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Flood Warning


FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
758 PM CDT WED APR 1 2015

...From the National Weather Service in Little Rock...the Flood
Warning continues for the following river in Arkansas...

  Ouachita River At Thatcher L&D affecting Bradley...Calhoun and
  Union Counties


River forecasts are based on current conditions and rainfall
forecasted to occur over the next 12 hours. During periods of
flooding...Evening forecasts are reissued with updated rainfall
forecasts.

Observed and forecasted stage data plots are available on our
Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Service web page at...
www.srh.noaa.gov/lzk
Under the Current Conditions section...Select River and Lakes AHPS.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message...Remember to Turn Around...Don`t Drown
Do not drive cars through flooded areas.

Everyone with property or other interest along streams and rivers
should remain alert to changing weather forecast. Should conditions
change...Look for river forecast or Flood Warnings for use in

&&

ARC011-013-139-021558-
/O.EXT.KLZK.FL.W.0009.000000T0000Z-150408T0400Z/
/CALA4.2.ER.150226T2312Z.150320T2330Z.150406T2200Z.NO/
758 PM CDT WED APR 1 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Ouachita River At Thatcher L&D.
* until Tuesday evening...Or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  7:00 AM Wednesday the stage was 85.3 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 79.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to a stage of 83.2 feet
  by Friday morning.
* Impacts at 80.0 feet...Levee gates should remained closed to prevent the
  river from backing into Calion Lake. Access to oil and gas rigs and
  to timber is flooded. There is wide coverage of flooding in the
  river bottoms.

&&


LAT...LON 3311 9223 3323 9236 3329 9261 3338 9247
 3333 9226 3322 9212



$$

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
756 PM CDT WED APR 1 2015

...From the National Weather Service in Little Rock...the Flood
Warning continues for the following river in Arkansas...

  White River At Georgetown affecting Prairie...White and Woodruff
  Counties

  White River At Augusta affecting White and Woodruff Counties

  White River At Clarendon affecting Arkansas and Monroe Counties

  Cache River Near Patterson affecting Jackson and Woodruff Counties


River forecasts are based on current conditions and rainfall
forecasted to occur over the next 12 hours. During periods of
flooding...Evening forecasts are reissued with updated rainfall
forecasts.

Observed and forecasted stage data plots are available on our
Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Service web page at...
www.srh.noaa.gov/lzk
Under the Current Conditions section...Select River and Lakes AHPS.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message...Remember to Turn Around...Don`t Drown
Do not drive cars through flooded areas.

Everyone with property or other interest along streams and rivers
should remain alert to changing weather forecast. Should conditions
change...Look for river forecast or Flood Warnings for use in

&&

ARC145-147-021556-
/O.CON.KLZK.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/AUGA4.1.ER.000000T0000Z.150319T1945Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
756 PM CDT WED APR 1 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The White River At Augusta.
* until further notice...Or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  7:00 PM Wednesday the stage was 31.5 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 26.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will remain near 31.4 feet through the end
  of the week.
* Impacts at 30.0 feet...Thousands of acres of farm ground flooded.
  County roads on both sides of the river are flooded, including
  County Road 871 and 899.

&&


LAT...LON 3514 9152 3525 9146 3537 9150 3534 9136
 3521 9133 3515 9137



$$

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
756 PM CDT WED APR 1 2015

...From the National Weather Service in Little Rock...the Flood
Warning continues for the following river in Arkansas...

  White River At Georgetown affecting Prairie...White and Woodruff
  Counties

  White River At Augusta affecting White and Woodruff Counties

  White River At Clarendon affecting Arkansas and Monroe Counties

  Cache River Near Patterson affecting Jackson and Woodruff Counties


River forecasts are based on current conditions and rainfall
forecasted to occur over the next 12 hours. During periods of
flooding...Evening forecasts are reissued with updated rainfall
forecasts.

Observed and forecasted stage data plots are available on our
Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Service web page at...
www.srh.noaa.gov/lzk
Under the Current Conditions section...Select River and Lakes AHPS.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message...Remember to Turn Around...Don`t Drown
Do not drive cars through flooded areas.

Everyone with property or other interest along streams and rivers
should remain alert to changing weather forecast. Should conditions
change...Look for river forecast or Flood Warnings for use in

&&

ARC067-147-021555-
/O.CON.KLZK.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/PTTA4.3.ER.150222T2000Z.150313T1600Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
756 PM CDT WED APR 1 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Cache River Near Patterson.
* until further notice...Or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  7:00 PM Wednesday the stage was 9.9 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to a stage of 9.6 feet
  by Friday morning.
* Impacts at 10.0 feet...Pastureland and cropland not protected by
  levees in Jackson and Woodruff counties affected. Water is deep
  along the shoulders of State Highway 18 near Grubbs. Water over
  portions of Woodruff County Road 775 north of State Highway 260.

