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Hazardous Weather Outlook


Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Springfield MO
617 PM CDT Wed Mar 29 2017

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-302330-
Bourbon-Crawford-Cherokee-Benton-Morgan-Miller-Maries-Vernon-
St. Clair-Hickory-Camden-Pulaski-Phelps-Barton-Cedar-Polk-Dallas-
Laclede-Texas-Dent-Jasper-Dade-Greene-Webster-Wright-Newton-
Lawrence-Christian-Douglas-Howell-Shannon-McDonald-Barry-Stone-
Taney-Ozark-Oregon-
617 PM CDT Wed Mar 29 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of the Missouri
Ozarks and extreme southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Weather hazards expected...

  Limited Tornado Risk.
  Elevated Hail Risk.
  Elevated Thunderstorm Wind Damage Risk.
  Limited Flooding Risk.
  Significant Lightning Risk.

DISCUSSION...

  Thunderstorms will continue through the evening into the
  overnight hours tonight. A few thunderstorms are expected to
  become strong or severe, with a risk for damaging winds, and
  perhaps a tornado or two.

  In addition, storms that produce locally heavy rain or
  continually train over a given area will produce a limited
  risk for flooding, primarily for low water crossings and poor
  drainage areas.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

  The potential for strong to severe storms will continue into
  Thursday especially across the eastern Ozarks. Large hail will
  be the primary severe weather risk Thursday.

  Thunderstorms will also be possible with the next system that
  moves through the area from Sunday through Tuesday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

 Spotter activation may be needed this evening across southeastern
 Kansas and southern Missouri.

&&

More detailed information can be accessed at:
http://www.weather.gov/sgf/sitrep

This product in graphical format...along with other weather...
hydrological and climate information...at
http://www.weather.gov/sgf

$$

Boxell

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Paducah KY
856 PM CDT Wed Mar 29 2017

ILZ075>078-080>094-INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ001>022-MOZ076-086-087-
100-107>112-114-310200-
Jefferson-Wayne IL-Edwards-Wabash-Perry IL-Franklin-Hamilton-
White-Jackson-Williamson-Saline-Gallatin-Union-Johnson-Pope-
Hardin-Alexander-Pulaski-Massac-Gibson-Pike-Posey-Vanderburgh-
Warrick-Spencer-Fulton-Hickman-Carlisle-Ballard-McCracken-Graves-
Livingston-Marshall-Calloway-Crittenden-Lyon-Trigg-Caldwell-
Union KY-Webster-Hopkins-Christian-Henderson-Daviess-McLean-
Muhlenberg-Todd-Perry MO-Bollinger-Cape Girardeau-Wayne MO-Carter-
Ripley-Butler-Stoddard-Scott-Mississippi-New Madrid-
856 PM CDT Wed Mar 29 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of southern
Illinois, southwest Indiana, western Kentucky, and southeast
Missouri.

.DAY ONE...Tonight

Thunderstorms are expected to overspread the entire region
overnight. Isolated severe thunderstorms are expected over
southeast Missouri. The storms are forecast to gradually weaken
east of the Mississippi River, but a few severe storms cannot be
ruled out as far east as the Wabash River and the Pennyrile region
of west Kentucky. The primary hazards will be damaging winds and
large hail. An isolated tornado or two is possible over southeast
Missouri.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday

After a lull in the activity early Thursday morning, strong to
severe thunderstorms are possible again between 11 am and 8 pm on
Thursday. Damaging winds, large hail, a few tornadoes, and heavy
rain are expected during this time period.

A few strong tornadoes are possible Thursday afternoon in the
southern section of West Kentucky, where the Storm Prediction
Center has forecast a moderate risk of severe thunderstorms.

The coverage and intensity of severe thunderstorms may be
impacted by the morning thunderstorm activity and will need to be
monitored.

Otherwise, A chance of thunderstorms is forecast from Sunday
afternoon through Monday night. At this time, locally heavy
rainfall and lightning are the primary concerns.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will likely be requested in southeast Missouri
tonight. Spotter activation will likely be requested in most
areas on Thursday.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Wichita KS
816 PM CDT Wed Mar 29 2017

KSZ032-033-047>053-067>072-082-083-091>096-098>100-310130-
Russell-Lincoln-Barton-Ellsworth-Saline-Rice-McPherson-Marion-Chase-
Reno-Harvey-Butler-Greenwood-Woodson-Allen-Kingman-Sedgwick-Harper-
Sumner-Cowley-Elk-Wilson-Neosho-Chautauqua-Montgomery-Labette-
816 PM CDT Wed Mar 29 2017

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of Central Kansas,
South Central Kansas and Southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Tonight

Minor river flooding is occurring along rivers across South Central
Kansas. Check the latest river flood warnings and statements for
details.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday

Minor river flooding will linger into the weekend at a few
locations across South Central Kansas. Check the latest river flood
warnings and statements for details.

Two more storm systems will bring showers and thunderstorms to the
region this weekend and again early next week. Strong or severe
storms are not expected, although any additional rainfall could
aggravate ongoing flooding concerns.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated tonight.

