weather.gov     
National Weather Service

Watches, Warnings & Advisories
NWS Homepage

Wind Advisory


URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
116 AM CST Mon Feb 19 2018

...Windy in Eastern Kansas and Western MO This Morning...

KSZ060-MOZ053-054-191800-
/O.NEW.KEAX.WI.Y.0003.180219T0716Z-180219T1800Z/
Linn KS-Bates-Henry-
Including the cities of Pleasanton, La Cygne, Mound City, Butler,
Adrian, Rich Hill, Clinton, and Windsor
116 AM CST Mon Feb 19 2018

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CST TODAY...

The National Weather Service in Kansas City/Pleasant Hill has
issued a Wind Advisory, which is in effect until noon CST today.

* TIMING...Early this morning until noon today.

* WINDS...Southwest winds between 25 and 30 MPH with gusts up to
  45 MPH

* IMPACTS...Strong winds will make driving difficult, especially
  for high-profile vehicles.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Wind Advisory means that winds of at least 30 mph are expected
with gusts to 45 mph. Winds this strong can make driving
difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. Use extra
caution.

&&

$$

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Springfield MO
108 AM CST Mon Feb 19 2018

...Windy Conditions Across the Western Missouri Ozarks and
Extreme Southeastern Kansas This Morning ...

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055-066>069-077>081-088>095-101>103-191800-
/O.NEW.KSGF.WI.Y.0004.180219T0708Z-180219T1800Z/
Bourbon-Crawford-Cherokee-Benton-Vernon-St. Clair-Hickory-Camden-
Barton-Cedar-Polk-Dallas-Laclede-Jasper-Dade-Greene-Webster-
Wright-Newton-Lawrence-Christian-McDonald-Barry-Stone-
Including the cities of Fort Scott, Pawnee Station, Chicopee,
Lone Oak, Pittsburg, Baxter Springs, Lowell, Riverton, Columbus,
Neutral, Sherwin, Stippville, Warsaw, Whitakerville, Cole Camp,
Crockerville, Mora, Edmonson, Lincoln, NEVADA, Tiffin,
Appleton City, Johnson City, Weaubleau, Hermitage, Quincy,
Wheatland, Cross Timbers, Osage Beach, Camdenton, Decaturville,
Roach, Village of Four Seasons, Kenoma, Lamar, Cedar Springs,
El Dorado Springs, Filley, Arnica, Caplinger Mills, Stockton,
Bolivar, Buffalo, Charity, Foose, March, Plad, Windyville, Olive,
Lynchburg, Lebanon, Joplin, Carthage, Greenfield, Lockwood,
Meinert, Springfield, Marshfield, Northview, Seymour,
Rogersville, Dawson, Graff, Mountain Grove, Duncan, Mansfield,
Neosho, Aurora, Mount Vernon, Marionville, Nixa,
Christian Center, Ozark, Selmore, Anderson, Noel, Goodman,
South West City, Pineville, Rocky Comfort, Monett, Madry,
Cassville, Kimberling City, Crane, Elsey, Indian Point,
and Silver Dollar City
108 AM CST Mon Feb 19 2018

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CST TODAY...

The National Weather Service in Springfield has issued a Wind
Advisory, which is in effect until noon CST today.

* TIMING...Now through Noon Today

* WINDS...Gusty southerly winds of 25 to 35 mph with gusts to
  around 45 mph will occur across extreme southeastern Kansas and
  the western Missouri Ozarks this morning.

* IMPACTS...Winds this strong can make driving difficult,
  especially for high profile vehicles.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Wind Advisory means that winds of 30 mph are expected. Winds
this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high
profile vehicles. Use extra caution.

&&

$$

Wise


Hazardous Weather Outlook


Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Wichita KS
537 AM CST Mon Feb 19 2018

KSZ032-033-047>053-067>072-082-083-091>096-098>100-201145-
Russell-Lincoln-Barton-Ellsworth-Saline-Rice-McPherson-Marion-Chase-
Reno-Harvey-Butler-Greenwood-Woodson-Allen-Kingman-Sedgwick-Harper-
Sumner-Cowley-Elk-Wilson-Neosho-Chautauqua-Montgomery-Labette-
537 AM CST Mon Feb 19 2018

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of Central Kansas,
South Central Kansas and Southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

A very high grassland fire danger is forecast this morning in
southeast Kansas.