&&


LAT...LON 3510 9133 3522 9128 3539 9123 3538 9113
 3521 9117 3508 9122



$$

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
756 PM CDT WED APR 1 2015

...From the National Weather Service in Little Rock...the Flood
Warning continues for the following river in Arkansas...

  White River At Georgetown affecting Prairie...White and Woodruff
  Counties

  White River At Augusta affecting White and Woodruff Counties

  White River At Clarendon affecting Arkansas and Monroe Counties

  Cache River Near Patterson affecting Jackson and Woodruff Counties


River forecasts are based on current conditions and rainfall
forecasted to occur over the next 12 hours. During periods of
flooding...Evening forecasts are reissued with updated rainfall
forecasts.

Observed and forecasted stage data plots are available on our
Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Service web page at...
www.srh.noaa.gov/lzk
Under the Current Conditions section...Select River and Lakes AHPS.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message...Remember to Turn Around...Don`t Drown
Do not drive cars through flooded areas.

Everyone with property or other interest along streams and rivers
should remain alert to changing weather forecast. Should conditions
change...Look for river forecast or Flood Warnings for use in

&&

ARC001-095-021555-
/O.CON.KLZK.FL.W.0015.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CLDA4.1.ER.150313T1524Z.150325T1100Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
756 PM CDT WED APR 1 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The White River At Clarendon.
* until further notice...Or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  7:00 PM Wednesday the stage was 28.2 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 26.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below 28.0 feet
  by this weekend.
* Impacts at 26.0 feet...River flows in many side channels and creates
  islands between the river and sloughs and creeks. Flooding of
  cropland and timber is occurring. Portions of the National Wildlife
  Refuge downstream of Clarendon flooding.


&&


LAT...LON 3435 9119 3449 9132 3466 9139 3472 9129
 3455 9120 3442 9108



$$

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
756 PM CDT WED APR 1 2015

...From the National Weather Service in Little Rock...the Flood
Warning continues for the following river in Arkansas...

  White River At Georgetown affecting Prairie...White and Woodruff
  Counties

  White River At Augusta affecting White and Woodruff Counties

  White River At Clarendon affecting Arkansas and Monroe Counties

  Cache River Near Patterson affecting Jackson and Woodruff Counties


River forecasts are based on current conditions and rainfall
forecasted to occur over the next 12 hours. During periods of
flooding...Evening forecasts are reissued with updated rainfall
forecasts.

Observed and forecasted stage data plots are available on our
Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Service web page at...
www.srh.noaa.gov/lzk
Under the Current Conditions section...Select River and Lakes AHPS.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message...Remember to Turn Around...Don`t Drown
Do not drive cars through flooded areas.

Everyone with property or other interest along streams and rivers
should remain alert to changing weather forecast. Should conditions
change...Look for river forecast or Flood Warnings for use in

&&

ARC117-145-147-021555-
/O.EXT.KLZK.FL.W.0025.000000T0000Z-150405T1800Z/
/GEOA4.1.ER.150316T1720Z.150322T0715Z.150404T1200Z.NO/
756 PM CDT WED APR 1 2015

...Flood Warning extended until Sunday afternoon...The Flood Warning
continues for
  The White River At Georgetown.
* until Sunday afternoon...Or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  7:00 PM Wednesday the stage was 21.1 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 21.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by
  Saturday morning.
* Impacts at 21.0 feet...Hurricane Lake Wildlife Management Area and
  Raft Creek Bottoms inundated. Roads in the bottoms are flooded.

&&


LAT...LON 3500 9155 3508 9151 3514 9152 3515 9137
 3506 9139 3498 9142



$$

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
753 PM CDT WED APR 1 2015

...From the National Weather Service in Little Rock...the Flood
Warning continues for the following river in Arkansas...

  Black River At Pocahontas affecting Randolph County

  Black River At Black Rock affecting Independence...Jackson and
  Lawrence Counties


River forecasts are based on current conditions and rainfall
forecasted to occur over the next 12 hours. During periods of
flooding...Evening forecasts are reissued with updated rainfall
forecasts.

Observed and forecasted stage data plots are available on our
Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Service web page at...
www.srh.noaa.gov/lzk
Under the Current Conditions section...Select River and Lakes AHPS.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message...Remember to Turn Around...Don`t Drown
Do not drive cars through flooded areas.

