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Flash Flood Warning


FLASH FLOOD WARNING
MOC043-077-109-209-010815-
/O.NEW.KSGF.FF.W.0025.160701T0220Z-160701T0815Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
920 PM CDT THU JUN 30 2016

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SPRINGFIELD HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
  WESTERN CHRISTIAN COUNTY IN SOUTHWESTERN MISSOURI...
  SOUTHWESTERN GREENE COUNTY IN SOUTHWESTERN MISSOURI...
  NORTHERN STONE COUNTY IN SOUTHWESTERN MISSOURI...
  NORTHEASTERN LAWRENCE COUNTY IN SOUTHWESTERN MISSOURI...

* UNTIL 315 AM CDT

* AT 920 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A THUNDERSTORM PRODUCING
  HEAVY RAIN ACROSS THE WARNED AREA. UP TO TWO INCHES OF RAIN HAS
  ALREADY FALLEN. FLASH FLOODING IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN SHORTLY.

* CREEKS...STREAMS...AND LOW WATER CROSSINGS WILL BE ESPECIALLY
  SUSCEPTIBLE TO THE DANGERS OF FLASH FLOODING.
  LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE...
  REPUBLIC...                       CLEVER...
  BILLINGS...                       HIGHLANDVILLE...
  HURLEY...                         SPOKANE...
  HALLTOWN...                       CHESAPEAKE...
  PONCE DE LEON...                  BOAZ...
  CHESTNUTRIDGE...

THIS WARNING INCLUDES BUT IS NOT LIMITED TO THE FOLLOWING LOW WATER
CROSSINGS...
ROUTE O AT TORY CREEK 2 MILES SOUTHWEST OF HIGHLANDVILLE...
ROUTE CC AT SPRING CREEK SOUTH OF HURLEY...
AND ROUTE DD AT TURNBACK CREEK NORTHEAST OF MILLER.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR OCCURRING.
RESIDENTS LIVING ALONG STREAMS AND CREEKS SHOULD TAKE IMMEDIATE
PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY.  DO NOT ATTEMPT TO CROSS
SWIFTLY FLOWING WATERS OR WATERS OF UNKNOWN DEPTH BY FOOT OR BY
AUTOMOBILE.

&&

LAT...LON 3684 9343 3690 9352 3706 9367 3722 9380
      3725 9379 3726 9375 3715 9348 3709 9342
      3682 9320 3682 9330 3681 9331 3681 9334

$$

CRAMER


Flood Warning


FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
739 PM CDT THU JUN 30 2016

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...


Do not drive vehicles through flooded waterways.  Use caution when
walking near flooded riverbanks.  Do not try to wade or swim in
flooded rivers and bayous.

For more hydrologic information, copy and paste the following website
address into your favorite web browser URL bar:
water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=shv

&&

TXC037-067-343-020039-
/O.CON.KSHV.FL.W.0209.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/NAPT2.3.ER.000000T0000Z.160509T1215Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
739 PM CDT THU JUN 30 2016

The flood warning continues for
  the Sulphur River Near Naples.
* until further notice...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  6:45 AM Thursday The stage was 26.7 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 22.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to a stage of 26.3 feet
  by Saturday morning.
* Impact...at 26.0 feet...Minor lowland flooding and flooded boat
  ramps.

&&

LAT...LON 3331 9466 3328 9456 3330 9447 3324 9462 3326 9466

$$

25


Special Weather Statement


SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
934 PM CDT THU JUN 30 2016

ARZ003>005-010330-
BOONE AR-MARION AR-BAXTER AR-
934 PM CDT THU JUN 30 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR MARION...CENTRAL BOONE AND WEST
CENTRAL BAXTER COUNTIES UNTIL 1030 PM CDT...

AT 933 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A LINE OF STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM NEAR PRICE PLACE TO LEAD
HILL TO SELF...AND MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 30 MPH.

