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Hazardous Weather Outlook


Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Saint Louis MO
337 PM CDT Sat Oct 21 2017

ILZ058>060-064-065-069-070-074-079-095>102-MOZ018-019-026-027-
034>036-041-042-047>052-059>065-072>075-084-085-099-221200-
Greene IL-Macoupin IL-Montgomery IL-Bond IL-Fayette IL-Clinton IL-
Marion IL-Washington IL-Randolph IL-Adams IL-Brown IL-Pike IL-
Calhoun IL-Jersey IL-Madison IL-Saint Clair IL-Monroe IL-Knox MO-
Lewis MO-Shelby MO-Marion MO-Monroe MO-Ralls MO-Pike MO-Boone MO-
Audrain MO-Moniteau MO-Cole MO-Osage MO-Callaway MO-Montgomery MO-
Lincoln MO-Gasconade MO-Warren MO-Saint Charles MO-Franklin MO-
Saint Louis MO-Saint Louis City MO-Jefferson MO-Crawford MO-
Washington MO-Saint Francois MO-Sainte Genevieve MO-Iron MO-
Madison MO-Reynolds MO-
337 PM CDT Sat Oct 21 2017

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of eastern and
central Missouri as well as west central and southwest Illinois.

.DAY ONE...Tonight

Isolated to scattered severe thunderstorms are possible very late
this evening into the early overnight hours across central and
northeastern Missouri. Locally damaging wind gusts will be the
main threat.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed tonight, mainly across portions
of central and northeastern Missouri.

$$

Tilly

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Wichita KS
334 PM CDT Sat Oct 21 2017

KSZ032-033-047>053-067>072-082-083-091>096-098>100-222045-
Russell-Lincoln-Barton-Ellsworth-Saline-Rice-McPherson-Marion-Chase-
Reno-Harvey-Butler-Greenwood-Woodson-Allen-Kingman-Sedgwick-Harper-
Sumner-Cowley-Elk-Wilson-Neosho-Chautauqua-Montgomery-Labette-
334 PM CDT Sat Oct 21 2017

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of Central Kansas,
South Central Kansas and Southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Tonight

Scattered to numerous thunderstorms will impact locations mainly
along and southeast of the Kansas Turnpike corridor through the
evening. A handful of strong to severe storms are expected, capable
of half-dollar size hail, 70 mph winds and locally very heavy rain.
Pockets of flooding are possible, primarily for typical flood-
prone areas. The severe weather and heavy rain threat should exit
far southeast Kansas by midnight.

Patchy frost is possible later tonight across portions of central
and north-central Kansas, mainly for low-lying and sheltered areas,
as low temperatures fall into the mid to upper 30s. While a
widespread frost of freeze is not expected, those with sensitive
outdoor plants may want to bring them inside or cover them as a
precaution.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday

Very high grassland fire danger is expected across central and
north-central Kansas Monday afternoon, and possibly again Tuesday
and Thursday, due to strong northwest winds in wake of a pair of
cold fronts.

A strong storm system and associated cold front will bring the
coldest air of the season thus far Thursday night into the weekend.
This may support the areas first widespread hard freeze.
Furthermore, some light snow or flurries are possible sometime
Friday through Saturday, but accumulating snow appears unlikely at
this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Storm spotter activation may be needed through the evening
generally along and southeast of the Kansas Turnpike.

&&

For a graphical version of this information, see our webpage at:
http://weather.gov/wichita/hwo/

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
302 PM CDT Sat Oct 21 2017

TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-221345-
Montague-Cooke-Grayson-Fannin-Lamar-Young-Jack-Wise-Denton-Collin-
Hunt-Delta-Hopkins-Stephens-Palo Pinto-Parker-Tarrant-Dallas-
Rockwall-Kaufman-Van Zandt-Rains-Eastland-Erath-Hood-Somervell-
Johnson-Ellis-Henderson-Comanche-Mills-Hamilton-Bosque-Hill-Navarro-
Freestone-Anderson-Lampasas-Coryell-Bell-McLennan-Falls-Limestone-
Leon-Milam-Robertson-
302 PM CDT Sat Oct 21 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for North and Central Texas.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.
Isolated thunderstorms are possible east of Interstate 35 through
this evening. Lightning will be the main hazard with these
thunderstorms.

Later this evening, a line of storms is expected to develop along a
cold front which will move southeast through all of North and
Central Texas overnight. The most likely area for severe storms is
north of Interstate 20, although isolated instances of severe
weather will be possible across the entire area. Damaging winds will
be the main threat, but severe hail may also occur. In addition,
there will be sufficient instability for a few tornadoes to be
embedded within the line. These type of tornadoes are usually fast
moving and difficult to see. Heavy rainfall may also result in
localized flash flooding.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.
There will be an elevated fire weather danger on Tuesday with gusty
north winds and low humidity.

There is a low chance of thunderstorms mainly east of I-35 on Friday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation will likely be needed across much of North Texas,
and possibly Central Texas, late this evening and overnight as a
line of severe storms moves across the region.

$$

Stalley

Hazardous Weather Outlook for South Florida
National Weather Service Miami FL
355 PM EDT Sat Oct 21 2017

AMZ610-630-650-651-670-671-FLZ063-066>075-168-172>174-GMZ656-657-676-
220800-
Lake Okeechobee-Biscayne Bay-
Coastal waters from Jupiter Inlet to Deerfield Beach FL out 20 NM-
Coastal waters from Deerfield Beach to Ocean Reef FL out 20 NM-
Waters from Jupiter Inlet to Deerfield Beach FL from 20 to 60 NM-
Waters from Deerfield Beach to Ocean Reef FL from 20 to 60 NM
excluding the territorial waters of Bahamas-Glades-Hendry-
Inland Palm Beach-Metro Palm Beach-Coastal Collier-Inland Collier-
Inland Broward-Metro Broward-Inland Miami-Dade-Metro Miami-Dade-
Mainland Monroe-Coastal Palm Beach-Coastal Broward-Coastal Miami-
Dade-Far South Miami-Dade-
Coastal waters from Chokoloskee to Bonita Beach FL out 20 NM-
Coastal waters from East Cape Sable to Chokoloskee FL out 20 NM-
Waters from Chokoloskee to Bonita Beach FL from 20 to 60 NM-
355 PM EDT Sat Oct 21 2017

...HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS ATLANTIC BEACHES...
...BREEZY WINDS AND ROUGH SEAS ON ATLANTIC AND OUTER GULF WATERS...

This hazardous weather outlook is for South Florida.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

Rip currents: There is a high risk of rip currents on Atlantic
beaches. Swimming is not recommended. Heed the advise of the beach
patrols.

Wind: Winds of 20 to 25 knots with higher gusts are expected on
Atlantic and outer Gulf waters. A Small Craft Advisory is in effect.

