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HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
1135 AM CDT MON SEP 1 2014

ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-021000-
ARKANSAS-BAXTER-BOONE-BRADLEY-CALHOUN-CLARK-CLEBURNE-CLEVELAND-
CONWAY-DALLAS-DESHA-DREW-FAULKNER-FULTON-GARLAND-GRANT-HOT SPRING-
INDEPENDENCE-IZARD-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-LINCOLN-LOGAN-LONOKE-
MARION-MONROE-MONTGOMERY-NEWTON-OUACHITA-PERRY-PIKE-POLK-POPE-
PRAIRIE-PULASKI-SALINE-SCOTT-SEARCY-SHARP-STONE-VAN BUREN-WHITE-
WOODRUFF-YELL-
1135 AM CDT MON SEP 1 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR A LARGE PART OF ARKANSAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

EARLY MORNING CONVECTION PRODUCED AN OUTFLOW BOUNDARY THAT WAS
SITUATED ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AT MIDDAY.
THE BOUNDARY WILL BE THE FOCUS FOR WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWER AND
THUNDERSTORM FORMATION THIS AFTERNOON. WHILE A FEW STRONG STORMS
WILL BE POSSIBLE...ORGANIZED SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED.

ADDITIONAL SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE ANTICIPATED TO DEVELOP THIS
EVENING TO THE NORTHWEST OF THE AREA. SOME OF THIS ACTIVITY COULD
AFFECT PARTS OF NORTHERN ARKANSAS LATER TONIGHT. SOME OF THE
STRONGER STORMS WILL CAPABLE OF PRODUCING GUSTY WINDS UP TO 40 MPH...
ALONG WITH LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

&&

VISIT NWS LITTLE ROCK ON THE WEB. GO TO HTTP://WEATHER.GOV AND
CLICK ON CENTRAL ARKANSAS.

$$

56/44

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
752 PM CDT MON SEP 1 2014

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-030100-
BOURBON-CRAWFORD-CHEROKEE-BENTON-MORGAN-MILLER-MARIES-VERNON-
ST. CLAIR-HICKORY-CAMDEN-PULASKI-PHELPS-BARTON-CEDAR-POLK-DALLAS-
LACLEDE-TEXAS-DENT-JASPER-DADE-GREENE-WEBSTER-WRIGHT-NEWTON-
LAWRENCE-CHRISTIAN-DOUGLAS-HOWELL-SHANNON-MCDONALD-BARRY-STONE-
TANEY-OZARK-OREGON-
752 PM CDT MON SEP 1 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE MISSOURI
OZARKS AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

WEATHER HAZARDS EXPECTED...

  LIMITED TORNADO RISK.
  ELEVATED HAIL RISK.
  ELEVATED THUNDERSTORM WIND DAMAGE RISK.
  ELEVATED FLOODING RISK.
  SIGNIFICANT LIGHTNING RISK.

DISCUSSION...

  STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS HAD REDEVELOPED EARLY THIS
  EVENING ALONG A BOUNDARY ACROSS THE AREA. LARGE HAIL TO THE SIZE
  OF GOLF BALLS...DAMAGING WIND GUSTS UP TO 60 MPH AND ISOLATED
  TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS EVENING WITH THE STRONGEST
  STORMS. IN ADDITION...HEAVY RAINFALL IS EXPECTED WITH THESE
  STORMS TONIGHT WHICH WILL INCREASE THE FLASH FLOODING RISK
  SHOULD THESE STORMS START TO TRAIN ACROSS THE SAME AREAS. A
  FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR TONIGHT.

  IF YOU HAVE OUTDOOR PLANS TONIGHT...MONITOR WEATHER CONDITIONS
  CLOSELY AND BE PREPARED TO SEEK SAFE SHELTER WHEN STORMS
  APPROACH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

  A SLOW MOVING FRONT WILL BRING A GOOD CHANCE FOR PERIODIC
  THUNDERSTORMS TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

  AREAS OF HEAVY RAINFALL WITH A RISK FOR LOCALIZED FLASH
  FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE TUESDAY.

  AFTERNOON HEAT INDEX VALUES IN THE MID 90S WILL BE POSSIBLE ON
  A DAILY AFTERNOON BASIS WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

  ANOTHER FRONT WILL BRING A CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS FRIDAY AND
  SATURDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

  SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED IN THE NEXT THREE HOURS FOR
  AREAS OVER WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI INTO EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS
  AND SOUTHWEST MISSOURI.

