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Flood Warning


FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
1118 AM CDT WED APR 1 2015

...From the National Weather Service in Little Rock...the Flood
Warning continues for the following river in Arkansas...

  White River At Georgetown affecting Prairie...White and Woodruff
  Counties

  White River At Augusta affecting White and Woodruff Counties

  White River At Clarendon affecting Arkansas and Monroe Counties

  Cache River Near Patterson affecting Jackson and Woodruff Counties


River forecasts are based on current conditions and rainfall
forecasted to occur over the next 12 hours. During periods of
flooding...Evening forecasts are reissued with updated rainfall
forecasts.

Observed and forecasted stage data plots are available on our
Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Service web page at...
www.srh.noaa.gov/lzk
Under the Current Conditions section...Select River and Lakes AHPS.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message...Remember to Turn Around...Don`t Drown
Do not drive cars through flooded areas.

Everyone with property or other interest along streams and rivers
should remain alert to changing weather forecast. Should conditions
change...Look for river forecast or Flood Warnings for use in

&&

ARC145-147-020718-
/O.CON.KLZK.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/AUGA4.1.ER.000000T0000Z.150319T1945Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1118 AM CDT WED APR 1 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The White River At Augusta.
* until further notice...Or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 10:00 AM Wednesday the stage was 31.5 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 26.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will remain near 31.5 feet through the end
  of the week.
* Impacts at 30.0 feet...Thousands of acres of farm ground flooded.
  County roads on both sides of the river are flooded, including
  County Road 871 and 899.


&&


             Fld     Observed                 Forecast 7 AM
Location     Stg   Stg  Day Time    Thu    Fri    Sat    Sun    Mon

Lower White River
  Augusta     26  31.5 Wed 10 AM   31.5   31.4   31.4   31.3   31.4


&&


LAT...LON 3514 9152 3525 9146 3537 9150 3534 9136
 3521 9133 3515 9137



$$

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
1118 AM CDT WED APR 1 2015

...From the National Weather Service in Little Rock...the Flood
Warning continues for the following river in Arkansas...

  White River At Georgetown affecting Prairie...White and Woodruff
  Counties

  White River At Augusta affecting White and Woodruff Counties

  White River At Clarendon affecting Arkansas and Monroe Counties

  Cache River Near Patterson affecting Jackson and Woodruff Counties


River forecasts are based on current conditions and rainfall
forecasted to occur over the next 12 hours. During periods of
flooding...Evening forecasts are reissued with updated rainfall
forecasts.

Observed and forecasted stage data plots are available on our
Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Service web page at...
www.srh.noaa.gov/lzk
Under the Current Conditions section...Select River and Lakes AHPS.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message...Remember to Turn Around...Don`t Drown
Do not drive cars through flooded areas.

Everyone with property or other interest along streams and rivers
should remain alert to changing weather forecast. Should conditions
change...Look for river forecast or Flood Warnings for use in

&&

ARC067-147-020718-
/O.CON.KLZK.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/PTTA4.3.ER.150222T2000Z.150313T1600Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
1118 AM CDT WED APR 1 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Cache River Near Patterson.
* until further notice...Or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 10:00 AM Wednesday the stage was 9.9 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to a stage of 9.8 feet
  by Thursday morning.
* Impacts at 10.0 feet...Pastureland and cropland not protected by
  levees in Jackson and Woodruff counties affected. Water is deep
  along the shoulders of State Highway 18 near Grubbs. Water over
  portions of Woodruff County Road 775 north of State Highway 260.


&&


             Fld     Observed                 Forecast 7 AM
Location     Stg   Stg  Day Time    Thu    Fri    Sat    Sun    Mon

Cache River
  Patterson    8   9.9 Wed 10 AM    9.8    9.7    9.5    9.3    9.0


&&


LAT...LON 3510 9133 3522 9128 3539 9123 3538 9113
 3521 9117 3508 9122



$$

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
1118 AM CDT WED APR 1 2015

...From the National Weather Service in Little Rock...the Flood
Warning continues for the following river in Arkansas...

  White River At Georgetown affecting Prairie...White and Woodruff
  Counties

  White River At Augusta affecting White and Woodruff Counties

  White River At Clarendon affecting Arkansas and Monroe Counties

  Cache River Near Patterson affecting Jackson and Woodruff Counties


River forecasts are based on current conditions and rainfall
forecasted to occur over the next 12 hours. During periods of
flooding...Evening forecasts are reissued with updated rainfall
forecasts.

Observed and forecasted stage data plots are available on our
Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Service web page at...
www.srh.noaa.gov/lzk
Under the Current Conditions section...Select River and Lakes AHPS.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message...Remember to Turn Around...Don`t Drown
Do not drive cars through flooded areas.

