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HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
1243 PM MDT WED JUL 30 2014

NMZ401>403-408>410-412>417-311845-
UPPER GILA RIVER VALLEY-SOUTHERN GILA HIGHLANDS/BLACK RANGE-
SOUTHERN GILA FOOTHILLS/MIMBRES VALLEY-
EASTERN BLACK RANGE FOOTHILLS-SIERRA COUNTY LAKES-
NORTHERN DONA ANA COUNTY-CENTRAL TULAROSA BASIN-
SOUTHERN TULAROSA BASIN-
WEST SLOPES SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS BELOW 7500 FEET-
SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 7500 FEET-
EAST SLOPES SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS BELOW 7500 FEET-OTERO MESA-
1243 PM MDT WED JUL 30 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NM.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL OCCUR THIS AFTERNOON AND
TONIGHT. SOME OF THE STORMS WILL PRODUCE PERIODS OF MODERATE TO
HEAVY RAINFALL WITH LOCALIZED FLOODING ALONG DRAINAGES AND LOW
WATER CROSSINGS POSSIBLE. THE STORMS MAY ALSO PRODUCE SMALL HAIL
AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH. IN AREAS WHERE HEAVY RAIN HAS ALREADY
FALLEN THERE WILL BE AN INCREASE IN RAIN RUNOFF INTO ARROYOS AND
SMALL STREAMS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING HEAVY
RAINFALL WILL OCCUR THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY. WITH THE GROUND
ALREADY SOAKED FROM PREVIOUS RAINFALLS...THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR
EXCESSIVE RAIN RUNOFF TO CAUSE FLOODING ALONG DRAINAGES...SMALL
STREAMS...ARROYOS AND AT LOW WATER CROSSINGS. POORLY DRAINED LOW
LYING AREAS AND ROADS WILL HAVE INCREASED PONDING OF WATER.
PORTIONS OF GRANT...SIERRA AND OTERO COUNTIES WILL BE UNDER A
FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH AT LEAST SATURDAY MORNING. RAINS OVER
THE NEXT THREE DAYS ARE PROJECTED TO BE BETWEEN AND INCH AND A
HALF TO TWO AND HALF INCHES. DRIER AIR WILL MOVE INTO EASTERN
PORTIONS OF THE AREA BY SUNDAY...WITH HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL LIMITED
TO PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST NEW MEXICO FOR SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS SHOULD REPORT ANY OBSERVED HAZARDOUS WEATHER OR FLOODING
TO THIS OFFICE AND LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT.

$$

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
1243 PM MDT WED JUL 30 2014

NMZ404>407-411-TXZ418>424-311845-
SOUTHWEST DESERT/LOWER GILA RIVER VALLEY-LOWLANDS OF THE BOOTHEEL-
UPLANDS OF THE BOOTHEEL-SOUTHWEST DESERT/MIMBRES BASIN-
SOUTHERN DONA ANA COUNTY/MESILLA VALLEY-WESTERN EL PASO COUNTY-
EASTERN/CENTRAL EL PASO COUNTY-
NORTHERN HUDSPETH HIGHLANDS/HUECO MOUNTAINS-SALT BASIN-
SOUTHERN HUDSPETH HIGHLANDS-
RIO GRANDE VALLEY OF EASTERN EL PASO/WESTERN HUDSPETH COUNTIES-
RIO GRANDE VALLEY OF EASTERN HUDSPETH COUNTY-
1243 PM MDT WED JUL 30 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NM AND TX.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL OCCUR THIS
AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. SOME OF THE STORMS WILL PRODUCE PERIODS OF
MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINFALL WITH LOCALIZED FLOODING ALONG DRAINAGES
AND LOW WATER CROSSINGS POSSIBLE. THE STORMS MAY ALSO PRODUCE
SMALL HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH. IN AREAS WHERE HEAVY RAIN
HAS ALREADY FALLEN THERE WILL BE AN INCREASE IN RAIN RUNOFF INTO
ARROYOS AND SMALL STREAMS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING HEAVY
RAINFALL WILL OCCUR THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY. FOR AREAS WHERE THE
GROUND IS ALREADY SOAKED FROM PREVIOUS RAINFALLS...THERE IS A
POTENTIAL FOR EXCESSIVE RAIN RUNOFF TO CAUSE FLOODING ALONG
DRAINAGES...SMALL STREAMS...ARROYOS AND AT LOW WATER CROSSINGS.
POORLY DRAINED LOW LYING AREAS AND ROADS WILL HAVE INCREASED
PONDING OF WATER. RAINS OVER THE NEXT THREE DAYS ARE PROJECTED TO
BE BETWEEN AND INCH AND A HALF TO TWO AND HALF INCHES. DRIER AIR
WILL MOVE INTO EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE AREA BY SUNDAY...WITH HEAVY
RAIN POTENTIAL LIMITED TO PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST NEW MEXICO FOR
SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS SHOULD REPORT ANY OBSERVED HAZARDOUS WEATHER OR FLOODING
TO THIS OFFICE AND LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT.

