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Hazardous Weather Outlook


HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
553 PM CST SUN DEC 21 2014

KSZ032-033-047>053-067>072-082-083-091>096-098>100-222215-
RUSSELL-LINCOLN-BARTON-ELLSWORTH-SALINE-RICE-MCPHERSON-MARION-CHASE-
RENO-HARVEY-BUTLER-GREENWOOD-WOODSON-ALLEN-KINGMAN-SEDGWICK-HARPER-
SUMNER-COWLEY-ELK-WILSON-NEOSHO-CHAUTAUQUA-MONTGOMERY-LABETTE-
553 PM CST SUN DEC 21 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL KANSAS...
SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS AND SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

AREAS OF FOG AND DRIZZLE WILL CONTINUE OVERNIGHT. THE MAIN HAZARD
TONIGHT IS VISIBILITIES BETWEEN 3 AND 5 MILES...WITH SOME AREAS
DROPPING TO AROUND A MILE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

GUSTY NORTHWESTERLY WINDS WILL RESULT IN A VERY HIGH GRASSLAND
FIRE DANGER TUESDAY AFTERNOON...ALONG AND WEST OF HIGHWAY 14.

SOME RAIN AND SNOW WILL MOVE INTO THE REGION TUESDAY AND LAST
INTO TUESDAY NIGHT. THE PRECIPITATION WILL BE LIGHT AND NO SNOW IS
EXPECTED TO ACCUMULATE. THE ONLY THREAT IS WET ROADS AT THIS
TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED TONIGHT.

&&

FOR A GRAPHICAL VERSION OF THIS INFORMATION...SEE OUR
WEBPAGE AT (LOWERCASE) HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/WICHITA/HWO/HWO.PHP

$$

KRC/LAWSON

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
505 PM CST SUN DEC 21 2014

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-221115-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
505 PM CST SUN DEC 21 2014

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED TONIGHT.

DISCUSSION...
PATCHES OF DRIZZLE WILL FORM THIS TONIGHT.  VISIBILITY WILL BE LOCALLY
REDUCED IN THE DRIZZLE...BUT AT THE MOMENT ENOUGH OF A SOUTH WIND IS
EXPECTED TO PREVENT WIDESPREAD DENSE FOG.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION NOT EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.
MONDAY...NO HAZARDS.
TUESDAY...WINTER WEATHER POTENTIAL.
WEDNESDAY...WINTER WEATHER POTENTIAL.
THURSDAY AND FRIDAY...VERY HIGH FIRE WEATHER POTENTIAL.
SATURDAY...NO HAZARDS.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
A LARGE WEATHER SYSTEM IS CURRENTLY ORGANIZING OVER THE CENTRAL UNITED
STATES.  STRONG JET STREAM WINDS OVER THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST WILL ARRIVE
IN THE MIDDLE OF THE COUNTRY TOMORROW AND TUESDAY.  THE WAY IN WHICH
THESE FASTER WINDS ALOFT INTERACT WITH THE DEVELOPING SYSTEM WILL BE
THE KEY TO THE WINTER WEATHER POTENTIAL IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND
NORTHWEST ARKANSAS ON TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY.  TWO SCENARIOS ARE
IN PLAY AT THE MOMENT... ONE THAT THE SYSTEM ALOFT ORGANIZES AROUND A
CENTER IN OR NEAR OKLAHOMA.  THE SECOND POSSIBILITY IS THAT THE CENTER
ORGANIZES IN OR NEAR IOWA.  RIGHT NOW WE ARE FORECASTING A CHANCE OF
LIGHT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS IN FAR NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND FAR NORTHWEST
ARKANSAS FROM TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING.  CONSIDERABLE
UNCERTAINTY EXISTS AND THOSE WITH WINTER WEATHER SENSITIVE PLANS WILL
WILL WANT TO FOLLOW THE FORECAST CLOSELY.

