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Hazardous Weather Outlook


Hazardous Weather Outlook...UPDATED
National Weather Service Memphis TN
1012 AM CDT Wed Apr 26 2017

ARZ008-009-017-018-026>028-035-036-048-049-058-MOZ113-115-
MSZ001>017-020>024-TNZ001>004-019>022-048>055-088>092-271100-
Alcorn-Benton MS-Benton TN-Calhoun-Carroll-Chester-Chickasaw-Clay-
Coahoma-Craighead-Crittenden-Crockett-Cross-DeSoto-Decatur-
Dunklin-Dyer-Fayette-Gibson-Greene-Hardeman-Hardin-Haywood-
Henderson-Henry-Itawamba-Lafayette-Lake-Lauderdale-Lawrence-
Lee AR-Lee MS-Madison-Marshall-McNairy-Mississippi-Monroe-Obion-
Panola-Pemiscot-Phillips-Poinsett-Pontotoc-Prentiss-Quitman-
Randolph-Shelby-St. Francis-Tallahatchie-Tate-Tippah-Tipton-
Tishomingo-Tunica-Union-Weakley-Yalobusha-
1012 AM CDT Wed Apr 26 2017

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of East Arkansas...
the Missouri Bootheel...North Mississippi...and West Tennessee.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

There is an enhanced risk for severe thunderstorms across areas
along and west of the Mississippi River, a slight risk of severe
thunderstorms further east over the remainder of West Tennessee
and Northeast Mississippi. The time of greatest threat for severe
thunderstorms will be late this afternoon into early evening west
of the Mississippi River, early to mid evening along the
Mississippi River, and late evening into the early morning hours
over the remainder of the Mid-South. The primary severe weather
hazards will be large hail, and damaging winds, and a tornadoes. A
Tornado Watch is in effect for much of the area west of the
Mississippi River through 5 PM. Localized heavy rainfall will
also be possible.

A Wind Advisory has been issued for portions of East Arkansas
and Northwest Mississippi this afternoon into early this evening.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday

Additional severe thunderstorms are expected Friday night with an
enhanced risk for severe thunderstorms north of I-40, a slight
risk for severe thunderstorms along the I-40 corridor, and
marginal risk for severe thunderstorms across most of North
Mississippi.

Additional severe thunderstorms and heavy rainfall is possible
into the upcoming weekend. This heavy rainfall may lead to flash
flooding and river flooding as rainfall totals may reach 4-7
inches with localized amounts up to 9 inches possible, especially
over Northeast Arkansas.

Please continue to monitor the latest forecasts for updates
regarding this severe weather potential into the upcoming weekend.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will likely be needed late this afternoon into
tonight and again for Friday into the weekend in support of
severe weather operations.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Springfield MO
1255 PM CDT Wed Apr 26 2017

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-271800-
Bourbon-Crawford-Cherokee-Benton-Morgan-Miller-Maries-Vernon-
St. Clair-Hickory-Camden-Pulaski-Phelps-Barton-Cedar-Polk-Dallas-
Laclede-Texas-Dent-Jasper-Dade-Greene-Webster-Wright-Newton-
Lawrence-Christian-Douglas-Howell-Shannon-McDonald-Barry-Stone-
Taney-Ozark-Oregon-
1255 PM CDT Wed Apr 26 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of the Missouri
Ozarks and extreme southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.

Weather hazards expected...

  Limited Flooding risk.
  Elevated Lightning risk.

DISCUSSION...

Areas of showers and isolated embedded thunderstorms will
continue to track east through the Missouri Ozarks this afternoon
spreading out of the area from west to east later this afternoon
into this evening. Cloud to ground lightning strikes will be the
main hazard with any of the storms. Localized flooding of small
creeks and a few low water crossings will also remain possible
this afternoon across south central Missouri from the heavy
rainfall that occurred earlier today.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

Confidence then continues to increase in the potential for
widespread heavy rainfall from later Friday into the weekend.
With soils nearly saturated, excessive runoff will be likely and
will lead to an increasing risk for flooding. At this time, it
appears that the heaviest axis of rainfall may occur from
northwestern Arkansas through southern Missouri where 3 to 6
inches of rainfall is forecast with locally higher amounts
possible. Widespread flooding will become possible beneath this
axis of heaviest rainfall.

