weather.gov     
National Weather Service

Watches, Warnings & Advisories
NWS Homepage

Hazardous Weather Outlook


HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
507 PM CDT WED JUL 30 2014

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-311000-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
507 PM CDT WED JUL 30 2014


THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

FLASH FLOOD.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...ALONG AND ON EITHER SIDE OF INTERSTATE 40.
ONSET...ONGOING.

HEAVY RAIN.
RISK...SIGNIFICANT.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN ARKANSAS.
ONSET...ONGOING.

AREA AT GREATEST RISK...ALONG AND ON EITHER SIDE OF INTERSTATE 40.

DISCUSSION...
WIDESPREAD AREAS OF RAIN... AND POSSIBLY A FEW ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS... WILL CONTINUE THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT ACROSS
EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN ARKANSAS. AN AXIS OF HEAVIER RAINFALL IS
EXPECTED TO DEVELOP LATER TONIGHT GENERALLY SOUTH OF A
TULSA...FORT SMITH LINE TO AROUND THE NORTHERN PART OF PUSHMATAHA
COUNTY. STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS WITHIN THIS AXIS SHOULD BE
IN THE 1 TO 3 INCH RANGE...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS
POSSIBLE...WHICH COULD LEAD TO LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING. A FLASH
FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR PARTS OF THE AREA THROUGH THURSDAY
AFTERNOON.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
LOCAL SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.
THURSDAY AND FRIDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...NO HAZARDS.


EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE ONGOING THURSDAY
MORNING...ESPECIALLY ALONG AND SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 44. LOCALLY
HEAVY RAIN AND FLASH FLOOD POTENTIAL COULD CONTINUE THROUGH MIDDAY
THURSDAY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS COULD REDEVELOP
DURING THE DAY FRIDAY ACROSS PARTS OF SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND
WESTERN ARKANSAS...ALTHOUGH MOST SPOTS WILL REMAIN DRY. AFTER
FRIDAY...DRY AND WARMER WEATHER WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE WEEKEND
AND INTO NEXT WEEK.


WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.
$$

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
412 PM CDT WED JUL 30 2014

OKZ004>048-050>052-TXZ083>090-312100-
HARPER-WOODS-ALFALFA-GRANT-KAY-
ELLIS-WOODWARD-MAJOR-GARFIELD-NOBLE-ROGER MILLS-DEWEY-CUSTER-BLAINE-
KINGFISHER-LOGAN-PAYNE-BECKHAM-WASHITA-CADDO-CANADIAN-OKLAHOMA-
LINCOLN-GRADY-MCCLAIN-CLEVELAND-POTTAWATOMIE-SEMINOLE-HUGHES-HARMON-
GREER-KIOWA-JACKSON-TILLMAN-COMANCHE-STEPHENS-GARVIN-MURRAY-
PONTOTOC-COAL-COTTON-JEFFERSON-CARTER-JOHNSTON-ATOKA-LOVE-MARSHALL-
BRYAN-HARDEMAN-FOARD-WILBARGER-WICHITA-KNOX-BAYLOR-ARCHER-CLAY-
412 PM CDT WED JUL 30 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHERN...
WESTERN...CENTRAL...AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA...AND WESTERN NORTH
TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...THROUGH TONIGHT...

A LARGE AREA OF RAIN AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE
ACROSS MAINLY THE EASTERN HALF OF OKLAHOMA THROUGH TONIGHT AS AN
UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE MOVES OVERHEAD. THE THREAT FOR HEAVY
RAINFALL AND POTENTIAL FLOODING WILL SHIFT EAST THROUGH THE
NIGHT. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PARTS OF
NORTHERN...CENTRAL...AND SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA.

A FEW STRONG TO MARGINALLY SEVERE STORMS ARE POSSIBLE OVER
SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS THROUGH 11 PM THIS
EVENING WHERE GREATER INSTABILITY EXISTS. GUSTY WINDS UP TO
50 MPH AND LOCALLY HEAVY DOWNPOURS ARE THE MAIN HAZARDS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...

THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAINFALL WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE IN
SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA EARLY IN THE MORNING THURSDAY...BEFORE
MOVING SOUTHEAST OF THE AREA BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON.

