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Flood Warning


FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
939 PM EDT MON SEP 29 2014

...A RIVER FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR...THE MANATEE RIVER NEAR
MYAKKA HEAD AND AT RYE BRIDGE...THE ALAFIA RIVER AT LITHIA...THE LITTLE
MANATEE RIVER AT WIMAUMA...THE MYAKKA RIVER AT THE MYAKKA RIVER STATE
PARK...THE PEACE RIVER AT ARCADIA...AND THE HORSE CREEK NEAR ARCADIA...

.MINOR AND MODERATE FLOODING CONTINUES OVER AREA RIVERS AND CREEKS. ANY
ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAIN WILL AGGRAVATE AND PROLONG THE FLOODING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS...

STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.

&&

FLC057-301439-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-141004T2100Z/
/LITF1.2.ER.140927T2255Z.140929T0145Z.141004T1500Z.NO/
939 PM EDT MON SEP 29 2014

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL SATURDAY AFTERNOON...THE FLOOD WARNING
CONTINUES FOR THE ALAFIA RIVER AT LITHIA
* UNTIL SATURDAY AFTERNOON
* AT 09 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 15.5 FEET
* FLOOD STAGE IS 13 FEET
* THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY LATE SATURDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 15 FEET...ADDITIONAL RESIDENCES DOWNSTREAM OF STATE ROAD 640
  BRIDGE BEGIN FLOODING.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 14.4 FEET ON AUG
29 2012.

&&


             FLD  OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION     STG  STG  DAY TIME    TUE    WED    THU    FRI    SAT

ALAFIA
 LITHIA       13 15.5  MON 09 PM  15.4   14.9   14.4   13.8   13.1


&&


LAT...LON 2787 8218 2784 8228 2789 8228 2792 8218




$$

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
939 PM EDT MON SEP 29 2014

...A RIVER FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR...THE MANATEE RIVER NEAR
MYAKKA HEAD AND AT RYE BRIDGE...THE ALAFIA RIVER AT LITHIA...THE LITTLE
MANATEE RIVER AT WIMAUMA...THE MYAKKA RIVER AT THE MYAKKA RIVER STATE
PARK...THE PEACE RIVER AT ARCADIA...AND THE HORSE CREEK NEAR ARCADIA...

.MINOR AND MODERATE FLOODING CONTINUES OVER AREA RIVERS AND CREEKS. ANY
ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAIN WILL AGGRAVATE AND PROLONG THE FLOODING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS...

STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.

&&

FLC081-301439-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0010.000000T0000Z-141002T2100Z/
/MKHF1.2.ER.140926T2344Z.140928T1015Z.141002T1500Z.NO/
939 PM EDT MON SEP 29 2014

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL THURSDAY AFTERNOON...THE FLOOD WARNING
CONTINUES FOR THE MANATEE RIVER NEAR MYAKKA HEAD
* UNTIL THURSDAY AFTERNOON
* AT 09 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.2 FEET
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11 FEET
* THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY LATE THURSDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 11 FEET...PRIVATE ROAD AND BRIDGE 1 MILE DOWNSTREAM FLOOD.
  AGRICULTURAL, RURAL KIBLER AREA BEGINS TO FLOOD.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 14.6 FEET ON SEP
26 2013.

&&


             FLD  OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION     STG  STG  DAY TIME    TUE    WED    THU    FRI    SAT

MANATEE
 MYAKKA HEAD  11 13.2  MON 09 PM  12.6   11.4   11.1   10.0    8.4


&&


LAT...LON 2746 8217 2743 8224 2745 8233 2752 8233
 2751 8224 2753 8224



$$

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
939 PM EDT MON SEP 29 2014

...A RIVER FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR...THE MANATEE RIVER NEAR
MYAKKA HEAD AND AT RYE BRIDGE...THE ALAFIA RIVER AT LITHIA...THE LITTLE
MANATEE RIVER AT WIMAUMA...THE MYAKKA RIVER AT THE MYAKKA RIVER STATE
PARK...THE PEACE RIVER AT ARCADIA...AND THE HORSE CREEK NEAR ARCADIA...

.MINOR AND MODERATE FLOODING CONTINUES OVER AREA RIVERS AND CREEKS. ANY
ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAIN WILL AGGRAVATE AND PROLONG THE FLOODING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS...

STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.

