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Hazardous Weather Outlook


HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
843 PM CDT SUN SEP 21 2014

TXZ049-054-064>066-071>073-076>078-098-099-113-114-127-128-139-
140-154-155-168>170-230145-
FISHER-NOLAN-STERLING-COKE-RUNNELS-IRION-TOM GREEN-CONCHO-
CROCKETT-SCHLEICHER-SUTTON-HASKELL-THROCKMORTON-JONES-SHACKELFORD-
TAYLOR-CALLAHAN-COLEMAN-BROWN-MCCULLOCH-SAN SABA-MENARD-KIMBLE-
MASON-
843 PM CDT SUN SEP 21 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WEST CENTRAL
TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT...GENERALLY
WEST OF A CROSS PLAINS TO SONORA LINE. THE MAIN HAZARD WILL BE
DANGEROUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

ISOLATED...MAINLY AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE MONDAY INTO
WEDNESDAY. THE MAIN THREAT WILL BE DEADLY LIGHTNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.

$$

24

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
448 PM CDT SUN SEP 21 2014

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-221000-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
447 PM CDT SUN SEP 21 2014

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THUNDERSTORMS WITH DANGEROUS LIGHTNING.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...SOUTH OF I-40.
ONSET...ONGOING...ENDING BY EARLY EVENING.

DISCUSSION...

ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ALONG AND AHEAD OF A COLD
FRONT AS IT SWEEPS SOUTH ACROSS WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AND
SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA. SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION NOT EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.
MONDAY THRU SATURDAY...NO HAZARDS.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...

A WEAK AND SLOW MOVING UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL ORGANIZE OVER THE
CENTRAL PLAINS AROUND MID WEEK...HOWEVER AT THIS TIME ANY
ASSOCIATED RAINFALL IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN WEST OF THE REGION.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.
$$

LACY

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
444 PM CDT SUN SEP 21 2014

OKZ001>003-TXZ001>020-220945-
CIMARRON-TEXAS-BEAVER-DALLAM-SHERMAN-HANSFORD-OCHILTREE-LIPSCOMB-
HARTLEY-MOORE-HUTCHINSON-ROBERTS-HEMPHILL-OLDHAM-POTTER-CARSON-
GRAY-WHEELER-DEAF SMITH-RANDALL-ARMSTRONG-DONLEY-COLLINGSWORTH-
444 PM CDT SUN SEP 21 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA
PANHANDLES.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH TONIGHT FOR LOCATIONS
SOUTH OF A DALHART TO SHAMROCK LINE. A FEW STORMS COULD BE
STRONG...WITH SMALL HAIL AND WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH. LOCALIZED HEAVY
RAINFALL IS ALSO POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

OFF AND ON CHANCES FOR THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NOTED FOR PORTIONS OF
THE PANHANDLES MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY. STORMS THAT DEVELOP DURING
THIS TIME ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW SEVERE LEVELS...THOUGH A FEW
COULD BE STRONG WITH GUSTY WINDS AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.

$$

NF

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
336 PM CDT SUN SEP 21 2014

TXZ021>044-222045-
PARMER-CASTRO-SWISHER-BRISCOE-HALL-CHILDRESS-BAILEY-LAMB-HALE-
FLOYD-MOTLEY-COTTLE-COCHRAN-HOCKLEY-LUBBOCK-CROSBY-DICKENS-KING-
YOAKUM-TERRY-LYNN-GARZA-KENT-STONEWALL-
336 PM CDT SUN SEP 21 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE EXTREME SOUTHERN TEXAS
PANHANDLE...SOUTH PLAINS AND ROLLING PLAINS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

CONVECTIVE

THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ACROSS THE SOUTHERN TEXAS PANHANDLE AND
ADJACENT PORTIONS OF THE SOUTH PLAINS AND ROLLING PLAINS MAY
BRIEFLY BECOME STRONG TO MARGINALLY SEVERE LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND
EARLY EVENING. THE PRIMARY THREATS WILL BE WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH
AND HAIL TO THE SIZE OF QUARTERS.