Additionally, there will be a risk for strong to severe
thunderstorms from Friday into Saturday across southern Missouri.

Those with outdoor and travel plans for this upcoming weekend
should pay close attention to the forecast as there is the
potential for multiple weather hazards, including the potential
for widespread flooding.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

  Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight.

&&

More detailed information can be accessed at:
http://www.weather.gov/sgf/sitrep

This product in graphical format...along with other weather...
hydrological and climate information...at
http://www.weather.gov/sgf

$$

Wise

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Nashville TN
537 AM CDT Wed Apr 26 2017

TNZ005>011-023>034-056>066-075-077>080-093>095-271045-
Stewart-Montgomery-Robertson-Sumner-Macon-Clay-Pickett-Houston-
Humphreys-Dickson-Cheatham-Davidson-Wilson-Trousdale-Smith-
Jackson-Putnam-Overton-Fentress-Perry-Hickman-Lewis-Williamson-
Maury-Marshall-Rutherford-Cannon-De Kalb-White-Cumberland-Bedford-
Coffee-Warren-Grundy-Van Buren-Wayne-Lawrence-Giles-
537 AM CDT Wed Apr 26 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of Middle
Tennessee.

.DAY ONE...Today through Tonight

A line of showers and thunderstorms will move across Middle
Tennessee from around midnight through Thursday morning. A few
storms could be strong to possibly severe, with damaging winds
the main threat.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday

Friday evening into Friday night...scattered to numerous showers
and strong to severe thunderstorms are expected across mainly the
northwest half of Middle Tennessee. Some storms will be strong to
severe, with damaging winds, large hail, heavy rainfall, localized
flooding, and a couple of tornadoes all possible.

Sunday into Sunday night...widespread showers and thunderstorms
are expected to move west to east across Middle Tennessee. Some
storms will be strong to severe, with damaging winds, large hail,
heavy rainfall, localized flooding, and a couple of tornadoes all
possible.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed on Friday night and again on
Sunday into Sunday night.

$$

Shamburger

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
500 AM CDT Wed Apr 26 2017

ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-271000-
Boone-Marion-Baxter-Fulton-Sharp-Newton-Searcy-Stone-Izard-
Independence-Johnson-Pope-Van Buren-Cleburne-Jackson-Logan-Conway-
Faulkner-White-Woodruff-Scott-Yell-Perry-Polk-Montgomery-Garland-
Saline-Pulaski-Lonoke-Prairie-Monroe-Pike-Clark-Hot Spring-Grant-
Jefferson-Arkansas-Dallas-Cleveland-Lincoln-Desha-Ouachita-
Calhoun-Bradley-Drew-
500 AM CDT Wed Apr 26 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for a Large Part of Arkansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Strong to severe storms are forecast today. The chance for
thunderstorms will increase throughout the day and part of
tonight, as an upper storm system and cold front move through the
region. A line of strong to severe thunderstorms is expected to
form this afternoon to evening, and move through Arkansas. Damaging
winds and large hail will be the main concerns, but tornadoes
will be possible with any discrete storms that do develop out
ahead of the line of storms, as well as along the leading edge of
the main thunderstorm line. The Storm Prediction Center has placed
much of Arkansas in an Enhanced Risk area, while parts of southern
Arkansas are in a Moderate Risk. Area residents should monitor the
weather closely today. Also, winds will be elevated today and a
lake wind advisory will be in effect.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday Through Tuesday

The potential for severe weather returns again by Friday, as a
warm front lifts northward across Arkansas. Large hail and
damaging winds will once again be the main threats. The potential
for heavy rainfall will also exist, increasing the concern for
flash flooding and river flooding.

The unsettled weather pattern will continue into the weekend. Yet
another storm could produce additional severe weather over the Mid-
South as a new cold front is forecast to move through the region.
Due to forecast uncertainties with this system, please continue to
monitor the latest outlooks from your NWS office.

.Spotter Information Statement...

Spotter activation may be needed today, Friday and Saturday. Please
monitor the latest forecasts over the several few days.

.Spotter Information Statement...

Spotter activation will not be needed.