&&

For a graphical version of this information, see our webpage at:
http://weather.gov/wichita/hwo/

$$

ADK/Howerton/Ketcham

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Topeka KS
805 PM CDT Wed Mar 29 2017

KSZ008>012-020>024-026-034>040-054>056-058-059-310115-
Republic-Washington-Marshall-Nemaha-Brown-Cloud-Clay-Riley-
Pottawatomie-Jackson-Jefferson-Ottawa-Dickinson-Geary-Morris-
Wabaunsee-Shawnee-Douglas-Lyon-Osage-Franklin-Coffey-Anderson-
805 PM CDT Wed Mar 29 2017

This hazardous weather outlook is for east central...north
central and northeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

THERE IS A CHANCE FOR thunderstorms. The stronger storms may
produce small hail this evening. River flooding will continue
along some of the rivers across northeast and east central Kansas
through the night. Please see the latest river flood statements
for further information.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight.

&&

More detailed information can be accessed at...
http://www.weather.gov/top/sitrep

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
443 PM CDT Wed Mar 29 2017

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-301015-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
443 PM CDT Wed Mar 29 2017

This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.
TORNADO.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Western Arkansas and extreme eastern Oklahoma.
ONSET...Ongoing.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...Elevated.
AREA...Western Arkansas and extreme eastern Oklahoma.
ONSET...Ongoing.

SIGNIFICANT WINDS.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Eastern Oklahoma and western Arkansas.
ONSET...Ongoing.

DISCUSSION...
An elevated risk of severe thunderstorms, including the
possibility of a few tornadoes, will be present through early
this evening. The main risk area will be roughly east of a line
from Gentry Arkansas to Whitesboro Oklahoma.

The atmosphere over eastern oklahoma and western Arkansas
continues to de-stabilize this afternoon. Thunderstorms are
expected to increase across extreme eastern Oklahoma and western
Arkansas through the early evening, with some of the storms
potentially becoming supercells in a highly sheared environment.
Any supercells will have the potential for all modes of severe
weather, including isolated tornadoes. The greater threat for
significant severe weather appears to be farther east.

In addition, scattered thunderstorms remain possible across
northeast Oklahoma as an upper level low passes nearby. A few of
these cells could produce small hail. Storms will end from west to
east this evening as the strong upper storm system continues to
move east.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Activation of the Regional Spotter Network Likely.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.
THURSDAY through FRIDAY...No Hazards.
SATURDAY...Severe Thunderstorm Potential.
SUNDAY...Severe Thunderstorm Potential...Heavy Rain Potential.
MONDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.
TUESDAY...No Hazards.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
Another storm system will bring a chance of thunderstorms to the
area this weekend into early next week, along with a threat of
heavy rainfall.

EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PLANNING STATEMENT...
Emergency managers and first responders should monitor the latest
forecasts updates this afternoon and evening.

weather.gov/tulsa Contains additional information.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Saint Louis MO
341 PM CDT Wed Mar 29 2017

ILZ058>060-064-065-069-070-074-079-095>102-MOZ018-019-026-027-
034>036-041-042-047>052-059>065-072>075-084-085-099-301200-
Greene IL-Macoupin IL-Montgomery IL-Bond IL-Fayette IL-Clinton IL-
Marion IL-Washington IL-Randolph IL-Adams IL-Brown IL-Pike IL-
Calhoun IL-Jersey IL-Madison IL-Saint Clair IL-Monroe IL-Knox MO-
Lewis MO-Shelby MO-Marion MO-Monroe MO-Ralls MO-Pike MO-Boone MO-
Audrain MO-Moniteau MO-Cole MO-Osage MO-Callaway MO-Montgomery MO-
Lincoln MO-Gasconade MO-Warren MO-Saint Charles MO-Franklin MO-
Saint Louis MO-Saint Louis City MO-Jefferson MO-Crawford MO-
Washington MO-Saint Francois MO-Sainte Genevieve MO-Iron MO-
Madison MO-Reynolds MO-
341 PM CDT Wed Mar 29 2017

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of eastern and
central Missouri as well as west central and southwest Illinois.

.DAY ONE...Tonight

Severe thunderstorms are possible tonight primarily south of
Interstate 70. The primary threats are large hail and damaging
winds in excess of 60 mph.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday

Severe thunderstorms are possible on Thursday afternoon and
evening. The primary threats are large hail and damaging wind
gusts.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is possible tonight.

$$

Carney

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Memphis TN
337 PM CDT Wed Mar 29 2017

ARZ008-009-017-018-026>028-035-036-048-049-058-MOZ113-115-
MSZ001>017-020>024-TNZ001>004-019>022-048>055-088>092-302245-
Alcorn-Benton MS-Benton TN-Calhoun-Carroll-Chester-Chickasaw-Clay-
Coahoma-Craighead-Crittenden-Crockett-Cross-DeSoto-Decatur-
Dunklin-Dyer-Fayette-Gibson-Greene-Hardeman-Hardin-Haywood-
Henderson-Henry-Itawamba-Lafayette-Lake-Lauderdale-Lawrence-
Lee AR-Lee MS-Madison-Marshall-McNairy-Mississippi-Monroe-Obion-
Panola-Pemiscot-Phillips-Poinsett-Pontotoc-Prentiss-Quitman-
Randolph-Shelby-St. Francis-Tallahatchie-Tate-Tippah-Tipton-
Tishomingo-Tunica-Union-Weakley-Yalobusha-
337 PM CDT Wed Mar 29 2017

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of East Arkansas...
the Missouri Bootheel...North Mississippi...and West Tennessee.

