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Severe Thunderstorm Warning


SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
537 PM CDT THU MAY 23 2013

LAC115-232300-
/O.CON.KLCH.SV.W.0055.000000T0000Z-130523T2300Z/
VERNON LA-
537 PM CDT THU MAY 23 2013

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 600 PM CDT
FOR SOUTH CENTRAL VERNON PARISH...

AT 526 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM ON RADAR CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL.
THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR FORT POLK..MOVING EAST AT 10 MPH.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  RURAL SOUTHERN VERNON PARISH AT 550 PM CDT

LAT...LON 3101 9307 3092 9309 3090 9331 3108 9330
TIME...MOT...LOC 2236Z 274DEG 9KT 3098 9319

$$


Severe Weather Statement


SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
556 PM CDT THU MAY 23 2013

LAC039-079-232305-
/O.CAN.KLCH.SV.W.0056.000000T0000Z-130523T2315Z/
RAPIDES LA-EVANGELINE LA-
556 PM CDT THU MAY 23 2013

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTH CENTRAL EVANGELINE AND
CENTRAL RAPIDES PARISHES IS CANCELLED...

AT 555 PM CDT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR IN LAKE CHARLES
INDICATED THE THUNDERSTORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING ACROSS
PORTIONS OF RAPIDES AND EVANGELINE PARISHES HAS WEAKENED TO BELOW
SEVERE LIMITS.

LAT...LON 3111 9227 3089 9243 3109 9259 3117 9254
TIME...MOT...LOC 2255Z 306DEG 3KT 3109 9248

$$

25

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
537 PM CDT THU MAY 23 2013

LAC115-232300-
/O.CON.KLCH.SV.W.0055.000000T0000Z-130523T2300Z/
VERNON LA-
537 PM CDT THU MAY 23 2013

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 600 PM CDT
FOR SOUTH CENTRAL VERNON PARISH...

AT 526 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM ON RADAR CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL.
THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR FORT POLK..MOVING EAST AT 10 MPH.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  RURAL SOUTHERN VERNON PARISH AT 550 PM CDT

LAT...LON 3101 9307 3092 9309 3090 9331 3108 9330
TIME...MOT...LOC 2236Z 274DEG 9KT 3098 9319

$$


Flood Warning


FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
155 PM CDT THU MAY 23 2013

OKC005-013-240255-
/O.CON.KOUN.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-130524T1200Z/
/CNEO2.1.ER.000000T0000Z.130523T1200Z.130524T0600Z.NO/
155 PM CDT THU MAY 23 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CLEAR BOGGY CREEK NEAR CANEY

* UNTIL FRIDAY MORNING.

* NO OBSERVED STAGE WAS AVAILABLE.

* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING.

* FLOOD STAGE IS 19.0 FEET.

* FORECAST...CLEAR BOGGY CREEK IS CRESTING NEAR 21 FEET AND WILL
  BEGIN FALLING BY THURSDAY EVENING. CLEAR BOGGY CREEK WILL FALL
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY FRIDAY MORNING.

* IMPACT...AT 21 FEET...CREEK LEVELS RISE TO ABOUT 2 FEET HIGHER THAN
  FLOOD STAGE IN WESTERN ATOKA COUNTY AND EXTREME NORTHEASTERN BRYAN
  COUNTY.  HIGH STAGES ON SMALL FEEDER STREAMS COULD  RESULT IN EVEN
  GREATER DEPTHS TO MAINSTEM BOTTOMLANDS NEAR THEIR POINTS OF ENTRY
  INTO CLEAR BOGGY CREEK. CROPLANDS...PASTURES...AND SOME SECONDARY
  RURAL ROADS ARE AFFECTED.

$$

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
1111 AM CDT THU MAY 23 2013


...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN
ARKANSAS...LOUISIANA...MISSISSIPPI...

  MISSISSIPPI RIVER NEAR GREENVILLE AFFECTING CHICOT...EAST CARROLL...
  ISSAQUENA AND WASHINGTON COUNTIES

  MISSISSIPPI RIVER AT VICKSBURG AFFECTING MADISON...TENSAS...
  CLAIBORNE...JEFFERSON AND WARREN COUNTIES/PARISHES

  MISSISSIPPI RIVER AT NATCHEZ AFFECTING CONCORDIA...ADAMS AND
  WILKINSON COUNTIES/PARISHES


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE OR WALK THROUGH AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS ROADWAYS! THE
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS. PLEASE USE EXTREME CAUTION IF
VENTURING NEAR RIVERBANKS. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY SHOULD
RISING WATER THREATEN YOUR SAFETY. REMEMBER...TURN AROUND, DON`T
DROWN!

THE FORECASTS ARE BASED ON RAINFALL THAT HAS OCCURRED AND THAT WHICH
IS FORECAST TO OCCUR OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS.

ADDITIONAL INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT (USE LOWER CASE LETTERS)
HTTP://AHPS.SRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=JAN

THE NEXT REGULARLY SCHEDULED UPDATE IS EXPECTED TONIGHT BETWEEN 8 AND
10 PM.


&&

ARC017-LAC035-MSC055-151-242211-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0106.000000T0000Z-130526T0900Z/
/GEEM6.1.ER.130513T0035Z.130519T1100Z.130525T1800Z.NO/
1111 AM CDT THU MAY 23 2013

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL LATE SATURDAY NIGHT...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER NEAR GREENVILLE
* UNTIL LATE SATURDAY NIGHT.
* AT 10:00 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 48.5 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 48.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY
  EARLY SATURDAY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 48.0 FEET...WATER BEGINS TO COVER THE DIRT ROAD LEADING
  TO THE FARMERS GRAIN TERMINAL FACILITY WHICH IS NORTH OF THE  NEW
  GREENVILLE BRIDGE.
* IMPACT...AT 45.0 FEET...BOTTOMLAND NEAR RIVER IS FLOODED.
* IMPACT...AT 44.5 FEET...ROAD TO BUNGE CORPORATION GRAIN ELEVATORS IS
  UNDER WATER.
* IMPACT...AT 43.5 FEET...LOWER LAKE FERGUSON ROAD BEGINS TO FLOOD.
* IMPACT...AT 42.0 FEET...FLOODING IS OCCURRING AROUND LAKE FERGUSON.

