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Hazardous Weather Outlook


HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
711 AM CST MON DEC 22 2014

ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-015-016-023>026-MSZ018-019-025>053-059-060-
231315-
ASHLEY-CHICOT-MOREHOUSE-WEST CARROLL-EAST CARROLL-RICHLAND-
MADISON LA-FRANKLIN LA-CATAHOULA-TENSAS-CONCORDIA-BOLIVAR-
SUNFLOWER-LEFLORE-GRENADA-CARROLL-MONTGOMERY-WEBSTER-CLAY-LOWNDES-
CHOCTAW-OKTIBBEHA-WASHINGTON-HUMPHREYS-HOLMES-ATTALA-WINSTON-
NOXUBEE-ISSAQUENA-SHARKEY-YAZOO-MADISON MS-LEAKE-NESHOBA-KEMPER-
WARREN-HINDS-RANKIN-SCOTT-NEWTON-LAUDERDALE-CLAIBORNE-JEFFERSON-
ADAMS-
711 AM CST MON DEC 22 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST
ARKANSAS...NORTHEAST LOUISIANA...CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...NORTH
CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...AND SOUTHWEST MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...LIMITED
TIMING...TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT

THERE IS A LIMITED RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND
TONIGHT. LARGE HAIL IS THE MAIN RISK ALTHOUGH DAMAGING WINDS CANNOT
BE RULED OUT.

(WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=1)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING 60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND LARGE
HAIL ARE POSSIBLE WITH FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...PORTIONS
OF CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...EAST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...AND ALL OF SOUTH
CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI ON TUESDAY.

TORNADOES ARE ALSO POSSIBLE FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST
MISSISSIPPI...PORTIONS OF CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...EAST CENTRAL
MISSISSIPPI...AND ALL OF SOUTH CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI ON TUESDAY.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS MAY BE NEEDED FOR PORTIONS OF THE REGION TODAY
THROUGH TUESDAY.

$$

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
450 AM CST MON DEC 22 2014

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-231100-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
450 AM CST MON DEC 22 2014

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

FIRE WEATHER DANGER.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...WEST OF HIGHWAY 75 IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA.
ONSET...MID AFTERNOON.

DISCUSSION...
A LIMITED POTENTIAL FOR RAPID FIRE SPREAD WILL EXIST FROM MID TO
LATE AFTERNOON ACROSS A SMALL PORTION OF NORTHEAST
OKLAHOMA...GENERALLY WEST OF HIGHWAY 75. WINDS WILL REMAIN GUSTY
AND SHIFT TO A WESTERLY DIRECTION...ALLOWING FOR ABOVE NORMAL
TEMPERATURES AND LOWER RELATIVE HUMIDITIES THAN THE PREVIOUS
SEVERAL DAYS. ANY FIRE SPREAD RISK WILL DECREASE SUBSTANTIALLY
WITH SUNSET.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION NOT EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.
TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY...WINTER WEATHER POTENTIAL.
THURSDAY AND FRIDAY...VERY HIGH FIRE WEATHER POTENTIAL.
SATURDAY AND SUNDAY...NO HAZARDS.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
SNOW CONTINUES TO LOOK POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST
OKLAHOMA AND FAR NORTHWEST ARKANSAS FROM TUESDAY NIGHT INTO
WEDNESDAY...AS A LARGE STORM SYSTEM DIVES SOUTHWARD AND ORGANIZES
ACROSS THE CENTRAL UNITED STATES. CURRENTLY...ONLY MINOR
ACCUMULATIONS AND IMPACTS ARE EXPECTED...BUT SOME UNCERTAINTY
CONCERNING THE EVENTUAL EVOLUTION OF THE STORM SYSTEM REMAINS.
ANYONE WITH TRAVEL PLANS DURING THIS TIME FRAME SHOULD CONTINUE TO
MONITOR FORECASTS OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

GUSTY WINDS WILL DEVELOP AND DRIER AIR WILL POUR INTO THE AREA IN
THE WAKE OF THE DEPARTING STORM SYSTEM...LEADING TO AN INCREASE IN
THE FIRE SPREAD POTENTIAL LATE THIS WEEK.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.
$$

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
500 AM CST MON DEC 22 2014

ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-231100-
ARKANSAS-BAXTER-BOONE-BRADLEY-CALHOUN-CLARK-CLEBURNE-CLEVELAND-
CONWAY-DALLAS-DESHA-DREW-FAULKNER-FULTON-GARLAND-GRANT-HOT SPRING-
INDEPENDENCE-IZARD-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-LINCOLN-LOGAN-LONOKE-
MARION-MONROE-MONTGOMERY-NEWTON-OUACHITA-PERRY-PIKE-POLK-POPE-
PRAIRIE-PULASKI-SALINE-SCOTT-SEARCY-SHARP-STONE-VAN BUREN-WHITE-
WOODRUFF-YELL-
500 AM CST MON DEC 22 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR A LARGE PART OF ARKANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE...MAINLY TONIGHT ACROSS FAR
SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS AS A COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH. HOWEVER...THE
THREAT FOR STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

BEHIND THE FRONT...IT WILL TURN COLDER BY TUESDAY NIGHT AND EARLY
WEDNESDAY WITH MOISTURE DECREASING. EVEN SO...THERE MAY BE ENOUGH
MOISTURE FOR A BRIEF PERIOD OF LIGHT SNOW OR FLURRIES IN THE OZARK
MOUNTAINS. LITTLE OR NO ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED.

AFTER A DRY AND MILD CHRISTMAS DAY...ANOTHER FRONT WILL BRING SMALL
CHANCES FOR SHOWERS FOR THE WEEKEND.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

&&

VISIT NWS LITTLE ROCK ON THE WEB. GO TO HTTP://WEATHER.GOV AND
CLICK ON CENTRAL ARKANSAS.

$$

57


Short Term Forecast


SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
901 AM CST MON DEC 22 2014

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-221815-
BENTON-CARROLL-WASHINGTON AR-MADISON-CRAWFORD-FRANKLIN-SEBASTIAN-
PUSHMATAHA-CHOCTAW-OSAGE-WASHINGTON OK-NOWATA-CRAIG-OTTAWA-PAWNEE-
TULSA-ROGERS-MAYES-DELAWARE-CREEK-OKFUSKEE-OKMULGEE-WAGONER-
CHEROKEE-ADAIR-MUSKOGEE-MCINTOSH-SEQUOYAH-PITTSBURG-HASKELL-
LATIMER-LE FLORE-
901 AM CST MON DEC 22 2014

.NOW...

AT 8:55 AM...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADARS CONTINUED TO
DETECT PATCHY DRIZZLE ACROSS PARTS OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA
AND WESTERN ARKANSAS.

THROUGH 12:00 NOON... LIGHT DRIZZLE IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ACROSS
EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN ARKANSAS... ESPECIALLY NORTH OF
INTERSTATE 40. PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS WILL BE MINIMAL... WITH NO MORE
THAN A TRACE TO A COUPLE HUNDREDTHS OF AN INCH ANTICIPATED. MINOR
REDUCTIONS IN THE VISIBILITY ARE THE ONLY TRAVEL IMPACTS EXPECTED.

$$

U.S. Dept. of Commerce
NOAA National Weather Service
1325 East West Highway
Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: June 2, 2009
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