&&

FLC081-301439-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0011.000000T0000Z-141001T0900Z/
/RYEF1.2.ER.140927T1345Z.140929T0300Z.141001T0300Z.NO/
939 PM EDT MON SEP 29 2014

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL LATE TUESDAY NIGHT...THE FLOOD WARNING
CONTINUES FOR THE MANATEE RIVER AT RYE BRIDGE
* UNTIL LATE TUESDAY NIGHT
* AT 09 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.2 FEET
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 11.4 FEET BY AFTER MIDNIGHT TOMORROW.
  THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE TOMORROW LATE EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 11.7 FEET...WATER REACHES THE FOUNDATION OF THE FIRST HOUSE.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 13.0 FEET ON SEP
25 2013.

&&


             FLD  OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION     STG  STG  DAY TIME    TUE    WED    THU    FRI    SAT

MANATEE
 RYE BRIDGE   11 11.2  MON 09 PM  11.4   10.6    9.7    8.4    7.0


&&


LAT...LON 2746 8235 2750 8242 2754 8242 2751 8233




$$

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
939 PM EDT MON SEP 29 2014

...A RIVER FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR...THE MANATEE RIVER NEAR
MYAKKA HEAD AND AT RYE BRIDGE...THE ALAFIA RIVER AT LITHIA...THE LITTLE
MANATEE RIVER AT WIMAUMA...THE MYAKKA RIVER AT THE MYAKKA RIVER STATE
PARK...THE PEACE RIVER AT ARCADIA...AND THE HORSE CREEK NEAR ARCADIA...

.MINOR AND MODERATE FLOODING CONTINUES OVER AREA RIVERS AND CREEKS. ANY
ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAIN WILL AGGRAVATE AND PROLONG THE FLOODING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS...

STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.

&&

FLC057-301439-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0009.000000T0000Z-141004T0430Z/
/WIMF1.2.ER.140928T0058Z.140929T0745Z.141003T2230Z.NO/
939 PM EDT MON SEP 29 2014

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL LATE FRIDAY NIGHT...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES
FOR THE LITTLE MANATEE RIVER AT WIMAUMA
* UNTIL LATE FRIDAY NIGHT
* AT 09 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.5 FEET
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 14.6 FEET BY AFTER MIDNIGHT TOMORROW.
  THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE FRIDAY EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 14.5 FEET...FLOODING OF SEVERAL HOUSES BEGINS NEAR 32ND AND 33RD
  STREETS IN RUSKIN.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 14.3 FEET ON SEP
26 2013.

&&


             FLD  OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION     STG  STG  DAY TIME    TUE    WED    THU    FRI    SAT

LITTLE MANATEE
 WIMAUMA      11 14.5  MON 09 PM  14.6   14.2   13.0   11.7   10.5


&&


LAT...LON 2763 8231 2764 8243 2770 8243 2770 8231




$$

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
939 PM EDT MON SEP 29 2014

...A RIVER FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR...THE MANATEE RIVER NEAR
MYAKKA HEAD AND AT RYE BRIDGE...THE ALAFIA RIVER AT LITHIA...THE LITTLE
MANATEE RIVER AT WIMAUMA...THE MYAKKA RIVER AT THE MYAKKA RIVER STATE
PARK...THE PEACE RIVER AT ARCADIA...AND THE HORSE CREEK NEAR ARCADIA...

.MINOR AND MODERATE FLOODING CONTINUES OVER AREA RIVERS AND CREEKS. ANY
ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAIN WILL AGGRAVATE AND PROLONG THE FLOODING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS...

STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.

&&

FLC027-301439-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0015.000000T0000Z-141005T0000Z/
/ARHF1.1.ER.140928T1807Z.140929T1800Z.141004T1800Z.NO/
939 PM EDT MON SEP 29 2014

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL SATURDAY EVENING...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES
FOR THE HORSE CREEK NEAR ARCADIA
* UNTIL SATURDAY EVENING
* AT 08 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 13 FEET
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12 FEET
* THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY SATURDAY EARLY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 14 FEET...BUILDINGS IN HIDDEN ACRES FLOOD.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 12.7 FEET ON SEP
26 2013.

&&


             FLD  OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION     STG  STG  DAY TIME    TUE    WED    THU    FRI    SAT

HORSE CREEK
 ARCADIA      12 13.0  MON 08 PM  13.0   12.8   12.6   12.3   12.0


&&


LAT...LON 2726 8194 2708 8198 2708 8202 2726 8201




$$

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE, FL
416 PM EDT MON SEP 29 2014

...A RIVER FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE ST. JOHNS RIVER AT ASTOR...