HALF INCH HAIL AND WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THESE STORMS.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
HARRISON...                       MOUNTAIN HOME...
BULL SHOALS...                    YELLVILLE...
GASSVILLE...                      FLIPPIN...
LAKEVIEW IN BAXTER COUNTY...      DIAMOND CITY...
BERGMAN...                        LEAD HILL...
PYATT...                          VALLEY SPRINGS...
DUGGER...                         WININGTON...
RUSH...                           SHIPP...
SELF...                           CRAWFORD...
DODD CITY...                      OZARK ISLE...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS...AND MAY
LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 15 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE
SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.

&&

LAT...LON 3622 9234 3609 9260 3608 9282 3608 9284
      3611 9284 3612 9306 3643 9323 3650 9268
      3650 9261
TIME...MOT...LOC 0233Z 321DEG 26KT 3649 9266 3641 9289 3637 9311

$$

44


Hazardous Weather Outlook


HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
915 PM CDT THU JUN 30 2016

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-011030-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
915 PM CDT THU JUN 30 2016


THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...THROUGH TONIGHT.


SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...THROUGH MIDNIGHT.


DISCUSSION...

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS REMAIN ONGOING ACROSS PARTS OF THE AREA THIS
EVENING...AND ONE OR TWO STORMS WILL REMAIN CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
DAMAGING DOWNBURST WINDS ACROSS NORTHWEST ARKANSAS THIS EVENING. THE
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT SHOULD DIMINISH AROUND MIDNIGHT.


SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
LOCAL SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
FRIDAY AND SATURDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
SUNDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...DANGEROUS HEAT POTENTIAL
      ...HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL.
MONDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
TUESDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...DANGEROUS HEAT POTENTIAL.
WEDNESDAY...DANGEROUS HEAT POTENTIAL.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL CONTINUE INTO FRIDAY AS THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY
REMAINS NEAR THE AREA. ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL WILL
EXIST OVER THE REGION AS THE BOUNDARY INTERACTS WITH AN UPPER DISTURBANCE
LATE SATURDAY AND SUNDAY. DANGEROUS HEAT POTENTIAL WILL EXIST
SOUTH OF THE BOUNDARY...AND AWAY FROM ANY STORMS OVER THE WEEKEND INTO
EARLY NEXT WEEK.

FOR THE MIDDLE TO LATTER PORTION OF NEXT WEEK...RISING MID LEVEL
HEIGHTS AND TEMPS WILL LIKELY BRING AN END TO THE DAILY THUNDERSTORM
CHANCES...WITH DANGEROUS HEAT BECOMING MORE WIDESPREAD.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

$$

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
623 PM CDT THU JUN 30 2016

ILZ075>078-080>094-INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ001>022-MOZ076-086-087-
100-107>112-114-011000-
JEFFERSON-WAYNE IL-EDWARDS-WABASH-PERRY IL-FRANKLIN-HAMILTON-
WHITE-JACKSON-WILLIAMSON-SALINE-GALLATIN-UNION-JOHNSON-POPE-
HARDIN-ALEXANDER-PULASKI-MASSAC-GIBSON-PIKE-POSEY-VANDERBURGH-
WARRICK-SPENCER-FULTON-HICKMAN-CARLISLE-BALLARD-MCCRACKEN-GRAVES-
LIVINGSTON-MARSHALL-CALLOWAY-CRITTENDEN-LYON-TRIGG-CALDWELL-
UNION KY-WEBSTER-HOPKINS-CHRISTIAN-HENDERSON-DAVIESS-MCLEAN-
MUHLENBERG-TODD-PERRY MO-BOLLINGER-CAPE GIRARDEAU-WAYNE MO-CARTER-
RIPLEY-BUTLER-STODDARD-SCOTT-MISSISSIPPI-NEW MADRID-
623 PM CDT THU JUN 30 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN
ILLINOIS...SOUTHWEST INDIANA...WESTERN KENTUCKY AND SOUTHEAST
MISSOURI.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED OVERNIGHT. LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL AND LIGHTNING WILL BE THE PRIMARY HAZARDS. SMALL HAIL AND
GUSTY WINDS CANNOT BE RULED OUT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IS FORECAST FOR ALL OR A PORTION OF THE
REGION EACH DAY. A FEW STRONG STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ON
MONDAY...OTHERWISE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND LIGHTNING WILL BE
THE PRIMARY CONCERNS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

