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HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
1145 PM CDT FRI JUL 3 2015

ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-041000-
ARKANSAS-BAXTER-BOONE-BRADLEY-CALHOUN-CLARK-CLEBURNE-CLEVELAND-
CONWAY-DALLAS-DESHA-DREW-FAULKNER-FULTON-GARLAND-GRANT-HOT SPRING-
INDEPENDENCE-IZARD-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-LINCOLN-LOGAN-LONOKE-
MARION-MONROE-MONTGOMERY-NEWTON-OUACHITA-PERRY-PIKE-POLK-POPE-
PRAIRIE-PULASKI-SALINE-SCOTT-SEARCY-SHARP-STONE-VAN BUREN-WHITE-
WOODRUFF-YELL-
1145 PM CDT FRI JUL 3 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR A LARGE PART OF ARKANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO
MOVE SOUTHEAST OVER CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN ARKANSAS. AN UPPER LEVEL
WEATHER SYSTEM AND NEARLY STATIONARY FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL COMBINE
TO HELP DEVELOP THE STORMS. AN ISOLATED STRONG TO SEVERE STORM WILL
BE POSSIBLE WITH STRONG WINDS AND HAIL THE MAIN THREATS. HEAVY RAIN
WILL ALSO BE SEEN WITH LOCALIZED FLOODING POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

UPPER LEVEL NORTHWEST FLOW WILL BE OVER THE REGION THROUGH EARLY
NEXT WEEK...WHICH WILL BRING A SERIES OF UPPER LEVEL IMPULSES
ACROSS ARKANSAS. COMBINED WITH A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY OVER THE
WEEKEND...AND SEVERAL ROUNDS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE
SEEN. AREAS OF HEAVY RAIN WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE...WITH SOME
LOCATIONS RECEIVING 2 TO 4 INCHES. THE HEAVY RAIN MAY LEAD TO
LOCALIZED FLOODING AND ELEVATE SOME AREA RIVERS AND STREAMS. THE
MAIN AREA OF CONVECTION WILL GRADUALLY PUSH SOUTH INTO SUNDAY.
THERE WILL BE THE POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS
THROUGH THE WEEKEND. NEXT WEEK...RAIN CHANCES GRADUALLY LOWER
THROUGH THE WEEK AS UPPER HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN OVER THE REGION.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED IF WIDESPREAD SEVERE STORMS
DEVELOP. ANY SEVERE STORM REPORTS ARE REQUESTED.

&&

VISIT NWS LITTLE ROCK ON THE WEB. GO TO HTTP://WEATHER.GOV AND
CLICK ON CENTRAL ARKANSAS.

$$

59

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
347 AM CDT SAT JUL 4 2015

ILZ075>078-080>094-INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ001>022-MOZ076-086-087-
100-107>112-114-051000-
JEFFERSON-WAYNE IL-EDWARDS-WABASH-PERRY IL-FRANKLIN-HAMILTON-
WHITE-JACKSON-WILLIAMSON-SALINE-GALLATIN-UNION IL-JOHNSON-POPE-
HARDIN-ALEXANDER-PULASKI-MASSAC-GIBSON-PIKE-POSEY-VANDERBURGH-
WARRICK-SPENCER-FULTON-HICKMAN-CARLISLE-BALLARD-MCCRACKEN-GRAVES-
LIVINGSTON-MARSHALL-CALLOWAY-CRITTENDEN-LYON-TRIGG-CALDWELL-
UNION KY-WEBSTER-HOPKINS-CHRISTIAN-HENDERSON-DAVIESS-MCLEAN-
MUHLENBERG-TODD-PERRY MO-BOLLINGER-CAPE GIRARDEAU-WAYNE MO-CARTER-
RIPLEY-BUTLER-STODDARD-SCOTT-MISSISSIPPI-NEW MADRID-
347 AM CDT SAT JUL 4 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN
ILLINOIS...SOUTHWEST INDIANA...WESTERN KENTUCKY AND SOUTHEAST
MISSOURI.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE TODAY AND TONIGHT MAINLY ALONG AND
NEAR THE KY/TN AND MO/AR BORDERS. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND
DEADLY LIGHTNING WILL BE THE PRIMARY HAZARDS.

