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Flood Advisory


Flood Advisory
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
156 PM CDT Thu May 25 2017

...The Flood Advisory continues for the following rivers in
Oklahoma...

  Arkansas River near Muskogee affecting Muskogee County

OKC101-260256-
/O.CON.KTSA.FL.Y.0020.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MKGO2.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
156 PM CDT Thu May 25 2017

The Flood Advisory continues for
  The Arkansas River near Muskogee
* until further notice, or until the advisory is cancelled.
* At  1:00 PM Thursday, the stage was 27.8 feet.
* Action stage is 27.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 28.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fluctuate from around
  27 feet to around 28 feet through Tuesday.
* Impact...At 27.0 feet, no flooding occurs but low lying
  agricultural areas may be threatened. At 28.0 feet, minor
  lowland flooding occurs.

&&

LAT...LON 3583 9520 3552 9507 3547 9515 3559 9532 3583 9537

$$


Hazardous Weather Outlook


Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
454 PM CDT Thu May 25 2017

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-261015-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
454 PM CDT Thu May 25 2017


...Significant Severe Weather Potential Saturday...


This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.

.DAY ONE...Through Tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected through tonight.


SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Spotter Activation Not Expected.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
FRIDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.
SATURDAY...Severe Thunderstorm Potential...Heavy Rain Potential.
SUNDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.
MONDAY...No Hazards.
TUESDAY and WEDNESDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
A weak cold front will settle across the region on Friday and
provide a focus for thunderstorm develop Friday evening
and overnight.  Currently it appears that thunderstorm chances
will remain low during this time, however should any storm
develop, severe weather potential would exist.
A more widespread and potentially significant severe weather
event is expected on Saturday.  Storms are likely to develop
near the Oklahoma Kansas border by late afternoon, and continue
to develop southward as a cold front and dryline boundaries
become an increasing focus.  Extreme instability and strong
winds aloft will allow for supercells capable of very large
hail, damaging winds, and tornado potential.  Storms will
spread southeastward Saturday night with a continued
severe weather threat. Dry weather is expected Sunday into
Monday with low thunderstorm chances returning toward the
middle of next week.

EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PLANNING STATEMENT...
Severe weather watches and warnings should be anticipated Saturday
afternoon through Saturday night.  The holiday weekend will
provide numerous outdoor exposures which will further increase
the potential for a rapid safety response.  Closely monitor the latest
forecasts and updates.

weather.gov/tulsa Contains additional information.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Wichita KS
412 PM CDT Thu May 25 2017

KSZ032-033-047>053-067>072-082-083-091>096-098>100-262115-
Russell-Lincoln-Barton-Ellsworth-Saline-Rice-McPherson-Marion-Chase-
Reno-Harvey-Butler-Greenwood-Woodson-Allen-Kingman-Sedgwick-Harper-
Sumner-Cowley-Elk-Wilson-Neosho-Chautauqua-Montgomery-Labette-
412 PM CDT Thu May 25 2017

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of Central Kansas,
South Central Kansas and Southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Tonight

Minor flooding continues on the Cow Creek near Hutchinson. Please
refer to the River Flood Statement for more details.

Storms developing across Western Kansas this afternoon and evening
may drift into portions of Central Kansas this evening and tonight.
If these storms reach central Kansas, they may be strong or
marginally severe, with wind gusts of 50 to 60 mph and nickel sized
hail.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday

Severe thunderstorms developing across the High Plains Friday
afternoon and evening, may impact portions of Central Kansas near
and north of the Interstate 70 corridor late Friday night. Large
hail and damaging winds will be possible with the strongest
activity.

There is an enhanced risk of severe thunderstorms across southeast
Kansas Saturday into early Saturday evening. The primary hazards
will be very large hail and damaging winds, although some tornado
potential may also exist.

Another frontal boundary will stall in the area late Tuesday into
Wednesday bringing a chance for a few strong storms to the area.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated tonight.

&&

For a graphical version of this information, see our webpage at:
http://weather.gov/wichita/hwo/

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Springfield MO
140 PM CDT Thu May 25 2017

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-261845-
Bourbon-Crawford-Cherokee-Benton-Morgan-Miller-Maries-Vernon-
St. Clair-Hickory-Camden-Pulaski-Phelps-Barton-Cedar-Polk-Dallas-
Laclede-Texas-Dent-Jasper-Dade-Greene-Webster-Wright-Newton-
Lawrence-Christian-Douglas-Howell-Shannon-McDonald-Barry-Stone-
Taney-Ozark-Oregon-
140 PM CDT Thu May 25 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of the Missouri
Ozarks and extreme southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.