Everyone with property or other interest along streams and rivers
should remain alert to changing weather forecast. Should conditions
change...Look for river forecast or Flood Warnings for use in

&&

ARC063-067-075-021552-
/O.CON.KLZK.FL.W.0010.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/BKRA4.1.ER.150305T1022Z.150315T0700Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
753 PM CDT WED APR 1 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Black River At Black Rock.
* until further notice...Or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  7:00 PM Wednesday the stage was 19.1 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 14.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to a stage of 18.6 feet
  by Friday morning.
* Impacts at 17.0 feet...Low lying cultivated land and pastures in Lawrence,
  Jackson, and Independence counties flood.

&&


LAT...LON 3570 9140 3591 9125 3612 9115 3610 9101
 3588 9110 3564 9128



$$

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
753 PM CDT WED APR 1 2015

...From the National Weather Service in Little Rock...the Flood
Warning continues for the following river in Arkansas...

  Black River At Pocahontas affecting Randolph County

  Black River At Black Rock affecting Independence...Jackson and
  Lawrence Counties


River forecasts are based on current conditions and rainfall
forecasted to occur over the next 12 hours. During periods of
flooding...Evening forecasts are reissued with updated rainfall
forecasts.

Observed and forecasted stage data plots are available on our
Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Service web page at...
www.srh.noaa.gov/lzk
Under the Current Conditions section...Select River and Lakes AHPS.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message...Remember to Turn Around...Don`t Drown
Do not drive cars through flooded areas.

Everyone with property or other interest along streams and rivers
should remain alert to changing weather forecast. Should conditions
change...Look for river forecast or Flood Warnings for use in

&&

ARC121-021553-
/O.CON.KLZK.FL.W.0019.000000T0000Z-150406T1200Z/
/POCA4.1.ER.150313T0037Z.150318T2215Z.150405T0600Z.NO/
753 PM CDT WED APR 1 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Black River At Pocahontas.
* until Monday morning...Or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  7:00 PM Wednesday the stage was 18.2 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by
  Sunday morning.


&&


LAT...LON 3612 9115 3625 9106 3630 9095 3620 9089
 3617 9098 3610 9101



$$

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
951 AM CDT WED APR 1 2015

ARC003-139-021451-
/O.CON.KSHV.FL.W.0052.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/FELA4.1.ER.150312T1917Z.150331T0800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
951 AM CDT WED APR 1 2015

The flood warning continues for
  the Ouachita River At Felsenthal, Arkansas.
* until further notice...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 900 AM Wednesday the pool stage was 78.9 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood pool stage is 70 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to a stage of 78.8 feet
  by Thursday morning.  Also the Ouachita River crested at 79.0 feet
  during last two days of March at the Felsenthal Lock and Dam.
* Impact...at 80.0 feet...Flooding of low lying areas in the
  Felsenthal Wildlife Refuge will continue for at least another three
  weeks.

&&

LAT...LON 3300 9210 3311 9217 3318 9212 3307 9211 3300 9205

$$

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
944 AM CDT WED APR 1 2015

TXC037-067-343-021444-
/O.EXT.KSHV.FL.W.0024.000000T0000Z-150404T1800Z/
/NAPT2.1.ER.000000T0000Z.150326T1200Z.150403T0600Z.NO/
944 AM CDT WED APR 1 2015

...The flood warning extended until Saturday afternoon...The flood
warning continues for
  the Sulphur River Near Naples, Texas.
* until Saturday afternoon...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 700 AM Wednesday the stage was 22.8 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 22 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by
  early Friday morning.

&&

LAT...LON 3331 9466 3328 9456 3330 9447 3324 9462 3326 9466

$$

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
944 AM CDT WED APR 1 2015

ARC027-LAC119-021444-
/O.CON.KSHV.FL.W.0021.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/SPHL1.1.ER.150224T0400Z.150315T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
944 AM CDT WED APR 1 2015

The flood warning continues for
  the Bayou Dorcheat Near Springhill, Louisiana.
* until further notice...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 900 AM Wednesday the stage was 11.8 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 11 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to a stage of 11.6 feet
  by Thursday morning.
* Impact...at 11.0 feet...Expect minor lowland flooding.

&&

LAT...LON 3317 9339 3300 9335 3282 9332 3282 9338 3300 9343

$$


Flood Advisory


FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
905 PM CDT WED APR 1 2015

...The Flood Advisory continues for the Mississippi River...
  Mississippi River at Osceola affecting Mississippi...Lauderdale
  and Tipton Counties

...The National Weather Service in Memphis TN has issued a Flood
Advisory for the Mississippi River...

  Mississippi River at Tunica Riverpark affecting Lee and Tunica
  Counties

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

The next River Statement will be issued tomorrow or sooner if conditions
warrant.

For graphical river and flood information...please go to
www.weather.gov and click near Memphis on the map. Then select Rivers
and Lakes AHPS under current conditions.

Do not drive through flooded areas...turn around don`t drown.

Stay tuned to your weather radio and your local news media for the
latest river information.

