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Hazardous Weather Outlook


Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
448 AM CDT Tue May 30 2017

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-311000-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
448 AM CDT Tue May 30 2017


This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...Isolated.
AREA...Northeast Oklahoma and Northwest Arkansas.
ONSET...This Afternoon.

DISCUSSION...
A complex of showers and thunderstorms ongoing early this morning
will continue to push across Northeast Oklahoma and Northwest
Arkansas through the morning hours. Additional thunderstorm
development will be possible this afternoon with any remnant
outflow boundaries from the morning activity across Northeast
Oklahoma and Northwest Arkansas. A few storms could have the
potential to become strong to marginally severe with strong winds
and hail being the main hazards. Showers and thunderstorms look to
weaken with the loss of daytime heating this evening...though a
slight chance of thunderstorms will continue into tonight.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Local Spotter Activation May Be Needed.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.
WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.
FRIDAY AND SATURDAY...Thunderstorm Potential...Heavy Rain Potential.
SUNDAY AND MONDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
Thunderstorm chances will continue Wednesday and increase Thursday
into the upcoming weekend across Eastern Oklahoma and Northwest
Arkansas as an upper level low pressure system lifts into the
Southern Plains and a second upper level disturbance approaches
from the west. Severe potentials into the weekend continue to look
limited. However...with multiple rounds of precipitation
forecast...heavy rainfall could be possible over parts of the
region.

weather.gov/tulsa Contains additional information.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
600 AM CDT Tue May 30 2017

ARZ070>073-LAZ001>006-010>014-017>022-TXZ096-097-108>112-124>126-
136>138-149>153-165>167-311100-
Miller-Lafayette-Columbia-Union-Caddo-Bossier-Webster-Claiborne-
Lincoln-De Soto-Red River-Bienville-Jackson-Ouachita-Sabine-
Natchitoches-Winn-Grant-Caldwell-La Salle-Bowie-Franklin-Titus-
Camp-Morris-Cass-Wood-Upshur-Marion-Smith-Gregg-Harrison-Cherokee-
Rusk-Panola-Nacogdoches-Shelby-Angelina-San Augustine-
600 AM CDT Tue May 30 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of south central
Arkansas, southwest Arkansas, north central Louisiana, northwest
Louisiana, east Texas and northeast Texas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight...

Scattered thunderstorms will be possible this afternoon, mainly
around the stationary frontal boundary which stretches along the
I-20 corridor and southward near Toledo Bend County. No severe
storms are expected. However, any thunderstorm can be a danger
with lightning to those caught outdoors. If thunder roars, move
indoors.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday...

An unsettled weather pattern will continue through this week as
the frontal boundary remains nearly stationary. Scattered storms
will be possible each day as a result of the lingering boundary
and weak upper level disturbances moving through southwest flow
aloft. However, no widespread hazardous weather is expected at
this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Activation of emergency management personnel, amateur radio
operators and storm spotters will not be needed through tonight.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Wichita KS
517 AM CDT Tue May 30 2017

KSZ032-033-047>053-067>072-082-083-091>096-098>100-311030-
Russell-Lincoln-Barton-Ellsworth-Saline-Rice-McPherson-Marion-Chase-
Reno-Harvey-Butler-Greenwood-Woodson-Allen-Kingman-Sedgwick-Harper-
Sumner-Cowley-Elk-Wilson-Neosho-Chautauqua-Montgomery-Labette-
517 AM CDT Tue May 30 2017

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of Central Kansas,
South Central Kansas and Southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Showers and a few embedded thunderstorms are possible across
Southern Kansas this morning. The thunderstorms are not expected to
be strong or severe.

There is a chance for isolated thunderstorms across Central Kansas
late this afternoon or early this evening. A few strong storms with
nickel size hail and wind gusts to 50 mph are the main concerns.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday

Widely scattered thunderstorms are possible across Central Kansas on
Wednesday and across the entire region into the weekend.

Severe weather chances remain rather low, but a few strong storms
are possible. The slow moving storms may produce some heavy rainfall,
especially in Southern and Southeast Kansas.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated today or tonight.

&&

For a graphical version of this information, see our webpage at:
http://weather.gov/wichita/hwo/

$$

Ketcham

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Norman OK
505 AM CDT Tue May 30 2017

OKZ004>048-050>052-TXZ083>090-311015-
Harper-Woods-Alfalfa-Grant-Kay-Ellis-Woodward-Major-Garfield-
Noble-Roger Mills-Dewey-Custer-Blaine-Kingfisher-Logan-Payne-
Beckham-Washita-Caddo-Canadian-Oklahoma-Lincoln-Grady-McClain-
Cleveland-Pottawatomie-Seminole-Hughes-Harmon-Greer-Kiowa-Jackson-
Tillman-Comanche-Stephens-Garvin-Murray-Pontotoc-Coal-Cotton-
Jefferson-Carter-Johnston-Atoka-Love-Marshall-Bryan-Hardeman-
Foard-Wilbarger-Wichita-Knox-Baylor-Archer-Clay-
505 AM CDT Tue May 30 2017

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of northern...
western...central...and southern Oklahoma...and western
north Texas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight...

.Thunderstorms...
A few thunderstorms are possible today and tonight across parts of
northern Oklahoma. Gusty winds up to 50 mph, small hail, and brief
downpours are possible with storms today and tonight. No severe
thunderstorms are expected.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday...

