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Hazardous Weather Outlook


Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
511 AM MDT Mon Aug 21 2017

COZ058>089-093>099-221115-
Western Mosquito Range/East Lake County Above 11000 Ft-
Leadville Vicinity/Lake County Below 11000 Ft-
Eastern Sawatch Mountains above 11000 Ft-
Western Chaffee County Between 9000 and 11000 Ft-
Central Chaffee County Below 9000 Ft-
Western Mosquito Range/East Chaffee County above 9000Ft-
Saguache County West of Continental Divide Below 10000 Ft-
Saguache County East of Continental Divide below 10000 Ft-
La Garita Mountains Above 10000 Ft-
Upper Rio Grande Valley/Eastern San Juan Mountains Below 10000 Ft-
Eastern San Juan Mountains Above 10000 Ft-
Del Norte Vicinity/Northern San Luis Valley Below 8500 Ft-
Alamosa  Vicinity/Central San Luis Valley Below 8500 Ft-
Southern San Luis Valley-
Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Between 8500 And 11000 Ft-
Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains above 11000 Ft-
Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Between 7500 and 11000 Ft-
Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Above 11000 Ft-
Northwestern Fremont County  Above 8500Ft-
Western/Central Fremont County Below 8500 Ft-
Wet Mountain Valley Below 8500 Ft-
Wet Mountains between 6300 and 10000Ft-
Wet Mountains above 10000 Ft-
Teller County/Rampart Range above 7500fT/Pike`s Peak Between
7500 And 11000 Ft-Pikes Peak above 11000 Ft-
Canon City Vicinity/Eastern Fremont County-
Northern El Paso County/Monument Ridge/Rampart Range Below
7500 Ft-
Colorado Springs Vicinity/Southern El Paso County/Rampart Range
Below 7400 Ft-Pueblo Vicinity/Pueblo County Below 6300 Feet-
Walsenburg Vicinity/Upper Huerfano River Basin Below 7500 Ft-
Trinidad Vicinity/Western Las Animas County Below 7500 Ft-
Crowley County-La Junta Vicinity/Otero County-
Eastern Las Animas County-Western Kiowa County-
Eastern Kiowa County-Las Animas Vicinity/Bent County-
Lamar Vicinity/Prowers County-Springfield Vicinity/Baca County-
511 AM MDT Mon Aug 21 2017

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central...east
central...south central and southeast Colorado.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Isolated to scattered thunderstorms will be possible across southern
Colorado this afternoon and evening, with thunderstorms most
numerous and slower moving across the mountains. The main threats
with thunderstorms today will be lightning, locally heavy rainfall,
erratic wind gusts up to 50 mph and some brief small hail. Flash
flooding will be possible should any stronger storms impact some of
the more susceptible burn scars such as Hayden and Junkins.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday

Isolated to scattered thunderstorms will be possible each day,
with thunderstorms most numerous across the mountains each
afternoon and evening. The main threats from thunderstorms will
be lightning, locally heavy rainfall, small hail, and erratic
gusty winds up to 50 mph. Locally heavy rainfall could result in
flash flooding in and near burn scars should these areas be
directly impacted.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather conditions that meet reporting criteria for spotters will be
possible across southern Colorado this afternoon and evening.

$$

31/23

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Denver/Boulder CO
611 AM MDT Mon Aug 21 2017

COZ030>051-221215-
Jackson County Below 9000 Feet-
West Jackson and West Grand Counties Above 9000 Feet-
Grand and Summit Counties Below 9000 Feet-
South and East Jackson/Larimer/North and Northeast Grand/
Northwest Boulder Counties Above 9000 Feet-
South and Southeast Grand/West Central and Southwest Boulder/
Gilpin/Clear Creek/Summit/North and West Park Counties Above
9000 Feet-Larimer and Boulder Counties Between 6000 and 9000 Feet-
Jefferson and West Douglas Counties Above 6000 Feet/Gilpin/Clear
Creek/Northeast Park Counties Below 9000 Feet-
Central and Southeast Park County-
Larimer County Below 6000 Feet/Northwest Weld County-
Boulder And Jefferson Counties Below 6000 Feet/West Broomfield
County-
North Douglas County Below 6000 Feet/Denver/West Adams and
Arapahoe Counties/East Broomfield County-
Elbert/Central and East Douglas Counties Above 6000 Feet-
Northeast Weld County-Central and South Weld County-Morgan County-
Central and East Adams and Arapahoe Counties-
North and Northeast Elbert County Below 6000 Feet/North Lincoln
County-
Southeast Elbert County Below 6000 Feet/South Lincoln County-
Logan County-Washington County-Sedgwick County-Phillips County-
611 AM MDT Mon Aug 21 2017

...DENSE FOG ADVISORY NORTHEAST CORNER OF COLORADO UNTIL 8 AM
MDT...

