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Hazardous Weather Outlook


Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
435 AM CDT Sun Apr 23 2017

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-240945-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
435 AM CDT Sun Apr 23 2017


...ACTIVE WEATHER PATTERN THIS WEEK WITH THE THREAT FOR MULTIPLE
   ROUNDS OF SEVERE WEATHER...

This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

DISCUSSION...
A few rivers remain in flood across eastern Oklahoma. Refer to
the latest flood statements /OKCFLSTSA/ issued by the National
Weather Service in Tulsa. Otherwise, no hazardous weather is
expected through tonight.


SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Spotter Activation Not Expected.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.
MONDAY...High Wind Potential.
TUESDAY...Severe Thunderstorm...High Wind and Heavy Rain Potential.
WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY...Severe Thunderstorm Potential.
FRIDAY AND SATURDAY...Thunderstorm Potential...Heavy Rain Potential.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
Strong southerly winds will begin to increase Monday ahead of an
approaching upper level disturbance on Tuesday. A strong cap will
remain in place for much of the day Tuesday suppressing thunderstorm
development. The cap should weaken late Tuesday afternoon or Tuesday
evening with scattered thunderstorms developing as a cold front
moves into northeast Oklahoma. Any storms that develop will likely
be severe with the main threat of very large hail and damaging
winds, although a tornado or two can not be ruled out. The severe
threat should end Wednesday morning as the line of storms shift
east.

A stronger storm system is expected to move into the four corners
region by late week, impacting the area Friday and Saturday with the
threat for more widespread and significant severe weather. A few
elevated storms will be possible Friday morning as a warm front
begins to lift north. Multiple rounds of severe weather will be
possible Friday and Saturday before a Pacific front moves through
Sunday morning. Large hail and damaging winds will be likely,
including the threat for tornadoes. In addition, locally heavy
rainfall is expected which could lead to flash flooding.

EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PLANNING STATEMENT...
Overall timing and specific severe weather threats will continue
to be refined in the coming days as additional data become
available.

weather.gov/tulsa Contains additional information.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Wichita KS
516 AM CDT Sun Apr 23 2017

KSZ032-033-047>053-067>072-082-083-091>096-098>100-241030-
Russell-Lincoln-Barton-Ellsworth-Saline-Rice-McPherson-Marion-Chase-
Reno-Harvey-Butler-Greenwood-Woodson-Allen-Kingman-Sedgwick-Harper-
Sumner-Cowley-Elk-Wilson-Neosho-Chautauqua-Montgomery-Labette-
516 AM CDT Sun Apr 23 2017

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of Central Kansas,
South Central Kansas and Southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Minor lowland and river flooding is occurring across portions of
far southeast Kansas. Please refer to the latest areal and river
flood warnings for further details.

Patchy frost is possible this morning across portions of central
Kansas.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday

A few strong thunderstorms will be possible across portions of
southeast Kansas on tuesday evening. Small hail is the main concern.

Strong to possibly severe storms are possible on Friday, as another
storm system moves across the Central Plains. However, there is
quite a bit of uncertainty at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated today or tonight.

&&

For a graphical version of this information, see our webpage at:
http://weather.gov/wichita/hwo/

$$

Ketcham

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Springfield MO
257 AM CDT Sun Apr 23 2017

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-240800-
Bourbon-Crawford-Cherokee-Benton-Morgan-Miller-Maries-Vernon-
St. Clair-Hickory-Camden-Pulaski-Phelps-Barton-Cedar-Polk-Dallas-
Laclede-Texas-Dent-Jasper-Dade-Greene-Webster-Wright-Newton-
Lawrence-Christian-Douglas-Howell-Shannon-McDonald-Barry-Stone-
Taney-Ozark-Oregon-
257 AM CDT Sun Apr 23 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of the Missouri
Ozarks and extreme southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Weather hazards expected...

  Limited Flooding risk.

DISCUSSION...

  Residual flooding will persist through tonight across
  southern Missouri and extreme southeastern Kansas along some
  streams, low water crossings and main stem rivers.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

  Active weather will return during the middle and later part of
  the week with additional thunderstorms expected. There is a
  limited to elevated risk for strong to severe storms Tuesday
  night across western Missouri and southeastern Kansas and
  then a limited risk for strong to severe storms Wednesday
  morning across the eastern Missouri Ozarks. There will also be
  a limited risk for flooding from later Tuesday night into
  Wednesday.

  Multiple rounds of thunderstorms will then be possible from
  late this week into next weekend. The potential for flooding
  will therefore continue. There may also be a risk for strong
  to severe storms late this week and next weekend. Details
  regarding these potential hazards will become clearer
  throughout the week.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

  Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight.

&&

More detailed information can be accessed at:
http://www.weather.gov/sgf/sitrep

This product in graphical format...along with other weather...
hydrological and climate information...at
http://www.weather.gov/sgf

$$

Schaumann

U.S. Dept. of Commerce
NOAA National Weather Service
1325 East West Highway
Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: June 2, 2009
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