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HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL
528 AM EDT FRI MAY 22 2015

FLZ076>078-GMZ031>035-042>044-052>055-072>075-231000-
MONROE UPPER KEYS-MONROE MIDDLE KEYS-MONROE LOWER KEYS-
FLORIDA BAY INCLUDING BLACKWATER SOUND, BUTTONWOOD SOUND, AND
BARNES SOUND-
BAYSIDE AND GULFSIDE FROM CRAIG KEY TO WEST END OF SEVEN MILE
BRIDGE-
GULF WATERS FROM EAST CAPE SABLE TO CHOKOLOSKEE 20 TO 60 NM OUT
AND BEYOND 5 FATHOMS-
GULF OF MEXICO INCLUDING DRY TORTUGAS AND REBECCA SHOAL CHANNEL-
GULF OF MEXICO FROM WEST END OF SEVEN MILE BRIDGE TO HALFMOON
SHOAL OUT TO 5 FATHOMS-
HAWK CHANNEL FROM OCEAN REEF TO CRAIG KEY OUT TO THE REEF-
HAWK CHANNEL FROM CRAIG KEY TO WEST END OF SEVEN MILE BRIDGE OUT
TO THE REEF-
HAWK CHANNEL FROM WEST END OF SEVEN MILE BRIDGE TO HALFMOON SHOAL
OUT TO THE REEF-
STRAITS OF FLORIDA FROM OCEAN REEF TO CRAIG KEY OUT 20 NM-
STRAITS OF FLORIDA FROM CRAIG KEY TO WEST END OF SEVEN MILE
BRIDGE OUT 20 NM-
STRAITS OF FLORIDA FROM WEST END OF SEVEN MILE BRIDGE TO SOUTH OF
HALFMOON SHOAL OUT 20 NM-
STRAITS OF FLORIDA FROM HALFMOON SHOAL TO 20 NM WEST OF DRY
TORTUGAS OUT 20 NM-
STRAITS OF FLORIDA FROM OCEAN REEF TO CRAIG KEY 20 TO 60 NM OUT-
STRAITS OF FLORIDA FROM CRAIG KEY TO WEST END OF SEVEN MILE
BRIDGE 20 TO 60 NM OUT-
STRAITS OF FLORIDA FROM WEST END OF SEVEN MILE BRIDGE TO SOUTH OF
HALFMOON SHOAL 20 TO 60 NM OUT-
STRAITS OF FLORIDA FROM HALFMOON SHOAL TO 20 NM WEST OF DRY
TORTUGAS 20 TO 60 NM OUT-
528 AM EDT FRI MAY 22 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS AND
ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF WATERSPOUTS TODAY
WITHIN THE COASTAL WATERS ADJACENT TO THE ISLAND CHAIN. WATERSPOUTS
TEND TO FORM WITHIN CUMULUS CLOUD LINES...UNDERNEATH DARK FLAT BASES.
WATERSPOUTS CAN EASILY OVERTURN BOATS.

IN ADDITION...ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE
FLORIDA KEYS AND SURROUNDING COASTAL WATERS TODAY AND TONIGHT. THE
PRIMARY THUNDERSTORM HAZARD WILL BE LIGHTNING STRIKES.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE FLORIDA KEYS AND
SURROUNDING COASTAL WATERS SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT. THE PRIMARY
THUNDERSTORM HAZARD WILL BE LIGHTNING STRIKES.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THE FLORIDA KEYS
COASTAL WATERS SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME TUESDAY THROUGH
THURSDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

$$

CLR

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
448 AM EDT FRI MAY 22 2015

FLZ043-050-052-056-057-061-139-142-148-149-151-155-160-162-165-
239-242-248-249-251-255-260-262-265-GMZ830-836-850-853-856-870-
873-876-230900-
SUMTER-PINELLAS-POLK-HARDEE-HIGHLANDS-DESOTO-COASTAL LEVY-
COASTAL CITRUS-COASTAL HERNANDO-COASTAL PASCO-
COASTAL HILLSBOROUGH-COASTAL MANATEE-COASTAL SARASOTA-
COASTAL CHARLOTTE-COASTAL LEE-INLAND LEVY-INLAND CITRUS-
INLAND HERNANDO-INLAND PASCO-INLAND HILLSBOROUGH-INLAND MANATEE-
INLAND SARASOTA-INLAND CHARLOTTE-INLAND LEE-TAMPA BAY WATERS-
CHARLOTTE HARBOR AND PINE ISLAND SOUND-
COASTAL WATERS FROM TARPON SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER FL OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM ENGLEWOOD TO TARPON SPRINGS FL OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM BONITA BEACH TO ENGLEWOOD FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM TARPON SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER FL OUT 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM ENGLEWOOD TO TARPON SPRINGS FL OUT 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM BONITA BEACH TO ENGLEWOOD FL OUT 20 TO 60 NM-
448 AM EDT FRI MAY 22 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST
FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

