weather.gov     
National Weather Service

Watches, Warnings & Advisories
NWS Homepage

Hazardous Weather Outlook


HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
1157 AM MDT FRI AUG 1 2014

NMZ401>417-TXZ418>424-021800-
UPPER GILA RIVER VALLEY-SOUTHERN GILA HIGHLANDS/BLACK RANGE-
SOUTHERN GILA FOOTHILLS/MIMBRES VALLEY-
SOUTHWEST DESERT/LOWER GILA RIVER VALLEY-LOWLANDS OF THE BOOTHEEL-
UPLANDS OF THE BOOTHEEL-SOUTHWEST DESERT/MIMBRES BASIN-
EASTERN BLACK RANGE FOOTHILLS-SIERRA COUNTY LAKES-
NORTHERN DONA ANA COUNTY-SOUTHERN DONA ANA COUNTY/MESILLA VALLEY-
CENTRAL TULAROSA BASIN-SOUTHERN TULAROSA BASIN-
WEST SLOPES SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS BELOW 7500 FEET-
SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 7500 FEET-
EAST SLOPES SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS BELOW 7500 FEET-OTERO MESA-
WESTERN EL PASO COUNTY-EASTERN/CENTRAL EL PASO COUNTY-
NORTHERN HUDSPETH HIGHLANDS/HUECO MOUNTAINS-SALT BASIN-
SOUTHERN HUDSPETH HIGHLANDS-
RIO GRANDE VALLEY OF EASTERN EL PASO/WESTERN HUDSPETH COUNTIES-
RIO GRANDE VALLEY OF EASTERN HUDSPETH COUNTY-
1157 AM MDT FRI AUG 1 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NM AND TX.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL INCREASE IN COVERAGE THIS
AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. SOME OF THE STORMS WILL PRODUCE PERIODS OF
MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINFALL RESULTING IN EXCESSIVE RUNOFF AND FLASH FLOODING
ALONG DRAINAGES AND LOW WATER CROSSINGS. AREAS WHICH HAVE RECEIVED
2 OR MORE INCHES FROM RECENT HEAVY RAINS WILL BE ESPECIALLY PRONE
TO FLOODING. THE STORMS MAY ALSO PRODUCE SMALL HAIL AND WIND
GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY
NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING HEAVY
RAINFALL WILL OCCUR SATURDAY AND SUNDAY...SHIFTING TO THE WEST OF
THE RIO GRANDE MONDAY. WITH THE GROUND ALREADY SOAKED FROM PREVIOUS
RAINFALLS...THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR EXCESSIVE RAIN RUNOFF TO
CAUSE FLOODING ALONG DRAINAGES...SMALL STREAMS...ARROYOS AND AT
LOW WATER CROSSINGS. POORLY DRAINED LOW LYING AREAS AND ROADS WILL
HAVE INCREASED PONDING OF WATER. RAINS THROUGH SUNDAY ARE
PROJECTED TO BE BETWEEN AND INCH AND A HALF TO THREE INCHES.
DRIER AIR WILL MOVE INTO EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE AREA BY
MONDAY...WITH HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL LIMITED TO PORTIONS OF
SOUTHWEST NEW MEXICO THAT DAY. TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY THERE WILL
BE THUNDERSTORMS SCATTERED OVER THE MOUNTAINS AND ISOLATED IN THE
LOWLANDS...WHICH IS MORE TYPICAL DURING MONSOON SEASON.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS SHOULD REPORT ANY OBSERVED HAZARDOUS WEATHER OR FLOODING
TO THIS OFFICE AND LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT.

$$

FAUSETT

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
1006 AM MST FRI AUG 1 2014

AZZ004>018-037>040-020645-
KAIBAB PLATEAU-MARBLE AND GLEN CANYONS-GRAND CANYON COUNTRY-
COCONINO PLATEAU-YAVAPAI COUNTY MOUNTAINS-
NORTHEAST PLATEAUS AND MESAS HWY 264 NORTHWARD-CHINLE VALLEY-
CHUSKA MOUNTAINS AND DEFIANCE PLATEAU-
LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN COCONINO COUNTY-
LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN NAVAJO COUNTY-
LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN APACHE COUNTY-
WESTERN MOGOLLON RIM-EASTERN MOGOLLON RIM-WHITE MOUNTAINS-
NORTHERN GILA COUNTY-YAVAPAI COUNTY VALLEYS AND BASINS-
OAK CREEK AND SYCAMORE CANYONS-BLACK MESA AREA-
NORTHEAST PLATEAUS AND MESAS SOUTH OF HWY 264-
1006 AM MST FRI AUG 1 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR APACHE...COCONINO...
NORTHERN GILA...NAVAJO...AND YAVAPAI COUNTIES IN NORTHERN
ARIZONA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A MOIST UNSTABLE AIRMASS WILL LEAD TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORM
DEVELOPMENT TODAY. STORMS WILL GENERALLY MOVE SLOWLY TO THE SOUTH
OR SOUTHWEST...WITH THE AREAS OF GREATEST IMPACT ALONG AND
SOUTHWEST OF THE MOGOLLON RIM (INCLUDING MUCH OF YAVAPAI COUNTY).
HEAVY RAIN AND LOCALIZED FLOODING ARE THE GREATEST THREATS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