Waves: Seas of 6 to 8 feet are expected in the Atlantic Gulf Stream
waters. A Small Craft Advisory is in effect.

No other hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

Sea conditions will be improving on Sunday across the Atlantic
waters. However, breezy easterly winds will prevail across the
waters and therefore the high risk of rip currents will continue
through the weekend and possibly into the early part of the week.
before subsiding. The concern for minor coastal flooding across the
Atlantic coast will also lessen by Sunday.

No other hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated, however, individual spotters
are encouraged to report coastal flooding to the National Weather
Service forecast office in Miami.

For more information...visit the National Weather Service in
Miami website at www.weather.gov/miami.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
350 PM EDT Sat Oct 21 2017

NCZ033-048>052-058-059-062-063-221100-
Avery-Madison-Yancey-Mitchell-Swain-Haywood-Graham-Northern Jackson-
Macon-Southern Jackson-
350 PM EDT Sat Oct 21 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for western North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.


.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

..Sunday...No hazardous weather is expected at this time.
..Monday...No hazardous weather is expected at this time.
..Tuesday...No hazardous weather is expected at this time.
..Wednesday...No hazardous weather is expected at this time.
..Thursday...Frost/freeze possible. Brisk northwest winds may bring
subfreezing air into the parts of the western North Carolina
mountains Wednesday night into Thursday morning.
..Friday...No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

None.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Jackson MS
247 PM CDT Sat Oct 21 2017

MSZ018-019-025>056-058>061-222000-
Bolivar-Sunflower-Leflore-Grenada-Carroll-Montgomery-Webster-Clay-
Lowndes-Choctaw-Oktibbeha-Washington-Humphreys-Holmes-Attala-
Winston-Noxubee-Issaquena-Sharkey-Yazoo-Madison MS-Leake-Neshoba-
Kemper-Warren-Hinds-Rankin-Scott-Newton-Lauderdale-Claiborne-
Copiah-Simpson-Smith-Clarke-Jefferson-Adams-Franklin MS-
247 PM CDT Sat Oct 21 2017

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central
Mississippi, north central Mississippi, and southwest
Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Tonight and Sunday

FLOODING
THREAT...Limited
TIMING...Sunday

A strong cold front moving into the area will combine with
increasing moisture to produce widespread heavy rainfall by
afternoon. Two to three inches will be possible which may result
in minor flooding of low-lying and poor drainage areas.

(www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image2.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday night through Friday

The heavy rainfall will linger into the evening hours and taper
off from the west after midnight.

(www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image2.png)

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations is not expected through next Friday.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Jackson MS
247 PM CDT Sat Oct 21 2017

MSZ057-062>066-072>074-222000-
Jasper-Lincoln-Lawrence-Jefferson Davis-Covington-Jones-Marion-
Lamar-Forrest-
247 PM CDT Sat Oct 21 2017

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of east central
Mississippi, south central Mississippi, and southeast
Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Tonight and Sunday

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Marginal
TIMING...Sunday

FLOODING
THREAT...Limited
TIMING...Sunday

Isolated severe thunderstorms will be possible Saturday afternoon
as a strong cold front plowss into an unstable airmass. The
strongest storms will be capable of damaging wind gusts to 60 mph
and up to quarter size hail. A tornado cannot be ruled out.

Widespread heavy rainfall will accompany these storms. Two to
three inches will be possible which may result in minor flooding
of low-lying and poor drainage areas.

(www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image1.png)
(www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image2.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday night through Friday

The heavy rainfall will linger into the evening hours and taper
off from the west after midnight.

(www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image2.png)

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region Sunday.

$$

26

&&

...HAZARD LEGEND...

*FLOODING*
Extreme...Confident in significant flooding.
Significant...Significant flooding possible.
Elevated...Confident in flooding.
Limited...Flooding possible.

*SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS*
High...Significant severe thunderstorms are expected.
Moderate...Severe storms expected with significant
 severe weather possible.
Enhanced...Severe storms expected.
Slight...Severe storms possible.
Marginal...Isolated severe storms possible.


...USEFUL WEATHER WEB PAGES (URLS)...

NWS JAN Home page...
   www.weather.gov/jan
Stay Aware, Stay Safe NWS JAN Briefing Page...
   www.weather.gov/jan/safe
Latest Weather Briefing...
   www.weather.gov/jan/weather_briefing

Tropical page...
   www.weather.gov/jan/tropical
National Hurricane Center Home Page...
   www.nhc.noaa.gov/
Find NWS JAN on Facebook...
   www.facebook.com/NWSJacksonMS
Follow NWS JAN on Twitter...
   @NWSJacksonMS
Follow NWS JAN on Youtube...
   www.youtube.com/user/NWSJacksonMiss

...ADDITIONAL URLS FOR FLOODING ISSUES...

Current Watches and Warnings...
   www.weather.gov/jan/safe_HeavyRain

Observed Precipitation Images...
   www.weather.gov/jan/precipmaps

River Forecast Center...
   www.weather.gov/lmrfc/
Significant River Flood Outlook...
   www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/nationalfloodoutlook/index.html
Day 1 through 3 Excessive Rainfall...
   www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/excess_rain.shtml
Excessive Rainfall Discussion...
   www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/qpferd.html
Day 1 through 7 QPF...
   www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/qpf2.shtml
QPF Discussion...
   www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/qpfpfd.html
...ADDITIONAL URLS FOR SEVERE WEATHER ISSUES...

Storm Prediction Center (SPC)...
   www.spc.noaa.gov/
Meso Analysis...
   www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/mesoanalysis/
Day 1 through 3 Outlooks...
   www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/
Storm Reports...
   www.spc.noaa.gov/climo/online/

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service San Angelo TX
245 PM CDT Sat Oct 21 2017

TXZ049-054-064>066-071>073-076>078-098-099-113-114-127-128-139-
140-154-155-168>170-221945-
Fisher-Nolan-Sterling-Coke-Runnels-Irion-Tom Green-Concho-
Crockett-Schleicher-Sutton-Haskell-Throckmorton-Jones-Shackelford-
Taylor-Callahan-Coleman-Brown-McCulloch-San Saba-Menard-Kimble-
Mason-
245 PM CDT Sat Oct 21 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of west central
Texas.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight

Isolated thunderstorms may develop ahead of a dryline late this
afternoon and early evening generally west of a Sweetwater,
San Angelo to Ozona line. The main hazard will be damaging winds
and large hail.