GUSTY WINDS AND DRIER AIR BEHIND THE WEATHER SYSTEM WILL RESULT IN
INCREASE FIRE SPREAD POTENTIAL.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

$$

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1200 PM CST SUN DEC 21 2014

OKZ004>048-050>052-TXZ083>090-221800-
HARPER-WOODS-ALFALFA-GRANT-KAY-ELLIS-WOODWARD-MAJOR-GARFIELD-
NOBLE-ROGER MILLS-DEWEY-CUSTER-BLAINE-KINGFISHER-LOGAN-PAYNE-
BECKHAM-WASHITA-CADDO-CANADIAN-OKLAHOMA-LINCOLN-GRADY-MCCLAIN-
CLEVELAND-POTTAWATOMIE-SEMINOLE-HUGHES-HARMON-GREER-KIOWA-JACKSON-
TILLMAN-COMANCHE-STEPHENS-GARVIN-MURRAY-PONTOTOC-COAL-COTTON-
JEFFERSON-CARTER-JOHNSTON-ATOKA-LOVE-MARSHALL-BRYAN-HARDEMAN-
FOARD-WILBARGER-WICHITA-KNOX-BAYLOR-ARCHER-CLAY-
1200 PM CST SUN DEC 21 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHERN...
WESTERN...CENTRAL...AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA...AND WESTERN NORTH
TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...

.FOG...
WIDESPREAD FOG IS EXPECTED TONIGHT. VISIBILITIES MAY DROP AS LOW
AS 1/2 MILE IN SOME PLACES.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.FOG...
FOG WILL DIMINISH MONDAY MORNING.

.WIND...
GUSTY NORTH WINDS ARE EXPECTED MONDAY AND TUESDAY...AND SOUTHWEST
WINDS ARE EXPECTED ON CHRISTMAS DAY.

GET GRAPHICS AND MORE DETAILS AT WEATHER.GOV/NORMAN...AND FOLLOW
OUR WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE ON TWITTER AND FACEBOOK.

$$

CMS

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1156 AM CST SUN DEC 21 2014

ARZ050-051-059>061-070>073-LAZ001>006-010>012-017-OKZ077-TXZ096-
097-108>112-124>126-136>138-149>153-165>167-221800-
SEVIER-HOWARD-LITTLE RIVER-HEMPSTEAD-NEVADA-MILLER-LAFAYETTE-
COLUMBIA-UNION AR-CADDO-BOSSIER-WEBSTER-CLAIBORNE-LINCOLN-
UNION LA-DE SOTO-RED RIVER-BIENVILLE-SABINE LA-MCCURTAIN-BOWIE-
FRANKLIN-TITUS-CAMP-MORRIS-CASS-WOOD-UPSHUR-MARION-SMITH-GREGG-
HARRISON-CHEROKEE-RUSK-PANOLA-NACOGDOCHES-SHELBY-ANGELINA-
SAN AUGUSTINE-SABINE TX-
1156 AM CST SUN DEC 21 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
ARKANSAS...SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS...NORTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA...
NORTHWEST LOUISIANA...SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA...EAST TEXAS AND
NORTHEAST TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...

SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE LATE MONDAY
THROUGH MIDDAY TUESDAY...AS A COLD FRONT AND STRONG UPPER LEVEL
TROUGH MOVE ACROSS THE REGION. HOWEVER...STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO
REMAIN BELOW SEVERE LIMITS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

ACTIVATION OF EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL...AMATEUR RADIO
OPERATORS...AND STORM SPOTTERS WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

$$

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
1045 AM CST SUN DEC 21 2014

ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-221100-
ARKANSAS-BAXTER-BOONE-BRADLEY-CALHOUN-CLARK-CLEBURNE-CLEVELAND-
CONWAY-DALLAS-DESHA-DREW-FAULKNER-FULTON-GARLAND-GRANT-HOT SPRING-
INDEPENDENCE-IZARD-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-LINCOLN-LOGAN-LONOKE-
MARION-MONROE-MONTGOMERY-NEWTON-OUACHITA-PERRY-PIKE-POLK-POPE-
PRAIRIE-PULASKI-SALINE-SCOTT-SEARCY-SHARP-STONE-VAN BUREN-WHITE-
WOODRUFF-YELL-
1045 AM CST SUN DEC 21 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR A LARGE PART OF ARKANSAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