&&

              FLOOD    OBSERVED        FORECAST 6AM       CREST
LOCATION      STG   STG DAY  TIME   FRI   SAT   SUN CREST TIME  DATE

LOWER MISSISSIPPI RIVER
GREENVILLE     48  48.5 THU 10 AM  48.4  48.1  47.7     FALLING

$$

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
1111 AM CDT THU MAY 23 2013


...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN
ARKANSAS...LOUISIANA...MISSISSIPPI...

  MISSISSIPPI RIVER NEAR GREENVILLE AFFECTING CHICOT...EAST CARROLL...
  ISSAQUENA AND WASHINGTON COUNTIES

  MISSISSIPPI RIVER AT VICKSBURG AFFECTING MADISON...TENSAS...
  CLAIBORNE...JEFFERSON AND WARREN COUNTIES/PARISHES

  MISSISSIPPI RIVER AT NATCHEZ AFFECTING CONCORDIA...ADAMS AND
  WILKINSON COUNTIES/PARISHES


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE OR WALK THROUGH AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS ROADWAYS! THE
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS. PLEASE USE EXTREME CAUTION IF
VENTURING NEAR RIVERBANKS. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY SHOULD
RISING WATER THREATEN YOUR SAFETY. REMEMBER...TURN AROUND, DON`T
DROWN!

THE FORECASTS ARE BASED ON RAINFALL THAT HAS OCCURRED AND THAT WHICH
IS FORECAST TO OCCUR OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS.

ADDITIONAL INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT (USE LOWER CASE LETTERS)
HTTP://AHPS.SRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=JAN

THE NEXT REGULARLY SCHEDULED UPDATE IS EXPECTED TONIGHT BETWEEN 8 AND
10 PM.


&&

LAC029-MSC001-157-242210-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0089.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/NTZM6.1.ER.130506T1830Z.130523T1500Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1111 AM CDT THU MAY 23 2013


THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER AT NATCHEZ
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 10:00 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 50.6 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 48.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL REMAIN STEADY THROUGH FRIDAY AND THEN BEGIN
  TO FALL SLOWLY
* IMPACT...AT 51.0 FEET...WATER IS COVERING THE ROADS IN OLD DOWNTOWN
  AREA OF FORT ADAMS...PARTICULARLY MAIN STREET. ROAD TO JACKSON
  POINT IS FLOODED.
* IMPACT...AT 48.0 FEET...CARTHAGE POINT ROAD BECOMES IMPASSABLE.
* IMPACT...AT 47.0 FEET...WATER BEGINS TO ENTER THE FORMER BELWOOD
  GOLF COURSE AND CARTHAGE POINT ROAD AREA SOUTH OF NATCHEZ.
* IMPACT...AT 45.0 FEET...WATER UNDER SOME BUILDINGS AROUND FORT
  ADAMS, MISSISSIPPI.
* IMPACT...AT 44.0 FEET...SOME CAMPS AND MOST ACCESS ROADS FLOODED
  ALONG LAKE MARY.
* IMPACT...AT 43.0 FEET...WATER IS OVER THORNBURG LAKE ROAD IN THE
  AREA KNOWN AS ANNA`S BOTTOM NORTH OF NATCHEZ.  ALSO, LAKE MARY ROAD
  IS UNDER WATER.
* IMPACT...AT 38.0 FEET...LOWLANDS ALONG THE RIVER IN AREAS NOT
  PROTECTED BY LEVEES BEGIN TO FLOOD. SOME OF THESE AREAS CONTAIN OIL
  AND GAS WELLS ON BOTH SIDES OF THE RIVER, BUT ARE NOT AFFECTED
  UNTIL HIGHER STAGES.

&&

              FLOOD    OBSERVED        FORECAST 6AM       CREST
LOCATION      STG   STG DAY  TIME   FRI   SAT   SUN CREST TIME  DATE

LOWER MISSISSIPPI RIVER
NATCHEZ        48  50.6 THU 10 AM  50.6  50.5  50.4     CRESTING

$$

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
1111 AM CDT THU MAY 23 2013


...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN
ARKANSAS...LOUISIANA...MISSISSIPPI...

  MISSISSIPPI RIVER NEAR GREENVILLE AFFECTING CHICOT...EAST CARROLL...
  ISSAQUENA AND WASHINGTON COUNTIES

  MISSISSIPPI RIVER AT VICKSBURG AFFECTING MADISON...TENSAS...
  CLAIBORNE...JEFFERSON AND WARREN COUNTIES/PARISHES

  MISSISSIPPI RIVER AT NATCHEZ AFFECTING CONCORDIA...ADAMS AND
  WILKINSON COUNTIES/PARISHES


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE OR WALK THROUGH AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS ROADWAYS! THE
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS. PLEASE USE EXTREME CAUTION IF
VENTURING NEAR RIVERBANKS. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY SHOULD
RISING WATER THREATEN YOUR SAFETY. REMEMBER...TURN AROUND, DON`T
DROWN!

THE FORECASTS ARE BASED ON RAINFALL THAT HAS OCCURRED AND THAT WHICH
IS FORECAST TO OCCUR OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS.

ADDITIONAL INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT (USE LOWER CASE LETTERS)
HTTP://AHPS.SRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=JAN

THE NEXT REGULARLY SCHEDULED UPDATE IS EXPECTED TONIGHT BETWEEN 8 AND
10 PM.


