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Flood Warning


FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
806 PM CDT MON AUG 3 2015

...From the National Weather Service in Little Rock...the Flood
Warning continues for the following river in Arkansas...

  White River At Augusta affecting White and Woodruff Counties


River forecasts are based on current conditions and rainfall
forecasted to occur over the next 12 hours. During periods of
flooding...Evening forecasts are reissued with updated rainfall
forecasts.

Observed and forecasted stage data plots are available on our
Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Service web page at...
www.srh.noaa.gov/lzk
Under the Current Conditions section...Select River and Lakes AHPS.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message...Remember to Turn Around...Don`t Drown
Do not drive cars through flooded areas.

Everyone with property or other interest along streams and rivers
should remain alert to changing weather forecast. Should conditions
change...Look for river forecast or Flood Warnings for use in

&&

ARC145-147-041606-
/O.CON.KLZK.FL.W.0102.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/AUGA4.1.ER.150730T1500Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
806 PM CDT MON AUG 3 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The White River At Augusta.
* until further notice...Or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 7:00 PM Monday the stage was 26.2 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 26.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 26.8 feet by
  Saturday morning.
* Impacts at 26.0 feet...Farm ground along the river in White and
  Woodruff counties begin to flood. Seasonal agricultural impacts.


             Fld     Observed                 Forecast 7 AM
Location     Stg   Stg  Day Time    Tue    Wed    Thu    Fri    Sat

Lower White River
  Augusta     26  26.2 Mon 07 PM   26.3   26.4   26.5   26.6   26.8


&&


LAT...LON 3514 9152 3525 9146 3537 9150 3534 9136
 3521 9133 3515 9137



$$

111


Special Weather Statement


SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
424 AM CDT TUE AUG 4 2015

ILZ088>090-092>094-KYZ001>013-016-017-021-022-MOZ086-087-100-
107>112-114-042130-
UNION IL-JOHNSON-POPE-ALEXANDER-PULASKI-MASSAC-FULTON-HICKMAN-
CARLISLE-BALLARD-MCCRACKEN-GRAVES-LIVINGSTON-MARSHALL-CALLOWAY-
CRITTENDEN-LYON-TRIGG-CALDWELL-HOPKINS-CHRISTIAN-MUHLENBERG-TODD-
BOLLINGER-CAPE GIRARDEAU-WAYNE MO-CARTER-RIPLEY-BUTLER-STODDARD-
SCOTT-MISSISSIPPI-NEW MADRID-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JONESBORO...VIENNA...GOLCONDA...CAIRO...
MOUND CITY...METROPOLIS...HICKMAN...CLINTON...BARDWELL...
WICKLIFFE...PADUCAH...MAYFIELD...SMITHLAND...BENTON...MURRAY...
MARION...EDDYVILLE...CADIZ...PRINCETON...MADISONVILLE...
HOPKINSVILLE...GREENVILLE...ELKTON...MARBLE HILL...
CAPE GIRARDEAU...PIEDMONT...VAN BUREN...DONIPHAN...POPLAR BLUFF...
BLOOMFIELD...SIKESTON...CHARLESTON...NEW MADRID
424 AM CDT TUE AUG 4 2015

...TRIPLE DIGIT HEAT INDICES THIS AFTERNOON...

THE COMBINATION OF TEMPERATURES IN THE LOWER TO MIDDLE 90S AND
INCREASING HUMIDITY WILL PRODUCE HEAT INDEX VALUES AROUND 100
DEGREES IN AREAS SOUTH A LINE EXTENDING FROM NEAR GREENVILLE
MISSOURI TO NEAR GREENVILLE KENTUCKY. THESE CONDITIONS WILL
LIKELY CONTINUE FOR MOST ALL OF THE AFTERNOON AND INTO THE EARLY
EVENING. PERSONS SPENDING CONSIDERABLE TIME OUTSIDE THIS
AFTERNOON SHOULD SLOW DOWN...TAKE FREQUENT BREAKS AND DRINK PLENTY
OF FLUIDS.