Scattered thunderstorms are possible today and tonight, roughly
along and east of I-35. Some small hail and 50 mph gusts may occur
with the stronger storms tonight.

There is a chance for light freezing drizzle in parts of central
Kansas tonight.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday

A light wintry mix is possible over the Flint Hills Tuesday morning.
No significant accumulation of snow or ice is expected.

From Tuesday night through Thursday night, and again on Friday and
Saturday night, there will be multiple chances for mainly light
wintry precipitation across the area. Confidence in exact timing and
location is low, as a front will be slowly meandering in or close
to the area. Please continue to check later outlooks for updated
information.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated today or tonight.

&&

For a graphical version of this information, see our webpage at:
http://weather.gov/wichita/hwo/

$$

Howerton

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Topeka KS
515 AM CST Mon Feb 19 2018

KSZ008>012-020>024-026-034>040-054>056-058-059-201115-
Republic-Washington-Marshall-Nemaha-Brown-Cloud-Clay-Riley-
Pottawatomie-Jackson-Jefferson-Ottawa-Dickinson-Geary-Morris-
Wabaunsee-Shawnee-Douglas-Lyon-Osage-Franklin-Coffey-Anderson-
515 AM CST Mon Feb 19 2018

This hazardous weather outlook is for east central...north
central and northeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Freezing rain and freezing drizzle are expected to develop over
parts of north central and northeast Kansas tonight. Ice
accumulations are forecast to range between a light glaze up to 2
tenths of an inch. A winter weather advisory has been posted from
6 pm tonight until noon Tuesday for the freezing rain for areas
east and north of a line from Washington to Clay Center to
Manhattan and Holton. The more intense part of the icing may be
from midnight to 9 am Tuesday impacting the morning commute.

There is a slight chance for thunderstorms today and tonight
across northeast and east central Kansas. Severe storms are not
expected but lightning could pose a hazard to people outside.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

Freezing rain is expected to come to an end from north to south
Tuesday morning.

There is a chance for a wintry mix of snow and freezing rain
Wednesday night into Thursday morning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotters will not be needed today or tonight, but are encouraged
to report and ice amounts to the National Weather Service in
Topeka.

&&

More detailed information can be accessed at...
http://www.weather.gov/top/sitrep

$$

Wolters

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
506 AM CST Mon Feb 19 2018

KSZ025-057-060-102>105-MOZ001>008-011>017-020>025-028>033-037>040-
043>046-053-054-201115-
Atchison KS-Miami-Linn KS-Doniphan-Leavenworth-Wyandotte-Johnson KS-
Atchison MO-Nodaway-Worth-Gentry-Harrison-Mercer-Putnam-Schuyler-
Holt-Andrew-De Kalb-Daviess-Grundy-Sullivan-Adair-Buchanan-Clinton-
Caldwell-Livingston-Linn MO-Macon-Platte-Clay-Ray-Carroll-Chariton-
Randolph-Jackson-Lafayette-Saline-Howard-Cass-Johnson MO-Pettis-
Cooper-Bates-Henry-
506 AM CST Mon Feb 19 2018

This hazardous weather outlook is for northwest...north central and
west central Missouri...as well as extreme eastern Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

 Today...Scattered non-severe thunderstorms possible.

 Tonight into Tuesday morning, precipitation looks to transition
 over to freezing rain as temperatures drop across northern Kansas
 and far northwest Missouri.

 More detailed information can be accessed at...
 https://www.weather.gov/eax/hwo


.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday

 Accumulating freezing rain possible into Tuesday morning, with a
 wintry mix of precipitation spreading east Tuesday afternoon and
 evening.

 More detailed information can be accessed at...
 https://www.weather.gov/eax/hwo

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
452 AM CST Mon Feb 19 2018

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-201100-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
452 AM CST Mon Feb 19 2018

This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Northeast Oklahoma.
ONSET...Late afternoon and tonight.

HEAVY RAIN.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Southeast Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas.
ONSET...Mainly tonight.