$$

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
400 PM CDT THU JUN 30 2016

ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-011000-
BOONE-MARION-BAXTER-FULTON-SHARP-NEWTON-SEARCY-STONE-IZARD-
INDEPENDENCE-JOHNSON-POPE-VAN BUREN-CLEBURNE-JACKSON-LOGAN-CONWAY-
FAULKNER-WHITE-WOODRUFF-SCOTT-YELL-PERRY-POLK-MONTGOMERY-GARLAND-
SALINE-PULASKI-LONOKE-PRAIRIE-MONROE-PIKE-CLARK-HOT SPRING-GRANT-
JEFFERSON-ARKANSAS-DALLAS-CLEVELAND-LINCOLN-DESHA-OUACHITA-
CALHOUN-BRADLEY-DREW-
400 PM CDT THU JUN 30 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR A LARGE PART OF ARKANSAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT

ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS EVENING
WITH AN ISOLATED STRONG STORM POSSIBLE. HAIL AND WINDS WOULD BE THE
MAIN THREATS WITH ANY STRONG STORM. HOWEVER THE OVERALL THREAT OF
ANY SEVERE STORMS IS QUITE LOW. TONIGHT PATCHY FOG WILL AGAIN BE
POSSIBLE IN THE OUACHITA RIVER VALLEY. ANY FOG THAT DEVELOPS WILL
SCATTER OUT AFTER SUNRISE FRIDAY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

ISOLATED AFTERNOON TO EVENING STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ALMOST EACH
DAY WITH AN ISOLATED STRONG STORM POSSIBLE. THE OVERALL THREAT OF
ANY SEVERE STORMS WILL REMAIN LOW THROUGH THE PERIOD. HEAT INDEX
VALUES WILL APPROACH 100 DEGREES TO A BIT ABOVE IN THE AFTERNOONS...
AND EXTRA CAUTION SHOULD BE USED DURING OUTDOOR ACTIVITIES.
OTHERWISE NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

&&

VISIT NWS LITTLE ROCK ON THE WEB. GO TO HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/LZK.

$$

57/62/59

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
330 PM CDT THU JUN 30 2016

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-012030-
BOURBON-CRAWFORD-CHEROKEE-BENTON-MORGAN-MILLER-MARIES-VERNON-
ST. CLAIR-HICKORY-CAMDEN-PULASKI-PHELPS-BARTON-CEDAR-POLK-DALLAS-
LACLEDE-TEXAS-DENT-JASPER-DADE-GREENE-WEBSTER-WRIGHT-NEWTON-
LAWRENCE-CHRISTIAN-DOUGLAS-HOWELL-SHANNON-MCDONALD-BARRY-STONE-
TANEY-OZARK-OREGON-
330 PM CDT THU JUN 30 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE MISSOURI
OZARKS AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

WEATHER HAZARDS EXPECTED...

  ELEVATED HAIL RISK.
  ELEVATED THUNDERSTORM WIND DAMAGE RISK.
  LIMITED LIGHTNING RISK.
  LIMITED EXCESSIVE HEAT RISK.

DISCUSSION...

  HEAT INDEX VALUES WILL REMAIN IN THE MIDDLE TO UPPER 90S
  INTO EARLY THIS EVENING ACROSS EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN KANSAS
  INTO WESTERN MISSOURI.

  SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND
  THIS EVENING AS A COLD FRONT PUSHES SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE
  AREA. SOME OF THESE STORMS MAY BECOME SEVERE AND BE CAPABLE
  OF PRODUCING HAIL TO THE SIZE OF HALF DOLLARS AND DAMAGING
  WINDS TO 60 MPH. AREAS NORTH AND WEST OF A JOPLIN TO
  CAMDENTON LINE WILL HAVE THE BEST POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE
  STORMS. IN ADDITION...FREQUENT LIGHTNING AND LOCALLY HEAVY
  RAINFALL MAY ACCOMPANY ANY STORM.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

  THE POTENTIAL FOR THUNDERSTORMS AND HEAVY RAINFALL WILL
  CONTINUE AT TIMES THROUGH THE 4TH OF JULY HOLIDAY WEEKEND. A
  FEW SEVERE STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ON A DAILY BASIS IF ENOUGH
  INSTABILITY CAN DEVELOP.

