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Special Weather Statement


SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
430 AM CDT TUE SEP 16 2014

NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-057>063-067>070-074-075-
079>082-258-162100-
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF EDDY COUNTY-EDDY COUNTY PLAINS-
NORTHERN LEA COUNTY-CENTRAL LEA COUNTY-SOUTHERN LEA COUNTY-GAINES-
DAWSON-BORDEN-SCURRY-ANDREWS-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL-
VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-
REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS-LOVING-WINKLER-ECTOR-MIDLAND-
GLASSCOCK-WARD-CRANE-UPTON-REAGAN-DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA-
PECOS-PRESIDIO VALLEY-MARFA PLATEAU-BIG BEND AREA-TERRELL-
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...QUEEN...ARTESIA...CARLSBAD...
CARLSBAD CAVERNS NP...TATUM...HOBBS...LOVINGTON...EUNICE...JAL...
SEMINOLE...LAMESA...GAIL...SNYDER...ANDREWS...STANTON...
BIG SPRING...COLORADO CITY...VAN HORN...PECOS...MENTONE...
RED BLUFF LAKE...KERMIT...ODESSA...MIDLAND...GARDEN CITY...
MONAHANS...CRANE...MCCAMEY...RANKIN...BIG LAKE...ALPINE...
FORT DAVIS...FORT STOCKTON...PRESIDIO...MARFA...BIG BEND NP...
MARATHON...SANDERSON...GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS NP...PINE SPRINGS
430 AM CDT TUE SEP 16 2014 /330 AM MDT TUE SEP 16 2014/

...ABUNDANT MOISTURE FROM THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL STORM ODILE TO MOVE
ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST...

AS THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL STORM ODILE MOVE INTO A SOUTHWEST STEERING
FLOW WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY...ABUNDANT MOISTURE WILL MOVE INTO FAR WEST
TEXAS AND SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO.  AS SUCH...THE CHANCES OF HEAVY RAIN
WILL INCREASE WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY...ESPECIALLY FROM CULBERSON
COUNTY...INCLUDING THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS...INTO SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO.
CHANCES OF RAIN WILL INCREASE IN AREAS FARTHER EAST AND SOUTH AS WELL...
SUCH AS PARTS OF THE PERMIAN BASIN AND DAVIS MOUNTAINS.  MANY OF THESE
AREAS RECEIVED HEAVY RAINFALL ON FRIDAY AND SATURDAY OF LAST WEEK AND
SOILS ARE ALREADY NEAR SATURATION.  ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL WILL GENERATE
RUNOFF QUICKLY AND INCREASE THE POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING AND FLASH FLOODING.

THE TIMING AND PLACEMENT OF ODILE/S REMNANTS ARE STILL UNCERTAIN.  HOWEVER...
WITH ATMOSPHERIC MOISTURE AT ABOUT 150 PERCENT OF NORMAL...THIS PATTERN
IS FAVORABLE HEAVY RAINFALL.  WIDESPREAD AREAS OF CULBERSON COUNTY AND
SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO MAY RECEIVE ONE HALF TO THREE QUARTERS OF INCH
OF RAINFALL...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS NEARING 2 INCHES.  FLASH FLOOD
WATCHES MAY EVENTUALLY BE ISSUED WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS.

&&

$$


Hazardous Weather Outlook


HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...RESENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
1121 AM CDT TUE SEP 16 2014

TXZ021>044-171630-
PARMER-CASTRO-SWISHER-BRISCOE-HALL-CHILDRESS-BAILEY-LAMB-HALE-
FLOYD-MOTLEY-COTTLE-COCHRAN-HOCKLEY-LUBBOCK-CROSBY-DICKENS-KING-
YOAKUM-TERRY-LYNN-GARZA-KENT-STONEWALL-
1121 AM CDT TUE SEP 16 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE EXTREME SOUTHERN TEXAS
PANHANDLE...SOUTH PLAINS AND ROLLING PLAINS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE
WEEK...PEAKING LATE WEEK OR EARLY THIS WEEKEND. LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THE MORE INTENSE ACTIVITY.

$$

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1030 AM CDT TUE SEP 16 2014

OKZ004>048-050>052-TXZ083>090-171530-
HARPER-WOODS-ALFALFA-GRANT-KAY-ELLIS-WOODWARD-MAJOR-GARFIELD-
NOBLE-ROGER MILLS-DEWEY-CUSTER-BLAINE-KINGFISHER-LOGAN-PAYNE-
BECKHAM-WASHITA-CADDO-CANADIAN-OKLAHOMA-LINCOLN-GRADY-MCCLAIN-
CLEVELAND-POTTAWATOMIE-SEMINOLE-HUGHES-HARMON-GREER-KIOWA-JACKSON-
TILLMAN-COMANCHE-STEPHENS-GARVIN-MURRAY-PONTOTOC-COAL-COTTON-
JEFFERSON-CARTER-JOHNSTON-ATOKA-LOVE-MARSHALL-BRYAN-HARDEMAN-
FOARD-WILBARGER-WICHITA-KNOX-BAYLOR-ARCHER-CLAY-
1030 AM CDT TUE SEP 16 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHERN...
WESTERN...CENTRAL...AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA...AND WESTERN NORTH
TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...

