Hazardous Weather Outlook
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
432 AM EST SAT NOV 21 2009
FLZ039-042-043-048>052-055>057-060>062-065-212145-
LEVY-CITRUS-SUMTER-HERNANDO-PASCO-PINELLAS-HILLSBOROUGH-POLK-
MANATEE-HARDEE-HIGHLANDS-SARASOTA-DE SOTO-CHARLOTTE-LEE-
432 AM EST SAT NOV 21 2009
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST
FLORIDA.
.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.
...DENSE FOG/SMOKE IMPACT...
FOG WILL LIMIT VISIBILITIES TO 1 MILE OR LESS ALONG MAJOR INTERSTATES
AND HIGHWAYS THROUGH SHORTLY AFTER SUNRISE. MOTORISTS MUST
EXERCISE EXTREME CAUTION WHILE DRIVING IN FOG. SLOW DOWN...USE LOW
BEAM HEADLIGHTS AND KEEP A SAFE DISTANCE BETWEEN VEHICLES.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.
...THUNDERSTORM IMPACT...
SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BEGIN TO AFFECT THE AREA
LATER TONIGHT AND THROUGH SUNDAY. MAIN THREATS WILL BE DEADLY
LIGHTNING...GUSTY WINDS AND LOCALIZED HEAVY RAIN.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY.
$$
REYNES
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
1007 AM EST SAT NOV 21 2009
FLZ020>025-030>033-035>038-040-GAZ132>136-149>154-162>166-221100-
ALACHUA-APPLING-ATKINSON-BACON-BAKER-BRADFORD-BRANTLEY-
CAMDEN (COASTAL)-CAMDEN (INLAND)-CHARLTON-CLAY-CLINCH-COFFEE-
COLUMBIA-DUVAL-ECHOLS-FLAGLER-GILCHRIST-GLYNN (COASTAL)-
GLYNN (INLAND)-HAMILTON-JEFF DAVIS-MARION-NASSAU-PIERCE-PUTNAM-
ST JOHNS-SUWANNEE-UNION-WARE-WAYNE-
1007 AM EST SAT NOV 21 2009
THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA.
.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...
...MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS AT LOCAL BEACHES...
...FEW STRONG OR SEVERE STORMS POSSIBLE LATE TONIGHT...
LINGERING LONG PERIOD SWELLS WILL KEEP AN ENHANCED RISK OF RIP
CURRENTS AT LOCAL BEACHES. REFER TO THE SURF ZONE FORECAST FOR
MORE DETAILS.
NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT AS
LOW PRESSURE AND AN ASSOCIATED WARM FRONT APPROACH THE LOCAL AREA. A
FEW STORMS MAY BECOME STRONG OR POSSIBLY SEVERE ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE
SUWANNEE VALLEY REGION. THE MAIN CONCERNS ARE ISOLATED TORNADOES AND
STRONG WINDS.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...
...FEW STRONG OR SEVERE STORMS POSSIBLE SUNDAY...
...MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS WILL LINGER AT LOCAL BEACHES INTO
THE WEEKEND...
NUMEROUS SHOWERS WITH EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS WILL OVERSPREAD
THE AREA SUNDAY AS LOW PRESSURE IMPACTS THE REGION. ISOLATED STRONG
TO SEVERE STORMS ARE POSSIBLE SUNDAY MORNING.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT REQUESTED AT THIS TIME.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
IN JACKSONVILLE WEBSITE ON THE INTERNET AT WEATHER.GOV/JAX.
$$
ABE
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR SOUTH FLORIDA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
921 AM EST SAT NOV 21 2009
FLZ063-066>075-168-172>174-220530-
GLADES-HENDRY-INLAND PALM BEACH-METRO PALM BEACH-COASTAL COLLIER-
INLAND COLLIER-INLAND BROWARD-METRO BROWARD-INLAND MIAMI DADE-
METRO MIAMI DADE-MAINLAND MONROE-COASTAL PALM BEACH-
COASTAL BROWARD-COASTAL MIAMI DADE-FAR SOUTH MIAMI DADE-
921 AM EST SAT NOV 21 2009
...MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS - PALM BEACH COUNTY...
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH FLORIDA.
.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT
RIP CURRENTS: SWELLS OF 2 TO 3 FEET WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT THE
COAST OF PALM BEACH COUNTY TODAY, AND THIS WILL CONTINUE THE
MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS. FARTHER SOUTH THE SWELL WILL BE
SMALL AND THE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS LESSER.
WATERSPOUTS: THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE THAT A WATERSPOUT OR TWO MAY
DEVELOP THIS MORNING ACROSS THE COASTAL ATLANTIC WATERS AND BISCAYNE
BAY.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY
A RISK OF RIP CURRENTS WILL REMAIN ALONG THE ATLANTIC COAST, BUT
ESPECIALLY IN PALM BEACH COUNTY, AS SWELLS FROM THE ATLANTIC OCEAN
CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
AREAS OF FOG WILL BE POSSIBLE THE NEXT COUPLE OF NIGHTS WITH
ISOLATED AREAS POTENTIALLY BECOMING DENSE WITH VISIBILITIES OF
AROUND ONE QUARTER OF A MILE.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.