Strong to severe thunderstorms will be possible this evening and
overnight ahead of a cold front that will move south across the
area. The most favored area for severe storms will be along and
north of Interstate 20 this evening. The primary hazards will be
large hail and damaging winds, although an isolated tornado cannot
be ruled out.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Limited spotter activation may be necessary this evening,
primarily north of Interstate 20.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
240 PM CDT Sat Oct 21 2017

OKZ001>003-TXZ001>020-220745-
Cimarron-Texas-Beaver-Dallam-Sherman-Hansford-Ochiltree-Lipscomb-
Hartley-Moore-Hutchinson-Roberts-Hemphill-Oldham-Potter-Carson-
Gray-Wheeler-Deaf Smith-Randall-Armstrong-Donley-Collingsworth-
240 PM CDT Sat Oct 21 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Texas and Oklahoma
Panhandles.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

A Freeze Warning is in effect overnight for the western and
central Oklahoma Panhandle and the northwest Texas Panhandle. A
Frost Advisory is in effect overnight for the southwest, central
and parts of the northeast Texas Panhandle and the eastern
Oklahoma Panhandle. Sensitive plants and crops may be damaged or
killed.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

A Freeze Warning is in effect until 9 am Sunday for the western
and central Oklahoma Panhandle and the northwest Texas Panhandle.
A Frost Advisory is in effect until 9 am for the southwest,
central, and parts of the northeast Texas Panhandle and the
eastern Oklahoma Panhandle. Sensitive plants and crops may be
damaged or killed.

Low temperatures early Friday morning are forecast to fall into
the lower to middle 30s across much of the Oklahoma and Texas
Panhandles. Freeze Warnings and Frost Advisories may become
necessary for parts of the area during this time period.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated at this time.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Memphis TN
237 PM CDT Sat Oct 21 2017

ARZ008-009-017-018-026>028-035-036-048-049-058-MOZ113-115-
MSZ001>017-020>024-TNZ001>004-019>022-048>055-088>092-222145-
Alcorn-Benton MS-Benton TN-Calhoun-Carroll-Chester-Chickasaw-Clay-
Coahoma-Craighead-Crittenden-Crockett-Cross-DeSoto-Decatur-
Dunklin-Dyer-Fayette-Gibson-Greene-Hardeman-Hardin-Haywood-
Henderson-Henry-Itawamba-Lafayette-Lake-Lauderdale-Lawrence-
Lee AR-Lee MS-Madison-Marshall-McNairy-Mississippi-Monroe-Obion-
Panola-Pemiscot-Phillips-Poinsett-Pontotoc-Prentiss-Quitman-
Randolph-Shelby-St. Francis-Tallahatchie-Tate-Tippah-Tipton-
Tishomingo-Tunica-Union-Weakley-Yalobusha-
237 PM CDT Sat Oct 21 2017

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of East Arkansas...
the Missouri Bootheel...North Mississippi...and West Tennessee.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight

Isolated strong thunderstorms will be possible over eastern
Arkansas late tonight. Gusty winds and locally heavy rainfall
will be possible.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday

Isolated strong thunderstorms will be possible along and west of
I-55 Sunday. Gusty winds and locally heavy rainfall will be
possible.

Patchy frost may occur near the Tennessee River early Wednesday
morning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated at this time.

$$

JAB

Hazardous Weather Outlook...Updated
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
135 PM CDT Sat Oct 21 2017

ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-221000-
Boone-Marion-Baxter-Fulton-Sharp-Newton-Searcy-Stone-Izard-
Independence-Johnson-Pope-Van Buren-Cleburne-Jackson-Logan-Conway-
Faulkner-White-Woodruff-Scott-Yell-Perry-Polk-Montgomery-Garland-
Saline-Pulaski-Lonoke-Prairie-Monroe-Pike-Clark-Hot Spring-Grant-
Jefferson-Arkansas-Dallas-Cleveland-Lincoln-Desha-Ouachita-
Calhoun-Bradley-Drew-
500 AM CDT Sat Oct 21 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for a Large Part of Arkansas.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight

A few showers and thunderstorms may develop during the afternoon and
evening hours, but this activity is not expected to become severe.
Strong southerly winds will be observed during the afternoon and
evening hours across much of the state.

A cold front will make its way into western Arkansas overnight and
will usher in a line of strong to possibly severe storms ahead of
it. The main threat from any severe thunderstorms that develop will
be damaging winds, although an isolated tornado can`t be ruled out
either. Some locally heavy rainfall will be possible with
thunderstorms overnight into Sunday, but widespread flash flooding
is not expected.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday Through Friday

Lingering thunderstorms will be possible on Sunday morning as the
cold front continues to progress east through the state. Other
than some cloud to ground lightning, the overall threat for
hazardous weather will have decreased.

Expect the cold front to move southeast of the state by Monday.
Cooler and drier conditions will then return to the state for much
of next week.

.Spotter Information Statement...

Spotter activation may be needed Saturday night to early Sunday.

&&

Visit NWS Little Rock on the web. Go to http://weather.gov/lzk.

$$

59/62

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
100 PM CDT Sat Oct 21 2017

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-221030-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
100 PM CDT Sat Oct 21 2017

...Enhanced Severe Thunderstorm Threat and Heavy Rainfall Late
This Afternoon into Tonight...

This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.
TORNADO.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Eastern Oklahoma and Northwest Arkansas.
ONSET...After 5 PM Northeast Oklahoma. After 11 PM Southeast
            Oklahoma and Northwest Arkansas.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...Significant.
AREA...Eastern Oklahoma and Northwest Arkansas.
ONSET...After 5 PM Northeast Oklahoma. After 11 PM Southeast
    Oklahoma and Northwest Arkansas.

FLASH FLOOD.
RISK...Elevated.
AREA...Eastern Oklahoma and Northwest Arkansas.
ONSET...This Evening.

HEAVY RAIN.
RISK...Elevated.
AREA...Eastern Oklahoma and Northwest Arkansas.
ONSET...This Evening.

SIGNIFICANT WINDS.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Eastern Oklahoma and Northwest Arkansas.
ONSET...Ongoing.

DISCUSSION...
An enhanced severe weather potential is forecast across much of
the region starting late this afternoon and continuing into the
overnight hours. Thunderstorms will begin to develop across
central Kansas into northwest Oklahoma along a cold front this
afternoon and spread into northeast Oklahoma during the late
afternoon and early evening hours. Damaging winds to 70
mph...large hail and also a limited tornado potential will be
possible with the initial storm development.

During the evening hours...storms are expected to develop into a
squall line along the front and spread across eastern Oklahoma and
northwest Arkansas overnight. Severe weather will continue into
the overnight hours with the main threat transitioning to more of
a damaging wind threat. However...a limited tornado potential will
remain possible with the threat of quick spin ups along the
leading line of the east southeast moving squall line. The line of
storms is expected to push into northwest Arkansas and southeast
Oklahoma toward midnight...with the severe weather threat
diminishing after 2 am.

