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Hazardous Weather Outlook


Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
1156 AM CDT Tue Sep 19 2017

ARZ050-051-059>061-070>073-LAZ001>006-010>014-017>022-OKZ077-
TXZ096-097-108>112-124>126-136>138-149>153-165>167-201700-
Sevier-Howard-Little River-Hempstead-Nevada-Miller-Lafayette-
Columbia-Union-Caddo-Bossier-Webster-Claiborne-Lincoln-De Soto-
Red River-Bienville-Jackson-Ouachita-Sabine-Natchitoches-Winn-
Grant-Caldwell-La Salle-McCurtain-Bowie-Franklin-Titus-Camp-
Morris-Cass-Wood-Upshur-Marion-Smith-Gregg-Harrison-Cherokee-Rusk-
Panola-Nacogdoches-Shelby-Angelina-San Augustine-
1156 AM CDT Tue Sep 19 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of south central
Arkansas, southwest Arkansas, north central Louisiana, northwest
Louisiana, southeast Oklahoma, east Texas and northeast Texas.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight...

Isolated to widely scattered showers and thunderstorms will be
possible today into early this evening, mainly south of interstate
30. However, no organized hazardous weather is expected at this
time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday...

Isolated to widely scattered thunderstorms will continue across
the area throughout the week and into this weekend, due to a
combination of daytime instability and increasing moisture from
the Gulf of Mexico advancing the sea breeze. However, no organized
hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Activation of emergency management personnel...amateur radio
operators...and storm spotters will not be needed through
tonight.

$$

07

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
555 AM CDT Tue Sep 19 2017

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-201100-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
555 AM CDT Tue Sep 19 2017

This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.
TORNADO.
RISK...Nil.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...Very limited.
AREA...Roughly along the highway 412 corridor west of Tulsa.
ONSET...Around 530 AM.

DANGEROUS HEAT.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Much of eastern Oklahoma.
ONSET...This Afternoon.

SIGNIFICANT WINDS.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Northeast Oklahoma.
ONSET...Around midday.

DISCUSSION...

A cluster of elevated thunderstorms across north central Oklahoma
will move into northeast Oklahoma early this morning. An isolated
severe hail storm is possible, mainly to the west of Tulsa along
the highway 412 corridor. Hail to the size of half dollars could
accompany a severe storm if it develops. Storms should begin to
weaken as they move east, and completely dissipate by midday.

The combination of above average temps and high humidity will
yield afternoon heat indices in the upper 90s to near 100 degrees
across much of eastern Oklahoma. Conditions will improve as sunset
approaches this evening.

South winds will gust in the 25 to 35 mph range across northeast
Oklahoma by midday, continuing into the afternoon hours before
subsiding this evening.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Spotter Activation Not Expected.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.
WEDNESDAY and THURSDAY...Dangerous Heat Potential.
FRIDAY and SATURDAY...No Hazards.
SUNDAY and MONDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...

Above average temps and high humidity is expected to stick around
thru the upcoming week. Afternoon heat indices in the upper 90s to
around 100 degrees are expected across eastern Oklahoma and west
central Arkansas thru Thursday.

A cold front is expected to bring the potential for thunderstorms
late Sunday night and especially on Monday, beginning in the
northwest and gradually shifting southeast with time.

weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information.

$$

Lacy

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
403 AM CDT Tue Sep 19 2017

ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-200915-
Boone-Marion-Baxter-Fulton-Sharp-Newton-Searcy-Stone-Izard-
Independence-Johnson-Pope-Van Buren-Cleburne-Jackson-Logan-Conway-
Faulkner-White-Woodruff-Scott-Yell-Perry-Polk-Montgomery-Garland-
Saline-Pulaski-Lonoke-Prairie-Monroe-Pike-Clark-Hot Spring-Grant-
Jefferson-Arkansas-Dallas-Cleveland-Lincoln-Desha-Ouachita-
Calhoun-Bradley-Drew-
403 AM CDT Tue Sep 19 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for a Large Part of Arkansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Some isolated thunderstorms are possible this afternoon. While a
strong storm cannot be ruled out, the threat of hazardous weather
is low at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday Through Monday

Isolated thunderstorms will be possible, but the threat of
hazardous weather is low at this time.

.Spotter Information Statement...

Spotter activation will not be needed.