Everyone with property or other interest along streams and rivers
should remain alert to changing weather forecast. Should conditions
change...Look for river forecast or Flood Warnings for use in

&&

ARC001-095-020718-
/O.CON.KLZK.FL.W.0015.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CLDA4.1.ER.150313T1524Z.150325T1100Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1118 AM CDT WED APR 1 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The White River At Clarendon.
* until further notice...Or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 10:00 AM Wednesday the stage was 28.2 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 26.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below 28.0 feet
  by this weekend.
* Impacts at 26.0 feet...River flows in many side channels and creates
  islands between the river and sloughs and creeks. Flooding of
  cropland and timber is occurring. Portions of the National Wildlife
  Refuge downstream of Clarendon flooding.



&&


             Fld     Observed                 Forecast 7 AM
Location     Stg   Stg  Day Time    Thu    Fri    Sat    Sun    Mon

Lower White River
  Clarendon   26  28.2 Wed 10 AM   28.1   28.0   27.8   27.7   27.6


&&


LAT...LON 3435 9119 3449 9132 3466 9139 3472 9129
 3455 9120 3442 9108



$$

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
1118 AM CDT WED APR 1 2015

...From the National Weather Service in Little Rock...the Flood
Warning continues for the following river in Arkansas...

  White River At Georgetown affecting Prairie...White and Woodruff
  Counties

  White River At Augusta affecting White and Woodruff Counties

  White River At Clarendon affecting Arkansas and Monroe Counties

  Cache River Near Patterson affecting Jackson and Woodruff Counties


River forecasts are based on current conditions and rainfall
forecasted to occur over the next 12 hours. During periods of
flooding...Evening forecasts are reissued with updated rainfall
forecasts.

Observed and forecasted stage data plots are available on our
Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Service web page at...
www.srh.noaa.gov/lzk
Under the Current Conditions section...Select River and Lakes AHPS.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message...Remember to Turn Around...Don`t Drown
Do not drive cars through flooded areas.

Everyone with property or other interest along streams and rivers
should remain alert to changing weather forecast. Should conditions
change...Look for river forecast or Flood Warnings for use in

&&

ARC117-145-147-020718-
/O.EXT.KLZK.FL.W.0025.000000T0000Z-150404T1800Z/
/GEOA4.1.ER.150316T1720Z.150322T0715Z.150403T1200Z.NO/
1118 AM CDT WED APR 1 2015

...Flood Warning extended until Saturday afternoon...The Flood
Warning continues for
  The White River At Georgetown.
* until Saturday afternoon...Or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 10:00 AM Wednesday the stage was 21.1 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 21.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage
  Friday.
* Impacts at 21.0 feet...Hurricane Lake Wildlife Management Area and
  Raft Creek Bottoms inundated. Roads in the bottoms are flooded.


&&


             Fld     Observed                 Forecast 7 AM
Location     Stg   Stg  Day Time    Thu    Fri    Sat    Sun    Mon

Lower White River
  Georgetown  21  21.1 Wed 10 AM   21.1   21.0   20.9   20.8   20.7


&&


LAT...LON 3500 9155 3508 9151 3514 9152 3515 9137
 3506 9139 3498 9142



$$

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
1038 AM CDT WED APR 1 2015

...From the National Weather Service in Little Rock...the Flood
Warning continues for the following river in Arkansas...

  Black River At Pocahontas affecting Randolph County

  Black River At Black Rock affecting Independence...Jackson and
  Lawrence Counties


River forecasts are based on current conditions and rainfall
forecasted to occur over the next 12 hours. During periods of
flooding...Evening forecasts are reissued with updated rainfall
forecasts.

Observed and forecasted stage data plots are available on our
Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Service web page at...
www.srh.noaa.gov/lzk
Under the Current Conditions section...Select River and Lakes AHPS.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message...Remember to Turn Around...Don`t Drown
Do not drive cars through flooded areas.

Everyone with property or other interest along streams and rivers
should remain alert to changing weather forecast. Should conditions
change...Look for river forecast or Flood Warnings for use in

&&

ARC063-067-075-020638-
/O.CON.KLZK.FL.W.0010.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/BKRA4.1.ER.150305T1022Z.150315T0700Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1038 AM CDT WED APR 1 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Black River At Black Rock.
* until further notice...Or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 10:00 AM Wednesday the stage was 19.3 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 14.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to a stage of 18.8 feet
  by Thursday morning.
* Impacts at 17.0 feet...Low lying cultivated land and pastures in Lawrence,
  Jackson, and Independence counties flood.

&&


             Fld     Observed                 Forecast 7 AM
Location     Stg   Stg  Day Time    Thu    Fri    Sat    Sun    Mon

Black River
  Black Rock  14  19.3 Wed 10 AM   18.8   18.4   18.1   17.7   17.1


&&


LAT...LON 3570 9140 3591 9125 3612 9115 3610 9101
 3588 9110 3564 9128



$$

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
1038 AM CDT WED APR 1 2015

...From the National Weather Service in Little Rock...the Flood
Warning continues for the following river in Arkansas...