SIGNIFICANT WINDS.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Eastern Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas.
ONSET...Ongoing.

DISCUSSION...
Scattered showers along with a few thunderstorms will be possible through
the day and into tonight as a very moist airmass remains across the
region. There is a slim chance of a few severe thunderstorms across
northeast Oklahoma later this afternoon as a cold front and dryline
approaches. The marginal severe weather chances will extend into the
overnight hours as the low-level jet increases. The main threat from any
severe storm would be large hail.

South winds will remain breezy through the day and into tonight with
frequent gusts over 30 mph likely.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Local Spotter Activation May Be Needed.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.
TUESDAY...Thunderstorm Potential...High Wind Potential...Heavy Rain
Potential.
WEDNESDAY...Winter Weather Potential.
THURSDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.
FRIDAY...Thunderstorm Potential...Heavy Rain Potential.
SATURDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.
SUNDAY...No Hazards.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
Shower and thunderstorm chances will increase by Tuesday and Tuesday
night as the cold front begins to push into the region. Locally heavy
rainfall is likely across portions of southeast Oklahoma into northwest
Arkansas with around 1 to 3 inches of rain possible.

A period of light freezing rain will be possible across parts of
northeast Oklahoma late Tuesday night into early Wednesday before
temperatures rise a little above freezing. There still remains many
uncertainties concerning the icing potential, so stay aware of the
latest forecasts.

Warmer weather is expected later this week and into the weekend,
although the unsettled pattern will continue. Rain chances are forecast
to ramp up again late Thursday into Friday, with additional heavy
rainfall possible.

weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
449 AM CST Mon Feb 19 2018

ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-201100-
Boone-Marion-Baxter-Fulton-Sharp-Newton-Searcy-Stone-Izard-
Independence-Johnson-Pope-Van Buren-Cleburne-Jackson-Logan-Conway-
Faulkner-White-Woodruff-Scott-Yell-Perry-Polk-Montgomery-Garland-
Saline-Pulaski-Lonoke-Prairie-Monroe-Pike-Clark-Hot Spring-Grant-
Jefferson-Arkansas-Dallas-Cleveland-Lincoln-Desha-Ouachita-
Calhoun-Bradley-Drew-
449 AM CST Mon Feb 19 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for a Large Part of Arkansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Breezy south winds will develop this morning and reach speeds of
10 to 15 mph with gusts possibly approaching 30 mph at times,
especially over the Delta regions. Caution is advised on area
lakes and waterways for these gusty winds.

Isolated thunderstorms will also be possible during the day. No
severe weather is expected but the threat of cloud to ground
lightning exists with any storm.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday Through Saturday

A very unsettled period is in store for the region with heavy rain
starting Tuesday evening and continuing through a good part of the
week.

Strong southwest flow aloft will interact with a very slow moving
cold front to produce periods of heavy rain Tuesday night through
Wednesday morning over the northwest half of the state. Several
inches of rain will be possible from Little Rock to the north and
west through Wednesday morning. Given this, there is a moderate
risk of flash flooding in this part of the region.

The front will be located from southwest to northeast Arkansas
Wednesday morning with the focus of the heavy rain shifting to
central and eastern sections of the state.

Subsequent periods of rain will follow statewide as the front stalls
to the south Thursday and lifts back into the area by Saturday. The
rain will be heavy at times.

Through next weekend, the forecast calls for four to six inches of
rain for much of Arkansas, with locally more than half a foot of
liquid. If this much rain occurs, flash flooding and river flooding
will become a concern.

.Spotter Information Statement...

Spotter activation will not be needed.