&&

THIS PRODUCT IS NOW AVAILABLE IN GRAPHICAL FORMAT...ALONG WITH
OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE INFORMATION...AT
HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/SGF(ALL LOWERCASE)

$$

LINDENBERG

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
706 PM CDT MON SEP 1 2014

ILZ075>078-080>094-INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ001>022-MOZ076-086-087-
100-107>112-114-021000-
JEFFERSON-WAYNE IL-EDWARDS-WABASH-PERRY IL-FRANKLIN-HAMILTON-
WHITE-JACKSON-WILLIAMSON-SALINE-GALLATIN-UNION IL-JOHNSON-POPE-
HARDIN-ALEXANDER-PULASKI-MASSAC-GIBSON-PIKE-POSEY-VANDERBURGH-
WARRICK-SPENCER-FULTON-HICKMAN-CARLISLE-BALLARD-MCCRACKEN-GRAVES-
LIVINGSTON-MARSHALL-CALLOWAY-CRITTENDEN-LYON-TRIGG-CALDWELL-
UNION KY-WEBSTER-HOPKINS-CHRISTIAN-HENDERSON-DAVIESS-MCLEAN-
MUHLENBERG-TODD-PERRY MO-BOLLINGER-CAPE GIRARDEAU-WAYNE MO-CARTER-
RIPLEY-BUTLER-STODDARD-SCOTT-MISSISSIPPI-NEW MADRID-
706 PM CDT MON SEP 1 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN
ILLINOIS...SOUTHWEST INDIANA...WESTERN KENTUCKY AND SOUTHEAST
MISSOURI.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

THERE IS A GOOD CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS TONIGHT. ISOLATED STRONG
TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CANNOT BE RULED OUT. THE MAIN HAZARDS
SHOULD BE STRONG WINDS...LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN AND POSSIBLY HAIL.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

OFF AND ON CHANCES OF THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORECAST TUESDAY THROUGH
SATURDAY. A FEW STRONG STORMS CAPABLE OF HEAVY RAIN AND GUSTY
WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY TUESDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUESTED TONIGHT AND TUESDAY.

$$

DRS

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
503 PM CDT MON SEP 1 2014

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-021000-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
503 PM CDT MON SEP 1 2014

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM THREAT INCREASES THIS EVENING ACROSS
NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA...

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT.

TORNADO.
RISK...VERY LIMITED.
        AREA...FAR NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA NEAR THE KANSAS BORDER.
        ONSET...AFTER 6 PM...DIMINISHING AFTER 9 PM.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...ELEVATED.
AREA...MAINLY NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA.
ONSET...AFTER 6 PM.

FLASH FLOOD.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA.
ONSET...THIS EVENING.

HEAVY RAIN.
RISK...ELEVATED.
AREA...NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA.
ONSET...AFTER 6 PM.

DANGEROUS HEAT.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS.
ONSET...ONGOING.

SIGNIFICANT WINDS.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA.
ONSET...ONGOING.

DISCUSSION...
THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP BY EARLY THIS
EVENING ACROSS SOUTHEAST KANSAS AND NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA...NEAR
THE INTERSECTION OF A COLD FRONT AND OUTFLOW BOUNDARY. ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS THAT DEVELOP EARLY THIS EVENING WILL HAVE A VERY
LIMITED TORNADO THREAT...ALTHOUGH STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO
EVENTUALLY DEVELOP INTO CLUSTERS AND MOVE EAST-SOUTHEAST ACROSS
PARTS OF NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA THIS EVENING. LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING
WINDS WILL BE THE MAIN SEVERE WEATHER THREAT WITH THIS ACTIVITY.

ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WELL INTO THE
OVERNIGHT HOURS...POSSIBLY AFFECTING PARTS OF NORTHWEST
ARKANSAS.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
ACTIVATION OF THE REGIONAL SPOTTER NETWORK IS LIKELY THIS EVENING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.
TUESDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY...NO HAZARDS.
FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
THE WEAK COLD FRONT ALONG WITH VARIOUS OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES WILL
REMAIN ACROSS THE REGION TUESDAY...AND WILL SERVE AS A FOCUS FOR
CONTINUED THUNDERSTORM CHANCES.  TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN WELL
ABOVE NORMAL FOR MID TO LATE WEEK...BEFORE THE NEXT COLD FRONT AND
ASSOCIATED THUNDERSTORM CHANCES ARRIVE NEXT WEEKEND.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.
$$

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1148 AM CDT MON SEP 1 2014

ARZ050-051-059>061-070>073-OKZ077-TXZ096-097-108>112-124>126-136-
137-021700-
SEVIER-HOWARD-LITTLE RIVER-HEMPSTEAD-NEVADA-MILLER-LAFAYETTE-
COLUMBIA-UNION AR-MCCURTAIN-RED RIVER-BOWIE-FRANKLIN-TITUS-CAMP-
MORRIS-CASS-WOOD-UPSHUR-MARION-SMITH-GREGG-
1148 AM CDT MON SEP 1 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
ARKANSAS...SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS...SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHEAST
TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...

ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE THROUGH
MUCH OF THIS WEEK...PRIMARILY DUE TO AFTERNOON SEA BREEZE SHOWERS
AND STORMS ADVANCING NORTHWARD FROM THE GULF COAST. A FRONTAL
BOUNDARY WILL APPROACH THE REGION FROM THE NORTH OVER THE WEEKEND
AND MAY BRING ADDITIONAL SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HOWEVER...NO
ORGANIZED HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

ACTIVATION OF EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL...AMATEUR RADIO
OPERATORS AND STORM SPOTTERS WILL NOT BE NEEDED THROUGH TONIGHT.

$$

VII

U.S. Dept. of Commerce
NOAA National Weather Service
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Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: June 2, 2009
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