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Hazardous Weather Outlook


Hazardous Weather Outlook...UPDATED
National Weather Service Norman OK
851 AM CST Mon Feb 27 2017

OKZ004>048-050>052-TXZ083>090-281500-
Harper-Woods-Alfalfa-Grant-Kay-Ellis-Woodward-Major-Garfield-
Noble-Roger Mills-Dewey-Custer-Blaine-Kingfisher-Logan-Payne-
Beckham-Washita-Caddo-Canadian-Oklahoma-Lincoln-Grady-McClain-
Cleveland-Pottawatomie-Seminole-Hughes-Harmon-Greer-Kiowa-Jackson-
Tillman-Comanche-Stephens-Garvin-Murray-Pontotoc-Coal-Cotton-
Jefferson-Carter-Johnston-Atoka-Love-Marshall-Bryan-Hardeman-
Foard-Wilbarger-Wichita-Knox-Baylor-Archer-Clay-
851 AM CST Mon Feb 27 2017

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of northern...
western...central...and southern Oklahoma...and western north
Texas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight...

.Fog...
Patchy fog will continue to affect portions of western Oklahoma
and western north Texas this morning. Some locations will
experience visibility of half a mile of less. Drivers need to be
prepared for sudden changes in visibility. Visibilities are
expected to improve by late morning.

.Thunderstorms...
Showers and thunderstorms will be possible through this evening,
mainly along and east of Interstate 35. A few of the storms may
become strong to severe in parts of southeast and south central
Oklahoma, generally southeast of a line from Holdenville and
Ada, to Ardmore Oklahoma, late this afternoon and evening. If
strong to severe storms develop, hail up to the size of half
dollars and wind gusts to 60 mph will be possible. Thunderstorm
chances will end late this evening.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday...

.Thunderstorms...
A few severe thunderstorms will be possible across portions of
eastern and southeastern Oklahoma Tuesday evening through early
Wednesday morning. The risk for severe thunderstorms will be east
of a line from near Chandler, to Shawnee, to Ardmore, Oklahoma.
Large hail and damaging wind gusts will be the primary hazards.

.Fire Weather...
Critical to extreme fire weather conditions are expected Tuesday
afternoon across western Oklahoma and western north Texas due to
warm, dry, and breezy conditions. Elevated fire weather conditions
will then be possible Wednesday through Friday across western
Oklahoma and western north Texas.

Get graphics and more details at weather.gov/norman...and follow
our weather forecast office on Twitter and Facebook.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Wichita KS
951 AM CST Mon Feb 27 2017

KSZ032-033-047>053-067>072-082-083-091>096-098>100-281600-
Russell-Lincoln-Barton-Ellsworth-Saline-Rice-McPherson-Marion-Chase-
Reno-Harvey-Butler-Greenwood-Woodson-Allen-Kingman-Sedgwick-Harper-
Sumner-Cowley-Elk-Wilson-Neosho-Chautauqua-Montgomery-Labette-
951 AM CST Mon Feb 27 2017

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of Central Kansas,
South Central Kansas and Southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Very high grassland fire danger will impact portions of central
Kansas this afternoon, due to above normal temperatures and breezy
south winds. Outdoor burning is discouraged.

A thunderstorm or two cannot be ruled out over southeast Kansas this
afternoon. Strong or severe storms are not expected.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday

A few strong to severe thunderstorms will be possible over far
southeastern Kansas Tuesday afternoon, and early evening before
moving rapidly east out of the area. Quarter size hail and gusty
winds up to 60 mph would be possible from the stronger storms.

Light rain may mix with and change over to snow in central Kansas
Tuesday night before ending. Any snowfall accumulations are
expected to be light.

The grassland fire danger level may become very high Tuesday
afternoon in south central and southeast Kansas due to above normal
temperatures and gusty southerly winds.