Widespread heavy rainfall amounts in the 1 to 2 inch range with
locally higher amounts around 3 inches and greater are also
expected with the storms through tonight. Localized flash
flooding could be possible along with the potential for some river
flooding across the region.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Activation of the Regional Spotter Network Likely. Persons
attending outdoor events Saturday evening should prepare for
thunderstorms with the potential for severe weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.
SUNDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.
MONDAY...No Hazards.
TUESDAY...High Wind Potential.
WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY...No Hazards.
FRIDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
Rain showers along with an isolated thunderstorm potential will
remain possible into the morning hours Sunday across parts of
Eastern Oklahoma and Northwest Arkansas behind the exiting cold
front. Precipitation is forecast to exit the region by Sunday
afternoon. In the wake of the departing system...a secondary push
of cooler temperatures and gusty northerly winds will be possible
Tuesday with a warming trend forecast for the second half of next
week. Toward the end of the week...another low pressure system
looks to move into the Plains with a return of thunderstorm
chances to the region.

weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
1240 PM CDT Sat Oct 21 2017

NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-057>063-067>070-074-075-
079>082-258-221745-
Guadalupe Mountains of Eddy County-Eddy County Plains-
Northern Lea County-Central Lea County-Southern Lea County-Gaines-
Dawson-Borden-Scurry-Andrews-Martin-Howard-Mitchell-
Van Horn and Highway 54 Corridor-Reeves County and Upper Trans Pecos-
Loving-Winkler-Ector-Midland-Glasscock-Ward-Crane-Upton-Reagan-
Davis/Apache Mountains Area-Pecos-Presidio Valley-Marfa Plateau-
Big Bend Area-Terrell-Guadalupe Mountains-
1240 PM CDT Sat Oct 21 2017 /1140 AM MDT Sat Oct 21 2017/

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of southeast New
Mexico, southwest Texas and western Texas.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

Strong to severe thunderstorms are possible this afternoon and
evening across the far eastern Permian Basin and Lower Trans Pecos.
The main threats with these storms will be strong winds and hail.

A High Wind Warning is in effect for the Guadalupe Mountains through
mid afternoon today.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

Strong northeasterly gap winds are possible at Guadalupe Pass on
Monday night.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated.

$$
This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories,
and statements issued by the National Weather Service Office in
Midland, can be found on the internet at...
http://weather.gov/midland

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
1225 PM CDT Sat Oct 21 2017

TXZ214-235>238-221730-
Brazoria-Chambers-Galveston-Jackson-Matagorda-
1225 PM CDT Sat Oct 21 2017

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of Southeast Texas..

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight

Tide levels will remain slightly elevated today and tonight. Minor
coastal flooding is possible but tide levels are expected to be
lower than on Friday evening. Rip currents will remain strong
today on Gulf facing beaches.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday

A cold front will cross the region Sunday morning. A band of
showers and thunderstorms should accompany the cold front with
most of the storms moving through between 8 AM and 1 PM.
Widespread rainfall of one half inch with isolated amounts of 2 to
3 inches possible. Some storms will bring gusty winds of 20 to 40
mph with the front.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
1225 PM CDT Sat Oct 21 2017

GMZ330-335-350-355-370-375-221730-
Coastal waters from Freeport to the Matagorda Ship Channel out
20 NM-Coastal waters from High Island to Freeport out 20 NM-
Galveston Bay-Matagorda Bay-
Waters from Freeport to the Matagorda Ship Channel from 20 to
60 NM-Waters from High Island to Freeport from 20 to 60 NM-
1225 PM CDT Sat Oct 21 2017

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of Southeast Texas..

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight

A moderate to occasionally strong onshore flow will persist
through tonight.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday

A cold front will move into the coastal waters after 9 am Sunday. A
band of showers and thunderstorms should accompany the cold front.
Heavy downpours may reduce visibility below 2 miles. Some storms
will be strong to severe with the primary threat being wind gusts
in excess of 30 knots. These storms should depart the far offshore
coastal waters before 3 pm.

Periods of strong offshore winds will be possible Sunday night
through Monday morning. A reinforcing cold front should traverse
the region Tuesday around sunrise with strong offshore flow
Tuesday morning through Wednesday morning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Norman OK
1224 PM CDT Sat Oct 21 2017

OKZ004>048-050>052-TXZ083>090-221230-
Harper-Woods-Alfalfa-Grant-Kay-Ellis-Woodward-Major-Garfield-
Noble-Roger Mills-Dewey-Custer-Blaine-Kingfisher-Logan-Payne-
Beckham-Washita-Caddo-Canadian-Oklahoma-Lincoln-Grady-McClain-
Cleveland-Pottawatomie-Seminole-Hughes-Harmon-Greer-Kiowa-Jackson-
Tillman-Comanche-Stephens-Garvin-Murray-Pontotoc-Coal-Cotton-
Jefferson-Carter-Johnston-Atoka-Love-Marshall-Bryan-Hardeman-
Foard-Wilbarger-Wichita-Knox-Baylor-Archer-Clay-
1224 PM CDT Sat Oct 21 2017

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of northern...
western...central...and southern Oklahoma...and western north
Texas.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight...

.Thunderstorms...
There is an Enhanced risk of severe thunderstorms across portions
of north central, central, and southern Oklahoma, and western
north Texas. A Slight and Marginal risk cover much of the rest of
the area.

Location...
The Enhanced risk is near and southeast of a line from Cherokee to
Seiling to Clinton and Altus Oklahoma, to Crowell and Seymour
Texas. This includes places like Ponca City, Enid, Lawton,
Oklahoma City Metro, Ada, and Ardmore Oklahoma, and Wichita Falls
Texas. The Slight and Marginal risks are west of the Enhanced risk
and southeast of a line from Buffalo to Arnett Oklahoma.

Impacts...
Damaging wind gusts to around 80 mph and large hail up to the size
of tennis balls are the primary concerns. There is a low potential
for tornadoes across portions of central and southern Oklahoma,
and western north Texas.

Timing...
The most likely time for severe storms will be from 3 pm to 2 am.
The most likely time for a tornado, if a tornado occurs, will be
from 3 pm to 9 pm.

Discussion...
Thunderstorms will develop along the strong cold front which will
push into northwestern Oklahoma this Afternoon. Initial storms
will occur across northern and western Oklahoma. Thunderstorms
will continue to develop as the cold front moves across the area
this evening and overnight. Storms will form into one or two lines
fairly quickly. Large hail will be a concern with the initial
development, before damaging winds become the greatest concern as
storms become more linear. Isolated wind gusts up to 80 mph are
possible.

Other more discrete storms could develop in parts of southwest
Oklahoma and western north Texas later this afternoon near a
surface low, the front, and dryline. Large hail up to the size of
tennis balls and wind gusts to 70 mph will be the main concerns
with these storms. However, there will also be a low potential for
tornado development within the strongest storms. Eventually,
these storms are expected to merge into line segments as well,
with the damaging wind potential becoming a greater concern. The
tornado potential is expected to decrease later this evening.

The potential for severe storms will decrease overnight but
thunderstorms will remain possible through early Sunday.

.SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT STATEMENT...