$$

MEFFERT


Hazardous Weather Outlook


HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
555 AM CDT TUE AUG 4 2015

ARZ050-051-059>061-070>073-LAZ001>006-010>014-017>022-OKZ077-
TXZ096-097-108>112-124>126-136>138-149>153-165>167-051100-
SEVIER-HOWARD-LITTLE RIVER-HEMPSTEAD-NEVADA-MILLER-LAFAYETTE-
COLUMBIA-UNION-CADDO-BOSSIER-WEBSTER-CLAIBORNE-LINCOLN-DE SOTO-
RED RIVER-BIENVILLE-JACKSON-OUACHITA-SABINE-NATCHITOCHES-WINN-
GRANT-CALDWELL-LA SALLE-MCCURTAIN-BOWIE-FRANKLIN-TITUS-CAMP-
MORRIS-CASS-WOOD-UPSHUR-MARION-SMITH-GREGG-HARRISON-CHEROKEE-RUSK-
PANOLA-NACOGDOCHES-SHELBY-ANGELINA-SAN AUGUSTINE-
555 AM CDT TUE AUG 4 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH ARKANSAS...FOR NORTH
LOUISIANA...EAST TEXAS AND FOR SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE
TODAY AND TONIGHT OVER EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND OVER SOUTH ARKANSAS AS
AN UPPER DISTURBANCE MOVES OVERHEAD. ELSEWHERE...ISOLATED SHOWERS
MAY CROP UP DURING PEAK HEATING...BUT MAINLY WELL SOUTH OF I-20 DUE
TO THE SEA BREEZE PUSH OFF OF THE GULF. ALL OR ANY OF THIS
ACTIVITY WILL BE HIGH BASED CUMULUS CLOUDS WITH NOT MUCH
WIND...BUT DANGEROUS LIGHTNING WILL BE A PRIMARY THREAT IN AND
NEAR A MATURE STORM.


.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY...

TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE AROUND 100 DEGREES THROUGHOUT THE WEEK
WITH HUMIDITY LEVELS EXPECTED TO INCREASE AS WELL WITH THE RETURN
OF SOUTHERLY WINDS. THESE TEMPERATURES...WHEN COMBINED WITH THE
HIGHER HUMIDITY...WILL RESULT IN HEAT INDEX VALUES RANGING FROM
100 TO 105 DEGREES OR HIGHER THROUGHOUT THE NEXT WEEK OR SO.

ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL ALSO
BE POSSIBLE DURING PEAK AFTERNOON HEATING MAINLY ACROSS SOUTHEAST
OKLAHOMA...PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS AND NORTHERN LOUISIANA.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

ACTIVATION OF EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL...AMATEUR RADIO
OPERATORS AND STORM SPOTTERS WILL NOT BE NEEDED THROUGH TONIGHT.

$$

24

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
547 AM CDT TUE AUG 4 2015

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-051100-
BOURBON-CRAWFORD-CHEROKEE-BENTON-MORGAN-MILLER-MARIES-VERNON-
ST. CLAIR-HICKORY-CAMDEN-PULASKI-PHELPS-BARTON-CEDAR-POLK-DALLAS-
LACLEDE-TEXAS-DENT-JASPER-DADE-GREENE-WEBSTER-WRIGHT-NEWTON-
LAWRENCE-CHRISTIAN-DOUGLAS-HOWELL-SHANNON-MCDONALD-BARRY-STONE-
TANEY-OZARK-OREGON-
547 AM CDT TUE AUG 4 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE MISSOURI
OZARKS AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

WEATHER HAZARDS EXPECTED...

 LIMITED THUNDERSTORM WIND DAMAGE RISK.
 LIMITED HAIL RISK.
 ELEVATED LIGHTNING RISK.
 LIMITED EXCESSIVE HEAT RISK.

DISCUSSION...

 ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS CENTRAL MISSOURI AND
 THE EASTERN OZARKS THIS MORNING. OCCASIONAL CLOUD TO GROUND
 LIGHTNING...WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH...AND SMALL HAIL CAN BE
 EXPECTED WITH THE STRONGEST STORMS.

 ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND
 TONIGHT. ALTHOUGH WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT
 EXPECTED...ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS ARE POSSIBLE WITH DAMAGING
 WINDS...LARGE HAIL AND HEAVY DOWNPOURS OF RAIN POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

 SEVERAL ROUNDS OF THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED WEDNESDAY INTO
 THURSDAY. THERE WILL BE AN ELEVATED POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE
 THUNDERSTORMS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING WITH THE MAIN
 THREATS BEING DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND LARGE HAIL. AN ISOLATED
 TORNADO CANNOT BE RULED OUT. IN ADDITION...LOCALLY HEAVY
 RAINFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE AND ANY TRAINING OF STORMS OVER THE
 SAME AREA COULD LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

  SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED THROUGH TONIGHT.

