Hazardous Weather Outlook

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK ...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1006 PM CDT WED MAY 22 2013

OKZ004>048-050>052-TXZ083>090-240315-
HARPER-WOODS-ALFALFA-GRANT-KAY-ELLIS-WOODWARD-MAJOR-GARFIELD-NOBLE-
ROGER MILLS-DEWEY-CUSTER-BLAINE-KINGFISHER-LOGAN-PAYNE-BECKHAM-
WASHITA-CADDO-CANADIAN-OKLAHOMA-LINCOLN-GRADY-MCCLAIN-CLEVELAND-
POTTAWATOMIE-SEMINOLE-HUGHES-HARMON-GREER-KIOWA-JACKSON-TILLMAN-
COMANCHE-STEPHENS-GARVIN-MURRAY-PONTOTOC-COAL-COTTON-JEFFERSON-
CARTER-JOHNSTON-ATOKA-LOVE-MARSHALL-BRYAN-HARDEMAN-FOARD-WILBARGER-
WICHITA-KNOX-BAYLOR-ARCHER-CLAY-
1006 PM CDT WED MAY 22 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK COVERS NORTHERN...WESTERN...
CENTRAL...AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA...AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT...

THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK...
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF
CENTRAL OKLAHOMA LATE TONIGHT.

DISCUSSION...
FAIRLY DRY AND STABLE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO PREVENT
THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT ACROSS OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS
THROUGH THIS EVENING. LATE TONIGHT THROUGH EARLY TOMORROW
MORNING...ELEVATED THUNDERSTORMS MAY DEVELOP ACROSS THE AREA AS AN
INCREASING LOW LEVEL JET BRINGS DEEPER MOISTURE AND BETTER
INSTABILITY NORTHWARD. LOCATIONS NORTH AND EAST OF A LINE FROM
ERICK...TO LAWTON...TO SULPHUR WILL HAVE THE BEST CHANCE OF SEEING
THUNDERSTORMS. THIS WILL INCLUDE THE SOUTH OKLAHOMA CITY METRO IN
AND AROUND NEWCASTLE AND MOORE.

SOME STORMS MAY BECOME SEVERE POSING A THREAT OF LARGE HAIL NEAR
THE SIZE OF HALF DOLLARS...AND WIND GUSTS AROUND 50 TO 60 MPH.
FREQUENT LIGHTNING WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE. STORMS SHOULD GRADUALLY
MOVE SOUTHEASTWARD THROUGH THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON
HOURS...DIMINISHING IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY BY EARLY AFTERNOON.

PROBABILITY TABLE...
VALID THROUGH 700 AM CDT THURSDAY MAY 23.
PROBABILITY OF THUNDERSTORMS OCCURRING IN THE
              NWS NORMAN COUNTY WARNING AREA...80 PERCENT.
PROBABILITY OF SEVERE STORMS IF STORMS OCCUR...40 PERCENT.

OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER...
RIVER FLOODING MAY BE POSSIBLE ALONG THE CLEAR BOGGY CREEK NEAR
CANEY IN ATOKA COUNTY IF ADDITIONAL RAINFALL EARLY TOMORROW
MORNING PASSES OVER THIS AREA.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...

THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK...
THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THURSDAY AFTERNOON
AND NIGHT ACROSS FAR SOUTHWESTERN OKLAHOMA AND FAR WESTERN TEXAS
WITH DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL AS THE MAIN HAZARDS. WHILE NOT
VERY LIKELY...THERE IS A SLIM CHANCE THAT SOME OF THIS ACTIVITY
MAY MOVE INTO CENTRAL OKLAHOMA DURING THE EVENING HOURS.

THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL CONTINUE ACROSS PARTS OF THE AREA THROUGH
MONDAY NIGHT. A FEW STRONG TO PERHAPS SEVERE STORMS WILL BE
POSSIBLE EACH DAY DURING THIS TIME FRAME.

OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER...
NONE.

THE NEXT SCHEDULED HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK WILL BE ISSUED BY 5 AM
THURSDAY.

$$

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
1000 PM CDT WED MAY 22 2013

TXZ021>044-240300-
PARMER-CASTRO-SWISHER-BRISCOE-HALL-CHILDRESS-BAILEY-LAMB-HALE-
FLOYD-MOTLEY-COTTLE-COCHRAN-HOCKLEY-LUBBOCK-CROSBY-DICKENS-KING-
YOAKUM-TERRY-LYNN-GARZA-KENT-STONEWALL-
1000 PM CDT WED MAY 22 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE EXTREME SOUTHERN TEXAS
PANHANDLE...SOUTH PLAINS AND ROLLING PLAINS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THURSDAY AFTERNOON ACROSS
THE SOUTHERN TEXAS PANHANDLE...ROLLING PLAINS AND PORTIONS OF THE
NORTHERN AND CENTRAL SOUTH PLAINS. STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF
PRODUCING DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND VERY LARGE HAIL. THERE WILL ALSO
BE A THREAT FOR ISOLATED TORNADOES...PARTICULARLY ACROSS THE
EXTREME SOUTHERN TEXAS PANHANDLE TO THE CENTRAL ROLLING PLAINS
ALONG A COLD FRONT THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING.

ADDITIONAL STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS ARE POSSIBLE FRIDAY INTO THE
HOLIDAY WEEKEND.

$$

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
534 AM MDT WED MAY 22 2013

NMZ501>540-231200-
NORTHWEST PLATEAU-CHUSKA MOUNTAINS-FAR NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-
NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-WEST CENTRAL PLATEAU-WEST CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-
WEST CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS-
SAN FRANCISCO RIVER VALLEY-SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS-JEMEZ MOUNTAINS-
WEST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 9500 FEET/RED RIVER-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 9500 FEET-
EAST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-
LOWER CHAMA RIVER VALLEY-SANTA FE METRO AREA-ALBUQUERQUE METRO AREA-
LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-SANDIA/MANZANO MOUNTAINS-ESTANCIA VALLEY-
CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-SOUTH CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-UPPER TULAROSA VALLEY-
SOUTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-RATON RIDGE/JOHNSON MESA-
FAR NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-UNION COUNTY-
HARDING COUNTY-EASTERN SAN MIGUEL COUNTY-GUADALUPE COUNTY-
QUAY COUNTY-CURRY COUNTY-ROOSEVELT COUNTY-DE BACA COUNTY-
CHAVES COUNTY PLAINS-EASTERN LINCOLN COUNTY-SOUTHWEST CHAVES COUNTY-
534 AM MDT WED MAY 22 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH AND CENTRAL
NEW MEXICO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED. HOWEVER...FIRE WEATHER
CONDITIONS MAY BECOME LOCALLY CRITICAL FOR SEVERAL HOURS THIS
AFTERNOON OVER THE WESTERN MOUNTAINS AND NORTHWEST PLATEAU DUE
TO GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITIES.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW. HOWEVER...
THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING OVER THE EASTERN PLAINS MAY PRODUCE
HAIL...DOWNPOURS...AND STRONG WINDS THURSDAY AND FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
STORMS WILL BE MAINLY SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 40 AND CLOSE TO THE
TEXAS LINE ON THURSDAY...WITH STRONG STORM COVERAGE EXPANDING TO
ALL OF EASTERN NEW MEXICO ON FRIDAY.

WEATHER CAN CHANGE VERY RAPIDLY. ALWAYS USE THE LATEST FORECASTS...
WATCHES AND WARNINGS FOR PLANNING PURPOSES.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

$$

SHY