  Black River At Pocahontas affecting Randolph County

  Black River At Black Rock affecting Independence...Jackson and
  Lawrence Counties


River forecasts are based on current conditions and rainfall
forecasted to occur over the next 12 hours. During periods of
flooding...Evening forecasts are reissued with updated rainfall
forecasts.

Observed and forecasted stage data plots are available on our
Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Service web page at...
www.srh.noaa.gov/lzk
Under the Current Conditions section...Select River and Lakes AHPS.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message...Remember to Turn Around...Don`t Drown
Do not drive cars through flooded areas.

Everyone with property or other interest along streams and rivers
should remain alert to changing weather forecast. Should conditions
change...Look for river forecast or Flood Warnings for use in

&&

ARC121-020638-
/O.EXT.KLZK.FL.W.0019.000000T0000Z-150406T1200Z/
/POCA4.1.ER.150313T0037Z.150318T2215Z.150405T0600Z.NO/
1038 AM CDT WED APR 1 2015

...Flood Warning extended until Monday morning...The Flood Warning
continues for
  The Black River At Pocahontas.
* until Monday morning...Or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 10:00 AM Wednesday the stage was 18.4 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage
  Saturday night.


&&


             Fld     Observed                 Forecast 7 AM
Location     Stg   Stg  Day Time    Thu    Fri    Sat    Sun    Mon

Black River
  Pocahontas  17  18.4 Wed 10 AM   18.2   18.0   17.5   16.8   16.0


&&


LAT...LON 3612 9115 3625 9106 3630 9095 3620 9089
 3617 9098 3610 9101



$$

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
930 AM CDT WED APR 1 2015

...From the National Weather Service in Little Rock...the Flood
Warning continues for the following river in Arkansas...

  Ouachita River At Thatcher L&D affecting Bradley...Calhoun and
  Union counties


River forecasts are based on current conditions and rainfall
forecasted to occur over the next 12 hours. During periods of
flooding...Evening forecasts are reissued with updated rainfall
forecasts.

Observed and forecasted stage data plots are available on our
Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Service web page at...
www.srh.noaa.gov/lzk
Under the Current Conditions section...Select River and Lakes AHPS.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message...Remember to Turn Around...Don`t Drown
Do not drive cars through flooded areas.

Everyone with property or other interest along streams and rivers
should remain alert to changing weather forecast. Should conditions
change...Look for river forecast or Flood Warnings for use in

&&

ARC011-013-139-020530-
/O.CON.KLZK.FL.W.0009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CALA4.2.ER.150226T2312Z.150320T2330Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
930 AM CDT WED APR 1 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Ouachita River At Thatcher L&D.
* until further notice...Or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 7:00 AM Wednesday the stage was 85.3 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 79.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to a stage of 84.4 feet
  by Thursday morning.
* Impacts at 80.0 feet...Levee gates should remained closed to prevent the
  river from backing into Calion Lake. Access to oil and gas rigs and
  to timber is flooded. There is wide coverage of flooding in the
  river bottoms.


&&


             Fld     Observed                 Forecast 7 AM
Location     Stg   Stg  Day Time    Thu    Fri    Sat    Sun    Mon

Ouachita River
  Thatcher L  79  85.3 Wed 07 AM   84.4   83.3   82.1   81.0   79.8


&&


LAT...LON 3311 9223 3323 9236 3329 9261 3338 9247
 3333 9226 3322 9212



$$

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
921 PM CDT TUE MAR 31 2015

The Flood Warning continues for the Mississippi River.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A followup Flood Statement will be issued tomorrow morning or sooner if
conditions warrant.

For graphical river and flood information...please go to
www.weather.gov and click near Memphis on the map. Then select Rivers
and Lakes AHPS under current conditions.

Do not drive through flooded areas...turn around don`t drown.

Stay tuned to your weather radio and your local news media for the
latest river information.

&&

ARC077-MSC143-020221-
/O.CON.KMEG.FL.W.0041.000000T0000Z-150402T1800Z/
/TRPM6.1.ER.150318T2309Z.150326T1300Z.150401T1800Z.NO/
921 PM CDT TUE MAR 31 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Mississippi River at Tunica Riverpark
* until Wednesday April 01.
* At 08 PM Tuesday the stage was 41.7 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring AND Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 41.0 feet.
* At 42.0 feet...Casinos are open and unaffected. In Mississippi,
  lots nearest Tunica Cutoff Lake in Lakeview Camp are under water.
  South end of Mhoon Landing Park is beginning to flood. In Arkansas,
  roads from the levee to Buck Island are under water.

&&

LAT...LON 3491 9062 3491 9022 3480 9034 3450 9051
      3455 9059 3476 9074

$$


Flood Advisory


FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
1139 AM CDT WED APR 1 2015

...The Flood Advisory continues for the Mississippi River...