&&

Visit NWS Little Rock on the web. Go to http://weather.gov/lzk.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Saint Louis MO
434 AM CST Mon Feb 19 2018

ILZ058>060-064-065-069-070-074-079-095>102-MOZ018-019-026-027-
034>036-041-042-047>052-059>065-072>075-084-085-099-200000-
Greene IL-Macoupin IL-Montgomery IL-Bond IL-Fayette IL-Clinton IL-
Marion IL-Washington IL-Randolph IL-Adams IL-Brown IL-Pike IL-
Calhoun IL-Jersey IL-Madison IL-Saint Clair IL-Monroe IL-Knox MO-
Lewis MO-Shelby MO-Marion MO-Monroe MO-Ralls MO-Pike MO-Boone MO-
Audrain MO-Moniteau MO-Cole MO-Osage MO-Callaway MO-Montgomery MO-
Lincoln MO-Gasconade MO-Warren MO-Saint Charles MO-Franklin MO-
Saint Louis MO-Saint Louis City MO-Jefferson MO-Crawford MO-
Washington MO-Saint Francois MO-Sainte Genevieve MO-Iron MO-
Madison MO-Reynolds MO-
434 AM CST Mon Feb 19 2018

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of eastern and
central Missouri as well as west central and southwest Illinois.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

There is a chance for thunderstorms today and tonight. Severe
weather is not expected.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday

There is a chance for thunderstorms on Tuesday and Tuesday night.

Freezing rain, perhaps mixed with sleet or snow, is likely on
Tuesday night and Wednesday morning. A light glaze of ice is
possible.

There is a chance for thunderstorms on Saturday across parts of
southeastern Missouri and southwestern Illinois.


.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated through tonight.

$$

Kanofsky

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Paducah KY
345 AM CST Mon Feb 19 2018

ILZ075>078-080>094-INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ001>022-MOZ076-086-087-
100-107>112-114-201100-
Jefferson-Wayne IL-Edwards-Wabash-Perry IL-Franklin-Hamilton-
White-Jackson-Williamson-Saline-Gallatin-Union-Johnson-Pope-
Hardin-Alexander-Pulaski-Massac-Gibson-Pike-Posey-Vanderburgh-
Warrick-Spencer-Fulton-Hickman-Carlisle-Ballard-McCracken-Graves-
Livingston-Marshall-Calloway-Crittenden-Lyon-Trigg-Caldwell-
Union KY-Webster-Hopkins-Christian-Henderson-Daviess-McLean-
Muhlenberg-Todd-Perry MO-Bollinger-Cape Girardeau-Wayne MO-Carter-
Ripley-Butler-Stoddard-Scott-Mississippi-New Madrid-
345 AM CST Mon Feb 19 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of southern
Illinois, southwest Indiana, western Kentucky, and southeast
Missouri.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

There is a slight chance of thunderstorms over southeast Missouri
into southern Illinois.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday

Heavy rainfall is likely Tuesday night across southeast Missouri
into southern Illinois and far west Kentucky, especially late in
the night. The heavy rain axis will shift east Wednesday into west
Kentucky and southwest Indiana. Wednesday night, another surge of
moderate to locally heavy rain is possible into west Kentucky.
The rains late Tuesday through Wednesday night will likely set the
stage for the possibility of area flooding mid to late week, as
another heavy rainfall event appears likely from Thursday night
through Saturday night. The potential exists for at least a few
more inches of rain. Isolated thunderstorms will be possible.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated through tonight.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Springfield MO
244 AM CST Mon Feb 19 2018

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-200845-
Bourbon-Crawford-Cherokee-Benton-Morgan-Miller-Maries-Vernon-
St. Clair-Hickory-Camden-Pulaski-Phelps-Barton-Cedar-Polk-Dallas-
Laclede-Texas-Dent-Jasper-Dade-Greene-Webster-Wright-Newton-
Lawrence-Christian-Douglas-Howell-Shannon-McDonald-Barry-Stone-
Taney-Ozark-Oregon-
244 AM CST Mon Feb 19 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central
Missouri...southeast Kansas...southwest Missouri...south central
Missouri...west central Missouri and east central Missouri.

.DAY ONE...Early this Morning through Tonight.

Weather hazards expected...

  Limited lightning risk.
  Elevated non thunderstorm wind risk.

DISCUSSION...

Strong and gusty southerly winds will occur over southeastern
Kansas and western Missouri this morning. Sustained winds of 25
to 35 mph with gusts up to around 45 mph are expected in many
locations. Winds will gradually weaken by this afternoon, but
will remain breezy into tonight. A Wind Advisory is in effect for
southeastern Kansas and the western Missouri Ozarks until noon
today.

