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HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1118 AM CDT TUE SEP 30 2014

ARZ050-051-059>061-070>073-LAZ001>006-010>014-017>022-OKZ077-
TXZ096-097-108>112-124>126-136>138-149>153-165>167-011630-
SEVIER-HOWARD-LITTLE RIVER-HEMPSTEAD-NEVADA-MILLER-LAFAYETTE-
COLUMBIA-UNION AR-CADDO-BOSSIER-WEBSTER-CLAIBORNE-LINCOLN-
UNION LA-DE SOTO-RED RIVER-BIENVILLE-JACKSON-OUACHITA-SABINE LA-
NATCHITOCHES-WINN-GRANT-CALDWELL-LA SALLE-MCCURTAIN-BOWIE-
FRANKLIN-TITUS-CAMP-MORRIS-CASS-WOOD-UPSHUR-MARION-SMITH-GREGG-
HARRISON-CHEROKEE-RUSK-PANOLA-NACOGDOCHES-SHELBY-ANGELINA-
SAN AUGUSTINE-SABINE TX-
1118 AM CDT TUE SEP 30 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
ARKANSAS...SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS...NORTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA...
NORTHWEST LOUISIANA...SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA...EAST TEXAS AND
NORTHEAST TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...

A FEW ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE
TODAY...MAINLY SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 20. HOWEVER...NO HAZARDOUS
WEATHER IS EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY...

ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE REGION AS THE
HEAT CONTINUES TO BUILD AND SOUTHERLY WINDS HELP TO INCREASE SEA
BREEZE ACTIVITY DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS. THEN BY LATE THURSDAY
INTO EARLY FRIDAY...A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE FOUR STATE
AREA WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY AREA WIDE. A FEW STORMS
MAY BE STRONG ENOUGH TO PRODUCE SOME ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS.
HOWEVER...NO WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS
TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

ACTIVATION OF EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL...AMATEUR RADIO
OPERATORS AND STORM SPOTTERS WILL NOT BE NEEDED THROUGH TONIGHT.

$$

12

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
945 PM CDT TUE SEP 30 2014

OKZ004>048-050>052-TXZ083>090-011000-
HARPER-WOODS-ALFALFA-GRANT-KAY-ELLIS-WOODWARD-MAJOR-GARFIELD-
NOBLE-ROGER MILLS-DEWEY-CUSTER-BLAINE-KINGFISHER-LOGAN-PAYNE-
BECKHAM-WASHITA-CADDO-CANADIAN-OKLAHOMA-LINCOLN-GRADY-MCCLAIN-
CLEVELAND-POTTAWATOMIE-SEMINOLE-HUGHES-HARMON-GREER-KIOWA-JACKSON-
TILLMAN-COMANCHE-STEPHENS-GARVIN-MURRAY-PONTOTOC-COAL-COTTON-
JEFFERSON-CARTER-JOHNSTON-ATOKA-LOVE-MARSHALL-BRYAN-HARDEMAN-
FOARD-WILBARGER-WICHITA-KNOX-BAYLOR-ARCHER-CLAY-
945 PM CDT TUE SEP 30 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHERN...
WESTERN...CENTRAL...AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA...AND WESTERN NORTH
TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT...

.THUNDERSTORMS...
SCATTERED STORMS WILL CONTINUE INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS...
PRIMARILY OVER FAR WESTERN AND NORTHERN OKLAHOMA. A FEW STRONG
STORMS PRODUCING WIND GUSTS 40 TO 50 MPH...SMALL HAIL...AND
TORRENTIAL RAINFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE. THUNDERSTORM INTENSITY
SHOULD DECREASE TOWARD AND AFTER MIDNIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY...

.THUNDERSTORMS...
A SERIES OF UPPER-LEVEL DISTURBANCES...AND AN ASSOCIATED COLD
FRONT...WILL MOVE OVER THE PLAINS WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY. THIS
WILL PROVIDE AN OPPORTUNITY FOR SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS.
A FEW SEVERE STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH LARGE HAIL AND
LOCALIZED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS THE MAIN CONCERNS. THE HIGHEST
CHANCE FOR STORMS WILL BE OVER FAR NORTH-CENTRAL OKLAHOMA AND
AREAS EAST OF INTERSTATE-35 WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY.

GET GRAPHICS AND MORE DETAILS AT WEATHER.GOV/NORMAN...AND FOLLOW
OUR WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE ON TWITTER AND FACEBOOK.

$$

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
608 PM CDT TUE SEP 30 2014

GMZ530-532-534-536-538-550-552-555-557-570-572-575-577-LAZ034>037-
039-040-046>050-056>072-MSZ068>071-077-080>082-011115-
LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN AND LAKE MAUREPAS-MISSISSIPPI SOUND-
LAKE BORGNE-CHANDELEUR SOUND-BRETON SOUND-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT FOURCHON TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
TO PORT FOURCHON OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM BOOTHVILLE LA TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO STAKE ISLAND LA OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT FOURCHON TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER FROM
20 TO 60 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
TO PORT FOURCHON FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM STAKE ISLAND LA TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO STAKE ISLAND LA FROM 20 TO
60 NM-POINTE COUPEE-WEST FELICIANA-EAST FELICIANA-ST. HELENA-
WASHINGTON-ST. TAMMANY-IBERVILLE-WEST BATON ROUGE-
EAST BATON ROUGE-ASCENSION-LIVINGSTON-ASSUMPTION-ST. JAMES-
ST. JOHN THE BAPTIST-UPPER LAFOURCHE-ST. CHARLES-UPPER JEFFERSON-
ORLEANS-UPPER PLAQUEMINES-UPPER ST. BERNARD-UPPER TERREBONNE-
LOWER TERREBONNE-LOWER LAFOURCHE-LOWER JEFFERSON-
LOWER PLAQUEMINES-LOWER ST. BERNARD-NORTHERN TANGIPAHOA-
SOUTHERN TANGIPAHOA-WILKINSON-AMITE-PIKE-WALTHALL-PEARL RIVER-
HANCOCK-HARRISON-JACKSON-
608 PM CDT TUE SEP 30 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST
LOUISIANA...SOUTH MISSISSIPPI AND THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

