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Hazardous Weather Outlook


Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Wichita KS
627 AM CDT Mon Apr 24 2017

KSZ032-033-047>053-067>072-082-083-091>096-098>100-251130-
Russell-Lincoln-Barton-Ellsworth-Saline-Rice-McPherson-Marion-Chase-
Reno-Harvey-Butler-Greenwood-Woodson-Allen-Kingman-Sedgwick-Harper-
Sumner-Cowley-Elk-Wilson-Neosho-Chautauqua-Montgomery-Labette-
627 AM CDT Mon Apr 24 2017

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of Central Kansas,
South Central Kansas and Southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

South winds increasing considerably to 25 to 35 mph with 40 to 45
mph gusts are likely across Central and South Central Kansas today.
Please refer to the Wind Advisory for further details.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday

There is a good chance of thunderstorms Tuesday Night, especially
for areas southeast of the Turnpike in the evening where they may
be strong or severe. The greatest severe thunderstorm threat would
occur over Southeast Kansas where hail may reach ping pong ball-
sized with 50 to 60 mph winds.

There`ll be several periods of thunderstorms from Thursday Night
thru Saturday Night. While the thunderstorms may produce some hail
and 40 to 50 mph winds, the greatest concern is heavy rain that may
likely cause flooding. The greatest flooding potential should be
from Friday Night thru Saturday Night.

You should monitor forecasts closely, especially from mid-week
onward.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated today or tonight.

&&

For a graphical version of this information, see our webpage at:
http://weather.gov/wichita/hwo/

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook...UPDATED
National Weather Service Springfield MO
611 AM CDT Mon Apr 24 2017

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-251115-
Bourbon-Crawford-Cherokee-Benton-Morgan-Miller-Maries-Vernon-
St. Clair-Hickory-Camden-Pulaski-Phelps-Barton-Cedar-Polk-Dallas-
Laclede-Texas-Dent-Jasper-Dade-Greene-Webster-Wright-Newton-
Lawrence-Christian-Douglas-Howell-Shannon-McDonald-Barry-Stone-
Taney-Ozark-Oregon-
611 AM CDT Mon Apr 24 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of the Missouri
Ozarks and extreme southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Weather hazards expected...

  Limited Non thunderstorm wind risk.
  Limited Fog risk.

DISCUSSION...

  Patchy fog can be expected early this morning around area
  lakes as well as in creek and river valleys.

  Southerly winds will gust to around 30 mph this afternoon
  across southeastern Kansas and west-central Missouri.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

  Even stronger southerly winds are expected for Tuesday across
  the outlook area with gusts from 30 to 40 mph.

  Strong to severe thunderstorms are expected to develop Tuesday
  evening from eastern Kansas into northeastern Oklahoma. These
  storms will likely develop into a line and track into western
  Missouri from late Tuesday evening into early Wednesday
  morning. Damaging wind gusts will be the primary potential
  severe weather hazard. A few storms may also produce hail up
  to the size of half dollars.

  The threat for severe storms will then continue into Wednesday
  mainly along and east of the U.S. 65 corridor. Damaging wind
  gusts will again be the primary potential severe weather
  hazard.

  There will also be a limited threat for flooding from later
  Tuesday night into Wednesday as creeks, streams, and rivers
  remain high across the region.

  Confidence then continues to increase in the potential for
  widespread heavy rainfall from later Friday into next weekend.
  With soils nearly saturated, excessive runoff will be likely
  and will lead to an increasing risk for flooding.

  Additionally, there will be at least a limited risk for strong
  to severe thunderstorms from Friday into Sunday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

  Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight.

&&

More detailed information can be accessed at:
http://www.weather.gov/sgf/sitrep

This product in graphical format...along with other weather...
hydrological and climate information...at
http://www.weather.gov/sgf

$$

Schaumann

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
429 AM CDT Mon Apr 24 2017

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-251000-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
429 AM CDT Mon Apr 24 2017

...MULTIPLE ROUNDS OF SEVERE WEATHER LIKELY THIS WEEK INCLUDING
   THE POTENTIAL FOR FLASH FLOODING FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY...

This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

SIGNIFICANT WINDS.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Northeast Oklahoma.
    ONSET...Late morning through the afternoon hours

DISCUSSION...
Strong and gusty south winds will begin to increase today ahead
of an upper level storm system, which will move into the Four
Corners region on Tuesday. Winds at 15 to 20 mph with gusts to 30
mph will be likely across northeast Oklahoma through the
afternoon hours.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Spotter Activation Not Expected.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.
TUESDAY...Severe Thunderstorm Potential...High Wind Potential...Heavy
          Rain Potential.
WEDNESDAY...Severe Thunderstorm Potential.
THURSDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.
FRIDAY AND SATURDAY...Severe Thunderstorm...Heavy Rain Potential
           and high wind potential.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...