&&

LAC065-107-MSC021-063-149-242210-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0107.000000T0000Z-130528T1800Z/
/VCKM6.1.ER.130511T1734Z.130523T1200Z.130528T0300Z.NO/
1111 AM CDT THU MAY 23 2013

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL TUESDAY AFTERNOON...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER AT VICKSBURG
* UNTIL TUESDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT  8:00 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 44.3 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 43.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY
  MONDAY BEFORE MIDNIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 44.0 FEET...FORD AND KINGS SUBDIVISION AT PITTMAN ROAD
  AND MARY`S ALLEY BEGINS TO FLOOD.
* IMPACT...AT 43.0 FEET...JACKSON LANE IN NORTH VICKSBURG BEGINS TO
  FLOOD.
* IMPACT...AT 42.0 FEET...BUNGE GRAIN FACILITY NEAR ST. JOSEPH
  LOUISIANA CEASES LOADING OPERATIONS .
* IMPACT...AT 41.0 FEET...THE STORM WATER DRAIN VALVES ARE CLOSED AT
  THE FLOOD GATES ALONG THE VICKSBURG WATER FRONT.
* IMPACT...AT 40.0 FEET...SEVERAL ROADS IN THE LONG LAKE AND CHICKASAW
  BAYOU COMMUNITIES ARE INUNDATED.
* IMPACT...AT 39.0 FEET...BEGIN CLOSING FIRST FLOOD GATE AT THE
  VICKSBURG WATERFRONT.
* IMPACT...AT 36.5 FEET...WATER BEGINS TO AFFECT THE LONG LAKE
  COMMUNITY.
* IMPACT...AT 35.0 FEET...SEVERAL THOUSAND ACRES OF FARM,
  AGRICULTURAL, AND BOTTOM LAND FLOODS. IN THE YAZOO BACKWATER AREA
  NORTH OF THE CITY, HUNTING CAMPS AND FORESTED LAND BEGIN TO FLOOD.

&&

              FLOOD    OBSERVED        FORECAST 6AM       CREST
LOCATION      STG   STG DAY  TIME   FRI   SAT   SUN CREST TIME  DATE

LOWER MISSISSIPPI RIVER
VICKSBURG      43  44.3 THU 08 AM  44.2  44.1  43.8     FALLING

$$

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS BATON ROUGE LA
1050 AM CDT THU MAY 23 2013

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN
LOUISIANA...

  MISSISSIPPI RIVER AT RED RIVER LANDING AFFECTING EAST BATON
  ROUGE...POINTE COUPEE AND WEST FELICIANA PARISHES

  MISSISSIPPI RIVER AT BATON ROUGE AFFECTING EAST BATON ROUGE AND
  WEST BATON ROUGE PARISHES

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FORECAST CRESTS ARE BASED UPON RAINFALL THAT HAS OCCURRED ALONG WITH
ANTICIPATED RAIN FOR THE NEXT 12 HOURS. ADJUSTMENTS TO THE FORECASTS
WILL BE MADE IF ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL OCCURS.

DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  REMEMBER...TWO FEET OF
RUSHING WATER CAN CARRY AWAY MOST VEHICLES INCLUDING PICKUPS.  TURN
AROUND AND DON`T DROWN.

A FOLLOWUP PRODUCT WILL BE ISSUED LATER. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER
RADIO...LOCAL TV AND RADIO STATIONS...OR YOUR CABLE PROVIDER...FOR
THE LATEST INFORMATION.  THE LATEST GRAPHICAL HYDROLOGIC INFORMATION
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WEATHER.GOV.

&&

LAC033-077-125-242150-
/O.CON.KLIX.FL.W.0094.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/RRLL1.1.ER.130502T0035Z.130523T1400Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1050 AM CDT THU MAY 23 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER AT RED RIVER LANDING.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT  9:00 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 52.9 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 48.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS CRESTING.
* IMPACT...AT 51.0 FEET...ALL RIVER ISLANDS ALONG THE REACH FROM RED
  RIVER LANDING TO BATON ROUGE WILL BE INUNDATED. RECREATIONAL CAMPS
  AND RIVER BOTTOM FARM LAND WILL BE UNDER WATER.
* IMPACT...AT 48.0 FEET...ACCESS ROADS WILL BE INUNDATED AND
  EVACUATION OF ALL RIVER ISLANDS MUST BE COMPLETE. PROTECTION OF
  PEOPLE AND PROPERTY IN THE RIVER BOTTOM LAND ON THE RIVER SIDE OF
  THE LEVEES MUST BE COMPLETE.
* IMPACT...AT 46.0 FEET...RIVER TRAFFIC WILL BECOME DANGEROUS. A LEVEE
  CREVASSE WOULD FLOOD ADJACENT FARM LAND. SIGNIFICANT FLOODING OF
  RACCOURCI ISLAND WILL CONTINUE AND EVACUATION OF THE ISLAND IS
  RECOMMENDED.
* IMPACT...AT 45.0 FEET...BETWEEN THE 40 AND 45 FOOT STAGE FLOODING OF
  RACCOURCI ISLAND BECOMES SIGNIFICANT. AT THE 45 FOOT STAGE
  EVACUATION OF THE ISLAND IS RECOMMENDED.

$$


Flood Advisory


FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
543 PM CDT THU MAY 23 2013

LAC115-240045-
/O.NEW.KLCH.FA.Y.0041.130523T2243Z-130524T0045Z/
/00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
VERNON LA-
543 PM CDT THU MAY 23 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LAKE CHARLES HAS ISSUED A

* SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY FOR...
  SOUTH CENTRAL VERNON PARISH IN WEST CENTRAL LOUISIANA...