Storm spotter groups and emergency management personnel across the
risk areas should prepare for severe weather operations late this
afternoon and tonight.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday...

.Thunderstorms...
A few thunderstorms may linger in parts of southeast Oklahoma
Sunday morning before exiting the area.

.Cold/Frost...
Patchy frost and near freezing temperatures may be possible across
portions of Oklahoma late next week.

Get graphics and more details at weather.gov/norman...and follow
our weather forecast office on Twitter and Facebook.

$$

Kurtz

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Springfield MO
1150 AM CDT Sat Oct 21 2017

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-221700-
Bourbon-Crawford-Cherokee-Benton-Morgan-Miller-Maries-Vernon-
St. Clair-Hickory-Camden-Pulaski-Phelps-Barton-Cedar-Polk-Dallas-
Laclede-Texas-Dent-Jasper-Dade-Greene-Webster-Wright-Newton-
Lawrence-Christian-Douglas-Howell-Shannon-McDonald-Barry-Stone-
Taney-Ozark-Oregon-
1150 AM CDT Sat Oct 21 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of the Missouri
Ozarks and extreme southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.

Weather hazards expected...

  Limited Tornado risk.
  Elevated Hail risk.
  Elevated Thunderstorm wind damage risk.
  Elevated Flooding risk.
  Significant Lightning risk.
  Limited Non thunderstorm wind risk.

DISCUSSION...

Southerly winds will gust up to 35 mph at times across the area
through Tonight.

A line of strong to severe thunderstorms will move through the
area late Tonight. Damaging wind gusts up to 60 mph will be the
primary hazard with this activity. Large hail to the size of
quarters are also possible, mainly across Southeast Kansas. There
is a threat for a few isolated tornados along the line of storms
Tonight. The greatest risk for severe storms tonight will occur
generally along and west of US Highway 65. Frequent cloud to
ground lightning will also occur with these storms.

The line of thunderstorms looks to reach extreme southeast Kansas
between 7-10 PM. The storms will then move east reaching the
Springfield and US Highway 65 corridor from 11 PM-2 AM. These
storms are then expected to weaken as they shift east of US
Highway 65 during the early morning hours Sunday, exiting the
Eastern Ozarks between 5-7 AM.

There is also a risk for some localized flooding, particularly in
southeastern Kansas and western Missouri. Widespread flooding is
not expected.

Locations along and west of US Highway 65 need to pay attention
to forecast updates through Tonight on this severe weather
threat.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Northwest winds will gust up to 30 mph on Tuesday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

  Spotter activation may be needed later tonight.

&&

More detailed information can be accessed at:
http://www.weather.gov/sgf/sitrep

This product in graphical format...along with other weather...
hydrological and climate information...at
http://www.weather.gov/sgf

$$

Hatch

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
1133 AM CDT Sat Oct 21 2017

ARZ071>073-LAZ001>006-010>014-017>022-TXZ126-137-138-149>153-
165>167-221645-
Lafayette-Columbia-Union-Caddo-Bossier-Webster-Claiborne-Lincoln-
De Soto-Red River-Bienville-Jackson-Ouachita-Sabine-Natchitoches-
Winn-Grant-Caldwell-La Salle-Marion-Gregg-Harrison-Cherokee-Rusk-
Panola-Nacogdoches-Shelby-Angelina-San Augustine-
1133 AM CDT Sat Oct 21 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of south central
Arkansas, southwest Arkansas, north central Louisiana, northwest
Louisiana, east Texas and northeast Texas.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight...

Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms will develop today
through tonight ahead of an approaching cold front. However, no
hazardous weather is expected.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday...

Thunderstorms will accompany a strong cold front advancing south
through our region on Sunday morning. A few strong to marginally
severe storms will be possible, mainly along and north of a line
from Magnolia, Arkansas to Shreveport, Louisiana and Nacogdoches,
Texas...with a squall line posing the primary threat of damaging
winds. This threat will diminish through the mid to late morning
hours on Sunday as the cold front encounters much less favorable
conditions for sustaining any severe storms. Any lingering storms
will exit the region by late Sunday with the next chance of any
storms not arriving until possibly next Friday with another cold
front arriving in the region by the end of next week.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Activation of emergency management personnel...amateur radio
operators and storm spotters could possibly be needed overnight
through early Sunday.

$$

07

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
1133 AM CDT Sat Oct 21 2017

ARZ050-051-059>061-070-OKZ077-TXZ096-097-108>112-124-125-136-
221645-
Sevier-Howard-Little River-Hempstead-Nevada-Miller-McCurtain-
Red River-Bowie-Franklin-Titus-Camp-Morris-Cass-Wood-Upshur-Smith-
1133 AM CDT Sat Oct 21 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of southwest
Arkansas, southeast Oklahoma and northeast Texas.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight...

Isolated showers and maybe a few thunderstorms will be possible
this afternoon as strong heating occurs ahead of a cold front.
Expect the threat of strong to possibly severe thunderstorms to
increase after midnight with a squall line developing along the
approaching cold front. The primary threat with this line of
storms will be damaging winds as the cold front encounters very
warm and unstable air out ahead of it. The threats of large hail
and weak, isolated tornadoes will be minimal but also cannot be
ruled out.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday...

Thunderstorms will gradually begin to weaken behind the cold front
by late Sunday morning with the threat of severe storms diminishing
toward daybreak. The next chance of thunderstorms will not arrive
until possibly next Friday with another cold front arriving in the
region by the end of next week.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Activation of emergency management personnel...amateur radio
operators and storm spotters may be needed late this evening and
overnight.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service New Orleans LA
1051 AM CDT Sat Oct 21 2017

GMZ530-532-534-536-538-550-552-555-557-570-572-575-577-LAZ034>037-
039-040-046>050-056>072-MSZ068>071-077-080>082-220400-
Lake Pontchartrain and Lake Maurepas-Mississippi Sound-
Lake Borgne-Chandeleur Sound-Breton Sound-
Coastal Waters from Port Fourchon LA to Lower Atchafalaya River
LA out 20 nm-
Coastal waters from the Southwest Pass of the Mississippi River
to Port Fourchon Louisiana out 20 NM-
Coastal Waters from Boothville LA to Southwest Pass of the
Mississippi River out 20 nm-
Coastal waters from Pascagoula Mississippi to Stake Island out
20 NM-
Coastal waters from Port Fourchon Louisiana to Lower Atchafalaya
River LA from 20 to 60 NM-
Coastal waters from Southwest Pass of the Mississippi River to
Port Fourchon Louisiana from 20 to 60 NM-
Coastal Waters from Stake Island LA to Southwest Pass of the
Mississippi River from 20 to 60 nm-
Coastal waters from Pascagoula Mississippi to Stake Island
Louisiana out 20 to 60 NM-Pointe Coupee-West Feliciana-
East Feliciana-St. Helena-Washington-St. Tammany-Iberville-
West Baton Rouge-East Baton Rouge-Ascension-Livingston-Assumption-
St. James-St. John The Baptist-Upper Lafourche-St. Charles-
Upper Jefferson-Orleans-Upper Plaquemines-Upper St. Bernard-
Upper Terrebonne-Lower Terrebonne-Lower Lafourche-Lower Jefferson-
Lower Plaquemines-Lower St. Bernard-Northern Tangipahoa-
Southern Tangipahoa-Wilkinson-Amite-Pike-Walthall-Pearl River-
Hancock-Harrison-Jackson-
1051 AM CDT Sat Oct 21 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of Southeast
Louisiana...South Mississippi and the adjacent coastal waters.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

A Small Craft Advisory is in effect for the open Gulf coastal
waters east of the Mississippi River as well as for Chandeleur
and Breton Sounds due to strong winds and hazardous seas.

