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Hazardous Weather Outlook


Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
327 PM CDT Mon May 13 2024

ARZ050-051-059>061-070>073-LAZ001>006-010>014-019-021-OKZ077-TXZ096-
097-108>112-124>126-136>138-150-151-141100-
Sevier-Howard-Little River-Hempstead-Nevada-Miller-Lafayette-
Columbia-Union-Caddo-Bossier-Webster-Claiborne-Lincoln-De Soto-
Red River-Bienville-Jackson-Ouachita-Winn-Caldwell-McCurtain-Bowie-
Franklin-Titus-Camp-Morris-Cass-Wood-Upshur-Marion-Smith-Gregg-
Harrison-Rusk-Panola-
327 PM CDT Mon May 13 2024

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for south central Arkansas,
southwest Arkansas, north central Louisiana, northwest Louisiana,
southeast Oklahoma and northeast Texas.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Scattered showers and a few thunderstorms will be possible this
evening across Northeast Texas, Southeast Oklahoma, Southwest
Arkansas, and North Louisiana, along and ahead of a weak cold front
that will move into the region. Isolated strong storms can not be
ruled out, with locally gusty winds, small hail, and brief heavy
rainfall possible, before they diminish later tonight.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

Additional showers and thunderstorms will develop and spread across
the region Thursday and Friday, and could again pose a heavy rainfall
and flood threat across much of the region. This threat should
diminish by next weekend, as hotter and drier conditions return.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected through tonight.

$$

15

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
327 PM CDT Mon May 13 2024

LAZ017-018-020-022-TXZ149-152-153-165>167-141100-
Sabine-Natchitoches-Grant-La Salle-Cherokee-Nacogdoches-Shelby-
Angelina-San Augustine-
327 PM CDT Mon May 13 2024

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for north central Louisiana,
northwest Louisiana, east Texas and northeast Texas.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms will be possible
this evening over Deep East Texas and Central Louisiana, in advance
of another upper level disturbance that will shift east into the
area. While an isolated severe thunderstorm threat will be possible
through this evening, with damaging winds and large hail possible,
the threat for locally heavy rainfall will continue. Given the
saturated grounds, any additional rainfall will quickly run off, and
could cause flash flooding.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

Additional showers and thunderstorms will develop and spread across
the region Thursday and Friday, and could again pose a heavy rainfall
and flood threat across Deep East Texas and North Louisiana. This
threat should diminish by next weekend, as hotter and drier
conditions return.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed late this afternoon and this
evening across Deep East Texas and Central Louisiana.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
456 PM CDT Mon May 13 2024

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-141015-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
456 PM CDT Mon May 13 2024


This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.
TORNADO.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Western Arkansas and Extreme Eastern Oklahoma.
ONSET...Mid-afternoon.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...Elevated.
AREA...Mostly Southeast of I-44.
ONSET...Mid-afternoon.

POOR VISIBILITY.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Northwest Arkansas.
ONSET...Late Tonight.

DISCUSSION...
Scattered thunderstorms continue across the area this afternoon. A
low chance for a couple strong to severe storms will exist through
sunset, before instability drops off and activity weakens. a non-
zero tornado threat will also exist, primarily across western
Arkansas early this evening with any stronger storm. As storms
weaken and some clearing takes place this evening, fog development
will be possible across northwest Arkansas.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Local Spotter Activation May Be Needed.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.
TUESDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.
WEDNESDAY...Thunderstorm Potential...Heavy Rain Potential.
THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.
SUNDAY...No Hazards.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
Rain and thunderstorm chances increase again across far northeast
Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas Tuesday afternoon. No severe
weather is expected. After a lull in precipitation Tuesday night
into Wednesday, thunderstorm chances increase again for the second
half of this week with limited severe potential as another series
of disturbances impact the region. Moderate to heavy rainfall is
possible with each round of storms and may lead to rises on rivers
and streams or areas of flash flooding.

weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook...UPDATED
National Weather Service Norman OK
323 PM CDT Mon May 13 2024

OKZ004>048-050>052-TXZ083>090-141000-
Harper-Woods-Alfalfa-Grant-Kay-Ellis-Woodward-Major-Garfield-
Noble-Roger Mills-Dewey-Custer-Blaine-Kingfisher-Logan-Payne-
Beckham-Washita-Caddo-Canadian-Oklahoma-Lincoln-Grady-McClain-
Cleveland-Pottawatomie-Seminole-Hughes-Harmon-Greer-Kiowa-Jackson-
Tillman-Comanche-Stephens-Garvin-Murray-Pontotoc-Coal-Cotton-
Jefferson-Carter-Johnston-Atoka-Love-Marshall-Bryan-Hardeman-
Foard-Wilbarger-Wichita-Knox-Baylor-Archer-Clay-
323 PM CDT Mon May 13 2024

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of northern...
western...central...and southern Oklahoma...and western north
Texas.