CLOUDS WILL INCREASE TONIGHT...WITH PATCHY LIGHT RAIN OR DRIZZLE IN
THE NORTHWEST HALF OF ARKANSAS. THIS WILL BE IN ADVANCE OF A
DEVELOPING STORM SYSTEM IN THE NORTHERN PLAINS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

THE AFOREMENTIONED SYSTEM WILL DRAG A COLD FRONT TOWARD THE REGION
ON MONDAY. CHANCES FOR SHOWERS WILL INCREASE AHEAD OF THE FRONT...
ESPECIALLY IN THE AFTERNOON.

THE FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION MONDAY NIGHT...WITH SCATTERED
SHOWERS EXPECTED. A NEW STORM SYSTEM WILL FORM ALONG THE FRONT
TUESDAY IN THE GULF OF MEXICO...AND WILL TRACK TOWARD THE TENNESSEE
VALLEY. THIS WILL KEEP CLOUDS AND RAIN IN THE FORECAST LOCALLY.

BEHIND THE SYSTEM AND FRONT...IT WILL TURN COLDER TUESDAY NIGHT AND
EARLY WEDNESDAY WITH MOISTURE DECREASING. EVEN SO...THERE MAY BE
ENOUGH MOISTURE FOR A BRIEF PERIOD OF LIGHT SNOW OR FLURRIES IN THE
OZARK MOUNTAINS. LITTLE OR NO ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED.

AFTER A DRY AND MILD CHRISTMAS DAY...ANOTHER FRONT WILL BRING SMALL
CHANCES FOR SHOWERS ON FRIDAY. FOLLOWING THE FRONT...TEMPERATURES
WILL BE A LITTLE BELOW NORMAL TO BEGIN NEXT WEEKEND.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

&&

VISIT NWS LITTLE ROCK ON THE WEB. GO TO HTTP://WEATHER.GOV AND
CLICK ON CENTRAL ARKANSAS.

$$

57/46


Short Term Forecast


SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
552 PM CST SUN DEC 21 2014

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-220200-
BENTON-CARROLL-WASHINGTON AR-MADISON-CRAWFORD-FRANKLIN-SEBASTIAN-
PUSHMATAHA-CHOCTAW-OSAGE-WASHINGTON OK-NOWATA-CRAIG-OTTAWA-PAWNEE-
TULSA-ROGERS-MAYES-DELAWARE-CREEK-OKFUSKEE-OKMULGEE-WAGONER-
CHEROKEE-ADAIR-MUSKOGEE-MCINTOSH-SEQUOYAH-PITTSBURG-HASKELL-
LATIMER-LE FLORE-
552 PM CST SUN DEC 21 2014

.NOW...

AT 5:52 PM...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADARS DETECTED AN
AREA OF LIGHT DRIZZLE MOVING ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST
OKLAHOMA...MAINLY ALONG A NORTHWEST OF A LINE FROM OKEMAH TO
VINITA. LIGHT DRIZZLE WAS BEING REPORTED ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL
OKLAHOMA. ALL THIS ACTIVITY WAS MOVING TOWARD THE
NORTHEAST...AROUND 25 MILES PER HOUR.

THROUGH 8:00 PM...LIGHT DRIZZLE WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE ACROSS
NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA. PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS WILL BE VERY
LIGHT...WITH BETWEEN A TRACE TO A COUPLE HUNDREDTHS OF AN INCH
EXPECTED. WITH TEMPERATURES ABOVE FREEZING...MINOR VISIBILITY
REDUCTIONS IN THE HEAVIEST DRIZZLE SHOULD BE THE ONLY TRAVEL
IMPACTS.

$$

16

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NOAA National Weather Service
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Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: June 2, 2009
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