  HEAVY RAINFALL ASSOCIATED WITH THESE STORMS WILL RESULT IN A
  LIMITED RISK FOR FLOODING THIS WEEKEND. AT THIS TIME...TOTAL
  RAINFALL AMOUNTS THROUGH MONDAY ARE EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM
  ONE TO THREE INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS TO NEAR FOUR
  INCHES POSSIBLE ACROSS CENTRAL MISSOURI.

  THOSE WITH OUTDOOR PLANS THIS WEEKEND INCLUDING ALONG AREA
  RIVERS AND STREAMS SHOULD BE ALERT FOR APPROACHING STORMS...
  AND CLOSELY MONITOR THE LATEST WEATHER INFORMATION.

  HEAT INDEX VALUES IN THE UPPER 90S TO AROUND 100 DEGREES
  WILL BE POSSIBLE AGAIN BY THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

  SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED INTO THIS EVENING...MAINLY
  NORTH AND WEST OF A JOPLIN TO CAMDENTON LINE.

&&

MORE DETAILED INFORMATION CAN BE ACCESSED AT:
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SGF/SITREP(ALL LOWERCASE)

THIS PRODUCT IN GRAPHICAL FORMAT...ALONG WITH OTHER WEATHER...
HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE INFORMATION...AT
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SGF(ALL LOWERCASE)

$$

SCHAUMANN


Short Term Forecast


SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
830 PM CDT THU JUN 30 2016

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-010300-
BENTON-CARROLL-WASHINGTON AR-MADISON-CRAWFORD-FRANKLIN-SEBASTIAN-
PUSHMATAHA-CHOCTAW-OSAGE-WASHINGTON OK-NOWATA-CRAIG-OTTAWA-PAWNEE-
TULSA-ROGERS-MAYES-DELAWARE-CREEK-OKFUSKEE-OKMULGEE-WAGONER-
CHEROKEE-ADAIR-MUSKOGEE-MCINTOSH-SEQUOYAH-PITTSBURG-HASKELL-
LATIMER-LE FLORE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROGERS...BENTONVILLE...BERRYVILLE...
EUREKA SPRINGS...FAYETTEVILLE...SPRINGDALE...HUNTSVILLE...
VAN BUREN...OZARK...CHARLESTON...FORT SMITH...ANTLERS...CLAYTON...
HUGO...PAWHUSKA...BARTLESVILLE...NOWATA...VINITA...MIAMI...
PAWNEE...TULSA...CLAREMORE...PRYOR...GROVE...JAY...SAPULPA...
OKEMAH...OKMULGEE...WAGONER...TAHLEQUAH...STILWELL...MUSKOGEE...
CHECOTAH...SALLISAW...MCALESTER...STIGLER...WILBURTON...POTEAU
830 PM CDT THU JUN 30 2016

.NOW...

AT 8:30 PM...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADARS CONTINUED TO
DETECT AN AREA OF RAIN SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS
AFFECTING NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS. THE SHOWERS
AND STORMS HAD WEAKENED OVER THE PAST HOUR...AND ALL THE ACTIVITY
HAD DROPPED BELOW SEVERE LIMITS. ALL THIS ACTIVITY WAS MOVING
TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST...AROUND 20 MILES PER HOUR.

THROUGH 10:00 PM...SCATTERED LIGHT RAIN ACROSS NORTHEAST
OKLAHOMA...WITH POSSIBLE THUNDERSTORMS OVER NORTHWEST ARKANSAS
WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE. NOW THAT THE SUN IS SETTING...DAYTIME
HEATING WILL DECREASE ALLOWING THE SHOWERS AND STORMS TO
DISSIPATE.

$$

16

U.S. Dept. of Commerce
NOAA National Weather Service
1325 East West Highway
Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: June 2, 2009
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