...THUNDERSTORM IMPACT...
SUFFICIENT LOW LEVEL MOISTURE COMBINED WITH A FRONTAL TROUGH
SINKING SOUTH THROUGH THE REGION AND THE SEA BREEZE
CIRCULATIONS WILL SUPPORT SCATTERED THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT
TODAY. THE BEST COVERAGE OF STORMS TODAY IS EXPECTED TO BE OVER
INTERIOR LOCATIONS SOUTH OF THE I 4 CORRIDOR AND EAST OF THE
I 75 CORRIDOR DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING
HOURS. THUNDERSTORMS THAT DEVELOP TODAY WILL BE CAPABLE OF
PRODUCING STRONG GUSTY WINDS...FREQUENT DEADLY LIGHTNING
STRIKES...HEAVY RAINS...AND SMALL HAIL AS THEY MOVE TO THE SOUTH
AND SOUTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH. REMEMBER IF THUNDER IS HEARD OR
LIGHTNING IS OBSERVED MOVE INDOORS IMMEDIATELY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

...THUNDERSTORM IMPACT...
ADEQUATE LOW LEVEL MOISTURE COMBINED WITH DAYTIME HEATING AND
THE SEA BREEZE BOUNDARIES WILL SUPPORT SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS
THROUGH THE UPCOMING HOLIDAY WEEKEND...WITH AN EAST TO SOUTHEAST
STEERING FLOW FAVORING HIGHEST COVERAGE OF STORMS ALONG THE
FLORIDA WEST COAST EACH DAY DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EARLY
EVENING HOURS. STORMS THAT DEVELOP WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
STRONG GUSTY WINDS...FREQUENT LIGHTNING STRIKES...HEAVY
RAINS...AND SMALL HAIL. THUNDERSTORMS CHANCES WILL DECREASE
TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY AS DRIER AIR MOVES INTO THE REGION.

...MARINE IMPACTS...
STRONG HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING IN NORTH OF FLORIDA WILL BRING
AN INCREASING EASTERLY WIND FLOW ACROSS THE GULF WATERS DURING
THE UPCOMING WEEKEND AND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. THESE INCREASING
WINDS WILL CREATE HAZARDOUS BOATING CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT
OPERATORS...ESPECIALLY DURING THE LATE NIGHT AND EARLY MORNING
HOURS AND MARINERS SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION IF PLANNING ANY
TRIPS INTO THE GULF DURING THE UPCOMING HOLIDAY WEEKEND.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY.

$$

MCMICHAEL

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
413 AM EDT FRI MAY 22 2015

AMZ550-552-555-570-572-575-FLZ041-044>047-053-054-058-059-064-141-
144-147-222200-
FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA-BREVARD COUNTY LINE 0-20 NM-VOLUSIA-
BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET 0-20 NM-
SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET 0-20 NM-FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA-
BREVARD COUNTY LINE 20-60 NM-VOLUSIA-
BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET 20-60 NM-
SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET 20-60 NM-INLAND VOLUSIA COUNTY-
NORTHERN LAKE COUNTY-ORANGE-SEMINOLE-SOUTHERN BREVARD COUNTY-
OSCEOLA-INDIAN RIVER-OKEECHOBEE-ST. LUCIE-MARTIN-
COASTAL VOLUSIA COUNTY-SOUTHERN LAKE COUNTY-
NORTHERN BREVARD COUNTY-
413 AM EDT FRI MAY 22 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

.THUNDERSTORM IMPACT...
A WEAK SURFACE TROUGH WILL SAG SOUTH ACROSS THE CENTRAL PENINSULA
TODAY. AHEAD OF THIS BOUNDARY MOIST AIR WILL COMBINE WITH LOCAL
SEA AND LAKE BREEZES TO PRODUCE SCATTERED AFTERNOON AND EARLY
EVENING SHOWERS AND LIGHTNING STORMS. THE BEST CHANCE FOR STORMS
TODAY WILL BE SOUTH OF A LINE FROM KISSIMMEE TO MELBOURNE. STORM
MOTION TODAY WILL BE TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST AT SPEEDS RANGING FROM 5
TO 10 MPH.

