weather.gov     
National Weather Service

Watches, Warnings & Advisories
NWS Homepage

Hazardous Weather Outlook


HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1030 AM CDT TUE SEP 16 2014

OKZ004>048-050>052-TXZ083>090-171530-
HARPER-WOODS-ALFALFA-GRANT-KAY-ELLIS-WOODWARD-MAJOR-GARFIELD-
NOBLE-ROGER MILLS-DEWEY-CUSTER-BLAINE-KINGFISHER-LOGAN-PAYNE-
BECKHAM-WASHITA-CADDO-CANADIAN-OKLAHOMA-LINCOLN-GRADY-MCCLAIN-
CLEVELAND-POTTAWATOMIE-SEMINOLE-HUGHES-HARMON-GREER-KIOWA-JACKSON-
TILLMAN-COMANCHE-STEPHENS-GARVIN-MURRAY-PONTOTOC-COAL-COTTON-
JEFFERSON-CARTER-JOHNSTON-ATOKA-LOVE-MARSHALL-BRYAN-HARDEMAN-
FOARD-WILBARGER-WICHITA-KNOX-BAYLOR-ARCHER-CLAY-
1030 AM CDT TUE SEP 16 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHERN...
WESTERN...CENTRAL...AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA...AND WESTERN NORTH
TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...

.THUNDERSTORMS...
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS
SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY
EVENING NEAR A STALLED FRONT. STORMS MAY ALSO DEVELOP LATE TONIGHT
OVER FAR NORTH-CENTRAL OKLAHOMA. NO SEVERE WEATHER IS EXPECTED, BUT
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL MAY BE POSSIBLE UNDER THESE STORMS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY...

.THUNDERSTORMS...
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE
WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY MAINLY ACROSS AREAS EAST OF INTERSTATE-35
AND ALSO OVER WESTERN NORTH TEXAS. ANY STORMS THAT DEVELOP
SHOULD STAY BELOW SEVERE LEVELS.

THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL INCREASE FRIDAY ACROSS WESTERN AND
NORTHERN OKLAHOMA...AND BECOME LIKELY SATURDAY INTO EARLY SUNDAY.
THE BEST CHANCES FOR RAIN WILL BE OVER THE NORTHWEST HALF OF
OKLAHOMA LATE FRIDAY INTO THE FIRST HALF OF SATURDAY...THEN
SPREAD SOUTH AND EAST SATURDAY EVENING AND NIGHT. ORGANIZED
SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED BUT VERY HEAVY RAIN MAY RESULT
IN HIGH RAIN TOTALS.

GET GRAPHICS AND MORE DETAILS AT WEATHER.GOV/NORMAN...AND FOLLOW
OUR WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE ON TWITTER AND FACEBOOK.

$$

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
740 AM CDT TUE SEP 16 2014

GMZ330-335-350-355-370-375-TXZ163-164-176>179-195>200-210>214-226-
227-235>238-171245-
AUSTIN-BRAZORIA-BRAZOS-BURLESON-CHAMBERS-COLORADO-FORT BEND-
GALVESTON-GALVESTON BAY-GRIMES-HARRIS-HOUSTON-JACKSON-LIBERTY-
MADISON-MATAGORDA-MATAGORDA BAY-MONTGOMERY-POLK-SAN JACINTO-
TRINITY-WALKER-WALLER-WASHINGTON-
WATERS FROM FREEPORT TO THE MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL 20 NM TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM FREEPORT TO THE MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM HIGH ISLAND TO FREEPORT 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM HIGH ISLAND TO FREEPORT OUT 20 NM-WHARTON-
740 AM CDT TUE SEP 16 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP AND MOVE
INLAND TODAY AS DEEP MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAK TROPICAL
WAVE MOVES IN FROM THE GULF. STORM COVERAGE SHOULD INCREASE OVER
CENTRAL LOCATIONS THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING WITH DAYTIME
HEATING. RAINFALL TOTALS SHOULD AVERAGE FROM ONE HALF TO ONE INCH
WITH ISOLATED TOTALS FROM 3 TO 4 INCHES AREAS WHERE STORMS TRAIN.

