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FLUS43 KGID 202112
HWOGID

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Hastings NE
412 PM CDT Mon May 20 2024

KSZ005>007-017>019-NEZ039>041-046>049-060>064-072>077-082>087-
212115-
Phillips-Smith-Jewell-Rooks-Osborne-Mitchell-Valley-Greeley-Nance-
Sherman-Howard-Merrick-Polk-Dawson-Buffalo-Hall-Hamilton-York-
Gosper-Phelps-Kearney-Adams-Clay-Fillmore-Furnas-Harlan-Franklin-
Webster-Nuckolls-Thayer-
412 PM CDT Mon May 20 2024

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for south central Nebraska and
portions of north central Kansas.

.DAY ONE...This Evening and Tonight.

Starting mainly after 7 PM, and then lasting well into the
overnight and early Tuesday morning hours, thunderstorm chances
will be on the increase, with the greatest likelihood and coverage
of storms focused within Nebraska counties, and lower chances in
north central Kansas. Some of these storms will develop directly
over our area, while others roll in from the west, either in the
form of intense, individual storms or perhaps as a larger-scale
line or complex.

Some storms this evening and overnight will likely be severe, and
most of the area is under at least a Slight Risk for severe
storms, with several Nebraska counties west of Highway 281
assigned a more concerning Enhanced Risk. The primary threats
with any severe storms will be damaging winds up to around
70 MPH, and large hail up to around golf ball size. However, there
could also be a low chance for tornado development, particularly
with any individual supercell storms.

In addition, much of especially our Nebraska coverage area will
likely receive widespread rainfall between 1 and 3 inches
overnight, with localized higher amounts possible in narrow
swaths, although it is not yet clear exactly where these might be.
A Flood Watch has been issued for most Nebraska counties along and
north of Highway 6 where the heaviest rain appears most favored,
but some counties just south of the Watch area could also see at
least localized heavy rain and possible flooding or flash
flooding. Please refer to the Watch statement for more details.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

On Tuesday daytime, mainly between 9 AM and and 1 PM, one final
round of strong to potentially severe thunderstorms could sweep
across parts of the area from west to east, again favoring
Nebraska counties more so than Kansas. Most of our area is under a
Marginal to Slight Risk for severe storms, with the higher concern
focused mainly along and east of Highway 281. The main hazards with
any severe storms would be hail up to around the size of ping
pong balls, and damaging winds up to around 60 MPH...in addition
to the continued chance for more heavy rain and localized
flooding...and the Flood Watch for much of our Nebraska area
remains in effect until 1 PM. After 1 PM, any risk for severe
storms and heavy rain will have departed east of our area.

Between late Wednesday night and Sunday, there are various,
intermittent chances for thunderstorms in the forecast. Severe
storms are not currently expected with most of these chances, but
early indications suggest that Thursday evening or overnight could
bear watching for a possible, limited threat.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotters are encouraged to report any instances of severe weather
or potential flooding this evening and overnight.

&&

More information may be obtained at the following web page:
   https://www.weather.gov/hastings

$$

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