FLOODING

MULTIPLE ROUNDS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS
THE SOUTH PLAINS THIS AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT...WITH PERIODS OF
HEAVY RAINFALL LIKELY. THIS COMBINED WITH SATURATED GROUNDS WILL
MAINTAIN THE THREAT FOR FLOODING ACROSS MUCH OF THE CENTRAL AND
SOUTHERN SOUTH PLAINS. A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT THROUGH 7 AM
MONDAY FOR LOCATIONS ALONG AND SOUTH OF A MULESHOE TO LITTLEFIELD
TO LUBBOCK TO JUSTICEBURG LINE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE WESTERN SOUTH
PLAINS NEAR THE NEW MEXICO STATE LINE INTO EARLY MONDAY BEFORE
SHIFTING EASTWARD ACROSS ALL OF THE SOUTH PLAINS THROUGH
WEDNESDAY. A FEW STORMS MAY BRIEFLY BECOME STRONG TO POSSIBLY
SEVERE TUESDAY AND MORE-SO ON WEDNESDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED. PLEASE PASS ALONG REPORTS OF
FLOODING TO YOUR LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT OFFICIALS.

$$


Short Term Forecast


SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
1249 AM CDT MON SEP 22 2014

TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-220800-
ANDERSON-BELL-BOSQUE-COLLIN-COMANCHE-COOKE-CORYELL-DALLAS-DELTA-
DENTON-EASTLAND-ELLIS-ERATH-FALLS-FANNIN-FREESTONE-GRAYSON-HAMILTON-
HENDERSON-HILL-HOOD-HOPKINS-HUNT-JACK-JOHNSON-KAUFMAN-LAMAR-LAMPASAS-
LEON-LIMESTONE-MCLENNAN-MILAM-MILLS-MONTAGUE-NAVARRO-PALO PINTO-
PARKER-RAINS-ROBERTSON-ROCKWALL-SOMERVELL-STEPHENS-TARRANT-VAN ZANDT-
WISE-YOUNG-
1249 AM CDT MON SEP 22 2014

.NOW...
A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE THROUGH THE INTERSTATE 20
CORRIDOR THROUGH 3 A.M WITH WINDS SHIFTING NORTHEAST AT 5 TO 10
MPH. BEHIND THE COLD FRONT...A FEW SHOWERS WILL OCCUR PRODUCING
LIGHT AMOUNTS OF RAINFALL BELOW 1/10 OF AN INCH.

ELSEWHERE...PERIODS OF HIGH CLOUDINESS WILL CONTINUE WITH LIGHT
WINDS. TEMPERATURES BEHIND THE COLD FRONT WILL GRADUALLY FALL INTO
THE 60S THROUGH THE PRE DAWN HOURS. AHEAD OF THE FRONT...LOW TO MID
70S WILL RULE WITH NEAR CALM WINDS.

$$

SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1249 AM CDT MON SEP 22 2014

ARZ070>073-LAZ001>004-TXZ108>112-124>126-220730-
BOSSIER-CADDO-CAMP-CASS-CLAIBORNE-COLUMBIA-FRANKLIN-LAFAYETTE-MARION-
MILLER-MORRIS-TITUS-UNION AR-UPSHUR-WEBSTER-WOOD-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ATLANTA...BOSSIER CITY...DAINGERFIELD...
EL DORADO...GILMER...HOMER...JEFFERSON...LEWISVILLE...MAGNOLIA...
MINDEN...MT PLEASANT...MT VERNON...PITTSBURG...QUITMAN...
SHREVEPORT...TEXARKANA
1249 AM CDT MON SEP 22 2014

.NOW...
A FEW ISOLATED SHOWERS HAVE DEVELOPED ACROSS PORTIONS OF EXTREME
SOUTHERN ARKANSAS AND NORTHEAST TEXAS EARLY THIS MORNING.
ADDITIONAL REDEVELOPMENT WILL BE POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT AS A WEAK COLD
FRONT SLOWLY SINKS SOUTH ACROSS EXTREME NORTHEAST TEXAS...
SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS...AND INTO NORTHERN LOUISIANA. RAINFALL AMOUNTS
WILL BE LIGHT AND SPOTTY...WITH UP TO A FEW HUNDRETHS OF AN INCH
POSSIBLE.

$$

15

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Silver Spring, MD 20910
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Page last modified: June 2, 2009
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