  Mississippi River at Memphis affecting Crittenden...DeSoto and
  Shelby Counties

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

The next River Statement will be issued this evening or sooner if conditions
warrant.

For graphical river and flood information...please go to
www.weather.gov and click near Memphis on the map. Then select Rivers
and Lakes AHPS under current conditions.

Do not drive through flooded areas...turn around don`t drown.

Stay tuned to your weather radio and your local news media for the
latest river information.

&&

ARC035-MSC033-TNC157-021639-
/O.EXT.KMEG.FL.Y.0016.000000T0000Z-150402T1700Z/
/MEMT1.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
1139 AM CDT WED APR 1 2015

The Flood Advisory is extended for
  the Mississippi River at Memphis
* until Thursday April 02.
* At 11 AM Wednesday the stage was 28.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 34.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will fall to near 28.1 feet Wednesday April
  01.
* At 28.0 feet...In Arkansas, Dacus Lake Road under the I-55 Bridge
  begins to flood. Water is encroaching on the levee south of Blue
  Lake. The road to Island 40 begins to flood.

&&

LAT...LON 3539 9025 3539 8995 3533 9005 3513 9004
      3491 9008 3491 9041

$$

FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
1137 AM CDT WED APR 1 2015

...The Flood Advisory continues for the Mississippi River...
  Mississippi River at Caruthersville affecting Mississippi...
  Pemiscot...Dyer...Lake and Lauderdale Counties

...The National Weather Service in Memphis TN has issued a Flood
Advisory for the Mississippi River...

  Mississippi River at Osceola affecting Mississippi...Lauderdale
  and Tipton Counties

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

The next River Statement will be issued this evening or sooner if conditions
warrant.

For graphical river and flood information...please go to
www.weather.gov and click near Memphis on the map. Then select Rivers
and Lakes AHPS under current conditions.

Do not drive through flooded areas...turn around don`t drown.

Stay tuned to your weather radio and your local news media for the
latest river information.

&&

ARC093-MOC155-TNC045-095-097-021637-
/O.CON.KMEG.FL.Y.0018.000000T0000Z-150404T1938Z/
/CRTM7.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
1137 AM CDT WED APR 1 2015

The Flood Advisory continues for
  the Mississippi River at Caruthersville
* until Saturday April 04.
* At 11 AM Wednesday the stage was 29.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 32.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will remain near 29.1 feet Wednesday April
  01.
* At 29.0 feet...In Tennessee, shipping operation south of Heloise is
  being flooded. Chisholm Lake Road is flooded south of Cocklebur
  Slough. Overbank flooding begins on low lying farmland along both
  banks of the Mississippi River and the Obion River in Northwest
  Tennessee. Old Forked Deer river bed is beginning to flood fields
  in the Hales Point Area south of Suggs Road. In Arkansas, roads
  inside the levee south of Caruthersville, Missouri are beginning to
  flood.

&&

LAT...LON 3623 8977 3623 8948 3606 8950 3595 8948
      3582 8956 3582 8985

$$

FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
1137 AM CDT WED APR 1 2015

...The Flood Advisory continues for the Mississippi River...
  Mississippi River at Caruthersville affecting Mississippi...
  Pemiscot...Dyer...Lake and Lauderdale Counties

...The National Weather Service in Memphis TN has issued a Flood
Advisory for the Mississippi River...

  Mississippi River at Osceola affecting Mississippi...Lauderdale
  and Tipton Counties

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

The next River Statement will be issued this evening or sooner if conditions
warrant.

For graphical river and flood information...please go to
www.weather.gov and click near Memphis on the map. Then select Rivers
and Lakes AHPS under current conditions.

Do not drive through flooded areas...turn around don`t drown.

Stay tuned to your weather radio and your local news media for the
latest river information.

&&

ARC093-TNC097-167-021637-
/O.NEW.KMEG.FL.Y.0019.150401T1637Z-150405T1935Z/
/OSGA4.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
1137 AM CDT WED APR 1 2015

The National Weather Service in Memphis TN has issued a
* Flood Advisory for
  the Mississippi River at Osceola
* from Wednesday April 01 until Sunday April 05.
* At 11 AM Wednesday the stage was 27.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 28.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will remain near 26.9 feet Wednesday April
  01.
* At 27.0 feet...In Arkansas, high water interfers with grain barge
  loading at the terminal at Osceola. Backwater is touching most of
  the levee just north of Osceola on north past Mississippi County
  Arkansas Road 330 in the Barfield Point vicinity. Mississippi
  County, Arkansas Road 430 is flooded across from Tellier Island. In
  Tennessee, Crutcher Lake Road is flooded north of Cold Creek. The
  Mississippi Rover is over its banks northeast of Open Lake.
  Backwater has reached Bee Lake.