RECENT HEAVY RAINS HAVE CAUSED THE ST. JOHNS RIVER AT ASTOR TO RISE TO
MINOR FLOOD STAGE ON SUNDAY AFTERNOON. THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN
WITHIN MINOR FLOOD STAGE THROUGH THE WEEK. ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAIN OVER
THE BASIN OVER THE NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS COULD CAUSE FURTHER RISES...
INCREASING THE THREAT TO HOMES AND BUSINESSES IN LOW LYING AREAS ALONG
THE RIVER.

FLC069-127-012012-
/O.CON.KMLB.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/ASTF1.1.ER.140929T0300Z.140930T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
416 PM EDT MON SEP 29 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ST JOHNS RIVER NEAR ASTOR.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE.

*AT 3.2 FEET, WATER SURROUNDS MANY LOW LYING HOMES NEAR THE RIVER.
WATER COVERS MANY YARDS AND LOW LYING ROADS NEAR THE RIVER.

&&


             FLD   OBSERVED         FORECAST 7 AM EST/8AM EDT
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY  TIME   TUE    WED    THU    FRI    SAT

ST. JOHNS RIVER
 ASTOR       2.8   2.9  MON 03 PM   3.2    3.1    3.0    2.9    2.9

&&

LAT...LON  2910 8142 2935 8157 2932 8169 2908 8150

$$

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.

STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.

&&

JRC/AJC


Rip Current Statement


COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
442 AM EDT TUE SEP 30 2014

...MODERATE RISK FOR RIP CURRENTS AT AREA BEACHES TODAY...

.ONSHORE WINDS WILL CREATE AN ELEVATED RISK FOR RIP CURRENTS
ALONG SUNCOAST AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA BEACHES TODAY.

FLZ050-151-155-160-162-165-010000-
/O.NEW.KTBW.RP.S.0026.140930T0900Z-141001T0000Z/
PINELLAS-COASTAL HILLSBOROUGH-COASTAL MANATEE-COASTAL SARASOTA-
COASTAL CHARLOTTE-COASTAL LEE-
442 AM EDT TUE SEP 30 2014

...RIP CURRENT RISK IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN RUSKIN HAS ISSUED A RIP CURRENT
RISK...WHICH IS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING.

* TIMING...THROUGH THIS EVENING.

* IMPACTS...MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS AT AREA BEACHES. RIP
  CURRENTS ARE VERY DANGEROUS AND CAN PULL EVEN THE STRONGEST
  SWIMMERS OUT INTO DEEPER WATER.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

RIP CURRENTS ARE POWERFUL CHANNELS OF WATER FLOWING QUICKLY AWAY
FROM SHORE...WHICH OCCUR MOST OFTEN AT LOW SPOTS OR BREAKS IN THE
SANDBAR AND IN THE VICINITY OF STRUCTURES SUCH AS GROINS...
JETTIES AND PIERS. HEED THE ADVICE OF LIFEGUARDS AND THE BEACH
PATROL. PAY ATTENTION TO FLAGS AND POSTED SIGNS.

IF YOU BECOME CAUGHT IN A RIP CURRENT...DO NOT PANIC. REMAIN CALM
AND BEGIN TO SWIM PARALLEL TO SHORE. ONCE YOU ARE AWAY FROM THE
FORCE OF THE RIP CURRENT...BEGIN TO SWIM BACK TO THE BEACH. DO
NOT ATTEMPT TO SWIM DIRECTLY AGAINST A RIP CURRENT. EVEN A STRONG
SWIMMER CAN BECOME EXHAUSTED QUICKLY.

&&

$$


HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TAMPA


Flood Watch


FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
353 AM EDT TUE SEP 30 2014

FLZ033-037-038-040-010100-
/O.EXT.KJAX.FA.A.0005.000000T0000Z-141001T0100Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
ST JOHNS-PUTNAM-FLAGLER-MARION-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ST AUGUSTINE...PALATKA...PALM COAST...
OCALA
353 AM EDT TUE SEP 30 2014

...FLOOD WATCH NOW IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING...

THE FLOOD WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR

* A PORTION OF NORTHEAST FLORIDA.

* THROUGH THIS EVENING

* LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE EAST OVER THE ATLANTIC AS A FRONT SHIFTS
  SOUTH ACROSS NORTHEAST FLORIDA. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS
  ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON INTO THE EARLY EVENING WITH LOCAL
  RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES POSSIBLE OVER ALREADY SATURATED
  GROUNDS.

* EXCESSIVE RAINFALL RATES MAY PRODUCE LOCALIZED FLOODING OF LOW
  LYING AREAS AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON
CURRENT FORECASTS.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE
FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE
PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP.

