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HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
731 AM MST TUE SEP 16 2014

AZZ004>018-037>040-171015-
KAIBAB PLATEAU-MARBLE AND GLEN CANYONS-GRAND CANYON COUNTRY-
COCONINO PLATEAU-YAVAPAI COUNTY MOUNTAINS-
NORTHEAST PLATEAUS AND MESAS HWY 264 NORTHWARD-CHINLE VALLEY-
CHUSKA MOUNTAINS AND DEFIANCE PLATEAU-
LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN COCONINO COUNTY-
LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN NAVAJO COUNTY-
LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN APACHE COUNTY-
WESTERN MOGOLLON RIM-EASTERN MOGOLLON RIM-WHITE MOUNTAINS-
NORTHERN GILA COUNTY-YAVAPAI COUNTY VALLEYS AND BASINS-
OAK CREEK AND SYCAMORE CANYONS-BLACK MESA AREA-
NORTHEAST PLATEAUS AND MESAS SOUTH OF HWY 264-
731 AM MST TUE SEP 16 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR APACHE...COCONINO...
NORTHERN GILA...NAVAJO...AND YAVAPAI COUNTIES IN NORTHERN
ARIZONA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT AND TONIGHT

INCREASING MOISTURE WILL BRING SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
TO THE AREA TODAY AND TONIGHT...ESPECIALLY ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE
I-40 CORRIDOR. STORM ACTIVITY NORTH OF I-40 WILL BE MORE ISOLATED
WITH THE LEAST AMOUNT OF COVERAGE NEAR THE UTAH BORDER.

TROPICAL MOISTURE OVER SOUTHERN ARIZONA WILL SLOWLY MOVE NORTHWARD
AND STORMS SOUTH OF MOGOLLON RIM TODAY WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
TORRENTIAL RAINFALL AND HAIL UP TO AN INCH IN DIAMETER. LOCALIZED
FLOODING IS POSSIBLE IN THE HEAVIER SHOWERS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

DEEP MOISTURE FROM TROPICAL STORM ODILE WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA
WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM
MST WEDNESDAY THROUGH 6 PM MST THURSDAY FOR AREAS ROUGHLY ALONG AND
SOUTH OF THE I-40 CORRIDOR. SEE TEXT PRODUCT PHXFFAFGZ FOR DETAILS.

THE EXACT PATH AND TIMING ARE NOT CLEAR. PLEASE MONITOR THE LATEST
FORECASTS AND FLASH FLOOD WATCHES FOR CHANGES IN TIMING AND OR AREAL
COVERAGE AS THIS EVENT UNFOLDS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

$$

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
551 AM MDT TUE SEP 16 2014

NMZ501>540-171200-
NORTHWEST PLATEAU-CHUSKA MOUNTAINS-FAR NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-
NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-WEST CENTRAL PLATEAU-WEST CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-
WEST CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS-
SAN FRANCISCO RIVER VALLEY-SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS-JEMEZ MOUNTAINS-
WEST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 9500 FEET/RED RIVER-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 9500 FEET-
EAST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-
LOWER CHAMA RIVER VALLEY-SANTA FE METRO AREA-ALBUQUERQUE METRO AREA-
LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-SANDIA/MANZANO MOUNTAINS-ESTANCIA VALLEY-
CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-SOUTH CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-UPPER TULAROSA VALLEY-
SOUTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-RATON RIDGE/JOHNSON MESA-
FAR NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-UNION COUNTY-
HARDING COUNTY-EASTERN SAN MIGUEL COUNTY-GUADALUPE COUNTY-
QUAY COUNTY-CURRY COUNTY-ROOSEVELT COUNTY-DE BACA COUNTY-
CHAVES COUNTY PLAINS-EASTERN LINCOLN COUNTY-SOUTHWEST CHAVES COUNTY-
551 AM MDT TUE SEP 16 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH AND CENTRAL
NEW MEXICO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TODAY THROUGH THE
OVERNIGHT SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 40 AND OVER THE NORTHERN MOUNTAINS.
ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FOR THE NORTHWEST AND NORTHEAST.
STORM MOTIONS WILL BE SLOW AND RAINFALL COULD BECOME HEAVY. THIS
MAY LEAD TO LOCALIZED AREAS OF FLASH FLOODING... ESPECIALLY OVER
THE WHITEWATER BALDY BURN SCAR COMPLEX AND THE LITTLE BEAR BURN
SCAR. ISOLATED LOCATIONS WILL RECEIVE 1 TO 2 INCHES OF RAINFALL.
A FEW STORMS MAY ALSO PRODUCE SMALL HAIL AND WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED WEDNESDAY THROUGH
FRIDAY ACROSS MOST OF NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEW MEXICO. RAINFALL
COULD BECOME HEAVY WITH THE REMNANTS OF ODILE IMPACTING THE STATE.
THIS MAY LEAD TO LOCALIZED AREAS OF FLASH FLOODING... ESPECIALLY
OVER AND NEAR RECENT AND OLDER BURN SCARS. ISOLATED LOCATIONS WILL
RECEIVE 2 TO 4 INCHES OF RAINFALL WITH UP TO 6 INCHES NOT OUT OF
THE QUESTION FROM WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. THE MOST LIKELY AREA
TO SEE THIS MUCH RAIN WILL BE OVER THE UPPER GILA REGION OF THE
SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS...INCLUDING THE WHITEWATER BALDY BURN SCAR
COMPLEX...FOLLOWED BY THE LITTLE BEAR BURN SCAR AREA. A FEW STORMS
MAY ALSO PRODUCE SMALL HAIL AND WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT RAINFALL AMOUNTS AND ANY FLOODING
THROUGH THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE WEB SITE AT
WEATHER.GOV/ABQ OR BY CALLING 1.888.386.7637.

