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Hazardous Weather Outlook


HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
810 PM CDT WED JUL 27 2016

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-290115-
BOURBON-CRAWFORD-CHEROKEE-BENTON-MORGAN-MILLER-MARIES-VERNON-
ST. CLAIR-HICKORY-CAMDEN-PULASKI-PHELPS-BARTON-CEDAR-POLK-DALLAS-
LACLEDE-TEXAS-DENT-JASPER-DADE-GREENE-WEBSTER-WRIGHT-NEWTON-
LAWRENCE-CHRISTIAN-DOUGLAS-HOWELL-SHANNON-MCDONALD-BARRY-STONE-
TANEY-OZARK-OREGON-
810 PM CDT WED JUL 27 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE MISSOURI
OZARKS AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

WEATHER HAZARDS EXPECTED...

  LIMITED FLOODING RISK.
  ELEVATED LIGHTNING RISK.


DISCUSSION...

  ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT. CLOUD
  TO GROUND LIGHTNING AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE THE MAIN
  POTENTIAL HAZARDS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

  SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED ON A DAILY BASIS
  THROUGHOUT THE REST OF THE WEEK. MULTIPLE COMPLEXES OF
  THUNDERSTORMS MAY ALSO MOVE SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE REGION.
  THERE IS A LIMITED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS
  SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE AREA FRIDAY INTO FRIDAY NIGHT.
  LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING CAN BE
  EXPECTED FROM THE STORMS THIS WEEK.

  AFTERNOON HEAT INDEX VALUES WILL RANGE FROM THE MIDDLE TO UPPER
  90S AT TIMES THROUGH THE REST OF THE WEEK...ESPECIALLY ACROSS
  EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS AND ALONG THE MISSOURI AND ARKANSAS
  BORDER. HIGHER HEAT INDICES OVER 100 DEGREES WILL RETURN EARLY
  NEXT WEEK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

  SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED THROUGH TONIGHT.

&&

MORE DETAILED INFORMATION CAN BE ACCESSED AT:
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SGF/SITREP(ALL LOWERCASE)

THIS PRODUCT IN GRAPHICAL FORMAT...ALONG WITH OTHER WEATHER...
HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE INFORMATION...AT
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SGF(ALL LOWERCASE)

$$

LINDENBERG

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
920 PM CDT WED JUL 27 2016

KSZ032-033-047>053-067>072-082-083-091>096-098>100-280900-
RUSSELL-LINCOLN-BARTON-ELLSWORTH-SALINE-RICE-MCPHERSON-MARION-CHASE-
RENO-HARVEY-BUTLER-GREENWOOD-WOODSON-ALLEN-KINGMAN-SEDGWICK-HARPER-
SUMNER-COWLEY-ELK-WILSON-NEOSHO-CHAUTAUQUA-MONTGOMERY-LABETTE-
920 PM CDT WED JUL 27 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL, SOUTH
CENTRAL, AND SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

A COMPLEX OF STORMS MAY MOVE OUT OF THE HIGH PLAINS AND INTO THE
AREA LATE TONIGHT. A FEW STRONG OR SEVERE STORMS WITH DAMAGING WINDS
TO 60 MPH AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN ARE POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

A COMPLEX OF STORMS IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ON THE HIGH PLAINS THURSDAY
NIGHT AND WILL MOVE EAST. THERE IS A CHANCE THAT THIS COULD BE A
LONGER LIVED SYSTEM WITH WINDS APPROACHING 80 MPH. STAY TUNED FOR
THE LATEST INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM.

FROM THE REMAINDER OF THE PERIOD, THERE ARE PERIODIC CHANCES OF
THUNDERSTORMS. SHOULD THESE DEVELOP, DUE TO THE HEAT AND HUMIDITY,
THERE IS A GOOD CHANCE THEY WILL BECOME SEVERE WITH LARGE HAIL AND
SOME DAMAGING WIND.

THE HEAT WILL INCREASE OVER THE WEEKEND AND BY EARLY NEXT WEEK,
WILL PRODUCE HEAT INDICES NEAR 105 DEGREES. THESE HEAT INDICES
WILL REMAIN IN PLACE UNTIL THE LATTER PART OF NEXT WEEK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED TONIGHT.

