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HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
535 PM MST FRI FEB 27 2015

AZZ004>018-037>040-280730-
KAIBAB PLATEAU-MARBLE AND GLEN CANYONS-GRAND CANYON COUNTRY-
COCONINO PLATEAU-YAVAPAI COUNTY MOUNTAINS-
NORTHEAST PLATEAUS AND MESAS HWY 264 NORTHWARD-CHINLE VALLEY-
CHUSKA MOUNTAINS AND DEFIANCE PLATEAU-
LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN COCONINO COUNTY-
LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN NAVAJO COUNTY-
LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN APACHE COUNTY-
WESTERN MOGOLLON RIM-EASTERN MOGOLLON RIM-WHITE MOUNTAINS-
NORTHERN GILA COUNTY-YAVAPAI COUNTY VALLEYS AND BASINS-
OAK CREEK AND SYCAMORE CANYONS-BLACK MESA AREA-
NORTHEAST PLATEAUS AND MESAS SOUTH OF HWY 264-
535 PM MST FRI FEB 27 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR APACHE...COCONINO...
NORTHERN GILA...NAVAJO...AND YAVAPAI COUNTIES IN NORTHERN
ARIZONA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

MAINLY LIGHT RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE FROM THE
MOGOLLON RIM NORTHWARD. 1 TO 2 INCHES OF NEW SNOW ACCUMULATION IS
POSSIBLE FOR ELEVATIONS ABOVE 6000 FEET ACROSS THE KAIBAB
PLATEAU,...BLACK MESA AND THE CHUSKA MOUNTAINS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

A STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE INTO THE REGION...BRINGING STRONG
WINDS...RAIN AND HIGHER ELEVATION SNOW TO NORTHERN ARIZONA. SNOW
LEVELS ON SATURDAY AND SUNDAY ARE EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM 5000-6000
FEET OVER THE KAIBAB PLATEAU AND BLACK MESA...6500-7500 FEET
AROUND FLAGSTAFF AND 7000-8000 FEET FOR THE EASTERN MOGOLLON RIM,
CHUSKA AND WHITE MOUNTAINS. SNOW LEVELS WILL DROP FURTHER BEHIND A
COLD FRONT FORECAST TO CROSS THE REGION SOMETIME FROM LATE SUNDAY
TO MONDAY.

STRONG SOUTHWEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED SATURDAY FROM THE MOGOLLON
RIM...ACROSS THE LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY...AND INTO THE
CHUSKA MOUNTAINS. A WIND ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THESE
AREAS...PLEASE SEE PHXNPWFGZ FOR MORE DETAILS.

LOWER ELEVATION RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1-3 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE WITH
THE HIGHER AMOUNTS OVER THE FOOTHILLS OF THE MOGOLLON RIM...WHITE
MOUNTAINS AND NORTHERN GILA COUNTY. SNOWFALL OF 8-24 INCHES IS
POSSIBLE FOR THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS. SIGNIFICANT UNCERTAINTY
REMAINS IN THE SNOW LEVELS ON SUNDAY AND MONDAY. FLUCTUATING SNOW
LEVELS MAY REDUCE SNOW ACCUMULATIONS.

THE HEAVIEST PRECIPITATION IS FORECAST TO ARRIVE SOMETIME BETWEEN
SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY. DURING THIS TIME...SIGNIFICANT RISES
COULD OCCUR ALONG STREAMS AND RIVERS...ESPECIALLY SOUTH OF THE
MOGOLLON RIM.

TUESDAY ONWARD...THE CHANCES FOR PRECIPITATION DWINDLE WITH
DAYTIME TEMPERATURES RUNNING WELL BELOW NORMAL.


.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

$$

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
600 AM MST FRI FEB 27 2015

NMZ501>540-281300-
NORTHWEST PLATEAU-CHUSKA MOUNTAINS-FAR NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-
NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-WEST CENTRAL PLATEAU-WEST CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-
WEST CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS-
SAN FRANCISCO RIVER VALLEY-SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS-JEMEZ MOUNTAINS-
WEST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 9500 FEET/RED RIVER-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 9500 FEET-
EAST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-
LOWER CHAMA RIVER VALLEY-SANTA FE METRO AREA-ALBUQUERQUE METRO AREA-
LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-SANDIA/MANZANO MOUNTAINS-ESTANCIA VALLEY-
CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-SOUTH CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-UPPER TULAROSA VALLEY-
SOUTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-RATON RIDGE/JOHNSON MESA-
FAR NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-UNION COUNTY-
HARDING COUNTY-EASTERN SAN MIGUEL COUNTY-GUADALUPE COUNTY-
QUAY COUNTY-CURRY COUNTY-ROOSEVELT COUNTY-DE BACA COUNTY-
CHAVES COUNTY PLAINS-EASTERN LINCOLN COUNTY-SOUTHWEST CHAVES COUNTY-
600 AM MST FRI FEB 27 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH AND CENTRAL
NEW MEXICO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

ACCUMULATING SNOW WILL PERSIST THROUGH EARLY MORNING IN MANY AREAS
EAST OF THE CONTINENTAL DIVIDE. AFTER DECREASING IN COVERAGE AND
INTENSITY AROUND MID MORNING THROUGH MID DAY...SNOWFALL WILL INTENSIFY
AGAIN ACROSS CENTRAL AND NORTHWEST AREAS...INCLUDING THE NORTHERN
MOUNTAINS...THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT. SIGNIFICANT ADDITIONAL
SNOW ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL...NORTHWEST AND
POSSIBLY CENTRAL AREAS TONIGHT INTO SATURDAY MORNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

A PARADE OF DISTURBANCES WILL PRODUCE A PERIOD OF NEARLY
CONTINUOUS SNOW ACROSS THE NORTHERN AND WESTERN HIGH TERRAIN
SATURDAY THROUGH THE FIRST HALF OF THE COMING WEEK. THE SNOW THAT
ACCUMULATES ACROSS THE NORTHERN...AND TO A LESSER EXTENT THE
WESTERN...HIGH TERRAIN DURING THIS PERIOD WILL BE MEASURED IN FEET
WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR STRUCTURAL DAMAGE IN THE MOUNTAINS NEAR THE
COLORADO BORDER.

THE SNOW LEVEL SHOULD LIFT TO AROUND 8000 FEET SATURDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH SUNDAY. BELOW THE SNOW LEVEL...1 TO 2 INCHES OF RAIN IS
EXPECTED THIS WEEKEND ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL...WEST CENTRAL AND
NORTHWEST AREAS. WHERE HEAVY RAIN FALLS ON HEAVY SNOW THAT
ACCUMULATES BEFORE SATURDAY AFTERNOON...THERE WILL BE A RISK FOR
FLOODING.

THE SNOW LEVEL WILL FALL TO VALLEY BOTTOMS AGAIN ACROSS THE WEST
MONDAY AND THE EAST TUESDAY. THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR SIGNIFICANT
ADDITIONAL SNOW ACCUMULATION MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY AS A DEEP
UPPER LEVEL TROUGH SLOWLY CROSSES FROM THE WEST WITH MULTIPLE
ADDITIONAL DISTURBANCES ROTATING THROUGH IT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SNOWFALL AMOUNTS THROUGH THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/ABQ
OR BY CALLING 1.888.386.7637.

$$

44

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Page last modified: June 2, 2009
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