.Thunderstorms...
Showers and thunderstorms will remain possible Wednesday through
Monday across parts of Oklahoma and north Texas. A few strong to
severe storms with an accompanying threat of hail and gusty winds
may be possible, especially across southern Oklahoma and western
north Texas on Thursday.

.Heavy Rainfall/Flooding...
Localized heavy rainfall and flooding will be possible Wednesday
through the weekend. Some locations along and south of Interstate
40 could receive over 3 inches of rain.

Get graphics and more details at weather.gov/norman...and follow
our weather forecast office on Twitter and Facebook.

$$

MBS

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
500 AM CDT Tue May 30 2017

TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-311100-
Montague-Cooke-Grayson-Fannin-Lamar-Young-Jack-Wise-Denton-Collin-
Hunt-Delta-Hopkins-Stephens-Palo Pinto-Parker-Tarrant-Dallas-
Rockwall-Kaufman-Van Zandt-Rains-Eastland-Erath-Hood-Somervell-
Johnson-Ellis-Henderson-Comanche-Mills-Hamilton-Bosque-Hill-Navarro-
Freestone-Anderson-Lampasas-Coryell-Bell-McLennan-Falls-Limestone-
Leon-Milam-Robertson-
500 AM CDT Tue May 30 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for North and Central Texas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.
There is a slight chance of thunderstorms across portions of Central
and East Texas through tonight. Weak shear should keep the severe
potential low, but gusty winds and frequent lightning may accompany
the storms. In addition, the slow movement of the activity could
result in heavy rainfall.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.
Thunderstorm chances will steadily increase Wednesday into Thursday.
The weak flow aloft will continue to limit the severe potential, but
a few strong or marginally severe storms will possible, particularly
in areas north of the I-20 corridor Thursday afternoon. Strong winds
and hail will be the primary hazards with these storms.

The unsettled weather pattern will continue Friday through Sunday.
The best chances for thunderstorms during the upcoming weekend will
be east of the I-35 corridor. The severe threat will remain low, but
areas that experience multiple rounds of rainfall may have some
flooding issues.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

$$

25

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
500 AM CDT Tue May 30 2017

ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-311000-
Boone-Marion-Baxter-Fulton-Sharp-Newton-Searcy-Stone-Izard-
Independence-Johnson-Pope-Van Buren-Cleburne-Jackson-Logan-Conway-
Faulkner-White-Woodruff-Scott-Yell-Perry-Polk-Montgomery-Garland-
Saline-Pulaski-Lonoke-Prairie-Monroe-Pike-Clark-Hot Spring-Grant-
Jefferson-Arkansas-Dallas-Cleveland-Lincoln-Desha-Ouachita-Calhoun-
Bradley-Drew-
500 AM CDT Tue May 30 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for a Large Part of Arkansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Scattered showers and thunderstorms will be possible today, mainly
this afternoon and early tonight. Most of the activity will affect
the northern half of the state. Some of the stronger storms will be
capable of producing large hail, in excess of one inch, and damaging
wind gusts.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday

Additional isolated to scattered thunderstorms will be possible
Wednesday as a front stalls north of Arkansas. A few strong storms
may be seen...with large hail and damaging winds the primary threats
possible with the strongest storms. However...the overall threat for
organized severe weather will remain low on Wednesday.

For the rest of the week into the weekend...chances for
thunderstorms will remain in the forecast each day. Scattered
thunderstorms will be seen...especially during the afternoon hours.
An isolated strong storm possible. Locally heavy rainfall may also
be seen. However...no organized and widespread severe weather is
expected at this time.

.Spotter Information Statement...

Spotter activation is not anticipated at this time.

&&

Visit NWS Little Rock on the web. Go to http://weather.gov/lzk.

$$

44/62

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Springfield MO
258 AM CDT Tue May 30 2017

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-310800-
Bourbon-Crawford-Cherokee-Benton-Morgan-Miller-Maries-Vernon-
St. Clair-Hickory-Camden-Pulaski-Phelps-Barton-Cedar-Polk-Dallas-
Laclede-Texas-Dent-Jasper-Dade-Greene-Webster-Wright-Newton-
Lawrence-Christian-Douglas-Howell-Shannon-McDonald-Barry-Stone-
Taney-Ozark-Oregon-
258 AM CDT Tue May 30 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of the Missouri
Ozarks and extreme southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Weather hazards expected...

  Limited Hail risk.
  Limited Thunderstorm wind damage risk.
  Limited Lightning risk.

DISCUSSION...

  Scattered thunderstorms will be possible across the area
  through tonight. A few storms may produce hail up to the
  size of quarters and damaging wind gusts up to 60 mph this
  afternoon and early this evening. Otherwise, the main
  potential hazard from these storms will be cloud to ground
  lightning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

  Scattered thunderstorms will be possible at times through
  Thursday night.

  A few strong to severe storms will be possible across
  extreme southeastern Kansas and west-central Missouri
  Wednesday afternoon and early Wednesday evening.

  There is then a Limited Risk for severe storms across
  portions of central Missouri on Thursday.

  Better chances for more widespread thunderstorms will then
  occur from later Friday into Saturday night as a storm
  system approaches from the southwestern United States.

  Scattered thunderstorms will then remain possible from
  Sunday into Monday of next week.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

  Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight.

&&

More detailed information can be accessed at:
http://www.weather.gov/sgf/sitrep

This product in graphical format...along with other weather...
hydrological and climate information...at
http://www.weather.gov/sgf

$$

Schaumann

U.S. Dept. of Commerce
NOAA National Weather Service
1325 East West Highway
Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: June 2, 2009
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