* UNTIL 745 PM CDT

* AT 543 PM CDT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR IN LAKE
CHARLES INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WHICH WAS NEARLY STATIONARY
NORTHEAST OF ROSEPINE. THE STORM WAS PRODUCING AS MUCH AS THREE
INCHES OF RAIN PER HOUR...WHICH MAY LEAD TO MINOR FLOODING OF
ROADWAYS AND A QUICK FILLING OF DITCHES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. NEVER DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO
AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. FLOOD WATERS ARE USUALLY
DEEPER THAN THEY APPEAR. JUST ONE FOOT OF FLOWING WATER IS POWERFUL
ENOUGH TO SWEEP VEHICLES OFF THE ROAD. WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED
ROADS MAKE THE SMART CHOICE...TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.

TURN AROUND...DON`T DROWN... MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES.
NEVER DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. FLOOD WATERS ARE USUALLY DEEPER THAN THEY APPEAR. JUST ONE
FOOT OF FLOWING WATER IS POWERFUL ENOUGH TO SWEEP VEHICLES OFF THE
ROAD. WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED ROADS MAKE THE SMART CHOICE...TURN
AROUND...DONT DROWN.

&&

LAT...LON 3099 9302 3088 9305 3096 9337 3105 9331

$$

25

FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
513 PM CDT THU MAY 23 2013

LAC009-079-240015-
/O.NEW.KLCH.FA.Y.0040.130523T2213Z-130524T0015Z/
/00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
RAPIDES LA-AVOYELLES LA-
513 PM CDT THU MAY 23 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LAKE CHARLES HAS ISSUED A

* SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY FOR...
  WEST CENTRAL AVOYELLES PARISH IN CENTRAL LOUISIANA...
  EAST CENTRAL RAPIDES PARISH IN CENTRAL LOUISIANA...
  THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF CHENEYVILLE...

* UNTIL 715 PM CDT

* AT 511 PM CDT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR IN LAKE
CHARLES INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WHICH WAS NEARLY STATIONARY
NEAR THE TOWN OF LECOMPTE. THE STORM WAS PRODUCING AS MUCH AS THREE
INCHES OF RAIN PER HOUR...WHICH MAY LEAD TO MINOR FLOODING OF
ROADWAYS AND A QUICK FILLING OF DITCHES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TURN AROUND...DON`T DROWN... MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES.
NEVER DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. FLOOD WATERS ARE USUALLY DEEPER THAN THEY APPEAR. JUST ONE
FOOT OF FLOWING WATER IS POWERFUL ENOUGH TO SWEEP VEHICLES OFF THE
ROAD. WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED ROADS MAKE THE SMART CHOICE...TURN
AROUND...DONT DROWN.

&&

LAT...LON 3114 9209 3096 9223 3098 9234 3100 9238
      3099 9241 3100 9249 3124 9252

$$

25

FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
1235 PM CDT THU MAY 23 2013

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEMPHIS TN HAS ISSUED A FLOOD
ADVISORY FOR THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER...

  AT TUNICA RIVERPARK AFFECTING LEE AND TUNICA
  COUNTIES

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THE NEXT RIVER STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED LATER TODAY.

FOR GRAPHICAL RIVER AND FLOOD INFORMATION...PLEASE GO TO
WWW.WEATHER.GOV AND CLICK NEAR MEMPHIS ON THE MAP. THEN SELECT RIVERS
AND LAKES AHPS UNDER CURRENT CONDITIONS.

DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOODED AREAS...TURN AROUND DON`T DROWN.

STAY TUNED TO YOUR WEATHER RADIO AND YOUR LOCAL NEWS MEDIA FOR THE
LATEST RIVER INFORMATION.

&&

ARC077-MSC143-241735-
/O.NEW.KMEG.FL.Y.0038.130523T1735Z-130525T2032Z/
/TRPM6.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
1235 PM CDT THU MAY 23 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEMPHIS TN HAS ISSUED A
* FLOOD ADVISORY FOR
  THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER AT TUNICA RIVERPARK
* FROM THURSDAY MAY 23 UNTIL SATURDAY MAY 25.
* AT 12 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 40.8 FEET AND FALLING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 41.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL. EXPECTED TO BE
  BELOW ACTION STAGE OF 38 FEET LATE FRIDAY EARLY SATURDAY.

$$

FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
1114 AM CDT THU MAY 23 2013


...THE FLOOD ADVISORY CONTINUES FOR THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER...

  MISSISSIPPI RIVER NEAR ARKANSAS CITY AFFECTING CHICOT...DESHA...
  BOLIVAR AND WASHINGTON COUNTIES


ARC017-041-MSC011-151-242214-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-130525T2200Z/
/ARSA4.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
1114 AM CDT THU MAY 23 2013

THE FLOOD ADVISORY CONTINUES FOR
  THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER NEAR ARKANSAS CITY.
* UNTIL SATURDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 10:00 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 36.5 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 37.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW THE ACTION STAGE
  OF 36 FEET BY SATURDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 35.0 FEET...THE ROAD TO DONALDSON POINT IS CUT OFF.

&&

              FLOOD    OBSERVED        FORECAST 6AM       CREST
LOCATION      STG   STG DAY  TIME   FRI   SAT   SUN CREST TIME  DATE

LOWER MISSISSIPPI RIVER
ARKANSAS CITY  37  36.5 THU 10 AM  36.3  36.0  35.4     FALLING

$$

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
1059 AM CDT THU MAY 23 2013


...FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LITTLE ROCK...THE FLOOD
ADVISORY CONTINUES FOR THE WHITE RIVER...
  WHITE RIVER AT CLARENDON AFFECTING ARKANSAS AND MONROE COUNTIES


RIVER FORECASTS ARE BASED ON CURRENT CONDITIONS AND RAINFALL
FORECASTED TO OCCUR OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS. DURING PERIODS OF
FLOODING...EVENING FORECASTS ARE REISSUED WITH UPDATED RAINFALL
FORECASTS.

OBSERVED AND FORECASTED STAGE DATA PLOTS ARE AVAILABLE ON OUR
ADVANCED HYDROLOGIC PREDICTION SERVICE WEB PAGE AT...
WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/LZK
UNDER THE CURRENT CONDITIONS SECTION...SELECT RIVER AND LAKES AHPS.


