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Flood Warning


Flood Statement
National Weather Service Springfield MO
240 PM CDT Mon Apr 24 2017

 ...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in
Missouri...

  Little Osage River near Horton affecting Vernon County
  Marmaton River near Nevada affecting Vernon County

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive through flowing water. Nearly half of all flood
fatalities are vehicle related. As little as 6 inches of water may
cause you to lose control of your vehicle. Two feet of water will
carry most vehicles away.

Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio for later statements.

Additional river information can be found on our Advanced Hydrologic
Prediction Service page at http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/
index.php?wfo=sgf

&&

MOC217-251040-
/O.EXT.KSGF.FL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-170426T1424Z/
/NVDM7.1.ER.170421T0337Z.170423T1915Z.170425T1424Z.UU/
240 PM CDT Mon Apr 24 2017

...For the Marmaton River near Nevada...
* At  1:45 PM Monday The stage was 23.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.

* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by
  tomorrow late morning.
* Impact...At 24.0 feet...The county road west of the gage, Minnie
  Ball Road, is impassable.

&&


               FLOOD  OBSERVED           FORECAST 6 AM

LOCATION       STAGE STAGE  DAY TIME     Tue   Wed   Thu

Marmaton River Basin
  Nevada           20  23.5 Mon 02 PM  20.6  13.6  10.2


&&


LAT...LON 3793 9438 3791 9435 3784 9441 3785 9454



$$

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Springfield MO
240 PM CDT Mon Apr 24 2017

 ...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in
Missouri...

  Little Osage River near Horton affecting Vernon County
  Marmaton River near Nevada affecting Vernon County

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive through flowing water. Nearly half of all flood
fatalities are vehicle related. As little as 6 inches of water may
cause you to lose control of your vehicle. Two feet of water will
carry most vehicles away.

Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio for later statements.

Additional river information can be found on our Advanced Hydrologic
Prediction Service page at http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/
index.php?wfo=sgf

&&

MOC217-251040-
/O.EXT.KSGF.FL.W.0009.000000T0000Z-170426T0417Z/
/HTNM7.1.ER.170422T1145Z.170424T0000Z.170425T0417Z.NO/
240 PM CDT Mon Apr 24 2017

...For the Little Osage River near Horton...
* At  1:45 PM Monday The stage was 41.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 41.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.

* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by
  tonight.
* Impact...At 41.0 feet...Minor flooding affects low lying areas near
  the gage site and farmland along the river.

&&


               FLOOD  OBSERVED           FORECAST 6 AM

LOCATION       STAGE STAGE  DAY TIME     Tue   Wed   Thu

Little Osage River Basin
  Horton           41  41.8 Mon 02 PM  40.1  35.2  32.1


&&


LAT...LON 3800 9454 3801 9437 3795 9437 3794 9455



$$

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
1037 AM CDT Mon Apr 24 2017

...From the National Weather Service in Little Rock...the Flood
Warning continues for the following river in Arkansas...

  Black River At Pocahontas affecting Randolph County


River forecasts are based on current conditions and rainfall
forecasted to occur over the next 24 hours. During periods of
flooding...Evening forecasts are reissued with updated rainfall
forecasts.

Observed and forecasted stage data plots are available on our
Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Service web page at...
www.weather.gov/lzk
Under the Current Conditions section...Select River and Lakes AHPS.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message...Remember to Turn Around...Don`t Drown
Do not drive cars through flooded areas.

Everyone with property or other interest along streams and rivers
should remain alert to changing weather forecast. Should conditions
change...Look for river forecast or Flood Warnings for use in

&&

ARC121-250637-
/O.EXT.KLZK.FL.W.0009.170425T0600Z-000000T0000Z/
/POCA4.1.ER.170425T0600Z.170426T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1037 AM CDT Mon Apr 24 2017

...Flood Warning extended until further notice...The Flood Warning
continues for
  The Black River At Pocahontas.
* from late tonight until further notice...Or until the warning is
  cancelled.
* At 10:00 AM Monday the stage was 16.2 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by early Monday morning and
  continue to rise to near 18.0 feet by Wednesday morning. Additional
  rainfall is expected later this week. Please monitor latest
  forecasts for any updates.
* Impacts at 17.0 feet...Agricultural lands along the river east and
  south of Pocahontas will be impacted by high water. Equipment and
  livestock should be moved to higher ground.


