Area Forecast Discussion
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000 FXUS61 KPBZ 271215 AFDPBZ Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Pittsburgh PA 815 AM EDT Sun May 27 2018 .SYNOPSIS... Warm and humid through the holiday weekend. The threat for showers and storms continues today, but Monday looks dry. && .NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
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Minor adjustments needed to PoPs this morning to account for the moderate rain showers moving through the northern half of the forecast area. Otherwise, the forecast remains largely untouched. Previous Discussion... The focus for showers and storms today will shift to the eastern half of the area this morning as the trough axis makes its way into Central PA. Trough axis gets hung up and stretched to the southwest this afternoon as another wave moves northeast within the axis. With plenty of moisture stuck over the region, and the intrusion of large scale ascent, will need to keep in the mention of PoPs through the afternoon, mainly over the eastern half of the area. Humidity and warmth will remain over the region.
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&& .SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY/... Convection potential for Monday and Tuesday looks to be capped as broad upper high pressure builds over the region. Pattern thus favors continued well above average temperature. && .LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/... Warm and humid conditions are expected through the extended with daily chances for showers and storms as low pressure currently over the gulf is progged to impact the region later in the week. && .AVIATION /12Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
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Variable conditions this morning as scattered showers continue to plague the area. A mix of MVFR and IFR is expected for a period this morning, before gradual improvement areawide. Additional restrictions are possible again tonight with the largely stagnant, moist air mass in place. OUTLOOK... General VFR can be expected into midweek outside of isolated to scattered convection.
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&& .PBZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... MD...None. OH...None. PA...None. WV...None. && $$

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