FLOODING CONTINUES ON AREA RIVERS. REFER TO THE WARNINGS AND
STATEMENTS FOR DETAILS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

WITH THE EXCEPTION OF SUNDAY NIGHT...THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE
OVER ALL OR PART OF THE OUTLOOK AREA THROUGH THE PERIOD. LOCALLY
HEAVY RAINFALL AND DEADLY LIGHTNING APPEAR TO BE THE PRIMARY
HAZARDS AT THIS TIME.

FLOODING CONTINUES ON AREA RIVERS. REFER TO THE WARNINGS AND
STATEMENTS FOR DETAILS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

$$

JP

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
316 AM CDT SAT JUL 4 2015

ARZ008-009-017-018-026>028-035-036-048-049-058-MOZ113-115-
MSZ001>017-020>024-TNZ001>004-019>022-048>055-088>092-051030-
ALCORN-BENTON MS-BENTON TN-CALHOUN-CARROLL-CHESTER-CHICKASAW-CLAY-
COAHOMA-CRAIGHEAD-CRITTENDEN-CROCKETT-CROSS-DESOTO-DECATUR-
DUNKLIN-DYER-FAYETTE-GIBSON-GREENE-HARDEMAN-HARDIN-HAYWOOD-
HENDERSON-HENRY-ITAWAMBA-LAFAYETTE-LAKE-LAUDERDALE-LAWRENCE-
LEE AR-LEE MS-MADISON-MARSHALL-MCNAIRY-MISSISSIPPI-MONROE-OBION-
PANOLA-PEMISCOT-PHILLIPS-POINSETT-PONTOTOC-PRENTISS-QUITMAN-
RANDOLPH-SHELBY-ST. FRANCIS-TALLAHATCHIE-TATE-TIPPAH-TIPTON-
TISHOMINGO-TUNICA-UNION-WEAKLEY-YALOBUSHA-
316 AM CDT SAT JUL 4 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EAST ARKANSAS...
THE MISSOURI BOOTHEEL...NORTH MISSISSIPPI...AND WEST TENNESSEE.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLASH FLOODING IS LIKELY INTO THE
EARLY EVENING OVER NORTH MISSISSIPPI...POSSIBLY AS FAR NORTH AS
THE MEMPHIS METRO AREA. IN ADDITION...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK
FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER NORTH MISSISSIPPI THROUGH THIS
EVENING...WITH DAMAGING WINDS THE PRIMARY THREAT. ISOLATED STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE MIDSOUTH
THROUGH TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUESTED TODAY OVER NORTH MISSISSIPPI.

$$

PWB

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1135 PM CDT FRI JUL 3 2015

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-050445-
BOURBON-CRAWFORD-CHEROKEE-BENTON-MORGAN-MILLER-MARIES-VERNON-
ST. CLAIR-HICKORY-CAMDEN-PULASKI-PHELPS-BARTON-CEDAR-POLK-DALLAS-
LACLEDE-TEXAS-DENT-JASPER-DADE-GREENE-WEBSTER-WRIGHT-NEWTON-
LAWRENCE-CHRISTIAN-DOUGLAS-HOWELL-SHANNON-MCDONALD-BARRY-STONE-
TANEY-OZARK-OREGON-
1135 PM CDT FRI JUL 3 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE MISSOURI
OZARKS AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

WEATHER HAZARDS EXPECTED...

  LIMITED FOG RISK.

DISCUSSION...

  PATCHY FOG WILL DEVELOP OVERNIGHT REDUCING THE VISIBILITY TO LESS
  THAN ONE MILE IN SOME AREAS.

  WHILE MOST FLOODING HAD ENDED...SOME LOW WATER CROSSINGS WILL
  REMAIN IMPACTED BY HIGH WATER LEVELS. NO ADDITIONAL RAINFALL IS
  EXPECTED TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

  SOME LOW WATER CROSSINGS MAY REMAIN IMPACTED BY HIGH WATER
  LEVELS THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

  THERE WILL BE A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS LATE SATURDAY NIGHT
  INTO SUNDAY MAINLY ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN KANSAS INTO SOUTHWESTERN
  MISSOURI.

