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Hazardous Weather Outlook


Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
452 PM CDT Thu Sep 21 2017

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-221015-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
452 PM CDT Thu Sep 21 2017

This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

No hazardous weather is anticipated through tonight.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Spotter Activation Not Expected.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.
FRIDAY through Sunday...No Hazards.
MONDAY through Wednesday...Thunderstorm Potential.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
A cold front is will bring the potential for thunderstorms
beginning Monday night to the northwest of Tulsa, shifting south
and east with time, and ending Wednesday night down in southeast
Oklahoma and west central Arkansas. At this point, the weather
pattern will not be favorable for severe weather, thus the severe
potential is low.

weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service San Angelo TX
241 PM CDT Thu Sep 21 2017

TXZ049-054-064>066-071>073-076>078-098-099-113-114-127-128-139-
140-154-155-168>170-221945-
Fisher-Nolan-Sterling-Coke-Runnels-Irion-Tom Green-Concho-
Crockett-Schleicher-Sutton-Haskell-Throckmorton-Jones-Shackelford-
Taylor-Callahan-Coleman-Brown-McCulloch-San Saba-Menard-Kimble-
Mason-
241 PM CDT Thu Sep 21 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of west central
Texas.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight

There is a slight chance for thunderstorms along and west of a
Sweetwater to Sterling City line. Peak activity for thunderstorm
activity will be late this afternoon through the evening. A few
storms could be strong to severe. These storms will be capable of
producing strong downburst winds in excess of 58 MPH and frequent
cloud-to-ground lightning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday

Widespread rain will be moving into the area starting Monday and
lasting through Wednesday. Locally heavy rainfall will be possible
on Tuesday and Wednesday which could lead to localized flash flooding.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated at this time.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Norman OK
239 PM CDT Thu Sep 21 2017

OKZ004>048-050>052-TXZ083>090-221945-
Harper-Woods-Alfalfa-Grant-Kay-Ellis-Woodward-Major-Garfield-
Noble-Roger Mills-Dewey-Custer-Blaine-Kingfisher-Logan-Payne-
Beckham-Washita-Caddo-Canadian-Oklahoma-Lincoln-Grady-McClain-
Cleveland-Pottawatomie-Seminole-Hughes-Harmon-Greer-Kiowa-Jackson-
Tillman-Comanche-Stephens-Garvin-Murray-Pontotoc-Coal-Cotton-
Jefferson-Carter-Johnston-Atoka-Love-Marshall-Bryan-Hardeman-
Foard-Wilbarger-Wichita-Knox-Baylor-Archer-Clay-
239 PM CDT Thu Sep 21 2017

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of northern...
western...central...and southern Oklahoma...and western
north Texas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight...

.Thunderstorms...
Isolated thunderstorms are possible late this afternoon and evening
across western Oklahoma and western north Texas. The strongest
storms will be capable of wind gusts of 60 to 70 mph, nickel to
quarter size hail, brief heavy rainfall and frequent cloud to
ground lightning.

.Fire Weather...
Elevated fire weather conditions will continue through the
remainder of this afternoon and early this evening across
northwest Oklahoma.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday...

.Thunderstorms...
A strong storm system and associated cold front will approach the
region late in the weekend and early next week with thunderstorms
expected Sunday through Wednesday. Severe weather chances are
expected to remain low, however heavy rainfall will be possible.

.Fire Weather...
Elevated fire weather conditions will remain possible across
northwest Oklahoma Friday and Saturday.

Get graphics and more details at weather.gov/norman...and follow
our weather forecast office on Twitter and Facebook.

$$

TL

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Lubbock TX
1111 AM CDT Thu Sep 21 2017

TXZ021>044-221615-
Parmer-Castro-Swisher-Briscoe-Hall-Childress-Bailey-Lamb-Hale-
Floyd-Motley-Cottle-Cochran-Hockley-Lubbock-Crosby-Dickens-King-
Yoakum-Terry-Lynn-Garza-Kent-Stonewall-
1111 AM CDT Thu Sep 21 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the South Plains...Rolling
Plains and the far Southern Texas Panhandle.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight

