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Flood Warning


FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
731 PM CDT Mon Apr 24 2017

...From the National Weather Service in Little Rock...the Flood
Warning continues for the following river in Arkansas...

  Cache River Near Patterson affecting Jackson and Woodruff Counties


River forecasts are based on current conditions and rainfall
forecasted to occur over the next 24 hours. During periods of
flooding...Evening forecasts are reissued with updated rainfall
forecasts.

Observed and forecasted stage data plots are available on our
Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Service web page at...
www.weather.gov/lzk
Under the Current Conditions section...Select River and Lakes AHPS.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message...Remember to Turn Around...Don`t Drown
Do not drive cars through flooded areas.

Everyone with property or other interest along streams and rivers
should remain alert to changing weather forecast. Should conditions
change...Look for river forecast or Flood Warnings for use in

&&

ARC067-147-251531-
/O.CON.KLZK.FL.W.0011.170427T1200Z-170429T1800Z/
/PTTA4.1.ER.170427T1200Z.170427T1200Z.170428T1200Z.NO/
731 PM CDT Mon Apr 24 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Cache River Near Patterson.
* from Thursday morning to Saturday afternoon...Or until the warning
  is cancelled.
* At  7:00 PM Monday the stage was 4.3 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to near flood stage
  Thursday morning.
* Impacts at 9.0 feet...Low swampy timberland along the river begins
  to flood. Flood gates should be closed and equipment moved out of
  the low grounds along the river and tributaries.


             Fld     Observed                 Forecast 6 AM
Location     Stg   Stg  Day Time    Tue    Wed    Thu    Fri    Sat

Cache River
  Patterson    9   4.3 Mon 07 PM    4.4    8.3    9.0    9.0    8.8


&&


LAT...LON 3510 9133 3522 9128 3539 9123 3538 9113
 3521 9117 3508 9122



$$

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
730 PM CDT Mon Apr 24 2017

...From the National Weather Service in Little Rock...the Flood
Warning continues for the following river in Arkansas...

  White River At Augusta affecting White and Woodruff Counties


River forecasts are based on current conditions and rainfall
forecasted to occur over the next 24 hours. During periods of
flooding...Evening forecasts are reissued with updated rainfall
forecasts.

Observed and forecasted stage data plots are available on our
Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Service web page at...
www.weather.gov/lzk
Under the Current Conditions section...Select River and Lakes AHPS.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message...Remember to Turn Around...Don`t Drown
Do not drive cars through flooded areas.

Everyone with property or other interest along streams and rivers
should remain alert to changing weather forecast. Should conditions
change...Look for river forecast or Flood Warnings for use in

&&

ARC145-147-251530-
/O.CON.KLZK.FL.W.0010.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/AUGA4.1.ER.170423T2043Z.170426T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
730 PM CDT Mon Apr 24 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The White River At Augusta.
* until further notice...Or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  7:00 PM Monday the stage was 29.4 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 26.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 31.0 feet by
  Wednesday early afternoon.
* Impacts at 32.0 feet...Thousands of acres of cropland and farm roads
  are flooded in White and Woodruff counties. Water is isolating
  homes and camps along the river in White and Woodruff counties.


             Fld     Observed                 Forecast 6 AM
Location     Stg   Stg  Day Time    Tue    Wed    Thu    Fri    Sat

Lower White River
  Augusta     26  29.4 Mon 07 PM   30.4   30.9   31.0   30.7   30.2


&&


LAT...LON 3514 9152 3525 9146 3537 9150 3534 9136
 3521 9133 3515 9137



$$

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
729 PM CDT Mon Apr 24 2017

...From the National Weather Service in Little Rock...the Flood
Warning continues for the following river in Arkansas...

  Black River At Black Rock affecting Independence...Jackson and
  Lawrence Counties


River forecasts are based on current conditions and rainfall
forecasted to occur over the next 24 hours. During periods of
flooding...Evening forecasts are reissued with updated rainfall
forecasts.

