Hazardous Weather Outlook
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
517 PM CDT Tue Jul 15 2025
ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-161030-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
517 PM CDT Tue Jul 15 2025
This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.
.DAY ONE...This Evening and Tonight.
THUNDERSTORMS WITH DANGEROUS LIGHTNING.
RISK...Elevated.
AREA...Mainly Southeast Oklahoma and Northwest Arkansas.
ONSET...Ongoing.
DANGEROUS HEAT.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Eastern Oklahoma and West-Central Arkansas.
ONSET...Ongoing.
DISCUSSION...
Isolated to scattered thunderstorms will continue into this
evening, especially from southeast Oklahoma into northwest
Arkansas. Severe weather is not expected, but locally heavy
rainfall and gusty winds remain possible with the strongest
storms. Heat index values from 95 to 105 degrees will be common
early this evening across eastern Oklahoma and west central
Arkansas before decreasing.
SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Spotter Activation Not Expected.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.
WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY...Thunderstorm Potential...Dangerous Heat Potential.
FRIDAY...Dangerous Heat Potential.
SATURDAY...Thunderstorm Potential...Dangerous Heat Potential.
SUNDAY AND MONDAY...Dangerous Heat Potential.
EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
Isolated to scattered thunderstorms are forecast both Wednesday
and Thursday. A weak cold front will attempt to move into
northeast Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas on Thursday and may
provide a corridor of slightly higher thunderstorm chances. The
front will quickly lose definition with heat intensifying from
late week through next weekend. Heat index values of 100 to 105
degrees will be common during the afternoons across a large part
of eastern Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas, with some values
exceeding 105 degrees later this weekend into early next week. Any
outdoor activities should plan for higher heat stress conditions.
weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information.
$$
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Springfield MO
230 PM CDT Tue Jul 15 2025
KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-161930-
Bourbon-Crawford-Cherokee-Benton-Morgan-Miller-Maries-Vernon-
St. Clair-Hickory-Camden-Pulaski-Phelps-Barton-Cedar-Polk-Dallas-
Laclede-Texas-Dent-Jasper-Dade-Greene-Webster-Wright-Newton-
Lawrence-Christian-Douglas-Howell-Shannon-McDonald-Barry-Stone-
Taney-Ozark-Oregon-
230 PM CDT Tue Jul 15 2025
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of the Missouri
Ozarks and extreme southeast Kansas.
.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.
Weather hazards expected...
Elevated lightning risk.
Limited excessive rainfall risk
DISCUSSION...
Scattered shower and thunderstorm chances today, mainly south of
Interstate 44 and east of Highway 65. While severe weather is
not expected, lightning and locally heavy rainfall will be
possible.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.
Daily afternoon shower and thunderstorm chances through the
end of the week. While severe weather is not expected, lightning
and locally heavy rainfall will be possible.
Temperatures climb back to around 90 by midweek, continuing to
gradually increase into the lower 90s through the weekend. Heat
index values will gradually increase this week, reaching the
100-105 degree this weekend into early next week.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight.
&&
More detailed information can be accessed at:
http://www.weather.gov/sgf/dsspacket
This product in graphical format...along with other weather...
hydrological and climate information...at
http://www.weather.gov/sgf
$$
Titus