$$

LUNDEEN

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
645 AM MDT WED JUL 30 2014

NMZ501>540-311200-
NORTHWEST PLATEAU-CHUSKA MOUNTAINS-FAR NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-
NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-WEST CENTRAL PLATEAU-WEST CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-
WEST CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS-
SAN FRANCISCO RIVER VALLEY-SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS-JEMEZ MOUNTAINS-
WEST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 9500 FEET/RED RIVER-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 9500 FEET-
EAST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-
LOWER CHAMA RIVER VALLEY-SANTA FE METRO AREA-ALBUQUERQUE METRO AREA-
LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-SANDIA/MANZANO MOUNTAINS-ESTANCIA VALLEY-
CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-SOUTH CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-UPPER TULAROSA VALLEY-
SOUTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-RATON RIDGE/JOHNSON MESA-
FAR NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-UNION COUNTY-
HARDING COUNTY-EASTERN SAN MIGUEL COUNTY-GUADALUPE COUNTY-
QUAY COUNTY-CURRY COUNTY-ROOSEVELT COUNTY-DE BACA COUNTY-
CHAVES COUNTY PLAINS-EASTERN LINCOLN COUNTY-SOUTHWEST CHAVES COUNTY-
645 AM MDT WED JUL 30 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH AND CENTRAL
NEW MEXICO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

ANOTHER BACKDOOR COLD FRONT WILL PUSH INTO NORTHEAST NEW MEXICO
TODAY...PRESSING SOUTH AND WESTWARD TONIGHT. THIS FRONT WILL FOCUS
THE MOST NUMEROUS SLOW-MOVING THUNDERSTORMS OVER NORTH CENTRAL AND
NORTHEAST PORTIONS OF THE STATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
ELSEWHERE...OVERALL COVERAGE WILL TREND DOWNWARD AS COMPARED TO
RECENT DAYS. HOWEVER...THIS LULL WILL BE SHORT-LIVED AS THE
INCOMING FRONTAL BOUNDARY BOOSTS MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY FIELDS
GOING INTO THURSDAY. GUSTY EAST CANYON WINDS WILL BE COMMON ALONG
THE RIO GRANDE VALLEY AND BELOW FAVORED GAPS OF THE CENTRAL
MOUNTAIN CHAIN TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO RAMP UP DURING
THE THURSDAY THROUGH LATE FRIDAY PERIOD...WHICH WILL BE AMONG THE
MOST ACTIVE STRETCH THIS WEEK. STORM MOTIONS WILL BE SLOW AND
GENERALLY TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST AND RAINFALL WILL ONCE AGAIN BECOME
HEAVY IN AREAS. THIS MAY LEAD TO LOCALIZED AREAS OF FLASH FLOODING...
ESPECIALLY OVER AND NEAR RECENT AND OLDER BURN SCARS. ISOLATED
LOCATIONS MAY RECEIVE UP TO 2 INCHES OF RAINFALL. A FEW STORMS MAY
ALSO PRODUCE SMALL HAIL AND WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT RAINFALL AMOUNTS AND ANY FLOODING
THROUGH THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE WEB SITE AT
WEATHER.GOV/ABQ OR BY CALLING 1.888.386.7637.

$$

41

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SALT LAKE CITY UT
620 AM MDT WED JUL 30 2014

UTZ001>016-019>021-517-518-WYZ021-311200-
CACHE VALLEY/UTAH PORTION-NORTHERN WASATCH FRONT-
SALT LAKE AND TOOELE VALLEYS-SOUTHERN WASATCH FRONT-
GREAT SALT LAKE DESERT AND MOUNTAINS-WASATCH MOUNTAIN VALLEYS-
WASATCH MOUNTAINS I-80 NORTH-WASATCH MOUNTAINS SOUTH OF I-80-
WESTERN UINTA MOUNTAINS-WASATCH PLATEAU/BOOK CLIFFS-
WESTERN UINTA BASIN-CASTLE COUNTRY-SAN RAFAEL SWELL-
SANPETE/SEVIER VALLEYS-WEST CENTRAL UTAH-SOUTHWEST UTAH-
UTAHS DIXIE AND ZION NATIONAL PARK-SOUTH CENTRAL UTAH-
GLEN CANYON RECREATION AREA/LAKE POWELL-CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-
SOUTHERN MOUNTAINS-SOUTHWEST WYOMING-
620 AM MDT WED JUL 30 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE WESTERN TWO THIRDS OF
UTAH AND SOUTHWEST WYOMING.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

AN UPPER LEVEL WEATHER DISTURBANCE OVER THE NORTHERN PORTION OF
THE OUTLOOK AREA WILL PRODUCE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS
NORTHERN UTAH AND SOUTHWEST WYOMING AGAIN TODAY. LOCALLY HEAVY AND
INTENSE RAINFALL IS EXPECTED FROM THE STRONGER SHOWERS AND STORMS
THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING. SHOWERS WILL LINGER
ACROSS MAINLY NORTHEAST UTAH AND SOUTHWEST WYOMING LATE TONIGHT.