Observed and forecasted stage data plots are available on our
Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Service web page at...
www.weather.gov/lzk
Under the Current Conditions section...Select River and Lakes AHPS.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message...Remember to Turn Around...Don`t Drown
Do not drive cars through flooded areas.

Everyone with property or other interest along streams and rivers
should remain alert to changing weather forecast. Should conditions
change...Look for river forecast or Flood Warnings for use in

&&

ARC063-067-075-251529-
/O.CON.KLZK.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/BKRA4.1.ER.170422T1704Z.170424T1700Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
729 PM CDT Mon Apr 24 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Black River At Black Rock.
* until further notice...Or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  7:00 PM Monday the stage was 19.8 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 14.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to a stage of 18.8 feet
  by Wednesday morning.
* Impacts at 20.0 feet...Agricultural land is flooding along both
  banks of the river in Lawrence, Independence, and Jackson counties.
  Minor flooding in Powhatan Community and Courthouse State Park.


             Fld     Observed                 Forecast 6 AM
Location     Stg   Stg  Day Time    Tue    Wed    Thu    Fri    Sat

Black River
  Black Rock  14  19.8 Mon 07 PM   19.7   18.8   17.7   16.4   15.4


&&


LAT...LON 3570 9140 3591 9125 3612 9115 3610 9101
 3588 9110 3564 9128



$$

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
727 PM CDT Mon Apr 24 2017

...From the National Weather Service in Little Rock...the Flood
Warning continues for the following river in Arkansas...

  Black River At Pocahontas affecting Randolph County


River forecasts are based on current conditions and rainfall
forecasted to occur over the next 24 hours. During periods of
flooding...Evening forecasts are reissued with updated rainfall
forecasts.

Observed and forecasted stage data plots are available on our
Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Service web page at...
www.weather.gov/lzk
Under the Current Conditions section...Select River and Lakes AHPS.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message...Remember to Turn Around...Don`t Drown
Do not drive cars through flooded areas.

Everyone with property or other interest along streams and rivers
should remain alert to changing weather forecast. Should conditions
change...Look for river forecast or Flood Warnings for use in

&&

ARC121-251527-
/O.CON.KLZK.FL.W.0009.170425T0600Z-000000T0000Z/
/POCA4.1.ER.170425T0600Z.170426T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
727 PM CDT Mon Apr 24 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Black River At Pocahontas.
* from late tonight until further notice...Or until the warning is
  cancelled.
* At  7:00 PM Monday the stage was 16.6 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by Tuesday morning and
  continue to rise to near 18.0 feet by early Wednesday morning.
* Impacts at 17.0 feet...Agricultural lands along the river east and
  south of Pocahontas will be impacted by high water. Equipment and
  livestock should be moved to higher ground.


             Fld     Observed                 Forecast 6 AM
Location     Stg   Stg  Day Time    Tue    Wed    Thu    Fri    Sat

Black River
  Pocahontas  17  16.6 Mon 07 PM   17.3   18.0   17.9   17.6   17.2


&&


LAT...LON 3612 9115 3625 9106 3630 9095 3620 9089
 3617 9098 3610 9101



$$


Flood Advisory


FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
820 AM CDT Tue Apr 25 2017

...The Flood Advisory continues for the following rivers in
Oklahoma...

  Arkansas River near Muskogee affecting Muskogee County

OKC101-252120-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.Y.0006.000000T0000Z-170430T1130Z/
/MKGO2.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
820 AM CDT Tue Apr 25 2017

The Flood Advisory is extended for
  The Arkansas River near Muskogee
* until Sunday morning, or until the advisory is cancelled.
* At 8:00 AM Tuesday, the stage was 27.3 feet.
* Action stage is 27.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 28.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will fluctuate from around 26.9 feet to
  around 27.9 feet through Saturday, which is near flood stage.
* Impact...At 27.0 feet, no flooding occurs but low lying
  agricultural areas may be threatened. Continue to monitor
  later forecasts.At 28.0 feet, minor lowland flooding occurs.

