National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Heavy Rainfall Threat Continues in the Southwest on Monday; Record Warmth in the Plains and Midwest

Remnant moisture from Tropical Storm Rachel will persist over portions of the Great Basin and Southwest on Monday, bringing a potential heavy to excessive rainfall risk. Well above average and potentially record breaking temperatures will develop across the Plains and Midwest early this week, spreading into the Lower Mississippi Valley and Southeast midweek. Read More >

Hazardous Weather Conditions

Current conditions at

Washington Manassas Airport (KHEF)

Lat: 38.72°NLon: 77.52°WElev: 194ft.

Heavy Rain Fog/Mist

60°F

16°C

Humidity 96%
Wind Speed N 10 mph
Barometer 29.75 in (1007.8 mb)
Dewpoint 59°F (15°C)
Visibility 3.00 mi
Last update 12 Oct 1:56 am EDT
Extended Forecast for

Nokesville VA

  • Overnight

    Overnight: Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 5am, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 5am. Patchy fog. Otherwise, cloudy, with a low around 60. Northwest wind around 11 mph, with gusts as high as 23 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    Low: 60 °F

    Showers
    Likely and
    Patchy Fog

  • Columbus Day

    Columbus Day: A chance of showers, mainly before 7am. Patchy fog before 8am. Otherwise, cloudy, then gradually becoming mostly sunny, with a high near 74. North wind 11 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

    High: 74 °F

    Chance
    Showers and
    Patchy Fog
    then Partly
    Sunny

  • Monday Night

    Monday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 55. Light northwest wind.

    Low: 55 °F

    Partly Cloudy

  • Tuesday

    Tuesday: Partly sunny, then gradually becoming sunny, with a high near 80. Calm wind becoming south 5 to 8 mph in the afternoon.

    High: 80 °F

    Becoming
    Sunny

  • Tuesday Night

    Tuesday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 62. Southwest wind 3 to 6 mph.

    Low: 62 °F

    Mostly Clear

  • Wednesday

    Wednesday: Sunny, with a high near 84.

    High: 84 °F

    Sunny

  • Wednesday Night

    Wednesday Night: A slight chance of showers after 2am. Partly cloudy, with a low around 61. Chance of precipitation is 20%.

    Low: 61 °F

    Partly Cloudy
    then Slight
    Chance
    Showers

  • Thursday

    Thursday: A slight chance of showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 71. Chance of precipitation is 20%.

    High: 71 °F

    Slight Chance
    Showers

  • Thursday Night

    Thursday Night: A chance of showers, mainly after 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 57. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

    Low: 57 °F

    Chance
    Showers

Detailed Forecast

Overnight
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 5am, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 5am. Patchy fog. Otherwise, cloudy, with a low around 60. Northwest wind around 11 mph, with gusts as high as 23 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Columbus Day
A chance of showers, mainly before 7am. Patchy fog before 8am. Otherwise, cloudy, then gradually becoming mostly sunny, with a high near 74. North wind 11 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Monday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 55. Light northwest wind.
Tuesday
Partly sunny, then gradually becoming sunny, with a high near 80. Calm wind becoming south 5 to 8 mph in the afternoon.
Tuesday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 62. Southwest wind 3 to 6 mph.
Wednesday
Sunny, with a high near 84.
Wednesday Night
A slight chance of showers after 2am. Partly cloudy, with a low around 61. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Thursday
A slight chance of showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 71. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Thursday Night
A chance of showers, mainly after 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 57. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Friday
A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 74. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Friday Night
A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 47. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Saturday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 56. Breezy.
Saturday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 36.
Sunday
Sunny, with a high near 56.
Basemap Options
Click map to change the forecast location
Loading map...
Forecast Area
Tiles ©ESRI

ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
Nokesville VA
 38.68°N 77.58°W (Elev. 243 ft)
Last Update:
10:53 pm EDT Oct 11, 2026
Forecast Valid:
2am EDT Oct 12, 2026-6pm EDT Oct 18, 2026
 
Forecast Discussion
 
Get as KML Get as XML

Additional Resources

Radar & Satellite Image

Link to Local Radar Data Link to Satellite Data

Hourly Weather Forecast

National Digital Forecast Database

National Digital Forecast Database Maximum Temperature Forecast

High Temperature

National Digital Forecast Database Weather Element Forecast

Chance of Precipitation