ACROSS SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL UTAH ISOLATED SHOWERS THIS MORNING
WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE IN AREAL COVERAGE THIS AFTERNOON. A FEW
THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP...WITH THE STRONGER THUNDERSTORMS
GENERATING HEAVY RAIN...ESPECIALLY OVER AND NEAR THE MOUNTAINS.
BURN SCARS EXPOSED TO ANY OF THIS HEAVY RAIN MAY EXPERIENCE
DEBRIS FLOWS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

A NEW WEATHER DISTURBANCE WILL APPROACH THE REGION FROM THE
SOUTHWEST...ARRIVING LATE THURSDAY. NORTHWEST UTAH WILL BE IN
LINE FOR SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THURSDAY AFTERNOON...
WITH PRECIPITATION SPREAD EAST ACROSS THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE
OUTLOOK AREA THURSDAY NIGHT. SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL PERSIST INTO
FRIDAY MORNING...THEN GRADUALLY DECREASE FROM THE WEST LATE IN THE
DAY.

STRONG HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT FOR THE FIRST HALF OF THE UPCOMING
WEEKEND WILL LIMIT ANY SHOWERS AND STORMS TO THE HIGHER TERRAIN
SATURDAY. ANOTHER UPPER LEVEL WEATHER DISTURBANCE MOVING NORTH OUT
OF WESTERN ARIZONA LATE IN THE WEEKEND WILL BRING A RENEWED THREAT
FOR SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR
HEAVY RAIN EARLY NEXT WEEK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

$$

FOR MORE INFORMATION FROM NOAA/S NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE VISIT...
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/SALTLAKECITY/ (ALL LOWER CASE)

FOR INFORMATION ON POTENTIAL ROAD TRAVEL IMPACTS VISIT...
HTTP://WWW.UDOTTRAFFIC.UTAH.GOV/ROADWEATHERFORECAST.ASPX

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
545 AM MDT WED JUL 30 2014

COZ001>014-017>023-UTZ022>025-027>029-311145-
LOWER YAMPA RIVER BASIN-CENTRAL YAMPA RIVER BASIN-
ROAN AND TAVAPUTS PLATEAUS-ELKHEAD AND PARK MOUNTAINS-
UPPER YAMPA RIVER BASIN-GRAND VALLEY-DEBEQUE TO SILT CORRIDOR-
CENTRAL COLORADO RIVER BASIN-GRAND AND BATTLEMENT MESAS-
GORE AND ELK MOUNTAINS/CENTRAL MOUNTAIN VALLEYS-
CENTRAL GUNNISON AND UNCOMPAHGRE RIVER BASIN-
WEST ELK AND SAWATCH MOUNTAINS-FLATTOPS-
UPPER GUNNISON RIVER VALLEY-UNCOMPAHGRE PLATEAU AND DALLAS DIVIDE-
NORTHWEST SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS-SOUTHWEST SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS-
PARADOX VALLEY/LOWER DOLORES RIVER-
FOUR CORNERS/UPPER DOLORES RIVER-ANIMAS RIVER BASIN-
SAN JUAN RIVER BASIN-SOUTHEAST UTAH-EASTERN UINTA MOUNTAINS-
EASTERN UINTA BASIN-TAVAPUTS PLATEAU-ARCHES/GRAND FLAT-
LA SAL AND ABAJO MOUNTAINS-CANYONLANDS/NATURAL BRIDGES-
545 AM MDT WED JUL 30 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EASTERN UTAH AND WESTERN
COLORADO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

EXPECT SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO REDEVELOP THIS MORNING
BECOMING SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS THIS AFTERNOON...ESPECIALLY OVER
HIGHER TERRAIN AND THE NORTH. THE STRONGEST CELLS WILL BE CAPABLE
OF GENERATING LARGE AMOUNTS OF RAINFALL IN A SHORT PERIOD OF TIME.
LOCALIZED FLOODING IS POSSIBLE. IN ADDITION TO HEAVY RAIN...
STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WIND GUSTS FROM 30 TO 40
MPH...SMALL HAIL...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING. SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WILL DIMINISH THIS EVENING...WITH ONLY A FEW
REMAINING OVERNIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

THURSDAY-FRIDAY...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL AGAIN
DEVELOP THURSDAY AFTERNOON. THESE STORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BE AS
WIDESPREAD...AND RAIN IS NOT EXPECTED TO BE AS HEAVY AS DURING THE
EARLY PART OF THE WEEK. A SLIGHT UPTICK IN SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WILL OCCUR ON FRIDAY.

SUNDAY-TUESDAY...THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR ANOTHER MONSOONAL
SURGE LATE THIS WEEKEND AND EARLY NEXT WEEK. AS A RESULT...SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BECOME MORE WIDESPREAD WITH CELLS PRODUCING
HEAVY RAIN MORE PREVALENT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED TODAY OR TONIGHT...HOWEVER
SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO RELAY RAINFALL AMOUNTS OR ANY OBSERVED
FLOODING TO THE GRAND JUNCTION FORECAST OFFICE.

$$

EH/NL

U.S. Dept. of Commerce
NOAA National Weather Service
1325 East West Highway
Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: June 2, 2009
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE: for Safety, for Work, for Fun - FOR LIFE