&&

ARC093-TNC097-167-030205-
/O.CON.KMEG.FL.Y.0019.000000T0000Z-150405T1935Z/
/OSGA4.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
905 PM CDT WED APR 1 2015

The Flood Advisory continues for
  the Mississippi River at Osceola
* until Sunday April 05.
* At 08 PM Wednesday the stage was 26.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 28.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise to near 25.5 feet Thursday April 02.
* At 26.0 feet...In Tennessee, Crutcher Lake Road is flooding near
  Cold Creek. Cold creek is going over its south bank onto resort
  lots just east of Crutcher Lake Road. Water from the Lower Forked
  Deer River is backing into Open Lake. Cold Creek is now flowing
  south out of Open Lake. Jones slough is about to back north over
  Grammer Road. Adams Slough has flooded Sam Taylor Road. Many
  sloughs are beginning to flood fields. Brandywine Camp begins to go
  under water.

&&

LAT...LON 3582 8996 3582 8956 3560 8979 3539 8995
      3539 9025

$$

FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
905 PM CDT WED APR 1 2015

...The Flood Advisory continues for the Mississippi River...
  Mississippi River at Osceola affecting Mississippi...Lauderdale
  and Tipton Counties

...The National Weather Service in Memphis TN has issued a Flood
Advisory for the Mississippi River...

  Mississippi River at Tunica Riverpark affecting Lee and Tunica
  Counties

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

The next River Statement will be issued tomorrow or sooner if conditions
warrant.

For graphical river and flood information...please go to
www.weather.gov and click near Memphis on the map. Then select Rivers
and Lakes AHPS under current conditions.

Do not drive through flooded areas...turn around don`t drown.

Stay tuned to your weather radio and your local news media for the
latest river information.

&&

ARC077-MSC143-030204-
/O.NEW.KMEG.FL.Y.0020.150402T0205Z-150406T0505Z/
/TRPM6.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
905 PM CDT WED APR 1 2015

The National Weather Service in Memphis TN has issued a
* Flood Advisory for
  the Mississippi River at Tunica Riverpark
* from Wednesday April 01 until Monday April 06.
* At 08 PM Wednesday the stage was 40.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 41.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise to near 40.2 feet Thursday April 02.
* At 41.0 feet...Casinos are open and unaffected. Tunica Cutoff Lake
  is flooding camp lots and Riverside Drive in Lakeview Camp. In
  Arkansas, road to farmstead inside the levee near the southeast
  corner of Lee County is flooded. Water is against the toe of the
  Arkansas levee in extreme Sothern Crittenden County in places and
  most all the way around Midway Lake.

&&

LAT...LON 3491 9062 3491 9022 3480 9034 3450 9051
      3455 9059 3476 9074

$$


Hazardous Weather Outlook


HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
144 AM CDT THU APR 2 2015

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-030645-
BOURBON-CRAWFORD-CHEROKEE-BENTON-MORGAN-MILLER-MARIES-VERNON-
ST. CLAIR-HICKORY-CAMDEN-PULASKI-PHELPS-BARTON-CEDAR-POLK-DALLAS-
LACLEDE-TEXAS-DENT-JASPER-DADE-GREENE-WEBSTER-WRIGHT-NEWTON-
LAWRENCE-CHRISTIAN-DOUGLAS-HOWELL-SHANNON-MCDONALD-BARRY-STONE-
TANEY-OZARK-OREGON-
144 AM CDT THU APR 2 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE MISSOURI
OZARKS AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...REST OF TONIGHT.

WEATHER HAZARDS EXPECTED...

  LIMITED LIGHTNING RISK.

DISCUSSION...

  A COLD FRONT WILL BEGIN TO MOVE SOUTH INTO PORTIONS OF
  SOUTHEASTERN KANSAS AND WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI EARLY THIS
  MORNING. THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ALONG THIS FRONT NEAR
  SUNRISE...THOUGH THE BETTER CHANCES FOR THUNDERSTORMS WILL OCCUR
  AFTER SUNRISE INTO THE MORNING HOURS THURSDAY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

  THUNDERSTORMS WILL PUSH INTO MUCH OF THE OUTLOOK AREA DURING THE
  EARLY AND MIDDLE PORTIONS OF THURSDAY MORNING AS THAT FRONT
  BEGINS TO STALL. HAIL TO THE SIZE OF QUARTERS...FREQUENT
  LIGHTNING... WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH AND BRIEF HEAVY RAINFALL WILL
  BE THE PRIMARY HAZARDS WITH THIS ACTIVITY.

  ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT WILL THEN BE POSSIBLE LATER THURSDAY
  AFTERNOON INTO EARLY THURSDAY EVENING. IF THESE STORMS CAN
  MANAGE TO DEVELOP...WIND SHEAR AND INSTABILITY WILL BE
  SUFFICIENT FOR HAIL TO THE SIZE OF HALF DOLLARS AND WIND GUSTS
  OVER 60 MPH FROM A FEW OF THE STORMS. LOW LEVEL WIND FIELDS MAY
  SUPPORT A LIMITED THREAT FOR AN ISOLATED TORNADO WITH ANY LINE
  SEGMENTS BOWING TOWARDS THE NORTHEAST OR ANY SUPERCELLS MOVING
  ALONG THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY. AGAIN...THE THREAT FOR ANY TORNADOES
  LOOKS LIMITED AT THIS TIME.

  THUNDERSTORMS WILL THEN INCREASE IN AREAL COVERAGE THURSDAY
  NIGHT AS A LOW LEVEL JET STREAM INTERACTS WITH THE FRONTAL
  BOUNDARY. A LIMITED TO LOCALLY ELEVATED THREAT FOR SEVERE STORMS
  WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY ACROSS SOUTHERN MISSOURI.
  THERE WILL BE AT LEAST A LIMITED THREAT FOR FLOODING FROM LATER
  THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY MORNING AS HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BECOME
  INCREASINGLY LIKELY ACROSS THE OZARKS. THE THREAT FOR ANY SEVERE
  STORMS AND HEAVY RAINFALL WILL END BY LATE FRIDAY MORNING AS
  THAT FRONT CLEARS THE AREA.

  BEHIND THE FRONT...SUSTAINED NORTH WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WITH
  GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED FRIDAY MORNING AND EARLY
  FRIDAY AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL QUICKLY BEGIN TO DIMINISH LATE IN
  THE AFTERNOON.

  THERE WILL THEN BE PERIODIC THUNDERSTORM CHANCES FROM LATER
  SUNDAY THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

  SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED THROUGH THE REST OF
  TONIGHT.

&&

THIS PRODUCT IS NOW AVAILABLE IN GRAPHICAL FORMAT...ALONG WITH
OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE INFORMATION...AT
HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/SGF(ALL LOWERCASE)

$$

WFO SGF

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
1049 PM CDT WED APR 1 2015

ARZ008-009-017-018-026>028-035-036-048-049-058-MOZ113-115-
MSZ001>017-020>024-TNZ001>004-019>022-048>055-088>092-030600-
ALCORN-BENTON MS-BENTON TN-CALHOUN-CARROLL-CHESTER-CHICKASAW-CLAY-
COAHOMA-CRAIGHEAD-CRITTENDEN-CROCKETT-CROSS-DESOTO-DECATUR-
DUNKLIN-DYER-FAYETTE-GIBSON-GREENE-HARDEMAN-HARDIN-HAYWOOD-
HENDERSON-HENRY-ITAWAMBA-LAFAYETTE-LAKE-LAUDERDALE-LAWRENCE-
LEE AR-LEE MS-MADISON-MARSHALL-MCNAIRY-MISSISSIPPI-MONROE-OBION-
PANOLA-PEMISCOT-PHILLIPS-POINSETT-PONTOTOC-PRENTISS-QUITMAN-
RANDOLPH-SHELBY-ST. FRANCIS-TALLAHATCHIE-TATE-TIPPAH-TIPTON-
TISHOMINGO-TUNICA-UNION-WEAKLEY-YALOBUSHA-
1049 PM CDT WED APR 1 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EAST ARKANSAS...
THE MISSOURI BOOTHEEL...NORTH MISSISSIPPI...AND WEST TENNESSEE.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

A FEW STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WITH GUSTY WINDS...SMALL HAIL...AND
HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE TONIGHT ACROSS THE MID SOUTH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

SOME SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH
FRIDAY NIGHT WITH LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS AS THE MAIN
THREATS.

A WIND ADVISORY MAY BE NEEDED FOR PORTIONS OF THE MIDSOUTH FRIDAY.
STRONG SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL DEVELOP AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT FRIDAY
TURNING TO STRONG NORTHERLY BEHIND THE FRONT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED LATE THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH
FRIDAY EVENING.

$$

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
814 PM CDT WED APR 1 2015

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-021015-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
814 PM CDT WED APR 1 2015


THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

THUNDERSTORMS WITH DANGEROUS LIGHTNING.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...EXTREME NORTHERN OKLAHOMA.
ONSET...LATE TONIGHT.