IN ADDITION...GIVEN THE TROPICAL AIRMASS IN PLACE...WE COULD ALSO
SEE ATMOSPHERIC CONDITIONS THAT MAY BE FAVORABLE FOR FUNNEL
CLOUDS AND OR WATERSPOUTS. THESE TYPICALLY OCCUR DURING THE
MORNING THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS. THE FUNNELS RARELY EXTEND
ALL THE WAY TO THE SURFACE BUT CAN PRODUCE MINOR DAMAGE IF THEY
DO. MARINERS SHOULD REMAIN CLEAR OF WATERSPOUTS AS THEY CAN
PRODUCE WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 KNOTS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED FOR
WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY AS DEEP TROPICAL MOISTURE LINGERS OVER THE
REGION. LOCALIZED HEAVY RAINFALL WILL REMAIN A THREAT.

OTHERWISE NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY NOT BE NEEDED TODAY OR TONIGHT.

$$

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
600 AM CDT TUE SEP 16 2014

ARZ050-051-059>061-070>073-LAZ001>006-010>014-017>022-OKZ077-
TXZ096-097-108>112-124>126-136>138-149>153-165>167-171100-
SEVIER-HOWARD-LITTLE RIVER-HEMPSTEAD-NEVADA-MILLER-LAFAYETTE-
COLUMBIA-UNION AR-CADDO-BOSSIER-WEBSTER-CLAIBORNE-LINCOLN-
UNION LA-DE SOTO-RED RIVER-BIENVILLE-JACKSON-OUACHITA-SABINE LA-
NATCHITOCHES-WINN-GRANT-CALDWELL-LA SALLE-MCCURTAIN-BOWIE-
FRANKLIN-TITUS-CAMP-MORRIS-CASS-WOOD-UPSHUR-MARION-SMITH-GREGG-
HARRISON-CHEROKEE-RUSK-PANOLA-NACOGDOCHES-SHELBY-ANGELINA-
SAN AUGUSTINE-SABINE TX-
600 AM CDT TUE SEP 16 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH ARKANSAS...FOR NORTH
LOUISIANA...FOR EAST TEXAS AND SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...

SCATTERED SHOWERS AND A FEW ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE
POSSIBLE OVER THE FOUR STATE AREA TODAY...AS AN UPPER LEVEL
DISTURBANCE OVERHEAD MOVES EASTWARD AND A WEAK BACK DOOR COOL
FRONT DRIFTS IN. HOWEVER...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY...

THE WEAK FRONT WILL WASH OUT FOR MIDWEEK...BUT WILL RECEIVE
REINFORCEMENTS FROM THE NORTH BY THURSDAY...ONCE AGAIN SERVING AS
A FOCUS FOR ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
THROUGH THURSDAY. THEN DURING THE WEEKEND...A MUCH STRONGER COLD
FRONT WILL BEGIN MOVING ACROSS THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AND
WILL BRING MORE WIDESPREAD THUNDERSTORMS TO THE MID SOUTH.
HOWEVER...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

ACTIVATION OF EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL...AMATEUR RADIO
OPERATORS AND STORM SPOTTERS WILL NOT BE NEEDED THROUGH TONIGHT.

$$


24

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
553 AM CDT TUE SEP 16 2014

GMZ530-532-534-536-538-550-552-555-557-570-572-575-577-LAZ034>037-
039-040-046>050-056>072-MSZ068>071-077-080>082-162300-
LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN AND LAKE MAUREPAS-MISSISSIPPI SOUND-
LAKE BORGNE-CHANDELEUR SOUND-BRETON SOUND-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT FOURCHON TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
TO PORT FOURCHON OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM BOOTHVILLE LA TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO STAKE ISLAND LA OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT FOURCHON TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER FROM
20 TO 60 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
TO PORT FOURCHON FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM STAKE ISLAND LA TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO STAKE ISLAND LA FROM 20 TO
60 NM-POINTE COUPEE-WEST FELICIANA-EAST FELICIANA-ST. HELENA-
WASHINGTON-ST. TAMMANY-IBERVILLE-WEST BATON ROUGE-
EAST BATON ROUGE-ASCENSION-LIVINGSTON-ASSUMPTION-ST. JAMES-
ST. JOHN THE BAPTIST-UPPER LAFOURCHE-ST. CHARLES-UPPER JEFFERSON-
ORLEANS-UPPER PLAQUEMINES-UPPER ST. BERNARD-UPPER TERREBONNE-
LOWER TERREBONNE-LOWER LAFOURCHE-LOWER JEFFERSON-
LOWER PLAQUEMINES-LOWER ST. BERNARD-NORTHERN TANGIPAHOA-
SOUTHERN TANGIPAHOA-WILKINSON-AMITE-PIKE-WALTHALL-PEARL RIVER-
HANCOCK-HARRISON-JACKSON-
553 AM CDT TUE SEP 16 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST
LOUISIANA...SOUTH MISSISSIPPI AND THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER THE COASTAL WATERS
THIS MORNING AND BECOME LESS NUMEROUS BY LATE MORNING. SCATTERED
TO NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS ARE THEN EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVER LAND
AREAS THIS AFTERNOON. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT ANTICIPATED
THOUGH GUSTY WINDS TO 40 MPH...FREQUENT LIGHTNING AND BRIEF HEAVY
RAINFALL WILL BE THE PRIMARY THREATS. THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD BECOME
LESS NUMEROUS DURING THE LATE EVENING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