.DAY ONE...Tonight

Severe thunderstorms are expected to move into Eastern Arkansas
between 10 PM and midnight. Damaging winds, large hail, and a few
tornadoes will be possible with the storms. The storms will begin
diminishing in intensity as they move east of the Mississippi
River toward morning. Isolated flash flooding is also possible.
The best chances for severe weather will occur west of a Jackson,
Tennessee to Oxford, Mississippi line.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday

Severe thunderstorms are expected to develop across Eastern
Arkansas around noon CDT on Thursday. The storms will intensify
as they push east of the Mississippi River during the afternoon
hours. Damaging winds, large hail, and tornadoes will be possible
across the entire Mid-South. A few tornadoes could be strong east
of the Mississippi River. The threat for severe weather will end
by 8 PM CDT Thursday Night as the storms push east of the Mid-
South.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will likely be needed across the Mid South from
late this evening through early Thursday evening.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
125 PM CDT Wed Mar 29 2017

ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-301000-
Boone-Marion-Baxter-Fulton-Sharp-Newton-Searcy-Stone-Izard-
Independence-Johnson-Pope-Van Buren-Cleburne-Jackson-Logan-Conway-
Faulkner-White-Woodruff-Scott-Yell-Perry-Polk-Montgomery-Garland-
Saline-Pulaski-Lonoke-Prairie-Monroe-Pike-Clark-Hot Spring-Grant-
Jefferson-Arkansas-Dallas-Cleveland-Lincoln-Desha-Ouachita-
Calhoun-Bradley-Drew-
125 PM CDT Wed Mar 29 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for a Large Part of Arkansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight


Additional thunderstorms will develop this afternoon across
western and portions of central Arkansas. This activity will start
off scattered...but will see these thunderstorms become more
organized into a line or complex by late this afternoon and into
the early evening hours. This line will move east across western
into central sections of the state during the evening and into
the overnight hours. Expect this line of thunderstorms to be east
of the state by around sunrise Thursday morning.

The primary severe weather threats will be large damaging hail
greater than 1 inch in diameter and damaging winds in excess of 60
mph. Tornadoes will also be possible...especially across northern
sections of the state this afternoon and evening with the
discrete thunderstorm activity. A tornado threat will also exist
across a larger portion of the area as the line of thunderstorms
moves east late this evening and overnight. There will also be an
isolated flash flood threat...especially where any thunderstorms
train over the same areas.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday Through Tuesday

Additional showers and thunderstorms will be possible on
Thursday...as the cold front moves across Arkansas. Isolated
severe storms are possible, primarily ahead of the front. Damaging
wind gusts and large hail will be the primary threat with any
severe storms.

There will be a possibility of strong to severe thunderstorms early
next week...around late Sunday into Monday night. Also...stronger
storms could produce locally heavy rainfall. This is still
several days out...and the forecast could change quite a bit
between now and then. Stay informed by monitoring the latest
forecasts and statements from your NWS office.

.Spotter Information Statement...

Spotter activation is likely...especially this afternoon and
tonight over much of the state.

&&

Visit NWS Little Rock on the web. Go to http://weather.gov/lzk.

$$

62/57

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
501 AM CDT Wed Mar 29 2017

KSZ025-057-060-102>105-MOZ001>008-011>017-020>025-028>033-037>040-
043>046-053-054-301015-
Atchison KS-Miami-Linn KS-Doniphan-Leavenworth-Wyandotte-Johnson KS-
Atchison MO-Nodaway-Worth-Gentry-Harrison-Mercer-Putnam-Schuyler-
Holt-Andrew-De Kalb-Daviess-Grundy-Sullivan-Adair-Buchanan-Clinton-
Caldwell-Livingston-Linn MO-Macon-Platte-Clay-Ray-Carroll-Chariton-
Randolph-Jackson-Lafayette-Saline-Howard-Cass-Johnson MO-Pettis-
Cooper-Bates-Henry-
501 AM CDT Wed Mar 29 2017

This hazardous weather outlook is for northwest...north central and
west central Missouri...as well as extreme eastern Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

 Severe weather is possible this afternoon and evening, mainly south
 of I-70. Large hail, damaging winds, and a few tornadoes are
 possible with this activity. Additionally, localized flash flooding
 is possible, along with rapidly rising river levels.

 More detailed information can be accessed at...
 http://www.weather.gov/eax/hwo

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday

 Severe weather potential will decrease Thursday, though hydrologic
 concerns will remain in play until early Friday.

 More detailed information can be accessed at...
 http://www.weather.gov/eax/hwo

$$

U.S. Dept. of Commerce
NOAA National Weather Service
1325 East West Highway
Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: June 2, 2009
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