DISCUSSION...
THE THUNDERSTORMS ACTIVITY THAT DEVELOPED ACROSS SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA
AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS EARLY THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING HAS EXITED
THE REGION TO THE EAST. THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS
LATE TONIGHT ACROSS EXTREME NORTHERN OKLAHOMA. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS
HAVE DEVELOPED ACROSS WESTERN OKLAHOMA THIS EVENING AND IF THEY ARE
ABLE TO HOLD TOGETHER MAY MOVE ACROSS EXTREME NORTHERN OKLAHOMA LATE
TONIGHT.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION NOT EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.
THURSDAY...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
FRIDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HIGH WIND POTENTIAL.
SATURDAY...NO HAZARDS.
SUNDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HIGH WIND POTENTIAL.
MONDAY AND TUESDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
A COLD FRONT IS SLATED TO MOVE INTO NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND
SOUTHWEST MISSOURI THURSDAY AFTERNOON. HOWEVER...WITH A STRONG
CAP IN PLACE ACROSS THE AREA IT WILL BE DIFFICULT FOR THUNDERSTORMS
TO DEVELOP UNTIL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON OR POSSIBLY DURING THE
EVENING HOURS. WHEN THE STORMS DO DEVELOP...THE AIRMASS IN PLACE
ACROSS THE REGION WILL BE CAPABLE OF SUPPORTING SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
WITH LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS THE MAIN CONCERN. HOWEVER...
SHOULD SUFFICIENT LOW LEVEL SHEAR DEVELOP BY THURSDAY EVENING...
THEN TORNADIC STORM DEVELOPMENT WILL BECOME MORE LIKELY.

THE COLD FRONT WILL SWEEP THROUGH THE AREA THURSDAY NIGHT INTO
FRIDAY MORNING WITH A CONTINUED CHANCE OF STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS.
GUSTY NORTH WINDS WILL DEVELOP IN THE WAKE OF THE COLD FRONT
ON FRIDAY.

DRY AND COOLER CONDITIONS PREVAIL SATURDAY...WITH
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES RETURNING SUNDAY.  THE SEVERE WEATHER
POTENTIAL MAY INCREASE AGAIN FOR EARLY NEXT WEEK AS A STRONG
STORM SYSTEM ORGANIZES OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN STATES.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

$$

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
710 PM CDT WED APR 1 2015

ILZ075>078-080>094-INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ001>022-MOZ076-086-087-
100-107>112-114-021000-
JEFFERSON-WAYNE IL-EDWARDS-WABASH-PERRY IL-FRANKLIN-HAMILTON-
WHITE-JACKSON-WILLIAMSON-SALINE-GALLATIN-UNION IL-JOHNSON-POPE-
HARDIN-ALEXANDER-PULASKI-MASSAC-GIBSON-PIKE-POSEY-VANDERBURGH-
WARRICK-SPENCER-FULTON-HICKMAN-CARLISLE-BALLARD-MCCRACKEN-GRAVES-
LIVINGSTON-MARSHALL-CALLOWAY-CRITTENDEN-LYON-TRIGG-CALDWELL-
UNION KY-WEBSTER-HOPKINS-CHRISTIAN-HENDERSON-DAVIESS-MCLEAN-
MUHLENBERG-TODD-PERRY MO-BOLLINGER-CAPE GIRARDEAU-WAYNE MO-CARTER-
RIPLEY-BUTLER-STODDARD-SCOTT-MISSISSIPPI-NEW MADRID-
710 PM CDT WED APR 1 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN
ILLINOIS...SOUTHWEST INDIANA...WESTERN KENTUCKY AND SOUTHEAST
MISSOURI.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY TONIGHT ACROSS MUCH OF THE QUAD STATE
REGION. WHILE MOST STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO BE NON-SEVERE...A FEW
OF THE STRONGER STORMS MAY PRODUCE SMALL HAIL. STORMS WILL ALSO
BRING LIGHTNING AND THE POTENTIAL FOR LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THURSDAY AND
THURSDAY NIGHT. THE MAIN TIME FRAME FOR SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL
APPEARS TO BE FROM LATE AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING HOURS. THE
PRIMARY HAZARD WILL BE ISOLATED DAMAGING WINDS...BUT LARGE HAIL IS
ALSO POSSIBLE.

HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BECOME THE PRIMARY CONCERN LATER THURSDAY
NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY. STORM TOTAL RAINFALL IS FORECAST TO AVERAGE
FROM 1 TO 3 INCHES. SEE THE FLOOD POTENTIAL OUTLOOK FOR DETAILS.

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ON FRIDAY ALONG AND
SOUTHEAST OF THE OHIO RIVER. ISOLATED DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE
HAIL WILL BE THE MAIN HAZARDS...PRIMARILY DURING THE AFTERNOON. A
COLD FRONT WILL EXIT OUR REGION LATE IN THE AFTERNOON...BRINGING
AN END TO THE THUNDERSTORMS AND HEAVY RAIN.