DEEP MOISTURE FROM THE SOUTH WILL KEEP SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER NORTHERN ARIZONA THROUGH SUNDAY.
HEAVY RAIN WILL OCCUR WITH THE STRONGEST STORMS...WITH AREAS OF
LOCALIZED FLOODING THE GREATEST THREAT THIS WEEKEND. EXPECT A
DOWNWARD TREND IN THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY EARLY NEXT WEEK AS DRIER
AIR MOVES INTO THE AREA.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

$$

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PHOENIX AZ
616 AM MST FRI AUG 1 2014

AZZ020>028-CAZ030>033-021330-
LOWER COLORADO RIVER VALLEY AZ-WEST CENTRAL DESERTS-
NORTHWEST MARICOPA COUNTY-GREATER PHOENIX AREA-
SOUTHERN GILA COUNTY/TONTO NATIONAL FOREST FOOTHILLS-
YUMA/MARTINEZ LAKE AND VICINITY-SOUTHWEST DESERTS-
SOUTHWEST MARICOPA COUNTY-NORTHWEST AND NORTH CENTRAL PINAL COUNTY-
JOSHUA TREE NATIONAL PARK-LOWER COLORADO RIVER VALLEY CA-
RIVERSIDE COUNTY/EASTERN DESERTS-IMPERIAL COUNTY-
616 AM MST FRI AUG 1 2014 /616 AM PDT FRI AUG 1 2014/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST-CENTRAL
ARIZONA...EXTREME SOUTHWEST ARIZONA...EXTREME WEST-CENTRAL
ARIZONA...SOUTH-CENTRAL ARIZONA...SOUTHWEST ARIZONA...WEST-CENTRAL
ARIZONA...EXTREME SOUTHEAST CALIFORNIA AND SOUTHEAST CALIFORNIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THERE WILL BE AT LEAST SLIGHT CHANCES OF THUNDERSTORMS TODAY ON THE
LOWER DESERTS...BETTER OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN. STORMS WILL BE
CAPABLE OF PRODUCING STRONG WINDS AND HEAVY RAIN. THE STRONGEST
STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WIND AND FLASH
FLOODING. FOR THE LOWER DESERTS...ANTICIPATE SOUTHWEST ARIZONA TO BE
MORE ACTIVE THAN THE PHOENIX AREA.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

STORM CHANCES INCREASE REGION WIDE SATURDAY AND SUNDAY THEN TAPER OFF
SHARPLY DURING THE WORK WEEK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS SHOULD FOLLOW STANDARD REPORTING PROCEDURES.

$$

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PHOENIX IS ON THE INTERNET AT

WEATHER.GOV/PHOENIX

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
602 AM MDT FRI AUG 1 2014

NMZ501>540-021200-
NORTHWEST PLATEAU-CHUSKA MOUNTAINS-FAR NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-
NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-WEST CENTRAL PLATEAU-WEST CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-
WEST CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS-
SAN FRANCISCO RIVER VALLEY-SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS-JEMEZ MOUNTAINS-
WEST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 9500 FEET/RED RIVER-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 9500 FEET-
EAST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-
LOWER CHAMA RIVER VALLEY-SANTA FE METRO AREA-ALBUQUERQUE METRO AREA-
LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-SANDIA/MANZANO MOUNTAINS-ESTANCIA VALLEY-
CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-SOUTH CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-UPPER TULAROSA VALLEY-
SOUTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-RATON RIDGE/JOHNSON MESA-
FAR NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-UNION COUNTY-
HARDING COUNTY-EASTERN SAN MIGUEL COUNTY-GUADALUPE COUNTY-
QUAY COUNTY-CURRY COUNTY-ROOSEVELT COUNTY-DE BACA COUNTY-
CHAVES COUNTY PLAINS-EASTERN LINCOLN COUNTY-SOUTHWEST CHAVES COUNTY-
602 AM MDT FRI AUG 1 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH AND CENTRAL
NEW MEXICO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A SLOW MOVING UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL INTERACT WITH ABUNDANT
MOISTURE TO PRODUCE A BETTER RISK OF FLASH FLOODING THIS AFTERNOON
AND TONIGHT THAN NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEW MEXICO HAS SEEN IN THE
PAST FEW DAYS. THE GREATEST RISK WILL BE ALONG THE CONTINENTAL
DIVIDE AND EASTWARD TO THE WESTERN HIGH PLAINS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

A VERY MOIST ATMOSPHERE WILL REMAIN IN PLACE THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
MUCH OF THE ENERGY FROM THE UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE THAT PASSES
SOUTH AND SOUTHEASTWARD INTO NEW MEXICO TODAY AND TONIGHT SHOULD
SHIFT WESTWARD OVER SOUTHERN PARTS OF THE FORECAST AREA SATURDAY
BRINGING THE BEST CHANCE OF HEAVY RAIN AND FLASH FLOODING TO THE
SOUTHERN TIER OF MOUNTAINS AND LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY. THE BEST
POTENTIAL FOR FLASH FLOODING SHOULD THEN FAVOR THE CONTINENTAL
DIVIDE REGION TO THE ARIZONA BORDER SUNDAY AND MONDAY AS A SLOW
MOVING SUBTROPICAL WAVE MIGRATES NORTHWARD WEST OF NEW
MEXICO...THEN EASTWARD NORTH OF NEW MEXICO...STEERING A ROBUST
MONSOON MOISTURE PLUME OVERHEAD.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT RAINFALL AMOUNTS AND ANY FLOODING
THROUGH THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE WEB SITE AT
WEATHER.GOV/ABQ OR BY CALLING 1.888.386.7637.

$$

44

U.S. Dept. of Commerce
NOAA National Weather Service
1325 East West Highway
Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: June 2, 2009
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE: for Safety, for Work, for Fun - FOR LIFE