The grassland fire danger levels are expected to be very high area-
wide on Wednesday, due to very gusty northwest winds and low
afternoon relative humidities. Very high grassland fire danger
conditions are expected to return Friday and into next weekend.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated today or tonight.

&&

For a graphical version of this information, see our webpage at:
http://weather.gov/wichita/hwo/

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Springfield MO
722 AM CST Mon Feb 27 2017

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-281330-
Bourbon-Crawford-Cherokee-Benton-Morgan-Miller-Maries-Vernon-
St. Clair-Hickory-Camden-Pulaski-Phelps-Barton-Cedar-Polk-Dallas-
Laclede-Texas-Dent-Jasper-Dade-Greene-Webster-Wright-Newton-
Lawrence-Christian-Douglas-Howell-Shannon-McDonald-Barry-Stone-
Taney-Ozark-Oregon-
722 AM CST Mon Feb 27 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of the Missouri
Ozarks and extreme southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Weather hazards expected...

  Limited Hail risk.
  Limited Lightning risk.

DISCUSSION...

  There is a limited risk for severe thunderstorms from this
  afternoon and into the overnight hours. At this time, large
  hail appears to be the primary risk with any storms that
  become severe.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

  Thunderstorms are expected late Tuesday afternoon into Tuesday
  night. Some of these storms may become severe with large hail
  and damaging wind gusts. The greatest risk for severe weather
  appears to be generally along and south of Interstate 44.
  Please stay tuned for updates regarding this potential for
  severe weather.

  Wind gusts could approach 30 MPH on Tuesday and Tuesday night.

  An elevated fire weather risk will impact the outlook area at
  times from Wednesday through Saturday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

  Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight.

&&

More detailed information can be accessed at:
http://www.weather.gov/sgf/sitrep

This product in graphical format...along with other weather...
hydrological and climate information...at
http://www.weather.gov/sgf

$$

Boxell

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
602 AM CST Mon Feb 27 2017

TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-281215-
Montague-Cooke-Grayson-Fannin-Lamar-Young-Jack-Wise-Denton-Collin-
Hunt-Delta-Hopkins-Stephens-Palo Pinto-Parker-Tarrant-Dallas-
Rockwall-Kaufman-Van Zandt-Rains-Eastland-Erath-Hood-Somervell-
Johnson-Ellis-Henderson-Comanche-Mills-Hamilton-Bosque-Hill-Navarro-
Freestone-Anderson-Lampasas-Coryell-Bell-McLennan-Falls-Limestone-
Leon-Milam-Robertson-
602 AM CST Mon Feb 27 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for North and Central Texas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

There is a chance of thunderstorms across most of North Texas today.
Not all areas will see storms, but if storms do develop, they could
be severe with large hail being the main threat. The threat for
storms will be highest along I-35 from Waco into the Metroplex and
areas northeast of there.

There is an elevated grass fire threat this afternoon across our far
western counties where the dryline should be located. This threat
will diminish by evening as the dryline retreats westward.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

Thunderstorm chances will continue Tuesday and Tuesday night across
most of North Texas with highest chances east of the I-35 corridor.
There is a threat for severe thunderstorms on Tuesday afternoon with
large hail and damaging winds being the main threat.

There will be an elevated grass fire threat Tuesday afternoon west
of a Lampasas to Mineral Wells to Gainesville line. The threat for
grass fires will continue into Wednesday as north winds increase and
become gusty behind a strong cold front.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be requested today across parts of North Texas
if storms develop.

$$

Dunn

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
547 AM CST Mon Feb 27 2017

ARZ050-051-059>061-070>073-LAZ001>006-010>014-017>022-OKZ077-
TXZ096-097-108>112-124>126-136>138-149>153-165>167-281200-
Sevier-Howard-Little River-Hempstead-Nevada-Miller-Lafayette-
Columbia-Union-Caddo-Bossier-Webster-Claiborne-Lincoln-De Soto-
Red River-Bienville-Jackson-Ouachita-Sabine-Natchitoches-Winn-
Grant-Caldwell-La Salle-McCurtain-Bowie-Franklin-Titus-Camp-
Morris-Cass-Wood-Upshur-Marion-Smith-Gregg-Harrison-Cherokee-Rusk-
Panola-Nacogdoches-Shelby-Angelina-San Augustine-
547 AM CST Mon Feb 27 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of south central
Arkansas...southwest Arkansas...north central Louisiana...
northwest Louisiana...southeast Oklahoma...east Texas and
northeast Texas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight...