&&

$$

PP

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
350 AM EDT TUE SEP 30 2014

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING FOR EAST
CENTRAL FLORIDA...

FLZ041-044>047-053-054-058-059-064-141-144-147-010100-
/O.CON.KMLB.FA.A.0001.000000T0000Z-141001T0100Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
INLAND VOLUSIA-NORTHERN LAKE-ORANGE-SEMINOLE-SOUTHERN BREVARD-
OSCEOLA-INDIAN RIVER-OKEECHOBEE-ST. LUCIE-MARTIN-COASTAL VOLUSIA-
SOUTHERN LAKE-NORTHERN BREVARD-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DE LAND...LEESBURG...ORLANDO...
SANFORD...MELBOURNE...PALM BAY...KISSIMMEE...ST CLOUD...
VERO BEACH...OKEECHOBEE...FORT PIERCE...HOBE SOUND...
DAYTONA BEACH...CLERMONT...TITUSVILLE
350 AM EDT TUE SEP 30 2014

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING...

THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...LAKE...
  ORANGE...SEMINOLE...VOLUSIA...OSCEOLA...BREVARD...
  INDIAN RIVER...ST. LUCIE...MARTIN AND OKEECHOBEE.

* THROUGH THIS EVENING

* DEEP MOISTURE AND AN APPROACHING FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL ALLOW
  NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP ACROSS EAST
  CENTRAL FLORIDA THIS AFTERNOON. SHOWERS AND STORMS ARE EXPECTED
  TO PRODUCE HEAVY RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF TWO TO THREE INCHES WITH
  SOME LOCATIONS SEEING HIGHER AMOUNTS WHERE STORMS MOVE OVER THE
  SAME AREAS. THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL AMOUNTS MAY OCCUR FROM LAKE
  AND VOLUSIA COUNTIES SOUTH TO OSCEOLA AND BREVARD COUNTIES INCLUDING
  THE ORLANDO AREA THIS AFTERNOON. THE THREAT FOR LOCALLY HEAVY
  RAINFALL IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE INTO EARLY EVENING AS THE
  FRONTAL BOUNDARY MOVES SOUTH TOWARD OSCEOLA AND BREVARD
  COUNTIES. ACROSS OKEECHOBEE COUNTY AND THE TREASURE COAST
  SHOWERS AND STORMS WITH LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN WILL MOVE EASTWARD
  TOWARD THE COAST FROM MID TO LATE AFTERNOON INTO THE EARLY
  EVENING HOURS WITH ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAIN AMOUNTS UP TO TWO TO
  THREE INCHES.

* ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BRING THE POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING
  TO ROADWAYS...AND LOW-LYING AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS. AREAS THAT
  HAVE RECEIVED HEAVY RAINFALL OVER THE PAST WEEK WILL BE
  ESPECIALLY VULNERABLE TO FLOODING SHOULD HEAVY RAIN DEVELOP.
  SMALLER CREEKS AND RIVERS ALREADY AT ELEVATED LEVELS MAY SEE
  RAPID RISES OF WATER WITH ANY HEAVY RAINFALL LEADING TO THE
  POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON
CURRENT FORECASTS.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE
FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE
PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP.

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS ROADWAYS.
THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS
SAFELY.

&&

$$

VOLKMER


Hazardous Weather Outlook


HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
500 AM EDT TUE SEP 30 2014

FLZ043-050-052-056-057-061-139-142-148-149-151-155-160-162-165-
239-242-248-249-251-255-260-262-265-GMZ830-836-850-853-856-870-
873-876-010900-
SUMTER-PINELLAS-POLK-HARDEE-HIGHLANDS-DESOTO-COASTAL LEVY-
COASTAL CITRUS-COASTAL HERNANDO-COASTAL PASCO-
COASTAL HILLSBOROUGH-COASTAL MANATEE-COASTAL SARASOTA-
COASTAL CHARLOTTE-COASTAL LEE-INLAND LEVY-INLAND CITRUS-
INLAND HERNANDO-INLAND PASCO-INLAND HILLSBOROUGH-INLAND MANATEE-
INLAND SARASOTA-INLAND CHARLOTTE-INLAND LEE-TAMPA BAY WATERS-
CHARLOTTE HARBOR AND PINE ISLAND SOUND-
TARPON SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER OUT 20 NM-
ENGLEWOOD TO TARPON SPRINGS OUT 20 NM-
BONITA BEACH TO ENGLEWOOD OUT 20 NM-
TARPON SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER OUT 20 TO 60 NM-
ENGLEWOOD TO TARPON SPRINGS OUT 20 TO 60 NM-
BONITA BEACH TO ENGLEWOOD OUT 20 TO 60 NM-
500 AM EDT TUE SEP 30 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST
FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

...THUNDERSTORM IMPACT...
SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TODAY.
THUNDERSTORMS THAT DEVELOP WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING STRONG
GUSTY WINDS...HEAVY RAINS...AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING STRIKES.