&&

Visit NWS Little Rock on the web. Go to http://weather.gov/lzk.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Paducah KY
356 AM CDT Tue Sep 19 2017

ILZ075>078-080>094-INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ001>022-MOZ076-086-087-
100-107>112-114-201000-
Jefferson-Wayne IL-Edwards-Wabash-Perry IL-Franklin-Hamilton-
White-Jackson-Williamson-Saline-Gallatin-Union-Johnson-Pope-
Hardin-Alexander-Pulaski-Massac-Gibson-Pike-Posey-Vanderburgh-
Warrick-Spencer-Fulton-Hickman-Carlisle-Ballard-McCracken-Graves-
Livingston-Marshall-Calloway-Crittenden-Lyon-Trigg-Caldwell-
Union KY-Webster-Hopkins-Christian-Henderson-Daviess-McLean-
Muhlenberg-Todd-Perry MO-Bollinger-Cape Girardeau-Wayne MO-Carter-
Ripley-Butler-Stoddard-Scott-Mississippi-New Madrid-
356 AM CDT Tue Sep 19 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of southern
Illinois, southwest Indiana, western Kentucky, and southeast
Missouri.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Scattered to numerous thunderstorms will move east through the
Evansville Tri State and much of west Kentucky this morning. Some
widely scattered thunderstorm development will be possible this
afternoon. If enough instability develops this afternoon an
isolated strong to severe storm will be possible mainly over west
Kentucky. Otherwise, lightning and locally heavy rainfall will be
the primary concerns.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday

A slight chance of mainly heat of the day thunderstorms is
forecast over portions of the region Wednesday and Thursday, as
well as Sunday and Monday. Locally heavy rainfall and lightning
will be the primary concerns.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated.

$$

DRS

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
317 AM CDT Tue Sep 19 2017

TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-201200-
Montague-Cooke-Grayson-Fannin-Lamar-Young-Jack-Wise-Denton-Collin-
Hunt-Delta-Hopkins-Stephens-Palo Pinto-Parker-Tarrant-Dallas-
Rockwall-Kaufman-Van Zandt-Rains-Eastland-Erath-Hood-Somervell-
Johnson-Ellis-Henderson-Comanche-Mills-Hamilton-Bosque-Hill-Navarro-
Freestone-Anderson-Lampasas-Coryell-Bell-McLennan-Falls-Limestone-
Leon-Milam-Robertson-
317 AM CDT Tue Sep 19 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for North and Central Texas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.
An isolated storm is possible this afternoon southeast of a Temple
to Athens line. Later this evening and tonight, a weakening cluster
of storms may affect areas along and west of Highway 281 as it moves
eastward. A strong storm or two is possible with this activity.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.
There will remain a slight chance of thunderstorms Wednesday
afternoon and evening along and south of a line from Cameron to
Palestine. Severe weather is not expected with this activity.

There is also a slight chance for thunderstorms Wednesday evening
along and west of a line from Bowie to Mineral Wells to Goldthwaite.
An isolated strong or severe storm is possible with a threat for
strong winds and hail.

A slight chance for thunderstorms returns southeast of a line from
Temple to Athens Thursday afternoon where the seabreeze may advance
inland.

Finally, there is a slight chance for thunderstorms along and
northwest of a line from Goldthwaite to Granbury to Sherman Monday
and Monday night as a front possibly approaches the region.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

$$

JLDunn


Short Term Forecast


Short Term Forecast
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
1159 AM CDT Tue Sep 19 2017

ARZ001-010-019-029-OKZ055>058-061>063-067>070-072-074-076-191900-
Benton-Washington AR-Crawford-Sebastian-Washington OK-Nowata-
Craig-Ottawa-Rogers-Mayes-Delaware-Wagoner-Cherokee-Adair-
Muskogee-Sequoyah-Haskell-Le Flore-
Including the cities of Rogers, Bentonville, Fayetteville,
Springdale, Van Buren, Fort Smith, Bartlesville, Nowata, Vinita,
Miami, Claremore, Pryor, Grove, Jay, Wagoner, Tahlequah,
Stilwell, Muskogee, Sallisaw, Stigler, and Poteau
1159 AM CDT Tue Sep 19 2017

.NOW...
At 11:59 AM...Doppler radars detected scattered weakening showers
and isolated thunderstorms over portions of eastern Oklahoma. This
activity continues to move off to the east at around 20 mph.

Through 2:00 PM...Occasional showers and isolated thunderstorms
will be possible for areas of eastern Oklahoma and northwest
Arkansas, generally along and east of a Wann to Webbers Falls
line. Light to moderate showers will be common, with locally heavy
downpours and dangerous cloud to ground lightning possible with
thunderstorms.

$$

U.S. Dept. of Commerce
NOAA National Weather Service
1325 East West Highway
Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: June 2, 2009
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