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Hazardous Weather Outlook


Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Norman OK
1135 AM CST Sat Feb 17 2018

OKZ004>048-050>052-TXZ083>090-181130-
Harper-Woods-Alfalfa-Grant-Kay-Ellis-Woodward-Major-Garfield-
Noble-Roger Mills-Dewey-Custer-Blaine-Kingfisher-Logan-Payne-
Beckham-Washita-Caddo-Canadian-Oklahoma-Lincoln-Grady-McClain-
Cleveland-Pottawatomie-Seminole-Hughes-Harmon-Greer-Kiowa-Jackson-
Tillman-Comanche-Stephens-Garvin-Murray-Pontotoc-Coal-Cotton-
Jefferson-Carter-Johnston-Atoka-Love-Marshall-Bryan-Hardeman-
Foard-Wilbarger-Wichita-Knox-Baylor-Archer-Clay-
1135 AM CST Sat Feb 17 2018

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of northern...
western...central...and southern Oklahoma...and western north
Texas.

.DAY ONE...Through Tonight...

.Fire Weather...
Elevated to near critical fire weather conditions are expected
across far northwest Oklahoma this afternoon.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday...

.Fire Weather...
Elevated to near critical fire weather conditions are possible
Sunday afternoon across northwest Oklahoma and again Monday
afternoon across a broader area of western Oklahoma and western
north Texas.

.Thunderstorms...
There is a chance of thunderstorms Sunday night through Tuesday
across portions of the area. A few strong to severe storms will
be possible across southern and central Oklahoma, with a threat
of damaging winds and hail.

Get graphics and more details at weather.gov/norman...and follow
our weather forecast office on Twitter and Facebook.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
504 PM CST Sat Feb 17 2018

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-181145-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
504 PM CST Sat Feb 17 2018

This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Spotter Activation Not Expected.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.
SUNDAY and MONDAY...Thunderstorm Potential...Very High Fire Weather
Potential...High Wind Potential.
TUESDAY...Thunderstorm Potential...Winter Weather Potential...Very
High Fire Weather Potential.
WEDNESDAY...Winter Weather Potential.
THURSDAY and FRIDAY...No Hazards.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
An active weather pattern is forecast beginning late this weekend.
Gusty south winds will develop Sunday into Monday ahead of a cold
front. This will result in increasing fire weather concerns Sunday,
and eventually begin to increase low level moisture across the area.
Shower and thunderstorm chances return Sunday night and continue into
Tuesday, with the best chances being Monday night and Tuesday when
locally heavy rainfall and some strong to marginally severe
thunderstorms are possible as the cold front moves through the
region. Freezing temperatures are expected to build into the northern
portion of the region late Tuesday night with temperatures expected
to remain below freezing across much of the area on Wednesday.
Another weak upper level disturbance moving into the area late
Tuesday night and Wednesday will spread light precipitation back into
the area. At this time, it appears light freezing rain will occur
generally north of a line from Fayetteville to McAlester. A warming
trend will begin on Thursday, so this winter weather event will be
short-lived.

weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information.

$$

69

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
359 PM CST Sat Feb 17 2018

KSZ030-031-043>046-061>066-074>081-084>090-182200-
Trego-Ellis-Scott-Lane-Ness-Rush-Hamilton-Kearny-Finney-Hodgeman-
Pawnee-Stafford-Stanton-Grant-Haskell-Gray-Ford-Edwards-Kiowa-
Pratt-Morton-Stevens-Seward-Meade-Clark-Comanche-Barber-
359 PM CST Sat Feb 17 2018 /259 PM MST Sat Feb 17 2018/

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central...south
central...southwest and west central Kansas.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Day 1 Discussion
----------------

Winds will diminish quickly late this afternoon, and fire control
will become easier. No hazardous weather is expected tonight.

Day 1 Hazards
-------------
* Non-thunderstorm wind: Limited risk
* Fire weather: Elevated risk

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Days 2-7 Discussion
-------------------

Strong south-southwest winds gusting to near 50 mph and low
relative humidities will create critical fire weather conditions
Sunday afternoon into early Sunday evening. Fuels are extremely
dry and susceptible to rapid combustion. Outdoor burning should
not be attempted Sunday.

Gusty southwest winds and low relative humidity will produce
elevated fire weather conditions near the Oklahoma border in
advance of a cold front Monday morning. Outdoor burning is
discouraged.

There is a chance for light precipitation Thursday night and
Friday in south central Kansas. If any precipitation falls
Thursday night, it could fall as freezing drizzle. Any
precipitation that falls in freezing form will be extremely light.

Days 2-7 Hazards
----------------
* Sunday
  - Non thunderstorm wind: Elevated risk
  - Fire weather: Significant risk

* Monday
  - Excessive cold: Limited risk
  - Non thunderstorm wind: Limited risk
  - Ice accumulation: Limited risk
  - Fire weather: Elevated risk

* Tuesday
  - Excessive cold: Limited risk
  - Non thunderstorm wind: Limited risk

* Wednesday
  - Excessive cold: Limited risk

* Thursday
  - Ice accumulation: Limited risk

* Friday
  - Ice accumulation: Limited risk

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight.