Isolated thunderstorms are expected to develop later this
afternoon and evening from the central South Plains through the
Rolling Plains. The strongest storms will be capable of producing
winds to 60 mph and hail to the size of quarters.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday

Increasing chances of widespread thunderstorms continue for
tomorrow through Tuesday. The primary threat from this activity
will be heavy rainfall and flooding, especially early next week. A
few storms that develop will have the potential to become severe
with large hail and damaging winds as the main hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is unlikely at this time.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
1042 AM CDT Thu Sep 21 2017

ARZ050-051-059>061-070>073-LAZ001>006-010>014-017>022-OKZ077-
TXZ096-097-108>112-124>126-136>138-149>153-165>167-221545-
Sevier-Howard-Little River-Hempstead-Nevada-Miller-Lafayette-
Columbia-Union-Caddo-Bossier-Webster-Claiborne-Lincoln-De Soto-
Red River-Bienville-Jackson-Ouachita-Sabine-Natchitoches-Winn-
Grant-Caldwell-La Salle-McCurtain-Bowie-Franklin-Titus-Camp-
Morris-Cass-Wood-Upshur-Marion-Smith-Gregg-Harrison-Cherokee-Rusk-
Panola-Nacogdoches-Shelby-Angelina-San Augustine-
1042 AM CDT Thu Sep 21 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of south central
Arkansas, southwest Arkansas, north central Louisiana, northwest
Louisiana, southeast Oklahoma, east Texas and northeast Texas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight...

Isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms will be possible
through the afternoon, especially over portions of East Texas
south of Interstate 20, near an upper level disturbance that will
drift slowly south through the day. Locally gusty winds and brief
heavy rainfall will be possible from the stronger storms before
they diminish by early evening with the loss of heating.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday...

Isolated to widely scattered showers and thunderstorms will be
possible this weekend over Southcentral Arkansas, North Louisiana,
and Deep East Texas, but should increase over the remainder of the
region Monday through Wednesday as low level moisture interacts
with afternoon heating and a weak upper level disturbance over the
lower Mississippi Valley that will begin to shift east away from
the region Monday, and a series of upper level disturbances and an
associated cold front that will approach the region from the west
and northwest Tuesday and Wednesday. However, no hazardous
weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Activation of emergency management personnel...amateur radio
operators...and storm spotters...should not be needed today or
tonight.

$$

20

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
323 AM CDT Thu Sep 21 2017

KSZ030-031-043>046-061>066-074>081-084>090-220830-
Trego-Ellis-Scott-Lane-Ness-Rush-Hamilton-Kearny-Finney-Hodgeman-
Pawnee-Stafford-Stanton-Grant-Haskell-Gray-Ford-Edwards-Kiowa-
Pratt-Morton-Stevens-Seward-Meade-Clark-Comanche-Barber-
323 AM CDT Thu Sep 21 2017 /223 AM MDT Thu Sep 21 2017/

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central...south
central...southwest and west central Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Day 1 Discussion
----------------

Elevated to critical fire weather conditions can be expected
across western Kansas this afternoon. See fire weather watch for
details.

Day 1 Hazards
-------------
* Excessive heat: Limited risk
* Non-thunderstorm wind: Limited risk
* Fire weather: Significant risk

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Days 2-7 Discussion
-------------------

Thunderstorms will be possible Friday through early next week. At
this time widespread severe weather is not anticipated but some
of these storms this weekend will be capable of producing heavy
rainfall and frequent lightning.

Days 2-7 Hazards
----------------
* Friday
  - Flooding: Limited risk
  - Lightning: Limited risk
  - Severe thunderstorm: Limited risk
  - Non thunderstorm wind: Limited risk
  - Fire weather: Limited risk

* Saturday
  - Lightning: Elevated risk

* Sunday
  - Lightning: Elevated risk

* Monday
  - Lightning: Elevated risk

* Tuesday
  - Lightning: Limited risk

* Wednesday
  - Lightning: Limited risk

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight.

&&

For more details visit our webpage http://weather.gov/ddc/ehwo

$$

U.S. Dept. of Commerce
NOAA National Weather Service
1325 East West Highway
Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: June 2, 2009
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