&&

FOR A GRAPHICAL VERSION OF THIS INFORMATION, SEE OUR WEBPAGE AT:
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/WICHITA/HWO/

$$

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
530 PM CDT WED JUL 27 2016

ILZ075>078-080>094-INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ001>022-MOZ076-086-087-
100-107>112-114-281000-
JEFFERSON-WAYNE IL-EDWARDS-WABASH-PERRY IL-FRANKLIN-HAMILTON-
WHITE-JACKSON-WILLIAMSON-SALINE-GALLATIN-UNION-JOHNSON-POPE-
HARDIN-ALEXANDER-PULASKI-MASSAC-GIBSON-PIKE-POSEY-VANDERBURGH-
WARRICK-SPENCER-FULTON-HICKMAN-CARLISLE-BALLARD-MCCRACKEN-GRAVES-
LIVINGSTON-MARSHALL-CALLOWAY-CRITTENDEN-LYON-TRIGG-CALDWELL-
UNION KY-WEBSTER-HOPKINS-CHRISTIAN-HENDERSON-DAVIESS-MCLEAN-
MUHLENBERG-TODD-PERRY MO-BOLLINGER-CAPE GIRARDEAU-WAYNE MO-CARTER-
RIPLEY-BUTLER-STODDARD-SCOTT-MISSISSIPPI-NEW MADRID-
530 PM CDT WED JUL 27 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN
ILLINOIS...SOUTHWEST INDIANA...WESTERN KENTUCKY AND SOUTHEAST
MISSOURI.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE PRESENT THIS AFTERNOON.
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND LIGHTNING WILL BE THE PRIMARY CONCERNS.

MANY LOCATIONS WILL SEE HEAT INDEX READINGS OF 100 TO 105 INTO THE
EARLY EVENING HOURS.

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BECOME QUITE WIDESPREAD TONIGHT.
HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE MORE WIDESPREAD...ESPECIALLY OVER WEST
KENTUCKY...FAR SOUTHERN ILLINOIS AND SOUTHEAST MISSOURI. SOME
FLOODING ISSUES MAY DEVELOP IN LOCATIONS THAT EXPERIENCE HEAVY RAIN
THIS AFTERNOON AND AGAIN TONIGHT.

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH LATE
TOMORROW NIGHT FOR THE SOUTHERN PENNYRILE REGION OF WEST KENTUCKY.
SEE PRODUCT FOR DETAILS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE EAST OUT OF THE
REGION THROUGH THE DAY THURSDAY. HEAVY RAINFALL AND SOME FLOODING
ISSUES WILL BE POSSIBLE ESPECIALLY OVER WEST KENTUCKY...FAR SOUTHERN
ILLINOIS AND SOUTHEAST MISSOURI.

CHANCES OF THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORECAST EACH DAY THROUGH THE PERIOD.
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND LIGHTNING WILL BE THE PRIMARY CONCERNS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED...BUT ANY REPORTS OF HEAVY
RAINFALL OR FLOODING ISSUES WOULD BE GREATLY APPRECIATED.

$$

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
450 PM CDT WED JUL 27 2016

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-281030-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
450 PM CDT WED JUL 27 2016

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT.

THUNDERSTORMS WITH DANGEROUS LIGHTNING.
RISK...ELEVATED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWESTERN ARKANSAS.
ONSET...ONGOING.

