Hazardous Weather Outlook
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
706 PM CDT FRI MAY 24 2013
OKZ004>048-050>052-TXZ083>090-251200-
HARPER-WOODS-ALFALFA-GRANT-KAY-ELLIS-WOODWARD-MAJOR-GARFIELD-NOBLE-
ROGER MILLS-DEWEY-CUSTER-BLAINE-KINGFISHER-LOGAN-PAYNE-BECKHAM-
WASHITA-CADDO-CANADIAN-OKLAHOMA-LINCOLN-GRADY-MCCLAIN-CLEVELAND-
POTTAWATOMIE-SEMINOLE-HUGHES-HARMON-GREER-KIOWA-JACKSON-TILLMAN-
COMANCHE-STEPHENS-GARVIN-MURRAY-PONTOTOC-COAL-COTTON-JEFFERSON-
CARTER-JOHNSTON-ATOKA-LOVE-MARSHALL-BRYAN-HARDEMAN-FOARD-WILBARGER-
WICHITA-KNOX-BAYLOR-ARCHER-CLAY-
706 PM CDT FRI MAY 24 2013
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK COVERS NORTHERN...WESTERN...
CENTRAL...AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA...AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS.
.DAY ONE...THROUGH TONIGHT...
THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK...
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT...PRIMARILY
ACROSS WESTERN AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS
DISCUSSION...
WITH A MODERATELY UNSTABLE ATMOSPHERE IN PLACE...SCATTERED TO
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP THROUGH THE EVENING.
SOUTHERN AND WESTERN OKLAHOMA...AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS WILL CONTINUE
TO BE THE AREAS MOST LIKELY TO SEE THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT AS A WEAK
SURFACE BOUNDARY REMAINS OVER THE REGION. ALTHOUGH UPPER LEVEL WIND
FIELDS ARE LACKING...A FEW STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS CANNOT BE RULED OUT.
THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS OF OVER 60 MPH AND HAIL TO THE SIZE OF HALF
DOLLARS WILL BE THE PRIMARY HAZARDS.
PROBABILITY TABLE...
VALID THROUGH 700 AM CDT SATURDAY MAY 25.
PROBABILITY OF THUNDERSTORMS OCCURRING IN THE
NWS NORMAN COUNTY WARNING AREA...100 PERCENT.
PROBABILITY OF SEVERE STORMS IF STORMS OCCUR...40 PERCENT.
OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER...
NONE.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...
THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK...
RELATIVELY LOW THUNDERSTORM CHANCES PERSIST EACH DAY THROUGH THURSDAY.
ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE...BUT LACK OF STRONG UPPER LEVEL
WINDS WILL MAKE ORGANIZED SEVERE WEATHER UNLIKELY.
OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER...
NONE.
THE NEXT SCHEDULED HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK WILL BE ISSUED AT 5 AM
SATURDAY.
$$
KURTZ
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
340 PM CDT FRI MAY 24 2013
TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-251200-
MONTAGUE-COOKE-GRAYSON-FANNIN-LAMAR-YOUNG-JACK-WISE-DENTON-COLLIN-
HUNT-DELTA-HOPKINS-STEPHENS-PALO PINTO-PARKER-TARRANT-DALLAS-
ROCKWALL-KAUFMAN-VAN ZANDT-RAINS-EASTLAND-ERATH-HOOD-SOMERVELL-
JOHNSON-ELLIS-HENDERSON-COMANCHE-MILLS-HAMILTON-BOSQUE-HILL-NAVARRO-
FREESTONE-ANDERSON-LAMPASAS-CORYELL-BELL-MCLENNAN-FALLS-LIMESTONE-
LEON-MILAM-ROBERTSON-
340 PM CDT FRI MAY 24 2013
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH TEXAS.
.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.
ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TONIGHT. CLOUD
TO GROUND LIGHTNING AND PERIODS OF HEAVY RAINFALL ARE THE PRIMARY
HAZARDS WITH THESE STORMS. HOWEVER...ANY STRONG THUNDERSTORMS
COULD PRODUCE SMALL HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.
A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS NORTH AND
CENTRAL TEXAS SATURDAY AND SATURDAY EVENING. SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT
LIKELY.
THUNDERSTORMS RETURN TO THE FORECAST NEXT THURSDAY.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
$$
82/JLD
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
258 PM CDT FRI MAY 24 2013
TXZ049-054-064>066-071>073-076>078-098-099-113-114-127-128-139-
140-154-155-168>170-252000-
FISHER-NOLAN-STERLING-COKE-RUNNELS-IRION-TOM GREEN-CONCHO-
CROCKETT-SCHLEICHER-SUTTON-HASKELL-THROCKMORTON-JONES-SHACKELFORD-
TAYLOR-CALLAHAN-COLEMAN-BROWN-MCCULLOCH-SAN SABA-MENARD-KIMBLE-
MASON-
258 PM CDT FRI MAY 24 2013
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WEST CENTRAL
TEXAS.
.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT
MINOR FLOODING WILL CONTINUE ACROSS PARTS OF THE CONCHO VALLEY
AND NORTHWEST HILL COUNTRY TONIGHT AS WATER CONTINUES TO DRAIN
FROM HEAVY RAINFALL THURSDAY NIGHT. ANY ADDITIONAL RAINFALL WILL
ONLY EXACERBATE ALREADY SATURATED SOILS IN THESE AREAS...AND
LIKELY RESULT IN ADDITIONAL FLOODING IN THESE AREAS. IN
ADDITION...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO AFFECT MUCH OF
THE AREA TONIGHT. WHILE WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT
EXPECTED...A FEW STORMS COULD BECOME STRONG...PRODUCING GUSTY
WINDS...SMALL HAIL...AND DANGEROUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING.