NO WEATHER HAZARDS ARE EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY
WITH AN INCREASING CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS ON THURSDAY THROUGH
ABOUT MIDDAY ON FRIDAY. SOME OF THE THUNDERSTORMS MAY BE STRONG
THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE MORNING TO EARLY AFTERNOON FRIDAY
AS A COLD FRONT APPROACHES AND MOVES THROUGH THE REGION. A FEW OF
THE STRONGER THUNDERSTORMS COULD PRODUCE FREQUENT LIGHTNING
STRIKES...GUSTY WINDS...AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL.

STRONG NORTH WINDS AND BUILDING WAVE HEIGHTS BEHIND THE FRONTAL
PASSAGE MAY POSE A HAZARDOUS THREAT FOR SMALL CRAFTS ON COASTAL
WATERS FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

$$

TD

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
500 PM CDT TUE SEP 30 2014

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-011000-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
500 PM CDT TUE SEP 30 2014

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL INCREASES THURSDAY...

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...NORTHWEST OF INTERSTATE 44.
ONSET...AFTER MIDNIGHT.

DISCUSSION...
THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP THIS EVENING AND EARLY
WEDNESDAY MORNING ACROSS PORTIONS OF WESTERN OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN
KANSAS IN RESPONSE TO AN INCREASING LOW LEVEL JET. THESE
THUNDERSTORMS MAY MOVE INTO PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA TO THE
NORTH AND WEST OF INTERSTATE 44...MAINLY AFTER MIDNIGHT.
ALTHOUGH WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED...THERE IS A
LIMITED RISK OF AN ISOLATED STRONG TO SEVERE STORM.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
LOCAL SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.
WEDNESDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
THURSDAY...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL.
FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY...NO HAZARDS.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
THUNDERSTORMS MAY BE ONGOING WEDNESDAY MORNING ACROSS NORTHEAST
OKLAHOMA...PRIMARILY ALONG AND NORTH OF THE INTERSTATE 44
CORRIDOR. A LIMITED POTENTIAL FOR STRONG TO POSSIBLY SEVERE STORMS
WILL CONTINUE BEFORE THE STORMS BEGIN TO DIMINISH BY MID MORNING.

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE AGAIN EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AHEAD OF AN
APPROACHING COLD FRONT WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND EARLY THURSDAY...WITH
SOME SEVERE RISK DUE TO INCREASING INSTABILITY AND SHEAR.

A GREATER THREAT OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL EXIST THURSDAY
AFTERNOON AND EVENING...ESPECIALLY ACROSS PARTS OF SOUTHEAST AND
EAST CENTRAL OKLAHOMA...AND INTO NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL
ARKANSAS...AS THE COLD FRONT PASSES THROUGH THE REGION.
INSTABILITY AND BOTH LOW LEVEL AND DEEP LAYER SHEAR WILL BE
SUFFICIENT FOR LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...AND PERHAPS AN
ISOLATED TORNADO. THE THUNDERSTORM AND SEVERE WEATHER THREATS
SHOULD DIMINISH SUBSTANTIALLY BY LATE THURSDAY EVENING AS DRIER
AIR MOVES IN BEHIND THE FRONT. DRY CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST
THEREAFTER INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.
$$

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
602 AM CDT TUE SEP 30 2014

GMZ430-432-435-LAZ027>033-041>045-052>055-073-074-TXZ180-201-215-
216-259>262-011115-
SABINE LAKE-CALCASIEU LAKE-VERMILION BAY-VERNON-RAPIDES-AVOYELLES-
BEAUREGARD-ALLEN-EVANGELINE-ST. LANDRY-CALCASIEU-JEFFERSON DAVIS-
ACADIA-LAFAYETTE-UPPER ST. MARTIN-VERMILION-IBERIA-ST. MARY-
LOWER ST. MARTIN-WEST CAMERON-EAST CAMERON-TYLER-HARDIN-JEFFERSON-
ORANGE-NORTHERN JASPER-NORTHERN NEWTON-SOUTHERN JASPER-
SOUTHERN NEWTON-
602 AM CDT TUE SEP 30 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE NORTHWEST
GULF OF MEXICO...CENTRAL LOUISIANA...SOUTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA...
SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA...WEST CENTRAL LOUISIANA AND SOUTHEAST TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE. NO SEVERE WEATHER
IS EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY AND
THURSDAY. NO SEVERE WEATHER IS EXPECTED.

A COLD FRONT IS FORECAST TO MOVE THROUGH THE REGION THURSDAY NIGHT
INTO FRIDAY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE AHEAD
OF AND ALONG THE FRONT. AT THIS TIME...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE
EXPECTED.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

$$

U.S. Dept. of Commerce
NOAA National Weather Service
1325 East West Highway
Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: June 2, 2009
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