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Hazardous Weather Outlook


Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
1240 PM CDT Sat Oct 21 2017

NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-057>063-067>070-074-075-
079>082-258-221745-
Guadalupe Mountains of Eddy County-Eddy County Plains-
Northern Lea County-Central Lea County-Southern Lea County-Gaines-
Dawson-Borden-Scurry-Andrews-Martin-Howard-Mitchell-
Van Horn and Highway 54 Corridor-Reeves County and Upper Trans Pecos-
Loving-Winkler-Ector-Midland-Glasscock-Ward-Crane-Upton-Reagan-
Davis/Apache Mountains Area-Pecos-Presidio Valley-Marfa Plateau-
Big Bend Area-Terrell-Guadalupe Mountains-
1240 PM CDT Sat Oct 21 2017 /1140 AM MDT Sat Oct 21 2017/

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of southeast New
Mexico, southwest Texas and western Texas.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

Strong to severe thunderstorms are possible this afternoon and
evening across the far eastern Permian Basin and Lower Trans Pecos.
The main threats with these storms will be strong winds and hail.

A High Wind Warning is in effect for the Guadalupe Mountains through
mid afternoon today.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

Strong northeasterly gap winds are possible at Guadalupe Pass on
Monday night.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated.

$$
This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories,
and statements issued by the National Weather Service Office in
Midland, can be found on the internet at...
http://weather.gov/midland

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service San Angelo TX
245 PM CDT Sat Oct 21 2017

TXZ049-054-064>066-071>073-076>078-098-099-113-114-127-128-139-
140-154-155-168>170-221945-
Fisher-Nolan-Sterling-Coke-Runnels-Irion-Tom Green-Concho-
Crockett-Schleicher-Sutton-Haskell-Throckmorton-Jones-Shackelford-
Taylor-Callahan-Coleman-Brown-McCulloch-San Saba-Menard-Kimble-
Mason-
245 PM CDT Sat Oct 21 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of west central
Texas.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight

Isolated thunderstorms may develop ahead of a dryline late this
afternoon and early evening generally west of a Sweetwater,
San Angelo to Ozona line. The main hazard will be damaging winds
and large hail.

Strong to severe thunderstorms will be possible this evening and
overnight ahead of a cold front that will move south across the
area. The most favored area for severe storms will be along and
north of Interstate 20 this evening. The primary hazards will be
large hail and damaging winds, although an isolated tornado cannot
be ruled out.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Limited spotter activation may be necessary this evening,
primarily north of Interstate 20.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Norman OK
1224 PM CDT Sat Oct 21 2017

OKZ004>048-050>052-TXZ083>090-221230-
Harper-Woods-Alfalfa-Grant-Kay-Ellis-Woodward-Major-Garfield-
Noble-Roger Mills-Dewey-Custer-Blaine-Kingfisher-Logan-Payne-
Beckham-Washita-Caddo-Canadian-Oklahoma-Lincoln-Grady-McClain-
Cleveland-Pottawatomie-Seminole-Hughes-Harmon-Greer-Kiowa-Jackson-
Tillman-Comanche-Stephens-Garvin-Murray-Pontotoc-Coal-Cotton-
Jefferson-Carter-Johnston-Atoka-Love-Marshall-Bryan-Hardeman-
Foard-Wilbarger-Wichita-Knox-Baylor-Archer-Clay-
1224 PM CDT Sat Oct 21 2017

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of northern...
western...central...and southern Oklahoma...and western north
Texas.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight...

.Thunderstorms...
There is an Enhanced risk of severe thunderstorms across portions
of north central, central, and southern Oklahoma, and western
north Texas. A Slight and Marginal risk cover much of the rest of
the area.

Location...
The Enhanced risk is near and southeast of a line from Cherokee to
Seiling to Clinton and Altus Oklahoma, to Crowell and Seymour
Texas. This includes places like Ponca City, Enid, Lawton,
Oklahoma City Metro, Ada, and Ardmore Oklahoma, and Wichita Falls
Texas. The Slight and Marginal risks are west of the Enhanced risk
and southeast of a line from Buffalo to Arnett Oklahoma.