DISCUSSION...
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS HAVE DEVELOPED THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS EASTERN
OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWESTERN ARKANSAS. THIS ACTIVITY WILL CONTINUE INTO
THIS EVENING. THE STRONGER STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WIND
GUSTS UP TO ABOUT 50 MPH. MUCH OF THIS ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO
DISSIPATE AROUND SUNSET. THE BEST CHANCE FOR OVERNIGHT THUNDERSTORM
ACTIVITY IS SOUTHEASTERN OKLAHOMA AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
LOCAL SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.
THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
SUNDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...DANGEROUS HEAT POTENTIAL.
MONDAY AND TUESDAY...DANGEROUS HEAT POTENTIAL.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
A MOIST...UNSTABLE...AND WEAKLY CAPPED AIR MASS WILL REMAIN OVER THE
REGION THROUGH THIS WEEKEND. THIS WILL RESULT IN CONTINUE CHANCES OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH SUNDAY. GREATER PRECIPITATION
CHANCES LOOK TO BE THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY...AND AGAIN FRIDAY
NIGHT INTO SATURDAY AS THUNDERSTORM COMPLEXES PUSH INTO THE REGION
WITHIN THE UPPER LEVEL NORTHWESTERLY FLOW.

A HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE BUILDS BACK ACROSS THE REGION LATE THIS WEEKEND
INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. THE THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL BE MINIMIZED AS A
RESULT OF THIS WEATHER PATTERN AND A RETURN TO ABOVE NORMAL
TEMPERATURES AND HUMIDITY IS EXPECTED.

WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

$$

69

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
332 PM CDT WED JUL 27 2016

KSZ008>012-020>024-026-034>040-054>056-058-059-282045-
REPUBLIC-WASHINGTON-MARSHALL-NEMAHA-BROWN-CLOUD-CLAY-RILEY-
POTTAWATOMIE-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-OTTAWA-DICKINSON-GEARY-MORRIS-
WABAUNSEE-SHAWNEE-DOUGLAS-LYON-OSAGE-FRANKLIN-COFFEY-ANDERSON-
332 PM CDT WED JUL 27 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL...NORTH
CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

A FEW THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE LATE THIS EVENING INTO THE
OVERNIGHT PERIOD...GENERALLY ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

ADDITIONAL SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE AREA
THURSDAY NIGHT. A FEW OF THESE STORMS MAY BE STRONG TO SEVERE
WITH STRONG WIND GUSTS AND SMALL HAIL BEING THE PRIMARY HAZARDS.

ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORMS CHANCES CONTINUE FRIDAY NIGHT AND
SATURDAY NIGHT WITH THE BEST CHANCE FOR ORGANIZED THUNDERSTORMS ON
SATURDAY NIGHT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED THROUGH TONIGHT.

&&

MORE DETAILED INFORMATION CAN BE ACCESSED AT...
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TOP/SITREP

$$

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
329 PM CDT WED JUL 27 2016

ARZ008-009-017-018-026>028-035-036-048-049-058-MOZ113-115-
MSZ001>017-020>024-TNZ001>004-019>022-048>055-088>092-282230-
ALCORN-BENTON MS-BENTON TN-CALHOUN-CARROLL-CHESTER-CHICKASAW-CLAY-
COAHOMA-CRAIGHEAD-CRITTENDEN-CROCKETT-CROSS-DESOTO-DECATUR-
DUNKLIN-DYER-FAYETTE-GIBSON-GREENE-HARDEMAN-HARDIN-HAYWOOD-
HENDERSON-HENRY-ITAWAMBA-LAFAYETTE-LAKE-LAUDERDALE-LAWRENCE-
LEE AR-LEE MS-MADISON-MARSHALL-MCNAIRY-MISSISSIPPI-MONROE-OBION-
PANOLA-PEMISCOT-PHILLIPS-POINSETT-PONTOTOC-PRENTISS-QUITMAN-
RANDOLPH-SHELBY-ST. FRANCIS-TALLAHATCHIE-TATE-TIPPAH-TIPTON-
TISHOMINGO-TUNICA-UNION-WEAKLEY-YALOBUSHA-
329 PM CDT WED JUL 27 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EAST ARKANSAS...
THE MISSOURI BOOTHEEL...NORTH MISSISSIPPI...AND WEST TENNESSEE.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT
AS A VERY MOIST AIRMASS IS IN PLACE OVER THE MIDSOUTH. THE STORMS
WILL BE CAPABLE OF HEAVY RAINFALL...AND LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING
MAY OCCUR.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED FROM THURSDAY INTO THE WEEKEND.
THE VERY MOIST AIRMASS IN PLACE WILL BE FAVORABLE FOR CONTINUED
PERIODS OF HEAVY RAINFALL AND THE THREAT OF LOCALIZED FLASH
FLOODING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.