Showers and thunderstorms can be expected throughout the day.
Small hail and gusty winds may be possible with some storms.
Although widespread organized severe weather is not expected
today, a few storms could produce large hail and damaging wind.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday...

Periods of showers and thunderstorms will continue through
Wednesday. Organized severe thunderstorms may be possible on
Tuesday evening into Wednesday morning across the ArkLaTex along
a cold front. The greatest threat of severe thunderstorms will be
mainly across Southeast Oklahoma, Northeast Texas, and Southern
Arkansas with a lesser threat south across lower sections of
Northeast and East Texas and North Louisiana. Damaging winds, some
marginally severe hail and isolated tornadoes will be possible
with some storms.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Activation of emergency management personnel, amateur radio
operators, and storm spotters will not be needed through tonight.

$$

05

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
517 AM CST Mon Feb 27 2017

OKZ001>003-TXZ001>020-272330-
Cimarron-Texas-Beaver-Dallam-Sherman-Hansford-Ochiltree-Lipscomb-
Hartley-Moore-Hutchinson-Roberts-Hemphill-Oldham-Potter-Carson-
Gray-Wheeler-Deaf Smith-Randall-Armstrong-Donley-Collingsworth-
517 AM CST Mon Feb 27 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Texas and Oklahoma
Panhandles.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Critical fire weather is expected across the western Texas and
Oklahoma Panhandles this afternoon with elevated conditions
expected across the eastern Panhandles. A Red Flag Warning has
been issued for the western Texas and Oklahoma Panhandles for SW
winds at 15 to 30 mph with min RH values around 10 to 15 percent.
A Fire Danger Statement has been issued for the eastern Texas and
Oklahoma Panhandles for SW winds at 10 to 25 mph with min RH
values around 15 to 20 percent.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

Elevated to critical fire weather conditions will be possible
during the afternoons Tuesday, Wednesday, Friday, and Saturday
for portions of the Panhandles. A Fire Weather Watch is in effect
for the entire forecast area on Tuesday.

A High Wind Watch is in effect Tuesday afternoon across the
southern portions of the Texas Panhandle as winds are expected to
be southwest at 35 to 45 mph with gusts over 60 mph possible.
Some areas in the central Texas Panhandle may meet Wind Advisory
Criteria.

Patchy blowing dust is expected Tuesday afternoon across the
southwestern and south central Texas Panhandle which may reduce
visibilities at times.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated at this time.

Area fire managers and emergency officials should be alert for
elevated or critical fire weather conditions on Monday, Tuesday,
Wednesday, Friday, and Saturday.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
457 AM CST Mon Feb 27 2017

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-281100-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
457 AM CST Mon Feb 27 2017

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...East of a Miami to McAlester line.
ONSET...This Afternoon.

DISCUSSION...
A limited potential for severe thunderstorms will exist this
afternoon across parts of far southeast Oklahoma and overnight
across parts of far eastern Oklahoma and western Arkansas. Hail to
the size of quarters and wind gusts up to 60 mph may occur with a
few stronger thunderstorms.

Thunderstorms could develop along a northward moving warm front
this afternoon, and while the bulk of the afternoon thunderstorms
should remain south of the Red River, there is a nonzero chance
that they could affect parts of far southeast Oklahoma.