ARC001-095-240458-
/O.CON.KLZK.FL.Y.0016.000000T0000Z-130524T0458Z/
/CLDA4.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
1059 AM CDT THU MAY 23 2013

FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LITTLE ROCK ...THE FLOOD
ADVISORY CONTINUES FOR
  THE WHITE RIVER AT CLARENDON.
* UNTIL THIS EVENING.
* AT 10:00 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 25.5 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 26.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO NEAR 25.7 FEET BY EARLY FRIDAY
  MORNING. IT IS EXPECTED TO CREST JUST UNDER FLOOD STAGE...
  THEN BEGIN A SLOW FALL DURING THE WEEKEND.

$$

111


Special Weather Statement


SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
LAZ034-035-046-240000-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
555 PM CDT THU MAY 23 2013

...CLUSTER OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS MOVING SOUTHEAST AFFECTING POINTE
COUPEE PARISH...WEST FELICIANA PARISH...IBERVILLE PARISH...

AT 551 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
CLUSTER OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS 7 MILES WEST OF NEW ROADS...OR ABOUT
5 MILES SOUTH OF MORGANZA...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 5 MPH.

THE CLUSTER OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT AREAS IN AND
AROUND...NEW ROADS...LOTTIE...LIVONIA AND MARINGOUIN

THE PRIMARY THREATS FROM THESE STORMS ARE FREQUENT LIGHTNING...PEA TO
DIME SIZE HAIL...AND WIND GUSTS TO NEAR 40 MPH...WHICH COULD DOWN
TREE LIMBS AND BLOW AROUND UNSECURED SMALL OBJECTS. SEEK SHELTER IN A
SAFE HOME OR BUILDING UNTIL THESE STORMS HAVE PASSED.

THESE STORMS ARE SLOW MOVING AND MOVING OVER THE SAME AREAS. THESE
STORMS ARE PRODUCING RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF ONE TO ONE AND A HALF
INCHES IN A SHORT PERIOD OF TIME...RESULTING IN PONDING OF WATER
AROUND LOW LYING ROADWAYS. REMEMBER...DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO
WATER COVERED ROADWAYS. THE DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW A SAFE
CROSSING.

FREQUENT LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS. IF OUTDOORS...STAY
AWAY FROM ISOLATED HIGH OBJECTS SUCH AS TREES. MOVE INDOORS IF
POSSIBLE. WHEN INDOORS...STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS AND DOORS AND AVOID
USING TELEPHONES UNLESS IT IS AN EMERGENCY. TRY TO UNPLUG UNNECESSARY
ELECTRICAL APPLIANCES BEFORE THE THUNDERSTORM APPROACHES.

BE PREPARED TO TAKE QUICK ACTION IF A WARNING IS ISSUED. STAY TUNED
TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE LOCAL MEDIA OUTLETS FOR
FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

$$


Hazardous Weather Outlook


HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
515 PM CDT THU MAY 23 2013

TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-241100-
MONTAGUE-COOKE-GRAYSON-FANNIN-LAMAR-YOUNG-JACK-WISE-DENTON-COLLIN-
HUNT-DELTA-HOPKINS-STEPHENS-PALO PINTO-PARKER-TARRANT-DALLAS-
ROCKWALL-KAUFMAN-VAN ZANDT-RAINS-EASTLAND-ERATH-HOOD-SOMERVELL-
JOHNSON-ELLIS-HENDERSON-COMANCHE-MILLS-HAMILTON-BOSQUE-HILL-NAVARRO-
FREESTONE-ANDERSON-LAMPASAS-CORYELL-BELL-MCLENNAN-FALLS-LIMESTONE-
LEON-MILAM-ROBERTSON-
515 PM CDT THU MAY 23 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.
THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND INTO THE EARLY
EVENING...GENERALLY ALONG AND NORTH OF THE I-20 CORRIDOR. ANY
STORMS THAT DEVELOP WILL LIKELY BECOME SEVERE...WITH LARGE HAIL
THE PRIMARY THREAT.

IN ADDITION...THUNDERSTORMS MAY APPROACH FROM THE NORTHWEST THIS
EVENING...IMPACTING AREAS GENERALLY NORTHWEST OF A LINE FROM
GOLDTHWAITE...TO HILLSBORO...TO ATHENS DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.
SOME OF THESE STORMS MAY BE SEVERE WITH LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING
WINDS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL CONTINUE ACROSS ALL OF NORTH TEXAS
FRIDAY AND ACROSS THE WESTERN COUNTIES FRIDAY NIGHT. THERE IS A
SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT ACROSS
ALL OF NORTH TEXAS. A FEW STORMS COULD BECOME STRONG TO SEVERE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
LIMITED SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUESTED THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING...MAINLY ALONG AND NORTH OF THE I-20 CORRIDOR.

$$

25

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
510 PM CDT THU MAY 23 2013

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-241000-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
510 PM CDT THU MAY 23 2013

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...THIS EVENING INTO TONIGHT.

THUNDERSTORM WITH DANGEROUS LIGHTNING.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA.
ONSET...ONGOING.