Scattered showers and a few storms will develop and affect the
area at times from early this morning into tonight. Severe
weather is not expected at this time but small hail will be
possible with a few of the storms.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

A few thunderstorms will remain possible at times Tuesday ahead
of an approaching cold front. Locally heavy rainfall is expected
to develop along the slow moving front, bringing 1 to 3 inches of
rainfall with isolated heavier amounts possible through Tuesday
night. A limited to elevated risk for flooding will occur across
the region Tuesday and Tuesday night.

An additional round of rain may then be possible late in the week
into next weekend. Total rainfall amounts from today through next
weekend of 2 to 6 inches may be possible, but there remains
uncertainty with amounts and timing with the late week/next
weekend system.

A shallow cold air mass will move in behind the cold front
and bring a period of freezing rain to the region Tuesday evening
into Wednesday night. Confidence in ice accumulations of a few
tenths of an inch are increasing, mainly northwest of an Eminence
to Branson line. A brief period of sleet may also be possible
mainly north of I-44 Tuesday night into Wednesday as colder air
moves south into the region.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

  Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight.

&&

More detailed information can be accessed at:
http://www.weather.gov/sgf/sitrep

This product in graphical format...along with other weather...
hydrological and climate information...at
http://www.weather.gov/sgf

$$

Wise


Hydrologic Outlook


Hydrologic Outlook
ILC003-047-055-059-065-069-077-081-087-127-145-151-153-165-181-
185-191-193-199-INC051-125-129-147-163-173-KYC007-033-035-039-047-
055-059-075-083-101-105-107-139-143-145-149-157-177-219-221-225-
233-MOC017-023-031-035-133-143-157-181-201-207-223-192215-

Hydrologic Outlook
National Weather Service Paducah KY
402 AM CST Mon Feb 19 2018

The forecast weather pattern this week continues to support
multiple rain episodes, that will likely result in several inches
of rain. An initial round is expected from late Tuesday through
Wednesday with the passage of a cold front. Additional rains will
come later in the week, from Thursday night through Saturday
night.

The main concern with this week`s rainfall will be the potential
for additional flooding of rivers and their tributaries. Flooding
of low land and poor drainage areas should increase. We may see
some flooding develop on roads that typically experience water
problems during longer duration heavy rain events.

Stay tuned for later statements and updates through the week.

$$

CN


Short Term Forecast


Short Term Forecast
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
657 AM CST Mon Feb 19 2018

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-191500-
Benton-Carroll-Washington AR-Madison-Crawford-Franklin-Sebastian-
Pushmataha-Choctaw-Osage-Washington OK-Nowata-Craig-Ottawa-Pawnee-
Tulsa-Rogers-Mayes-Delaware-Creek-Okfuskee-Okmulgee-Wagoner-
Cherokee-Adair-Muskogee-McIntosh-Sequoyah-Pittsburg-Haskell-
Latimer-Le Flore-
Including the cities of Rogers, Bentonville, Berryville,
Eureka Springs, Fayetteville, Springdale, Huntsville, Van Buren,
Ozark, Charleston, Fort Smith, Antlers, Clayton, Hugo, Pawhuska,
Bartlesville, Nowata, Vinita, Miami, Pawnee, Tulsa, Claremore,
Pryor, Grove, Jay, Sapulpa, Okemah, Okmulgee, Wagoner, Tahlequah,
Stilwell, Muskogee, Checotah, Sallisaw, McAlester, Stigler,
Wilburton, and Poteau
657 AM CST Mon Feb 19 2018

.NOW...
At 6:57 AM...Doppler radars detected scattered showers and a few
thunderstorms across northeast Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas.
These showers and storms were moving off to the northeast at
around 40 mph.

Through 9:00 AM...Scattered showers and thunderstorms will
continue to lift northeast, impacting locations primarily along
and to the north of a Stillwater Oklahoma to Charleston Arkansas
line. Hourly rainfall of around one tenth of an inch will be
common, with locally higher amounts of one quarter to near one
half inch possible with thunderstorms.

$$

U.S. Dept. of Commerce
NOAA National Weather Service
1325 East West Highway
Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: June 2, 2009
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE: for Safety, for Work, for Fun - FOR LIFE