Weather hazards expected...

  Limited Lightning risk.

DISCUSSION...

  There is a very slight risk for some thunderstorms late
  tonight, however most locations will remain dry. Cloud to ground
  lightning would be the main risk.



.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

  Unsettled conditions will develop over the area Friday and
  Saturday. Warming mid level temperatures will develop a thermal
  cap in the atmosphere on Friday which will likely keep most
  thunderstorm activity from developing until at least Friday
  night. The overall best chance of strong to severe storms will
  occur from Saturday afternoon into Saturday night as the cap
  weakens and very strong instability develops ahead of a cold
  front which will move through Saturday night.

  All modes of severe weather will be possible, with the main
  risks of large hail to the size of baseballs and damaging wind
  in excess of 60 mph.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

  Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight.

&&

More detailed information can be accessed at:
http://www.weather.gov/sgf/sitrep

This product in graphical format...along with other weather...
hydrological and climate information...at
http://www.weather.gov/sgf

$$

Lindenberg

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
1144 AM CDT Thu May 25 2017

ARZ050-051-059-060-070-071-LAZ001-002-010-017-OKZ077-TXZ096-097-
108>112-124>126-136>138-149>153-165>167-261645-
Sevier-Howard-Little River-Hempstead-Miller-Lafayette-Caddo-
Bossier-De Soto-Sabine-McCurtain-Red River-Bowie-Franklin-Titus-
Camp-Morris-Cass-Wood-Upshur-Marion-Smith-Gregg-Harrison-Cherokee-
Rusk-Panola-Nacogdoches-Shelby-Angelina-San Augustine-
1144 AM CDT Thu May 25 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of southwest
Arkansas, northwest Louisiana, southeast Oklahoma, east Texas and
northeast Texas.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight...

A Lake Wind Advisory is in effect beginning at 11 AM this morning
through 7 PM this evening. A tight pressure gradient across the
Southern Plains today will result in south winds increasing to 15
to 20 mph with higher gusts approaching 35 mph across a few
locations this afternoon. The wind should subside across most of
the region later this evening but may stay up across portions of
Northeast Texas and Southeast Oklahoma through the late evening
hours. Otherwise no additional hazardous weather is anticipated at
this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday...

Strong southerly winds will remain in the forecast through at
least Saturday across the entire Four State Region. The atmosphere
will become very unstable across the Middle Red River Valley of
Northeast Texas, Southeast Oklahoma into Southwest Arkansas
Saturday afternoon and evening. An approaching upper level trough
from the Southern Plains will likely generate strong to severe
thunderstorms across this area Saturday Evening into the overnight
hours. Large hail, damaging wind gusts and isolated tornadoes
will be possible along with locally heavy rainfall. On Sunday, the
entire Four State Region will have the possibility of seeing
strong to severe thunderstorms along and ahead of a southward
moving cold front.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Activation of emergency management personnel...amateur radio
operators...and storm spotters should not be needed through
tonight.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
1144 AM CDT Thu May 25 2017

ARZ061-072-073-LAZ003>006-011>014-018>022-261645-
Nevada-Columbia-Union-Webster-Claiborne-Lincoln-Red River-
Bienville-Jackson-Ouachita-Natchitoches-Winn-Grant-Caldwell-
La Salle-
1144 AM CDT Thu May 25 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of south central
Arkansas, southwest Arkansas, north central Louisiana and
northwest Louisiana.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight...

No hazardous weather is anticipated at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday...

Strong southerly winds will remain in the forecast through at
least Saturday across the entire Four State Region. The atmosphere
will become very unstable across the Middle Red River Valley of
Northeast Texas, Southeast Oklahoma into Southwest Arkansas
Saturday afternoon and evening. An approaching upper level trough
from the Southern Plains will likely generate strong to severe
thunderstorms across this area Saturday Evening into the overnight
hours. Large hail, damaging wind gusts and isolated tornadoes
will be possible along with locally heavy rainfall. On Sunday, the
entire Four State Region will have the possibility of seeing
strong to severe thunderstorms along and ahead of a southward
moving cold front.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Activation of emergency management personnel...amateur radio
operators...and storm spotters should not be needed through
tonight.

$$

07

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Norman OK
1110 AM CDT Thu May 25 2017