DISCUSSION...
A NARROW BAND OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA
WILL DISSIPATE BY EARLY EVENING.  THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE A FEW
THUNDERSTORMS COULD MOVE INTO EASTERN OKLAHOMA FROM THE WEST LATE
TONIGHT.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
LOCAL SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY...NO HAZARDS.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
SEVERAL WEAK UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA
THIS WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. THIS WILL RESULT IN ISOLATED TO
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT EACH DAY THROUGH AT LEAST NEXT
MONDAY.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.
$$

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
231 PM CDT THU MAY 23 2013

ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-015-016-023>026-MSZ047-048-053-054-059>063-
241945-
ASHLEY-CHICOT-MOREHOUSE-WEST CARROLL-EAST CARROLL-RICHLAND-
MADISON LA-FRANKLIN LA-CATAHOULA-TENSAS-CONCORDIA-WARREN-HINDS-
CLAIBORNE-COPIAH-JEFFERSON-ADAMS-FRANKLIN MS-LINCOLN-LAWRENCE-
231 PM CDT THU MAY 23 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EXTREME SOUTHEAST
ARKANSAS...NORTHEAST LOUISIANA...AND SOUTHWEST MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT AND FRIDAY

A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON AND
EVENING...PRIMARILY OVER NORTHEAST LOUISIANA INTO EXTREME SOUTHWEST
MISSISSIPPI.  THE MOST INTENSE STORMS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL FOR
WIND GUSTS FROM 40 TO 50 MPH AS WELL AS SMALL HAIL.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT... THE ACTIVATION OF STORM
SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT
PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER OPERATIONS...SHOULD NOT BE
NEEDED.

$$

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
1228 PM CDT THU MAY 23 2013

GMZ530-532-534-536-538-550-552-555-557-570-572-575-577-LAZ034>037-
039-040-046>050-056>072-MSZ068>071-077-080>082-240530-
LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN AND LAKE MAUREPAS-MISSISSIPPI SOUND-
LAKE BORGNE-CHANDELEUR SOUND-BRETON SOUND-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT FOURCHON TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
TO PORT FOURCHON OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM BOOTHVILLE LA TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO STAKE ISLAND LA OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT FOURCHON TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER FROM
20 TO 60 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
TO PORT FOURCHON FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM STAKE ISLAND LA TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO STAKE ISLAND LA FROM 20 TO
60 NM-POINTE COUPEE-WEST FELICIANA-EAST FELICIANA-ST. HELENA-
WASHINGTON-ST. TAMMANY-IBERVILLE-WEST BATON ROUGE-
EAST BATON ROUGE-ASCENSION-LIVINGSTON-ASSUMPTION-ST. JAMES-
ST. JOHN THE BAPTIST-UPPER LAFOURCHE-ST. CHARLES-UPPER JEFFERSON-
ORLEANS-UPPER PLAQUEMINES-UPPER ST. BERNARD-UPPER TERREBONNE-
LOWER TERREBONNE-LOWER LAFOURCHE-LOWER JEFFERSON-
LOWER PLAQUEMINES-LOWER ST. BERNARD-NORTHERN TANGIPAHOA-
SOUTHERN TANGIPAHOA-WILKINSON-AMITE-PIKE-WALTHALL-PEARL RIVER-
HANCOCK-HARRISON-JACKSON-
1228 PM CDT THU MAY 23 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST
LOUISIANA...SOUTH MISSISSIPPI AND THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE FRIDAY. SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT
EXPECTED.

OTHERWISE...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.

$$

22/TD

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1222 PM CDT THU MAY 23 2013

OKZ004>048-050>052-TXZ083>090-241200-
HARPER-WOODS-ALFALFA-GRANT-KAY-ELLIS-WOODWARD-MAJOR-GARFIELD-NOBLE-
ROGER MILLS-DEWEY-CUSTER-BLAINE-KINGFISHER-LOGAN-PAYNE-BECKHAM-
WASHITA-CADDO-CANADIAN-OKLAHOMA-LINCOLN-GRADY-MCCLAIN-CLEVELAND-
POTTAWATOMIE-SEMINOLE-HUGHES-HARMON-GREER-KIOWA-JACKSON-TILLMAN-
COMANCHE-STEPHENS-GARVIN-MURRAY-PONTOTOC-COAL-COTTON-JEFFERSON-
CARTER-JOHNSTON-ATOKA-LOVE-MARSHALL-BRYAN-HARDEMAN-FOARD-WILBARGER-
WICHITA-KNOX-BAYLOR-ARCHER-CLAY-
1222 PM CDT THU MAY 23 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK COVERS NORTHERN...WESTERN...
CENTRAL...AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA...AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...

THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK...
THERE IS A MODERATE RISK FOR SEVERE STORMS ACROSS FAR SOUTHWEST
OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS. A SLIGHT RISK SURROUNDS THE
MODERATE RISK AREA AND INCLUDES MUCH OF WESTERN...PARTS OF CENTRAL...
AND MUCH OF SOUTH CENTRAL OKLAHOMA.

STRONG STORMS WILL CONTINUE OVER PARTS OF NORTH CENTRAL OKLAHOMA
THROUGH MID TO LATE AFTERNOON.

LOCATION...
THE MODERATE RISK AREA IS WEST OF A LINE FROM MANGUM...TO
FREDERICK...TO WAURIKA...AND INCLUDES TEXAS COUNTIES WEST OF
HENRIETTA. THIS INCLUDES WICHITA FALLS AND VERNON TEXAS. THE
SLIGHT RISK AREA IS WEST OF A LINE FROM ARNETT...TO WEATHERFORD...
TO PURCELL...TO DURANT...AND INCLUDES WESTERN PARTS OF THE OKLAHOMA
CITY METRO...INCLUDING NEWCASTLE AND MOORE.

IMPACTS...
THE MAIN HAZARDS LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT WILL BE VERY
LARGE HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF TENNIS BALLS AND DAMAGING WINDS
UP TO 70 MPH. TORNADOES WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY IN
THE MODERATE RISK AREA OVER SOUTHWEST OKLAHOMA AND NORTH TEXAS
EARLY THIS EVENING.

TIMING...
THE MOST LIKELY TIME FOR SEVERE STORMS WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 4 PM AND
MIDNIGHT CDT. STRONG STORMS OVER NORTH CENTRAL OKLAHOMA WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH MID TO LATE AFTERNOON.