&&

LAT...LON 3583 9520 3552 9507 3547 9515 3559 9532 3583 9537

$$


Lake Wind Advisory


URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
358 AM CDT Tue Apr 25 2017

...A Lake Wind Advisory is in effect from 10 am today through
midnight tonight for southeast Oklahoma, all of east Texas, deep
east Texas, portions of southwest Arkansas and northwest Louisiana...

ARZ050-051-059-060-070-071-LAZ001-002-010-017-OKZ077-TXZ096-097-
108>112-124>126-136>138-149>153-165>167-252100-
/O.EXT.KSHV.LW.Y.0024.170425T1500Z-170426T0500Z/
Sevier-Howard-Little River-Hempstead-Miller-Lafayette-Caddo-
Bossier-De Soto-Sabine-McCurtain-Red River-Bowie-Franklin-Titus-
Camp-Morris-Cass-Wood-Upshur-Marion-Smith-Gregg-Harrison-Cherokee-
Rusk-Panola-Nacogdoches-Shelby-Angelina-San Augustine-
Including the cities of De Queen, Nashville, Mineral Springs,
Dierks, Ashdown, Hope, Texarkana, Stamps, Lewisville, Bradley,
Shreveport, Bossier City, Mansfield, Stonewall, Logansport, Many,
Zwolle, Pleasant Hill, Idabel, Broken Bow, Clarksville, Bogata,
Mount Vernon, Mount Pleasant, Pittsburg, Daingerfield, Lone Star,
Naples, Omaha, Atlanta, Linden, Hughes Springs, Queen City,
Mineola, Winnsboro, Quitman, Hawkins, Gilmer, Big Sandy,
Jefferson, Tyler, Longview, Marshall, Jacksonville, Rusk,
Henderson, Carthage, Nacogdoches, Center, Lufkin, San Augustine,
Hemphill, and Pineland
358 AM CDT Tue Apr 25 2017

...LAKE WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO
MIDNIGHT CDT TONIGHT...

* EVENT...A tightening pressure gradient across the Southern
  Plains will result in increasing southerly wind speeds today.


* TIMING...Sustained southerly wind speeds of 15 to 20 mph with
  gusts nearing 30 mph will commence around 10 am this morning
  across portions of northeast Texas. Remaining areas of the
  region will see these increasing winds by late morning, with
  these conditions persisting this evening into tonight.


* IMPACT...Boaters should exercise caution on area lakes due to
  rough chop conditions.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Lake Wind Advisory indicates that winds will cause rough chop
on area lakes. Small boats will be especially prone to capsizing.

&&

$$


Wind Advisory


URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
358 AM CDT Tue Apr 25 2017

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FOR AREAS ALONG AND EAST OF A LINE FROM
GAINESVILLE TO KILLEEN...

.A tightening surface pressure gradient in advance of a cold
front and an upper level trough will lead to strong and gusty
winds today. A wind advisory is in effect for areas generally
along and east of the Interstate 35/35W corridor from late morning
through midnight tonight.

TXZ092>095-103>107-118>123-133>135-145>148-158>162-174-175-251700-
/O.NEW.KFWD.WI.Y.0009.170425T1500Z-170426T0500Z/
Cooke-Grayson-Fannin-Lamar-Denton-Collin-Hunt-Delta-Hopkins-
Tarrant-Dallas-Rockwall-Kaufman-Van Zandt-Rains-Johnson-Ellis-
Henderson-Hill-Navarro-Freestone-Anderson-Bell-McLennan-Falls-
Limestone-Leon-Milam-Robertson-
Including the cities of Gainesville, Sherman, Denison, Bonham,
Paris, Carrollton, Denton, Lewisville, Flower Mound, Plano,
McKinney, Allen, Frisco, Greenville, Commerce, Cooper,
Sulphur Springs, Fort Worth, Arlington, Dallas, Rockwall, Heath,
Terrell, Kaufman, Forney, Canton, Grand Saline, Wills Point, Van,
Edgewood, Emory, East Tawakoni, Point, Cleburne, Burleson,
Waxahachie, Ennis, Midlothian, Athens, Gun Barrel City,
Hillsboro, Corsicana, Teague, Fairfield, Wortham, Palestine,
Killeen, Temple, Fort Hood, Waco, Marlin, Mexia, Groesbeck,
Buffalo, Centerville, Jewett, Normangee, Oakwood, Cameron,
Rockdale, Hearne, Franklin, and Calvert
358 AM CDT Tue Apr 25 2017

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO MIDNIGHT
CDT TONIGHT...