OKZ004>048-050>052-TXZ083>090-261015-
Harper-Woods-Alfalfa-Grant-Kay-Ellis-Woodward-Major-Garfield-
Noble-Roger Mills-Dewey-Custer-Blaine-Kingfisher-Logan-Payne-
Beckham-Washita-Caddo-Canadian-Oklahoma-Lincoln-Grady-McClain-
Cleveland-Pottawatomie-Seminole-Hughes-Harmon-Greer-Kiowa-Jackson-
Tillman-Comanche-Stephens-Garvin-Murray-Pontotoc-Coal-Cotton-
Jefferson-Carter-Johnston-Atoka-Love-Marshall-Bryan-Hardeman-
Foard-Wilbarger-Wichita-Knox-Baylor-Archer-Clay-
1110 AM CDT Thu May 25 2017

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of northern...
western...central...and southern Oklahoma...and western north
Texas.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight...

.TEMPERATURES...
High temperatures near and above 100 are expected this afternoon
across far southwest Oklahoma and western north Texas. If you will
be outdoors for any extended period of time, be sure to use
sunscreen and stay hydrated.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday Through Wednesday...

.THUNDERSTORMS...
There is a chance of storms from Friday night through next
Sunday.

On Saturday, there is an Enhanced Risk of severe storms across
southeast Oklahoma, east of a line from Seminole, to Ada and
Madill. A Slight Risk of severe storms will also be seen Saturday
along and east of Interstate-35. Damaging straight-line winds,
along with very large and damaging hail will, be the primary
concerns. Tornadoes will also be possible late Saturday afternoon
and evening, primary across the Enhanced Risk area.

.TEMPERATURES...
High temperatures near and above 100 are expected Friday and
Saturday across southwest Oklahoma and western north Texas.
Farther north and east, heat indices around 100 are expected both
days across central and southeast Oklahoma. If you will be
outdoors, use sunscreen and drink plenty of water to stay
hydrated.

Much cooler air will spread over the region Sunday and
early next week, bringing temperatures closer to late May
averages.

Get graphics and more details at weather.gov/norman...and follow
our weather forecast office on Twitter and Facebook.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
500 AM CDT Thu May 25 2017

ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-261000-
Boone-Marion-Baxter-Fulton-Sharp-Newton-Searcy-Stone-Izard-
Independence-Johnson-Pope-Van Buren-Cleburne-Jackson-Logan-Conway-
Faulkner-White-Woodruff-Scott-Yell-Perry-Polk-Montgomery-Garland-
Saline-Pulaski-Lonoke-Prairie-Monroe-Pike-Clark-Hot Spring-Grant-
Jefferson-Arkansas-Dallas-Cleveland-Lincoln-Desha-Ouachita-Calhoun-
Bradley-Drew-
500 AM CDT Thu May 25 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for a Large Part of Arkansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

No hazardous weather is expected through tonight.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday Through Wednesday

Severe thunderstorms will become possible Saturday afternoon and
early evening across the northern/northwestern half of Arkansas.
While uncertainty exists on whether storms can form and become
mature...any storm that does form will have the potential to produce
very large hail and damaging winds. These storms may also be capable
of producing a tornado or two.

By Saturday evening into the early morning hours on Sunday...the
potential for seeing more organized thunderstorms will increase as a
cold front drops south into the state. These thunderstorms could
also become severe...with damaging winds possible with the strongest
storms as this activity looks to form into a larger...more organized
line or complex. Large hail and a few brief tornadoes will also be
possible as this line or complex moves south across northern
Arkansas. Some locally heavy rain may also be seen...resulting in an
isolated flash flood threat.

By Sunday morning...the threat for seeing severe weather will have
decreased...but the cold front will still be dropping south across
the state. Additional thunderstorms will be possible Sunday
afternoon and evening across southern sections of the state as the
cold front pushes through this region of Arkansas. A few strong to
severe thunderstorms may again be possible during this period.

Calmer and drier conditions will be seen for Monday into Tuesday.
The threat for hazardous weather will then become low.

.Spotter Information Statement...

Spotter activation is not anticipated at this time. However, please
monitor forecast trends heading into the holiday weekend.

&&

Visit NWS Little Rock on the web. Go to http://weather.gov/lzk.

$$

44/62

U.S. Dept. of Commerce
NOAA National Weather Service
1325 East West Highway
Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: June 2, 2009
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