$$

40

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PHOENIX AZ
231 AM MST TUE SEP 16 2014

AZZ021>024-027-028-171415-
WEST CENTRAL DESERTS-NORTHWEST MARICOPA COUNTY-GREATER PHOENIX AREA-
SOUTHERN GILA COUNTY/TONTO NATIONAL FOREST FOOTHILLS-
SOUTHWEST MARICOPA COUNTY-NORTHWEST AND NORTH CENTRAL PINAL COUNTY-
231 AM MST TUE SEP 16 2014

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH
THURSDAY AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST-CENTRAL ARIZONA...SOUTH-
CENTRAL ARIZONA AND WEST-CENTRAL ARIZONA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE REGION TODAY. THE
PRIMARY HAZARDS WILL BE GUSTY WINDS...LOCALIZED BLOWING DUST...AND
LOCALIZED HEAVY RAIN.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.

THE THREAT OF HEAVY RAIN WILL BEGIN TO TAPER OFF LATE THIS WEEK AS
DRIER AIR MOVES INTO THE AREA BY THE WEEKEND.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

$$

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PHOENIX AZ
231 AM MST TUE SEP 16 2014

AZZ020-025-026-CAZ030>033-171415-
LOWER COLORADO RIVER VALLEY AZ-YUMA/MARTINEZ LAKE AND VICINITY-
SOUTHWEST DESERTS-JOSHUA TREE NATIONAL PARK-
LOWER COLORADO RIVER VALLEY CA-RIVERSIDE COUNTY/EASTERN DESERTS-
IMPERIAL COUNTY-
231 AM MST TUE SEP 16 2014 /231 AM PDT TUE SEP 16 2014/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EXTREME SOUTHWEST
ARIZONA...EXTREME WEST-CENTRAL ARIZONA...SOUTHWEST
ARIZONA...EXTREME SOUTHEAST CALIFORNIA AND SOUTHEAST CALIFORNIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE REGION TODAY. THE
PRIMARY HAZARDS WILL BE GUSTY WINDS...LOCALIZED BLOWING DUST...AND
LOCALIZED HEAVY RAIN.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

THERE WILL BE A CONTINUED CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK BUT AT THIS POINT IT APPEARS THE HEAVIEST
RAINFALL WILL BE DISPLACED ACROSS EASTERN ARIZONA. WHERE STORMS
FORM...HEAVY RAIN AND LOCALIZED FLOODING WILL BE THE PRIMARY THREATS.
A DRYING TREND WILL BEGIN THIS WEEKEND.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

$$

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PHOENIX IS ON THE INTERNET AT

WEATHER.GOV/PHOENIX

U.S. Dept. of Commerce
NOAA National Weather Service
1325 East West Highway
Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: June 2, 2009
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