.THUNDERSTORMS...
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS
SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY
EVENING NEAR A STALLED FRONT. STORMS MAY ALSO DEVELOP LATE TONIGHT
OVER FAR NORTH-CENTRAL OKLAHOMA. NO SEVERE WEATHER IS EXPECTED, BUT
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL MAY BE POSSIBLE UNDER THESE STORMS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY...

.THUNDERSTORMS...
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE
WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY MAINLY ACROSS AREAS EAST OF INTERSTATE-35
AND ALSO OVER WESTERN NORTH TEXAS. ANY STORMS THAT DEVELOP
SHOULD STAY BELOW SEVERE LEVELS.

THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL INCREASE FRIDAY ACROSS WESTERN AND
NORTHERN OKLAHOMA...AND BECOME LIKELY SATURDAY INTO EARLY SUNDAY.
THE BEST CHANCES FOR RAIN WILL BE OVER THE NORTHWEST HALF OF
OKLAHOMA LATE FRIDAY INTO THE FIRST HALF OF SATURDAY...THEN
SPREAD SOUTH AND EAST SATURDAY EVENING AND NIGHT. ORGANIZED
SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED BUT VERY HEAVY RAIN MAY RESULT
IN HIGH RAIN TOTALS.

GET GRAPHICS AND MORE DETAILS AT WEATHER.GOV/NORMAN...AND FOLLOW
OUR WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE ON TWITTER AND FACEBOOK.

$$

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
405 AM CDT TUE SEP 16 2014

TXZ171>173-183>194-202>209-217>225-228-170915-
LLANO-BURNET-WILLIAMSON-VAL VERDE-EDWARDS-REAL-KERR-BANDERA-
GILLESPIE-KENDALL-BLANCO-HAYS-TRAVIS-BASTROP-LEE-KINNEY-UVALDE-
MEDINA-BEXAR-COMAL-GUADALUPE-CALDWELL-FAYETTE-MAVERICK-ZAVALA-
FRIO-ATASCOSA-WILSON-KARNES-GONZALES-DE WITT-LAVACA-DIMMIT-
405 AM CDT TUE SEP 16 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

A SURFACE TROUGH WILL MOVE INTO SOUTHERN TEXAS TODAY BRINGING AN
INCREASINGLY MOIST AIRMASS. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BECOME
MORE NUMEROUS AS THE DAY PROGRESSES INTO TONIGHT. LOCALLY HEAVY
DOWNPOURS WITH HIGH RAIN RATES ARE POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

A MOIST AIRMASS WILL PERSIST ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS FROM THE
MIDDLE TO LATE THIS WEEK. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE
EXPECTED DURING THE DAYTIME HOURS BECOMING MORE ISOLATED AT NIGHT
WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE AND
MAY CAUSE ISOLATED MINOR FLOODING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.

$$

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
353 AM CDT TUE SEP 16 2014

NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-057>063-067>070-074-075-
079>082-258-170900-
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF EDDY COUNTY-EDDY COUNTY PLAINS-
NORTHERN LEA COUNTY-CENTRAL LEA COUNTY-SOUTHERN LEA COUNTY-GAINES-
DAWSON-BORDEN-SCURRY-ANDREWS-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL-
VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS-
LOVING-WINKLER-ECTOR-MIDLAND-GLASSCOCK-WARD-CRANE-UPTON-REAGAN-
DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA-PECOS-PRESIDIO VALLEY-MARFA PLATEAU-
BIG BEND AREA-TERRELL-GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-
353 AM CDT TUE SEP 16 2014 /253 AM MDT TUE SEP 16 2014/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST NEW
MEXICO...SOUTHWEST TEXAS AND WEST TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO TODAY...
WITH ISOLATED STORMS POSSIBLE ACROSS THE REST OF THE REGION. LOCALLY
HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE THE MAIN CONCERN WITH THESE STORMS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAINFALL WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY
THAT MAY RESULT IN LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED TODAY OR TONIGHT.

$$
THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
MIDLAND CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT /LOWER CASE/
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MIDLAND


Short Term Forecast


SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
1225 PM CDT TUE SEP 16 2014

TXZ039>044-161830-
YOAKUM-TERRY-LYNN-GARZA-KENT-STONEWALL-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PLAINS...DENVER CITY...BROWNFIELD...
TAHOKA...ODONNELL...POST...JAYTON...ASPERMONT
1225 PM CDT TUE SEP 16 2014

.NOW...