An active weather pattern will develop this week with
multiple rounds of severe weather, including the potential
for heavy rain and flash flooding.

A strong cap will remain in place for much of the day Tuesday,
suppressing thunderstorm development until early evening as the
cap finally begins to weaken. Scattered strong to severe thunderstorms
will develop as a cold front moves into northeast Oklahoma. Any
storms that develop will have the potential to be supercells with
large hail and damaging winds the main threats. Tornado potential
is expected to be limited. The severe threat will continue into
the day Wednesday across southeast Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas
before the convective line sweeps east of the area.

A stronger storm system is expected to move into the Four Corners
region by late week, with the threat for more widespread and significant
severe weather Friday and Saturday. A few elevated storms will be
possible as early as late Thursday night and into Friday morning
as a warm front begins to lift north. Multiple rounds of severe
weather will be possible Friday and Saturday before a Pacific front
moves through Sunday morning. Large hail and damaging winds will
be likely, especially on Friday, including the threat for
tornadoes. In addition, locally heavy rainfall is expected which
could lead to flash flooding and additional rises on area rivers.

EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PLANNING STATEMENT...
Continue to monitor future forecasts and outlooks, especially
concerning the Friday and Saturday severe weather and flooding
potential. Overall timing and specific severe weather threats
will continue to be refined.

weather.gov/tulsa Contains additional information.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Lubbock TX
411 AM CDT Mon Apr 24 2017

TXZ021>044-250915-
Parmer-Castro-Swisher-Briscoe-Hall-Childress-Bailey-Lamb-Hale-
Floyd-Motley-Cottle-Cochran-Hockley-Lubbock-Crosby-Dickens-King-
Yoakum-Terry-Lynn-Garza-Kent-Stonewall-
411 AM CDT Mon Apr 24 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the South Plains...Rolling
Plains and the far Southern Texas Panhandle.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight
A rangeland fire danger statement is in effect for the South
Plains, and parts of the extreme southern Panhandle west of
Silverton this afternoon.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday
A risk of elevated to critical fire weather conditions exists for
Tuesday afternoon mainly west of the Interstate 27 corridor.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation will not be required this afternoon or
tonight.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
408 AM CDT Mon Apr 24 2017

KSZ030-031-043>046-061>066-074>081-084>090-250915-
Trego-Ellis-Scott-Lane-Ness-Rush-Hamilton-Kearny-Finney-Hodgeman-
Pawnee-Stafford-Stanton-Grant-Haskell-Gray-Ford-Edwards-Kiowa-
Pratt-Morton-Stevens-Seward-Meade-Clark-Comanche-Barber-
408 AM CDT Mon Apr 24 2017 /308 AM MDT Mon Apr 24 2017/

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central...south
central...southwest and west central Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Day 1 Discussion
----------------

Gusty south to southwest winds and low relative humidity will
create elevated fire weather conditions across central and
portions of southwest Kansas this afternoon.

Day 1 Hazards
-------------
* Non-thunderstorm wind: Elevated risk
* Fire weather: Elevated risk

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

Days 2-7 Discussion
-------------------

Showers and a few isolated thunderstorms will be possible late
Tuesday afternoon into Tuesday night. Severe weather is not
expected.

Days 2-7 Hazards
----------------
* Tuesday
  - Lightning: Limited risk
  - Non thunderstorm wind: Limited risk
  - Fire weather: Limited risk

* Wednesday
  - Non thunderstorm wind: Limited risk
  - Fire weather: Limited risk

* Thursday
  - Lightning: Limited risk

* Friday
  - Lightning: Limited risk

* Saturday
  - Lightning: Limited risk
  - Freeze: Elevated risk

* Sunday
  - Freeze: Elevated risk

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight.

&&

For more details visit our webpage http://weather.gov/ddc/ehwo

$$

32

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
359 AM CDT Mon Apr 24 2017

OKZ001>003-TXZ001>020-242300-
Cimarron-Texas-Beaver-Dallam-Sherman-Hansford-Ochiltree-Lipscomb-
Hartley-Moore-Hutchinson-Roberts-Hemphill-Oldham-Potter-Carson-
Gray-Wheeler-Deaf Smith-Randall-Armstrong-Donley-Collingsworth-
359 AM CDT Mon Apr 24 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Texas and Oklahoma
Panhandles.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Elevated fire weather conditions are possible today across the
central and western combined Panhandles.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

Elevated fire weather conditions are possible across the southern
TX Panhandle. Thunderstorms will be possible Tuesday afternoon
through Saturday, with northern sections having the higher chances
for rain. At this time, the risk for organized severe weather
appears to be low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated at this time.

Area fire managers and emergency officials should be alert for
possible elevated fire weather conditions today and tomorrow.

$$

U.S. Dept. of Commerce
NOAA National Weather Service
1325 East West Highway
Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: June 2, 2009
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