&&


             Fld     Observed                 Forecast 6 AM
Location     Stg   Stg  Day Time    Tue    Wed    Thu    Fri    Sat

Black River
  Pocahontas  17  16.2 Mon 10 AM   17.3   18.0   17.9   17.6   17.2


&&


LAT...LON 3612 9115 3625 9106 3630 9095 3620 9089
 3617 9098 3610 9101



$$


Hazardous Weather Outlook


Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
439 PM CDT Mon Apr 24 2017

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-251030-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
439 PM CDT Mon Apr 24 2017

...ACTIVE WEEK AHEAD WITH SEVERE WEATHER AND HEAVY FLOODING RAIN
POTENTIAL...

This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and Tonight.

SIGNIFICANT WINDS.
RISK...Limited.
 AREA...Eastern Oklahoma.
 ONSET...Ongoing.

DISCUSSION...

Strong and gusty south winds, with gusts in the 25 to 35 mph
range, will persist through around sunset this evening.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Spotter Activation Not Expected.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.
TUESDAY...Severe Thunderstorm Potential...High Wind Potential...Heavy Rain Potential.
WEDNESDAY...Severe Thunderstorm Potential...Heavy Rain Potential.
THURSDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.
FRIDAY and SATURDAY...Severe Thunderstorm Potential...Heavy Rain Potential.
SUNDAY...No Hazards.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...

An active weather pattern will develop this week with
multiple rounds of potential severe weather and heavy flooding
rainfall.

A strong cap will remain in place for much of the day Tuesday,
suppressing thunderstorm development until early evening.
Scattered strong to severe storms will develop along a cold front
as it moves into northeast Oklahoma. Any storms that develop will
have the potential to be severe with large hail and damaging winds
the main threats. Tornado potential is expected to be low. The
severe threat will continue into the day Wednesday across
southeast Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas before the convective
line sweeps east of the area.

A stronger storm system is expected to affect the region by late
in the week and into the weekend, with an increased threat for
severe weather as it interacts with a pre-existing frontal
boundary. The most likely time frame for severe storms in our area
appears to be Friday and Saturday, however much uncertainty
remains regarding details such as the front location. Heavy
flooding rainfall is also expected to the north of the front, and
this will be most likely along and north of I-40. Flash flooding
and river flooding are likely to occur based on recent heavy
rainfall across the region. Severe weather and flooding rain
potential will end by Sunday as a cold front pushes east of the
region.

EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PLANNING STATEMENT...

Continue to monitor future forecasts and outlooks, especially
concerning severe weather and flooding potential late in the week
into the weekend. Overall timing and specific severe weather
threats will continue to be refined.

weather.gov/tulsa Contains additional information.

$$

Lacy

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Springfield MO
1153 AM CDT Mon Apr 24 2017

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-251700-
Bourbon-Crawford-Cherokee-Benton-Morgan-Miller-Maries-Vernon-
St. Clair-Hickory-Camden-Pulaski-Phelps-Barton-Cedar-Polk-Dallas-
Laclede-Texas-Dent-Jasper-Dade-Greene-Webster-Wright-Newton-
Lawrence-Christian-Douglas-Howell-Shannon-McDonald-Barry-Stone-
Taney-Ozark-Oregon-
1153 AM CDT Mon Apr 24 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of the Missouri
Ozarks and extreme southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.

Weather hazards expected...

  Limited Non thunderstorm wind risk.

DISCUSSION...

  Southerly winds will gust to around 30 mph this afternoon
  across portions of southeastern Kansas.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

  Even stronger southerly winds are expected for Tuesday across
  the outlook area with gusts from 30 to 40 mph.

  Strong to severe thunderstorms are expected to develop Tuesday
  evening from eastern Kansas into northeastern Oklahoma. These
  storms will likely develop into a line and track into western
  Missouri from late Tuesday evening into early Wednesday
  morning. Damaging wind gusts will be the primary potential
  severe weather hazard. A few storms may also produce hail up
  to the size of half dollars.