The National Weather Service in Fort Worth has issued a Wind
Advisory, which is in effect from 10 AM this morning to midnight
CDT tonight.

* TIMING...From 10 AM to midnight tonight.

* WINDS...25 MPH with gusts 30 to 40 MPH.

* IMPACTS...Lightweight objects such as trash cans and patio
  furniture will be easily blown about by the wind.

* DRIVING...High profile vehicles will be subjected to difficult
  driving conditions, especially while driving east-west, due to
  crosswind conditions.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Wind Advisory means that sustained winds of at least 20 to
30 mph are expected. Winds this strong can make driving
difficult...especially for high profile vehicles. Boaters should
use extra caution when venturing onto area lakes.  Residents may
wish to take action to secure trash cans...lawn furniture...and
other lightweight outdoor objects that may be blown around in the
strong winds.

&&

$$

30


Hazardous Weather Outlook


Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Memphis TN
910 AM CDT Tue Apr 25 2017

ARZ008-009-017-018-026>028-035-036-048-049-058-MOZ113-115-
MSZ001>017-020>024-TNZ001>004-019>022-048>055-088>092-261615-
Alcorn-Benton MS-Benton TN-Calhoun-Carroll-Chester-Chickasaw-Clay-
Coahoma-Craighead-Crittenden-Crockett-Cross-DeSoto-Decatur-
Dunklin-Dyer-Fayette-Gibson-Greene-Hardeman-Hardin-Haywood-
Henderson-Henry-Itawamba-Lafayette-Lake-Lauderdale-Lawrence-
Lee AR-Lee MS-Madison-Marshall-McNairy-Mississippi-Monroe-Obion-
Panola-Pemiscot-Phillips-Poinsett-Pontotoc-Prentiss-Quitman-
Randolph-Shelby-St. Francis-Tallahatchie-Tate-Tippah-Tipton-
Tishomingo-Tunica-Union-Weakley-Yalobusha-
910 AM CDT Tue Apr 25 2017

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of East Arkansas...
the Missouri Bootheel...North Mississippi...and West Tennessee.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

No hazardous weather is expected.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday

Severe thunderstorms are expected to develop across the Mid-South
late Wednesday afternoon and spread across the area into
Wednesday night. There is an enhanced risk for severe thunderstorms
along and west of a line from Corning Arkansas to Marvell,
Arkansas. A slight risk for severe thunderstorms exists along
portions of West Tennessee and North Mississippi near the
Mississippi River, and a marginal risk for severe thunderstorms
across the remainder of the Mid-South.

Large hail and damaging winds are the primary severe weather
threats. Tornadoes are also possible mainly west of the
Mississippi River in the enhanced risk area. A Wind Advisory may
also be needed along and west of the Mississippi River Wednesday
afternoon into Wednesday evening.

Severe thunderstorms will again be possible on Friday and
Friday night as an active warm front lifts north across the Mid
South. Additional severe weather will be possible over the
weekend. Please continue to monitor the latest forecasts for
updates regarding this severe weather potential.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed late Wednesday afternoon into
Wednesday night and again for Friday into the weekend.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
834 AM CDT Tue Apr 25 2017

TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-261200-
Montague-Cooke-Grayson-Fannin-Lamar-Young-Jack-Wise-Denton-Collin-
Hunt-Delta-Hopkins-Stephens-Palo Pinto-Parker-Tarrant-Dallas-
Rockwall-Kaufman-Van Zandt-Rains-Eastland-Erath-Hood-Somervell-
Johnson-Ellis-Henderson-Comanche-Mills-Hamilton-Bosque-Hill-Navarro-
Freestone-Anderson-Lampasas-Coryell-Bell-McLennan-Falls-Limestone-
Leon-Milam-Robertson-
834 AM CDT Tue Apr 25 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for North and Central Texas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.
Hot, dry, and breezy conditions will result in an elevated fire
threat today along and west of a line from Bowie to Weatherford to
Goldthwaite.

