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Hazardous Weather Outlook


Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service SAN ANGELO TX
206 PM CST Sun Feb 19 2017

TXZ049-054-064>066-071>073-076>078-098-099-113-114-127-128-139-
140-154-155-168>170-202015-
Fisher-Nolan-Sterling-Coke-Runnels-Irion-Tom Green-Concho-
Crockett-Schleicher-Sutton-Haskell-Throckmorton-Jones-Shackelford-
Taylor-Callahan-Coleman-Brown-McCulloch-San Saba-Menard-Kimble-
Mason-
206 PM CST Sun Feb 19 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of west central
Texas.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight

Thunderstorms should become more widespread across West Central
Texas this afternoon and tonight. A few of these storms may reach
severe levels, mainly east of an Abilene to Sonora line. Although damaging
winds and large hail will be the main threats, an isolated
tornado can not be ruled out. The risk of severe storms will end
tonight as the storms push east of the area.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will likely be requested later this afternoon
or evening.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Springfield MO
1258 PM CST Sun Feb 19 2017

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-201900-
Bourbon-Crawford-Cherokee-Benton-Morgan-Miller-Maries-Vernon-
St. Clair-Hickory-Camden-Pulaski-Phelps-Barton-Cedar-Polk-Dallas-
Laclede-Texas-Dent-Jasper-Dade-Greene-Webster-Wright-Newton-
Lawrence-Christian-Douglas-Howell-Shannon-McDonald-Barry-Stone-
Taney-Ozark-Oregon-
1258 PM CST Sun Feb 19 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of the Missouri
Ozarks and extreme southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.

Weather hazards expected...

  Limited Lightning risk.

DISCUSSION...

Thunderstorms will be possible late tonight across far western
Missouri and extreme southeast Kansas. Occasional lightning will
be possible, but no severe storms are expected.


.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

There is a slight chance for thunderstorms Monday but no severe
weather is expected.

Elevated fire weather conditions will develop Friday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

  Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight.

&&

More detailed information can be accessed at:
http://www.weather.gov/sgf/sitrep

This product in graphical format...along with other weather...
hydrological and climate information...at
http://www.weather.gov/sgf

$$

Lindenberg

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
1229 PM CST Sun Feb 19 2017

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-201115-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
1229 PM CST Sun Feb 19 2017

This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...West of a Bristow to McAlester to Hugo line.
ONSET...Midnight.

DISCUSSION...
A Marginal risk of severe thunderstorms will exist after midnight
for portions of east central and southeast Oklahoma along and
west of a Bristow to McAlester to Hugo line. Damaging winds and
hail to the size of quarters will be the primary severe weather
threats.

Isolated to scattered thunderstorms are expected to develop this
evening across western and central Oklahoma southward into north
Texas. These thunderstorms will move to the east and northeast,
with some decrease in intensity likely after moving into eastern
Oklahoma early Monday morning, due to lower available instability.
Locally heavy rainfall may fall in parts of southeast Oklahoma,
but the highest amounts are likely to occur south of the area.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Local Spotter Activation May Be Needed.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.
MONDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.
TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY...No Hazards.
THURSDAY...High Wind Potential.
FRIDAY AND SATURDAY...No Hazards.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
Isolated thunderstorms may be ongoing Monday morning across parts
of eastern Oklahoma and western Arkansas. Decreasing instability
with time will negate the severe weather threat.

A strong upper level storm system is expected to move into the
central Plains Thursday. Strong south winds from the system will
raise rapid fire spread concerns.

weather.gov/tulsa Contains additional information.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook...UPDATED
National Weather Service Norman OK
1226 PM CST Sun Feb 19 2017

OKZ004>048-050>052-TXZ083>090-201245-
Harper-Woods-Alfalfa-Grant-Kay-Ellis-Woodward-Major-Garfield-
Noble-Roger Mills-Dewey-Custer-Blaine-Kingfisher-Logan-Payne-
Beckham-Washita-Caddo-Canadian-Oklahoma-Lincoln-Grady-McClain-
Cleveland-Pottawatomie-Seminole-Hughes-Harmon-Greer-Kiowa-Jackson-
Tillman-Comanche-Stephens-Garvin-Murray-Pontotoc-Coal-Cotton-
Jefferson-Carter-Johnston-Atoka-Love-Marshall-Bryan-Hardeman-
Foard-Wilbarger-Wichita-Knox-Baylor-Archer-Clay-
1226 PM CST Sun Feb 19 2017

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of northern...
western...central...and southern Oklahoma...and western north
Texas.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight...