This hazardous weather outlook is for northeast and north central
Colorado.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Patchy dense fog from Sterling to the north and east along the
I-76 corridor will dissipate between 8 and 9 AM. For this
afternoon, isolated to scattered thunderstorms will develop, with
most of these along and south of the I-70 Corridor. A stronger
storm or two with heavy rain and some hail is possible over the
far eastern plains where more moisture and instability exists.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday

Patchy fog and low stratus will be possible early Tuesday morning
following a cold front. Thunderstorms will increase in coverage
each day Tuesday through Thursday as more subtropical moisture
pushes into the area. Thursday could see locally heavy rainfall
from some of the storms. Friday through Sunday will be drier but
cannot rule out isolated diurnally driven storms, especially over
the higher terrain.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed today or tonight.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service GRAND JUNCTION CO
431 AM MDT Mon Aug 21 2017

COZ001>014-017>023-UTZ022>025-027>029-221045-
Lower Yampa River Basin-Central Yampa River Basin-
Roan and Tavaputs Plateaus-Elkhead and Park Mountains-
Upper Yampa River Basin-Grand Valley-Debeque to Silt Corridor-
Central Colorado River Basin-Grand and Battlement Mesas-
Gore and Elk Mountains/Central Mountain Valleys-
Central Gunnison and Uncompahgre River Basin-
West Elk and Sawatch Mountains-Flat Tops-
Upper Gunnison River Valley-Uncompahgre Plateau and Dallas Divide-
Northwest San Juan Mountains-Southwest San Juan Mountains-
Paradox Valley/Lower Dolores River-
Four Corners/Upper Dolores River-Animas River Basin-
San Juan River Basin-Southeast Utah-Eastern Uinta Mountains-
Eastern Uinta Basin-Tavaputs Plateau-Arches/Grand Flat-
La Sal and Abajo Mountains-Canyonlands/Natural Bridges-
431 AM MDT Mon Aug 21 2017

This hazardous weather outlook is for eastern Utah and western
Colorado.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms are possible over
the mountains today. Outflow winds to 40 mph and lightning will
be the main impacts.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday

Moisture is expected to increase northward toward the Wyoming
border by midweek before drying sets in next weekend.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
329 AM MDT Mon Aug 21 2017

NMZ501>540-220930-
Northwest Plateau-Chuska Mountains-Far Northwest Highlands-
Northwest Highlands-West Central Plateau-West Central Mountains-
West Central Highlands-Southwest Mountains-
San Francisco River Valley-San Juan Mountains-Jemez Mountains-
West Slopes Sangre de Cristo Mountains-
Northern Sangre de Cristos above 9500 feet/Red River-
Southern Sangre de Cristos above 9500 feet-
East Slopes Sangre de Cristo Mountains-Upper Rio Grande Valley-
Lower Chama River Valley-Santa Fe Metro Area-
Middle Rio Grande Valley/Albuquerque Metro Area-
Lower Rio Grande Valley-Sandia/Manzano Mountains-Estancia Valley-
Central Highlands-South Central Highlands-Upper Tularosa Valley-
South Central Mountains-Raton Ridge/Johnson Mesa-
Far Northeast Highlands-Northeast Highlands-Union County-
Harding County-Eastern San Miguel County-Guadalupe County-
Quay County-Curry County-Roosevelt County-De Baca County-
Chaves County Plains-Eastern Lincoln County-Southwest Chaves County-
329 AM MDT Mon Aug 21 2017

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of north and central
New Mexico.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

A few thunderstorms this morning will produce locally heavy rainfall
over portions of east-central and southeast New Mexico. Of
particular concern will be areas along and east of the Pecos River in
Chaves County, as well as Roosevelt and Curry counties where
additional rainfall totals of one half to one inch will be possible
before midday. Going into the afternoon, isolated to scattered
thunderstorms can be expected areawide with the potential for a few
strong storms capable of hail and heavy rain across the southeast
quarter.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday

A backdoor cold front will likely boost storm coverage across much
of eastern New Mexico Tuesday and especially Tuesday night where
locally heavy rainfall can be expected. Thereafter, an active
monsoon period is then expected Wednesday into Thursday, and possibly
Friday before a drying trend develops this weekend.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotters are encouraged to report heavy rainfall and flooding through
the National Weather Service Albuquerque web site at weather.gov/abq
or by calling 1.888.386.7637. You can also submit storm reports and
photos on our Facebook page or via Twitter using the hashtag nmwx.

$$

41

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Goodland KS
315 AM MDT Mon Aug 21 2017

COZ090>092-KSZ001>004-013>016-027>029-041-042-NEZ079>081-221200-
Yuma County-Kit Carson County-Cheyenne County-Cheyenne-Rawlins-
Decatur-Norton-Sherman-Thomas-Sheridan-Graham-Wallace-Logan-Gove-
Greeley-Wichita-Dundy-Hitchcock-Red Willow-
315 AM MDT Mon Aug 21 2017 /415 AM CDT Mon Aug 21 2017/

This hazardous weather outlook is for east central Colorado...
extreme southwest Nebraska and northwest Kansas.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...

Strong to possibly severe thunderstorms are expected by mid to late
afternoon along a cold front extending from near McCook Nebraska to
Goodland Kansas and Kit Carson Colorado. Hail below one inch in
diameter and wind gusts to 55 mph will be the primary threats. The
threat for thunderstorms will end by mid to late evening.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
410 AM CDT Mon Aug 21 2017

OKZ001>003-TXZ001>020-212100-
Cimarron-Texas-Beaver-Dallam-Sherman-Hansford-Ochiltree-Lipscomb-
Hartley-Moore-Hutchinson-Roberts-Hemphill-Oldham-Potter-Carson-
Gray-Wheeler-Deaf Smith-Randall-Armstrong-Donley-Collingsworth-
410 AM CDT Mon Aug 21 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Texas and Oklahoma
Panhandles.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Scattered thunderstorms will be possible across the Texas and
Oklahoma Panhandles today through tonight. A few storms that
develop may become strong, with gusty winds and small hail the
primary hazards. In addition, heavy rainfall may accompany
thunderstorms, which could result in localized flooding.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

Thunderstorms will be possible across portions of the Texas and
Oklahoma Panhandles Tuesday through Saturday. A few storms that
develop may become strong to severe mainly towards the end of the
week, with strong wind gusts and hail the primary hazards. In
addition, heavy rainfall may accompany thunderstorms, which could
result in localized flooding or flash flooding.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated at this time.

$$

Schneider

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
323 AM CDT Mon Aug 21 2017

KSZ030-031-043>046-061>066-074>081-084>090-220830-
Trego-Ellis-Scott-Lane-Ness-Rush-Hamilton-Kearny-Finney-Hodgeman-
Pawnee-Stafford-Stanton-Grant-Haskell-Gray-Ford-Edwards-Kiowa-
Pratt-Morton-Stevens-Seward-Meade-Clark-Comanche-Barber-
323 AM CDT Mon Aug 21 2017 /223 AM MDT Mon Aug 21 2017/

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central...south
central...southwest and west central Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Day 1 Discussion
----------------
Numerous showers and thunderstorms are forecast this afternoon
and tonight. At this time, the severe weather potential is
quite low given absence of appreciable wind shear and instability.
Thunderstorm activity should redevelop along a cold front
late tonight with storms likely continuing through daybreak Tuesday
into south central Kansas.

Day 1 Hazards
-------------
* Lightning: Elevated risk
* Excessive heat: Limited risk

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

Days 2-7 Discussion
-------------------
A break in precipitation chances is forecast Tuesday afternoon
through Thursday Night as high pressure moves in at the surface,
but thunderstorms are again in the forecast beginning Friday.
Severe weather risk Friday and beyond are still uncertain at this
time.

Days 2-7 Hazards
----------------
* Tuesday
  - Flooding: Limited risk
  - Lightning: Limited risk

* Wednesday
  No hazards.

* Thursday
  - Lightning: Limited risk

* Friday
  - Lightning: Elevated risk

* Saturday
  - Lightning: Elevated risk

* Sunday
  - Lightning: Limited risk

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight.

&&

For more details visit our webpage http://weather.gov/ddc/ehwo

$$

U.S. Dept. of Commerce
NOAA National Weather Service
1325 East West Highway
Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: June 2, 2009
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