SOME OF TODAY`S STORMS COULD BECOME STRONG TO SEVERE..RESULTING
IN WIND DAMAGE FROM 50 TO 60 MPH WIND GUSTS...LARGE HAIL...
FREQUENT TO EXCESSIVE LIGHTNING...AND TORRENTIAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS
OF 1 TO 3 INCHES IN A 60 TO MINUTE TIME FRAME. SEEK SHELTER IF
YOU HEAR THUNDER...OR IF SKIES LOOK THREATENING.

.RIP CURRENT IMPACT...
WEATHER AND OCEAN CONDITIONS WILL LEAD TO A MODERATE RISK OF RIP
CURRENTS AT AREA BEACHES THIS AFTERNOON BETWEEN 2 PM AND SUNSET.
ASK THE BEACH PATROL FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ABOUT OCEAN
HAZARDS. TO DECREASE YOUR CHANCE OF BEING CAUGHT IN A RIP CURRENT
SWIM ONLY WITHIN SIGHT OF A LIFEGUARD...AND NEVER SWIM ALONE. HEED
THE ADVICE OF THE BEACH PATROL.

.MARINE THUNDERSTORM GUST IMPACT...
MARINERS ON INLAND LAKES THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING SHOULD BE ON
THE LOOKOUT FOR ISOLATED STRONG STORMS...ESPECIALLY SOUTHWARD FROM
KISSIMMEE TO LAKE OKEECHOBEE AND THE TREASURE COAST. MOVEMENT WILL
BE TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST AT 5 TO 10 KNOTS. WIND GUSTS ABOVE 35
KNOTS...SMALL HAIL AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING WILL BE POSSIBLE.

LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY THIS EVENING A FEW STORMS MAY
VENTURE ACROSS THE INTRACOASTAL AND NEAR SHORE ATLANTIC WATERS
FROM SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET. MARINERS SHOULD KEEP AN EYE
TO THE WEST FOR APPROACHING STORMS. WIND GUSTS ABOVE 35
KNOTS...SMALL HAIL AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING WILL BE THE MAIN
THREATS.

.FIRE WEATHER IMPACT...
INCREASINGLY DRY VEGETATION COUPLED WITH LOW AFTERNOON RELATIVE
HUMIDITIES IN THE 40S OVER THE INTERIOR AND THE POTENTIAL FOR
SCATTERED AFTERNOON LIGHTNING STORMS SOUTH OF KISSIMMEE WILL
RESULT IN A MODERATE FIRE DANGER ACROSS EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA THIS
AFTERNOON.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.
WHILE SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE IN THE FORECAST THIS WEEKEND...THE
CHANCE FOR ISOLATED STORMS WILL DECREASE DUE TO STRENGTHENING
ONSHORE FLOW KEEPING AFTERNOON HIGH TEMPERATURES A LITTLE
COOLER...WHILE ALSO PRODUCING A WEAKER AND FASTER MOVING EAST
COAST SEA BREEZE. RAIN CHANCES WILL DECREASE FURTHER EARLY NEXT
WEEK.

DETERIORATING BOATING CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THIS WEEKEND...
ESPECIALLY OVER THE OFFSHORE WATERS...AS A STRONG HIGH PRESSURE
RIDGE BUILDING NORTH OF FLORIDA INCREASES ONSHORE WINDS AND BUILDS
SEAS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTERS ARE REQUESTED TO MONITOR WEATHER CONDITIONS AND SELF
ACTIVATE IF ANY WARNINGS ARE ISSUED FOR THEIR COUNTIES.

$$

SEDLOCK

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR SOUTH FLORIDA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
358 AM EDT FRI MAY 22 2015