&&

For more details visit our webpage http://weather.gov/ddc/ehwo

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
1201 PM CST Sat Feb 17 2018

ARZ050-051-059>061-070>073-LAZ001>006-010>014-017>022-OKZ077-
TXZ096-097-108>112-124>126-136>138-149>153-165>167-181815-
Sevier-Howard-Little River-Hempstead-Nevada-Miller-Lafayette-
Columbia-Union-Caddo-Bossier-Webster-Claiborne-Lincoln-De Soto-
Red River-Bienville-Jackson-Ouachita-Sabine-Natchitoches-Winn-
Grant-Caldwell-La Salle-McCurtain-Bowie-Franklin-Titus-Camp-
Morris-Cass-Wood-Upshur-Marion-Smith-Gregg-Harrison-Cherokee-Rusk-
Panola-Nacogdoches-Shelby-Angelina-San Augustine-
1201 PM CST Sat Feb 17 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of south central
Arkansas, southwest Arkansas, north central Louisiana, northwest
Louisiana, southeast Oklahoma, east Texas and northeast Texas.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight...

Showers will continue to weaken south of the I-30 corridor this
afternoon, and thunderstorm activity has completely dissipated.
Therefore, no hazardous weather is expected.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday...

Persistent southwest flow will remain over the region and keep us
in an unsettled weather pattern well into the upcoming week as a
warm front returns with milder air on Monday. Rainfall may become
heavy by Tuesday and Wednesday as a cold front becomes a focus for
thunderstorm activity across the area. Later in the week, showers
and isolated thunderstorms will remain possible. However, no
organized threat of hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Activation of emergency management personnel, amateur radio
operators and storm spotters will not be needed through tonight.

$$

19

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Wichita KS
637 AM CST Sat Feb 17 2018

KSZ032-033-047>053-067>072-082-083-091>096-098>100-181245-
Russell-Lincoln-Barton-Ellsworth-Saline-Rice-McPherson-Marion-Chase-
Reno-Harvey-Butler-Greenwood-Woodson-Allen-Kingman-Sedgwick-Harper-
Sumner-Cowley-Elk-Wilson-Neosho-Chautauqua-Montgomery-Labette-
637 AM CST Sat Feb 17 2018

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of Central Kansas,
South Central Kansas and Southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Very high grassland fire danger is forecast over most areas this
afternoon.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday

Extreme grassland fire danger is forecast across much of central
Kansas and Reno County Sunday afternoon, due in part to sustained
winds over 30 mph. Very high grassland fire danger is forecast over
the rest of the region. Outdoor burning is strongly discouraged
Sunday afternoon!

A few thunderstorms are possible for areas primarily east of I-35
from late Sunday night through Monday night. The best chances for
thunderstorms are across southeast Kansas Monday afternoon. A few
of these storms may produce small hail and winds up to 50 mph.

There is a chance for light freezing rain over parts of central
Kansas late Monday night and early Tuesday morning. Rain may mix
with snow across the Flint Hills Tuesday afternoon. Light snow
is forecast to spread across southeast Kansas Tuesday evening and
redevelop again Wednesday morning. Minimal accumulation is
anticipated.

Wind chills from zero to 4 below zero are possible over much of
central Kansas early Wednesday morning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated today or tonight.

&&

For a graphical version of this information, see our webpage at:
http://weather.gov/wichita/hwo/

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Springfield MO
238 AM CST Sat Feb 17 2018

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-180845-
Bourbon-Crawford-Cherokee-Benton-Morgan-Miller-Maries-Vernon-
St. Clair-Hickory-Camden-Pulaski-Phelps-Barton-Cedar-Polk-Dallas-
Laclede-Texas-Dent-Jasper-Dade-Greene-Webster-Wright-Newton-
Lawrence-Christian-Douglas-Howell-Shannon-McDonald-Barry-Stone-
Taney-Ozark-Oregon-
238 AM CST Sat Feb 17 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central
Missouri...southeast Kansas...southwest Missouri...south central
Missouri...west central Missouri and east central Missouri.

.DAY ONE...Early this Morning through Tonight.

Weather hazards expected...

  Limited snow risk.

DISCUSSION...

A brief period of light snow is expected this morning mainly
across central Missouri. The snow will change over to rain as
warmer temperatures spread into the area. Minor snow
accumulations will be possible, but due to temperatures around
freezing and warm ground, no significant impacts are expected.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

An elevated fire weather risk will occur Sunday. Wind gusts up to
30 mph will be possible.

A few thunderstorms will then be possible late Sunday night
through Tuesday. Locally heavy rainfall of several inches may be
possible next week.

As colder air filters into the region a wintry mix is possible
Tuesday night and Wednesday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

  Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight.

&&

More detailed information can be accessed at:
http://www.weather.gov/sgf/sitrep

This product in graphical format...along with other weather...
hydrological and climate information...at
http://www.weather.gov/sgf

$$

Wise

U.S. Dept. of Commerce
NOAA National Weather Service
1325 East West Highway
Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: June 2, 2009
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