RECOMMENDED ACTIONS...
STORM SPOTTER GROUPS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL ACROSS
THE SLIGHT AND MODERATE RISK AREAS SHOULD PLAN FOR SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

DISCUSSION...
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE TO TRAIN OVER THE SAME AREAS ACROSS
NORTH CENTRAL PORTIONS OF OKLAHOMA. THIS MAY LEAD TO A LOCALIZED
FLOOD THREAT IN THESE AREAS...BUT THESE STORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO
BECOME SEVERE.

THIS AFTERNOON...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP OVER
THE TEXAS PANHANDLE...THEN MOVE EASTWARD INTO WESTERN
OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS. DISCRETE SUPERCELLS
ARE EXPECTED...CAPABLE OF PRODUCING BASEBALL SIZED HAIL AND
A FEW TORNADOES. STORMS MAY ORGANIZE INTO A SQUALL
LINE THIS EVENING WITH DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL AS THE
MAIN HAZARDS. STORMS ARE GENERALLY EXPECTED TO WEAKEN AFTER
3 AM WITH A DIMINISHING CHANCE FOR SEVERE WEATHER.

EAST OF THE SLIGHT RISK AREA THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...
INCLUDING THE OKLAHOMA CITY METRO...ADA...DURANT...AND
ARDMORE AREAS...SLIGHTLY STRONGER CAPPING MAY LIMIT
THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT. HOWEVER...IF THE CAP CAN BE
OVERCOME...ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE...
CAPABLE OF VERY LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...AND
A TORNADO OR TWO. CONFIDENCE OF SEVERE STORMS IN THESE
AREAS IS LOW COMPARED TO WESTERN OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN NORTH
TEXAS.

PROBABILITY TABLE...
VALID THROUGH 700 AM CDT FRIDAY MAY 24.
PROBABILITY OF THUNDERSTORMS OCCURRING IN THE
              NWS NORMAN COUNTY WARNING AREA...100 PERCENT.
PROBABILITY OF SEVERE STORMS IF STORMS OCCUR...100 PERCENT.

OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER...
PERSISTENT HEAVY RAINFALL THIS MORNING HAS ALREADY LED TO SEVERAL
OCCURRENCES OF FLASH FLOODING AND STREET FLOODING OVER CENTRAL OKLAHOMA.
FLOOD WATERS SHOULD GENERALLY RECEDE BY LATE AFTERNOON...THOUGH ANY
ADDITIONAL RAINFALL OVER THESE AREAS LATE TONIGHT MAY RESULT IN FLOODING
ONCE AGAIN AS THE GROUND WILL BE SATURATED.

MINOR RIVER FLOODING CONTINUES ALONG THE CLEAR BOGGY CREEK NEAR CANEY
IN ATOKA COUNTY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK...
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL CONTINUE ACROSS PARTS OF THE AREA THROUGH
THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. A FEW STRONG TO PERHAPS SEVERE STORMS WILL
BE POSSIBLE DURING THIS TIME FRAME...ESPECIALLY TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY.

OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER...
NONE.

THE NEXT SCHEDULED HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK WILL BE ISSUED AROUND
5 AM FRIDAY...WITH UPDATES AS NEEDED.

$$

MBS/CMS/AUSTIN

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1147 AM CDT THU MAY 23 2013

ARZ050-051-059>061-070>073-LAZ001>006-010>014-017>022-OKZ077-
TXZ096-097-108>112-124>126-136>138-149>153-165>167-241645-
SEVIER-HOWARD-LITTLE RIVER-HEMPSTEAD-NEVADA-MILLER-LAFAYETTE-
COLUMBIA-UNION AR-CADDO-BOSSIER-WEBSTER-CLAIBORNE-LINCOLN-
UNION LA-DE SOTO-RED RIVER-BIENVILLE-JACKSON-OUACHITA-SABINE LA-
NATCHITOCHES-WINN-GRANT-CALDWELL-LA SALLE-MCCURTAIN-BOWIE-
FRANKLIN-TITUS-CAMP-MORRIS-CASS-WOOD-UPSHUR-MARION-SMITH-GREGG-
HARRISON-CHEROKEE-RUSK-PANOLA-NACOGDOCHES-SHELBY-ANGELINA-
SAN AUGUSTINE-SABINE TX-
1145 AM CDT THU MAY 23 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
ARKANSAS...SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS...NORTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA...
NORTHWEST LOUISIANA...SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA...EAST TEXAS AND
NORTHEAST TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...

A COMPLEX OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA
INTO NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS IS DISSIPATING AS IT MOVES SOUTHEAST
THIS MORNING. THIS AFTERNOON...A VERY UNSTABLE AIRMASS WILL BE IN
PLACE ACROSS THE ENTIRE REGION. THIS COMBINED WITH WEAK
DISTURBANCES MOVING SOUTH AND EAST INTO OUR REGION...AND A WEAK
FRONTAL BOUNDARY POISED TO MOVE SOUTH OUT OF ARKANSAS...AND YOU
HAVE THE INGREDIENTS FOR SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
THESE MAY BECOME MORE PREVALENT LATE TONIGHT AND THERE WILL BE A
POSSIBILITY OF HAIL WITH THESE THUNDERSTORMS IF THEY CAN DEVELOP.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MAY BE ONGOING ACROSS THE
REGION EARLY FRIDAY MORNING BUT SHOULD WEAKEN IN COVERAGE AND
INTENSITY DURING THE DAY FRIDAY. THIS FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL BE IN
THE VICINITY OF THE REGION THROUGH THE UPCOMING WEEKEND WITH
WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE THROUGH
SUNDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT LATE TODAY INTO TONIGHT IS HIGHLY
CONDITIONAL. IF THUNDERSTORMS CAN DEVELOP...THEN HAIL AND
DAMAGING WIND GUSTS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE REGION. THE
ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS MAY BECOME NECESSARY IF THESE
THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOP.