.Thunderstorms...
There is a risk of severe storms across portions of central and
southern Oklahoma, and all of western north Texas this afternoon.

Location...
A Slight Risk of storms exists along and south of a line extending
from near Seymour, Texas to Hollister, Oklahoma to Lawton and
Marlow to Velma and Burneyville. A Marginal Risk surrounds the
Slight Risk, extending east and south of a line from near
Goodlett, Texas to near Burns Flat, Oklahoma to Okeene to Perkins
and Cushing.

Timing...
3 PM to 2 AM.

Impacts...
Hail to the size of half dollars and wind gusts to 60 mph will be
the main concerns. Locally heavy rainfall may lead to flash
flooding as well. There is a low risk of tornadoes in the late
afternoon and evening.

Discussion...
Showers and thunderstorms are expected to develop across portions
of western north Texas around mid afternoon, and move into
southwestern Oklahoma late this afternoon. The storms are then
expected to spread north and eastward into central and
southeastern Oklahoma this evening, and then into eastern and
southeastern OK through early Monday morning. Sufficient
instability and winds will be enough to support strong to severe
thunderstorms this afternoon and tonight. Initial thunderstorms
will be more isolated to scattered, developing into a line of
thunderstorms this evening and overnight as they move eastward.
The potential for severe storms will start to decrease beyond
midnight.

.SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT STATEMENT...
Storm spotter groups and emergency management personnel across
the risk area should prepare for severe weather operations late
this afternoon and tonight.

.Flash Flooding...
As storms increase in coverage late this evening and overnight,
there will be a risk of flash flooding from north Texas into
southern and central Oklahoma due to heavy rainfall rates.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday...

.Thunderstorms...
Showers and thunderstorms will remain possible Monday with rain
chances ending from west to east through the day. No severe
weather is expected Monday.

.Fire Weather...
Elevated to Critical wildfire conditions will be possible across
portions of the area Tuesday through Friday. The Critical
conditions are expected Thursday afternoon across portions of
western Oklahoma and western north Texas due to warm temperatures,
low humidities, and gusty southwest winds.

Get graphics and more details at weather.gov/norman...and follow
our weather forecast office on Twitter and Facebook.

$$

Kurtz/Barnes

Hazardous Weather Outlook...UPDATED
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
1159 AM CST Sun Feb 19 2017

OKZ001>003-TXZ001>020-192200-
Cimarron-Texas-Beaver-Dallam-Sherman-Hansford-Ochiltree-Lipscomb-
Hartley-Moore-Hutchinson-Roberts-Hemphill-Oldham-Potter-Carson-
Gray-Wheeler-Deaf Smith-Randall-Armstrong-Donley-Collingsworth-
1159 AM CST Sun Feb 19 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Texas and Oklahoma
Panhandles.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.

Thunderstorms will be possible across mainly eastern sections of
the Oklahoma and Texas Panhandles this afternoon and evening. Any
storms that develop are expected to remain below severe levels at
this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Elevated fire weather conditions are likely to develop on Monday
across mainly the northwestern half of the Oklahoma and Texas
Panhandles.

Dry and windy conditions are expected on Thursday, particularly
across the western two thirds of the Panhandles. Elevated to
critical fire weather conditions are likely to occur during this
time frame. Elevated fire weather conditions may continue into
Friday in the wake of a cold front.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated at this time.