  THE CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS AND THE POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY
  RAINFALL WILL INCREASE EARLY NEXT WEEK WHICH COULD RESULT IN
  RENEWED FLOODING.

  HEAT INDICES WILL EXCEED 95 DEGREES AT TIMES NEXT WEEK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

  SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED THROUGH TONIGHT.

&&

MORE DETAILED INFORMATION CAN BE ACCESSED AT:
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SGF/SITREP(ALL LOWERCASE)

THIS PRODUCT IN GRAPHICAL FORMAT...ALONG WITH OTHER WEATHER...
HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE INFORMATION...AT
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SGF(ALL LOWERCASE)

$$

FOSTER

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
922 PM CDT FRI JUL 3 2015

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-041030-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
922 PM CDT FRI JUL 3 2015

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...SOUTHEASTERN OKLAHOMA AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS.
ONSET...ONGOING.

POOR VISIBILITY.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...NORTHWESTERN ARKANSAS.
ONSET...AFTER 4 AM.

DISCUSSION...
MOIST AND SLIGHTLY UNSTABLE AIR WILL REMAIN ACROSS THE REGION
OVERNIGHT. THIS AIR MASS WILL SUPPORT SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH
THE NIGHT AS A WEAK UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE PASSES THROUGH THE AREA.
THE STRONGER STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WIND GUSTS
TO 65 MPH.

CLEAR SKIES AND LIGHT WIND WILL PROMOTE THE DEVELOPMENT OF FOG LATE
TONIGHT IN NORTHWESTERN ARKANSAS...ESPECIALLY IN AREAS THAT RECEIVED
RAINFALL ON FRIDAY. VISIBILITIES WILL IMPROVE BY 9 AM.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
LOCAL SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.
SATURDAY AND SUNDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
MONDAY AND TUESDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL.
WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE WEEKEND AS MOIST AND
UNSTABLE AIR REMAINS IN PLACE ACROSS THE REGION. MODERATELY STRONG
INSTABILITY COMBINED WITH WEAK WIND SHEAR WILL SUPPORT LIMITED
SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL BOTH DAYS. ISOLATED DAMAGING DOWNBURST WIND
WILL BE THE PRIMARY RISK. THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL INCREASES EARLY
NEXT WEEK AS THE UPPER LEVEL FLOW BECOMES MORE WESTERLY AND A FRONT
MOVES INTO THE REGION. HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL WILL BE INCREASED WITH
THE EARLY WEEK STORMS AND LIMITED SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL WILL
CONTINUE INTO THE LATTER PART OF NEXT WEEK.

WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

$$

69

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
839 PM CDT FRI JUL 3 2015

TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-050145-
MONTAGUE-COOKE-GRAYSON-FANNIN-LAMAR-YOUNG-JACK-WISE-DENTON-COLLIN-
HUNT-DELTA-HOPKINS-STEPHENS-PALO PINTO-PARKER-TARRANT-DALLAS-
ROCKWALL-KAUFMAN-VAN ZANDT-RAINS-EASTLAND-ERATH-HOOD-SOMERVELL-
JOHNSON-ELLIS-HENDERSON-COMANCHE-MILLS-HAMILTON-BOSQUE-HILL-NAVARRO-
FREESTONE-ANDERSON-LAMPASAS-CORYELL-BELL-MCLENNAN-FALLS-LIMESTONE-
LEON-MILAM-ROBERTSON-
839 PM CDT FRI JUL 3 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.
THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS THIS EVENING...MAINLY NORTH OF
I-20 CORRIDOR. CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING WILL BE THE MAIN THREAT.