$$

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
500 AM CDT WED JUL 27 2016

ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-281000-
BOONE-MARION-BAXTER-FULTON-SHARP-NEWTON-SEARCY-STONE-IZARD-
INDEPENDENCE-JOHNSON-POPE-VAN BUREN-CLEBURNE-JACKSON-LOGAN-CONWAY-
FAULKNER-WHITE-WOODRUFF-SCOTT-YELL-PERRY-POLK-MONTGOMERY-GARLAND-
SALINE-PULASKI-LONOKE-PRAIRIE-MONROE-PIKE-CLARK-HOT SPRING-GRANT-
JEFFERSON-ARKANSAS-DALLAS-CLEVELAND-LINCOLN-DESHA-OUACHITA-CALHOUN-
BRADLEY-DREW-500 AM CDT WED JUL 27 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR A LARGE PART OF ARKANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

AN UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL MOVE ACROSS EASTERN ARKANSAS TODAY WITH
WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED MAINLY DURING THE
AFTERNOON HOURS. THE STORMS WILL MOVE SLOWLY...INCREASING THE
POSSIBILITY OF LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN. WHILE A STRONG STORM CAN NOT BE
EXCLUDED...THE OVERALL THE THREAT FOR HAZARDOUS WEATHER WILL REMAIN
LOW THROUGH THE PERIOD.

AFTERNOON HIGHS WILL ONLY REACH THE UPPER 80S TO LOWER 90S DUE TO
THE INCREASE IN CLOUD COVER. HOWEVER...WITH PLENTY OF HUMIDITY STILL
IN PLACE...HEAT INDICES WILL STILL MAKE IT INTO THE UPPER 90S DURING
THE AFTERNOON HOURS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

MORE SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORECAST EACH DAY THIS
WEEK AS AREA REMAINS BETWEEN UPPER LEVEL RIDGES. OTHER THAN CLOUD TO
GROUND LIGHTNING...SOME GUSTY WINDS COULD ALSO BE SEEN WITH SOME
OF THE STRONGER STORMS.

GIVEN THE SLOW MOVEMENT OF ANY STORMS... LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL
BE POSSIBLE...RESULTING IN AN ISOLATED FLASH FLOOD THREAT. THE
THREAT FOR ANY SEVERE STORMS WILL REMAIN ISOLATED AND LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

&&

VISIT NWS LITTLE ROCK ON THE WEB. GO TO HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/LZK.

$$

56

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
418 AM CDT WED JUL 27 2016

KSZ025-057-060-102>105-MOZ001>008-011>017-020>025-028>033-037>040-
043>046-053-054-280930-
ATCHISON KS-MIAMI-LINN KS-DONIPHAN-LEAVENWORTH-WYANDOTTE-JOHNSON KS-
ATCHISON MO-NODAWAY-WORTH-GENTRY-HARRISON-MERCER-PUTNAM-SCHUYLER-
HOLT-ANDREW-DE KALB-DAVIESS-GRUNDY-SULLIVAN-ADAIR-BUCHANAN-CLINTON-
CALDWELL-LIVINGSTON-LINN MO-MACON-PLATTE-CLAY-RAY-CARROLL-CHARITON-
RANDOLPH-JACKSON-LAFAYETTE-SALINE-HOWARD-CASS-JOHNSON MO-PETTIS-
COOPER-BATES-HENRY-
418 AM CDT WED JUL 27 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST...NORTH CENTRAL AND
WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI...AS WELL AS EXTREME EASTERN KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

 SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE LATE THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT.
 WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED...BUT STRONGER STORMS
 COULD PRODUCE BRIEFLY GUSTY WINDS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

 PERIODS OF ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE FRIDAY THROUGH THE
 WEEKEND. WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

 MORE DETAILED INFORMATION CAN BE ACCESSED AT...
 HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/EAX/HWO

$$

U.S. Dept. of Commerce
NOAA National Weather Service
1325 East West Highway
Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: June 2, 2009
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