...FLOOD IMPACT...
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL IS EXPECTED TODAY. THE HEAVY RAIN WILL
PRODUCE FLOODING OF LOW LYING AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS AS WELL
AS THE PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS. MOTORISTS SHOULD SLOW DOWN
AND EXERCISE CAUTION IF ENCOUNTERING HEAVY RAIN TODAY.

...RIP CURRENT IMPACT...
A SUBTLE INCREASE IN THE ONSHORE FLOW WILL BRING AN INCREASED
RISK FOR RIP CURRENTS ALONG AREA BEACHES TODAY. A RIP CURRENT
IS A 10 TO 30 YARD WIDE CHANNEL OF WATER THAT CAN PULL EVEN A
STRONG SWIMMER INTO DEEPER WATER. TO AVOID GETTING CAUGHT IN A
RIP CURRENT...SWIM AT GUARDED BEACHES AND HEED THE ADVICE OF THE
BEACH PATROL. AT UNGUARDED BEACHES AND NEAR PIERS...JETTIES...AND
INLETS...DO NOT GO INTO THE SURF MUCH ABOVE YOUR KNEES.

...RIVER FLOOD IMPACT...
SEVERAL AREA RIVERS ARE AT OR ABOVE FLOOD STAGE WITH OTHER RIVERS
AROUND ACTION STAGE. RESIDENTS LIVING ALONG RIVERS OR FASTER
FLOWING STREAMS SHOULD REMAIN AWARE OF WATER LEVELS AND BE READY
TO MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND SHOULD FLOODING BE OBSERVED. SEE THE
LATEST FLOOD WARNINGS AND STATEMENTS AVAILABLE ON
WEATHER.GOV/TAMPABAY FOR MORE INFORMATION.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

...THUNDERSTORM IMPACT...
THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK AND INTO THE
FIRST HALF OF THE UPCOMING WEEKEND. THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE CAPABLE
OF PRODUCING STRONG GUSTY WINDS...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS...AND
FREQUENT LIGHTNING STRIKES. A MUCH DRIER AIR MASS IS EXPECTED TO
MOVE INTO THE REGION DURING SUNDAY AND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK IN THE
WAKE OF A COLD FRONT WHICH WILL PRECLUDE THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT
DURING THIS TIME FRAME.

...FLOOD IMPACT...
SOME LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL CAN BE EXPECTED WEDNESDAY THROUGH
SATURDAY. THE HEAVY RAIN MAY PRODUCE FLOODING OF LOW LYING AND
POOR DRAINAGE AREAS AS WELL AS THE PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS.
MOTORISTS SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION.

...RIVER FLOOD IMPACT...
SEVERAL AREA RIVERS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN AT OR ABOVE FLOOD
STAGE THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK. RESIDENTS LIVING ALONG
RIVERS OR FASTER FLOWING STREAMS SHOULD REMAIN AWARE OF WATER
LEVELS AND BE READY TO MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND SHOULD FLOODING BE
OBSERVED. SEE THE LATEST FLOOD WARNINGS AND STATEMENTS AVAILABLE
ON WEATHER.GOV/TAMPABAY FOR MORE INFORMATION.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS SHOULD MONITOR THE WEATHER AND SELF ACTIVATE IF NEEDED.

$$

MCMICHAEL

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
431 AM EDT TUE SEP 30 2014

AMZ450-452-454-470-472-474-FLZ020>025-030>033-035>038-040-
GAZ132>136-149>154-162>166-011000-
ALTAMAHA SOUND GA TO FERNANDINA BEACH FL OUT 20 NM-
FERNANDINA BEACH TO ST AUGUSTINE FL OUT 20 NM-
ST AUGUSTINE TO FLAGLER BEACH FL OUT 20 NM-
ALTAMAHA SOUND GA TO FERNANDINA BEACH FL 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
FERNANDINA BEACH TO ST AUGUSTINE FL 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
ST AUGUSTINE TO FLAGLER BEACH FL 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-HAMILTON-
SUWANNEE-COLUMBIA-BAKER-NASSAU-DUVAL-UNION-BRADFORD-CLAY-ST JOHNS-
GILCHRIST-ALACHUA-PUTNAM-FLAGLER-MARION-COFFEE-JEFF DAVIS-BACON-
APPLING-WAYNE-ATKINSON-WARE-PIERCE-BRANTLEY-INLAND GLYNN-
COASTAL GLYNN-ECHOLS-CLINCH-CHARLTON-INLAND CAMDEN-COASTAL CAMDEN-
431 AM EDT TUE SEP 30 2014

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEAST PORTION OF THE AREA UNTIL
9 PM THIS EVENING...

...MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST FLORIDA...SOUTHEAST
GEORGIA AND THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...

A LINGERING FRONTAL BOUNDARY OVER THE AREA WILL RESULT IN SCATTERED
TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS MAINLY SOUTHEAST OF A LINE FROM GAINESVILLE
TO ST AUGUSTINE. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES
ARE POSSIBLE OVER ALREADY SATURATED GROUNDS WHICH MAY CAUSE
LOCALIZED FLOODING OF SOME LOW LYING AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS.
THE FLOOD WATCH FOR THE SOUTHEAST PORTION OF THE AREA HAS BEEN
EXTENDED UNTIL 9 PM THIS EVENING.

THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS AT THE AREA BEACHES
DUE TO AN INCREASE IN SWELLS AND ONSHORE FLOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED ON WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY
MAINLY ACROSS NORTHEAST FLORIDA WITH MOST OF THE COVERAGE SOUTH OF
INTERSTATE 10. THE NEXT COLD FRONT WILL BRING A CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS TO THE AREA FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT REQUESTED AT THIS TIME.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
IN JACKSONVILLE WEBSITE ON THE INTERNET AT WEATHER.GOV/JAX.

$$

PP

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
431 AM EDT TUE SEP 30 2014

AMZ550-552-555-570-572-575-FLZ041-044>047-053-054-058-059-064-141-
144-147-010100-
COASTAL WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE
OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN
INLET OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE 20 TO
60 NM OFFSHORE-
WATERS FROM VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET 20 TO
60 NM OFFSHORE-
WATERS FROM SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET 20 TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
INLAND VOLUSIA-NORTHERN LAKE-ORANGE-SEMINOLE-SOUTHERN BREVARD-
OSCEOLA-INDIAN RIVER-OKEECHOBEE-ST. LUCIE-MARTIN-COASTAL VOLUSIA-
SOUTHERN LAKE-NORTHERN BREVARD-
431 AM EDT TUE SEP 30 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

.FLOOD IMPACT...
A FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR ALL OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIA INTO THIS
EVENING.

DEEP MOISTURE AND AN APPROACHING FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL ALLOW
NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP ACROSS EAST CENTRAL
FLORIDA THIS AFTERNOON. SHOWERS AND STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HEAVY RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF TWO TO THREE INCHES WITH SOME LOCATIONS
SEEING HIGHER AMOUNTS WHERE STORMS MOVE OVER THE SAME AREAS. THE
HEAVIEST RAINFALL AMOUNTS MAY OCCUR FROM LAKE AND VOLUSIA COUNTIES
SOUTH TO OSCEOLA AND BREVARD COUNTIES INCLUDING THE ORLANDO AREA
THIS AFTERNOON. THE THREAT FOR LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL IS EXPECTED
TO CONTINUE INTO EARLY EVENING AS THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY MOVES SOUTH
TOWARD OSCEOLA AND BREVARD COUNTIES. ACROSS OKEECHOBEE COUNTY AND
THE TREASURE COAST SHOWERS AND STORMS WITH LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN WILL
MOVE EASTWARD TOWARD THE COAST FROM MID TO LATE AFTERNOON INTO THE
EARLY EVENING HOURS WITH ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAIN AMOUNTS UP TO TWO
TO THREE INCHES.

ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BRING THE POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING
TO ROADWAYS...AND LOW-LYING AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS. AREAS THAT
HAVE RECEIVED HEAVY RAINFALL OVER THE PAST WEEK WILL BE ESPECIALLY
VULNERABLE TO FLOODING SHOULD HEAVY RAIN DEVELOP. SMALLER CREEKS
AND RIVERS ALREADY AT ELEVATED LEVELS MAY SEE RAPID RISES OF WATER
WITH ANY HEAVY RAINFALL LEADING TO THE POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING.