&&

LAT...LON 3582 8996 3582 8956 3560 8979 3539 8995
      3539 9025

$$


Hazardous Weather Outlook


HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
710 PM CDT WED APR 1 2015

ILZ075>078-080>094-INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ001>022-MOZ076-086-087-
100-107>112-114-021000-
JEFFERSON-WAYNE IL-EDWARDS-WABASH-PERRY IL-FRANKLIN-HAMILTON-
WHITE-JACKSON-WILLIAMSON-SALINE-GALLATIN-UNION IL-JOHNSON-POPE-
HARDIN-ALEXANDER-PULASKI-MASSAC-GIBSON-PIKE-POSEY-VANDERBURGH-
WARRICK-SPENCER-FULTON-HICKMAN-CARLISLE-BALLARD-MCCRACKEN-GRAVES-
LIVINGSTON-MARSHALL-CALLOWAY-CRITTENDEN-LYON-TRIGG-CALDWELL-
UNION KY-WEBSTER-HOPKINS-CHRISTIAN-HENDERSON-DAVIESS-MCLEAN-
MUHLENBERG-TODD-PERRY MO-BOLLINGER-CAPE GIRARDEAU-WAYNE MO-CARTER-
RIPLEY-BUTLER-STODDARD-SCOTT-MISSISSIPPI-NEW MADRID-
710 PM CDT WED APR 1 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN
ILLINOIS...SOUTHWEST INDIANA...WESTERN KENTUCKY AND SOUTHEAST
MISSOURI.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY TONIGHT ACROSS MUCH OF THE QUAD STATE
REGION. WHILE MOST STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO BE NON-SEVERE...A FEW
OF THE STRONGER STORMS MAY PRODUCE SMALL HAIL. STORMS WILL ALSO
BRING LIGHTNING AND THE POTENTIAL FOR LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THURSDAY AND
THURSDAY NIGHT. THE MAIN TIME FRAME FOR SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL
APPEARS TO BE FROM LATE AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING HOURS. THE
PRIMARY HAZARD WILL BE ISOLATED DAMAGING WINDS...BUT LARGE HAIL IS
ALSO POSSIBLE.

HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BECOME THE PRIMARY CONCERN LATER THURSDAY
NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY. STORM TOTAL RAINFALL IS FORECAST TO AVERAGE
FROM 1 TO 3 INCHES. SEE THE FLOOD POTENTIAL OUTLOOK FOR DETAILS.

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ON FRIDAY ALONG AND
SOUTHEAST OF THE OHIO RIVER. ISOLATED DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE
HAIL WILL BE THE MAIN HAZARDS...PRIMARILY DURING THE AFTERNOON. A
COLD FRONT WILL EXIT OUR REGION LATE IN THE AFTERNOON...BRINGING
AN END TO THE THUNDERSTORMS AND HEAVY RAIN.

THUNDERSTORMS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY WITH
THE BEST CHANCES ON TUESDAY. WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT
EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUESTED THURSDAY...THURSDAY NIGHT...
AND FRIDAY.

$$

MY/JAP/RJP

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
646 PM CDT WED APR 1 2015

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-030000-
BOURBON-CRAWFORD-CHEROKEE-BENTON-MORGAN-MILLER-MARIES-VERNON-
ST. CLAIR-HICKORY-CAMDEN-PULASKI-PHELPS-BARTON-CEDAR-POLK-DALLAS-
LACLEDE-TEXAS-DENT-JASPER-DADE-GREENE-WEBSTER-WRIGHT-NEWTON-
LAWRENCE-CHRISTIAN-DOUGLAS-HOWELL-SHANNON-MCDONALD-BARRY-STONE-
TANEY-OZARK-OREGON-
646 PM CDT WED APR 1 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE MISSOURI
OZARKS AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

WEATHER HAZARDS EXPECTED...

  ELEVATED HAIL RISK.
  ELEVATED THUNDERSTORM WIND DAMAGE RISK.
  ELEVATED LIGHTNING RISK.
  LIMITED NON THUNDERSTORM WIND RISK.

DISCUSSION...

  SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS WILL PERSIST INTO THIS
  EVENING GENERALLY ALONG AND EAST OF A STOCKTON TO TABLE ROCK
  LAKE LINE. HAIL TO THE SIZE OF HALF DOLLARS...FREQUENT
  LIGHTNING...AND BRIEF TORRENTIAL RAINFALL WILL BE THE PRIMARY
  HAZARDS WITH THESE STORMS. DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 60 MPH WILL
  ALSO BE POSSIBLE WITH ANY LINE SEGMENTS THAT DEVELOP.

  ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORMS WILL THEN BEGIN TO PUSH INTO EXTREME
  SOUTHEASTERN KANSAS AND WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI LATE TONIGHT AS
  A COLD FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE NORTHWEST. FREQUENT LIGHTNING
  AND BRIEF HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE THE PRIMARY HAZARDS WITH
  THESE STORMS. A FEW STORMS MAY ALSO PRODUCE HAIL TO THE SIZE
  OF QUARTERS AND WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH.