.DAY ONE...Through Tonight...

.Thunderstorms...
Scattered showers and a few thunderstorms will move across
the area through the early evening. A few storms could produce
hail up to the size of quarters and strong wind gusts over
50 mph. The strongest storms are expected across south central
and southeast Oklahoma.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday...

.Thunderstorms...

There is a marginal risk for severe thunderstorms Wednesday and
Wednesday night. Otherwise, there is a chance for thunderstorms
through Friday.

Get graphics and more details at weather.gov/norman...and follow
our weather forecast office on Twitter and Facebook.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
210 PM CDT Mon May 13 2024

TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-141130-
Montague-Cooke-Grayson-Fannin-Lamar-Young-Jack-Wise-Denton-Collin-
Hunt-Delta-Hopkins-Stephens-Palo Pinto-Parker-Tarrant-Dallas-
Rockwall-Kaufman-Van Zandt-Rains-Eastland-Erath-Hood-Somervell-
Johnson-Ellis-Henderson-Comanche-Mills-Hamilton-Bosque-Hill-Navarro-
Freestone-Anderson-Lampasas-Coryell-Bell-McLennan-Falls-Limestone-
Leon-Milam-Robertson-
210 PM CDT Mon May 13 2024

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for North and Central Texas.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.
Isolated to scattered thunderstorms are expected across the region
this afternoon and evening. A few severe storms will be possible.
Hail and damaging winds will be the primary hazards. Locally heavy
rain is also possible which could result in additional flooding,
mainly across portions of Central Texas.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.
A brief lull in storms will occur on Tuesday and most of Wednesday,
followed by additional storm chances Wednesday night through the
upcoming weekend. Severe weather may be possible Wednesday night and
Thursday, but precise details are uncertain at this time. Heavy
rainfall may renew flooding across the region.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
257 AM CDT Mon May 13 2024

ARZ004>008-014>017-024-025-031>034-039-042>047-052>057-062>069-
103-112-113-121>123-130-137-138-140-141-203-212-213-221>223-230-
237-238-240-241-313-340-341-141000-
Marion-Baxter-Fulton-Sharp-Randolph-Stone-Izard-Independence-
Lawrence-Cleburne-Jackson-Conway-Faulkner-White-Woodruff-Perry-
Garland-Saline-Pulaski-Lonoke-Prairie-Monroe-Pike-Clark-
Hot Spring-Grant-Jefferson-Arkansas-Dallas-Cleveland-Lincoln-
Desha-Ouachita-Calhoun-Bradley-Drew-Boone County Except Southwest-
Newton County Higher Elevations-Searcy County Lower Elevations-
Southern Johnson County-Southern Pope County-
Southeast Van Buren County-Western and Northern Logan County-
Northern Scott County-Northwest Yell County-
Polk County Lower Elevations-
Central and Eastern Montgomery County-
Boone County Higher Elevations-Newton County Lower Elevations-
Northwest Searcy County Higher Elevations-
Johnson County Higher Elevations-Pope County Higher Elevations-
Van Buren County Higher Elevations-
Southern and Eastern Logan County-
Central and Southern Scott County-Yell Excluding Northwest-
Northern Polk County Higher Elevations-
Northern Montgomery County Higher Elevations-
Eastern, Central, and Southern Searcy County Higher Elevations-
Southeast Polk County Higher Elevations-
Southwest Montgomery County Higher Elevations-
257 AM CDT Mon May 13 2024

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for a Large Part of Arkansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Areas of showers and thunderstorms are expected to move across the
state today and tonight. A few storms could become severe, with
widespread severe weather not expected. A few storms could
produce locally heavy rain as well.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday

Rain and isolated thunderstorms will linger across mainly eastern
Arkansas on Tuesday. Severe weather is not expected.

Additional rain and thunderstorms are expected across the state
later this week. The overall severe weather threat remains low at
this time, but an isolated severe thunderstorm is possible from
Thursday into Friday.

.Spotter Information Statement...

Spotter activation is not expected.

&&

Visit NWS Little Rock on the web. Go to http://weather.gov/lzk.

$$

67

U.S. Dept. of Commerce
NOAA National Weather Service
1325 East West Highway
Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: June 2, 2009
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