Area fire managers and emergency officials in the Oklahoma and
Texas Panhandles should be alert for elevated or critical fire
weather conditions on Thursday, as well as elevated fire weather
conditions Monday and Friday.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
1150 AM CST Sun Feb 19 2017

ARZ050-051-059>061-070>073-LAZ001>006-010>014-017>022-OKZ077-
TXZ096-097-108>112-124>126-136>138-149>153-165>167-201800-
Sevier-Howard-Little River-Hempstead-Nevada-Miller-Lafayette-
Columbia-Union-Caddo-Bossier-Webster-Claiborne-Lincoln-De Soto-
Red River-Bienville-Jackson-Ouachita-Sabine-Natchitoches-Winn-
Grant-Caldwell-La Salle-McCurtain-Bowie-Franklin-Titus-Camp-
Morris-Cass-Wood-Upshur-Marion-Smith-Gregg-Harrison-Cherokee-Rusk-
Panola-Nacogdoches-Shelby-Angelina-San Augustine-
1150 AM CST Sun Feb 19 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of south central
Arkansas...southwest Arkansas...north central Louisiana...
northwest Louisiana...southeast Oklahoma...east Texas and
northeast Texas.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight...

Showers and thunderstorms will increase late tonight over
Southeast Oklahoma and East Texas, just ahead of a slow moving
upper-level storm system that will enter the Texas Panhandle and
West Texas late. No hazardous weather is expected.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday...

Showers and embedded thunderstorms will spread east across the
region on Monday as an upper-level storm system pushes across
Central Oklahoma and Texas. Periods of heavy rainfall will be
possible Monday morning over East Texas and Southeast Oklahoma,
with rainfall totals of one to two inches possible.


.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Activation of emergency managers, Skywarn spotters, and amateur
radio operators, should not be needed today or tonight.

$$

05

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Wichita KS
1121 AM CST Sun Feb 19 2017

KSZ032-033-047>053-067>072-082-083-091>096-098>100-201730-
Russell-Lincoln-Barton-Ellsworth-Saline-Rice-McPherson-Marion-Chase-
Reno-Harvey-Butler-Greenwood-Woodson-Allen-Kingman-Sedgwick-Harper-
Sumner-Cowley-Elk-Wilson-Neosho-Chautauqua-Montgomery-Labette-
1121 AM CST Sun Feb 19 2017

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of Central Kansas,
South Central Kansas and Southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight

Very high grassland fire danger will impact portions of central
Kansas this afternoon.

Showers with widely scattered thunderstorms will impact the region
tonight through early Monday, with the highest chances generally
over southern and eastern Kansas. Pockets of brief heavy rain and
gusty winds will be the main threat.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday

Areas of showers and perhaps a few thunderstorms will exit far
eastern Kansas Monday morning.

Very high grassland fire danger is possible across the region
Monday, Wednesday, Thursday and Friday.

Shower and thunderstorm chances are again possible Thursday night.
Severe weather appears unlikely at this time.

Finally, a wintry mix is possible late Thursday night and early
Friday across central Kansas, as colder air filters south over the
area. The greatest potential for snow accumulations appear to
remain well north of the region.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated this afternoon or tonight.

&&

For a graphical version of this information, see our webpage at:
http://weather.gov/wichita/hwo/

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook...UPDATED
National Weather Service Lubbock TX
1030 AM CST Sun Feb 19 2017

TXZ021>044-201630-
Parmer-Castro-Swisher-Briscoe-Hall-Childress-Bailey-Lamb-Hale-
Floyd-Motley-Cottle-Cochran-Hockley-Lubbock-Crosby-Dickens-King-
Yoakum-Terry-Lynn-Garza-Kent-Stonewall-
1030 AM CST Sun Feb 19 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the South Plains...Rolling
Plains and the far Southern Texas Panhandle.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Hazardous weather is unlikely.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday

Critical fire weather, strong winds and blowing dust are possible
Thursday.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
340 AM CST Sun Feb 19 2017

TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-201200-
Montague-Cooke-Grayson-Fannin-Lamar-Young-Jack-Wise-Denton-Collin-
Hunt-Delta-Hopkins-Stephens-Palo Pinto-Parker-Tarrant-Dallas-
Rockwall-Kaufman-Van Zandt-Rains-Eastland-Erath-Hood-Somervell-
Johnson-Ellis-Henderson-Comanche-Mills-Hamilton-Bosque-Hill-Navarro-
Freestone-Anderson-Lampasas-Coryell-Bell-McLennan-Falls-Limestone-
Leon-Milam-Robertson-
340 AM CST Sun Feb 19 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for North and Central Texas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.
Thunderstorms will develop across western portions of North Texas
Sunday afternoon and evening and spread east across the region
overnight. Some of the storms in the afternoon and evening hours could
become strong or severe, primarily along and west of the I-35/35W
corridor. Damaging wind and hail will be the main hazards, but there
will also be a low tornado threat.