AMZ610-630-650-651-670-671-FLZ063-066>075-168-172>174-GMZ656-657-676-
230000-
LAKE OKEECHOBEE-BISCAYNE BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM JUPITER INLET TO DEERFIELD BEACH, FL OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM DEERFIELD BEACH TO OCEAN REEF, FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM JUPITER INLET TO DEERFIELD BEACH, FL EXTENDING FROM
20 NM TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM DEERFIELD BEACH TO OCEAN REEF, FL EXTENDING FROM 20 NM
TO THE TERRITORIAL WATERS OF THE BAHAMAS-GLADES-HENDRY-
INLAND PALM BEACH-METRO PALM BEACH-COASTAL COLLIER-INLAND COLLIER-
INLAND BROWARD-METRO BROWARD-INLAND MIAMI DADE-METRO MIAMI DADE-
MAINLAND MONROE-COASTAL PALM BEACH-COASTAL BROWARD-
COASTAL MIAMI DADE-FAR SOUTH MIAMI DADE-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CHOKOLOSKEE TO BONITA BEACH, FL OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM EAST CAPE SABLE TO CHOKOLOSKEE, FL OUT 20 NM-
GULF WATERS FROM CHOKOLOSKEE TO BONITA BEACH, FL EXTENDING FROM
20 TO 60 NM-
358 AM EDT FRI MAY 22 2015

...A FEW STRONG STORMS INTERIOR AREAS LATE TODAY...
...INCREASING RISK OF RIP CURRENTS EAST COAST BEACHES THIS MEMORIAL DAY WEEKEND...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THUNDERSTORMS: ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED
THIS AFTERNOON INTO EARLY THIS EVENING ESPECIALLY OVER THE
INTERIOR AREAS WHERE THE SEA BREEZES COLLIDE. A FEW OF THE STORMS
COULD BECOME STRONG LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO EARLY THIS EVENING.

WIND: THE STRONGEST STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WIND GUSTS
UP TO 50 MPH.

HAIL: SMALL HAIL IS POSSIBLE WITH THE STRONGEST STORMS.

FLOODING: ISOLATED STREET AND LOW LYING FLOODING ARE POSSIBLE WITH
THE STORMS.


.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL SLOWLY WANE AND SHIFT
TO THE WESTERN AREAS OF SOUTH FLORIDA THIS MEMORIAL DAY WEEKEND.
THE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS WILL INCREASE THROUGH THE THIS MEMORIAL
DAY WEEKEND, WITH A HIGH RISK POSSIBLE FOR SUNDAY AND MONDAY.


.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WIDESPREAD SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED, HOWEVER
INDIVIDUAL SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT HIGH WIND, HAIL AND
FLOODING TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN
MIAMI.

FOR MORE INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
MIAMI WEBSITE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MIAMI.

$$

BAXTER


Short Term Forecast


SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL
533 AM EDT FRI MAY 22 2015

FLZ076-077-GMZ031-032-042-043-052>054-221045-
MONROE UPPER KEYS-MONROE MIDDLE KEYS-
FLORIDA BAY INCLUDING BLACKWATER SOUND, BUTTONWOOD SOUND, AND BARNES
SOUND-
BAYSIDE AND GULFSIDE FROM CRAIG KEY TO WEST END OF SEVEN MILE BRIDGE-
HAWK CHANNEL FROM OCEAN REEF TO CRAIG KEY OUT TO THE REEF-
HAWK CHANNEL FROM CRAIG KEY TO WEST END OF SEVEN MILE BRIDGE OUT TO
THE REEF-STRAITS OF FLORIDA FROM OCEAN REEF TO CRAIG KEY OUT 20 NM-
STRAITS OF FLORIDA FROM CRAIG KEY TO WEST END OF SEVEN MILE BRIDGE
OUT 20 NM-
STRAITS OF FLORIDA FROM WEST END OF SEVEN MILE BRIDGE TO SOUTH OF
HALFMOON SHOAL OUT 20 NM-
INCLUDING THE COMMUNITIES OF...KEY LARGO...MARATHON
533 AM EDT FRI MAY 22 2015

.NOW...
THROUGH 645 AM...ISOLATED SHOWERS WITH ONE OR TWO EMBEDDED
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE FOUND OVER THE UPPER AND MIDDLE KEYS...AND
SURROUNDING NEARSHORE WATERS. THE STRONGER ACTIVITY WILL PRODUCE WIND
GUSTS NEAR 25 MPH...HEAVY RAIN...AND A RARE LIGHTNING STRIKES. ISLAND
LOCATIONS NEAR LONG KEY AND THE MATECUMBES WILL BE MOST LIKELY TO BE
AFFECTED BY THESE SHOWERS.

$$

U.S. Dept. of Commerce
NOAA National Weather Service
1325 East West Highway
Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: June 2, 2009
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE: for Safety, for Work, for Fun - FOR LIFE