&&

Visit NWS Little Rock on the web. Go to http://weather.gov/lzk.

$$

59/51

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Jackson MS
454 AM CDT Wed Apr 26 2017

MSZ028-043-048-053-271000-
Montgomery-Madison MS-Hinds-Claiborne-
454 AM CDT Wed Apr 26 2017

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central
Mississippi, north central Mississippi, and southwest
Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

NON-THUNDERSTORM WINDS
THREAT...Limited
TIMING...Today

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Enhanced
TIMING...Tonight

Breezy conditions are expected this afternoon and evening.
Southerly winds may gust up to 35 mph, and this may cause
difficult travel for high profile vehicles.

A squall line is expected to move across the area tonight. Severe
storms capable of damaging winds, hail up to golf ball size, and
tornadoes will be possible.

(www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image1.png)
(www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image2.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday

Severe thunderstorms with heavy rainfall are possible within the
region this weekend, especially late Saturday night through
Sunday. This potential weather event is still several days away
and the timing and impacts will likely be adjusted in later
forecasts.

(www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image3.png)

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region tonight
and Saturday night through Sunday.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Jackson MS
454 AM CDT Wed Apr 26 2017

MSZ029>033-037>039-044>046-049>052-054>059-061>066-072>074-271000-
Webster-Clay-Lowndes-Choctaw-Oktibbeha-Attala-Winston-Noxubee-
Leake-Neshoba-Kemper-Rankin-Scott-Newton-Lauderdale-Copiah-
Simpson-Smith-Jasper-Clarke-Jefferson-Franklin MS-Lincoln-
Lawrence-Jefferson Davis-Covington-Jones-Marion-Lamar-Forrest-
454 AM CDT Wed Apr 26 2017

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central
Mississippi, east central Mississippi, north central Mississippi,
northeast Mississippi, and south central Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

NON-THUNDERSTORM WINDS
THREAT...Limited
TIMING...Today

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Slight
TIMING...Tonight

Breezy conditions are expected this afternoon and evening.
Southerly winds may gust up to 35 mph, and this may cause
difficult travel for high profile vehicles.

A squall line is expected to move across the area tonight. Severe
storms capable of damaging winds, quarter sized hail, and a few
tornadoes will be possible.

(www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image1.png)
(www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image2.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday

Severe thunderstorms with heavy rainfall are possible within the
region this weekend, especially late Saturday night through
Sunday. This potential weather event is still several days away
and the timing and impacts will likely be adjusted in later
forecasts.

(www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image3.png)

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region tonight
and Saturday night through Sunday.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Jackson MS
454 AM CDT Wed Apr 26 2017

LAZ009-016-023>026-MSZ018-019-025>027-034>036-040>042-047-271000-
East Carroll-Madison LA-Franklin LA-Catahoula-Tensas-Concordia-
Bolivar-Sunflower-Leflore-Grenada-Carroll-Washington-Humphreys-
Holmes-Issaquena-Sharkey-Yazoo-Warren-
454 AM CDT Wed Apr 26 2017

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of northeast
Louisiana, central Mississippi, north central Mississippi,
northwest Mississippi, and west central Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

NON-THUNDERSTORM WINDS
THREAT...Elevated
TIMING...Today

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Enhanced
TIMING...Tonight

Windy conditions are expected this afternoon and early evening.
Southerly winds may gust up to 40 to 45 mph, and this can bring
limbs down and cause difficult travel for high profile vehicles.

A squall line is expected to move into the area early this evening
and exit the area by midnight. Severe storms capable of damaging
winds, hail up to golf ball size, and tornadoes will be possible.

(www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image1.png)
(www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image2.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday

Severe thunderstorms with heavy rainfall are possible within the
region this weekend, especially late Saturday night through
Sunday. This potential weather event is still several days away
and the timing and impacts will likely be adjusted in later
forecasts.