A larger area of rain is expected to develop across the region
tonight. Minor flooding will be the primary concern overnight, but there
may also be a low threat for strong or severe storms overnight with a
threat for damaging winds.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.
Thunderstorms will end from west to east across the region Monday.
Some storms may produce heavy rainfall Monday morning that may cause
minor flooding.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation may be requested west of a Waco to Fort Worth to
Gainesville line this afternoon and evening. Limited spotter
activation may also be requested overnight across parts of North and
Central Texas.

$$

JLDunn

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
325 AM CST Sun Feb 19 2017

KSZ030-031-043>046-061>066-074>081-084>090-201200-
Trego-Ellis-Scott-Lane-Ness-Rush-Hamilton-Kearny-Finney-Hodgeman-
Pawnee-Stafford-Stanton-Grant-Haskell-Gray-Ford-Edwards-Kiowa-
Pratt-Morton-Stevens-Seward-Meade-Clark-Comanche-Barber-
325 AM CST Sun Feb 19 2017 /225 AM MST Sun Feb 19 2017/

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central...south
central...southwest and west central Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Day 1 Discussion
----------------

Areas of fog with visibilities around one half mile will be possible
this morning. Locally patchy dense fog is possible as well in spots.
Allow extra space when driving.

Showers and isolated thunderstorms will be possible late this evening
mainly east of Garden City. Threats are lightning and outflow winds
of 30 to 40 mph.

Day 1 Hazards
-------------
* Lightning: Limited risk
* Fog: Significant risk
* Fire weather: Limited risk

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Days 2-7 Discussion
-------------------

There will be an elevated to limited fire weather risk through much
of the week. Outdoor burning is discouraged. A chance of snow is forecast
Thursday and Friday with a second weather system. Chance of significant
snow accumulation is low.

Days 2-7 Hazards
----------------
* Monday
  - Fire weather: Elevated risk

* Tuesday
  - Fire weather: Elevated risk

* Wednesday
  - Fire weather: Limited risk

* Thursday
  - Lightning: Limited risk
  - Ice accumulation: Limited risk
  - Fire weather: Elevated risk

* Friday
  - Ice accumulation: Limited risk
  - Fire weather: Limited risk

* Saturday
  - Fire weather: Limited risk

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight.

&&

For more details visit our webpage http://weather.gov/ddc/ehwo

$$


Short Term Forecast


SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
224 PM CST Sun Feb 19 2017

TXZ066-072-073-077-078-098-099-113-114-127-128-139-140-154-155-
168>170-192200-
RUNNELS-TOM GREEN-CONCHO-SCHLEICHER-SUTTON-HASKELL-THROCKMORTON-
JONES-SHACKELFORD-TAYLOR-CALLAHAN-COLEMAN-BROWN-MCCULLOCH-
SAN SABA-MENARD-KIMBLE-MASON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF BALLINGER, WINTERS, SAN ANGELO, EDEN,
ELDORADO, SONORA, HASKELL, THROCKMORTON, WOODSON, STAMFORD,
ANSON, HAMLIN, ALBANY, ABILENE, CLYDE, BAIRD, CROSS PLAINS,
COLEMAN, BROWNWOOD, BRADY, SAN SABA, MENARD, JUNCTION, AND MASON
224 PM CST Sun Feb 19 2017

.NOW...
Scattered showers and thunderstorms will continue to develop
through 4 PM across portions of West Central Texas, mainly east of
an Abilene to San Angelo to Sonora line. Most of this activity
will produce only a few minutes of moderate to heavy rainfall.
However, as the storms intensify after 4 PM a few of the storms
may eventually reach severe levels. Large hail and damaging winds
will be the main threats.

$$

07

U.S. Dept. of Commerce
NOAA National Weather Service
1325 East West Highway
Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: June 2, 2009
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