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE WITH ANY OF THESE
STORMS OVERNIGHT.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY
THE PROBABILITY OF WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.
$$
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
154 PM CDT FRI MAY 24 2013
NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-057>063-067>070-074-075-
079>082-258-251900-
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF EDDY COUNTY-EDDY COUNTY PLAINS-
NORTHERN LEA COUNTY-CENTRAL LEA COUNTY-SOUTHERN LEA COUNTY-GAINES-
DAWSON-BORDEN-SCURRY-ANDREWS-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL-
VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS-
LOVING-WINKLER-ECTOR-MIDLAND-GLASSCOCK-WARD-CRANE-UPTON-REAGAN-
DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA-PECOS-PRESIDIO VALLEY-MARFA PLATEAU-
BIG BEND AREA-TERRELL-GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-
154 PM CDT FRI MAY 24 2013 /1254 PM MDT FRI MAY 24 2013/
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST NEW
MEXICO...SOUTHWEST TEXAS AND WEST TEXAS.
.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT
ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE OVER THE
ENTIRE AREA THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. SOME STORMS COULD APPROACH
SEVERE LEVELS WITH THE MAIN THREATS BEING LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING
WINDS. LOCAL HEAVY RAINFALL IS ALSO POSSIBLE DUE TO SLOW MOVING
STORMS.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY
THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE SATURDAY. SOME STORMS COULD REACH
STRONG LEVELS ACROSS THE AREA.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.
$$
THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
MIDLAND CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT /LOWER CASE/
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MIDLAND
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
1132 AM CDT FRI MAY 24 2013
TXZ021>044-251645-
PARMER-CASTRO-SWISHER-BRISCOE-HALL-CHILDRESS-BAILEY-LAMB-HALE-
FLOYD-MOTLEY-COTTLE-COCHRAN-HOCKLEY-LUBBOCK-CROSBY-DICKENS-KING-
YOAKUM-TERRY-LYNN-GARZA-KENT-STONEWALL-
1132 AM CDT FRI MAY 24 2013
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE EXTREME SOUTHERN TEXAS
PANHANDLE...SOUTH PLAINS AND ROLLING PLAINS.
.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT
ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON
THROUGH THIS EVENING AREA WIDE. A FEW STRONG TO SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE...BUT DUE TO WEAK WIND SHEAR AN
ORGANIZED SEVERE THREAT IS NOT EXPECTED. THUNDERSTORMS THAT DO
BECOME STRONG OR SEVERE WILL BE ISOLATED AND THE MAIN THREAT WILL
BE WINDS IN EXCESS OF 50 MPH AND HAIL UP TO ONE AND A HALF INCH IN
DIAMETER. STORMS WILL ALSO BE SLOW MOVING WHICH WILL INCREASE THE
LIKELY HOOD OF LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY
ISOLATED STRONG OR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE EACH AFTERNOON
AND EVENING SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY. THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM
THREAT MAY INCREASE WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
$$
Short Term Forecast
SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
1134 PM CDT FRI MAY 24 2013
TXZ171>173-188>192-206-250700-
LLANO-BURNET-WILLIAMSON-GILLESPIE-KENDALL-BLANCO-HAYS-TRAVIS-
COMAL-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LLANO...BURNET...GEORGETOWN...
FREDERICKSBURG...BOERNE...BLANCO...SAN MARCOS...AUSTIN...
NEW BRAUNFELS
1134 PM CDT FRI MAY 24 2013
.NOW...
ISOLATED LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE HILL COUNTRY
AND ADJACENT AREAS THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. THESE SHOWERS WILL
GENERALLY DEVELOP NORTH OF INTERSTATE 35 AND MOVE NORTHWARD AT 25
MPH. DUE TO THE ISOLATED NATURE OF THE SHOWERS...MEASURABLE
RAINFALL WILL BE SPOTTY...WITH MOST AREAS NOT RECEIVING ADDITIONAL
RAINFALL. LOCATIONS WHICH DO HAVE RAIN WILL AVERAGE A FEW
HUNDREDTHS OF AN INCH.
$$
SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
1048 PM CDT FRI MAY 24 2013
TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-250600-
MONTAGUE-COOKE-GRAYSON-FANNIN-LAMAR-YOUNG-JACK-WISE-DENTON-COLLIN-
HUNT-DELTA-HOPKINS-STEPHENS-PALO PINTO-PARKER-TARRANT-DALLAS-
ROCKWALL-KAUFMAN-VAN ZANDT-RAINS-EASTLAND-ERATH-HOOD-SOMERVELL-
JOHNSON-ELLIS-HENDERSON-COMANCHE-MILLS-HAMILTON-BOSQUE-HILL-
NAVARRO-FREESTONE-ANDERSON-LAMPASAS-CORYELL-BELL-MCLENNAN-FALLS-
LIMESTONE-LEON-MILAM-ROBERTSON-
1048 PM CDT FRI MAY 24 2013
.NOW...
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS PARTS OF
NORTH TEXAS THROUGH 3 AM. A CLUSTER OF THUNDERSTORMS THAT
EXTENDED FROM NORTH OF CANTON THROUGH MCKINNEY TO ARDMORE
OKLAHOMA AT 1045 PM...WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE NORTHWEST. AN AREA OF
WIDESPREAD SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS FROM DALLAS THROUGH
HILLSBORO TO ROCKDALE WAS ALSO MOVING NORTHWEST. MODERATE TO HEAVY
RAINFALL AND FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING WILL BE THE MAIN
THREATS WITH THESE STORMS TONIGHT.
BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS OF LOW LYING AREAS AT NIGHT WHICH CAN QUICKLY
BECOME FLOODED IN HEAVY RAINFALL.
$$