THUNDERSTORMS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY WITH
THE BEST CHANCES ON TUESDAY. WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT
EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUESTED THURSDAY...THURSDAY NIGHT...
AND FRIDAY.

$$

MY/JAP/RJP

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
342 PM CDT WED APR 1 2015

TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-021200-
MONTAGUE-COOKE-GRAYSON-FANNIN-LAMAR-YOUNG-JACK-WISE-DENTON-COLLIN-
HUNT-DELTA-HOPKINS-STEPHENS-PALO PINTO-PARKER-TARRANT-DALLAS-
ROCKWALL-KAUFMAN-VAN ZANDT-RAINS-EASTLAND-ERATH-HOOD-SOMERVELL-
JOHNSON-ELLIS-HENDERSON-COMANCHE-MILLS-HAMILTON-BOSQUE-HILL-NAVARRO-
FREESTONE-ANDERSON-LAMPASAS-CORYELL-BELL-MCLENNAN-FALLS-LIMESTONE-
LEON-MILAM-ROBERTSON-
342 PM CDT WED APR 1 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.
THERE IS A CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS MUCH OF NORTH TEXAS LATE
THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING. SOME STORMS MAY BECOME STRONG TO
SEVERE AND PRODUCE LARGE HAIL...STRONG WINDS...AND FREQUENT CLOUD
TO GROUND LIGHTNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.
THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ON
THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING...MAINLY FOR AREAS EAST OF THE
INTERSTATE 35 CORRIDOR AND NORTH OF THE INTERSTATE 20 CORRIDOR.
LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...AND CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING WILL
BE THE MAIN HAZARDS.

THERE IS A CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS FOR PARTS OF NORTH AND
CENTRAL TEXAS ON FRIDAY AND FROM SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
LIMITED SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUESTED THROUGH THIS EVENING.

$$

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
135 PM CDT WED APR 1 2015

ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-021000-
ARKANSAS-BAXTER-BOONE-BRADLEY-CALHOUN-CLARK-CLEBURNE-CLEVELAND-
CONWAY-DALLAS-DESHA-DREW-FAULKNER-FULTON-GARLAND-GRANT-HOT SPRING-
INDEPENDENCE-IZARD-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-LINCOLN-LOGAN-LONOKE-
MARION-MONROE-MONTGOMERY-NEWTON-OUACHITA-PERRY-PIKE-POLK-POPE-
PRAIRIE-PULASKI-SALINE-SCOTT-SEARCY-SHARP-STONE-VAN BUREN-WHITE-
WOODRUFF-YELL-
135 PM CDT WED APR 1 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR A LARGE PART OF ARKANSAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON INTO THE
OVERNIGHT HOURS. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO
BECOME SEVERE...WITH LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS THE PRIMARY
CONCERNS. THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAINFALL WITH ANY
STORM...WITH LOCALIZED FLOODING POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

UNSETTLED WEATHER WILL CONTINUE ACROSS ARKANSAS ON THURSDAY AND
FRIDAY...BEFORE A COLD FRONT FINALLY MAKES ITS WAY THROUGH THE
STATE FRIDAY EVENING.

BEFORE THEN...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THURSDAY
AND AGAIN ON FRIDAY. LARGE HAIL WILL BE THE PRIMARY THREAT WITH
ANY SEVERE STORMS. DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE A POSSIBILITY AS WELL.
ADDITIONALLY THERE WILL BE A TORNADO RISK...WHICH WILL BE HIGHEST
AHEAD OF THE FRONT ON THURSDAY.

THURSDAY...THE THREAT FOR SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE GREATEST DURING
THE EARLY EVENING HOURS...MAINLY ACROSS WESTERN AND NORTHWEST
ARKANSAS. ON FRIDAY...THE BEST CHANCES FOR SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE
ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST HALF OF THE STATE.

THOUGH HEAVY RAINFALL IS NOT EXPECTED TO BE WIDESPREAD...STRONGER
STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LOCALIZED HEAVY RAINFALL IN A
SHORT AMOUNT OF TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED.