A Wind Advisory is in effect from 10 AM until midnight due to strong
and gusty south winds in advance of an upper level trough and a cold
front.

There is a slight chance of thunderstorms tonight along and north of
a line from Bowie to McKinney to Sulphur Springs. A few storms may
produce small hail.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.
There is a chance for thunderstorms on Wednesday generally east of
the Interstate 35 corridor. The best storm chances will be across the
farthest east and northeast counties, where a few storms may become
severe with large hail and damaging winds as the main hazards.
Activity should move quickly east of the area Wednesday afternoon.

Thunderstorm chances will return Friday and continue through
Saturday night. At this time, it appears that the best potential for
severe thunderstorms would be late Friday through Saturday. Storm
chances should end from west to east late Saturday night into Sunday
morning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
546 AM CDT Tue Apr 25 2017

ARZ050-051-059>061-070>073-LAZ001>006-010>014-017>022-OKZ077-
TXZ096-097-108>112-124>126-136>138-149>153-165>167-261100-
Sevier-Howard-Little River-Hempstead-Nevada-Miller-Lafayette-
Columbia-Union-Caddo-Bossier-Webster-Claiborne-Lincoln-De Soto-
Red River-Bienville-Jackson-Ouachita-Sabine-Natchitoches-Winn-
Grant-Caldwell-La Salle-McCurtain-Bowie-Franklin-Titus-Camp-
Morris-Cass-Wood-Upshur-Marion-Smith-Gregg-Harrison-Cherokee-Rusk-
Panola-Nacogdoches-Shelby-Angelina-San Augustine-
546 AM CDT Tue Apr 25 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of south central
Arkansas, southwest Arkansas, north central Louisiana, northwest
Louisiana, southeast Oklahoma, east Texas and northeast Texas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight...

A surface tough across the Southern Plains will create a tightened
pressure gradient, which will lead to southerly wind speeds
increasing to between 15 to 20 mph with higher gusts. A Lake Wind
Advisory is now in effect from 10 am this morning through midnight
tonight.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday...

Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms are expected to
develop across the region Wednesday along and ahead of a cold
front and associated upper level disturbance. Moisture will
continue to deepen ahead of this front Wednesday, with strong
wind shear and instability expected to be in place as forcing
increases by the afternoon. This will result in the potential for
scattered strong to severe thunderstorms affecting portions of
East Texas, deep east Texas, southeast Oklahoma, southwest
Arkansas and northern Louisiana Wednesday afternoon and evening
before diminishing with the passage of the cold front during the
night. Large hail and damaging wind gusts will be the main
threats associated with the severe thunderstorms, however can not
rule out an isolated tornado.

Very warm, humid, and unstable conditions will return to
the region by Friday as this front lifts back north as a warm
front, with isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms
possible along and north of this returning front Thursday night
and Friday. An isolated strong or severe thunderstorm can not be
ruled out Friday, mainly across extreme Northeast Texas, Southwest
Arkansas, and Southeast Oklahoma.

The approach of another upper level disturbance for the weekend
will result in the develop of a line of thunderstorms along a cold
front, that will move across the Four-State Region from west to
east Saturday night into Sunday morning. Once again, strong wind
shear and instability may lead to some of the thunderstorms
becoming strong to severe.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Activation of emergency management personnel...amateur radio
operators...and storm spotters will not be needed through tonight.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
514 AM CDT Tue Apr 25 2017

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-261015-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
514 AM CDT Tue Apr 25 2017

This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
    RISK...Elevated.
    AREA...Northeast Oklahoma and Northwest Arkansas.
    ONSET...After 7PM.

FLASH FLOOD.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Northeast Oklahoma and Northwest Arkansas.
ONSET...After 7PM.