AS OF 12:20 PM CENTRAL TIME...ISOLATED SHOWERS HAVE DEVELOPED
ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN ROLLING PLAINS...AND ARE EXPECTED
TO SLOWLY INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY THROUGH 1:30 PM.
WHILE THIS ACTIVITY IS NOT EXPECTED TO BECOME STRONG OR SEVERE...A
FEW LIGHTNING STRIKES AND BRIEF HEAVY DOWNPOURS WILL BE POSSIBLE
AS CELLS STRENGTHEN. FARTHER WEST...A MORE EXPANSIVE AREA OF
SHOWERS LOCATED ACROSS LEA COUNTY NEW MEXICO IS EXPECTED TO MOVE
NORTHEASTWARD INTO THE SOUTHERN ROLLING PLAINS THROUGH THE SAME
TIME PERIOD. AGAIN...STRONG TO SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT
EXPECTED...WITH ONLY A FEW STRIKES OF LIGHTNING AND BRIEF HEAVY
DOWNPOURS POSSIBLE.

$$

SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
1206 PM CDT TUE SEP 16 2014

TXZ049-054-064>066-071>073-076>078-098-099-113-114-127-128-139-
140-154-155-168>170-161915-
FISHER-NOLAN-STERLING-COKE-RUNNELS-IRION-TOM GREEN-CONCHO-
CROCKETT-SCHLEICHER-SUTTON-HASKELL-THROCKMORTON-JONES-SHACKELFORD-
TAYLOR-CALLAHAN-COLEMAN-BROWN-MCCULLOCH-SAN SABA-MENARD-KIMBLE-
MASON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROTAN...ROBY...SWEETWATER...
STERLING CITY...ROBERT LEE...BRONTE...BALLINGER...WINTERS...
MERTZON...SAN ANGELO...EDEN...OZONA...ELDORADO...SONORA...
HASKELL...THROCKMORTON...WOODSON...STAMFORD...ANSON...HAMLIN...
ALBANY...ABILENE...CLYDE...BAIRD...CROSS PLAINS...COLEMAN...
BROWNWOOD...BRADY...SAN SABA...MENARD...JUNCTION...MASON
1206 PM CDT TUE SEP 16 2014

.NOW...
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP THROUGH
MID AFTERNOON. DANGEROUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...AND LOCALLY
HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH ANY SHOWER OR THUNDERSTORM
THAT DEVELOPS. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1/10 TO 1/2 OF AN INCH...WITH
LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE.

$$

DOLL

SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
1145 AM CDT TUE SEP 16 2014

TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-161930-
MONTAGUE-COOKE-GRAYSON-FANNIN-LAMAR-YOUNG-JACK-WISE-DENTON-COLLIN-
HUNT-DELTA-HOPKINS-STEPHENS-PALO PINTO-PARKER-TARRANT-DALLAS-
ROCKWALL-KAUFMAN-VAN ZANDT-RAINS-EASTLAND-ERATH-HOOD-SOMERVELL-
JOHNSON-ELLIS-HENDERSON-COMANCHE-MILLS-HAMILTON-BOSQUE-HILL-
NAVARRO-FREESTONE-ANDERSON-LAMPASAS-CORYELL-BELL-MCLENNAN-FALLS-
LIMESTONE-LEON-MILAM-ROBERTSON-
1145 AM CDT TUE SEP 16 2014

.NOW...
AROUND NOON...ISOLATED SHOWERS CONTINUED NEAR AND SOUTH OF A
GOLDTHWAITE TO HILLSBORO TO CORSICANA LINE. THIS ACTIVITY WAS
MOVING VERY SLOWLY TOWARDS THE NORTHEAST AT AROUND 5 TO 10 MPH.
ELSEWHERE...SKIES RANGED FROM PARTLY TO MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH
TEMPERATURES IN THE LOW TO MID 80S.

THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON...ISOLATED SHOWERS AND PERHAPS A RUMBLE
OF THUNDER OR TWO WILL BE POSSIBLE...WITH THE BEST CHANCES FOR
MORE NUMEROUS ACTIVITY ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE INTERSTATE 20
CORRIDOR. RAINFALL AMOUNTS SHOULD GENERALLY REMAIN LIGHT...WITH
TOTALS OF LESS THAN ONE QUARTER OF AN INCH. OTHERWISE...EXPECT
PARTLY TO AT TIMES MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES...WITH TEMPERATURES SLOWLY
CLIMBING THROUGH THE MID 80S.

$$

BAIN

U.S. Dept. of Commerce
NOAA National Weather Service
1325 East West Highway
Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: June 2, 2009
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