GET GRAPHICS AND MORE DETAILS AT WEATHER.GOV/NORMAN...AND FOLLOW
OUR WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE ON TWITTER AND FACEBOOK.

$$

MBS

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
310 PM CDT WED JUL 30 2014

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-312015-
BOURBON-CRAWFORD-CHEROKEE-BENTON-MORGAN-MILLER-MARIES-VERNON-
ST. CLAIR-HICKORY-CAMDEN-PULASKI-PHELPS-BARTON-CEDAR-POLK-DALLAS-
LACLEDE-TEXAS-DENT-JASPER-DADE-GREENE-WEBSTER-WRIGHT-NEWTON-
LAWRENCE-CHRISTIAN-DOUGLAS-HOWELL-SHANNON-MCDONALD-BARRY-STONE-
TANEY-OZARK-OREGON-
310 PM CDT WED JUL 30 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE MISSOURI
OZARKS AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

WEATHER HAZARDS EXPECTED...

  ELEVATED FLOODING RISK.

DISCUSSION...

  THERE HAS BECOME A RISK FOR FLOODING OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST
  MISSOURI THROUGH TONIGHT. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL WILL IMPACT
  SOUTHWEST MISSOURI TONIGHT...AND COULD BE HEAVY AT TIMES.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

  SOME LOCALIZED FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF
  SOUTHWEST MISSOURI ON THURSDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

  SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED THROUGH TONIGHT.

&&

THIS PRODUCT IS NOW AVAILABLE IN GRAPHICAL FORMAT...ALONG WITH
OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE INFORMATION...AT
HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/SGF(ALL LOWERCASE)

$$

CRAMER

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
310 PM CDT WED JUL 30 2014

TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-311130-
MONTAGUE-COOKE-GRAYSON-FANNIN-LAMAR-YOUNG-JACK-WISE-DENTON-COLLIN-
HUNT-DELTA-HOPKINS-STEPHENS-PALO PINTO-PARKER-TARRANT-DALLAS-
ROCKWALL-KAUFMAN-VAN ZANDT-RAINS-EASTLAND-ERATH-HOOD-SOMERVELL-
JOHNSON-ELLIS-HENDERSON-COMANCHE-MILLS-HAMILTON-BOSQUE-HILL-NAVARRO-
FREESTONE-ANDERSON-LAMPASAS-CORYELL-BELL-MCLENNAN-FALLS-LIMESTONE-
LEON-MILAM-ROBERTSON-
310 PM CDT WED JUL 30 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES INCREASE LATE TONIGHT...AND INCLUDE
LOCATIONS ALONG AND NORTHEAST OF A LINE FROM COMANCHE TO TEMPLE.
THE BEST CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL EXIST FOR LOCATIONS ALONG
AND NORTHEAST OF A LINE FROM BOWIE...TO PLANO...TO CANTON. HEAVY
RAINFALL AND LOCALIZED FLOODING ARE POSSIBLE FOR THESE LOCATIONS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.
THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS FOR ALL OF NORTH AND CENTRAL
TEXAS ON THURSDAY. THE BEST RAIN CHANCES WILL BE GENERALLY EAST OF
I-35. FOR LOCATIONS ALONG AND NORTHEAST OF A LINE FROM BOWIE TO
CANTON...THERE WILL BE A HEAVY RAINFALL AND LOCALIZED FLOODING
THREAT IN THE MORNING. THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL END FROM
NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST DURING THE DAY.


.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

$$

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1057 AM CDT WED JUL 30 2014

ARZ050-051-059>061-070>073-LAZ001>006-010>014-017>022-OKZ077-
TXZ096-097-108>112-124>126-136>138-149>153-165>167-311600-
SEVIER-HOWARD-LITTLE RIVER-HEMPSTEAD-NEVADA-MILLER-LAFAYETTE-
COLUMBIA-UNION AR-CADDO-BOSSIER-WEBSTER-CLAIBORNE-LINCOLN-
UNION LA-DE SOTO-RED RIVER-BIENVILLE-JACKSON-OUACHITA-SABINE LA-
NATCHITOCHES-WINN-GRANT-CALDWELL-LA SALLE-MCCURTAIN-BOWIE-
FRANKLIN-TITUS-CAMP-MORRIS-CASS-WOOD-UPSHUR-MARION-SMITH-GREGG-
HARRISON-CHEROKEE-RUSK-PANOLA-NACOGDOCHES-SHELBY-ANGELINA-
SAN AUGUSTINE-SABINE TX-
1057 AM CDT WED JUL 30 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
ARKANSAS...SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS...NORTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA...
NORTHWEST LOUISIANA...SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA...EAST TEXAS AND
NORTHEAST TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...

THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO SLOWLY MOVE INTO THE AREA FROM THE
WEST TODAY AND TONIGHT. NO SEVERE WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS
TIME. HOWEVER...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND ISOLATED FLOODING WILL
BE POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY NORTH OF THE INTERSTATE 30 CORRIDOR.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...

THUNDERSTORMS WILL REMAIN IN THE FORECAST THROUGH SATURDAY AS A
SERIES OF UPPER TROUGHS INTERACT WITH A SURFACE LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM AND STALLED FRONTAL BOUNDARIES ACROSS THE AREA. ONE TO
THREE INCHES OF RAINFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH SATURDAY
MORNING. LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS WILL BE POSSIBLE ESPECIALLY ACROSS
SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA...SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS AND NORTHEAST TEXAS.

THE FRONT SHOULD MOVE SOUTH OF THE AREA DURING THE WEEKEND...BUT
SCATTERED DAYTIME THUNDERSTORMS WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE SUNDAY
THROUGH TUESDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

ACTIVATION OF EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL...AMATEUR RADIO
OPERATORS...AND STORM SPOTTERS WILL NOT BE NEEDED THROUGH TONIGHT.

$$

12

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
500 AM CDT WED JUL 30 2014

ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-311000-
ARKANSAS-BAXTER-BOONE-BRADLEY-CALHOUN-CLARK-CLEBURNE-CLEVELAND-
CONWAY-DALLAS-DESHA-DREW-FAULKNER-FULTON-GARLAND-GRANT-HOT SPRING-
INDEPENDENCE-IZARD-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-LINCOLN-LOGAN-LONOKE-
MARION-MONROE-MONTGOMERY-NEWTON-OUACHITA-PERRY-PIKE-POLK-POPE-
PRAIRIE-PULASKI-SALINE-SCOTT-SEARCY-SHARP-STONE-VAN BUREN-WHITE-
WOODRUFF-YELL-
500 AM CDT WED JUL 30 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR A LARGE PART OF ARKANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

RAIN CHANCES RETURN TO MUCH OF ARKANSAS THIS MORNING AS A STORM
SYSTEM LIFTS OUT OF THE SOUTHERN PLAINS AND MOVES TOWARD ARKANSAS.
RAIN WILL SPREAD ACROSS THE STATE WEST TO EAST THROUGH THE DAY. RAIN
CHANCES WILL INCREASE LATE IN THE DAY AND OVERNIGHT...AND BECOME
HEAVIER. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY
MORNING FOR PARTS OF WEST ARKANSAS WHERE ONE TO THREE INCHES OF RAIN
COULD FALL...WITH SOME PLACES GETTING OVER 3 INCHES OF RAIN. AN
ISOLATED STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM MAY ALSO BE SEEN...BUT
WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER DOES NOT APPEAR LIKELY. RESIDENTS SHOULD
MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS ON THIS DEVELOPING WEATHER SITUATION.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

THE RAIN WILL CONTINUE INTO THURSDAY AND MAINLY AFFECT CENTRAL AND
SOUTH SECTIONS OF THE STATE. THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING AN ADDITIONAL 1
TO 2 INCHES OF RAIN IS EXPECTED ACROSS THE SOUTH. SLIGHT RAIN
CHANCES WILL CONTINUE IN CENTRAL AND SOUTH SECTIONS FRIDAY BEFORE
COMING TO AN END. SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY IS EXPECTED TO BE DRY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

&&

VISIT NWS LITTLE ROCK ON THE WEB. GO TO HTTP://WEATHER.GOV AND
CLICK ON CENTRAL ARKANSAS.

$$

51

U.S. Dept. of Commerce
NOAA National Weather Service
1325 East West Highway
Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: June 2, 2009
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE: for Safety, for Work, for Fun - FOR LIFE