  SOUTHERLY NON THUNDERSTORM WINDS AROUND 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
  30 MPH ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT OVER PORTIONS OF WESTERN MISSOURI
  AND EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN KANSAS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

  THUNDERSTORMS WILL PUSH INTO MUCH OF THE OUTLOOK AREA DURING
  THE EARLY AND MIDDLE PORTIONS OF THURSDAY MORNING AS THAT
  FRONT BEGINS TO STALL. HAIL TO THE SIZE OF QUARTERS...FREQUENT
  LIGHTNING...WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH AND BRIEF HEAVY RAINFALL WILL
  BE THE PRIMARY HAZARDS WITH THIS ACTIVITY.

  WHILE THUNDERSTORMS MAY DECREASE IN AREAL COVERAGE FROM LATE
  THURSDAY MORNING INTO EARLY THURSDAY AFTERNOON...ADDITIONAL
  DEVELOPMENT WILL THEN BE POSSIBLE LATER THURSDAY AFTERNOON
  INTO EARLY THURSDAY EVENING. IF THESE STORMS CAN MANAGE TO
  DEVELOP...WIND SHEAR AND INSTABILITY WILL BE SUFFICIENT FOR
  HAIL TO THE SIZE OF HALF DOLLARS AND WIND GUSTS OVER 60 MPH
  FROM A FEW OF THE STORMS. LOW LEVEL WIND FIELDS MAY SUPPORT A
  LIMITED THREAT FOR AN ISOLATED TORNADO WITH ANY LINE SEGMENTS
  BOWING TOWARDS THE NORTHEAST OR ANY SUPERCELLS MOVING ALONG
  THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY. AGAIN...THE THREAT FOR ANY TORNADOES
  LOOKS LIMITED AT THIS TIME.

  THUNDERSTORMS WILL THEN INCREASE IN AREAL COVERAGE THURSDAY
  NIGHT AS A LOW LEVEL JET STREAM INTERACTS WITH THE FRONTAL
  BOUNDARY. A LIMITED TO LOCALLY ELEVATED THREAT FOR SEVERE
  STORMS WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY ACROSS SOUTHERN
  MISSOURI. THERE WILL BE AT LEAST A LIMITED THREAT FOR
  FLOODING FROM LATER THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY MORNING AS
  HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BECOME INCREASINGLY LIKELY ACROSS THE
  OZARKS. THE THREAT FOR ANY SEVERE STORMS AND HEAVY RAINFALL
  WILL END BY LATE FRIDAY MORNING AS THAT FRONT CLEARS THE
  AREA.

  BEHIND THE FRONT...SUSTAINED NORTH WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WITH
  GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED FRIDAY MORNING AND EARLY
  FRIDAY AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL QUICKLY BEGIN TO DIMINISH LATE
  IN THE AFTERNOON.

  THERE WILL THEN BE PERIODIC THUNDERSTORM CHANCES FROM LATER
  SUNDAY THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

  SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED THIS EVENING ALONG AND EAST
  OF A STOCKTON TO TABLE ROCK LAKE LINE. SPOTTER ACTIVATION
  WILL THEN BE POSSIBLE LATE TONIGHT ACROSS EXTREME
  SOUTHEASTERN KANSAS AND WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI.

&&

THIS PRODUCT IS NOW AVAILABLE IN GRAPHICAL FORMAT...ALONG WITH
OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE INFORMATION...AT
HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/SGF(ALL LOWERCASE)

$$

SCHAUMANN

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
305 PM CDT WED APR 1 2015

ARZ008-009-017-018-026>028-035-036-048-049-058-MOZ113-115-
MSZ001>017-020>024-TNZ001>004-019>022-048>055-088>092-022215-
ALCORN-BENTON MS-BENTON TN-CALHOUN-CARROLL-CHESTER-CHICKASAW-CLAY-
COAHOMA-CRAIGHEAD-CRITTENDEN-CROCKETT-CROSS-DESOTO-DECATUR-
DUNKLIN-DYER-FAYETTE-GIBSON-GREENE-HARDEMAN-HARDIN-HAYWOOD-
HENDERSON-HENRY-ITAWAMBA-LAFAYETTE-LAKE-LAUDERDALE-LAWRENCE-
LEE AR-LEE MS-MADISON-MARSHALL-MCNAIRY-MISSISSIPPI-MONROE-OBION-
PANOLA-PEMISCOT-PHILLIPS-POINSETT-PONTOTOC-PRENTISS-QUITMAN-
RANDOLPH-SHELBY-ST. FRANCIS-TALLAHATCHIE-TATE-TIPPAH-TIPTON-
TISHOMINGO-TUNICA-UNION-WEAKLEY-YALOBUSHA-
305 PM CDT WED APR 1 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EAST ARKANSAS...
THE MISSOURI BOOTHEEL...NORTH MISSISSIPPI...AND WEST TENNESSEE.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS A SMALL
PORTION OF NORTHEAST ARKANSAS...GENERALLY ALONG AND WEST OF A
POCAHONTAS TO WALNUT RIDGE ARKANSAS LINE...THIS AFTERNOON INTO
TONIGHT. A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS EXIST FOR MUCH
OF THE REMAINDER OF THE MIDSOUTH.