Scattered thunderstorms are forecast for this afternoon and
tonight. Severe weather is not expected, but a few storms could
become strong, producing gusty winds, frequent lightning, and
locally heavy rainfall.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday

Scattered to numerous thunderstorms are expected Sunday and
Sunday night across Southern Mississippi and Southeastern
Louisiana. Severe weather is not currently expected, but a few of
these storms could become strong and produce gusty winds,
frequent lightning, and locally heavy rainfall.

Moderate to strong offshore flow behind a strong cold front will
result in hazardous conditions for small craft across the coastal
waters Monday and Tuesday with exercise caution headlines likely.
A stronger surge of cooler air may necessitate small craft
advisories Tuesday night.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated.

$$

95/DM

Hazardous Weather Outlook...UPDATED
National Weather Service Lubbock TX
957 AM CDT Sat Oct 21 2017

TXZ021>044-221500-
Parmer-Castro-Swisher-Briscoe-Hall-Childress-Bailey-Lamb-Hale-
Floyd-Motley-Cottle-Cochran-Hockley-Lubbock-Crosby-Dickens-King-
Yoakum-Terry-Lynn-Garza-Kent-Stonewall-
957 AM CDT Sat Oct 21 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the South Plains...Rolling
Plains and the far Southern Texas Panhandle.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

A few severe thunderstorms may develop mainly over the Rolling
Plains later today. Hail to the size of quarters and winds near
65 mph are possible. Farther west, isolated high based
thunderstorms could produce a few microbursts with winds
approaching 60 mph.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated at this time.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
1000 AM EDT Sat Oct 21 2017

AMZ550-552-555-570-572-575-FLZ041-044>047-053-054-058-059-064-141-
144-147-220300-
Flagler Beach to Volusia-Brevard County Line 0-20 nm-Volusia-
Brevard County Line to Sebastian Inlet 0-20 nm-
Sebastian Inlet to Jupiter Inlet 0-20 nm-Flagler Beach to Volusia-
Brevard County Line 20-60 nm-Volusia-
Brevard County Line to Sebastian Inlet 20-60 nm-
Sebastian Inlet to Jupiter Inlet 20-60 nm-Inland Volusia County-
Northern Lake County-Orange-Seminole-Southern Brevard County-
Osceola-Indian River-Okeechobee-St. Lucie-Martin-
Coastal Volusia County-Southern Lake County-
Northern Brevard County-
1000 AM EDT Sat Oct 21 2017

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

.RIP CURRENT IMPACT...
Breezy east winds will create rough and dangerous surf along with
a moderate risk of rip currents. Rough surf can be more dangerous
than it appears while standing on the beach. If you choose to
enter the water, only swim within sight of a lifeguard and never
swim alone.

.WIND AND SEA IMPACT...
East winds between 15 to 20 knots will lead to choppy seas of 5
to 7 feet. A Small Craft Advisory is in effect for all but the
nearshore waters of Volusia County coast where boaters should
exercise caution for seas up to 6 feet.

.COASTAL FLOOD IMPACT...
Rough surf will bring the possibility of minor beach erosion
around the time of high tide this morning and again this evening.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.
Breezy onshore flow will continue to produce poor to hazardous
boating conditions through the weekend, as well as rough and
choppy surf at area beaches. A moderate risk of rip currents can
be expected.

Increasing moisture out ahead of a strong cold front will bring a
renewed chance for thunderstorms on Monday. A higher coverage of
lightning storms is expected to accompany the front overnight
Monday into Tuesday, with cloud-to-ground lightning strikes and
brief gusty winds the primary weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation will not be needed today.

$$

Ulrich/Johnson

Hazardous Weather Outlook...UPDATED
National Weather Service Mobile AL
608 AM CDT Sat Oct 21 2017

ALZ051>060-261>266-FLZ201>206-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-221115-
Choctaw-Washington-Clarke-Wilcox-Monroe-Conecuh-Butler-Crenshaw-
Escambia-Covington-Mobile Inland-Baldwin Inland-Mobile Central-
Baldwin Central-Mobile Coastal-Baldwin Coastal-Escambia Inland-
Escambia Coastal-Santa Rosa Inland-Santa Rosa Coastal-
Okaloosa Inland-Okaloosa Coastal-Wayne-Perry-Greene-Stone-George-
608 AM CDT Sat Oct 21 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of south central
Alabama...southwest Alabama...northwest Florida and southeast
Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

A high risk of rip currents is now in effect for the beaches of
Alabama and the Northwest Florida Panhandle through tonight.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday

A high risk of rip currents continues into Sunday across the beaches
of Alabama and the northwest Florida Panhandle.

Numerous to widespread showers and thunderstorms will move across
the region ahead of an approaching cold front late Sunday into
Monday. Locally heavy rainfall may result in ponding of water on
roadways and minor flooding of urban and low lying areas. Severe
weather currently appears unlikely, but a few storms could be strong
at times with brief strong and gusty winds and frequent lightning
strikes.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Activation of SkyWarn Severe Storm Spotter networks is not
expected through Friday.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook...UPDATED
National Weather Service Mobile AL
608 AM CDT Sat Oct 21 2017

GMZ630>635-650-655-670-675-221115-
Northern Mobile Bay-Southern Mobile Bay-Mississippi Sound-
Perdido Bay-Pensacola Bay System-Choctawhatchee Bay-
Coastal waters from Pensacola FL to Pascagoula MS out 20 NM-
Coastal waters from Destin to Pensacola FL out 20 NM-
Waters from Pensacola FL to Pascagoula MS from 20 to 60 NM-
Waters from Destin to Pensacola FL from 20 to 60 NM-
608 AM CDT Sat Oct 21 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of the coastal
waters of Alabama and northwest Florida.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Hazardous conditions for small craft can be expected through
tonight.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday

Hazardous conditions for small craft can be expected Sunday
through Midweek.

