West Highway
Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: June 2, 2009
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