A FEW STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS
AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT ACROSS MUCH OF THE MIDSOUTH. LARGE HAIL AND
DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE THE MAIN THREATS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

SOME SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH
FRIDAY NIGHT WITH LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS AS THE MAIN
THREATS.

A WIND ADVISORY MAY BE NEEDED FOR PORTIONS OF THE MIDSOUTH FRIDAY.
STRONG SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL DEVELOP AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT FRIDAY
TURNING TO STRONG NORTHERLY BEHIND THE FRONT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED LATE THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH
FRIDAY EVENING.

$$

JCL

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
135 PM CDT WED APR 1 2015

ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-021000-
ARKANSAS-BAXTER-BOONE-BRADLEY-CALHOUN-CLARK-CLEBURNE-CLEVELAND-
CONWAY-DALLAS-DESHA-DREW-FAULKNER-FULTON-GARLAND-GRANT-HOT SPRING-
INDEPENDENCE-IZARD-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-LINCOLN-LOGAN-LONOKE-
MARION-MONROE-MONTGOMERY-NEWTON-OUACHITA-PERRY-PIKE-POLK-POPE-
PRAIRIE-PULASKI-SALINE-SCOTT-SEARCY-SHARP-STONE-VAN BUREN-WHITE-
WOODRUFF-YELL-
135 PM CDT WED APR 1 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR A LARGE PART OF ARKANSAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON INTO THE
OVERNIGHT HOURS. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO
BECOME SEVERE...WITH LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS THE PRIMARY
CONCERNS. THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAINFALL WITH ANY
STORM...WITH LOCALIZED FLOODING POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

UNSETTLED WEATHER WILL CONTINUE ACROSS ARKANSAS ON THURSDAY AND
FRIDAY...BEFORE A COLD FRONT FINALLY MAKES ITS WAY THROUGH THE
STATE FRIDAY EVENING.

BEFORE THEN...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THURSDAY
AND AGAIN ON FRIDAY. LARGE HAIL WILL BE THE PRIMARY THREAT WITH
ANY SEVERE STORMS. DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE A POSSIBILITY AS WELL.
ADDITIONALLY THERE WILL BE A TORNADO RISK...WHICH WILL BE HIGHEST
AHEAD OF THE FRONT ON THURSDAY.

THURSDAY...THE THREAT FOR SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE GREATEST DURING
THE EARLY EVENING HOURS...MAINLY ACROSS WESTERN AND NORTHWEST
ARKANSAS. ON FRIDAY...THE BEST CHANCES FOR SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE
ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST HALF OF THE STATE.

THOUGH HEAVY RAINFALL IS NOT EXPECTED TO BE WIDESPREAD...STRONGER
STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LOCALIZED HEAVY RAINFALL IN A
SHORT AMOUNT OF TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED.

&&

VISIT NWS LITTLE ROCK ON THE WEB. GO TO HTTP://WEATHER.GOV AND
CLICK ON CENTRAL ARKANSAS.

$$

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
601 AM CDT WED APR 1 2015

ALZ011>015-017>050-021415-
MARION-LAMAR-FAYETTE-WINSTON-WALKER-BLOUNT-ETOWAH-CALHOUN-CHEROKEE-
CLEBURNE-PICKENS-TUSCALOOSA-JEFFERSON-SHELBY-ST. CLAIR-TALLADEGA-
CLAY-RANDOLPH-SUMTER-GREENE-HALE-PERRY-BIBB-CHILTON-COOSA-TALLAPOOSA-
CHAMBERS-MARENGO-DALLAS-AUTAUGA-LOWNDES-ELMORE-MONTGOMERY-MACON-
BULLOCK-LEE-RUSSELL-PIKE-BARBOUR-
601 AM CDT WED APR 1 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE COUNTIES SERVED BY THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BIRMINGHAM.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

A FEW STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA. THE MOST LIKELY LOCATION WILL BE
WEST OF INTERSTATE 65 AFTER 3 PM...BUT WITH NUMEROUS BOUNDARIES
AROUND...AN ISOLATED STRONG TO SEVERE STORM MAY POPUP ALMOST
ANYWHERE. QUARTER SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 60 MPH MAY
OCCUR.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

