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Hazardous Weather Outlook


Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Springfield MO
827 PM CDT Sun Jun 15 2025

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-170130-
Bourbon-Crawford-Cherokee-Benton-Morgan-Miller-Maries-Vernon-
St. Clair-Hickory-Camden-Pulaski-Phelps-Barton-Cedar-Polk-Dallas-
Laclede-Texas-Dent-Jasper-Dade-Greene-Webster-Wright-Newton-
Lawrence-Christian-Douglas-Howell-Shannon-McDonald-Barry-Stone-
Taney-Ozark-Oregon-
827 PM CDT Sun Jun 15 2025

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of the Missouri
Ozarks and extreme southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Weather hazards expected...

  Limited lightning risk.
  Elevated excessive rainfall risk

DISCUSSION...

Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms will remain possible
late this evening into the overnight hours mainly along and
southeast of Interstate 44. Lightning and localized heavy
rainfall will be the risk with any storms through tonight.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

A chance of thunderstorms exists Monday across the eastern
Ozarks. Gusty winds, nuisance flooding, and lightning are the
main hazards.

Severe thunderstorms are possible late Tuesday night with
damaging winds and large hail as the main hazards. A greater
severe risk for much of the area is then possible Wednesday. There
are still some uncertainties in storm mode, but all hazards could
be possible.

Heat index values may approach 100 degrees by the middle of next
week.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

  Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight.

&&

More detailed information can be accessed at:
http://www.weather.gov/sgf/dsspacket

This product in graphical format...along with other weather...
hydrological and climate information...at
http://www.weather.gov/sgf

$$

Wise

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Wichita KS
448 PM CDT Sun Jun 15 2025

KSZ032-033-047>053-067>072-082-083-091>096-098>100-162000-
Russell-Lincoln-Barton-Ellsworth-Saline-Rice-McPherson-Marion-Chase-
Reno-Harvey-Butler-Greenwood-Woodson-Allen-Kingman-Sedgwick-Harper-
Sumner-Cowley-Elk-Wilson-Neosho-Chautauqua-Montgomery-Labette-
448 PM CDT Sun Jun 15 2025

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of Central Kansas,
South Central Kansas and Southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Tonight

A slight chance exists for thunderstorms late tonight, especially in
central Kansas west of I-135. Severe storms are not expected with
this activity.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday

Chances for showers and storms will return Monday night into
Tuesday morning, especially across portions of central and northern
Kansas.

Better chances for widespread storms are expected Tuesday afternoon
into Wednesday morning. The strongest storms will be capable of
large hail and damaging winds.

Heat indices Tuesday afternoon are expected to approach 100 degrees
across portions of south central Kansas.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated this afternoon or tonight.

&&

For a graphical version of this information, see our webpage at:
https://www.weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=ict

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
448 PM CDT Sun Jun 15 2025

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-161030-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
448 PM CDT Sun Jun 15 2025

This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Far Southeast Oklahoma and portions of west-central Arkansas.
    ONSET...Ongoing.

HEAVY RAIN.
    RISK...Limited.
    AREA...Western Arkansas.
    ONSET...Ongoing.

POOR VISIBILITY.
RISK...Limited.
    AREA...Northeast Oklahoma and Northwest Arkansas.
    ONSET...Early Monday morning.

DISCUSSION...
Isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms will continue to
develop along the periphery of an upper level low over northeast
Oklahoma. Marginal wind shear along with moderate instability
within an axis from Carroll county to LeFlore county will support
some strong to marginally severe storms through the evening. Large
hail near quarter size and strong wind gusts up to 60 mph will be
possible with strongest activity.

Moist ground from recent rainfall and clearing skies overnight
will aid in the development of fog across portions of northeast
Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas. Visibility at times will drop
below 1/2 mile especially in valleys and low spots.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Local Spotter Activation is not expected.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.
MONDAY...No Hazards.
TUESDAY...Thunderstorm Potential...Dangerous Heat Potential.
WEDNESDAY and THURSDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.
FRIDAY and SATURDAY...No Hazards.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
Daytime temperatures will warm into the lower 90s on Tuesday. The
combination of warm temperatures and high humidity will create
early season, dangerous heat conditions with heat index values in
the 100 to 105 degree range. Pop-up storms will also be possible
in the summertime airmass Tuesday afternoon. A storm system will
pass across the central Plains on Wednesday and push a weak
frontal boundary into the area. Storms are expected to focus along
the boundary Wednesday afternoon and evening and bring the threat
of large hail an damaging winds.

weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
218 PM CDT Sun Jun 15 2025

OKZ001>003-TXZ001>020-317-160900-
Cimarron-Texas-Beaver-Dallam-Sherman-Hansford-Ochiltree-Lipscomb-
Hartley-Moore-Hutchinson-Roberts-Hemphill-Oldham-Potter-Carson-
Gray-Wheeler-Deaf Smith-Randall-Armstrong-Donley-Collingsworth-
Palo Duro Canyon-
218 PM CDT Sun Jun 15 2025

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Texas and Oklahoma
Panhandles.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.

Showers and thunderstorms will be possible this evening across
portions of the Panhandles. A few storms may become strong to
severe with the primary hazards being damaging winds and large
hail.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Thunderstorms will be possible across the northern combined
Panhandles Tuesday night. The probability for severe thunderstorms
is low at this time.

Hot temperatures are expected on Monday and Tuesday, and a few
areas such as Palo Duro Canyon may need a Heat Advisory due to
temperatures approaching 105 degrees.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated at this time.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Lubbock TX
127 PM CDT Sun Jun 15 2025

TXZ021>044-161830-
Parmer-Castro-Swisher-Briscoe-Hall-Childress-Bailey-Lamb-Hale-Floyd-
Motley-Cottle-Cochran-Hockley-Lubbock-Crosby-Dickens-King-Yoakum-
Terry-Lynn-Garza-Kent-Stonewall-
127 PM CDT Sun Jun 15 2025

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the South Plains, Rolling
Plains, and the far Southern Texas Panhandle.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

There is a conditional threat tonight for severe weather as there
are indications of a thunderstorm complex moving out of eastern New
Mexico into Texas. A few storms could be strong with wind gusts up
to 60 mph and hail up to the size of quarters.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Unseasonably hot conditions are expected on Monday and Tuesday, with
temperatures potentially reaching heat advisory criteria on Tuesday.

There is a low chance of thunderstorms in the Rolling Plains late
Tuesday and Wednesday afternoons.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
353 AM CDT Sun Jun 15 2025

KSZ030-031-043>046-061>066-074>081-084>090-160900-
Trego-Ellis-Scott-Lane-Ness-Rush-Hamilton-Kearny-Finney-Hodgeman-
Pawnee-Stafford-Stanton-Grant-Haskell-Gray-Ford-Edwards-Kiowa-
Pratt-Morton-Stevens-Seward-Meade-Clark-Comanche-Barber-
353 AM CDT Sun Jun 15 2025 /253 AM MDT Sun Jun 15 2025/

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central Kansas,
south central Kansas, southwest Kansas, and west central Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Marginally severe storms are possible later this evening, but
tremendous unvertainty remains on if/where these storms can
develop.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday

Both Monday and Tuesday night have more chances for storm
development. Again uncertainty makes it possible to determine
specifics this far out, but favorable conditions are expected for
severe storms.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected, but severe reports are greatly
appreciated when possible.

$$

U.S. Dept. of Commerce
NOAA National Weather Service
1325 East West Highway
Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: June 2, 2009
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