$$

13

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
500 AM CDT THU MAY 23 2013

ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-241000-
ARKANSAS-BAXTER-BOONE-BRADLEY-CALHOUN-CLARK-CLEBURNE-CLEVELAND-
CONWAY-DALLAS-DESHA-DREW-FAULKNER-FULTON-GARLAND-GRANT-HOT SPRING-
INDEPENDENCE-IZARD-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-LINCOLN-LOGAN-LONOKE-
MARION-MONROE-MONTGOMERY-NEWTON-OUACHITA-PERRY-PIKE-POLK-POPE-
PRAIRIE-PULASKI-SALINE-SCOTT-SEARCY-SHARP-STONE-VAN BUREN-WHITE-
WOODRUFF-YELL-
500 AM CDT THU MAY 23 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR A LARGE PART OF ARKANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE
POSSIBLE OVER WESTERN TO SOUTHERN ARKANSAS AS AN UPPER SYSTEM
MOVES OVER THE AREA. ALSO A COLD FRONT WILL SAG INTO ARKANSAS
TODAY AND TONIGHT...AND HELP KEEP THE SMALL CHANCE OF CONVECTION
TONIGHT OVER WESTERN TO SOUTHWESTERN AREAS. THE THREAT FOR ANY
ISOLATED STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS WILL BE LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

ON FRIDAY...THE WEAK COLD FRONT WILL HAVE MOVED TO THE WESTERN
PART OF ARKANSAS...AND AGAIN WITH AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE
MOVING OVER THE AREA...WILL PRODUCE A SLIGHT CHANCE OF CONVECTION.
OVER THE WEEKEND...ANOTHER UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE MORE
OVER NORTHWESTERN ARKANSAS ON SATURDAY...AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
CONVECTION WILL BE POSSIBLE. AT THIS TIME...THE THREAT FOR ANY
ISOLATED STRONG TO SEVERE STORM WILL BE LOW THROUGH THE PERIOD.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED THROUGH THE PERIOD.

&&

VISIT NWS LITTLE ROCK ON THE WEB. GO TO HTTP://WEATHER.GOV AND
CLICK ON CENTRAL ARKANSAS.

$$

59


Short Term Forecast


SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
533 PM CDT THU MAY 23 2013

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-240000-
BENTON-CARROLL-WASHINGTON AR-MADISON-CRAWFORD-FRANKLIN-SEBASTIAN-
PUSHMATAHA-CHOCTAW-OSAGE-WASHINGTON OK-NOWATA-CRAIG-OTTAWA-PAWNEE-
TULSA-ROGERS-MAYES-DELAWARE-CREEK-OKFUSKEE-OKMULGEE-WAGONER-
CHEROKEE-ADAIR-MUSKOGEE-MCINTOSH-SEQUOYAH-PITTSBURG-HASKELL-
LATIMER-LE FLORE-
533 PM CDT THU MAY 23 2013

.NOW...

AT 5:30 PM...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADARS CONTINUED TO
DETECT A BAND OF RAIN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS AFFECTING
PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA. THE SHOWERS AND STORMS WERE
EXTENDING FROM OSAGE COUNTY...SOUTHEAST TOWARD SEBASTIAN COUNTY.
SLIGHTLY STRONGER AREAS OF REFLECTIVITY WERE LOCATED WITHIN
SOUTHERN OSAGE AND TULSA COUNTIES. AREAS NORTH AND SOUTH OF
THIS LINE WERE MAINLY DRY. ALL THIS ACTIVITY WAS MOVING TOWARD THE
SOUTHEAST...AROUND 40 MILES PER HOUR.

THROUGH 7:00 PM...OCCASIONAL RAIN SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE FOR POTIONS OF EASTERN
OKLAHOMA...PRIMARILY ALONG AND NORTH OF A LINE FROM PAWNEE TO
POTEAU...AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM COPAN TO MEG. RAINFALL AMOUNTS
WILL GENERALLY BE LIGHT...WITH LESS THAN A TENTH OF AN INCH PER
HOUR. THE STRONGER THUNDERSTORMS IN FAR WESTERN OSAGE AND PAWNEE
COULD PRODUCE BRIEF HEAVY RAIN...UP TO A QUARTER INCH. NO SEVERE
WEATHER IS EXPECTED.

$$

16

SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
500 PM CDT THU MAY 23 2013

LAZ027>033-044-045-TXZ180-259-260-232330-
VERNON-RAPIDES-AVOYELLES-BEAUREGARD-ALLEN-EVANGELINE-ST. LANDRY-
LAFAYETTE-UPPER ST. MARTIN-TYLER-NORTHERN JASPER-NORTHERN NEWTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LEESVILLE...NEW LLANO...ALEXANDRIA...
PINEVILLE...MARKSVILLE...BUNKIE...COTTONPORT...SIMMESPORT...
MANSURA...DE RIDDER...OAKDALE...KINDER...VILLE PLATTE...MAMOU...
OPELOUSAS...EUNICE...LAFAYETTE...BREAUX BRIDGE...
ST. MARTINVILLE...WOODVILLE...COLMESNEIL...JASPER...KIRBYVILLE...
NEWTON
500 PM CDT THU MAY 23 2013

.NOW...
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS MUCH OF CENTRAL
LOUISIANA AND PARTS OF EAST TEXAS THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON.
TORRENTIAL RAIN...FREQUENT LIGHTNING...SMALL HAIL AND WIND GUSTS
TO 40 MPH WILL POSSIBLE IN SOUTHEAST RAPIDES PARISH NEAR LECOMPTE.
FREQUENT LIGHTNING AND HEAVY RAIN CAN ALSO BE EXPECTED OVER
SOUTHERN VERNON PARISH. RAINFALL RATES NEAR 1 INCH AN HOUR CAN BE
EXPECTED ACROSS THESE AREAS.

$$

U.S. Dept. of Commerce
NOAA National Weather Service
1325 East West Highway
Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: June 2, 2009
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE: for Safety, for Work, for Fun - FOR LIFE