SCATTERED AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED EACH DAY THROUGH
SUNDAY. THUNDERSTORMS MAY BECOME MORE NUMEROUS AND STRONGER IN
ADVANCE OF A COLD FRONT MONDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

$$

24/RR

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
517 AM CDT TUE SEP 16 2014

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-171000-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
517 AM CDT TUE SEP 16 2014

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THUNDERSTORMS WITH DANGEROUS LIGHTNING.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...THIS MORNING.

DISCUSSION...
A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY JUST SOUTH OF THE INTERSTATE 44 CORRIDOR
EARLY THIS MORNING MAY SAG A BIT FURTHER SOUTH TODAY BEFORE IT
BEGINS TO LIFT NORTH AS A WARM FRONT TONIGHT. ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE TODAY IN THE VICINITY OF THIS
BOUNDARY. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS MAY ALSO DEVELOP LATE
TONIGHT...MAINLY ACROSS NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST
ARKANSAS...BUT THE BETTER STORM CHANCES LATE TONIGHT WILL BE TO
OUR NORTH.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION NOT EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.
WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
SATURDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL.
SUNDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
MONDAY...NO HAZARDS.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
WEAK UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES IN THE NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL
CONTINUE TO RESULT IN THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY.
THE BEST STORM CHANCES WILL BE IN FAR NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND
WESTERN ARKANSAS.

A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA THIS WEEKEND. TROPICAL
MOISTURE FROM THE REMNANTS OF HURRICANE ODILE WILL INTERACT WITH
THIS FRONT TO BRING A GOOD CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS TO ALL OF
EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

$$

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
431 AM CDT TUE SEP 16 2014

GMZ430-432-435-450-452-455-470-472-475-LAZ027>033-041>045-052>055-
073-074-TXZ180-201-215-216-259>262-170945-
SABINE LAKE-CALCASIEU LAKE-VERMILION BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON LA OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY
LA OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM  INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LA FROM
20 TO 60 NM-VERNON-RAPIDES-AVOYELLES-BEAUREGARD-ALLEN-EVANGELINE-
ST. LANDRY-CALCASIEU-JEFFERSON DAVIS-ACADIA-LAFAYETTE-
UPPER ST. MARTIN-VERMILION-IBERIA-ST. MARY-LOWER ST. MARTIN-
WEST CAMERON-EAST CAMERON-TYLER-HARDIN-JEFFERSON-ORANGE-
NORTHERN JASPER-NORTHERN NEWTON-SOUTHERN JASPER-SOUTHERN NEWTON-
431 AM CDT TUE SEP 16 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE NORTHWEST
GULF OF MEXICO...CENTRAL LOUISIANA...SOUTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA...
SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA...WEST CENTRAL LOUISIANA AND SOUTHEAST TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT
SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED FOR
TODAY THROUGH EARLY TONIGHT. THE CHANCE FOR SEVERE WEATHER IS VERY
LOW ALTHOUGH THE ENVIRONMENT MAY BECOME FAVORABLE FOR TROPICAL
FUNNEL CLOUDS. THE THREAT FOR HAZARDOUS WEATHER WILL DECREASE EARLY
THIS EVENING.

THE MAIN HAZARDS WILL BE FREQUENT LIGHTNING AND VERY HEAVY
RAINFALL.  LOCALIZED FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
THURSDAY. LESS COVERAGE IN THUNDERSTORMS IS EXPECTED BEGINNING
FRIDAY AND CONTINUING THROUGH THE WEEKEND. AT THIS TIME...THE
CHANCE FOR SEVERE WEATHER IS VERY LOW. FREQUENT LIGHTNING AND VERY
HEAVY RAIN WILL BE THE MAIN WEATHER HAZARDS. LOCALIZED FLOODING
WILL BE POSSIBLE MAINLY ON WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE REQUIRED.

$$

U.S. Dept. of Commerce
NOAA National Weather Service
1325 East West Highway
Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: June 2, 2009
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE: for Safety, for Work, for Fun - FOR LIFE