FOR MORE INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
MIAMI WEBSITE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MIAMI.
$$
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
415 AM EST SAT NOV 21 2009
AMZ550-552-555-570-572-575-FLZ041-044>047-053-054-058-059-064-141-
144-147-212100-
COASTAL WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE
OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN
INLET OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE 20 TO
60 NM OFFSHORE-
WATERS FROM VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET 20 TO
60 NM OFFSHORE-
WATERS FROM SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET 20 TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
INLAND VOLUSIA-NORTHERN LAKE-ORANGE-SEMINOLE-SOUTHERN BREVARD-
OSCEOLA-INDIAN RIVER-OKEECHOBEE-ST. LUCIE-MARTIN-COASTAL VOLUSIA-
SOUTHERN LAKE-NORTHERN BREVARD-
415 AM EST SAT NOV 21 2009
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA.
.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.
...RIP CURRENT IMPACT...
CONTINUED NORTHEAST SWELLS WILL LEAD TO A MODERATE RIP CURRENT
RISK. CHECK WITH LIFEGUARDS ABOUT OCEAN HAZARDS WHEN ARRIVING AT
THE BEACH.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.
THE RIP CURRENT RISK WILL REMAIN ELEVATED INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY.
$$
LASCODY
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
311 AM EST SAT NOV 21 2009
ALZ065>069-FLZ007>019-026>029-034-GAZ120>131-142>148-155>161-
GMZ730-750-755-765-770-775-220815-
COFFEE-DALE-HENRY-GENEVA-HOUSTON-INLAND WALTON-COASTAL WALTON-
HOLMES-WASHINGTON-JACKSON-BAY-CALHOUN-GULF-FRANKLIN-GADSDEN-LEON-
JEFFERSON-MADISON-LIBERTY-WAKULLA-TAYLOR-LAFAYETTE-DIXIE-QUITMAN-
CLAY-RANDOLPH-TERRELL-DOUGHERTY-LEE-WORTH-TURNER-TIFT-BEN HILL-
IRWIN-EARLY-MILLER-BAKER-MITCHELL-COLQUITT-COOK-BERRIEN-SEMINOLE-
DECATUR-GRADY-THOMAS-BROOKS-LOWNDES-LANIER-
APALACHEE BAY OR COASTAL WATERS FROM KEATON BEACH TO OCHLOCKONEE
RIVER FL OUT TO 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM OCHLOCKONEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL OUT TO
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SUWANNEE RIVER TO KEATON BEACH OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM SUWANNEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
311 AM EST SAT NOV 21 2009 /211 AM CST SAT NOV 21 2009/
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST ALABAMA...
SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA...AND THE FLORIDA BIG BEND
AND PANHANDLE...AND ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS.
.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...
A WEAK LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE EAST ALONG THE GULF COAST
TODAY AND SUNDAY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL PRECEDE THIS
SYSTEM...WITH THE BEST CHANCE OF RAIN FOR THE LOCAL AREA COMING
TONIGHT AND SUNDAY MORNING. THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...5 PERCENT
WITHIN 25 MILES OF A POINT...OF DAMAGING WINDS LATE TONIGHT
THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING...AND A 2 PERCENT CHANCE OF A TORNADO WITHIN
25 MILES OF A POINT. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS THAT FAVOR SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT ARE INCREASING WINDS WITH HEIGHT...OR
VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. COUNTERING THIS FAVORABLE FACTOR WILL BE
LIMITED INSTABILITY...AS IT APPEARS DOUBTFUL THAT THE
WARM...MOISTURE RICH AIR FROM THE GULF OF MEXICO WILL MOVE INLAND
TO SUPPORT THUNDERSTORM UPDRAFT DEVELOPMENT. RAINFALL AMOUNTS
WILL AVERAGE AROUND AN INCH...BUT LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS OF 2 TO
3 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE...WHICH COULD CAUSE SMALL SCALE FLOODING OF
LOW LYING AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...
A NON-ZERO SEVERE THREAT WILL CONTINUE INTO SUNDAY
MORNING...UNTIL THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WEAKENS AND THE RAIN
TAPERS OFF FROM WEST TO EAST SUNDAY AFTERNOON. THERE IS
CONSIDERABLE UNCERTAINTY IN THE FORECAST FOR THE UPCOMING WORK
WEEK DUE TO VARYING SOLUTIONS FROM THE COMPUTER MODELS USED TO
FORECAST THE WEATHER. ONE MODEL FORECASTS FAIR AND MILD WEATHER
WHILE THE OTHER FORECASTS A RAIN EVENT BY MID WEEK. EVEN IF THE
RAINY SOLUTION IS CORRECT...IT APPEARS UNLIKELY THAT A SIGNIFICANT
SEVERE WEATHER EVENT WILL OCCUR.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME...BUT SPOTTERS ARE
ASKED TO MONITOR LATER FORECASTS THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...IN
CASE A SEVERE WEATHER EVENT DOES MATERIALIZE.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
WEBSITE ON THE INTERNET AT WEATHER.GOV...THEN CLICK ON YOUR AREA
OF INTEREST ON THE NATIONAL MAP.
$$
FOURNIER