Strong thunderstorms with gusty winds, frequent lightning and
periods of very heavy will be likely late Sunday through late
Monday morning.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Lake Charles LA
440 AM CDT Sat Oct 21 2017

LAZ027>033-041>045-052>055-073-074-TXZ180-201-215-216-259>262-
220945-
Vernon-Rapides-Avoyelles-Beauregard-Allen-Evangeline-St. Landry-
Calcasieu-Jefferson Davis-Acadia-Lafayette-Upper St. Martin-
Vermilion-Iberia-St. Mary-Lower St. Martin-West Cameron-
East Cameron-Tyler-Hardin-Jefferson-Orange-Northern Jasper-
Northern Newton-Southern Jasper-Southern Newton-
440 AM CDT Sat Oct 21 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central
Louisiana, south central Louisiana, southwest Louisiana, west
central Louisiana, and southeast Texas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight
Scattered showers and thunderstorms will be possible across
the area today. Occasional cloud to ground lightning will be
possible with the storms. Otherwise, no hazardous weather is
expected.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday
Showers and thunderstorms will increase from west to east Sunday
as a cold front moves through the area. While the overall risk for
severe weather is minimal, some isolated strong to marginally
severe storms will be possible during the day Sunday. The primary
threat will be strong wind gusts. In addition, storms will be
capable of producing occasional cloud to ground lightning and
locally heavy rainfall.

Dry conditions will return by Monday and persist through the week.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Lake Charles LA
440 AM CDT Sat Oct 21 2017

GMZ430-432-435-450-452-455-470-472-475-220945-
Sabine Lake-Calcasieu Lake-Vermilion Bay-
Coastal waters from Cameron LA to High Island TX out 20 NM-
Coastal waters from Intracoastal City to Cameron LA out 20 NM-
Coastal waters from Lower Atchafalaya River to Intracoastal City
LA out 20 NM-
Waters from Cameron LA to High Island TX from 20 to 60 NM-
Waters from  Intracoastal City to Cameron LA from 20 to 60 NM-
Waters from Lower Atchafalaya River to Intracoastal City LA from
20 to 60 NM-
440 AM CDT Sat Oct 21 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of Gulf of Mexico.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight
Scattered showers and thunderstorms will be possible over the
coastal waters today through tonight. Occasional cloud to ground
lightning will be possible with the storms. Otherwise, no
hazardous weather is expected.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday
Showers and thunderstorms will increase from west to east Sunday
as a cold front moves through the area. Occasional cloud to water
lightning and gusty winds can be expected with the storms.

Behind the front, moderate to strong northerly winds will develop
Sunday night into Monday. Exercise caution conditions are
anticipated behind this front. On Tuesday, a secondary front will
move through the region. This will reinforce the strong offshore
flow, and Small Craft Advisories may be needed from Tuesday into
Wednesday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation will not be needed.

$$

24

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
434 AM CDT Sat Oct 21 2017

TXZ171>173-183>194-202>209-217>225-228-220945-
Llano-Burnet-Williamson-Val Verde-Edwards-Real-Kerr-Bandera-
Gillespie-Kendall-Blanco-Hays-Travis-Bastrop-Lee-Kinney-Uvalde-
Medina-Bexar-Comal-Guadalupe-Caldwell-Fayette-Maverick-Zavala-
Frio-Atascosa-Wilson-Karnes-Gonzales-De Witt-Lavaca-Dimmit-
434 AM CDT Sat Oct 21 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for South-Central Texas..

.DAY ONE...Today And Tonight.

Strong to severe thunderstorms are possible tonight along a cold
front. Large hail and damaging winds are the main threat. Storms
will move through the Hill Country late tonight.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Strong to severe thunderstorms are possible early Sunday morning
along a cold front. Large hail and damaging winds are the main
threat. Storms will move from I-35/Hwy 90 to the Coastal Plains
Sunday morning. Otherwise no hazardous weather is expected at
this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotters, severe thunderstorms are possible late tonight and
Sunday morning. Please report any severe weather.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Key West FL
529 AM EDT Sat Oct 21 2017

FLZ076>078-GMZ031>035-042>044-052>055-072>075-221000-
Monroe Upper Keys-Monroe Middle Keys-Monroe Lower Keys-
Florida Bay including Barnes Sound, Blackwater Sound, and
Buttonwood Sound-
Bayside and Gulf side from Craig Key to west end of Seven Mile
Bridge-
Gulf waters from East Cape Sable to Chokoloskee 20 to 60 NM out
and beyond 5 fathoms-
Gulf of Mexico including Dry Tortugas and Rebecca Shoal Channel-
Gulf of Mexico from west end of Seven Mile Bridge to Halfmoon
Shoal out to 5 Fathoms-
Hawk Channel from Ocean Reef to Craig Key out to the reef-
Hawk Channel from Craig Key to west end of Seven Mile Bridge out
to the reef-
Hawk Channel from west end of Seven Mile Bridge to Halfmoon Shoal
out to the reef-
Straits of Florida from Ocean Reef to Craig Key out 20 NM-
Straits of Florida from Craig Key to west end of Seven Mile
Bridge out 20 NM-
Straits of Florida from west end of Seven Mile Bridge to south of
Halfmoon Shoal out 20 NM-
Straits of Florida from Halfmoon Shoal to 20 NM west of Dry
Tortugas out 20 NM-
Straits of Florida from Ocean Reef to Craig Key 20 to 60 NM out-
Straits of Florida from Craig Key to west end of Seven Mile
Bridge 20 to 60 NM out-
Straits of Florida from west end of Seven Mile Bridge to south of
Halfmoon Shoal 20 to 60 NM out-
Straits of Florida from Halfmoon Shoal to 20 NM west of Dry
Tortugas 20 to 60 NM out-
529 AM EDT Sat Oct 21 2017

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS AND
ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A Small Craft Advisory remains in effect for the Florida Keys
coastal waters today and tonight.

Isolated thunderstorms are possible along the Florida Keys, as
well as over nearshore and offshore waters surrounding the island
chain today and tonight. The primary thunderstorm hazard will be
cloud to surface lightning strikes.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

A Small Craft Advisory may be required for the Florida Keys coastal
waters Sunday and Sunday night.

Isolated thunderstorms are possible along the Florida Keys, as
well as over nearshore and offshore waters surrounding the island
chain Sunday through Wednesday. The primary thunderstorm hazard
will be cloud to surface lightning strikes.

A Small Craft Advisory may be required for the coastal waters of
the Gulf of Mexico and Atlantic Wednesday and Wednesday night.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time for Thursday or
Friday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated.

$$

KN

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX
414 AM CDT Sat Oct 21 2017

TXZ242>247-221015-
Kleberg-Nueces-San Patricio-Aransas-Refugio-Calhoun-
414 AM CDT Sat Oct 21 2017

This hazardous weather outlook is for Coastal South Texas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

A Coastal Flood Advisory is in effect until 11pm this evening for
the coastal counties of South Texas.