HEAVY RAIN.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Northeast Oklahoma and Northwest Arkansas.
ONSET...After 7PM.

SIGNIFICANT WINDS.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Eastern Oklahoma and Western Arkansas.
ONSET...Mid Morning.

DISCUSSION...
Very strong southerly winds will develop by mid morning across
eastern Oklahoma and western Arkansas with wind gusts to 35 miles
an hour possible by late morning into early afternoon.

Late this afternoon, showers and thunderstorms are expected to
form across north central Oklahoma and southeast Kansas along and
ahead of a cold front. Wind fields at the surface and at upper
levels will be quite strong, with moderate instability developing
this afternoon. The atmosphere is expected to stay capped most of
the day, with storms moving into northeast Oklahoma after 7 PM.
Once storms form, they will likely quickly become strong or
severe, with the potential for large hail or severe wind gusts.
Storms will approach the Interstate 44 corridor by or just before
midnight and will not affect northwest Arkansas until after
midnight Wednesday. The line of storms will likely weaken through
the overnight hours, with locally heavy rain possible.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Activation of the Regional Spotter Network Likely.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.
WEDNESDAY...Severe Thunderstorm Potential...High Wind Potential...Heavy Rain Potential.
THURSDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.
FRIDAY and SATURDAY...Severe Thunderstorm Potential...Heavy Rain
POTENTIAL.
SUNDAY and MONDAY...No Hazards.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
There will be storms ongoing early Wednesday morning, and
depending on the evolution of the squall line and cold front,
there may be a threat for additional severe storms Wednesday
across mainly western Arkansas and southeast Oklahoma.

The stormy pattern will continue with a more significant severe
and heavy rain threat on Friday and Saturday. With the approach of
an upper level storm system Friday afternoon, storms will develop
with the potential for large hail, damaging winds and a few
tornadoes. The severe potential will continue into Saturday, but
the main hazard may transition to heavy rain and flooding Saturday
into Sunday. At least 2 to 3 inches of rain is likely, with
localized higher amounts of 5 or 6 inches. This will definitely
cause some flash flooding and river flooding across portions of
the area this weekend.

EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PLANNING STATEMENT...
The next few days will be active across eastern Oklahoma and
western Arkansas. Follow forecast updates to have the latest
information on the expected hazardous weather over the next few
days.

weather.gov/tulsa Contains additional information.

$$

CORFIDI

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Springfield MO
449 AM CDT Tue Apr 25 2017

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-261000-
Bourbon-Crawford-Cherokee-Benton-Morgan-Miller-Maries-Vernon-
St. Clair-Hickory-Camden-Pulaski-Phelps-Barton-Cedar-Polk-Dallas-
Laclede-Texas-Dent-Jasper-Dade-Greene-Webster-Wright-Newton-
Lawrence-Christian-Douglas-Howell-Shannon-McDonald-Barry-Stone-
Taney-Ozark-Oregon-
449 AM CDT Tue Apr 25 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of the Missouri
Ozarks and extreme southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Weather hazards expected...

  Elevated Hail risk.
  Elevated Thunderstorm wind damage risk.
  Limited Flooding risk.
  Significant Lightning risk.
  Limited Non thunderstorm wind risk.

DISCUSSION...

  Southerly wind gusts of 30 to 40 mph can be expected from
  mid-morning through this afternoon.

  Thunderstorms will develop early this evening across
  eastern Kansas and northeastern Oklahoma. This activity is
  expected to form into a broken line of thunderstorms which
  will then track east across portions of the outlook area
  later tonight. The leading edge of these thunderstorms will
  likely reach the U.S. 65 corridor after midnight.

  Moderate amounts of instability and wind shear will result
  in a threat for strong to severe thunderstorms, especially
  west of a Warsaw to Bolivar to Monett line. Damaging wind
  gusts over 60 mph and hail up to the size of half dollars
  will be the primary severe weather threats.

