Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
863
FNUS52 KILM 270640
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
240 AM EDT Mon May 27 2024
.DISCUSSION...
Unseasonably hot and humid conditions will continue through
Tue with scattered afternoon and evening thunderstorms, possibly
lasting well into the overnight tonight. The approaching cold
front will enhance thunderstorm coverage thru tonight. Drier and
slightly cooler air arrives late Tue into Wed as the front pushes
farther offshore. Temps to run at or below normal for Thu and Fri
with continued dry conditions.
Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.
Fog potential for tonight is Low.
NCZ105>110-272245-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
240 AM EDT Mon May 27 2024
Today Tonight Tue
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 20 50 30
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
LAL 3 4 3
Max/Min Temp 92 70 89
Min/Max RH (%) 57 96 45
Wind20ft/Early (mph) SW 6 SW 10 G23 W 4
Wind20ft/Late (mph) SW 11 G24 SW 6 W 6
Precip Amount 0.02 0.15 0.04
Precip Duration 1 2 1
Precip Begin 12 PM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 77/0800 1900 73/0800
Dispersion Fair
Haines Index 4 4 4
DSI 2 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5000 6700
Transport Wind (mph) SW 22 W 14
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 110000 93800
ADI Early 67 Good 44 Gen Good 60 Gen Good
ADI Late 84 Good 12 Poor 99 Good
Max LVORI Early 7 4 6
Max LVORI Late 2 5 1
Min VSBY Early 7 6 Rain 7
Min VSBY Late 7 6 Rain 7
Turner Stability B D A
Remarks...Brotak Stack Present.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
90 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
39 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum
RH 81 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 44 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum
RH 86 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 41 percent.
North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
88 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 37 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
90 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
44 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
NCZ096-099-272245-
Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Elizabethtown, Bladenboro, Whiteville,
Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
240 AM EDT Mon May 27 2024
Today Tonight Tue
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 30 60 20
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
LAL 3 4 2
Max/Min Temp 92 70 90
Min/Max RH (%) 50 96 37
Wind20ft/Early (mph) SW 5 SW 7 G17 Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) SW 10 G19 SW 4 W 5
Precip Amount 0.06 0.16 0.02
Precip Duration 1 3 1
Precip Begin 12 PM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 75/0800 1900 73/0800
Dispersion Fair
Haines Index 4 4 4
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5900 7200
Transport Wind (mph) SW 24 W 16
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 141600 115200
ADI Early 76 Good 51 Gen Good 61 Good
ADI Late 103 Very Good11 Poor 121 Very Good
Max LVORI Early 8 5 6
Max LVORI Late 1 6 1
Min VSBY Early 7 5 Rain 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B D A
Remarks...Brotak Stack Present.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
86 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
34 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum
RH 79 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 42 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
85 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 39 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
89 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 36 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 60. Maximum RH
91 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
41 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
NCZ087-272245-
Robeson-
Including the city of Lumberton
240 AM EDT Mon May 27 2024
Today Tonight Tue
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mclear
Precip Chance (%) 30 50 20
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Showers
LAL 3 3 2
Max/Min Temp 92 70 89
Min/Max RH (%) 48 95 35
Wind20ft/Early (mph) SW 7 G17 SW 9 G19 NW 5
Wind20ft/Late (mph) SW 12 G21 SW 5 NW 7
Precip Amount 0.06 0.11 0.00
Precip Duration 1 2 0
Precip Begin 1 PM Continuing 2 PM
Precip End Continuing 6 AM 6 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 75/0800 2000 73/0800
Dispersion Fair
Haines Index 4 3 5
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5900 7400
Transport Wind (mph) SW 26 W 16
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 153400 118400
ADI Early 73 Good 67 Good 61 Good
ADI Late 111 Very Good10 Poor 123 Very Good
Max LVORI Early 7 4 6
Max LVORI Late 1 6 1
Min VSBY Early 7 6 Rain 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability C D B
Remarks...Brotak Stack Present.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
80 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
33 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum
RH 75 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 41 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
79 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 37 percent.
North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
83 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 34 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 60. Maximum RH
85 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
39 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-272245-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
240 AM EDT Mon May 27 2024
Today Tonight Tue
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 0 50 20
Precip Type None Tstms Tstms
LAL 2 3 2
Max/Min Temp 92 70 90
Min/Max RH (%) 48 98 40
Wind20ft/Early (mph) SW 5 SW 8 G22 W 4
Wind20ft/Late (mph) SW 10 G24 SW 5 W 5
Precip Amount 0.00 0.27 0.03
Precip Duration 2 1
Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 80/0900 1900 73/0800
Dispersion Fair
Haines Index 4 4 4
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 6300 7400
Transport Wind (mph) SW 22 W 15
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 138600 111000
ADI Early 73 Good 48 Gen Good 60 Gen Good
ADI Late 105 Very Good10 Poor 114 Very Good
Max LVORI Early 7 4 6
Max LVORI Late 1 6 1
Min VSBY Early 7 6 Rain 7
Min VSBY Late 7 6 Rain 7
Turner Stability B D A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
84 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
38 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum
RH 78 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
46 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 60. Maximum RH
89 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 42 percent.
North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
87 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 39 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
88 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
45 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
SCZ032-033-039-272245-
Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree
240 AM EDT Mon May 27 2024
Today Tonight Tue
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mclear
Precip Chance (%) 0 50 20
Precip Type None Tstms Tstms
LAL 3 3 2
Max/Min Temp 92 69 90
Min/Max RH (%) 46 96 35
Wind20ft/Early (mph) SW 5 SW 7 G18 W 4
Wind20ft/Late (mph) SW 11 G21 SW 4 NW 5
Precip Amount 0.00 0.22 0.00
Precip Duration 2 0
Precip Begin 6 PM 2 PM
Precip End 6 AM 6 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 76/0800 2000 72/0800
Dispersion Fair
Haines Index 4 3 4
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 6200 7700
Transport Wind (mph) SW 24 W 16
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 148800 123200
ADI Early 91 Good 74 Good 62 Good
ADI Late 120 Very Good10 Poor 126 Very Good
Max LVORI Early 6 4 6
Max LVORI Late 1 6 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B D A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
82 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
33 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum
RH 76 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 43 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum
RH 87 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
38 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
87 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 36 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 60. Maximum RH
90 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
40 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-272245-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon
240 AM EDT Mon May 27 2024
Today Tonight Tue
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mclear
Precip Chance (%) 40 40 0
Precip Type Tstms Tstms None
LAL 3 3 2
Max/Min Temp 92 69 90
Min/Max RH (%) 51 96 35
Wind20ft/Early (mph) SW 7 SW 8 G19 NW 4
Wind20ft/Late (mph) SW 11 G21 SW 5 NW 6
Precip Amount 0.09 0.11 0.00
Precip Duration 1 2
Precip Begin 1 PM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 5 AM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 75/0800 1900 73/0800
Dispersion Fair
Haines Index 4 3 5
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5500 8200
Transport Wind (mph) SW 24 W 15
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 132000 123000
ADI Early 77 Good 63 Good 58 Gen Good
ADI Late 100 Good 9 Poor 126 Very Good
Max LVORI Early 7 5 7
Max LVORI Late 1 6 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability C D A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
80 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
33 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum
RH 76 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 42 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
81 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 37 percent.
North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
84 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 35 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
87 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
40 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation above normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
Forecaster...dch