A moderate risk of rip currents will exist today along Gulf-facing
beaches.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday

Isolated to scattered showers will be possible Sunday as a cold
front moves through the area.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Brownsville TX
357 AM CDT Sat Oct 21 2017

TXZ248>257-221100-
Zapata-Jim Hogg-Brooks-Kenedy-Starr-Hidalgo-Inland Willacy-
Inland Cameron-Coastal Willacy-Coastal Cameron-
357 AM CDT Sat Oct 21 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of Deep South
Texas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

There is a moderate risk of rip currents at the beaches of South
Padre Island and at Boca Chica Beach.

Areas of fog, some possibly dense, will affect portions of Deep
South Texas and the Rio Grande Valley until around sunrise this
morning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday

An elevated risk of rip currents is possible at the local beaches
through the entire forecast period except Thursday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Skywarn spotter activation will not be needed.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Paducah KY
330 AM CDT Sat Oct 21 2017

ILZ075>078-080>094-INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ001>022-MOZ076-086-087-
100-107>112-114-221000-
Jefferson-Wayne IL-Edwards-Wabash-Perry IL-Franklin-Hamilton-
White-Jackson-Williamson-Saline-Gallatin-Union-Johnson-Pope-
Hardin-Alexander-Pulaski-Massac-Gibson-Pike-Posey-Vanderburgh-
Warrick-Spencer-Fulton-Hickman-Carlisle-Ballard-McCracken-Graves-
Livingston-Marshall-Calloway-Crittenden-Lyon-Trigg-Caldwell-
Union KY-Webster-Hopkins-Christian-Henderson-Daviess-McLean-
Muhlenberg-Todd-Perry MO-Bollinger-Cape Girardeau-Wayne MO-Carter-
Ripley-Butler-Stoddard-Scott-Mississippi-New Madrid-
330 AM CDT Sat Oct 21 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of southern
Illinois, southwest Indiana, western Kentucky, and southeast
Missouri.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Thunderstorms are possible later tonight across southeast
Missouri, southern Illinois and parts of southwest IN and far
western KY. Lightning will be the main hazard.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday

There is a chance for thunderstorms area wide during the day on
Sunday. Locally heavy rainfall and lightning will be the primary
hazards. Some locations can expect 1 to 2 inches of rain.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
414 AM EDT Sat Oct 21 2017

AMZ450-452-454-470-472-474-FLZ020>025-030>033-035>038-040-124-125-
GAZ132>136-149>154-162>166-221000-
Coastal waters from Altamaha Sound to Fernandina Beach FL out
20 NM-
Coastal waters from Fernandina Beach to St. Augustine FL out
20 NM-
Coastal waters from St. Augustine to Flagler Beach FL out 20 NM-
Waters from Altamaha Sound GA to Fernandina Beach FL from 20 to
60 NM-
Waters from Fernandina Beach to St. Augustine FL from 20 to 60 NM-
Waters from St. Augustine to Flagler Beach FL from 20 to 60 NM-
Hamilton-Suwannee-Columbia-Baker-Inland Nassau-Inland Duval-Union-
Bradford-Clay-St. Johns-Gilchrist-Alachua-Putnam-Flagler-Marion-
Coastal Nassau-Coastal Duval-Coffee-Jeff Davis-Bacon-Appling-
Wayne-Atkinson-Ware-Pierce-Brantley-Inland Glynn-Coastal Glynn-
Echols-Clinch-Charlton-Inland Camden-Coastal Camden-
414 AM EDT Sat Oct 21 2017

...MINOR TO MODERATE FLOODING CONTINUES ON THE ST JOHNS RIVER
BASIN...

...HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Northeast Florida,
Southeast Georgia and the Adjacent Coastal Waters.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight...

Coastal Flood Warnings and Advisories continue for the St Johns
River Basin this weekend as Minor to Moderate Flooding occurs
during times of High Tide through the weekend.

High risk for rip currents at area beaches.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday...

Elevated Risk of Rip Currents continues at area beaches on Sunday.

Coastal flooding near times of high tide will continue along the
St Johns river and its tributaries into the early next week.

A line of strong to severe storms is possible late Monday into
Tuesday, as a cold front sweeps through.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed.

For additional information, visit the National Weather Service in
Jacksonville website on the internet at weather.gov/jax.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
353 AM EDT Sat Oct 21 2017

NCZ029-044>047-079>081-090>095-098-103-104-220800-
Martin-Pitt-Washington-Tyrrell-Mainland Dare-Greene-Beaufort-
Mainland Hyde-Duplin-Lenoir-Jones-Craven-Pamlico-Carteret-Onslow-
Outer Banks Dare-Outer Banks Hyde-
353 AM EDT Sat Oct 21 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

A strong cold front will move through by Tuesday evening. Ahead of
the front, a period of heavy showers with isolated thunderstorms is
expected during the day. A few of the heavy rain showers or isolated
storms may produce strong gusty winds.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Charleston SC
334 AM EDT Sat Oct 21 2017

GAZ117-119-139-141-220900-
Coastal Bryan-Coastal Chatham-Coastal Liberty-Coastal McIntosh-
334 AM EDT Sat Oct 21 2017

...MODERATE RISK FOR RIP CURRENTS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southeast Georgia.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Moderate Risk for Rip Currents.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter assistance is not anticipated at this time.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
217 AM CDT Sat Oct 21 2017

KSZ030-031-043>046-061>066-074>081-084>090-220730-
Trego-Ellis-Scott-Lane-Ness-Rush-Hamilton-Kearny-Finney-Hodgeman-
Pawnee-Stafford-Stanton-Grant-Haskell-Gray-Ford-Edwards-Kiowa-
Pratt-Morton-Stevens-Seward-Meade-Clark-Comanche-Barber-
217 AM CDT Sat Oct 21 2017 /117 AM MDT Sat Oct 21 2017/

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central...south
central...southwest and west central Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Day 1 Discussion
----------------

Strong to marginally severe thunderstorms will be possible across
south central Kansas this afternoon and evening. Storms will be
capable of producing quarter to half dollar size hail and gusty
winds in excess of 60 mph.

Gusty north winds will develop this afternoon behind a cold front
moving across western Kansas during the day. Outdoor burning is
discouraged.

Near to slightly below freezing temperatures will be possible
across west central and western portions of southwest Kansas late
tonight into early Sunday morning.

Day 1 Hazards
-------------
* Tornado: Limited risk
* Hail: Elevated risk
* Lightning: Limited risk
* Non-thunderstorm wind: Elevated risk
* Freeze: Significant risk
* Fire weather: Elevated risk

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed this afternoon generally east of
a Larned to Coldwater line.

&&

For more details visit our webpage http://weather.gov/ddc/ehwo

$$

32

U.S. Dept. of Commerce
NOAA National Weather Service
1325 East West Highway
Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: June 2, 2009
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