  Frequent lightning and locally heavy rainfall can also be
  expected with these storms. There will be a limited risk
  for flooding over locations that receive multiple rounds
  of thunderstorms overnight across western Missouri and
  southeastern Kansas.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

  The threat for severe storms will then continue into
  Wednesday and Wednesday evening, especially along and east
  of a Rolla to Ava to Branson line. The threat for severe
  storms will be highly dependent on how much thunderstorm
  activity occurs tonight, and whether or not this activity
  reaches the eastern Missouri Ozarks Wednesday morning.

  If thunderstorms reach the eastern Ozarks by Wednesday
  morning, the threat for severe storms may diminish for
  the remainder of Wednesday. However, if thunderstorms
  remain absent tonight and Wednesday morning across south-
  central Missouri and the eastern Ozarks, there will be
  an elevated threat for severe storms Wednesday afternoon
  and evening. Damaging winds and large hail would be the
  primary potential hazards across the eastern Ozarks,
  with a limited threat for a tornado or two. A limited
  risk for flooding will also exist on Wednesday generally
  along and east of the U.S. 65 corridor.

  Confidence then continues to increase in the potential for
  widespread heavy rainfall from later Friday into the weekend.
  With soils nearly saturated, excessive runoff will be likely and
  will lead to an increasing risk for flooding. While details
  remain unclear regarding where the eventual axis of heaviest
  rainfall will develop, it does appear that widespread flooding
  will become possible beneath this axis of heaviest rainfall.

  Additionally, there will be at least a limited risk for
  strong to severe thunderstorms from Friday into Saturday
  across southern Missouri.

  Those with outdoor and travel plans for this upcoming
  weekend should pay close attention to the forecast as there
  is the potential for multiple weather hazards, including
  the potential for widespread flooding.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

  Spotter activation may be needed this evening and overnight
  tonight across western Missouri and extreme southeastern
  Kansas.

&&

More detailed information can be accessed at:
http://www.weather.gov/sgf/sitrep

This product in graphical format...along with other weather...
hydrological and climate information...at
http://www.weather.gov/sgf

$$

Schaumann

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
411 AM CDT Tue Apr 25 2017

ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-261000-
Boone-Marion-Baxter-Fulton-Sharp-Newton-Searcy-Stone-Izard-
Independence-Johnson-Pope-Van Buren-Cleburne-Jackson-Logan-Conway-
Faulkner-White-Woodruff-Scott-Yell-Perry-Polk-Montgomery-Garland-
Saline-Pulaski-Lonoke-Prairie-Monroe-Pike-Clark-Hot Spring-Grant-
Jefferson-Arkansas-Dallas-Cleveland-Lincoln-Desha-Ouachita-
Calhoun-Bradley-Drew-
411 AM CDT Tue Apr 25 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for a Large Part of Arkansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

The threat for hazardous weather will remain low through tonight.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday Through Monday

Chances for thunderstorms return Wednesday and Wednesday night as
the next storm system affects Arkansas. A line of thunderstorms is
expected to accompany the associated cold front that will move
across the state. Damaging winds and large hail will be the main
concerns. However...tornadoes will be possible with any discrete
storms that do develop out ahead of the line of storms...as well
as along the leading edge of the main thunderstorm line.

The potential for severe weather returns again by Friday...as a
warm front lifts northward across Arkansas. Large hail and
damaging winds will once again be the main threats...with
tornadoes also possible with any discrete storms. The potential
for heavy rainfall will also exist...increasing the concern for
flash flooding and river flooding.

The unsettled weather pattern will continue into the weekend. Yet
another storm could produce additional severe weather over the Mid-
South as a new cold front is forecast to move through the region
Saturday into Sunday. Due to forecast uncertainties with this
weekend storm system...please continue to monitor the latest
outlooks from your NWS office.

.Spotter Information Statement...

Spotter activation may be needed Wednesday afternoon and evening.

&&

Visit NWS Little Rock on the web. Go to http://weather.gov/lzk.

$$

62/51

U.S. Dept. of Commerce
NOAA National Weather Service
1325 East West Highway
Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: June 2, 2009
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE: for Safety, for Work, for Fun - FOR LIFE