Impacts...
Damaging wind gusts to around 80 mph and large hail up to the size
of tennis balls are the primary concerns. There is a low potential
for tornadoes across portions of central and southern Oklahoma,
and western north Texas.

Timing...
The most likely time for severe storms will be from 3 pm to 2 am.
The most likely time for a tornado, if a tornado occurs, will be
from 3 pm to 9 pm.

Discussion...
Thunderstorms will develop along the strong cold front which will
push into northwestern Oklahoma this Afternoon. Initial storms
will occur across northern and western Oklahoma. Thunderstorms
will continue to develop as the cold front moves across the area
this evening and overnight. Storms will form into one or two lines
fairly quickly. Large hail will be a concern with the initial
development, before damaging winds become the greatest concern as
storms become more linear. Isolated wind gusts up to 80 mph are
possible.

Other more discrete storms could develop in parts of southwest
Oklahoma and western north Texas later this afternoon near a
surface low, the front, and dryline. Large hail up to the size of
tennis balls and wind gusts to 70 mph will be the main concerns
with these storms. However, there will also be a low potential for
tornado development within the strongest storms. Eventually,
these storms are expected to merge into line segments as well,
with the damaging wind potential becoming a greater concern. The
tornado potential is expected to decrease later this evening.

The potential for severe storms will decrease overnight but
thunderstorms will remain possible through early Sunday.

.SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT STATEMENT...

Storm spotter groups and emergency management personnel across the
risk areas should prepare for severe weather operations late this
afternoon and tonight.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday...

.Thunderstorms...
A few thunderstorms may linger in parts of southeast Oklahoma
Sunday morning before exiting the area.

.Cold/Frost...
Patchy frost and near freezing temperatures may be possible across
portions of Oklahoma late next week.

Get graphics and more details at weather.gov/norman...and follow
our weather forecast office on Twitter and Facebook.

$$

Kurtz

Hazardous Weather Outlook...UPDATED
National Weather Service Lubbock TX
957 AM CDT Sat Oct 21 2017

TXZ021>044-221500-
Parmer-Castro-Swisher-Briscoe-Hall-Childress-Bailey-Lamb-Hale-
Floyd-Motley-Cottle-Cochran-Hockley-Lubbock-Crosby-Dickens-King-
Yoakum-Terry-Lynn-Garza-Kent-Stonewall-
957 AM CDT Sat Oct 21 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the South Plains...Rolling
Plains and the far Southern Texas Panhandle.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

A few severe thunderstorms may develop mainly over the Rolling
Plains later today. Hail to the size of quarters and winds near
65 mph are possible. Farther west, isolated high based
thunderstorms could produce a few microbursts with winds
approaching 60 mph.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated at this time.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
434 AM CDT Sat Oct 21 2017

TXZ171>173-183>194-202>209-217>225-228-220945-
Llano-Burnet-Williamson-Val Verde-Edwards-Real-Kerr-Bandera-
Gillespie-Kendall-Blanco-Hays-Travis-Bastrop-Lee-Kinney-Uvalde-
Medina-Bexar-Comal-Guadalupe-Caldwell-Fayette-Maverick-Zavala-
Frio-Atascosa-Wilson-Karnes-Gonzales-De Witt-Lavaca-Dimmit-
434 AM CDT Sat Oct 21 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for South-Central Texas..

.DAY ONE...Today And Tonight.

Strong to severe thunderstorms are possible tonight along a cold
front. Large hail and damaging winds are the main threat. Storms
will move through the Hill Country late tonight.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Strong to severe thunderstorms are possible early Sunday morning
along a cold front. Large hail and damaging winds are the main
threat. Storms will move from I-35/Hwy 90 to the Coastal Plains
Sunday morning. Otherwise no hazardous weather is expected at
this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotters, severe thunderstorms are possible late tonight and
Sunday morning. Please report any severe weather.

$$

U.S. Dept. of Commerce
NOAA National Weather Service
1325 East West Highway
Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: June 2, 2009
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