LATE TONIGHT...THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS GENERALLY
NORTHEAST OF A JACKSBORO TO PALESTINE LINE. BRIEF HEAVY RAIN...
GUSTY WINDS AND CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING WILL BE THE MAIN
THREATS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.
THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS NORTHEAST OF AN OLNEY TO
HILLSBORO TO TEMPLE LINE ON SATURDAY....THEN GENERALLY NORTHEAST
OF A NOCONA TO PALESTINE LINE SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY. STRONG
WIND GUSTS...FREQUENT LIGHTNING AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE
POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

THERE WILL BE ANOTHER CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS MONDAY NIGHT
THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT GENERALLY NORTH OF A COMANCHE TO CANTON
LINE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

$$

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
201 PM CDT FRI JUL 3 2015

ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-MSZ018-019-025>042-044>046-041915-
ASHLEY-CHICOT-MOREHOUSE-WEST CARROLL-EAST CARROLL-BOLIVAR-
SUNFLOWER-LEFLORE-GRENADA-CARROLL-MONTGOMERY-WEBSTER-CLAY-LOWNDES-
CHOCTAW-OKTIBBEHA-WASHINGTON-HUMPHREYS-HOLMES-ATTALA-WINSTON-
NOXUBEE-ISSAQUENA-SHARKEY-YAZOO-LEAKE-NESHOBA-KEMPER-
201 PM CDT FRI JUL 3 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST
ARKANSAS...NORTHEAST LOUISIANA...CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...AND NORTH
CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT AND SATURDAY

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...LIMITED
TIMING...TONIGHT

FLOODING
THREAT...LIMITED
TIMING...TONIGHT

SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT THE AREA LATE THIS
AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT. A FEW OF THE STORMS COULD BE SEVERE MAINLY
THIS EVENING. THE HAZARDS INCLUDE WIND GUSTS TO 60 MPH AND HAIL UP TO
QUARTER SIZE.

HEAVY RAIN IS ALSO POSSIBLE ACROSS THE AREA TONIGHT. LOCALLY 2 TO 3
INCHES COULD CAUSE SOME FLOODING.

(WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=1)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS MAY BE NEEDED FOR PORTIONS OF THE REGION TONIGHT.

$$

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1151 AM CDT FRI JUL 3 2015

ARZ050-051-059>061-070>073-LAZ001>006-012>014-OKZ077-TXZ096-097-
108>112-124>126-136>138-041700-
SEVIER-HOWARD-LITTLE RIVER-HEMPSTEAD-NEVADA-MILLER-LAFAYETTE-
COLUMBIA-UNION-CADDO-BOSSIER-WEBSTER-CLAIBORNE-LINCOLN-BIENVILLE-
JACKSON-OUACHITA-MCCURTAIN-RED RIVER-BOWIE-FRANKLIN-TITUS-CAMP-
MORRIS-CASS-WOOD-UPSHUR-MARION-SMITH-GREGG-HARRISON-
1151 AM CDT FRI JUL 3 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
ARKANSAS...SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS...NORTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA...
NORTHWEST LOUISIANA...SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHEAST TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...

SCATTERED...TO NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH
TONIGHT ACROSS ALONG AND NORTH OF I-20...A FEW OF WHICH MAY BECOME
SEVERE WITH DAMAGING WINDS BEING THE PRIMARY THREAT. IN
ADDITION...LIGHTNING CAN BE DEADLY TO THOSE CAUGHT OUTSIDE...ESPECIALLY
GIVEN THE ABUNDANT OUTDOOR ACTIVITIES DURING THE HOLIDAY WEEKEND..
IF THUNDER ROARS...GO INDOORS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...

SEVERAL ROUNDS OF THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ALONG
DURING THE HOLIDAY WEEKEND...NOT ONLY DURING PEAK HEATING...BUT
OVERNIGHT AS WELL. THESE STORMS WILL BE SLOW MOVERS AND COULD
BRING UP ONE TO THREE OF RAINFALL. LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS WILL BE
POSSIBLE WHICH COULD LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. IN ADDITION...A FEW SEVERE
STORMS MAY BRING DAMAGING WINDS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

DUE TO THE ISOLATED NATURE OF ANY SEVERE WEATHER OR FLOODING...SPOTTER
ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED THROUGH TONIGHT.

$$

U.S. Dept. of Commerce
NOAA National Weather Service
1325 East West Highway
Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: June 2, 2009
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