ANOTHER SHOT AT SEVERE STORMS COMES ON FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND
EVENING AS A COLD FRONT PUSHES THROUGH THE REGION. ONCE
AGAIN...THE MAIN THREATS WILL BE LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND
GUSTS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT MAY BE
NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON AND AGAIN FRIDAY.

$$

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
500 AM CDT WED APR 1 2015

TNZ005>011-023>034-056>066-075-077>080-093>095-021000-
STEWART-MONTGOMERY-ROBERTSON-SUMNER-MACON-CLAY-PICKETT-HOUSTON-
HUMPHREYS-DICKSON-CHEATHAM-DAVIDSON-WILSON-TROUSDALE-SMITH-
JACKSON-PUTNAM-OVERTON-FENTRESS-PERRY-HICKMAN-LEWIS-WILLIAMSON-
MAURY-MARSHALL-RUTHERFORD-CANNON-DE KALB-WHITE-CUMBERLAND-BEDFORD-
COFFEE-WARREN-GRUNDY-VAN BUREN-WAYNE-LAWRENCE-GILES-
500 AM CDT WED APR 1 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR MIDDLE TENNESSEE.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

A FEW STRONG THUNDERSTORMS MAY BE POSSIBLE FOR LOCATIONS ACROSS SOUTHWEST
MIDDLE TENNESSEE IN THE VICINITY OF THE TENNESSEE...ALABAMA BORDER THIS
AFTERNOON. MAIN CONCERNS WITH STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE GUSTY
WINDS AND HAIL.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

SOME STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS LOCATIONS GENERALLY
ALONG AND NORTHWEST OF A WAYNESBORO...TO NASHVILLE...TO LAFAYETTE
LINE THURSDAY AFTERNOON. MAIN CONCERNS WITH STRONG THUNDERSTORMS
WILL BE GUSTY WINDS AND HAIL.

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR ALL OF MIDDLE
TENNESSEE MAINLY DURING THE AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY EVENING HOURS
ON FRIDAY. MAIN CONCERNS WITH SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE
DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL.

PATCHY FROST FORMATION MAY BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE AREA SATURDAY
NIGHT AS TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED IN THE MID 30S IN LOW LYING
AND SHELTER AREAS AND ACROSS THE CUMBERLAND PLATEAU REGION.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...

REPORTS FROM TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTERS MAY BE NEEDED.

$$

SPOTTER THUNDERSTORM REPORTING CRITERIA...
TORNADO
FUNNEL CLOUD
FLOODING
HAIL >= 1/2 INCH
WINDS > 50 MPH (MEASURED)
STRUCTURAL DAMAGE
TREES OR POWER LINES DOWN

31


Hydrologic Outlook


HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK
ILC003-047-055-059-065-069-077-081-087-127-145-151-153-165-181-
185-191-193-199-INC051-125-129-147-163-173-KYC007-033-035-039-047-
055-059-075-083-101-105-107-139-143-145-149-157-177-219-221-225-
233-MOC017-023-031-035-133-143-157-181-201-207-223-021000-

HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
351 PM CDT WED APR 1 2015

...HEAVY RAINFALL LIKELY THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY...

A WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAINFALL EVENT IS FORECAST TO OCCUR...MOSTLY ON
THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY. RAINFALL AMOUNTS BY FRIDAY EVENING ARE
CURRENTLY PREDICTED TO AVERAGE BETWEEN 1.5 AND 3 INCHES. THE AXIS
OF HEAVIEST RAINFALL IS STILL IN QUESTION...BUT MAY END UP BEING
RIGHT ALONG THE OHIO RIVER...FROM SOUTHWEST INDIANA INTO EXTREME
SOUTHERN ILLINOIS AND EXTREME WESTERN KENTUCKY. THE EXACT LOCATION
OF THE HEAVIEST RAIN WILL DEPEND ON THE MOVEMENT OF A COLD FRONT
THAT WILL BECOME NEARLY STATIONARY IN THE VICINITY OF THE LOWER
OHIO VALLEY.

THE LARGER RIVERS ACROSS OUR REGION HAVE JUST FALLEN BELOW FLOOD
STAGE IN THE PAST COUPLE OF DAYS. THESE RIVERS ARE STILL
HIGH...SO THE UPCOMING HEAVY RAINFALL EVENT COULD HAVE SOME
IMPACT. IN ADDITION...THE SUBSOIL IS STILL VERY MOIST...WHICH MAY
CAUSE RAPID RUNOFF INTO THE SMALLER RIVERS AND STREAMS. FLOODING
OF LOW LYING AND FLOOD PRONE AREAS IS POSSIBLE.

PERSONS IN AND NEAR FLOOD PRONE AREAS SHOULD PAY ATTENTION TO
LATER FORECASTS AND OUTLOOKS.

$$

MEFFERT

U.S. Dept. of Commerce
NOAA National Weather Service
1325 East West Highway
Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: June 2, 2009
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE: for Safety, for Work, for Fun - FOR LIFE