Additional elevated thunderstorms could develop overnight as a low
level jet increases across far eastern Oklahoma and western
Arkansas.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Local Spotter Activation May Be Needed.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.
TUESDAY...Severe Thundertorm Potential...High Wind Potential...
          Very High Fire Danger Potential.
WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...No Hazards.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
Severe thunderstorms continue to appear likely Tuesday afternoon
and into Tuesday night.

Thunderstorms may develop during the afternoon hours across far
eastern Oklahoma and western Arkansas. The afternoon thunderstorm
development is the most uncertain of the two rounds of
thunderstorms that are possible Tuesday and Tuesday night. If the
afternoon storms materialize, these will likely be supercellular,
with a large hail, damaging wind, and isolated tornado threat.

Late Tuesday evening and into early Wednesday morning,
thunderstorms are likely to develop across eastern Oklahoma along
a cold front and move into western Arkansas. Damaging winds will
be the primary severe weather threat, but there will also be a low
chance of isolated, short-lived tornadoes with stronger cells
within the expected squall line.

In addition to the severe thunderstorm threats on Tuesday, an
elevated risk of rapid fire spread will exist during the afternoon
hours, especially across parts of northeast Oklahoma. Southerly
winds will gust in the 25 to 35 mph range in conjunction with
near record temperatures and continued very dry fuels.

weather.gov/tulsa Contains additional information.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Lubbock TX
456 AM CST Mon Feb 27 2017

TXZ021>044-281100-
Parmer-Castro-Swisher-Briscoe-Hall-Childress-Bailey-Lamb-Hale-
Floyd-Motley-Cottle-Cochran-Hockley-Lubbock-Crosby-Dickens-King-
Yoakum-Terry-Lynn-Garza-Kent-Stonewall-
456 AM CST Mon Feb 27 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the South Plains...Rolling
Plains and the far Southern Texas Panhandle.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Warm, dry and breezy southwesterly winds will result in a period of
elevated to briefly critical fire weather for the entire South
Plains region this afternoon. A Fire Danger Statement is in effect
from midday until 7 pm.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday
A high wind watch has been issued for most of the area west of the
eastern Rolling Plains on Tuesday for sustained winds of 35 to 45
mph with gusts to near 60 mph. The fire danger is expected to
become critical Tuesday and a Fire Weather Watch also is in
effect. Areas of blowing dust may also develop Tuesday afternoon.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
304 AM CST Mon Feb 27 2017

KSZ030-031-043>046-061>066-074>081-084>090-280915-
Trego-Ellis-Scott-Lane-Ness-Rush-Hamilton-Kearny-Finney-Hodgeman-
Pawnee-Stafford-Stanton-Grant-Haskell-Gray-Ford-Edwards-Kiowa-
Pratt-Morton-Stevens-Seward-Meade-Clark-Comanche-Barber-
304 AM CST Mon Feb 27 2017 /204 AM MST Mon Feb 27 2017/

...Red flag warning is in effect for far southwestern Kansas for
this afternoon...

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central...south
central...southwest and west central Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Day 1 Discussion
----------------
Dry and breezy conditions can be expected today with conditions
favorable for wildfires, especially across far southwestern Kansas.
Higher winds are expected to develop after 1 pm with frequent
gusts from 25 to 30 mph.

Day 1 Hazards
-------------
* Fire weather: Significant risk

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

Days 2-7 Discussion
-------------------

Continued dry and occasionally breezy weather will lead
to elevated to significant fire weather risk each day.

Days 2-7 Hazards
----------------
* Tuesday
  - Fire weather: Elevated risk

* Wednesday
  - Fire weather: Elevated risk

* Thursday
  - Fire weather: Elevated risk

* Friday
  - Fire weather: Significant risk

* Saturday
  - Fire weather: Elevated risk

* Sunday
  - Fire weather: Significant risk

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight.

&&

For more details visit our webpage http://weather.gov/ddc/ehwo

$$

U.S. Dept. of Commerce
NOAA National Weather Service
1325 East West Highway
Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: June 2, 2009
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