&&

MORE DETAILED INFORMATION CAN BE ACCESSED AT:
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SGF/SITREP(ALL LOWERCASE)

THIS PRODUCT IN GRAPHICAL FORMAT...ALONG WITH OTHER WEATHER...
HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE INFORMATION...AT
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SGF(ALL LOWERCASE)

$$

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
500 AM CDT TUE AUG 4 2015

ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-051000-
BOONE-MARION-BAXTER-FULTON-SHARP-NEWTON-SEARCY-STONE-IZARD-
INDEPENDENCE-JOHNSON-POPE-VAN BUREN-CLEBURNE-JACKSON-LOGAN-CONWAY-
FAULKNER-WHITE-WOODRUFF-SCOTT-YELL-PERRY-POLK-MONTGOMERY-GARLAND-
SALINE-PULASKI-LONOKE-PRAIRIE-MONROE-PIKE-CLARK-HOT SPRING-GRANT-
JEFFERSON-ARKANSAS-DALLAS-CLEVELAND-LINCOLN-DESHA-OUACHITA-CALHOUN-
BRADLEY-DREW-
500 AM CDT TUE AUG 4 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR A LARGE PART OF ARKANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO AFFECT PARTS OF
NORTHERN AND CENTRAL ARKANSAS TONIGHT AS AN UPPER IMPULSE APPROACHES
FROM THE WEST. HOWEVER...THE CHANCES OF ANY SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE
MINIMAL.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO BE ONGOING ACROSS PORTIONS
OF KANSAS AND MISSOURI WEDNESDAY MORNING. THE ACTIVITY IS FORECAST
TO EVENTUALLY MOVE SOUTHEASTWARD AND AFFECT PARTS OF NORTHERN AND
CENTRAL ARKANSAS LATER WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT. THERE IS THE
POTENTIAL FOR SOME STRONG AND SEVERE STORMS...PRIMARILY OVER NORTHERN
ARKANSAS. DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL WILL BE THE MAIN THREATS.

RAIN CHANCES WILL BE DIMINISHING ON THURSDAY AS THE AFOREMENTIONED
STORM SYSTEM SHIFTS EAST OF THE REGION.

HOT AND HUMID CONDITIONS WILL RETURN LATER THIS WEEK AND OVER THE
WEEKEND AS HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT STRENGTHENS OVER THE REGION. DAYTIME
HIGHS IN THE 90S WILL BE COMMON...WITH SOME LOCATIONS REACHING THE
CENTURY MARK. AFTERNOON HEAT INDICES WILL LIKELY REACH THE CRITICAL
105 DEGREE MARK ACROSS MUCH OF CENTRAL AND SOUTH ARKANSAS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION COULD BE NEEDED WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

&&

VISIT NWS LITTLE ROCK ON THE WEB. GO TO HTTP://WEATHER.GOV AND
CLICK ON CENTRAL ARKANSAS.

$$

44

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
505 AM CDT TUE AUG 4 2015

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-051015-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
505 AM CDT TUE AUG 4 2015

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA.
ONSET...THIS AFTERNOON.

FLASH FLOOD.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA.
ONSET...THIS AFTERNOON.

HEAVY RAIN.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA.
ONSET...THIS AFTERNOON.

DANGEROUS HEAT.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS.
ONSET...THIS AFTERNOON.

DISCUSSION...
SHOWERS WITH A FEW EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS COULD MOVE INTO PORTIONS
OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA FROM THE WEST THIS MORNING BEFORE WEAKENING.
AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS LATER
TODAY WITH THUNDERSTORM CHANCES INCREASING THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING ACROSS NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS. A FEW
STORMS COULD APPROACH SEVERE LIMITS ACROSS FAR NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA
WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR DAMAGING WINDS. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL
WILL BE THE PRIMARY THREAT...MAINLY ALONG AND NORTH OF HIGHWAY
412. SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 40...WHERE LESS CLOUDS AND PRECIPITATION
IS EXPECTED...AFTERNOON HEAT INDICES WILL CLIMB TO AROUND 100
DEGREES.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
LOCAL SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.
WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...THUNDERSTORM AND DANGEROUS HEAT POTENTIAL.
SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY...DANGEROUS HEAT POTENTIAL.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL CONTINUE ON WEDNESDAY ACROSS NORTHEAST
OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS WITH THE CONTINUED THREAT FOR HEAVY
RAIN...INCLUDING A FEW SEVERE STORMS.

AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL BUILD OVER THE REGION THURSDAY THROUGH THE
WEEKEND WITH HOT AND HUMID CONDITIONS.  DANGEROUS HEAT INDICES BETWEEN
105 TO 110 WILL BE LIKELY EACH AFTERNOON.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

$$

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
445 AM CDT TUE AUG 4 2015

ILZ075>078-080>094-INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ001>022-MOZ076-086-087-
100-107>112-114-051000-
JEFFERSON-WAYNE IL-EDWARDS-WABASH-PERRY IL-FRANKLIN-HAMILTON-
WHITE-JACKSON-WILLIAMSON-SALINE-GALLATIN-UNION IL-JOHNSON-POPE-
HARDIN-ALEXANDER-PULASKI-MASSAC-GIBSON-PIKE-POSEY-VANDERBURGH-
WARRICK-SPENCER-FULTON-HICKMAN-CARLISLE-BALLARD-MCCRACKEN-GRAVES-
LIVINGSTON-MARSHALL-CALLOWAY-CRITTENDEN-LYON-TRIGG-CALDWELL-
UNION KY-WEBSTER-HOPKINS-CHRISTIAN-HENDERSON-DAVIESS-MCLEAN-
MUHLENBERG-TODD-PERRY MO-BOLLINGER-CAPE GIRARDEAU-WAYNE MO-CARTER-
RIPLEY-BUTLER-STODDARD-SCOTT-MISSISSIPPI-NEW MADRID-
445 AM CDT TUE AUG 4 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN
ILLINOIS...SOUTHWEST INDIANA...WESTERN KENTUCKY AND SOUTHEAST
MISSOURI.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE. LOCALLY
HEAVY RAINFALL AND DEADLY LIGHTNING WILL BE THE PRIMARY CONCERNS.

IN ADDITION...HEAT INDICES AROUND 100 OR SO WILL BE LIKELY SOUTH
OF A LINE EXTENDING FROM GREENVILLE;E MISSOURI TO GREENVILLE
KENTUCKY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY...A FAIRLY ENERGETIC UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM
FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR WILL MOVE SOUTHEAST FROM THE PLAINS AND
ACROSS THE OHIO AND MID MISSISSIPPI VALLEY REGIONS. THIS SYSTEM
MAY YIELD A SLIGHTLY BETTER CHANCE OF STRONG TO POSSIBLY SEVERE
STORMS ALONG WITH LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL THAT MAY RESULT IN SOME
FLOODING. THERE IS STILL SOME UNCERTAINTY WITH RESPECT TO WHERE
EXACTLY THE BEST CHANCES WILL BE.

A CHANCE OF NON SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS MAY LINGER INTO FRIDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.

$$


Short Term Forecast


SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
857 AM CDT TUE AUG 4 2015

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-041600-
BENTON-CARROLL-WASHINGTON AR-MADISON-CRAWFORD-FRANKLIN-SEBASTIAN-
PUSHMATAHA-CHOCTAW-OSAGE-WASHINGTON OK-NOWATA-CRAIG-OTTAWA-PAWNEE-
TULSA-ROGERS-MAYES-DELAWARE-CREEK-OKFUSKEE-OKMULGEE-WAGONER-
CHEROKEE-ADAIR-MUSKOGEE-MCINTOSH-SEQUOYAH-PITTSBURG-HASKELL-
LATIMER-LE FLORE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROGERS...BENTONVILLE...BERRYVILLE...
EUREKA SPRINGS...FAYETTEVILLE...SPRINGDALE...HUNTSVILLE...
VAN BUREN...OZARK...CHARLESTON...FORT SMITH...ANTLERS...CLAYTON...
HUGO...PAWHUSKA...BARTLESVILLE...NOWATA...VINITA...MIAMI...
PAWNEE...TULSA...CLAREMORE...PRYOR...JAY...BRISTOW...OKEMAH...
OKMULGEE...WAGONER...TAHLEQUAH...STILWELL...MUSKOGEE...EUFAULA...
SALLISAW...MCALESTER...STIGLER...WILBURTON...POTEAU
857 AM CDT TUE AUG 4 2015

.NOW...
AT 8:57 AM...DOPPLER RADARS DETECTED AN AREA OF RAIN SHOWERS
OCCURRING ACROSS AREAS WEST OF HIGHWAY 75. THE PRECIPITATION WAS
LIFTING NORTHWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH...WHILE THE ENTIRE COMPLEX
GRADUALLY MOVES EASTWARD.

THROUGH...11:00 AM...OCCASIONAL RAIN SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE FOR
LOCATIONS ACROSS EASTERN OKLAHOMA...MAINLY ALONG AND WEST OF A
MCALESTER TO PAWHUSKA LINE. LIGHT SHOWERS WILL BE COMMON...
RESULTING IN AVERAGE HOURLY RAINFALL OF LESS THAN ONE TENTH OF AN
INCH. BRIEF GUSTY WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE.

$$

U.S. Dept. of Commerce
NOAA National Weather Service
1325 East West Highway
Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: June 2, 2009
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE: for Safety, for Work, for Fun - FOR LIFE