&&

VISIT NWS LITTLE ROCK ON THE WEB. GO TO HTTP://WEATHER.GOV AND
CLICK ON CENTRAL ARKANSAS.

$$

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
105 PM CDT WED APR 1 2015

ARZ050-051-059>061-070>073-LAZ001>006-010>014-017>022-OKZ077-TXZ096-
097-108>112-124>126-136>138-149>153-165>167-021100-
ANGELINA-BIENVILLE-BOSSIER-BOWIE-CADDO-CALDWELL-CAMP-CASS-CHEROKEE-
CLAIBORNE-COLUMBIA-DE SOTO-FRANKLIN-GRANT-GREGG-HARRISON-HEMPSTEAD-
HOWARD-JACKSON-LA SALLE-LAFAYETTE-LINCOLN-LITTLE RIVER-MARION-
MCCURTAIN-MILLER-MORRIS-NACOGDOCHES-NATCHITOCHES-NEVADA-OUACHITA-
PANOLA-RED RIVER LA-RED RIVER TX-RUSK-SABINE LA-SABINE TX-
SAN AUGUSTINE-SEVIER-SHELBY-SMITH-TITUS-UNION AR-UNION LA-UPSHUR-
WEBSTER-WINN-WOOD-
105 PM CDT WED APR 1 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
AND SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS...NORTHWEST AND NORTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA...
SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA...AND EAST AND NORTHEAST TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...

ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE
WITH A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER POSSIBLE THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE THE MAIN
CONCERNS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...

ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
FRIDAY...WITH COVERAGE INCREASING FOR THE LATE PART OF THE WORK
WEEK. SATURDAY WILL LIKELY BE DRY...WITH SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS RETURNING SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

ACTIVATION OF EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL...AMATEUR RADIO
OPERATORS...AND STORM SPOTTERS MAY BE NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON.

$$

06


Hydrologic Outlook


HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK
ILC003-047-055-059-065-069-077-081-087-127-145-151-153-165-181-
185-191-193-199-INC051-125-129-147-163-173-KYC007-033-035-039-047-
055-059-075-083-101-105-107-139-143-145-149-157-177-219-221-225-
233-MOC017-023-031-035-133-143-157-181-201-207-223-021000-

HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
351 PM CDT WED APR 1 2015

...HEAVY RAINFALL LIKELY THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY...

A WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAINFALL EVENT IS FORECAST TO OCCUR...MOSTLY ON
THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY. RAINFALL AMOUNTS BY FRIDAY EVENING ARE
CURRENTLY PREDICTED TO AVERAGE BETWEEN 1.5 AND 3 INCHES. THE AXIS
OF HEAVIEST RAINFALL IS STILL IN QUESTION...BUT MAY END UP BEING
RIGHT ALONG THE OHIO RIVER...FROM SOUTHWEST INDIANA INTO EXTREME
SOUTHERN ILLINOIS AND EXTREME WESTERN KENTUCKY. THE EXACT LOCATION
OF THE HEAVIEST RAIN WILL DEPEND ON THE MOVEMENT OF A COLD FRONT
THAT WILL BECOME NEARLY STATIONARY IN THE VICINITY OF THE LOWER
OHIO VALLEY.

THE LARGER RIVERS ACROSS OUR REGION HAVE JUST FALLEN BELOW FLOOD
STAGE IN THE PAST COUPLE OF DAYS. THESE RIVERS ARE STILL
HIGH...SO THE UPCOMING HEAVY RAINFALL EVENT COULD HAVE SOME
IMPACT. IN ADDITION...THE SUBSOIL IS STILL VERY MOIST...WHICH MAY
CAUSE RAPID RUNOFF INTO THE SMALLER RIVERS AND STREAMS. FLOODING
OF LOW LYING AND FLOOD PRONE AREAS IS POSSIBLE.

PERSONS IN AND NEAR FLOOD PRONE AREAS SHOULD PAY ATTENTION TO
LATER FORECASTS AND OUTLOOKS.

$$

MEFFERT


Short Term Forecast


SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1259 AM CDT THU APR 2 2015

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-020700-
BENTON-CARROLL-WASHINGTON AR-MADISON-CRAWFORD-FRANKLIN-SEBASTIAN-
PUSHMATAHA-CHOCTAW-OSAGE-WASHINGTON OK-NOWATA-CRAIG-OTTAWA-PAWNEE-
TULSA-ROGERS-MAYES-DELAWARE-CREEK-OKFUSKEE-OKMULGEE-WAGONER-
CHEROKEE-ADAIR-MUSKOGEE-MCINTOSH-SEQUOYAH-PITTSBURG-HASKELL-
LATIMER-LE FLORE-
1259 AM CDT THU APR 2 2015

.NOW...

AT 1 AM...WEATHER RADAR INDICATED SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS OVER FAR WESTERN OSAGE AND PAWNEE COUNTIES...MOVING
EAST AT 20 MPH.

THROUGH 2 AM...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE
EASTWARD ACROSS PORTIONS OF OSAGE...PAWNEE...AND NORTHERN CREEK
COUNTIES. WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH AND DIME SIZE HAIL ARE POSSIBLE.

$$

U.S. Dept. of Commerce
NOAA National Weather Service
1325 East West Highway
Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: June 2, 2009
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE: for Safety, for Work, for Fun - FOR LIFE