  The threat for severe storms will then continue into Wednesday
  mainly along and east of the U.S. 65 corridor. Damaging wind
  gusts will again be the primary potential severe weather
  hazard.

  There will also be a limited threat for flooding from later
  Tuesday night into Wednesday as creeks, streams, and rivers
  remain high across the region.

  Confidence then continues to increase in the potential for
  widespread heavy rainfall from later Friday into next weekend.
  With soils nearly saturated, excessive runoff will be likely
  and will lead to an increasing risk for flooding.

  Additionally, there will be at least a limited risk for strong
  to severe thunderstorms from Friday into Sunday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

  Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight.

&&

More detailed information can be accessed at:
http://www.weather.gov/sgf/sitrep

This product in graphical format...along with other weather...
hydrological and climate information...at
http://www.weather.gov/sgf

$$

Wise

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
505 AM CDT Mon Apr 24 2017

KSZ025-057-060-102>105-MOZ001>008-011>017-020>025-028>033-037>040-
043>046-053-054-251015-
Atchison KS-Miami-Linn KS-Doniphan-Leavenworth-Wyandotte-Johnson KS-
Atchison MO-Nodaway-Worth-Gentry-Harrison-Mercer-Putnam-Schuyler-
Holt-Andrew-De Kalb-Daviess-Grundy-Sullivan-Adair-Buchanan-Clinton-
Caldwell-Livingston-Linn MO-Macon-Platte-Clay-Ray-Carroll-Chariton-
Randolph-Jackson-Lafayette-Saline-Howard-Cass-Johnson MO-Pettis-
Cooper-Bates-Henry-
505 AM CDT Mon Apr 24 2017

This hazardous weather outlook is for northwest...north central and
west central Missouri...as well as extreme eastern Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

 Strong winds and low humidity values this afternoon will raise fire
 weather concerns across the region today.

 More detailed information can be accessed at...
 http://www.weather.gov/eax/hwo

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday

 An active weather pattern returns Tuesday, giving everyone on and
 off chances of showers and storms through next weekend. Severe
 weather is possible on Tuesday evening with hail and strong winds
 being the primary threats at this time.

 More detailed information can be accessed at...
 http://www.weather.gov/eax/hwo

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
418 AM CDT Mon Apr 24 2017

ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-251000-
Boone-Marion-Baxter-Fulton-Sharp-Newton-Searcy-Stone-Izard-
Independence-Johnson-Pope-Van Buren-Cleburne-Jackson-Logan-Conway-
Faulkner-White-Woodruff-Scott-Yell-Perry-Polk-Montgomery-Garland-
Saline-Pulaski-Lonoke-Prairie-Monroe-Pike-Clark-Hot Spring-Grant-
Jefferson-Arkansas-Dallas-Cleveland-Lincoln-Desha-Ouachita-
Calhoun-Bradley-Drew-
418 AM CDT Mon Apr 24 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for a Large Part of Arkansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

The threat for hazardous weather will remain low through tonight.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday Through Sunday

Chances for thunderstorms return Wednesday and Wednesday night as
the next storm system affects Arkansas. A line of thunderstorms is
expected to accompany the associated cold front that will move
across the state. Damaging winds and large hail will be the main
concerns. However, an isolated tornado cannot be ruled out with any
discrete storms that do develop out ahead of the line of storms.

The potential for severe weather returns again by Friday, as a warm
front lifts northward across Arkansas. Large hail and damaging winds
will once again be the main threats. The potential for heavy
rainfall will also exist, increasing the concern for flash flooding
and river flooding.

The unsettled weather pattern will continue into the weekend. Yet
another storm could produce additional severe weather over the Mid-
South as a new cold front is forecast to move through the region.
Due to forecast uncertainties with this system, please continue to
monitor the latest outlooks from your NWS office.

.Spotter Information Statement...

Spotter activation is not anticipated at this time. However, please
monitor the latest forecasts over the next few days.

&&

Visit NWS Little Rock on the web. Go to http://weather.gov/lzk.

$$

62/44

U.S. Dept. of Commerce
NOAA National Weather Service
1325 East West Highway
Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: June 2, 2009
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