(www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image3.png)

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region tonight
and Saturday night through Sunday.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook...CORRECTED
National Weather Service Paducah KY
438 AM CDT Wed Apr 26 2017

ILZ075>078-080>094-INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ001>022-MOZ076-086-087-
100-107>112-114-271000-
Jefferson-Wayne IL-Edwards-Wabash-Perry IL-Franklin-Hamilton-
White-Jackson-Williamson-Saline-Gallatin-Union-Johnson-Pope-
Hardin-Alexander-Pulaski-Massac-Gibson-Pike-Posey-Vanderburgh-
Warrick-Spencer-Fulton-Hickman-Carlisle-Ballard-McCracken-Graves-
Livingston-Marshall-Calloway-Crittenden-Lyon-Trigg-Caldwell-
Union KY-Webster-Hopkins-Christian-Henderson-Daviess-McLean-
Muhlenberg-Todd-Perry MO-Bollinger-Cape Girardeau-Wayne MO-Carter-
Ripley-Butler-Stoddard-Scott-Mississippi-New Madrid-
438 AM CDT Wed Apr 26 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of southern
Illinois, southwest Indiana, western Kentucky, and southeast
Missouri.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

The development of isolated thunderstorms cannot be ruled out
over southeast Missouri and southwest Illinois through early this
afternoon. Severe weather is not expected with this activity.

Strong to potentially severe thunderstorms are expected to form
along and ahead of a cold front over southeast Missouri by mid to
late afternoon. Initially, storms will be capable of producing
large hail, damaging winds, and an isolated tornado.

A line of thunderstorms should progress into southern Illinois
and far western Kentucky by early evening. Damaging winds will be
the primary concern.

The severe threat will diminish quickly as the storms move east
towards the Wabash River and the Land Between the Lakes by late
evening. Lightning and locally heavy rain will also accompany
thunderstorm activity.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday

Multiple rounds of thunderstorms are expected Friday through
Sunday. Heavy rainfall is expected over portions of the region.
Please refer to the Hydrologic Outlook for details.

In addition, strong to severe thunderstorms will be possible through
the period. At this time, the best chance of severe storms appears
to be with a warm frontal passage Friday night, in addition to the
cold frontal passage Sunday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will likely be needed by mid to late afternoon
in southeast Missouri, and throughout southern Illinois and the
Purchase Area of western Kentucky by early evening.

Spotters are also encouraged to monitor the latest forecasts for
possible activation over the upcoming weekend.

$$

RJP/GM

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
434 AM CDT Wed Apr 26 2017

ALZ011>015-017>050-271245-
Marion-Lamar-Fayette-Winston-Walker-Blount-Etowah-Calhoun-Cherokee-
Cleburne-Pickens-Tuscaloosa-Jefferson-Shelby-St. Clair-Talladega-
Clay-Randolph-Sumter-Greene-Hale-Perry-Bibb-Chilton-Coosa-Tallapoosa-
Chambers-Marengo-Dallas-Autauga-Lowndes-Elmore-Montgomery-Macon-
Bullock-Lee-Russell-Pike-Barbour-
434 AM CDT Wed Apr 26 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the counties served by the
National Weather Service office in Birmingham.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

A line of strong to severe storms will move across west Alabama
after midnight. The threats include damaging winds and large hail,
but a tornado cannot be ruled out.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

A line of strong to severe storms will move across east Alabama
during the early morning hours on Thursday. The main threats will be
damaging winds and large hail, but a tornado cannot be ruled out.

There is also a threat of severe thunderstorms across all of central
Alabama Sunday afternoon and into Sunday night. The threats include
damaging winds, large hail, and tornadoes.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Activation of storm spotters and emergency management may be needed
late tonight and into Thursday morning, and again Sunday into Sunday
night.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Huntsville AL
324 AM CDT Wed Apr 26 2017

ALZ001>010-016-TNZ076-096-097-262330-
Lauderdale-Colbert-Franklin AL-Lawrence-Limestone-Madison-Morgan-
Marshall-Jackson-De Kalb-Cullman-Moore-Lincoln-Franklin TN-
324 AM CDT Wed Apr 26 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for north Alabama and portions of
southern middle Tennessee.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight...

Thunderstorms are likely mainly after midnight tonight as a squall
line and associated cold front moves across the area from west to
east. A few storms could be strong with gusty winds of 40 to 50 mph
and small hail.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday...

Isolated to scattered thunderstorms are possible Friday afternoon
through Saturday night as a warm front moves north.

Thunderstorms will become more widespread Sunday through Sunday night
with the passage of a cold front. A few of these storms may become
strong to severe but uncertainty still exists on the timing and the
highest threats.

A few thunderstorms may linger into Monday.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...

Activation of storm spotters and emergency management personnel is
not expected at this time.

$$

U.S. Dept. of Commerce
NOAA National Weather Service
1325 East West Highway
Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: June 2, 2009
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