.THUNDERSTORM IMPACT...
A FRONTAL BOUNDARY MOVING TOWARD NORTHERN PORTIONS OF EAST CENTRAL
FLORIDA THIS AFTERNOON AND DEEP MOISTURE ACROSS THE REGION WILL LEAD TO
NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING THIS AFTERNOON INTO
THIS EVENING. SOME OF THE STRONGER STORMS MAY PRODUCE OCCASIONAL
CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING STRIKES AND AND GUSTY WINDS TO 40 TO 45 MPH.
STORMS WILL MOVE EAST AT 15 TO 20 MPH.

.MARINE THUNDERSTORM GUST IMPACT...
SHOWERS AND STRONGER THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING OVER THE MAINLAND
AND MOVING TOWARD THE INTRACOASTAL AND NEAR SHORE ATLANTIC WATERS
MAY PRODUCE WIND GUSTS GREATER THAN 34 KNOTS.

.RIP CURRENT IMPACT...
A MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS IS EXPECTED AT THE ATLANTIC
BEACHES TODAY WITH AN EAST TO NORTHEAST SWELL. REMEMBER TO SWIM
NEAR A LIFEGUARD AND DO NOT SWIM ALONE.

.RIVER FLOOD IMPACT...
THE SAINT JOHNS RIVER AT ASTOR WILL REMAIN JUST ABOVE FLOOD STAGE
INTO TONIGHT. MINOR FLOODING WILL CONTINUE ALONG THE RIVER.
ELEVATED WATER LEVELS ALONG THE SHINGLE CREEK AT CAMPBELL WILL BE
A CONCERN FOR FURTHER RISES POSSIBLY TO ACTION STAGE IF HEAVY RAIN
DEVELOPS ACROSS WESTERN ORANGE AND NORTHWEST OSCEOLA COUNTY TODAY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.
A STALLING FRONT ACROSS EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA ON WEDNESDAY MAY
ONCE AGAIN BRING THE CHANCE FOR LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN WITH SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND STORMS. THE CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL
CONTINUE INTO LATE WEEK BEFORE A STRONGER COLD FRONT THROUGH THE
AREA LATE IN THE DAY ON SATURDAY. DRIER WEATHER IS EXPECTED NEXT
SUNDAY AND MONDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTERS SHOULD REPORT HEAVY RAINFALL AMOUNTS OVER TWO INCHES OR
OBSERVED FLOODING TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MELBOURNE AT
3 2 1 2 5 5 0 2 1 2.

$$

VOLKMER

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR SOUTH FLORIDA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
302 AM EDT TUE SEP 30 2014

AMZ610-630-650-651-670-671-FLZ063-066>075-168-172>174-GMZ656-657-676-
010000-
LAKE OKEECHOBEE-BISCAYNE BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM JUPITER INLET TO DEERFIELD BEACH, FL OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM DEERFIELD BEACH TO OCEAN REEF, FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM JUPITER INLET TO DEERFIELD BEACH, FL EXTENDING FROM
20 NM TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM DEERFIELD BEACH TO OCEAN REEF, FL EXTENDING FROM 20 NM
TO THE TERRITORIAL WATERS OF THE BAHAMAS-GLADES-HENDRY-
INLAND PALM BEACH-METRO PALM BEACH-COASTAL COLLIER-INLAND COLLIER-
INLAND BROWARD-METRO BROWARD-INLAND MIAMI DADE-METRO MIAMI DADE-
MAINLAND MONROE-COASTAL PALM BEACH-COASTAL BROWARD-
COASTAL MIAMI DADE-FAR SOUTH MIAMI DADE-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CHOKOLOSKEE TO BONITA BEACH, FL OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM EAST CAPE SABLE TO CHOKOLOSKEE, FL OUT 20 NM-
GULF WATERS FROM CHOKOLOSKEE TO BONITA BEACH, FL EXTENDING FROM
20 TO 60 NM-
302 AM EDT TUE SEP 30 2014

...ISOLATED TO SCATTERED STORMS THIS AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THUNDERSTORMS: ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED
THIS AFTERNOON ESPECIALLY OVER THE LAKE OKEECHOBEE AND PALM BEACH
COUNTY AREA. THE MAIN THREATS FROM THE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE
FREQUENT LIGHTNING...GUSTY WINDS...AND BRIEF HEAVY DOWNPOURS.


.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED FOR THE REMAINDER
OF THIS WEEK INTO THE UPCOMING WEEKEND. THE PRIMARY THREAT WILL BE
FREQUENT LIGHTNING STRIKES AND BRIEF HEAVY DOWNPOURS WITH THE
GREATEST CONCENTRATION LOCATED ACROSS THE INTERIOR AND EAST COAST
METRO AREAS.


.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.

FOR MORE INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
MIAMI WEBSITE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MIAMI.

$$

BAXTER


Short Term Forecast


SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
1047 AM EDT TUE SEP 30 2014

FLZ066-067-070-071-073-301600-
HENDRY-INLAND PALM BEACH-INLAND COLLIER-INLAND BROWARD-
INLAND MIAMI DADE-
1047 AM EDT TUE SEP 30 2014

.NOW...
THROUGH NOON...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL
CONTINUE TO DEVELOP ACROSS MAINLAND MONROE COUNTY AND EASTERN
COLLIER COUNTY. THE STRONGER SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE
FOUND WITHIN 20 MILES SOUTH OF ALLIGATOR ALLEY FROM MILE MARKER 40
OUT TO MILE MARKER 65...AS WELL AS ACROSS TAMIAMI TRAIL WEST OF
THE FORTY MILE BEND. MOTORISTS IN THE PATH OF THIS ACTIVITY WILL
ENCOUNTER BRIEF HEAVY RAINFALL ACCOMPANIED BY REDUCED VISIBILITY
TO LESS THAN 3 MILES...GUSTY WINDS...AND OCCASIONAL LIGHTNING
STRIKES. MOVEMENT OF THESE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUES TO
THE NORTHEAST BETWEEN 10 AND 15 MPH.

$$

DAF

SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL
1005 AM EDT TUE SEP 30 2014

FLZ069-070-075-301515-
MAINLAND MONROE-WESTERN COLLIER-EASTERN COLLIER-
1005 AM EDT TUE SEP 30 2014

.NOW...
THROUGH 1115 AM...SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP ACROSS
EASTERN COLLIER COUNTY. SHORT PERIODS OF MODERATE RAIN ARE POSSIBLE
ALONG TAMIAMI TRAIL FROM MONROE STATION TO THE DADE COLLIER COUNTY
LINE...AS WELL AS LOCATIONS EAST OF STATE ROAD 29. OTHER ISOLATED
SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP ALONG MAINLAND MONROE COUNTY
BETWEEN HIGHLAND POINT AND CHOKOLOSKEE. MOVEMENT OF THESE SHOWERS IS
TO THE NORTHEAST AT 10 TO 15 MPH.

$$

DAF

SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
916 AM EDT TUE SEP 30 2014

AMZ550-552-555-570-572-575-FLZ041-044>047-053-054-058-059-064-141-
144-147-301630-
COASTAL VOLUSIA-FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA-
BREVARD COUNTY LINE 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA-
BREVARD COUNTY LINE OUT TO 20 NM-INDIAN RIVER-INLAND VOLUSIA-MARTIN-
NORTHERN BREVARD-NORTHERN LAKE-OKEECHOBEE-ORANGE-OSCEOLA-
SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET OUT TO 20 NM-SEMINOLE-
SOUTHERN BREVARD-SOUTHERN LAKE-ST. LUCIE-VOLUSIA-
BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
VOLUSIA-BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET OUT TO 20 NM-
916 AM EDT TUE SEP 30 2014

.NOW...
A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY IS FORECAST TO SLIDE INTO NORTHERN SECTIONS
AROUND THE OCALA NATIONAL FOREST THIS MORNING.  A VERY MOIST AIR MASS
REMAINS AHEAD OF THE FRONT...WHICH WAS RESULTING IN AREAS OF LOW
CLOUDS.  BUT AS DAYTIME HEATING PROGRESSES DURING THE LATE MORNING TO
EARLY AFTERNOON...SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
LIGHTNING STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO FORM.  THE MOST PROBABLE LOCATION
WILL BE FROM METRO ORLANDO TO CAPE CANAVERAL AND POINTS NORTHWARD.

MOVEMENT OF SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL BE TO THE EAST AT 15 TO 20 MPH...
BUT THERE IS A CHANCE THAT CELLS WILL REPEAT ACROSS THE SAME AREA AND
PRODUCE LOCAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 OR 2 INCHES.

&&

ADDITIONAL DETAILS...INCLUDING GRAPHICS ARE AVAILABLE ONLINE AT:
HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/MLB/BLOG.PHP

$$
RL

U.S. Dept. of Commerce
NOAA National Weather Service
1325 East West Highway
Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: June 2, 2009
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE: for Safety, for Work, for Fun - FOR LIFE